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File:Iowa Republican Presidential Caucuses Election Results by County, 2012.svg|thumb|right|200px|Iowa results by county {{Legend|#008000|Rick Santorum (64)|border=0}} {{Legend|#ffcc00|Ron Paul (16)|border=0}} {{Legend|#ff6600|Mitt Romney (16)|bord
File:Minnesota Republican Presidential Caucuses Election Results by County, 2012.svg|thumb|right|120px|Minnesota results by county {{Legend|#008000|Rick Santorum (82)|border=0}} {{Legend|#ffcc00|Ron Paul (4)|border=0}} {{Legend|black|Tie Paul/Santo
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===February===
===February===
[[File:2012_Colorado_Republican_Presidential_Caucuses_Election_Results_by_County.svg|right|150px|thumb|Colorado counties won by Santorum are shown in green]]
[[File:2012_Colorado_Republican_Presidential_Caucuses_Election_Results_by_County.svg|right|150px|thumb|Colorado counties won by Santorum are shown in green]]
[[File:Minnesota Republican Presidential Caucuses Election Results by County, 2012.svg|thumb|right|120px|Minnesota results by county
{{Legend|#008000|Rick Santorum (82)|border=0}}
{{Legend|#ffcc00|Ron Paul (4)|border=0}}
{{Legend|black|Tie Paul/Santorum (1)|border=0}}
]]
On February 5, 2012, [[Rasmussen Reports]]' daily presidential tracking poll showed Santorum leading President Barack Obama 45%-44% in a potential general election matchup, the first time a Rasmussen poll showed him beating Obama.<ref>[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll Daily Presidential Tracking Poll]</ref>
On February 5, 2012, [[Rasmussen Reports]]' daily presidential tracking poll showed Santorum leading President Barack Obama 45%-44% in a potential general election matchup, the first time a Rasmussen poll showed him beating Obama.<ref>[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll Daily Presidential Tracking Poll]</ref>


Revision as of 06:27, 13 February 2012

See also: Republican Party (United States) presidential primaries, 2012
Rick Santorum President 2012
CampaignU.S. presidential election, 2012
CandidateRick Santorum
Former Senator of Pennsylvania
AffiliationRepublican Party
Key peopleMike Biundo[1] (campaign manager)
John Brabender (senior advisor / media consultant)
Hogan Gidley (senior communications advisor)
Virginia Davis (senior communications advisor / spokeswoman)
Seth Liebsohn (director of policy and speechwriting)
Amanda Kornegay (finance director)[2][3]
ReceiptsUS$2.2 Million (2011-12-31)
SloganThe Courage to Fight for America (previously "Fighting to Make America America Again")
Website
RickSantorum.com

Former Senator Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania began a campaign for the 2012 Republican Party nomination for president of the United States in April 2011. He had been preparing for a run since shortly after the 2008 presidential election.

Santorum lagged in the polls for all of 2011 until he surged in the week before the Iowa caucuses, propelling him to a narrow victory over Mitt Romney in the first contest of the presidential primaries. Santorum's presidential hopes received another boost when he surprisingly swept all three votes held on February 7, 2012, in Minnesota, Missouri, and Colorado.[4]

Background and campaign announcement

Santorum stopped short of a full-fledged candidacy before the beginning of 2011. Prior to that, he had indicated that he was merely considering running for president.

Santorum filed for an exploratory committee with Federal Elections Commission, and announced the organization on the Fox News program On the Record w/ Greta Van Susteren on April 13, 2011.[5] He formally announced his run for the Republican presidential nomination on ABC's Good Morning America on Monday, June 6, 2011.

Campaign developments

In an August 2011 interview with the The Des Moines Register’s editorial board, Santorum said “I’m the only person in this race by measuring the Gallup poll from March to July, everybody else who’s even in the race or a prospective in the race their name identification increase except me. And so you just sort of wonder why is the national media not talking about me when they’re talking about people like Jon Huntsman who are way below me in the national polls yet he gets press every single day. Nobody seems to want to pay any attention to me."[6]

He suffered from poor fund-raising and weak ground operations, and the viability of his campaign was in doubt during the Ames Poll. Santorum finished fourth in the Iowa Straw Poll on August 13, 2011, with 9.8% of the vote.[7] The finish was seen[8][9] as a surprising and successful one; he finished just behind Tim Pawlenty, who had significantly more money. Santorum focused on an off-the-beaten-path strategy, going to dozens of small towns generally ignored by the other candidates.[10] Although he was considered a "joke" candidate and panned as unelectable in some quarters, his solid consistency with his fellow pro-life Catholics kept him in the race.[11][8][12]

Santorum was one of the non-Mormon candidates to directly take on the accusations of Mormonism being a cult.[13]

