Opinion polling for the next Czech legislative election

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Opinion polling for the Next Czech legislative election started immediately after the 2017 legislative election. Monthly party ratings are conducted by Sanep, TNS Kantar, STEM and CVVM.

Graphical summary[edit]

Trend line of poll results from October 2017, with each line and dots corresponding to a political party.
     ANO /      ODS /      Pirates /      SPD /      KSČM /      ČSSD /      KDU-ČSL /      TOP 09 /      STAN /      SVOBODNÍ /      ZELENÍ

Percentage[edit]

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In case of a tie, then no figure is shaded. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if this date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead. There is an electoral threshold of 5% for political parties.

Polling firm Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Turnout ANO ODS Piráti SPD KSČM ČSSD KDU–ČSL TOP 09 STAN S Z Others Lead Govt.
+ sup.
Opp.
Median 10 Nov - 9 Dec 1,056 60.5 29.5 13.5 13.0 10.0 7.0 7.5 5.5 5.0 6.0 1.5 0.5 1.0 16.0 44.0 53.0
Phoenix Research 20 Nov - 8 Dec 1,018 53.9 29.7 14.2 14.1 6.3 4.9 6.1 5.1 3.0 3.5 0.4 0.0 12.7 15.5 40.9 46.2
STEM 19 - 30 Nov 1,034 55.0 35.7 12.4 13.1 6.9 7.6 6.6 5.1 4.9 4.6 1.5 0.8 0.8 22.6 49.9 49.3
Sanep 22 - 28 Nov 1,857 60.5 30.1 16.8 15.5 7.2 6.1 5.0 5.2 4.8 5.3 N/A N/A 4.0 13.3 41.2 54.8
Kantar TNS 3 - 25 Nov 1,200 N/A 32.5 16.0 19.0 5.5 6.0 5.0 4.5 4.0 5.5 N/A N/A 2.0 13.5 43.5 54.5
23 Nov The opposition had lost the no-confidence vote.[1]
12 - 13 Nov 2018 Czech political crisis starts. Opposition calls for Andrej Babiš' resignation.[2]
CVVM [a] 3 - 15 Nov 1,104 60.0 29.5 14.5 14.0 7.5 10.0 9.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 N/A 1.0 2.5 15.0 48.5 48.0
Phoenix Research 20 Oct - 7 Nov 51.5 24.9 14.7 13.2 7.8 5.5 5.0 5.1 3.1 4.0 0.5 0.5 15.7 10.2 35.4 47.9
CVVM 13 - 26 Oct 1,001 61.0 30.0 19.0 11.0 5.0 8.5 9.0 7.0 3.0 4.0 N/A N/A 3.0 11.0 47.5 49.0
Kantar TNS 6 - 26 Oct 1,200 N/A 27.0 14.0 16.0 7.5 6.5 5.5 6.0 5.0 7.0 N/A 2.0 3.5 11.0 39.0 55.5
Median 25 Sep - 25 Oct 1,097 64.5 28.5 12.0 12.0 9.0 8.5 9.5 5.0 5.5 5.5 1.5 1.0 2.0 14.5 46.5 49.0
STEM 9 - 24 Oct 1,011 57.0 33.4 12.9 12.6 9.6 7.4 6.7 6.4 2.1 5.3 0.5 1.1 1.5 20.5 47.5 49.9
Sanep 22 Oct 1,200 61.3 27.6 15.9 14.7 9.7 6.5 4.9 5.6 5.9 5.4 N/A N/A 3.8 11.7 39.0 57.2
12 - 13 Oct 2nd round of 2018 Senate election
Phoenix Research 1 - 10 Oct 1,062 53.0 24.5 15.0 13.8 7.2 5.2 5.2 5.3 3.1 4.1 1.0 1.0 14.6 9.5 34.9 48.5
5 - 6 Oct 2018 municipal elections and 1st round of 2018 Senate election
TNS Kantar 1 - 21 Sep 1,200 N/A 29.5 13.0 15.5 9.0 5.5 7.0 5.0 4.0 5.5 N/A 2.0 4.0 14.0 42.0 52.0
CVVM 8 - 20 Sep 1,037 63.0 30.0 14.0 13.0 5.0 10.5 12.0 4.5 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 16.0 52.5 44.5
Sanep 6 - 12 Sep 1,836 62.4 28.1 13.1 13.9 12.7 7.2 6.4 5.1 5.2 5.0 N/A N/A 1.5 14.8 41.7 55.0
Median 25 Jul - 28 Aug N/A 63.0 31.0 14.0 10.5 8.0 9.0 8.5 5.5 5.5 3.5 1.5 2.0 1.5 17.0 48.5 47.0
TNS Kantar 4 - 26 Aug 1,200 71.0 28.0 13.0 15.0 8.0 8.0 6.5 5.5 5.0 6.5 N/A N/A 4.5 13.0 42.5 53.0
Sanep 9 - 15 Aug 15,159 61.5 29.1 13.5 13.1 12.7 7.0 7.5 5.2 3.5 5.1 N/A N/A 3.3 15.6 43.6 53.1
