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January–August 2016 statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election

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Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2016, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.

Note some states had not conducted polling yet or no updated polls were present from January 1 to August 31, 2016.

Alabama

[edit]

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 60%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
News-5/Strategy Poll[1] July 19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 57% 24 4,100 ± 2.0%

Alaska

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3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Ivan Moore Research[2] June 16–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% 4 670 ?
Alaska Dispatch News/Ivan Moore Research[3] January 2016 Hillary Clinton 44.1% Donald Trump 49.3% 5.2 651 ?
Hillary Clinton 37.5% Ted Cruz 56.9% 19.4
Hillary Clinton 37.9% Marco Rubio 56.7% 18.8

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green Party % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Moore Information[4] August 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 29% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 10 500 ± 4%
Ivan Moore Research[2] June 16–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 16% Jill Stein 6% 9 670 ?

Arizona

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11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[5] August 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 46% 3 837 ± 3.4%
CNN/ORC[6] August 18–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 49% 5 809 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[7] June 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 44% 4 691 ± 3.7%
OH Predictive Insights[8] June 20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 1,060 ± 3.01%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 45% 6 300 ± 5.66%
Public Policy Polling[10] May 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% 4 896 ± 3.3%
Bernie Sanders 45% Donald Trump 44% 1
Behavior Research Center[11] April 4–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 35% 7 564 ± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 38% Ted Cruz 43% 5
Hillary Clinton 32% John Kasich 44% 12
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 33% 21
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 34% 14
Bernie Sanders 47% John Kasich 33% 14
Merrill Poll/WestGroup[12] March 7–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Tied 701 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 35% Ted Cruz 41% 6
Bernie Sanders 39% Donald Trump 36% 3

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News[13] August 17–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 1 704 ± 3.3%
OH Predictive Insights[14] August 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 1 728 ±3.63%
CNN/ORC[6] August 18–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 4% 7 809 ± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov[15] August 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 2 1,095 ± 4.8%
OH Predictive Insights[16][17] August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 2 996 ±3.0%
Integrated Web Strategy[18] July 29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 8 679 ± 3.76%
Public Policy Polling[10] May 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 2 896 ± 3.3%
Bernie Sanders 42% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 3

Arkansas

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6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Talk Business/Hendrix College[19] June 21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 8% 11 751 ± 3.6%

California

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55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Field Research[20] June 8 – July 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 58% Donald Trump 28% 30 956 ± 3.2%
SurveyMonkey/USC/Los Angeles Times[21] June 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 59% Donald Trump 32% 27 1,553 ± 3%
CBS News/YouGov[22] May 31 – June 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 33% 15 1,187 ± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 32% 23
USC/Los Angeles Times[23] May 19–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 30% 26 1,500 ± 2.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[24] May 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 31% 24 1,833 ± 2.3%
Bernie Sanders 62% Donald Trump 28% 34
Field Research[25] May 26–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 34% 19 1,002 ± 3.2%
Bernie Sanders 60% Donald Trump 31% 29
SurveyUSA/KABC/SCNG[26] May 19–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 38% 14 1,383 ± 2.7%
Public Policy Institute of California[27] May 13–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 39% 10 1,704 ± 4.3%
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 36% 17
SurveyUSA/KABC/SCNG[28] April 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 34% 22 1,683 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 29% 28
Hillary Clinton 53% John Kasich 34% 19
SurveyUSA[29] March 30 – April 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 60% Donald Trump 26% 34 1,507 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 32% 25
Hillary Clinton 56% John Kasich 33% 23
Bernie Sanders 63% Donald Trump 24% 39
Bernie Sanders 61% Ted Cruz 26% 35
Bernie Sanders 57% John Kasich 28% 29
Field Research[30] March 24 – April 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 59% Donald Trump 31% 28 1,400 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 55% Ted Cruz 32% 23
USC Dornsife College/LA Times[31] March 16–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 59% Donald Trump 28% 31 1,503 ± %
Hillary Clinton 59% Ted Cruz 31% 28
Hillary Clinton 54% John Kasich 35% 19

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Field Research[20] June 8 – July 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 26% Gary Johnson 10% 24 495 ± 4.4%
Hoover Institution/YouGov[32] May 4–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 4% 12 1,196 ± 3.97%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Institute of California[33] July 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 6% 16 1,703 ± 3.5%
SurveyMonkey/USC/Los Angeles Times[21] June 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 27% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 6% 24 1,553 ± 3%

Colorado

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9 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[34] August 9–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 39% 10 830 ± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[35] August 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 32% 14 899 ± 3.3%
Fox News[36] July 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 34% 10 600 ± 4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[37] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 35% 8 794 ± 3.5%
Harper[38] July 7–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 38% 7 500 ± 4.38%
Gravis Marketing[39] July 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% 2 1,313 ± 2.7%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Magellan Strategies[40] August 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 3% 5 500 ± 4.38%
Quinnipiac University[34] August 9–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 16% Jill Stein 7% 8 830 ± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[35] August 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 29% Gary Johnson 15% Jill Stein 6% 12 899 ± 3.3%
Fox News[36] July 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 28% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 6% 9 600 ± 4%
Monmouth University[41] July 7–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 13 404 ± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[37] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 4% 6 794 ± 3.5%
Gravis Marketing[39] July 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 4% 1 1,313 ± 2.7%
CBS News/YouGov[42] June 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 1 996 ± 4.3%

Connecticut

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7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[43] June 1–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 38% 7 1,330 ± 2.7%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 35% 19
Emerson College[44] April 10–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 40% 8 1,043 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 31% 21
Hillary Clinton 38% John Kasich 49% 11
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 40% 9
Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 30% 25
Bernie Sanders 40% John Kasich 48% 8

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[43] June 1–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 5 1,330 ± 2.7%

Delaware

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3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 59%–40%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Fairleigh Dickinson University[45] July 20–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 9% 10 715 ± 4.1%

District of Columbia

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3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%
(Democratic in 2012) 91%–7%