During the presidential debate held September 21, 2011, in Orlando, Florida, a gay soldier deployed in Iraq asked the candidates if they would "circumvent" the repeal of "Don't Ask, Don't Tell" if elected president. Santorum, who answered the question, called the repeal of DADT "social experimentation" and "tragic." He said: "any type of sexual activity has absolutely no place in the military....And the fact that they're making a point to include it as a provision within the military that we are going to recognize a group of people and give them a special privilege to – and removing 'Don't Ask, Don't Tell,' I think tries to inject social policy into the military. And the military's job is to do one thing, and that is to defend our country."[14]

Santorum has openly promoted natalist government policies as part of his campaign platform. [15]

Comments about homosexuality

During the Fox News/Google-sponsored debate, which took place in Orlando, Florida on September 22, 2011, a gay soldier deployed in Iraq asked the candidates if they would take measures to "circumvent" the repeal of "Don't Ask, Don't Tell", if elected president.[16] Santorum, who answered the question, called the repeal of DADT "social experimentation" - and "tragic". "I would say any type of sexual activity has absolutely no place in the military," Santorum responded. "And the fact that they're making a point to include it as a provision within the military that we are going to recognize a group of people and give them a special privilege to -- and removing 'Don't Ask, Don't Tell,' I think tries to inject social policy into the military. And the military's job is to do one thing, and that is to defend our country."[16] He added: "What we're doing is playing social experimentation with our military right now. And that's tragic."

While campaigning in New Hampshire, Santorum engaged college students who asked about his position on gay marriage, suggesting that allowing gay marriage would lead to the legalization of polygamy and other forms of marriage. The back-and-forth resulted in him being booed at the conclusion of the event.[17] At another event, Santorum suggested that children would better off having a father in prison then being raised by lesbian parents.[18]

Focus on Iowa

Santorum has focused much of his efforts on the socially conservative early caucus state of Iowa. He has established a solid ground operation in Iowa and has visited the state the most of any of the candidates, having visited all 99 counties in the state at least once.[19]

Santorum's candidacy has been compared to that of Mike Huckabee, who surprisingly won Iowa despite similarly poor performance in the polls. Several Republican strategists in Iowa have described Santorum as a "natural fit" for 2008 Huckabee supporters in Iowa. The Washington Times reported in November 2011 that conservatives have gone on a "carousel" of supporting different candidates against Mitt Romney, from Michele Bachmann to Rick Perry to Herman Cain to Newt Gingrich. As such, Santorum would be next on the "carousel".[19]

In December 2011, when Gingrich achieved frontrunner status in the race, Santorum became increasingly critical of him and his speakership. Santorum said Gingrich's Contract with America was not practical and aside from welfare reform, it fell short of its goals. Santorum said Gingrich's Contract with America was overrated and took too much credit from the Gang of Six, which he was a part of, who exposed congressional banking corruption in 1994.[20] Santorum has also gained the confidence of several evangelical religious leaders and Sarah Palin for his "ideological consistency".[21][22]

In December 2011, Santorum's poll numbers in Iowa remained low, but he attracted more attention as a dark horse candidate, and said Iowans were beginning to respond to his message. He described his campaign by saying, "I’m sort of the guy at the dance, when the girls walk in they sort of walk by, and they take a few turns at the dance hall with the guys that are a little better looking, a little flashier, a little more bling. But at the end of the evening, old steady Eddie’s there. He’s the guy you want to bring home to mom and dad."[23] He urged Iowans not to go along with the polls and the pundits, who have pitted the race as being between Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich, but to lead the national conversation by picking him, an underdog.[24]

There were complaints about a statement made in Sioux City, Iowa, when Santorum said, "I don't want to make black people's lives better by giving them somebody else's money". Santorum responded saying he did not say the word "black" but rather mumbled "blah".[25][26][27][28]

Significant endorsements

Santorum received endorsements from several major Iowa conservative leaders in the fall of 2011. Prominent social conservatives Bob Vander Plaats[29][30] and Chuck Hurley,[31][30] both leaders of the Family Leader social conservative advocacy organization, praised Santorum's conservative record on social issues. Sioux City conservative talk radio host Sam Clovis cited Santorum's beliefs in "a constitutionally limited government, fiscal responsibility, strong national defense and unflagging devotion to life and traditional marriage."[32]

Other endorsements include Iowa Secretary of State Matt Schultz,[33] Cornerstone Church pastor and evangelical leader Cary Gordon,[21] and bestselling thriller novelist Brad Thor.[34]

In November 2011, conservative commentator Glenn Beck said, "If there is one guy out there that is the next George Washington, the only guy that I could think of is Rick Santorum. I would ask that you would take a look at him."[35]

Late surge in polls

Iowa results by county
  Rick Santorum (64)
  Ron Paul (16)
  Mitt Romney (16)
  Rick Perry (2)
  Tie Paul/Santorum (1)