Median 27 Jun - 23 Jul 1,235 62.5 30.0 14.0 11.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 5.5 5.0 4.0 1.5 2.5 0.5 16.0 47.0 48.5
CVVM 16 - 29 Jun 1,046 60.8 31.0 14.0 10.0 6.5 10.5 11.0 6.0 4.5 4.5 N/A 1.0 1.0 17.0 52.5 45.5
27 Jun Andrej Babiš' Second Cabinet formed.
STEM 13 - 27 Jun 1,007 58.0 32.0 15.5 10.2 8.6 9.1 7.9 6.3 4.9 2.7 1.9 0.6 0.3 16.5 49.0 48.2
Median 25 May - 26 Jun 1,141 61.5 31.5 12.5 11.5 8.5 8.0 9.0 4.5 6.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 1.5 19.0 48.5 47.0
Phoenix Research 18 - 24 Jun 1,016 N/A 25.5 11.1 12.1 8.6 9.6 5.4 4.3 3.0 2.6 2.1 1.4 4.3 13.4 40.5 41.7
TNS Kantar 2 - 22 Jun 1,200 N/A 28.5 15.5 12.5 9.5 8.0 7.0 5.0 3.5 5.5 N/A 2.0 3.5 13.0 43.5 51.5
Sanep 7 - 13 Jun 18,912 62.4 28.2 13.5 14.2 12.4 7.1 6.8 5.3 4.0 5.0 N/A N/A 3.5 14.0 42.1 54.7
TNS Kantar 12 May-1 Jun 1,200 74.0 27.0 16.0 14.5 9.0 7.5 7.0 4.0 5.0 5.5 N/A N/A 4.5 11.0 41.5 54.0
CVVM 12-24 May 1,008 63.0 29.0 13.0 11.0 7.5 10.5 13.0 5.5 3.0 4.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 16.0 52.5 44.5
Sanep 17-23 May 18,867 61.8 28.9 13.8 13.9 12.2 6.8 6.7 5.5 4.0 5.1 N/A N/A 3.1 15.0 42.4 54.5
Median 10 Apr-5 May 1,224 60.0 30.5 14.0 11.5 9.0 8.5 8.0 5.5 6.0 4.0 1.0 1.5 0.5 16.5 47.0 50.0
Median 15 Nov-3 May 5,781 N/A 30.5 13.0 12.0 9.5 8.5 7.5 5.5 5.5 5.0 N/A N/A 4.0 17.5 46.5 50.5
STEM 19-29 Apr 1,046 58.0 32.9 13.7 13.5 9.0 8.5 7.0 5.4 3.9 3.9 0.8 0.8 0.6 19.2 48.4 49.4
TNS Kantar 7-27 Apr 887 N/A 30.5 14.5 14.5 8.0 8.0 6.5 5.5 4.0 5.5 N/A N/A 3.0 16.0 45.0 52.0
Sanep 19-25 Apr 2,319 61.3 28.6 13.6 13.2 12.1 6.7 7.2 5.3 4.1 5.4 N/A N/A 3.8 15.0 42.5 54.4
CVVM 7-19 Apr 1,115 58.0 29.0 13.5 12.5 7.5 10.0 11.5 6.5 4.5 3.0 N/A 1.0 1.0 15.5 50.5 47.5
TNS Kantar 10-29 Mar 847 73.0 29.5 14.0 13.5 7.5 6.5 8.5 5.0 4.5 6.0 N/A 2.0 3.0 15.5 44.5 50.5
Sanep 22-28 Mar 2,473 62.7 30.7 12.3 12.8 11.7 7.1 6.9 5.4 4.2 5.2 N/A N/A 3.7 17.9 44.7 51.6
Médea Research 6–21 Mar 1,003 N/A 32.2 10.2 16.7 7.1 5.6 9.0 4.7 4.2 6.5 2.1 1.1 N/A 15.5 46.8 49.4
CVVM 3–15 Mar 1,061 64.0 30.5 12.5 12.5 6.5 11.0 11.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 18.0 52.5 45.0
TNS Kantar 3–23 Feb 1,200 73.7 33.0 12.0 12.5 8.5 6.5 7.5 5.0 4.5 4.5 N/A N/A 6.0 20.5 47.0 47.0
Sanep 15–21 Feb 2,329 61.8 32.1 10.8 12.1 11.3 6.9 7.5 5.8 4.5 5.4 N/A N/A 3.6 20.0 46.5 49.9
18 Feb Jan Hamáček becomes leader of ČSSD
CVVM 3–15 Feb 812 64.0 33.5 10.5 13.0 6.5 10.0 12.0 3.5 3.5 3.0 1.0 1.0 2.5 20.5 55.5 40.0
STEM 1–8 Feb 1,028 62.0 32.5 11.0 13.3 9.5 8.7 7.1 5.2 4.6 4.0 1.5 1.1 1.5 19.2 48.3 47.6
CVVM 15–24 Jan 1,068 66.0 30.5 12 12.5 7.5 8 12.5 5 4 3 1.5 1.5 2 18 51.0 44.0
2018
CVVM 2–17 Dec 715 61.0 35.5 11.5 11.5 6.5 7.5 10 6.5 4.5 4 N/A N/A 2.5 24 53.0 44.5
13 Dec Andrej Babiš' First Cabinet formed.
STEM 1–11 Dec 1,027 62.0 33.0 9.6 12.2 8.7 8.8 8.0 5.4 4.4 5.2 N/A 0.9 3.8 20.8 49.8 45.5
26 Nov Jiří Pospíšil becomes leader of TOP 09
TNS Kantar 4–24 Nov 1,200 74.2 30 12 14 9.5 7 5.5 4.5 5 5.5 N/A 3.0 4 16 42.5 50.5
2017 election 20–21 Oct 60.8 29.6 11.3 10.8 10.6 7.8 7.3 5.8 5.3 5.2 1.6 1.5 3.2 18.3 44.7 49.0
  1. ^ The researcher claims that the poll does not reflect consequences of the crisis, as 96 % of answers were given before its outbreak.