No polling was conducted in 2016

Florida

[edit]
Further information: Opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election in Florida

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%

Georgia

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16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[46] August 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% 4 847 ± 4.0%
Public Policy Polling[47] May 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 49% 9 724 ± 3.6%
Bernie Sanders 40% Donald Trump 48% 8
Fox 5/Opinion Savvy[48] May 15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 44% 3 587 ± 4.0%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[49] May 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% 4 822 ± 4.26%
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 42% 5
Landmark/RosettaStone[50] May 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 42% 1 570 ± 4.1%
Lake Research Partners[51] March 31 – April 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 37% 13 400 ± 4.9%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 40% 7
SurveyUSA[52] February 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 50% 9 1,261 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 50% 7
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 49% 7
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 49% 8
Bernie Sanders 41% Marco Rubio 49% 8
Bernie Sanders 42% Ted Cruz 48% 6

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta[53] August 17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 11% Tied 730 ± 3.6%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
CBS News/YouGov[54] August 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 4 988 ± 4.3%
JMC Analytics[55] August 6–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 7 615 ± 4.0%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[46] August 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 2% 3 847 ± 4.0%
Landmark/RosettaStone[56] August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% Tied 787 ± 3.5%
SurveyUSA[57] July 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 4 628 ± 4%
Landmark/RosettaStone[58] July 24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 2 500 ± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling[59] May 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 7 724 ± 3.6%
Bernie Sanders 36% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 10

Idaho

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4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Dan Jones & Associates[60] May 18 – June 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 32% Donald Trump 49% 17 603 ± 3.99%
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 46% 3

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green Party % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Dan Jones & Associates[61] August 18–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 23% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 2% 21 602 ± 4.0%
Dan Jones & Associates[62] July 5–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 23% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 21 601 ± 4.0%

Illinois

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20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Normington, Petts and Associates[63] August 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 32% 19 800 ± 3.5%
NBC News/WSJ/Marist[64] March 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 32% 25 1,968 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 40% 11
Bernie Sanders 60% Donald Trump 30% 30
Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 35% 20

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
The Illinois Observer[65] June 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 6% 18 732 ?
Capitol Fax/We Ask America[66] June 5–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 7% 12 1,231 RV ± 3%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green Party % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Victory Research[67] July 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 7% 17 1,200 ± 2.83%
Basswood Research[68] July 11–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 13 800 ± 3.5%

Indiana

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11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 54%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Tarrance Group[69] July 20–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 50% 14 503 ± 4.4%
Bellwether[70] May 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 31% Donald Trump 40% 9 600 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[71] April 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 48% 7 2,149 ± 2.1%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 50% 7
Hillary Clinton 37% John Kasich 56% 19
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 47% 1
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 45% 3
Bernie Sanders 46% John Kasich 47% 1
POS /Howey Politics Indiana/WTHR Channel 13 [72] April 18–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 47% 8 500 ± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton 36% Ted Cruz 53% 17

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Monmouth University[73] August 13–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 10% 11 403 ± 4.9%

Iowa

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6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[74] August 30–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% 2 827 ± 3.4%
Quinnipiac University[34] August 9–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 44% 3 846 ± 3.4%
Suffolk University[75] August 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 41% 1 500 ± 4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] August 3–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 37% 4 899 ± 3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[77] July 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% 3 822 ± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing[78] July 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 40% 2 1,318 ± 2.7%
Loras College[79] June 24–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 34% 14 600 ± 4%
Public Policy Polling[7] June 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 39% 2 897 ± 3.3%
Public Policy Polling[80] June 9–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 41% 3 630 ± 3.9%
Public Policy Polling[81] January 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Jeb Bush 43% 3 1,901 ± 2.3%
Hillary Clinton 42% Ben Carson 46% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 46% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 42% Tied
Bernie Sanders 47% Jeb Bush 39% 8
Bernie Sanders 44% Ben Carson 40% 4
Bernie Sanders 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Bernie Sanders 43% Marco Rubio 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 42% 5
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[82] January 2–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 40% 8 1,470 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 47% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 47% 5
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
Bernie Sanders 47% Ted Cruz 42% 5
Bernie Sanders 44% Marco Rubio 44% Tied

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[83] August 31 – September 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 1% 5 600 ± 3.9%
CBS News/YouGov[84] August 17–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% Tied 987 ± 4%
Quinnipiac University[34] August 9–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 3% 2 846 ± 3.4%
Suffolk University[75] August 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 1 500 ± 4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] August 3–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 6% Tied 899 ± 3.1%
CBS News/YouGov[85] July 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 1 998 ± 4.8%
Monmouth University[86] July 8–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 2 401 ± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[77] July 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 4% Tied 822 ± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing[78] July 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 2 1,318 ± 2.7%
Loras College[79] June 24–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 13 600 ± 4.0%

Kansas

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6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
John Zogby Strategies[87] June 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 36% 7 433 ± 4.7%
Fort Hays State University[88] February 19–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 46% 10 440 ± 5.0%
Hillary Clinton 35% Ted Cruz 49% 14
Hillary Clinton 32% Marco Rubio 51% 19
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 38% Ted Cruz 44% 6
Bernie Sanders 36% Marco Rubio 46% 10

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
SurveyUSA/KSN News[89] August 9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 8% 5 566 ±4.2%
Fort Hays State University[90] July 11–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 27% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 7% 17 542 ±4.4%
SurveyUSA/KSN News[91] July 8–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 8% 11 559 ± 4.2%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group[92] August 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 7 7,769 ± 1.5%

Kentucky

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8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Bellwether[93] August 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 25% Donald Trump 41% 16 508 ± 4.0%
Bellwether[94] July 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 28% Donald Trump 34% 6 776 ± 3%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
RunSwitch PR/Harper[95] July 31 – August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 13 500 ± 4.4%

Louisiana

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8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–41%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
JMC Analytics and Polling[96] May 5–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 52% 16 624 ± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders 32% Donald Trump 55% 23

