2018 United States Senate election in Indiana: Difference between revisions
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==External links== |
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*[https://www.facebook.com/Bill-Bowser-for-Senate-201613766670674/ Bill Bowser (D) for Senate] |
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*[http://www.joeforindiana.com Joe Donnelly (D) for Senate] |
*[http://www.joeforindiana.com Joe Donnelly (D) for Senate] |
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*[https://mikebraunforindiana.com/ Mike Braun (R) for Senate] |
*[https://mikebraunforindiana.com/ Mike Braun (R) for Senate] |
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Revision as of 07:29, 6 January 2018
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| Elections in Indiana |
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The 2018 United States Senate election in Indiana will take place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Joe Donnelly is running for re-election to a second term.[1]
This race has been described by Politico as "possibly the GOP's best opportunity to seize a Senate seat from Democrats" in the 2018 elections.[2] The primary election for this Senate race is scheduled for May 8, 2018.[3]
Background
Incumbent Democratic Senator Joe Donnelly currently holds a 47%-26% approval rating among his constituents,[4] in a state in which President Donald Trump has an underwater approval of 41% who approve compared with 45% who disapprove.[5]
Donnelly is likely to face either Republican Todd Rokita or Luke Messer in the general election, who are expected to compete in a brutal and expensive primary battle for the GOP nomination.[6][7]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Joe Donnelly, incumbent U.S. Senator[1]
Withdrew
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Mike Braun, former State Representative[10][11]
- Andy Horning, Libertarian nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012 and Libertarian nominee for IN-08 in 2014[12]
- Mark Hurt, attorney and former congressional aide[13]
- Luke Messer, U.S. Representative[14]
- Todd Rokita, U.S. Representative[15][16][17]
- Andrew Takami, Director of Purdue Polytechnic New Albany[18]
Potential
- Brian Bosma, Speaker of the Indiana House of Representatives[15]
- Curtis Hill, Attorney General of Indiana[19][20]
- Trey Hollingsworth, U.S. Representative[15]
- Marlin Stutzman, former U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and 2016[21]
- Jackie Walorski, U.S. Representative[22][23]
Declined
- Jim Banks, U.S. Representative[24]
- Susan Brooks, U.S. Representative (endorsed Luke Messer)[16][25]
- Mike Delph, State Senator (endorsed Todd Rokita)[15][26]
Withdrawn
Endorsements
Luke Messer
- U.S. Representatives
- Susan Brooks, U.S. Representative (R-IN)[29]
- State Senators
- David C. Long, State Senate President Pro Tempore[30]
- Individuals
- James Bopp, conservative attorney and constitutional scholar[31]
Todd Rokita
- State Senators
- Mike Delph, State Senator[26]
- Individuals
- Russ Willis, chairman of the Madison County Republican Party[32]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Luke Messer |
Todd Rokita |
Curtis Hill |
Mike Braun |
Mark Hurt |
Terry Henderson |
Andrew Takami | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS Strategy Group (Rokita) | July 16–18, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 20% | 28% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 51% |
| 14% | 21% | — | — | — | — | — | 11% | 55% | ||||
| OnMedia (Messer) | July 10–12, 2017 | 400 | ± 4.8% | 23% | 23% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | — | 45% |
Other parties
Candidates
Declared
- Andrew Straw, attorney (Disability Party)[33]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Toss-Up | December 15, 2017 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[35] | Toss-Up | December 13, 2017 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[36] | Toss-Up | December 13, 2017 |
References
- ^ a b Bottorff, Kathy (January 7, 2017). "Hanscom to Manage Sen. Donnelly Reelect". WTCA. Retrieved January 21, 2017.
- ^ "Missouri's $10M man". POLITICO. Retrieved 2017-12-23.
- ^ "United States Senate election in Indiana, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved 2017-12-23.
- ^ "America's Most and Least Popular Senators — October 2017". Morning Consult. 2017-10-31. Retrieved 2017-12-04.
- ^ "Poll: Donald Trump is underwater in Indiana". Indianapolis Star. Retrieved 2017-12-04.
