Cardiff North (UK Parliament constituency): Difference between revisions
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|title= [[United Kingdom general election, 2010|General Election 2010]]: Cardiff North<ref name=electoralcalculus2010>{{cite web|title=Election Data 2010|url=http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2010.txt|publisher=[[Electoral Calculus]]|accessdate=17 October 2015|archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20130726162034/http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2010.txt|archivedate=17 October 2015}}</ref><ref>[http://www.cardiff.gov.uk/content.asp?nav=2867,3597,5426&parent_directory_id=2865&id=7965&pagetype=&keyword= Cardiff North] Cardiff County Council - candidates Cardiff North</ref><ref>[http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/election2010/results/constituency/w11.stm Cardiff North] BBC Election - Cardiff North</ref> |
|title= [[United Kingdom general election, 2010|General Election 2010]]: Cardiff North<ref name=electoralcalculus2010>{{cite web|title=Election Data 2010|url=http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2010.txt|publisher=[[Electoral Calculus]]|accessdate=17 October 2015|archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20130726162034/http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2010.txt|archivedate=17 October 2015}}</ref><ref>[http://www.cardiff.gov.uk/content.asp?nav=2867,3597,5426&parent_directory_id=2865&id=7965&pagetype=&keyword= Cardiff North] {{wayback|url=http://www.cardiff.gov.uk/content.asp?nav=2867,3597,5426&parent_directory_id=2865&id=7965&pagetype=&keyword= |date=20110609151404 }} Cardiff County Council - candidates Cardiff North</ref><ref>[http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/election2010/results/constituency/w11.stm Cardiff North] BBC Election - Cardiff North</ref> |
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Revision as of 02:19, 15 November 2016
51°31′01″N 3°12′11″W / 51.517°N 3.203°W
This article needs additional citations for verification. (December 2009) |
Cardiff North | |
---|---|
Borough constituency for the House of Commons | |
![]() Boundary of Cardiff North in Wales | |
Preserved county | South Glamorgan |
Population | 88,114 (2011 census)[1] |
Electorate | 67,194 (December 2010)[2] |
Current constituency | |
Created | 1950 |
Member of Parliament | Craig Williams (Conservative) |
Seats | One |
Overlaps | |
Senedd | South Wales Central |
Cardiff North (Welsh: Gogledd Caerdydd) is a borough constituency in the city of Cardiff. It returns one Member of Parliament (MP) to the House of Commons of the Parliament of the United Kingdom, elected by the first past the post voting system.
History
This seat is the residential quarter of Wales' capital, over half of northern Cardiff consists of owner-occupied housing, with a higher number of a middle class population than other sections. Historically it has mainly elected Conservative MPs, but with new housing development Welsh Labour has over turned the nominal majority more recently, turning the seat into a national target swing-constituency. By 2004, the Conservatives held a majority of councillors within the district (13, against five Liberal Democrats, three independents and no Labour), but in the following 2005 general election Welsh Labour's Julie Morgan retained the seat but with a reduced majority.
BBC News political editor Nick Robinson profiled the constituency as part of the BBC's build-up to the 2010 general election:[3] saying:
The Tories are hopeful of winning the seat, having topped the Euro poll not just here but in Wales as a whole. They have 13 councillors in this constituency as against Labour's none and the Lib Dems' five - even though in Cardiff as a whole, the Lib Dems control the city council. Labour hopes depend on stressing the independence and hard work of the local MP - Julie (wife of Rhodri) Morgan - and persuading those Lib Dems not to switch to the Tories.
Morgan stood again for Welsh Labour in 2010, whilst the Conservatives chose Jonathan Evans MEP, who had previously been the MP for Brecon and Radnor. Evans won by 194 votes.
In 2015, Labour attempted to take the seat back but new candidate, Craig Williams, took it with a surprising majority of 2,137. Many had expected it to be very close run again.
Boundaries
1950-1974: The County Borough of Cardiff wards of Cathays, Central, Gabalfa, Penylan, and Plasnewydd.