Maine

[edit]
Main article: United States presidential election in Maine, 2016

4 electoral votes (Statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st and 2nd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Univ. of N.H./PPH/Maine Sunday Telegram[97][98] June 15–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 35% 7 475 ± 4.5%
Bangor Daily News[99] March 3–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 34% 9 610 RV ± 3%
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 31% 26

Maryland

[edit]

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[100] April 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 61% Donald Trump 28% 33 879 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 58% Ted Cruz 24% 34
Hillary Clinton 54% John Kasich 33% 21
Bernie Sanders 60% Donald Trump 29% 31
Bernie Sanders 62% Ted Cruz 24% 38
Bernie Sanders 52% John Kasich 32% 20
NBC4/Marist[101] April 5–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 63% Donald Trump 27% 36 2,563 ± 1.9%
Hillary Clinton 60% Ted Cruz 31% 29
Hillary Clinton 55% John Kasich 38% 17
Bernie Sanders 65% Donald Trump 26% 39
Bernie Sanders 63% Ted Cruz 28% 35
Bernie Sanders 55% John Kasich 36% 19
Washington Post/University of Maryland[102] March 30 – April 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 63% Donald Trump 28% 35 1,503 ± N/A%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
OpinionWorks[103] August 18–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 25% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 29 754 ± 3.6%

Massachusetts

[edit]

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Boston Globe/Suffolk University[104] May 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 31% 24 500 ± 4.4%
Western New England University[105] April 1–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 62% Donald Trump 26% 36 497 ± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton 63% Ted Cruz 30% 33
Bernie Sanders 70% Donald Trump 23% 47
Bernie Sanders 71% Ted Cruz 24% 47

Michigan

[edit]

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[106] August 9–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 39% 10 1,314 ± 2.7%
EPIC-MRA[107] July 30 – August 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 36% 10 600 ± 4%
Mitchell Research[108] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 34% 6 600 ± 4.0%
Gravis Marketing[109] July 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 41% 7 1,562 ± 2.4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 39% 11 300 ± 5.66%
Detroit News/WDIV-TV[110] May 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 39% 4 600 ± 4%
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 33% 19
SurveyUSA[111] March 23–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 38% 11 904 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 46% 5
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 36% 19
Bernie Sanders 56% Ted Cruz 35% 21
Bernie Sanders 47% John Kasich 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Mitt Romney 35% 13
Hillary Clinton 48% Paul Ryan 38% 10
EPIC-MRA[112] March 19–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% 10 600 ± 4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[113] March 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 36% 16 2,229 ± 2.1%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 41% 7
Bernie Sanders 56% Donald Trump 34% 22
Bernie Sanders 54% Ted Cruz 36% 18
Marketing Resource Group[114] February 22–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% 5 600 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 43% 2%
EPIC-MRA[115] January 23–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% 2 600 ± 4%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 12% 15 300 ± 5.66%
Detroit News/WDIV-TV[110] May 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 12% 4 600 ± 4%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[116] August 25–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 5 800 ± 3.4%
Suffolk University[117] August 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 7 500 ± 4.4%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[106] August 9–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 5% 11 1,314 ± 2.7%
EPIC-MRA[107] July 30 – August 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 11 600 ± 4%
The Detroit News/WDIV-TV[118] July 30 – August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 9 600 ± 4.0%
CBS News/YouGov[119] July 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 3 1,201 ± 4.1%
Marketing Resource Group[120] July 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 29% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 5 800 ± 3.46%
Gravis Marketing[109] July 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 3 1,562 ± 2.4%

Minnesota

[edit]

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Star Tribune[121] April 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 35% 13 800 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 40% 9
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 38% 15
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 36% 14
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon[122] January 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% 5 800 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 49% 9
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 37% 16

Missouri

[edit]

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49.4%–49.2%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[123] August 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 47% 6 1,055 ± 3.0%
Public Policy Polling[124] August 8–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 45% 3 947 ± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling[125] July 11–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 50% 10 959 ± 3.2%
Missouri Scout[126] May 20–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 46% 6 1301 ± 2.8%
DFM Research[127] March 17–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 40% 2 674 ± 3.8%
Fort Hayes State University[128] March 3–10, 2016 Bernie Sanders 37% Marco Rubio 43% 6 475 ± 4.6%
Hillary Clinton 31% Marco Rubio 49% 18
Bernie Sanders 36% Ted Cruz 45% 9
Hillary Clinton 34% Ted Cruz 51% 17
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 40% 3
Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 43% 5

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Monmouth University[129] August 19–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 8% 1 401 ± 4.9%
SurveyUSA/KSDK[130] July 20–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 8% 10 1,943 ± 2.3%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group[131] August 5–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 2 1,280 ± 3%
St. Louis/Post-Dispatch[132] July 23–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 1% 1 625 ± 4%
Public Policy Polling[125] July 11–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 10 959 ± 3.2%

Nevada

[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 47% 2 300 ± 5.66%
TargetPoint/Just Win Strategies[133] June 14–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 45% 1 200 ?
Gravis Marketing[134] May 24–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 47% 5 1 637 ± 2%

Three-way

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Suffolk [135][136][137] August 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% 2 500 ± 4.4%
KTNV/Rasmussen Reports[138] July 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 10% 1 750 ± 4%
KTNV/Rasmussen Reports[139] July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 8% 5 750 ± 4%
Monmouth University[140] July 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 5% 4 408 ± 4.9%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 9% Tied 300 ± 5.66%
Gravis Marketing[134] May 24–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 8% 3 1 637 ± 2%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
CBS News/YouGov[15] August 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 2 993 ± 4.6%

Five-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % IAPN % Unaffiliated % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Suffolk University[135][136][137] August 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43.8% Donald Trump 41.6% Gary Johnson 4.8% Darrell Castle 1% Rocky De La Fuente 1% 2.2 500 ± 4.4%

