Bristol North West (UK Parliament constituency)

Bristol North West
Bristol North West
Borough constituency; for the House of Commons
	Boundary of Bristol North West in Avon for the 2010 general election
	Location of Avon within England
County	Bristol
Population	100,809 (2011 UK Census)
Electorate	73,920 (December 2010)
Current constituency
Created	1950
Member of Parliament	Darren Jones (Labour)
Seats	One
Created from	Bristol West and Thornbury

Bristol North West is a constituency^{[n 1]} to the north and north-west of Bristol city centre represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 2017 by Darren Jones of the Labour Party.^{[n 2]}

Save for two elections in 1974 and one in 1964 when the seat leant to the right bucking the national result, the affiliation of the winning candidate was that of the winning party nationally for the years 1959-2017 – a bellwether. Bristol North West is one of all four Bristol City seats won (held or gained) by a Labour candidate in 2017 and whose boundaries are nominally considered periodically for review as four of 13 local potential cross-local-authority boundary review areas, which being for a defunct county, Avon, is eschewed by the commission's own rules. Jones' 2017 win was one of 30 net gains of the Labour Party. The forthcoming Boundary Review has no intention of considering Bristol alongside Avon or Gloucestershire though it is expected to be depicted as such cartographically to present a rural and urban balance.

Constituency profile and history

Party positions altered completely in 2010 with the Liberal Democrat candidate, Paul Harrod achieving second place with a slightly larger one party swing, of 11.4%, than winning candidate Charlotte Leslie and saw a fresh Labour Party candidate suffer a large decrease in percentage of the Labour vote of 20.8%.^{[n 3]} This changed in 2015 with the Conservatives winning the seat with an increased majority of 9.5%, and Labour moving back into second place. In the snap 2017 general election, the seat was lost to the Labour party on a swing of 9%.^[3]

The 2017 win was a surprise to the successful Labour candidate Darren Jones. He attributes his win to three factors: Corbyn and a good Labour manifesto, the youth vote, and Europe (the constituency had voted 61% remain).^[4]

Boundaries

1950-1955: The County Borough of Bristol wards of Avon, Durdham, Horfield, and Westbury-on-Trym.

1955-1983: The County Borough of Bristol wards of Avon, Henbury, Horfield, Southmead, and Westbury-on-Trym.

1983-1997: The City of Bristol wards of Avonmouth, Henbury, Horfield, Kingsweston, Lockleaze, Southmead, and Westbury-on-Trym, and the District of Northavon wards of Filton Charborough, Filton Conygre, Filton Northville, Stoke Gifford North, and Stoke Gifford South.

1997-2010: The City of Bristol wards of Avonmouth, Henbury, Horfield, Kingsweston, Lockleaze, and Southmead, and the District of Northavon wards of Filton Charborough, Filton Conygre, Filton Northville, Patchway Callicroft, Patchway Coniston, Patchway Stoke Lodge, Stoke Gifford North, and Stoke Gifford South.

2010-present: The City of Bristol wards of Avonmouth, Henbury, Henleaze, Horfield, Kingsweston, Lockleaze, Southmead, Stoke Bishop, and Westbury-on-Trym.

The Bristol Channel islands of Flat Holm and Steep Holm are also part of this constituency, but currently neither islands have any inhabitants.^[5]

Following the review by the Boundary Commission for England into parliamentary representation in the former county of Avon Somerset and Gloucestershire the constituency had boundary changes at the 2010 general election.^[6] In particular, the constituency is now wholly contained within the City of Bristol: the areas of Filton, Patchway, Stoke Gifford, Bradley Stoke and Aztec West which are in the South Gloucestershire district were transferred to a new Filton and Bradley Stoke constituency. At the same time, the areas of Stoke Bishop, Henleaze and Westbury-on-Trym were gained from Bristol West.

Members of Parliament

Election		Member^[7]	Party
style="background-color: Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" \|	1950	Gurney Braithwaite	Conservative
style="background-color: Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" \|	1955	Christopher Boyd	Labour
style="background-color: Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" \|	1959	Martin McLaren	Conservative
style="background-color: Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" \|	1966	John Ellis	Labour
style="background-color: Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" \|	1970	Martin McLaren	Conservative
style="background-color: Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" \|	Oct 1974	Ronald Thomas	Labour
style="background-color: Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" \|	1979	Michael Colvin	Conservative
style="background-color: Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" \|	1983	Michael Stern	Conservative
style="background-color: Template:Labour Co-operative/meta/color" \|	1997	Doug Naysmith	Labour
style="background-color: Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" \|	2010	Charlotte Leslie	Conservative
style="background-color: Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" \|	2017	Darren Jones	Labour

