2016 United States presidential debates: Difference between revisions
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=== Polling === |
=== Polling === |
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| Fox News<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/09/15/fox-news-poll-clinton-and-trump-in-one-point-race-among-likely-voters.html|title=Fox News Poll: Clinton and Trump in a one-point race among likely voters|date=September 15, 2016|publisher=}}</ref> |
| Fox News<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/09/15/fox-news-poll-clinton-and-trump-in-one-point-race-among-likely-voters.html|title=Fox News Poll: Clinton and Trump in a one-point race among likely voters|date=September 15, 2016|publisher=}}</ref> |
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| rowspan="1" | ABC/Washington Post<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/ |
| rowspan="1" | ABC/Washington Post<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1182a12016ElectionPredebate.pdf|title=Clinton-Trump Race Narrows On the Doorstep of the Debates|last=|first=|date=September 11, 2016|website=|publisher=|access-date=}}</ref> |
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| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/06/_politics-zone-injection/trump-vs-clinton-presidential-polls-election-2016/index.html|title=Poll: Nine weeks out, a near even race|first=Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Polling|last=Director|date=September 6, 2016|publisher=}}</ref> |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/06/_politics-zone-injection/trump-vs-clinton-presidential-polls-election-2016/index.html|title=Poll: Nine weeks out, a near even race|first=Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Polling|last=Director|date=September 6, 2016|publisher=}}</ref> |
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| '''Average |
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Revision as of 13:08, 25 September 2016
 2016 U.S. presidential election | |
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| Republican Party | |
| Democratic Party | |
| Third parties | |
| Related races | |
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The bipartisan Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD) plans to hold four debates for the 2016 U.S. presidential general election, slated for various locations around the United States in September and October 2016 – three of them involving presidential nominees and one involving vice-presidential nominees.[1] The first debate will be held on September 26.
The Free & Equal Elections Foundation will host a presidential debate at the University of Colorado Boulder on October 25, 2016.[2]
Commission on Presidential Debates
The CPD stipulates three criteria for eligibility for the presidential debates: constitutionally eligiblility to serve as president, appearance on enough ballots to potentially reach 270 electoral votes, and average at least 15% on five selected national polls.[3] For the vice-presidential debate, the running mates of the presidential candidates qualifying for the first presidential debate will be invited.[3] As of mid-September Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Gary Johnson, and Jill Stein are on enough ballots to reach 270 electoral votes, however, only Clinton and Trump have reached the 15% polling threshold.[4] As of August 2016,[update] Johnson and Stein have polled as high as 13% and 7%, respectively, and have an average of 8.3% and 3%, respectively.[5]
On August 15, the CPD announced that it will use the most recent CBS/New York Times, Fox News, CNN/Opinion Research Corporation, NBC/Wall Street Journal, and ABC/Washington Post polls for the debate criteria and that candidates must be at an average of 15% in these polls.[6][7]
On September 16, the commission announced the official invitation of both Clinton and Trump to participate in the first debate to be held on September 26 at Hofstra University, but Johnson and Stein did not meet the established criteria, and would not be participants in the debate.[8][9] The commission also confirmed that Clinton and Trump had committed to participate. It was also announced that Mike Pence and Tim Kaine would be participating in the only scheduled vice presidential debate, to take place at Longwood University on October 4.[8][9] The 15% threshold will be reapplied with polling numbers following the first debate in order to judge the participants in the second debate to take place on October 9.[9]
The first debate is expected to focus on national security, "achieving prosperity", and "America's direction." The debate will be divided into three 30-minute segments on three topics. There will be no commercial breaks.[10][11]
Polling
| Race | Poll | Date taken | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-way
with Likely Voters | ||||||
| Fox News[12] | September 11–14 | 41% | 40% | 8% | 3% | |
| CBS/New York Times[13] | September 9–13 | 42% | 42% | 8% | 4% | |
| ABC/Washington Post[14] | September 19–22 | 46% | 44% | 5% | 1% | |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[15] | September 1–4 | 43% | 45% | 7% | 2% | |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[16] | September 16-19 | 43% | 37% | 9% | 3% | |
| Average | September 1-22 | 43.0% | 41.6% | 7.4% | 2.6% |
Presidential debates
Note: All debates (including the Vice Presidential debate) will run from 9:00pm to 10:30pm Eastern Time.[17]