New Hampshire

[edit]

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[141] August 30–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 585 ± 4.1%
Public Policy Polling[142] August 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% 6 977 ± 3.1%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[143] August 20–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% 9 433 ± 4.7%
Public Policy Polling[144] August 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 37% 13 802 ± 3.5%
MassINC/WBUR[145] July 29 – August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 34% 17 609 ± 4%
NH Journal July 19–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 48% 9 1,166 ± 5.1%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[146] July 9–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 37% 2 469 ± 4.5%
American Research Group[147] June 24–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 533 ± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling[7] June 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 39% 4 578 ± 4.1%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 47% 4 300 ± 5.66%
TargetPoint/Just Win Strategies[133] June 14–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% 4 200 ?
Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University[148] May 25–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied 405 ± 4.9%
MassINC/WBUR[149] May 12–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% 2 501 ± 4.4%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 38% 16
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[150] April 7–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 31% 19 553 ± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 34% 14
Hillary Clinton 36% John Kasich 50% 14
Bernie Sanders 58% Donald Trump 31% 27
Bernie Sanders 61% Ted Cruz 30% 31
Bernie Sanders 50% John Kasich 44% 6
Dartmouth College[151] April 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 29% 5 362 ± 5.15%
Hillary Clinton 34% Ted Cruz 33% 1
Hillary Clinton 26% John Kasich 53% 27
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 28% 21
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 26% 22
Bernie Sanders 39% John Kasich 44% 5
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[152] February 20–28, 2016 Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 34% 21 628 ± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders 60% Ted Cruz 28% 32
Bernie Sanders 54% Marco Rubio 35% 19
Bernie Sanders 48% John Kasich 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 39% 8
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 35% 11
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 37% John Kasich 47% 10
UMass Lowell/7News[153] February 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5 1,411 ± 2.99%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 44% 4
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 34% 21
Bernie Sanders 56% Ted Cruz 31% 25
Bernie Sanders 54% Marco Rubio 34% 20
UMass Lowell/7News[154] February 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% 6 1,413 ± 2.97%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 39% 6
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 45% 5
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 33% 22
Bernie Sanders 57% Ted Cruz 30% 27
Bernie Sanders 55% Marco Rubio 35% 20
UMass Lowell/7News[155] February 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 39% 7 1,421 ± 2.90%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 34% 20
Bernie Sanders 57% Ted Cruz 30% 27
Bernie Sanders 54% Marco Rubio 35% 19
UMass Lowell/7News[156] February 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% 4 1,417 ± 2.89%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 44% 3
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 34% 20
Bernie Sanders 54% Ted Cruz 33% 21
Bernie Sanders 51% Marco Rubio 37% 14
CNN/WMUR[157] January 13–18, 2016 Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 34% 23 903 ± 3.4%
Bernie Sanders 56% Ted Cruz 33% 23
Bernie Sanders 55% Marco Rubio 37% 18
Bernie Sanders 57% Chris Christie 34% 23
Bernie Sanders 54% John Kasich 33% 21
Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 39% 9
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% John Kasich 43% Tied
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[158] January 2–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% 1 957 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 52% 12
Bernie Sanders 56% Donald Trump 37% 19
Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 36% 19
Bernie Sanders 50% Marco Rubio 41% 9
Public Policy Polling[159] January 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 40% 6 1,036 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 50% Ben Carson 39% 11
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 36% 14
Bernie Sanders 50% Jeb Bush 38% 12
Bernie Sanders 53% Ben Carson 34% 19
Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 35% 20
Bernie Sanders 51% Marco Rubio 37% 14
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 34% 20

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 10% Tied 300 ± 5.66%
MassInc/WBUR[149] May 12–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 33% Mitt Romney 21% 4 501 ± 4.4%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[150] April 7–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 22% Donald Trump 19% 22 553 ± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling[160] January 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 28% Donald Trump 18% 19 1,036 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 29% Donald Trump 20% 14

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[143] August 20–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 4% 11 433 ± 4.7%
CBS News/YouGov[54] August 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 9 990 ± 4.3%
Vox Populi[161] August 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 3% 10 820 ± 3.4%
MassInc/WBUR[145] July 29 – August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 15 609 ± 4%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[162] July 9–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 5% Tied 469 ± 4.2%

New Jersey

[edit]

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Fairleigh Dickinson University[163] June 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 31% 21 712 ± 3.8%
CBS News/YouGov[164] May 31 – June 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 34% 15 1,194 ± 3.8%
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 34% 18
Monmouth University[165] May 23–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 34% 4 806 ± 3.7%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[166] May 18–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 37% 11 702 ± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 33% 24
Quinnipiac University[167] May 10–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 38% 7 1,989 ± 2.2%
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 37% 12
Rutgers[168] April 1–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 36% 14 738 ± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 35% 15
Hillary Clinton 43% John Kasich 43% Tied
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 34% 21
Fairleigh Dickinson University[169] February 24–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 36% 16 694 ± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 36% 15

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Fairleigh Dickinson University[163] June 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 9% 12 712 ± 3.8%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Monmouth University[165] May 23–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 4% 6 806 ± 3.7%

New Mexico

[edit]

5 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[170] May 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 14% 8 802 ± 3.5%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[171] August 19–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 16% Jill Stein 4% 9 1,103 ± 3% [172]

New York

[edit]