- ^ "The GOP's nastiest primary". POLITICO. Retrieved 2017-12-04.
- ^ Wegmann, Philip. "Driving Mr. Messer: Indiana congressman mocks Rep. Todd Rokita's 8-page chauffeur memo". Washington Examiner. Retrieved 2017-12-04.
- ^ "VOTE MARTIN DEL RIO - committee overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov. Retrieved 2017-10-25.
- ^ Democrat ends US Senate bid
- ^ Grant, Mike (August 2, 2017). "Braun set for U.S. Senate run". Washington Times-Herald. Retrieved August 8, 2017.
- ^ "Wealthy state lawmaker joins GOP's Indiana Senate race". The Washington Post. Associated Press. August 8, 2017. Retrieved August 8, 2017.
- ^ Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul. "Horning for Senate". IndyPolitics.org. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ^ Myers, George (February 1, 2017). "Kokomo lawyer Mark Hurt announces US Senate bid". News and Tribune. Retrieved February 3, 2017.
- ^ Pathé, Simone (26 July 2017). "Indiana Rep. Luke Messer Running for Senate". Roll Call. Retrieved 26 July 2017.
- ^ a b c d Railey, Kimberly (January 31, 2017). "In light of @SusanWBrooks passing on #insen". Twitter. Retrieved February 3, 2017.
- ^ a b Groppe, Maureen (January 31, 2017). "Brooks won't challenge Donnelly for U.S. Senate seat". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved January 31, 2017.
- ^ "The Latest: Rokita to Formally Announce Indiana Senate Bid". Associated Press. The New York Times. August 8, 2017. Retrieved August 8, 2017.
- ^ "Purdue Polytechnic director Andrew".
- ^ http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2017/5/25/1665948/-Newly-elected-Indiana-Attorney-General-Curtis-Hill-reportedly-interested-in-bid-against-Joe-Donnelly
- ^ http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/gop-attorneys-general-may-shake-senate-primaries
- ^ Kamisar, Ben (November 16, 2016). "10 Senate seats that could flip in 2018". The Hill. Retrieved November 17, 2016.
- ^ Colwell, Jack (November 27, 2016). "Here's how big Walorski's win was". South Bend Tribune. Retrieved November 28, 2016.
- ^ Pathé, Simone (November 28, 2016). "Republican Gender Gap Could Grow in the House". Roll Call. Retrieved November 28, 2016.
- ^ Pathe, Simone (March 23, 2017). "Indiana Headed for Another Member-on-Member Senate Primary". Roll Call. Retrieved March 24, 2017.
- ^ http://www.journalgazette.net/blog/political-notebook/20170920/rep-brooks-endorses-messer-for-senate
- ^ a b Howey, Brian A. (August 10, 2017). "Rokita announces with Delph support" (PDF). Howey Politics. Retrieved August 10, 2017.
- ^ Colombo, Hayleigh (April 8, 2017). "Republicans jockey to take on Donnelly in 2018". Indianapolis Business Journal. Retrieved April 11, 2017.
- ^ Francisco, Brian (November 13, 2017). "Henderson quits U.S. Senate race". The Journal Gazette. Retrieved November 14, 2017.
- ^ http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/brooks-indiana-senate-messer
- ^ Matt McKinney (August 10, 2017). "Indiana State Senate President Pro Tempore David Long endorses Luke Messer for U.S. Senate". theindychannel.com.
- ^ Brian Francisco (August 22, 2017). "Donnelly says focus is on helping Hoosiers". The Journal Gazette.
- ^ Ken de la Bastide (November 25, 2017). "Willis endorses Rokita in Senate race". The Herald Bulletin.
- ^ [1]
- ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Bill Bowser (D) for Senate
- Joe Donnelly (D) for Senate
- Mike Braun (R) for Senate
- Terry Henderson (R) for Senate
- Andrew Horning (R) for Senate
- Mark Hurt (R) for Senate
- Luke Messer (R) for Senate
- Todd Rokita (R) for Senate
- Andrew Straw (American Disability Party) for Senate
- Andrew Takami (R) for Senate