Elections

Elections in the 2010s

General Election 2017: Bristol North West ^[8]^[9]^[10]^[11]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Darren Jones	27,400	50.7	+16.2
	Conservative	Charlotte Leslie	22,639	41.8	−2.1
	Liberal Democrats	Celia Downie	2,814	5.2	−1.0
	Green	Sharmila Bousa	1,243	2.3	−3.4
Majority			4,761	8.9	N/A
Turnout			54,096	71.7	+4.1
	Labour gain from Conservative		Swing	+9.2

General Election 2015: Bristol North West^[12]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Charlotte Leslie	22,767	43.9	+6.0
	Labour	Darren Jones	17,823	34.4	+8.5
	UKIP	Michael Frost	4,889	9.4	+7.1
	Liberal Democrats	Clare Campion-Smith	3,214	6.2	−25.3
	Green	Justin Quinnell	2,952	5.7	+4.7
	TUSC	Anne Lemon	160	0.3	N/A
Majority			4,944	9.5	+6.0
Turnout			51,805	67.6	−0.9
	Conservative hold		Swing	-1.3

General Election 2010: Bristol North West^[13]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Charlotte Leslie	19,115	38.0	+5.5
	Liberal Democrats	Paul Harrod	15,841	31.5	+6.6
	Labour	Sam Townend	13,059	25.9	−12.2
	UKIP	Robert Upton	1,175	2.3	+0.7
	English Democrat	Ray Carr	635	1.3	−0.4
	Green	Alex Dunn	511	1.0	+1.0
Majority			3,274	6.5	N/A
Turnout			50,336	68.5	−0.3
	Conservative gain from Labour		Swing	15.45^{[n 4]}

Elections in the 2000s

General Election 2005: Bristol North West^[14]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labour Co-op	Doug Naysmith	22,192	46.7	−5.4
	Conservative	Alastair Watson	13,230	27.9	−0.8
	Liberal Democrats	Bob Hoyle	9,545	20.1	+4.2
	UKIP	Christopher Lees	1,132	2.4	−0.1
	English Democrat	Michael Blundell	828	1.7	N/A
	Socialist Alternative	Graeme Jones	565	1.2	N/A
Majority			8,962	18.8	−4.5
Turnout			47,492	61.1	+0.7
	Labour Co-op hold		Swing	−2.3

General Election 2001: Bristol North West^[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labour Co-op	Doug Naysmith	24,236	52.1	+2.2
	Conservative	Charles Hansard	13,349	28.7	−0.6
	Liberal Democrats	Peter Tyzack	7,387	15.9	+2.7
	UKIP	Diane Carr	1,140	2.5	N/A
	Socialist Labour	Vince Horrigan	371	0.8	−0.1
Majority			10,887	23.4	+2.8
Turnout			46,483	60.4	−15.1
	Labour Co-op hold		Swing	+1.4

Elections in the 1990s

General Election 1997: Bristol North West^[16]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labour Co-op	Doug Naysmith	27,575	49.9	+7.6
	Conservative	Michael Stern	16,193	29.3	−13.0
	Liberal Democrats	Ian Parry	7,263	13.2	−1.0
	Independent Labour	Charles Horton	1,718	3.1	N/A
	Referendum	John Quintanillia	1,609	2.9	N/A
	Socialist Labour	Giles Shorter	482	0.9	N/A
	BNP	Stephen Parnell	265	0.5	N/A
	Natural Law	Thomas Leighton	140	0.3	N/A
Majority			11,382	20.6	N/A
Turnout			55,245	73.7
	Labour Co-op gain from Conservative		Swing	10.3

General Election 1992: Bristol North West^[17]^[18]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Michael Stern	25,354	42.3	−4.3
	Labour Co-op	Doug Naysmith	25,309	42.3	+7.7
	Liberal Democrats	John D. Taylor	8,498	14.2	−4.6
	Independent Ind SD	Hilary S. Long	729	1.2	N/A
Majority			45	0.1	−11.9
Turnout			59,890	82.3	+2.9
	Conservative hold		Swing	−6.0

Elections in the 1980s

General Election 1987: Bristol North West^[19]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Conservative	Michael Stern	26,953	46.6
	Labour	Terence Walker	20,001	34.6
	SDP	John Kirkcaldy	10,885	18.8
Majority			6,952	12.0
Turnout				79.4
	Conservative hold		Swing	+2.7^{[n 5]}

General Election 1983: Bristol North West^[20]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Conservative	Michael Stern	24,617	43.9
	Labour Co-op	Sarah R. Palmer	18,290	32.6
	SDP	Hilary S. Long	13,228	23.6
Majority			6,327	11.3
Turnout				76.9
	Conservative hold		Swing	-8.65^{[n 6]}