After support for Newt Gingrich faded in Iowa, Santorum received a late surge in polling in the week prior to the caucuses; a CNN poll released December 28, 2011 showed Santorum jumping to third place with 16%, behind only Mitt Romney (25%) and Ron Paul (22%) and ahead of Newt Gingrich, who was first in the previous CNN poll.[36] CNN said, "Most of Santorum's gains have come among likely caucus participants who are born-again or evangelical, and he now tops the list among that crucial voting bloc, with support from 22% of born-agains compared to 18% for Paul, 16% for Romney, and 14% for Gingrich."[36]

Mike Huckabee said, "Rick Santorum, I believe, is being greatly underestimated in this race. I believe he will be the surprise candidate, not necessarily to win it, but to be in the top three or four when people don't expect him to be."[37] On December 31, 2011, the Des Moines Register released a poll, conducted December 27-30, also placing Santorum in third place behind Romney and Paul. However, the paper noted, "the four-day results don’t reflect just how quickly momentum is shifting in a race that has remained highly fluid for months. If the final two days of polling are considered separately, Santorum rises to second place, with 21 percent, pushing Paul to third, at 18 percent. Romney remains the same, at 24 percent."[38] The Register's pollster said, "Momentum’s name is Rick Santorum."[39]

Victory in Iowa

The Iowa caucuses were held on January 3, 2012, and the count that evening put Romney in first with just eight more votes than Santorum out of 125,000 cast (Romney received 30,015 votes to Santorum's 30,007).[40] Though he finished in second, Santorum's finish was still seen as a stunning victory, which could give him some momentum going forward in an uphill battle of a race.[41] Santorum's campaign reportedly raised over $1 million in less than 24 hours after his finish in the caucuses,[42] and Santorum immediately surged in national polls, with three showing him competing for third place with Paul.

On January 20, 2012, Santorum was declared the official winner of the January 3 Iowa caucuses based on the certified results from 1,766 precincts (results from 8 precincts could not be found). Santorum (29,839 votes, 25%) had defeated Romney (29,805, 25%) by 34 votes.[43][44]

New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Florida

He finished fourth in the New Hampshire primary on January 10, 2012, ahead of Newt Gingrich.[45]

On January 14, 2012, during the run-up to the South Carolina primary, Santorum won the endorsement of the Family Research Council, a group of 150 social conservative leaders who held an emergency meeting to determine the best social conservative candidate to coalesce around to beat Romney.[45] Santorum finished third in South Carolina with 17%.

Newt Gingrich, the winner of South Carolina, called on Santorum along with Ron Paul to drop out of the race; Santorum rebuffed the idea, noting that he won Iowa and beat Gingrich in New Hampshire, and said, "We’re not going anywhere. We are going to be in this race, we are going to stay in this race for the long haul. We are planning for the next states."[46]

Santorum campaigned for the Florida primary but left the weekend before its primary to go home and prepare his income tax records to be released to the public. However, his daughter Bella, who suffers from a rare genetic condition called Trisomy 18 that kills most sufferers before their first birthday, fell ill and came close to death in a bout with pneumonia.[47] Santorum left the campaign trail for several days to be with her in the hospital.[48] He said she made a miraculous turnaround.[49] Santorum finished third Florida's primary with 223,208 votes (13%).[50]

February

Colorado counties won by Santorum are shown in green
Minnesota results by county
  Rick Santorum (82)
  Ron Paul (4)
  Tie Paul/Santorum (1)

On February 5, 2012, Rasmussen Reports' daily presidential tracking poll showed Santorum leading President Barack Obama 45%-44% in a potential general election matchup, the first time a Rasmussen poll showed him beating Obama.[51]

The Santorum campaign decided against committing substantial resources to the Nevada caucuses, where Santorum took 10% of the vote on February 4 in a 4th place finish. A focus on the states holding votes on February 7[52] paid off as the former Pennsylvania Senator won all three. Santorum edged out Romney by 5 points in the Colorado caucuses in a significant upset,[53] beat second place finisher Ron Paul by 45% to 27% in the Minnesota caucuses, and dominated the Missouri primary, defeating Romney 55%-25% in a contest that did not include Newt Gingrich on the ballot and did not assign any delegates.[54][55] Two days before the vote Public Policy Polling (PPP) had suggested that Santorum would finish second in Colorado, face a close contest with Romney and Gingrich in Minnesota, and win by a smaller margin in Missouri.[56]

Following his sweep, Santorum enjoyed a surge in national polls. A PPP poll released on February 11 showed him in first with 38% and with the second place Romney at 23%.[57]

Santorum did not do any campaigning for the Maine Republican caucuses, 2012, but still took 18% and third place in the results announced February 11.[58]