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Siena College[173] August 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 27% 30 717 ± 4.3%
Gravis Marketing[174] August 4–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 36% 17 1,717 ±2.4%
Quinnipiac University[175] July 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 35% 12 1,104 ± 3%
Siena College[176] June 22–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 31% 23 803 ± 4.0%
Siena College[177] May 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 31% 21 825 ± 3.9%
Siena College[178] April 24–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 30% 26 802 ± 4.1%
Emerson College[179] April 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 36% 19 1,047 ± 2.95%
Hillary Clinton 59% Ted Cruz 28% 31
Hillary Clinton 49% John Kasich 39% 10
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 37% 14
Bernie Sanders 58% Ted Cruz 27% 31
Public Policy Polling[180] April 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 35% 20 1,403 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 56% Ted Cruz 30% 26
Hillary Clinton 50% John Kasich 36% 14
Bernie Sanders 58% Donald Trump 33% 25
Bernie Sanders 59% Ted Cruz 27% 32
Bernie Sanders 54% John Kasich 35% 19
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[181] April 6–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 61% Donald Trump 32% 29 1,987 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 61% Ted Cruz 31% 30
Hillary Clinton 53% John Kasich 38% 15
Bernie Sanders 64% Donald Trump 31% 33
Bernie Sanders 65% Ted Cruz 28% 37
Bernie Sanders 57% John Kasich 35% 22
NY1/Baruch College[182] April 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 35% 16 1,306 ± 2.9%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 32% 22
Emerson College[183] April 6–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 36% 18 864 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 58% Ted Cruz 30% 28
Hillary Clinton 48% John Kasich 41% 7
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
Bernie Sanders 56% Ted Cruz 29% 27
Fox News[184] April 4–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 37% 16 1,403 ± 2.5%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 35% 19
Quinnipiac University[185] March 22–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 33% 20 1,667 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 32% 21
Hillary Clinton 46% John Kasich 41% 5
Bernie Sanders 56% Donald Trump 32% 24
Bernie Sanders 56% Ted Cruz 28% 28
Bernie Sanders 47% John Kasich 37% 10
Emerson College[186] March 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 36% 19 768 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 61% Ted Cruz 30% 31
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 36% 17
Siena College[187] February 28 – March 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Marco Rubio 35% 21 800 ± 4.1%
Hillary Clinton 58% Ted Cruz 33% 25
Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 34% 23
Hillary Clinton 49% John Kasich 42% 7
Bernie Sanders 58% Marco Rubio 32% 26
Bernie Sanders 63% Ted Cruz 26% 37
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 33% 24
Bernie Sanders 54% John Kasich 35% 19
Siena College[188] January 31 – February 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Marco Rubio 37% 17 930 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 34% 23
Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 32% 25
Hillary Clinton 57% Jeb Bush 33% 24
Hillary Clinton 57% John Kasich 31% 26
Hillary Clinton 55% Chris Christie 36% 19
Bernie Sanders 56% Marco Rubio 34% 22
Bernie Sanders 60% Ted Cruz 30% 30
Bernie Sanders 63% Donald Trump 30% 33
Bernie Sanders 61% Jeb Bush 30% 31
Bernie Sanders 59% John Kasich 29% 30
Bernie Sanders 58% Chris Christie 35% 23

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Siena College[187] February 28 – March 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 25% Michael Bloomberg 26% 16 800 ± 4.1%
Bernie Sanders 42% Donald Trump 24% Michael Bloomberg 28% 14

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian
Independence 		% Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[189] August 28–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 18 800 ± 3.4%
Siena College[173] August 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 25% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 6% 25 717 ± 4.3%
Gravis Marketing[174] August 4–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 4% 14 1,717 ±2.4%
Quinnipiac University[175] July 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 4% 12 1,104 ± 3%

North Carolina

[edit]

15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[190] August 29 – September 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 43% 4 751 ± 3.6%
Public Policy Polling[191] August 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% 1 1,177
CNN/ORC[192] August 18–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 47% 1 803 ± 3.5%
Gravis Marketing[193] August 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 43% 1 723 ± 3.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[35] August 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 39% 9 921 ± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling[194] August 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 46% 1 830 ± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[37] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 38% 6 907 ± 3.3%
Public Policy Polling[195] June 20–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 48% 2 942 ± 3.2%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 41% 10 300 ± 5.66%
Public Policy Polling[196] May 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 47% 4 928 3.2%
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 44% 4
Civitas[197] April 23–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 37% 12 600 4.0%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 35% 19
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 40% 6
Bernie Sanders 52% Ted Cruz 36% 16
Public Policy Polling[198] April 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied 960 3.2
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 46% 7
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 43% 3
Bernie Sanders 46% Ted Cruz 38% 8
Bernie Sanders 41% John Kasich 43% 2
Elon University[199] April 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% 6 621 3.96
Hillary Clinton 41% Ted Cruz 44% 3
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
Bernie Sanders 49% Ted Cruz 39% 10
Public Policy Polling[200] March 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% 2 843 3.4
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 49% 8
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 41% 7
Bernie Sanders 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Bernie Sanders 41% John Kasich 44% 3
Elon University[201] February 15–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% 6 1,530 2.51
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 46% Tied
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 48% 3
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 40% 8
Bernie Sanders 47% Ted Cruz 43% 4
Bernie Sanders 43% Marco Rubio 46% 3
SurveyUSA[202] February 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% 2 1,250 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 48% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 49% 7
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied
Bernie Sanders 46% Ted Cruz 42% 4
Bernie Sanders 45% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Public Policy Polling[203] February 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 44% 2 1,291 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 49% 9
Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 44% 1
Bernie Sanders 43% Jeb Bush 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 43% Ted Cruz 43% Tied
Bernie Sanders 41% Marco Rubio 45% 4
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 42% 2
Public Policy Polling[204] January 18–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 45% 2 948 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 47% 5
Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% 2
Bernie Sanders 41% Jeb Bush 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 40% Ben Carson 44% 4
Bernie Sanders 38% Ted Cruz 43% 5
Bernie Sanders 39% Marco Rubio 43% 4
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 44% 1

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[190] August 29 – September 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 15% 4 751 ± 3.6%
Monmouth University[205] August 20–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 7% 2 401 ± 4.9%
CNN/ORC[192] August 18–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 9% Tied 803 ± 3.5%
Civitas/SurveyUSA[206] July 31 – August 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 6% 4 400 ± 5.0%
Civitas[207] June 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% 2 600 ± 4.0%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 8% 10 300 ± 5.66%
Civitas[208] May 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 8% 3 600 ± 4.0%
Public Policy Polling[203] February 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 39% Michael Bloomberg 14% 2 1,291 ± 2.7%
Bernie Sanders 34% Donald Trump 40% Michael Bloomberg 16% 6
Public Policy Polling[204] January 18–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 41% Michael Bloomberg 10% 1 948 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 42% Jim Webb 7% 2