Seats[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork
date
ANO ODS Piráti SPD KSČM ČSSD KDU–ČSL TOP 09 STAN SVOBODNÍ ZELENÍ Govt.
+ sup.
Opp.
STEM 9 - 24 Oct 83 27 26 20 15 12 12 0 5 0 0 110 90
Sanep 22 Oct 61 35 32 21 14 0 12 13 12 0 0 75 125
Sanep 9 - 15 Aug 2018 63 29 28 27 15 16 11 0 11 0 0 94 106
STEM 13 - 27 Jun 2018 83 37 22 18 16 16 8 0 0 0 0 115 85
TNS Kantar 2-22 Jun 2018 76 36 27 20 13 15 6 0 7 0 0 104 96
Sanep 12 May-1 Jun 2018 61 29 31 27 15 15 11 0 11 0 0 91 109
TNS Kantar 12 May-1 June 2018 73 36 33 18 14 13 0 6 7 0 0 100 100
CVVM 12-24 May 2018 71 31 25 13 21 31 8 0 0 0 0 123 77
Sanep 17-23 May 2018 62 30 30 26 15 14 12 0 11 0 0 91 109
STEM 19-29 Apr 2018 85 32 29 17 16 14 7 0 0 0 0 115 85
TNS Kantar 7-27 Apr 2018 79 34 34 15 15 11 6 0 6 0 0 105 95
Sanep 19-25 Apr 2018 62 30 29 26 14 16 11 0 12 0 0 92 108
CVVM 7–19 Apr 2018 71 31 29 13 20 25 11 0 0 0 0 116 84
TNS Kantar 10–29 Mar 2018 73 34 33 15 11 18 7 0 9 0 0 102 98
Sanep 22–28 Mar 2018 67 27 28 25 15 15 12 0 11 0 0 97 103
TNS Kantar 3–23 Feb 2018 87 29 32 20 14 15 7 0 0 0 0 116 84
Sanep 15–21 Feb 2018 70 24 26 24 15 16 13 0 12 0 0 101 99
2017 election 20–21 Oct 2017 78 25 22 22 15 15 10 7 6 0 0 108 92

References[edit]

  1. ^ "ŽIVĚ: Sněmovní zápolení o vládní kredit trvá už několik hodin". ČT (in Czech). 23 November 2018. Retrieved 23 November 2018.
  2. ^ "TOP 09 vyzvala Babiše k demisi, ve hře je hlasování o možném pádu vlády". iDNES.cz. 13 November 2018. Retrieved 13 November 2018.