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1996 Australian federal election

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Australian federal election, 1996

← 1993 2 March 1996 (1996-03-02) 1998 →

All 148 seats in the Australian House of Representatives
75 seats were needed for a majority in the House
40 (of the 76) seats in the Australian Senate
  First party Second party
 
Leader John Howard Paul Keating
Party Liberal/National coalition Labor
Leader since 30 January 1995 (1995-01-30) 19 December 1991 (1991-12-19)
Leader's seat Bennelong Blaxland
Last election 65 seats 80 seats
Seats won 94 seats 49 seats
Seat change Increase29 Decrease31
Popular vote 5,810,546 5,024,327
Percentage 53.63% 46.37%
Swing Increase5.07 Decrease5.07

Prime Minister before election

Paul Keating
Labor

Elected Prime Minister

John Howard
Liberal/National coalition

Federal elections were held in Australia on 2 March 1996. All 148 seats in the House of Representatives and 40 seats in the 76-member Senate were up for election. The incumbent Australian Labor Party, in government for 5 terms totaling 13 years, led by Bob Hawke (1983–1991) and Paul Keating (1991–1996), was defeated by the opposition Liberal Party of Australia led by John Howard and Coalition partner the National Party of Australia led by Tim Fischer.

Results

Template:Australian House of Representatives results, 1996

Popular Vote
Labor
38.75%
Liberal
38.69%
National
8.21%
Democrats
6.76%
Greens
1.74%
CLP
0.35%
Independents
2.27%
Other
3.23%
Two Party Preferred Vote
Coalition
53.63%
Labor
46.37%
Parliament Seats
Coalition
63.51%
Labor
33.11%
Independents
3.38%

Template:Australian Senate results, 1996

House of Reps preference flows

  • The Democrats contested 138 electorates with preferences slightly favouring Labor (54.02%)
  • The Greens contested 102 electorates with preferences favouring Labor (67.10%)

Seats changing hands

Seat Pre-1996 Swing Post-1996
Party Member Margin Margin Member Party
Bass, Tas Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Silvia Smith 0.03 4.60 4.57 Warwick Smith Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Bowman, Qld Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Hon Con Sciacca 8.14 9.03 0.89 Andrea West Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Calare, NSW Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor David Simmons N/A N/A 13.32 Peter Andren Independent Template:Australian politics/party colours/Independent
Canberra, ACT Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal Liberal Brendan Smyth 6.58 14.1 7.52 Bob McMullan Labor Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor
Canning, WA Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Hon George Gear 0.19 0.88 0.69 Ricky Johnston Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Capricornia, Qld Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Marjorie Henzell 2.78 6.40 3.62 Paul Marek National Template:Australian politics/party colours/Nationals
Curtin, WA Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal Liberal Allan Rocher N/A N/A 7.28 Allan Rocher Independent Template:Australian politics/party colours/Independent
Dickson, Qld Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Hon Michael Lavarch 2.55 5.72 3.17 Tony Smith Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Eden-Monaro, NSW Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Jim Snow 4.27 9.03 4.76 Gary Nairn Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Gilmore, NSW Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Peter Knott 0.45 6.69 6.24 Joanna Gash Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Griffith, Qld Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Ben Humphreys 5.90 7.37 1.47 Graeme McDougall Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Herbert, Qld Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Hon Ted Lindsay 3.31 9.90 6.59 Peter Lindsay Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Hughes, NSW Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Hon Robert Tickner 6.42 11.31 4.89 Danna Vale Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Kalgoorlie, WA Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Graeme Campbell N/A N/A 10.35 Graeme Campbell Independent Template:Australian politics/party colours/Independent
Kingston, SA Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Gordon Bilney 1.45 3.46 2.01 Susan Jeanes Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Leichhardt, Qld Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Peter Dodd 1.33 5.51 4.18 Warren Entsch Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Lilley, Qld Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Wayne Swan 6.18 6.91 0.73 Elizabeth Grace Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Lindsay, NSW Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Ross Free 10.22 11.80 1.58 Jackie Kelly Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Lowe, NSW Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Mary Easson 5.01 7.48 2.47 Paul Zammit Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Macarthur, NSW Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Chris Haviland 1.28 11.97 10.69 John Fahey Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Macquarie, NSW Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Maggie Deahm 0.12 6.48 6.36 Kerry Bartlett Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Makin, SA Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Peter Duncan 3.71 4.79 1.08 Trish Draper Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
McEwen, Vic Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Peter Cleeland 0.69 1.50 2.19 Fran Bailey Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
McMillan, Vic Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Barry Cunningham 0.53 2.60 2.07 Russell Broadbent Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Moore, WA Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal Liberal Paul Filing N/A N/A 15.48 Paul Filing Independent Template:Australian politics/party colours/Independent
Moreton, Qld Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Garrie Gibson 0.21 5.30 5.09 Gary Hardgrave Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Murray, Vic Template:Australian politics/party colours/Nationals National Bruce Lloyd N/A N/A 3.70* Sharman Stone Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
North Sydney, NSW Template:Australian politics/party colours/Independent Independent Ted Mack 1.8 17.4 15.6 Joe Hockey Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Northern Territory, NT Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Warren Snowdon 5.31 5.68 0.37 Nick Dondas Country Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/CLP
Oxley, Qld Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Les Scott 14.65 19.31** 4.66 Pauline Hanson Independent Template:Australian politics/party colours/Independent
Page, NSW Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Harry Woods 0.13 4.44 4.31 Ian Causley National Template:Australian politics/party colours/Nationals
Parramatta, NSW Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Paul Elliott 3.24 7.11 3.87 Ross Cameron Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Paterson, NSW Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Bob Horne 3.30 3.73 0.43 Bob Baldwin Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Petrie, Qld Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Gary Johns 2.15 9.85 7.70 Teresa Gambaro Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Richmond, NSW Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Neville Newell 1.78 8.53 6.75 Larry Anthony National Template:Australian politics/party colours/Nationals
Robertson, NSW Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Frank Walker 5.56 9.12 3.56 Jim Lloyd Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Swan, WA Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor Labor Kim Beazley 0.22 3.93 3.71 Don Randall Liberal Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal
Wills, Vic Template:Australian politics/party colours/Independent Independent Phil Cleary n/a 4.37 n/a Kelvin Thomson Labor Template:Australian politics/party colours/Labor
  • *Figure is Liberal against Nationals.
  • **Figure is a swing compared to Liberal vote at the last election.

