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====Potential====
====Potential====
* Richard Boykin, [[Cook County Board of Commissioners|Cook County Commissioner]]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://chicago.suntimes.com/news/7/71/851676/sneed-county-commissioner-boykin-forms-exploratory-committee-senate-run|title=Sneed exclusive: Commissioner Boykin eyes Senate run|work=[[Chicago Sun-Times]]|last=Sneed|first=Michael|date=August 4, 2015|accessdate=August 5, 2015}}</ref>
* [[Jacqueline Collins]], State Senator<ref>{{cite web|url=http://chicago.suntimes.com/news/7/71/626040/sneed-exclusive-hillarys-lunch-date|title=Sneed exclusive: Hillary's lunch date|work=[[Chicago Sun-Times]]|last=Sneed|first=Michael|date=May 21, 2015|accessdate=June 3, 2015}}</ref>
* [[Jacqueline Collins]], State Senator<ref>{{cite web|url=http://chicago.suntimes.com/news/7/71/626040/sneed-exclusive-hillarys-lunch-date|title=Sneed exclusive: Hillary's lunch date|work=[[Chicago Sun-Times]]|last=Sneed|first=Michael|date=May 21, 2015|accessdate=June 3, 2015}}</ref>
* [[Tom Dart]], [[Cook County Sheriff's Office (Illinois)|Sheriff]] of [[Cook County, Illinois|Cook County]]<ref name=coulddecide/>
* [[Tom Dart]], [[Cook County Sheriff's Office (Illinois)|Sheriff]] of [[Cook County, Illinois|Cook County]]<ref name=coulddecide/>

Revision as of 21:43, 5 August 2015

United States Senate election in Illinois, 2016

← 2010 November 8, 2016 2022 →
 
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Mark Kirk
Republican



The 2016 United States Senate election in Illinois will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Illinois, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Senator Mark Kirk is running for re-election to a second term in office.[1]

Background

Republican Mark Kirk was elected to the Senate in 2010, defeating Democratic nominee Alexi Giannoulias by 59,220 votes out of more than 3.7 million votes cast.

Kirk suffered a stroke in January 2012 that kept him away from the Senate until January 2013.[2] In June 2013 he confirmed that he was "planning" to run for re-election,[3][4] but there was speculation that he might retire,[5] particularly in the wake of the departure of several of his senior staff.[6][7] He could also face a primary challenge from a more conservative Republican. One scenario that had been mooted was Kirk resigning, which would have allowed Republican Governor Bruce Rauner to appoint a replacement.[8] Potential replacements if he retired or resigned included U.S. Representatives Robert Dold, Adam Kinzinger, Aaron Schock, and Peter Roskam, State Senators Jason Barickman and Christine Radogno, hedge fund manager and founder and CEO of Citadel LLC Kenneth C. Griffin, and businesswoman Beth Christie.[7][5] In November 2014, Kirk reiterated that he was going to run for re-election, saying: "no frickin' way am I retiring."[1]

Pointing to his health problems, narrow win in 2010, anaemic fundraising, middling approval ratings, Illinois' strong Democratic lean and the concurrent presidential election, Kirk has been identified by The Washington Post, The New York Times, Politico, The Huffington Post, Slate and Roll Call as one of the most vulnerable Republican Senators up for re-election in 2016.[9][10][11][12][13][14]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Potential

Declined

Endorsements

Tammy Duckworth
Individuals
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tammy
Duckworth
Andrea
Zopp
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 20-21, 2015 409 ± 4.9% 59% 10% 31%

General election

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Kirk (R)
Tammy
Duckworth (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 20-21, 2015 931 ± 3.2% 36% 42% 22%
Ogden & Fry June 23, 2015 598 ± 4.09% 27.3% 43.8% 28.9%
We Ask America December 18, 2014 1,003 ± 3% 45.02% 45.59% 9.39%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Kirk (R)
Lisa
Madigan (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 22–25, 2013 557 ± 4.2% 41% 41% 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Kirk (R)
Pat
Quinn (D)
Other Undecided
We Ask America December 18, 2014 1,003 ± 3% 55% 35.73% 9.27%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Kirk (R)
Andrea
Zopp (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 20-21, 2015 931 ± 3.2% 38% 29% 32%