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
CBS News/YouGov[209] August 30 – September 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 4 1,088 ± 4%
Emerson College[210] August 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 2 800 ± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing[193] August 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 2% 1 723 ± 3.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[35] August 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 2% 9 921 ± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling[194] August 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 2 830 ± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[37] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 6 907 ± 3.3%
CBS News/YouGov[211] June 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 2 988 ± 4%
Public Policy Polling[195] June 20–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% Tied 947 ± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling[196] May 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 2 928 3.2%
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 3

Ohio

[edit]

18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[190] August 29 – September 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 46% 1 775 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[212] August 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% 4 1,134 ± 2.9%
OnMessage August 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Tied 600 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] August 3–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% 5 889 ± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University[213] July 30 – August 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 45% 4 812 ± 3.4%
Public Policy Polling[214] July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Tied 1,334 ± 2.7%
Suffolk University[215] July 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied 500 ± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University[216] June 30 – July 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 41% Tied 955 ± 3.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[217] July 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 39% Tied 848 ± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing/One America News[218] June 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 47% 1 1,270 ± 2.8%
Public Policy Polling[7] June 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% 4 708 ± 3.7%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 48% 1 300 ± 5.66%
Quinnipiac University[219] June 8–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 40% Tied 971 ± 3.1%
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 38% 10
Zogby Analytics[220] May 18–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% 6 679 ± 3.8%
CBS News/YouGov[221] May 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% 5 992 ± 3.7%
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 39% 9
Quinnipiac University[222] April 27 – May 8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 43% 4 1,042 ± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 42% 2
Public Policy Polling[223] April 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 42% 3 799 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 35% 9
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 43% 2
Bernie Sanders 45% Donald Trump 41% 4
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 35% 9
Bernie Sanders 37% John Kasich 47% 10
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[224] March 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% 6 2,052 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 47% 2
Hillary Clinton 36% John Kasich 57% 21
Bernie Sanders 50% Donald Trump 41% 9
Bernie Sanders 45% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Public Policy Polling[225] March 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 40% 5 1,248 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 37% John Kasich 52% 15
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 38% 6
Bernie Sanders 34% John Kasich 54% 20
Bernie Sanders 42% Marco Rubio 38% 4
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 40% 4
CNN/ORC[226] March 2–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 43% 7 884 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 46% 2
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 42% 9
Quinnipiac University[227] February 16–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3 1,539 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 37% John Kasich 54% 17
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 47% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% 2
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 42% 2
Bernie Sanders 35% John Kasich 54% 19
Bernie Sanders 42% Marco Rubio 44% 2
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 14% Tied 300 ± 5.66%
Public Policy Polling[225] March 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 15% Tied 1,248 ± 2.8%
Bernie Sanders 38% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 13% 1
Quinnipiac University[227] February 16–20, 2016 Bernie Sanders 37% Ted Cruz 37% Michael Bloomberg 11% Tied 1,539 ± 2.5%
Bernie Sanders 35% Donald Trump 38% Michael Bloomberg 13% 3

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[190] August 29 – September 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 14% Jill Stein 4% 4 775 ± 3.5%
Emerson College[116] August 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 2% Tied 800 ± 3.4%
Monmouth University[228] August 18–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein <1% 4 402 ± 4.9%
CBS News/YouGov[84] August 17–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 6 997 ± 3.9%
OnMessage August 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% Tied 600 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] August 3–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 4% 4 889 ± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University[213] July 30 – August 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 2 812 ± 3.4%
Public Policy Polling[214] July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 3 1,334 ± 2.7%
Suffolk University[215] July 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 4 500 ± 4.4%
CBS News/YouGov[229] July 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 4 1,104 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[216] June 30 – July 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 6% 1 955 ± 3.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[217] July 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 3 848 ± 3.4%
Quinnipiac University[219] June 8–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 2 971 ± 3.1%

Oklahoma

[edit]

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 67%–33%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
SoonerPoll[230] July 20–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 29% Donald Trump 53% Gary Johnson 7% 24 298 ± 4.91%
Cole Hargrave[231] May 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 28% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 6% 20 500 ± 4.3%

Oregon

[edit]

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Portland Tribune/iCitizen[232] June 23–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 32% 14 555 ± 4.0%
Clout Research[233] May 10–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% 2 657 ± 3.82%
DHM Research[234] May 6–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 32% 11 901 ± 3.3%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Clout Research[235] July 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 3 701 ± 3.7%

Pennsylvania

[edit]