1974-1983: The County Borough of Cardiff wards of Cathays, Central, Penylan, and Plasnewydd.
1983-2010: The City of Cardiff wards of Gabalfa, Heath, Lisvane and St Mellons, Llandaff North, Llanishen, Rhiwbina, and Whitchurch and Tongwynlais.
2010–present: The Cardiff electoral divisions of Gabalfa, Heath, Lisvane, Llandaff North, Llanishen, Pontprennau and Old St Mellons, Rhiwbina, and Whitchurch and Tongwynlais.
Cardiff city centre was in this constituency from its creation in 1950 until 1983, since when it has been in Cardiff Central.
Members of Parliament
Election | Member[4][5] | Party | |
---|---|---|---|
style="background-color: Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | | 1950 | David Llewellyn | Conservative |
style="background-color: Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | | 1959 | Donald Box | Conservative |
style="background-color: Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | | 1966 | Ted Rowlands | Labour |
style="background-color: Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | | 1970 | Michael Roberts | Conservative |
style="background-color: Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | | Feb 1974 | Ian Grist | Conservative |
style="background-color: Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | | 1983 | Gwilym Jones | Conservative |
style="background-color: Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | | 1997 | Julie Morgan | Labour |
style="background-color: Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | | 2010 | Jonathan Evans | Conservative |
style="background-color: Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | | 2015 | Craig Williams | Conservative |
Elections
Elections in the 2010s
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Alun Craig Williams | 21,709 | 42.4 | +4.9 | |
Labour | Mari Williams | 19,572 | 38.3 | +1.2 | |
UKIP | Ethan R Wilkinson | 3,953 | 7.7 | +5.4 | |
Plaid Cymru | Elin Walker Jones | 2,301 | 4.5 | +1.2 | |
Liberal Democrats | Elizabeth Clark | 1,953 | 3.8 | −14.5 | |
Green | Ruth Osner | 1,254 | 2.5 | +1.7 | |
Christian | Jeff Green | 331 | 0.6 | 0.0 | |
Alter Change | Shaun Jenkins | 78 | 0.2 | n/a | |
Majority | 2,137 | 4.2 | +3.8 | ||
Turnout | 51,151 | 76.1 | +3.4 | ||
Conservative hold | Swing | +1.8 |
Going into the 2015 general election, this was the twelfth most marginal constituency in Great Britain, Labour requiring a swing from the Conservatives of 0.2% to take the seat (based on the result of the 2010 general election).[9]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Jonathan Peter Evans | 17,860 | 37.5 | +1.0 | |
Labour | Julie Morgan | 17,666 | 37.1 | −1.9 | |
Liberal Democrats | John Dixon | 8,724 | 18.3 | −0.4 | |
Plaid Cymru | Llywelyn Rhys | 1,588 | 3.3 | −0.9 | |
UKIP | Lawrence Gwynn | 1,130 | 2.4 | +1.2 | |
Green | Christopher von Ruhland | 362 | 0.8 | +0.8 | |
Christian | Derek Thomson | 300 | 0.6 | +0.6 | |
Majority | 194 | 0.4 | |||
Turnout | 47,630 | 72.7 | +2.2 | ||
Conservative gain from Labour | Swing | +1.5 |
Elections in the 2000s
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour | Julie Morgan | 17,707 | 39.0 | −6.9 | |
Conservative | Jonathan Morgan | 16,561 | 36.5 | +4.9 | |
Liberal Democrats | John Dixon | 8,483 | 18.7 | +3.4 | |
Plaid Cymru | John Rowlands | 1,936 | 4.3 | −1.4 | |
UKIP | Don Hulston | 534 | 1.2 | −0.2 | |
Forward Wales | Alison Hobbs | 138 | 0.3 | +0.3 | |
Rainbow Dream Ticket | Catherine Taylor-Dawson | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
Majority | 1,146 | 2.5 | |||
Turnout | 45,360 | 70.5 | +1.5 | ||