Elections in the 1970s

General Election 1979: Bristol North West
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Michael Colvin	25,915	48.6	+7.7
	Labour	Ronald Thomas	21,238	39.8	−2.3
	Liberal	G.A. Davis	5,857	11.0	−6.0
	National Front	P.M. Kingston	264	0.5	+0.5
	Campaign for a More Prosperous Britain	T.L. Keen	73	0.1	+0.1
Majority			4,677	8.8	N/A
Turnout				81.3
	Conservative gain from Labour		Swing	5.0

General Election October 1974: Bristol North West
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Ronald Thomas	22,156	42.1	+3.5
	Conservative	Martin McLaren	21,523	40.9	+1.1
	Liberal	E. David	8,914	17.0	−3.9
Majority			633	1.2	N/A
Turnout				79.3
	Labour gain from Conservative		Swing	2.3

General Election February 1974: Bristol North West
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Martin McLaren	21,569	39.8	−7.8
	Labour	Ronald Thomas	20,919	38.6	−6.9
	Liberal	E. David	11,312	20.9	+14.4
	Independent	T.E. Wetherall	440	0.8	+0.8
Majority			650	1.2
Turnout				82.5
	Conservative hold		Swing	-0.9

General Election 1970: Bristol North West
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Martin McLaren	24,124	47.6	−1.1
	Labour	John Ellis	23,075	45.5	−4.6
	Liberal	H.J. Stevens	3,299	6.5	+6.5
	Communist	W.E. Williams	227	0.5	−.7
Majority			1,049	2.1	N/A
Turnout				78.0
	Conservative gain from Labour		Swing	1.75

Elections in the 1960s

General Election 1966: Bristol North West
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	John Ellis	24,195	50.1	+7.2
	Conservative	Martin McLaren	23,526	48.7	+3.6
	Communist	B. Underwood	595	1.2	+1.2
Majority			669	1.4	N/A
Turnout				82.0
	Labour gain from Conservative		Swing	1.8^{[n 7]}

General Election 1964: Bristol North West
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Martin McLaren	22,129	45.1	−6.9
	Labour	David Watkins	21,030	42.9	−5.1
	Liberal	T.G. Douglas	5,883	12.0	+12.0
Majority			1,099	2.2
Turnout				83.1
	Conservative hold		Swing	-0.9

Elections in the 1950s

General Election 1959: Bristol North West
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Martin McLaren	24,938	52.0	+3.9
	Labour	Christopher Boyd	23,019	48.0	−3.9
Majority			1,919	4.0	N/A
Turnout				82.9
	Conservative gain from Labour		Swing	3.9

General Election 1955: Bristol North West
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Christopher Boyd	22,950	51.9	+5.5
	Conservative	Gurney Braithwaite	21,295	48.1	−5.5
Majority			1,655	3.8	N/A
Turnout				79.1
	Labour gain from Conservative		Swing	5.5

General Election 1951: Bristol North West^[21]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Gurney Braithwaite	28,394	53.6	+5.9
	Labour	Claud Morris	24,553	46.4	+3.7
Majority			3,841	7.2
Turnout				86.1
	Conservative hold		Swing	2.2^{[n 8]}

General Election 1950: Bristol North West^[22]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Gurney Braithwaite	23,884	47.7	*N/A*
	Labour	Claud Morris	21,394	42.7	N/A
	Liberal	Florence Mary Pugh	4,784	9.6	N/A
Majority			2,490	5.0	N/A
Turnout				85.1	N/A
	Conservative win (new seat)

Constituency created 1950 from parts of Bristol West and Thornbury constituencies

Notes

^ A borough constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)
^ As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.
^ This was one of the largest negative one-party swings for a Labour candidate nationally in 2010.
^ Labour to Conservative: for Others to Conservative the swing was 10.1%
^ Others to Conservative; Labour to Conservative swing was 0.7%
^ Conservative to Liberal/SDP. Labour to Conservative: 2.5%
^ 4.6% swing Others to Labour
^ Others to Conservative swing: 5.9%

References

^ "Bristol North West: Usual Resident Population, 2011". Neighbourhood Statistics. Office for National Statistics. Retrieved 3 February 2015.
^ "Electorate Figures – Boundary Commission for England". 2011 Electorate Figures. Boundary Commission for England. 4 March 2011. Archived from the original on 6 November 2010. Retrieved 13 March 2011. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
^ "Bristol North West - 2017 Result". BBC News. Retrieved 12 June 2017.
^ "Bristol North West: the bellwether seat where 'the Tories didn't turn up'". The Guardian. 30 June 2017. ISSN 0261-3077 – via The Guardian.
^ "Working with boundaries in our Web services | Business and government | Ordnance Survey". www.ordnancesurvey.co.uk. Retrieved 2016-11-30.
^ "Parliamentary Constituencies in Bath and North East Somerset, Bristol, and South Gloucestershire" (PDF). Boundary Commission for England. 20 June 2001. Archived from the original (PDF) on 21 February 2010. Retrieved 1 October 2010. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |dead-url= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
^ "Bristol North West 1950-". Hansard 1803–2005. UK Parliament. Retrieved 2 February 2015.
^ Ashcroft, Esme (18 April 2017). "Bristol's four MPs will all be defending their seats in the general election".
^ "Green MEP to stand for Bristol West in general election".
^ "General Election candidates revealed – News – Bristol 24/7". 11 May 2017.
^ "BBC Election Results". 9 June 2017. Retrieved 9 June 2017.
^ "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
^ "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
^ "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
^ "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
^ "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
^ "Election Data 1992". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
^ "Politics Resources". Election 1992. Politics Resources. 9 April 1992. Retrieved 6 December 2010.
^ "Election Data 1987". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
^ "Election Data 1983". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
^ The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1951.
^ The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1950.