| United States presidential election debates, 2016 | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N° | Date | Host | Location | Moderator(s) | Participants | ||||||||||
| P Agreed to Participate. N Non-invitee. | Democratic | Republican | Libertarian | Green | |||||||||||
| Secretary of State Hillary Clinton of New York |
Businessman Donald Trump of New York |
Governor Gary Johnson of New Mexico |
Doctor Jill Stein of Massachusetts | ||||||||||||
| 1 | September 26, 2016[8][9] | P[8][9] | P[8][9] | N[8][9] | N[8][9] | ||||||||||
| 2 | October 9, 2016 | Anderson Cooper |
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| 3 | October 19, 2016 | ||||||||||||||
Vice presidential debate
| United States presidential election debates, 2016 | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N° | Date | Host | Location | Moderator | Participants | ||||||||||
| P Agreed to Participate. N Non-invitee. | Democratic | Republican | Libertarian | Green | |||||||||||
| Senator Tim Kaine of Virginia |
Governor Mike Pence of Indiana |
Governor William Weld of Massachusetts |
Activist Ajamu Baraka of Washington, D.C. | ||||||||||||
| 1 | October 4, 2016 | P[8][9] | P[8][9] | N[8][9] | N[8][9] | ||||||||||
Free & Equal Debate
The Free & Equal Elections Foundation plans to host a single presidential debate in 2016. All presidential candidates with ballot access sufficient to represent a majority of electoral votes will be invited to participate.[18] It is to be held at the University of Colorado Boulder's Macky Auditorium on October 25, 2016.[19] The nominees of the Democratic, Republican, Libertarian, and Green are invited to participate in this debate.[19]
| Free & Equal debates, 2016 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N° | Date | Host | Location | Moderator(s) | Invited participants | |||
| I Invited to participate. N Non-invitee. A Absent invitee. | Democratic | Republican | Libertarian | Green | ||||
| Secretary of State Hillary Clinton of New York |
Businessman Donald Trump of New York |
Governor Gary Johnson of New Mexico |
Doctor Jill Stein of Massachusetts | |||||
| 1 | October 25, 2016 | |||||||
See also
- Democratic Party presidential debates and forums, 2016
- Green Party presidential debates and forums, 2016
- Libertarian Party presidential debates and forums, 2016
- Republican Party presidential debates and forums, 2016
References
- ^ "Commission on Presidential Debates". Commission on Presidential Debates. Commission on Presidential Debates. Retrieved July 22, 2016.
- ^ "UNITED WE STAND FEST & OPEN PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE AT CU BOULDER CO-HOSTED BY STUDENT VOICES COUNT". freeandequal.org. Free and Equal. 2016. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
- ^ a b "Commission on Presidential Debates Announces 2016 Nonpartisan Candidate Selection Criteria; Forms Working Group on Format" (Press release). Commission on Presidential Debates. Retrieved August 1, 2016.
- ^ Sifry, Micah L. (July 27, 2016). "Third Party Candidates Need to Get on the Debate Stage to Make a Difference". The New York Times (online ed.). Retrieved July 28, 2016.
- ^ "General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved July 28, 2016.
- ^ Matt Welch (August 15, 2016). "Presidential Debate Commission Criteria Is Both Good News and Bad News for Gary Johnson – Hit & Run". Reason.com. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
- ^ Stelter, Brian (June 23, 2016). "Commission on Presidential Debates reveals how it'll determine invitees – Aug. 15, 2016". CNN Money. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k "CPD Invites Hillary Clinton and Donald J. Trump to Debate". Commission on Presidential Debates. September 16, 2016. Retrieved September 16, 2016.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Gold, Hadas (September 16, 2016). "Johnson and Stein fail to make cut for first presidential debate". Politico. Retrieved September 16, 2016.
- ^ "First Presidential Debate To Focus On Prosperity, Security And Nation's Direction". NPR. September 19, 2016. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
- ^ "National security among topics for first Trump-Clinton debate". The Hill. September 19, 2016. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
- ^ "Fox News Poll: Clinton and Trump in a one-point race among likely voters". September 15, 2016.
- ^ "CBS-NYT AM presidential poll toplines Sept 15 2016". September 15, 2016.
- ^ "Clinton-Trump Race Narrows On the Doorstep of the Debates" (PDF). September 11, 2016.
- ^ Director, Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Polling (September 6, 2016). "Poll: Nine weeks out, a near even race".
{{cite web}}:|first=has generic name (help)CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ "Poll: Clinton Leads Trump Ahead of First Debate". HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES. NBC News/Wall Street Journal. September 21, 2016. Retrieved September 22, 2016.
- ^ "Presidential debates 2016: schedule and what to expect". Retrieved August 29, 2016.
- ^ Winger, Richard (October 6, 2015). "Free and Equal Announces Date and Location for General Election Presidential Debate". Ballot Access News. Retrieved May 17, 2016.
- ^ a b c d e f "United We Stand Fest and Open Presidential Debate University Tour Program Outline". Free and Equal Foundation. 2016. Retrieved September 17, 2016.