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[190] August 29 – September 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% 5 778 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[236] August 30–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 814 ± 3.4%
GBA Strategies[237] August 21–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% 5 1,200 ± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling[238] August 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% 5 1,194 ± %
Franklin & Marshall College[239] August 25–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% 7 496 ± 5.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] August 3–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 37% 11 834 ± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University[213] July 30 – August 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 42% 10 815 ± 3.4%
Susquehanna/ABC27 News[240] July 31 – August 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% 10 772 ± 3.53%
Franklin & Marshall College[241] July 29 – August 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 38% 11 389 ± 6.3%
Public Policy Polling[242] July 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 45% 4 1,505 ± 2.5%
Suffolk University[243] July 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 41% 9 500 ± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University[216] June 30 – July 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 43% 2 982 ± 3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[244] July 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% 9 829 ± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[245] June 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 47% 1 1,958 ± 2.2%
Public Policy Polling[7] June 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% 4 980 ± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University[219] June 8–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 41% 1 950 ± 3.2%
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 40% 7
Public Policy Polling[246] June 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied 1,106 ± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 39% 12
Quinnipiac University[222] April 27 – May 8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 42% 1 1,077 ± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 41% 6
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[247] April 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 39% 15 2,606 ± 1.9%
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 41% 11
Hillary Clinton 45% John Kasich 48% 3
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 37% 20
Bernie Sanders 58% Ted Cruz 36% 22
Bernie Sanders 50% John Kasich 44% 6
Fox News[248] April 4–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied 1,607 ± 2.5%
Quinnipiac University[249] March 30 – April 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 42% 3 1,737 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 43% Tied
Hillary Clinton 35% John Kasich 51% 16
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 40% 8
Bernie Sanders 46% Ted Cruz 38% 8
Bernie Sanders 40% John Kasich 46% 6
Franklin & Marshall College[250] March 14–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 33% 13 828 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 35% 10
Mercyhurst University[251] March 1–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 35% 8 421 ± 4.8%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 36% John Kasich 49% 13
Hillary Clinton 39% Marco Rubio 47% 8
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 37% 12
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 40% 8
Bernie Sanders 42% John Kasich 46% 4
Bernie Sanders 41% Marco Rubio 46% 5
Harper Polling[252] March 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5 662 ± 3.75%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 40% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 37% 11

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
GBA Strategies[237] August 21–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 10% 6 1,200 ± 4.4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 13% 9 300 ± 5.66%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[190] August 29 – September 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 5 778 ± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov[253] August 30 – September 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 8 1,091 ± 4.1%
Monmouth University[254] August 26–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 8 402 ± 4.9%
Franklin & Marshall College[239] August 25–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 3 736 ± 4.6%
Emerson College[116] August 25–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 3 800 ± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] August 3–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 9 834 ± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University[213] July 30 – August 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 9 815 ± 3.4%
Susquehanna/ABC27 News[240] July 31 – August 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 9 772 ± 3.53%
Franklin & Marshall College[241] July 29 – August 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 13 496 ± 6.1%
Public Policy Polling[242] July 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 3 1,505 ± 2.5%
Suffolk University[243] July 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 9 500 ± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University[216] June 30 – July 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 6 982 ± 3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[244] July 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 8 829 ± 3.4%
Quinnipiac University[219] June 8–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 4% 3 950 ± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling[246] June 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 1 1,106 ± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 9

South Carolina

[edit]

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Feldman[255] August 18–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% 2 600 ± 4%
Gravis Marketing[256] August 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% 4 768 ± 3.5%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
First Tuesday Strategies[257] August 30 – September 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 50% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 12 775 ± 3.5%
Feldman[255] August 18–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% Tied 600 ± 4%
Gravis Marketing[256] August 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 4 768 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[258] August 9–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 2 1,290 ± 2.7%

Tennessee

[edit]

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 59%–39%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
iCitizen[259] July 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 49% 16 655 ± N/A%
Vanderbilt University/PSRA[260] April 25 – May 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 44% 9 1,001 ± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 34% Ted Cruz 44% 10

Texas

[edit]

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[261] August 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 50% 6 944 ± 3.2%
KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Poll[262] August 8–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 46% 11 1,018 ± 3.1%
Texas Tribune/YouGov[263] June 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 41% 8 1,200 ± 2.83%
SurveyUSA[264] February 21–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 47% 3 1,289 ± 3%
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 50% 8
Bernie Sanders 41% Ted Cruz 50% 9
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 51% 10
Bernie Sanders 40% Marco Rubio 50% 10

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Texas Tribune/YouGov[263] June 10–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 32% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 7% 7 1,200 ± 2.83%
Leland Beatty[265] June 13–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 3% 7 998 ± 3.1%

Five-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[261] August 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% Evan McMullin 0% 6 944 ± 3.2%

Utah

[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 73%–25%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[266] August 19–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 53% 20 1,018 ± 3.1%
Gravis Marketing[267] May 31 – June 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 29% Donald Trump 36% 7 1,519 ± 2.5%
Dan Jones & Associates[268] May 2–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 43% 13 588 ± 4.04%
Bernie Sanders 37% Donald Trump 43% 6
Dan Jones & Associates[269] March 23 – April 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Tied 600 ± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton 26% Ted Cruz 67% 41
Hillary Clinton 23% John Kasich 68% 45
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 35% 14
Bernie Sanders 32% Ted Cruz 63% 31
Bernie Sanders 30% John Kasich 64% 34
Dan Jones & Associates[270] March 8–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 36% 2 500 ± 4.38%
Hillary Clinton 32% Ted Cruz 60% 28
Hillary Clinton 29% John Kasich 59% 30
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 37% 11
Bernie Sanders 39% Ted Cruz 53% 14
Bernie Sanders 35% John Kasich 54% 19

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
SurveyUSA/Salt Lake Tribune[271] June 2–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 13% Tied 1,238 ± 2.8%
Bernie Sanders 37% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 12% 2
Gravis Marketing[267] May 31 – June 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 26% Donald Trump 29% Gary Johnson 16% 3 1,519 ± 2.5%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Dan Jones & Associates[272] July 18 – August 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 25% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 16% Jill Stein 1% 12 858 ± 3.34%
Dan Jones & Associates[273] June 8–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 27% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 2% 9 614 ± 3.95%

Six-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Constitution % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[266] August 19–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 24% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 5% Darrell Castle 2% Evan McMullin 9% 15 1,018 ± 3.1%

Vermont

[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
(Democratic in 2012) 67%–31%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
VPR[274] July 11–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 17% Gary Johnson 5% 22 637 ±3.9%
FM3 Research[275] June 27 – July 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 24% Gary Johnson 10% 15 600 ± ?%

Virginia

[edit]