External links

nomis Constituency Profile for Bristol North West — presenting data from the ONS annual population survey and other official statistics.

51°30′10″N 2°37′04″W / 51.50286°N 2.61783°W / 51.50286; -2.61783

[3] A borough constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)

[4] As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.

[5] This was one of the largest negative one-party swings for a Labour candidate nationally in 2010.

[17] Labour to Conservative: for Others to Conservative the swing was 10.1%

[24] Others to Conservative; Labour to Conservative swing was 0.7%

[26] Conservative to Liberal/SDP. Labour to Conservative: 2.5%

[27] 4.6% swing Others to Labour

[29] Others to Conservative swing: 5.9%

[1] "Bristol North West: Usual Resident Population, 2011". Neighbourhood Statistics. Office for National Statistics. Retrieved 3 February 2015.

[2] "Electorate Figures – Boundary Commission for England". 2011 Electorate Figures. Boundary Commission for England. 4 March 2011. Archived from the original on 6 November 2010. Retrieved 13 March 2011. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)

[6] "Bristol North West - 2017 Result". BBC News. Retrieved 12 June 2017.

[7] "Bristol North West: the bellwether seat where 'the Tories didn't turn up'". The Guardian. 30 June 2017. ISSN 0261-3077 – via The Guardian.

[8] "Working with boundaries in our Web services | Business and government | Ordnance Survey". www.ordnancesurvey.co.uk. Retrieved 2016-11-30.

[BCE-9] "Parliamentary Constituencies in Bath and North East Somerset, Bristol, and South Gloucestershire" (PDF). Boundary Commission for England. 20 June 2001. Archived from the original (PDF) on 21 February 2010. Retrieved 1 October 2010. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |dead-url= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)

[10] "Bristol North West 1950-". Hansard 1803–2005. UK Parliament. Retrieved 2 February 2015.

[11] Ashcroft, Esme (18 April 2017). "Bristol's four MPs will all be defending their seats in the general election".

[12] "Green MEP to stand for Bristol West in general election".

[13] "General Election candidates revealed – News – Bristol 24/7". 11 May 2017.

[14] "BBC Election Results". 9 June 2017. Retrieved 9 June 2017.

[electoralcalculus-15] "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.

[electoralcalculus2010-16] "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.

[electoralcalculus2005-18] "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.

[electoralcalculus2001-19] "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.

[electoralcalculus1997-20] "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.

[electoralcalculus1992-21] "Election Data 1992". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.

[22] "Politics Resources". Election 1992. Politics Resources. 9 April 1992. Retrieved 6 December 2010.

[electoralcalculus1987-23] "Election Data 1987". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.

[electoralcalculus1983-25] "Election Data 1983". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.

[28] The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1951.

[30] The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1950.

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v t e Constituencies in South West England (58)
Labour (24)	Bournemouth East Bournemouth West Bristol East Bristol North East Bristol North West Bristol South Camborne and Redruth Exeter Filton and Bradley Stoke Forest of Dean Gloucester North East Somerset and Hanham North Somerset Plymouth Moor View Plymouth Sutton and Devonport Poole South Dorset South East Cornwall St Austell and Newquay Stroud Swindon North Swindon South Truro and Falmouth Weston-super-Mare
Liberal Democrats (22)	Bath Cheltenham Chippenham Frome and East Somerset Glastonbury and Somerton Honiton and Sidmouth Melksham and Devizes Mid Dorset and North Poole Newton Abbot North Cornwall North Devon South Cotswolds South Devon St Ives Taunton and Wellington Tewkesbury Thornbury and Yate Tiverton and Minehead Torbay Wells and Mendip Hills West Dorset Yeovil
Conservative (11)	Bridgwater Central Devon Christchurch East Wiltshire Exmouth and Exeter East North Cotswolds North Dorset Salisbury South West Devon South West Wiltshire Torridge and Tavistock
Green (1)	Bristol Central