2018 United States Senate election in Michigan
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Elections in Michigan |
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The 2018 United States Senate election in Michigan will take place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a Class 1 member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Michigan. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Debbie Stabenow is running for re-election to a fourth term.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Craig Allen Smith[1]
- Debbie Stabenow, incumbent U.S. Senator[2][3][4]
Endorsements
Debbie Stabenow
- Organizations
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Bob Carr, historic preservationist, businessman, and nominee for MI-01 in 1996[6]
- John E. James, businessman and Iraq veteran[7]
- Sandy Pensler, businessman[8]
- Robert P. Young Jr., former Chief Justice of the Michigan Supreme Court[9]
Potential
- Justin Amash, U.S. Representative[2][10]
- Tom Barrett, State Representative[11]
- Mike Bouchard, Oakland County Sheriff, former State Senator and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2006[2]
- Rick Jones, State Senator[11]
- Ronna Romney McDaniel, Chairwoman of the Republican National Committee[2]
- Candice Miller, Macomb County Public Works Commissioner and former U.S. Representative[2]
- Randy Richardville, former Majority Leader of the Michigan Senate[12]
- Mike Rogers, former U.S. Representative[2]
Declined
- John Engler, former Governor[13]
- Ted Nugent, musician and political activist (endorsed Young)[14]
- Robert Ritchie, better known as musician Kid Rock[15]
- Bill Schuette, Michigan Attorney General, former U.S. Representative and nominee for U.S. Senate in 1990 (running for Governor)[16]
- Fred Upton, U.S. Representative[17]
Withdrew
Endorsements
John James
- U.S. Senators
- Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator (R-FL)[19]
- U.S. Representatives
- Mike Bishop, U.S. Representative (R-MI 8)[20]
- Paul Mitchell, U.S. Representative (R-MI 10)[21]
- Former U.S. Military Personnel
- Robert O'Neill, former U.S. Navy SEAL[22]
Bob Young Jr.
- Notable Figures
- Ted Nugent, American Singer/Songwriter[23]
- John Engler, Former Governor
- Peter F. Secchia, Former Ambassador to Italy
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John James |
Sandy Pensler |
Fred Upton |
Robert Young |
Undecided |
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Strategic National (R) | December 16–17, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 9% | 5% | – | 11% | 75% |
MIRS/Target Insight[24] | November 1–6, 2017 | 1,000 | – | 24% | – | 19% | 7% | – |
Hypothetical polling | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Third party and independent candidates
Green party
Withdrew
Independent
Declared
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[31] | Likely D | December 15, 2017 |
Rothenberg Political Report[32] | Solid D | December 13, 2017 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] | Likely D | December 13, 2017 |
Polling
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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References
- ^ Democrats target the wrong Rep. Upton
- ^ a b c d e f Demas, Susan J. (October 2, 2015). "Susan J. Demas: Can Republicans finally knock off Debbie Stabenow in 2018?". MLive.com. Retrieved November 20, 2016.
- ^ Everett, Burgess (November 17, 2016). "Reeling Democrats confront brutal 2018 Senate map". Politico. Retrieved November 20, 2016.
- ^ Oosting, Jonathan (February 11, 2017). "Michigan Democrats promise 'fight' at record convention". The Detroit News. Retrieved February 13, 2017.
- ^ "EMILY's List Endorses Nine Democratic Women Senators for Re-Election in 2018". EMILY's List. February 10, 2017. Retrieved February 13, 2017.
- ^ Boothe, Daniel. "Michigan Historic Preservationist Bob Carr announces candidacy for US Senate". Retrieved 2017-10-24.
- ^ http://www.freep.com/story/news/local/michigan/2017/09/21/john-james-u-s-senate-debbie-stabenow/689425001/
- ^ http://www.mlive.com/news/index.ssf/2017/11/businessman_sandy_pensler_anno.html
- ^ Gibbons, Lauren (June 20, 2017). "Former state Supreme Court Justice Robert Young says he plans to run for U.S. Senate". MLive.com. Retrieved June 23, 2017.
- ^ Gehrke, Joel (August 7, 2014). "Tea-Party Power Endures". National Review. Retrieved November 20, 2016.
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(help) - ^ a b Hall, Brandon (February 13, 2017). "Kid Rock Vs. Debbie Stabenow? (And 8 Other Possible Republican U.S. Senate Candidates)". West Michigan Politics. Retrieved February 28, 2017.
- ^ Paul Egan (February 11, 2017). "Kid Rock for U.S. Senate? Unlikely candidate is favored by a GOP official". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved February 13, 2017.
- ^ Gray, Kathleen (February 19, 2017). "Michigan GOP sees opening for U.S. Senate bid in 2018". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved February 21, 2017.
- ^ http://ultimateclassicrock.com/ted-nugent-us-senate/
- ^ McCollum, Brian (October 24, 2017). "Kid Rock: Of course I'm not running for Senate". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved October 24, 2017.
- ^ Nann Burke, Melissa (February 1, 2017). "Rep. Upton considers challenge to Sen. Stabenow". The Detroit News. Retrieved February 7, 2017.
- ^ http://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2017/11/17/upton-senate-run/107772192/
- ^ http://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2017/09/18/rocky-raczkowski-running-us-house-trott/105751530/
- ^ https://johnjamesforsenate.com/rubio-endorsement/
- ^ https://johnjamesforsenate.com/bishop_endorsement-112017
- ^ https://johnjamesforsenate.com/rep-paul-mitchell/
- ^ https://johnjamesforsenate.com/oneill-endorsement/
- ^ https://www.facebook.com/BobYoungForSenate/videos/185935261970440/
- ^ "Morning Digest: Top Republicans call on Roy Moore to quit Senate race as new allegations mount". Daily Kos Elections. November 14, 2017. Retrieved November 14, 2017.
- ^ http://mailchi.mp/b6b0308a21c2/new-mi-senate-poll-kid-rock-leads?e=9941a03e2e
- ^ http://www.latimes.com/nation/la-na-pol-kid-rock-senate-20170728-story.html
- ^ http://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2017/07/31/poll-kid-rock-trails-stabenow/104176822/
- ^ Cwiek, Sarah (August 31, 2017). "Green Party candidates jump in race for Michigan governor, U.S. Senator". Michigan Radio. Retrieved October 27, 2017.
- ^ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IceTLzaPQds&feature=youtu.be
- ^ http://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2017/05/18/politcal-insider/101815922/
- ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ^ https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/Rosetta_Stone_-_Mitchell_Poll_Kid_Rock_v_Stabenow_Press_Release_10-4-17_A.pdf
- ^ Zogby. "Zogby Analytics - Zogby Analytics in the News - September 19, 2017". zogbyanalytics.com. Retrieved 2017-09-25.
- ^ http://mrgmi.com/2017/09/stabenow-is-beating-kid-rock-by-18-percent/
- ^ http://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2017/07/31/poll-kid-rock-trails-stabenow/104176822/view
- ^ https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B4lhKxf9pMitRFpUd3lHV21ZdGs/view
External links
- Official campaign websites