42nd British Columbia general election

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42nd British Columbia general election

← 2017 On or before October 16, 2021 (2021-10-16) Next →

87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia
44 seats needed for a majority
  Andrew Wilkinson 2015.jpg John Horgan 2015.jpg Andrew Weaver (34189176593) (cropped).jpg
Leader Andrew Wilkinson John Horgan Andrew Weaver
Party Liberal New Democratic Green
Leader since February 3, 2018 May 4, 2014 December 9, 2015
Leader's seat Vancouver-Quilchena Langford-Juan de Fuca Oak Bay-Gordon Head
Last election 43 seats, 40.36% 41 seats, 40.28% 3 seats, 16.84%
Current seats 42 41 3
Seats needed Increase2 Increase3 Increase41

Incumbent premier

John Horgan
New Democratic



The 42nd British Columbia general election will be held on or before October 16, 2021, to elect members of the Legislative Assembly in the Canadian province of British Columbia.

Elections BC will be administering a referendum from October to December 2018 on whether the current first-past-the-post (FPTP) voting system should be maintained or if the province should switch to a proportional representation (PR) system. Should this referendum result in a successful mandate for electoral reform, the 42nd general election may be held using a different voting system.

Timing[edit]

Section 23 of British Columbia's Constitution Act provides that general elections occur on the third Saturday in October of the fourth calendar year after the last election.[1] The fixed election date was previously set for the second Tuesday in May, but the BC NDP passed legislation amending the section of the constitution pertaining to the set election day.[2] The same section, though, makes the fixed election date subject to the Lieutenant Governor's prerogative to dissolve the Legislative Assembly as he or she sees fit (in practice, on the advice of the Premier or following a vote of non-confidence).[1][3]

2018 electoral reform referendum[edit]

A referendum on electoral reform will take place by postal ballot between October 22 and December 7, 2018, in British Columbia. In the referendum, electors will be asked:[4]

  1. to choose whether to maintain the current first-past-the-post voting system or to switch to a proportional system;
  2. to rank three PR systems by preference, should the province switch to PR:

If the referendum results in a successful mandate for electoral reform, the 42nd general election may be held using a different voting system.

Opinion polls[edit]

Start date End date Polling organisation / client Sample size Liberal NDP Green Conservative Others[a] Lead
(pp)
Nov 2, 2018 Nov 6, 2018 Insights West[5] 814 32.9% 38.2% 13.2% 11.8% 3.9% 5.3
Oct 31, 2018 Nov 2, 2018 Mainstreet[6] 616 33.9% 32.3% 18.2% 12.6% 3% 1.6
Jul 15, 2018 Jul 17, 2018 Mainstreet[7] 933 33.9% 33.2% 16.0% 14.6% 2.3% 0.7
Jul 12, 2018 Jul 15, 2018 Insights West[8] 1,053 32% 37% 17% 12% 2% 5
May 4, 2018 May 7, 2018 Angus Reid[9] 809 36% 41% 17% 6% 5
Apr 16, 2018 Apr 18, 2018 Mainstreet[10] 900 36.8% 34.8% 15.7% 11.4% 1.4% 2.0
Apr 12, 2018 Apr 15, 2018 Mainstreet[11] 1,496 37% 31% 17% 13% 2% 6
Mar 5, 2018 Mar 6, 2018 Mainstreet[12] 1,511 30.7% 36.0% 21.9% 8.9% 2.5% 5.3
Feb 3, 2018 Andrew Wilkinson elected leader of the BC Liberals and becomes the leader of the Opposition.
Jan 15, 2018 Jan 17, 2018 Insights West[13] 829 31% 40% 19% 8% 2% 9
Jan 3, 2018 Jan 4, 2018 Mainstreet[14] 817 33.9% 38.5% 27.6% 4.6
Aug 14, 2017 Aug 15, 2017 Mainstreet[15] 2,050 38% 37% 16% 9% 1
Aug 4, 2017 Christy Clark resigns as leader of the BC Liberals and as MLA for Kelowna West. Rich Coleman chosen as interim leader
Jul 18, 2017 John Horgan becomes premier of British Columbia
Jun 29, 2017 Christy Clark resigns as premier; John Horgan invited to form government
Jun 29, 2017 BC Liberal government defeated in confidence vote
Jun 26, 2017 Jun 28, 2017 Ipsos[16] 800 44% 38% 14% 4% 6
Jun 23, 2017 Jun 28, 2017 Insights West[17] 821 36% 41% 19% 4% 5
Jun 26, 2017 Jun 27, 2017 Mainstreet[18] 1,650 45% 34% 17% 4% 11
Jun 15, 2017 Jun 19, 2017 Angus Reid[19] 810 39% 38% 20% 3% 1
Jun 8, 2017 Jun 11, 2017 Ipsos[20] 802 40% 42% 15% 2% 2
May 11, 2017 May 13, 2017 Mainstreet[21] 1,650 38% 39% 22% 1
May 9, 2017 May 9, 2017 General election results[22] 1,974,014 40.4% 40.3% 16.8% 0.5% 2.5% 0.1

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Can include the British Columbia Conservative Party depending on the poll.

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b Constitution Act, s. 23.
  2. ^ http://vancouversun.com/news/politics/ndp-changes-b-c-s-fixed-election-date-from-may-to-october
  3. ^ Zussman, Richard (May 26, 2017). "Christy Clark gets 1st chance to govern, but how long can it last?". CBC News.
  4. ^ "B.C. unveils its proposed question for voters in electoral-reform referendum". Retrieved June 25, 2018.
  5. ^ "Survey on BC Referendum on Electoral Reform" (PDF). insightswest.com. Insights West. November 9, 2018. Retrieved November 12, 2018.
  6. ^ https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/electoral-referendum-a-dead-heat-liberals-and-ndp-remain-tied/
  7. ^ https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/ndp-and-bc-liberals-in-a-dead-heat-bcers-do-not-like-any-of-the-party-leaders/
  8. ^ https://insightswest.com/news/premier-horgans-approval-rating-dips-while-housing-affordability-continues-to-weigh-on-british-columbians/
  9. ^ http://angusreid.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/2018.05.08-BC-one-year.pdf
  10. ^ https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/bc-liberals-take-lead-from-ndp-horgan-government-hurt-by-kinder-morgan-opposition/
  11. ^ https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/federal-and-provincial-governments-get-failing-grades-on-protecting-bc-wild-salmon/
  12. ^ https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/horgan-ndp-five-point-lead-liberals/
  13. ^ https://insightswest.com/news/anxiety-over-housing-homelessness-and-poverty-rises-in-british-columbia/
  14. ^ https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/horgan-ndp-lead-bc-liberals-bc-liberal-leadership-race-headed-multiple-ballots/
  15. ^ http://vancouversun.com/news/politics/poll-suggests-mike-de-jong-is-liberals-best-choice-for-leader
  16. ^ https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/bc-liberals-go-out-on-top
  17. ^ https://insightswest.com/news/throne-speech-does-little-to-sway-british-columbians/
  18. ^ http://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/bc-liberals-lead-post-throne-speech/
  19. ^ http://angusreid.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/2017.06.20-BC-post-elxn.pdf
  20. ^ https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/bc-still-too-close-call
  21. ^ http://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/vote-vote-preferred-coalition/
  22. ^ "Results of the 2017 General Election". Elections BC. Retrieved July 31, 2017.

External links[edit]