Labour hold | Swing | −5.9 |
In the 2005 election, Julie Morgan was re-elected with a reduced majority. Catherine Taylor-Dawson of the Vote For Yourself Rainbow Dream Ticket party scored the lowest result (one vote) of any constituency in this general election.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour | Julie Morgan | 19,845 | 45.9 | −4.6 | |
Conservative | Alastair Watson | 13,680 | 31.6 | −2.0 | |
Liberal Democrats | John Dixon | 6,631 | 15.3 | +4.4 | |
Plaid Cymru | Sion Jobbins | 2,471 | 5.7 | +3.2 | |
UKIP | Don Hulston | 613 | 1.4 | N/A | |
Majority | 6,165 | 14.3 | |||
Turnout | 43,240 | 69.0 | −11.2 | ||
Labour hold | Swing |
Elections in the 1990s
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour | Julie Morgan | 24,460 | 50.4 | +11.5 | |
Conservative | Gwilym Jones | 16,334 | 33.7 | −11.5 | |
Liberal Democrats | Robyn Rowland | 5,294 | 10.9 | −2.7 | |
Plaid Cymru | Colin Palfrey | 1,201 | 2.5 | +0.6 | |
Referendum | Edward J. Litchfield | 1,199 | 2.5 | N/A | |
Majority | 8,126 | 16.8 | |||
Turnout | 48,488 | 80.2 | |||
Labour gain from Conservative | Swing |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Gwilym Jones | 21,547 | 45.1 | −0.1 | |
Labour | Julie Morgan | 18,578 | 38.9 | +12.2 | |
Liberal Democrats | Mrs Eve Warlow | 6,487 | 13.6 | −12.9 | |
Plaid Cymru | Mrs Eluned Mary Bush | 916. | 1.9 | +0.4 | |
BNP | John Howard Morse | 121 | 0.3 | N/A | |
Natural Law | David Leslie Palmer | 86 | 0.2 | N/A | |
Majority | 2,969 | 6.2 | −12.4 | ||
Turnout | 47,735 | 84.1 | +3.1 | ||
Conservative hold | Swing | −6.2 |
Elections in the 1980s
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Gwilym Jones | 20,061 | 45.3 | −1.8 | |
Labour | Stephen Howard Tarbet | 11,827 | 26.7 | +6.7 | |
SDP | Anthony William Jeremy | 11,725 | 26.5 | −4.0 | |
Plaid Cymru | Mrs Eluned Mary Bush | 692 | 1.5 | −0.9 | |
Majority | 8,234 | 18.6 | |||
Turnout | 81.0 | ||||
Conservative hold | Swing |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Gwilym Jones | 19,433 | 47.1 | ||
SDP | Anthony William Jeremy | 12,585 | 30.5 | ||
Labour | Jane Hutt | 8,256 | 20.0 | ||
Plaid Cymru | Dr. Dafydd J.L. Huws | 974 | 2.4 | ||
Majority | 6,848 | 16.60 | |||
Turnout | 77.28 | ||||
Conservative hold | Swing |
Elections in the 1970s
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Ian Grist | 17,181 | 47.31 | ||
Labour | MD Petrou | 13,133 | 36.16 | ||
Liberal | Mike German | 4,921 | 13.55 | ||
Plaid Cymru | OJ Thomas | 1,081 | 2.98 | ||
Majority | 4,048 | 11.15 | |||
Turnout | 75.70 | ||||
Conservative hold | Swing |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Ian Grist | 13,480 | 41.93 | ||
Labour | J Collins | 11,479 | 35.70 | ||
Liberal | Mike German | 5,728 | 17.82 | ||
Plaid Cymru | P Richards | 1,464 | 4.55 | ||
Majority | 2,001 | 6.22 | |||
Turnout | 73.31 | ||||
Conservative hold | Swing |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Ian Grist | 14,659 | 42.88 | ||
Labour | J Collins | 10,806 | 31.61 | ||
Liberal | TAD Thomas | 7,139 | 20.88 | ||
Plaid Cymru | P Richards | 1,586 | 4.64 | ||
Majority | 3,853 | 11.27 | |||
Turnout | 78.58 | ||||
Conservative hold | Swing |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Michael Roberts | 21,983 | 46.95 | ||
Labour | Ted Rowlands | 20,207 | 43.16 | ||
Liberal | HM O'Brien | 2,701 | 5.77 | ||
Plaid Cymru | BM Edwards | 1,927 | 4.12 | ||
Majority | 1,776 | 3.79 | |||
Turnout | 76.58 | ||||
Conservative gain from Labour | Swing |
Elections in the 1960s
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour | Ted Rowlands | 23,669 | 50.72 | ||