13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Hampton University[276] August 24–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% 2 801 ± 4.7%
Roanoke College[277] August 7–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 36% 19 803 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[34] August 9–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 38% 12 808 ± 3.5%
Washington Post[278] August 11–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 43% 8 707 ± 4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[35] August 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 33% 13 897 ± 3.3%
RABA Research[279] July 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% 4 655 ± 3.8%
Fox News[280] July 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 37% 7 601 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[37] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% 9 876 ± 3.3%
Hampton University[281] July 6–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 39% Tied 805 ± 4.6%
Public Policy Polling[282] June 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 45% 3 1,032 ± 3.1%
Gravis Marketing[283] May 24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% 4 1,728 ± 2%
Roanoke College[284] May 9–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Tied 610 ± 4.0%
Christopher Newport University[285] March 23 – April 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% 9 1,167 ± 3.1%
Roanoke College[286] January 18–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 35% 17 524 ± 4.3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 41% 4
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 33% 22
Bernie Sanders 48% Marco Rubio 38% 10
Bernie Sanders 49% Ted Cruz 37% 12

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
CBS News/YouGov[15] August 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 7% 12 1,181 ± 3.7%
Gravis Marketing[283] May 24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 6% 6 1,728 ± 2%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[83] August 30 – September 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 3% 1 800 ± 3.4%
Roanoke College[277] August 7–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 16 803 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[34] August 9–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 5% 11 808 ± 3.5%
Washington Post[278] August 11–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 7 707 ± 4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[35] August 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 5% 12 897 ± 3.3%
Fox News[280] July 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 5 601 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[37] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 2% 7 876 ± 3.3%
Public Policy Polling[282] June 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 3 1,032 ± 3.1%

Washington

[edit]

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Elway Poll[287] August 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 24% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 4% 19 500 ± 4.5%

West Virginia

[edit]

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[288] April 29 – May 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 57% 27 1,201 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 31% Ted Cruz 44% 13
Hillary Clinton 27% John Kasich 52% 25
Bernie Sanders 35% Donald Trump 56% 21
Bernie Sanders 39% Ted Cruz 40% 1
Bernie Sanders 31% John Kasich 48% 17

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green Party % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Repass Research[289] August 9–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 31% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 18 386 4.7%

Wisconsin

[edit]

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[290] August 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 41% 7 1,054
Marquette University[291] August 25–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 42% 3 615 ± 5.0%
Marquette University[292] August 4–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 36% 10 805 ± 4.6%
Marquette University[293] July 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% 4 629 ± 4.5%
Public Policy Polling[7] June 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 39% 8 843 ± 3.4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 36% 11 300 ± 5.66%
Marquette University[294] June 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 37% 9 666 ± 4.9%
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 33% 24
Public Opinion Strategies[295] May 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 31% 12 600 ± 4.0%
St. Norbert College/WPR/WPT[296] April 12–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 34% 12 616 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 33% 19
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 40% 10
Emerson College[297] March 30 – April 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% 10 1,198 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 38% John Kasich 52% 14
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 37% 14
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 41% 9
Fox News[298] March 28–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 35% 14 1,602 ± 2.5%
Marquette University[299] March 24–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% 10 1,405 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 44% Tied
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 48% 9
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 35% 19
Bernie Sanders 52% Ted Cruz 39% 13
Bernie Sanders 46% John Kasich 44% 2
Emerson College[300] March 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% 9 922 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 45% 1
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 39% 9
Marquette University[301] February 18–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% 10 802 ± 4.5%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 43% Tied
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 34% 20
Bernie Sanders 53% Ted Cruz 35% 18
Bernie Sanders 53% Marco Rubio 35% 18
Marquette University[302] January 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% 9 806 ± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 34% 18
Bernie Sanders 49% Marco Rubio 38% 11
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 38% 12

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 16% 12 300 ± 5.66%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Monmouth University[303] August 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 5 404 ± 4.9%
Marquette University[291] August 25–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 3 615 ± 5.0%
Marquette University[292] August 4–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 9 805 ± 4.6%
Marquette University[293] July 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 6 629 ± 4.5%
CBS News/YouGov[304] June 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 5 993 ± 4.3%

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Trump Wins Alabama but Some Supporters May Not Like Him". Strategy Research. 21 July 2016. Retrieved July 21, 2016.
  2. ^ a b "Voter dissatisfaction with Clinton and Trump has Libertarian Johnson hoping Alaskans go third-party". Ivan Moore Research. Alaska Dispatch News. August 21, 2016. Retrieved August 22, 2016.
  3. ^ "ADN poll: Alaskans like Trump, Sanders for president". Ivan Moore Research. Alaska Dispatch News. January 23, 2016. Retrieved July 7, 2016.
  4. ^ "Survey Results" (PDF). Moore Information. The Midnight Sun. September 1, 2016. Retrieved September 4, 2016.
  5. ^ "Arizona Survey Results" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. September 1, 2016.
  6. ^ a b "CNN/ORC International Poll". SSRS of Media. CNN. ORC International. August 24, 2016. Retrieved August 24, 2016.
  7. ^ a b c d e f "Subject: Swing State Voters Don't Trust Trump on Supreme Court, Overwhelmingly Favor Hearings For Garland" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. June 28, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on August 3, 2016. Retrieved June 28, 2016.
  8. ^ "Arizona Electorate Indicates Clinton Beating Trump". OH Predictive Insights. Retrieved June 23, 2016.
  9. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n "Battleground 2016: new game" (PDF). Greenberg Quinlan Rosner. Democracy Corps/Women’s Vote Action Fund. June 30, 2016. Retrieved July 9, 2016.
  10. ^ a b "McCain In Deep Trouble in GOP Primary; Trump, Clinton Close in AZ" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved May 18, 2016.
  11. ^ "IS ARIZONA BECOMING A "SWING STATE"? BERNIE SANDERS LEADS ALL THREE GOP CANDIDATES. HILLARY CLINTON BEATS TRUMP BUT LOSES TO CRUZ AND KASICH" (PDF). Behavior Research Center. April 11, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 2, 2016. Retrieved August 20, 2016.
  12. ^ "Presidential and Senate races are tight in Arizona" (PDF). Merrill Poll. WestGroup. March 17, 2016.
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