Endorsements

References

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  2. ^ "Talent and Organization - Building Towards 2012". P2012.org. Retrieved 2012-01-09.
  3. ^ "Rick Santorum : Pictures, Videos, Breaking News". Politico. 1958-05-10. Retrieved 2012-01-09.
  4. ^ Kim Geiger (7 February 2012), "Rick Santorum sweeps Tuesday contests with Colorado win" The Los Angeles Times
  5. ^ "Rick Santorum announces his next step in a possible run for the Presidency". YouTube. 2011-04-14. Retrieved 2012-01-09.
  6. ^ "Santorum in his own words on Huntsman, working women and sexual liberty | Iowa Caucuses". Caucuses.desmoinesregister.com. 2011-08-05. Retrieved 2012-01-09.
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  13. ^ "2 Romney challengers dodge Christian question." AP, 9 October 2011.
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  15. ^ "Santorum: More babies, please!".
  16. ^ a b Lucy Madison (September 23, 2011). "Republican Gay rights group demands apology from Santorum". CBS News.
  17. ^ Goldman, Julianna (January 10, 2012). "Santorum Draws Boos From College Crowd for Opposing Gay Marriage". San Francisco Chronicle.
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  25. ^ Santorum denies making black people remark retrieved 26 January 2012
  26. ^ Holland, Jesse (19 Jan 2012). "GOP Campaign Rhetoric Raising Racial Concerns". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. p. A.8.
  27. ^ "'Blah,' not 'black,' says Santorum". Philadelphia Inquirer. 06 Jan 2012. p. A.5. {{cite news}}: Check date values in: |date= (help)
  28. ^ Spillius, Alex (08 Jan 2012). "Unlikely rise of Santorum". The Sunday Telegraph. London (UK). p. 28. {{cite news}}: Check date values in: |date= (help)
  29. ^ Zeleny, Jeff (2011-12-20). "Vander Plaats Endorses Santorum". Thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com. Retrieved 2012-01-09.
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  35. ^ Glenn Beck: Rick Santorum "is the next George Washington"
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  41. ^ "Preston: Short sprint or long haul to GOP nomination?". Cnn.com. 2012-01-04. Retrieved 2012-01-09.
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  46. ^ Rick Santorum Says He’s Going Nowhere, in It for ‘Long Haul’
  47. ^ Santorum: Bella 'doing great'
  48. ^ Rick Santorum says daughter Bella is out of hospital
  49. ^ Rick Santorum Says Daughter Bella Has a ‘Miraculous Turnaround’
  50. ^ "RESULTS: Florida". CNN. February 1, 2012. Retrieved February 2, 2012.
  51. ^ Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
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  53. ^ Santorum Upsets G.O.P. Race With Three Victories
  54. ^ Steve Holland (8 February 2012), "Three-state sweep revives Santorum's White House hopes" Reuters
  55. ^ 2012 Missouri Primary Results
  56. ^ "Romney up in Colorado, close race in Minnesota" Public Policy Polling 5 February 2012
  57. ^ PPP 2/11/2012 poll
  58. ^ 2012 Maine Caucuses
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  60. ^ Santorum Receives Latin Builders Association Endorsement
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  73. ^ "South Carolina Pro-Life Legislator of the Year Endorses Santorum for President". Ricksantorum.com. 2012-01-12. Retrieved 2012-01-20.
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  77. ^ Focus on Family founder James Dobson endorses Rick Santorum
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  79. ^ "Foster Friess Endorses Rick Santorum". Youtube.com. 2011-12-30. Retrieved 2012-01-17.
  80. ^ "FORMER CHAIRMAN OF THE NATIONAL ORGANIZATION FOR MARRIAGE ENDORSES SANTORUM". The Greenville News. January 12, 2012. Retrieved January 14, 2012.
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  92. ^ Malloy, Daniel (2011-07-13). "Daily Santorum: Lehman endorses". Earlyreturns.sites.post-gazette.com. Retrieved 2012-01-09.
  93. ^ "My official endorsement for Rick Santorum". Abby Johnson. 2012-01-13. Retrieved 2012-02-09.
  94. ^ CONCERNED WOMEN FOR AMERICA PRESIDENT PENNY NANCE ENDORSES SANTORUM
  95. ^ Szobody, Ben (January 17, 2012). "FLORIDA PRO-FAMILY LEADER JOHN STEMBERGER ENDORSES SANTORUM". The Greenville News. Retrieved February 5, 2012.
  96. ^ "I'm Endorsing Rick Santorum for President in the Florida Primary". Charismanews.com. 2011-06-21. Retrieved 2012-02-09.
  97. ^ McDevitt, Caitlin (February 6, 2012). "Pat Boone endorses Rick Santorum". Politico. Retrieved february 9, 2012. {{cite web}}: Check date values in: |accessdate= (help)
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