Conservative | Donald Box | 22,997 | 49.28 | ||
Majority | 672 | 1.44 | |||
Turnout | 78.97 | ||||
Labour gain from Conservative | Swing |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Donald Box | 21,837 | 44.64 | ||
Labour | JA Reynolds | 18,215 | 37.24 | ||
Liberal | DG Rees | 7,806 | 15.96 | ||
Plaid Cymru | EP Roberts | 1,058 | 2.16 | ||
Majority | 3,622 | 7.40 | |||
Turnout | 80.68 | ||||
Conservative hold | Swing |
Elections in the 1950s
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Donald Box | 28,737 | 57.76 | ||
Labour | GS Viner | 18,054 | 36.29 | ||
Plaid Cymru | EP Roberts | 2,553 | 5.13 | ||
Independent | SG Worth | 408 | 0.82 | ||
Majority | 10,683 | 21.47 | |||
Turnout | 82.94 | ||||
Conservative hold | Swing |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | David Llewellyn | 29,409 | 59.25 | ||
Labour | Leo Abse | 20,224 | 40.75 | ||
Majority | 9,185 | 18.51 | |||
Turnout | 80.90 | ||||
Conservative hold | Swing |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | David Llewellyn | 29,408 | 56.55 | ||
Labour | J Evans | 22,600 | 43.45 | ||
Majority | 6,808 | 13.09 | |||
Turnout | 85.59 | ||||
Conservative hold | Swing |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | David Llewellyn | 23,988 | 46.96 | ||
Labour | W Howlett | 21,081 | 41.27 | ||
Liberal | DA Jones | 6,017 | 11.78 | ||
Majority | 2,907 | 5.69 | |||
Turnout | 84.38 | ||||
Conservative hold | Swing |
See also
- Cardiff North (Assembly constituency)
- List of Parliamentary constituencies in South Glamorgan
- Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election in individual constituencies
Notes and references
- ^ "Cardiff North: Usual Resident Population, 2011". Neighbourhood Statistics. Office for National Statistics. Retrieved 20 February 2015.
- ^ "Beyond 20/20 WDS - Table view". 2011 Electorate Figures. StatsWales. 1 December 2010. Retrieved 13 March 2011.
- ^ Nick Robinson's Newslog "Taking The Pulse: Cardiff"
- ^ "Cardiff North 1950-". Hansard 1803-2005. UK Parliament. Retrieved 2 February 2015.
- ^ Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "C" (part 2)
- ^ "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
- ^ "Cardiff North result". Election results for Cardiff North. City of Cardiff Council. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- ^ "Cardiff North Parliamentary constituency". Election 2015. BBC News. Retrieved 5 May 2015.
- ^ Ransome Mpini; Charlotte Thornton; John Walton; Marcelo Zanni (24 February 2014). "Election 2015: The political battleground". BBC News. Retrieved 29 January 2015.
- ^ "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
{{cite web}}
:|archive-date=
/|archive-url=
timestamp mismatch; 26 July 2013 suggested (help) - ^ Cardiff North Template:Wayback Cardiff County Council - candidates Cardiff North
- ^ Cardiff North BBC Election - Cardiff North
- ^ "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- ^ "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- ^ "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- ^ "Election Data 1992". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- ^ "Politics Resources". Election 1992. Politics Resources. 9 April 1992. Retrieved 2010-12-06.
- ^ "Election Data 1987". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- ^ "Election Data 1983". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
External links
- nomis Constituency Profile for Cardiff North — presenting data from the ONS annual population survey and other official statistics.