References

  1. ^ a b c "Mark Kirk: 'No Frickin' Way Am I Retiring'". Roll Call. November 14, 2014. Retrieved November 15, 2014.
  2. ^ Ed O'Keefe (January 3, 2013). "Mark Kirk makes dramatic return to the Senate". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 17, 2014.
  3. ^ Matthew Cooper (June 28, 2013). "Mark Kirk Survived a Stroke--Now He's Picking Fights in Congress". National Journal. Retrieved July 17, 2014.
  4. ^ a b c Meredith Shiner (January 26, 2014). "Kirk's Next Challenge? Re-Election in 2016". Roll Call. Retrieved July 17, 2014.
  5. ^ a b Emily Cahn (June 12, 2013). "Illinois Options Depend on Chicago Turnover Farm Team". Roll Call. Retrieved July 17, 2014.
  6. ^ a b c Greg Hinz (November 11, 2014). "Mark Kirk loses chief of staff, but odds grow Duckworth won't run against him". Crain's Chicago Business. Retrieved November 12, 2014.
  7. ^ a b "Will the Rauner victory prompt Kirk to step aside before 2016?". Illinois Review. November 10, 2014. Retrieved November 13, 2014.
  8. ^ "Speculation Grows Over Mark Kirk's Political Future". ABC Chicago. November 12, 2014. Retrieved November 13, 2014.
  9. ^ Cillizza, Chris (November 9, 2014). "Can Republicans hold on to Senate majority in 2016? There's reason for doubt". The Washington Post. Retrieved November 11, 2014.
  10. ^ "Tough Tests Looming in 2016 Raise Stakes for G.O.P. in Midterm Elections". The New York Times. April 12, 2014. Retrieved November 13, 2014.
  11. ^ a b "The 10 states that could decide the next Senate". Politico. November 12, 2014. Retrieved November 13, 2014.
  12. ^ "Here's The Democratic Route Back To Senate Control In 2016". The Huffington Post. November 6, 2014. Retrieved November 13, 2014.
  13. ^ "The Seven Senate Races Democrats Should Be Optimistic About in 2016". Slate. July 3, 2014. Retrieved November 13, 2014.
  14. ^ a b "10 Races to Watch in 2016: Illinois Senate". Roll Call. December 23, 2014. Retrieved December 26, 2014.
  15. ^ Cahn, Emily (November 14, 2014). "Mark Kirk: 'No Frickin' Way Am I Retiring'". Roll Call. Retrieved November 14, 2014.
  16. ^ a b c Cheney, Kyle (December 29, 2014). "16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate". Politico. Retrieved December 29, 2014.
  17. ^ Riopell, Mike (February 16, 2015) - "Joe Walsh Eyes Challenge to U.S. Sen. Mark Kirk". Daily Herald. Retrieved February 17, 2015.
  18. ^ Sweet, Lynn (February 17, 2015) - "Former Rep. Joe Walsh 'Looking At' Bid to Oust Sen. Mark Kirk". Chicago Sun-Times. Retrieved February 21, 2015.
  19. ^ a b Meredith Shiner (January 27, 2014). "Kirk Vs. Duckworth for Senate in 2016?". Roll Call. Retrieved July 17, 2014.
  20. ^ a b Skiba, Katherine (February 12, 2015) - "4 U.S. House Democrats From Illinois Consider a Challenge to Sen. Mark Kirk". Chicago Tribune. Retrieved February 23, 2015.
  21. ^ Lynn Sweet (March 27, 2015). "Rep. Tammy Duckworth to announce for Senate, likely on Monday". Chicago Sun Times. Retrieved March 28, 2015.
  22. ^ a b Skiba, Katherine (March 30, 2015). "Duckworth to Challenge Kirk for U.S. Senate". Chicago Tribune. Retrieved March 30, 2015.
  23. ^ Ahern, Mary Ann (May 15, 2015). "Andrea Zopp Decides To Run For Kirk's Senate Seat". WMAQ-TV. Retrieved May 15, 2015.
  24. ^ "5/28-Andrea L. Zopp Ends Dynamic Tenure at Chicago Urban League". Chicago Urban League. Chicago Urban League. Retrieved July 30, 2015.
  25. ^ Erin Carlson (June 6, 2014). "Tio Hardiman, Ex-Candidate for Illinois Governor, Teases a U.S. Senate Run". NBC Chicago. Retrieved July 17, 2014.
  26. ^ Miller, Rich (April 15, 2015). "Question of the day". Capitol Fax. Retrieved April 16, 2015.
  27. ^ Sneed, Michael (August 4, 2015). "Sneed exclusive: Commissioner Boykin eyes Senate run". Chicago Sun-Times. Retrieved August 5, 2015.
  28. ^ Sneed, Michael (May 21, 2015). "Sneed exclusive: Hillary's lunch date". Chicago Sun-Times. Retrieved June 3, 2015.
  29. ^ Miller, Rich (January 30, 2015). "Are a policy wonk and a former NFL player ready for 2016?". Crain's Chicago Business. Retrieved February 1, 2015.
  30. ^ Eleanor Clift (March 30, 2013). "Could Michelle Obama Run for the US Senate". The Daily Beast. Retrieved July 17, 2014.
  31. ^ Paul Merrion (November 2014). "40 under 40". Crain's Chicago Business. Retrieved January 14, 2015.
  32. ^ Pearson, Rick (July 16, 2015). "Democratic Sen. Biss with $1.2 million to run for state comptroller". Chicago Tribune. Tribune Publishing. Retrieved July 30, 2015.
  33. ^ a b Blake, Aaron (April 10, 2015). "Rep. Bill Foster (D-Ill.), who had been "seriously considering" an #ILSEN bid, endorses Tammy Duckworth". Twitter. Retrieved April 10, 2015.
  34. ^ Pearson, Rick (April 10, 2015). "Foster Won't Run for U.S. Senate, Backs Duckworth". Chicago Tribune. Retrieved April 10, 2015. {{cite news}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  35. ^ Sweet, Lynn (June 12, 2015). "Rep. Robin Kelly will not run for Illinois Senate seat: Exclusive". Chicago Sun-Times. Retrieved June 12, 2015.
  36. ^ Lynn Sweet (June 24, 2014). "Michelle Obama nixes politics: Illinois Senate not in her future". Chicago Sun-Times. Retrieved July 31, 2014.
  37. ^ Lynn Sweet (January 24, 2015). "Duckworth, Foster, Bustos & Kelly all mull challenges to Sen. Mark Kirk". Chicago Sun-Times. Retrieved January 24, 2015.
  38. ^ Sweet, Lynn (June 4, 2015). "Sen. Durbin endorses Rep. Duckworth's Senate bid". Chicago Sun-Times. Retrieved June 5, 2015.
  39. ^ Sweet, Lynn (April 30, 2015). "EMILY's List endorses Duckworth; not waiting for Kelly, Zopp". Chicago Sun-Times. Retrieved April 30, 2015.
  40. ^ Matishak, Martin (April 8, 2015). "VoteVets gets into the 2016 race early". The Hill. Retrieved April 17, 2015.

External Links

Official campaign websites