Background

Overall the coalition won 29 seats from Labor while the ALP won 4 seats from the Liberals. These 4 seats were Canberra and Namadgi in the ACT and Isaacs in Victoria and the Division of Bruce in Victoria. The ACT seats fell to Labor due to a strong return to the ALP in a traditional Labor town by public servants fearing conservative cuts. The division of Brendan Smyth's seat of Canberra into the two new (of the three) ACT seats limited his campaign to the southernmost Tuggeranong seat of Namadgi where the ACT Labor right wing stood former MLA Annette Ellis who ran a tight grassroots campaign. Isaacs fell to Labor due to demographic changes due to a redistribution of electoral boundaries.

The Gallagher Index result: 11.14

John Howard, who had previously led the Liberal Party from 1985 to 1989, had returned to the leadership in January 1995 following a disastrous 8 months under the leadership of Alexander Downer. Downer and Peter Costello had succeeded Dr. John Hewson and Michael Wooldridge early in 1994 and were touted as the leaders of the new-generation Liberals. In the end, the party opted for the seasoned Howard, perhaps an acknowledgment that he was the only one left standing after a decade of party infighting.

Howard approached the campaign with a determination to present as small a target as possible. Throughout 1995, he refused to detail specific policy proposals, focusing the Coalition's attacks mainly on the longevity and governing record of the Labor government. By 1996, however, it was clear that the electorate had tired of Labor and Paul Keating in particular. "The recession we had to have" line resonated with deadly force throughout the electorate. Although Keating's big picture approach to republicanism, reconciliation and engagement with Asia galvanised support within Labor's urban constituencies, Howard was able to attract support amongst disaffected mainstream Australians – including traditionally Labor-voting blue collar workers and middle class suburban residents. He also promised to retain Medicare and hold a constitutional convention to decide whether Australia would become a republic.

The election-eve Newspoll reported the Liberal/National Coalition on a 53.5 percent two-party-preferred vote.[1]

Labor lost five percent of its two-party vote from 1993, and tallied its lowest primary vote since 1934 (an additional eight percent coming from preferences). While the swing against Labor was not in and of itself a large one, Labor lost 13 of its 33 seats in New South Wales, and all but two of its 13 seats in Queensland. The 29-seat swing was the second-largest defeat, in terms of seats lost, by a sitting government in Australia. Three members of Keating's government—all outside Cabinet—lost their seats. Keating resigned as Labor leader on the night of the election, and was succeeded by former Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Kim Beazley.

Due in part to this large swing, Howard entered office with a 45-seat majority, the second-largest in Australian history (behind only the 55-seat majority won by Malcolm Fraser in 1975). The Liberals actually won a majority in their own right at this election with 75 seats, the most the party had ever won. Although Howard had no need for the support of the Nationals, the Coalition was retained.

See also

References