2020 United States presidential election in Tennessee

2020 United States presidential election in Tennessee
Turnout	68.6%
Trump 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%	Biden 50–60% 60–70%
President before election; Donald Trump; Republican	Elected President ; Joe Biden; Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Tennessee was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.^[2] Tennessee voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Tennessee has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.^[3]

Trump won Tennessee with 60.66% of the vote, almost tied with his 60.72% vote share in 2016. Despite this, Biden got 37.4% of the vote, three points better than Hillary Clinton. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state Trump would win, or a safe red state. The Volunteer State has not supported a Democrat since 1996. Biden won the same counties as Clinton did: urban Shelby and Davidson counties--anchored by Memphis and Nashville, respectively--as well as majority-Black Haywood County. In addition, Trump performed somewhat better than polls anticipated, as they had Trump leading Biden by 55%–41%.^[4]

Despite this, Biden was able to improve his support in the Nashville metropolitan area, gaining 64.5% of the vote in Davidson County, the best Democratic performance in the county since FDR won 72.1% of the vote in 1944. At the same time, Biden also made gains in the Nashville suburban counties of Williamson, Rutherford, Wilson, Sumner, and Cheatham, performing considerably better than Hillary Clinton in 2016. For example, Biden lost Rutherford County, anchored by Murfreesboro, only by 56.6% to 41.2%, much lower than Clinton's 25.9-point loss in 2016. Additionally, he narrowed Trump's margins in Hamilton County--anchored by Chattanooga--only losing it by 9.7 points, the best Democratic performance there since Bill Clinton lost the county by 6.5% in 1996; and with 44.1% of the popular vote, the best Democratic percentage since Carter's 48% in 1976, consequently losing by 2.8 points. This is the first time a Democrat has even garnered 40% of the vote in Rutherford County since 2000, when favorite son Al Gore lost the county by 9.7 points while at the same time losing both his home state and the election.

Winning the state by 708,764 votes, Tennessee gave Trump his largest margin of victory by the number of votes nationally. This exceeded the 631,221 vote margin he won in Texas, marking the first time since 1988 (when Florida provided the largest margin of victory) where Texas did not provide the Republican presidential nominee with his widest margin of votes for a statewide victory. Additionally, this is the second consecutive election in which a nominee carried over 60% of Tennessee's vote, the first time since 1996 that Tennessee and neighboring Georgia did not vote for the same candidate, and the first time since 1980 that Tennessee was won by the Republicans while Georgia was won by the Democrats.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Tennessee came from a 69% showing among Southern whites, who made up 84% of the electorate. Similarly, Trump carried white born-again/Evangelical Christians by 86%–12%. The state of Tennessee is entirely covered in the Bible Belt. The only strength Biden showed was 88% of African-American voters. 65% of voters opposed removing Confederate statues from public places in Tennessee, and these voters backed Trump by 83%–15%.^[5]

Primary elections

Republican primary

The Republican primary was on March 3, 2020. Former Tennessee senator Bob Corker was considered a potential primary opponent for Trump.^[6]

Incumbent United States President Donald Trump was challenged by two candidates: former congressman Joe Walsh of Illinois, and former governor Bill Weld of Massachusetts.^[7] Walsh withdrew from the race prior to the primary. There was also an uncommitted option on the ballot. Trump won the state in a landslide victory over Walsh and Weld.

2020 Tennessee Republican primary^[8]
Candidate	Votes	%	Estimated delegates
Donald Trump	384,266	96.47	58
Joe Walsh (withdrawn)	4,178	1.05	0
Bill Weld	3,922	0.98	0
Uncommitted	5,948	1.49	0
Total	398,314	100%	58

Democratic primary

The Democratic primary was on March 3, 2020. Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, and former Vice President Joe Biden were among the major declared candidates.^[9]^[10]

2020 Tennessee Democratic presidential primary^[11]
Candidate	Votes	%	Delegates^[12]
Joe Biden	215,390	41.72	36^[a]
Bernie Sanders	129,168	25.02	22^[b]
Michael Bloomberg	79,789	15.46	5^[c]
Elizabeth Warren	53,732	10.41	1
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)^[d]	17,102	3.31
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)^[d]	10,671	2.07
Tulsi Gabbard	2,278	0.44
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)^[d]	1,932	0.37
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)	1,650	0.32
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)	1,097	0.21
Cory Booker (withdrawn)	953	0.18
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)	498	0.10
John Delaney (withdrawn)	378	0.07
Julian Castro (withdrawn)	239	0.05
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)	182	0.04
Uncommitted	1,191	0.23
Total	516,250	100%	64

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[13]	Safe R	September 10, 2020
Inside Elections^[14]	Safe R	September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[15]	Safe R	July 14, 2020
Politico^[16]	Safe R	September 8, 2020
RCP^[17]	Safe R	August 3, 2020
Niskanen^[18]	Safe R	July 26, 2020
CNN^[19]	Safe R	August 3, 2020
The Economist^[20]	Safe R	September 2, 2020
CBS News^[21]	Likely R	August 16, 2020
270towin^[22]	Safe R	August 2, 2020
ABC News^[23]	Safe R	July 31, 2020
NPR^[24]	Likely R	August 3, 2020
NBC News^[25]	Safe R	August 6, 2020
538^[26]	Safe R	September 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls


Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other/ Undecided ^[e]	Margin
RealClearPolitics	Jan 28, 2020 – May 22, 2020	September 15, 2020	39.0%	53.0%	8.0%	Trump +14.0
FiveThirtyEight	until November 2, 2020	November 3, 2020	41.4%	55.1%	3.5%	Trump +13.7
Average			40.2%	54.1%	5.7%	Trump +13.9

Polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[f]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Jo Jorgensen Libertarian	Howie Hawkins Green	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020	3,342 (LV)	± 2.5%	54%^[g]	45%	-	-	–	–
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine	Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020	485 (LV)	± 5.9%	58%	41%	1%	0%	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 1–28, 2020	5,099 (LV)	–	56%	42%	-	-	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Sep 1–30, 2020	2,329 (LV)	–	58%	41%	-	-	–	2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Aug 1–31, 2020	1,796 (LV)	–	59%	40%	-	-	–	1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jul 1–31, 2020	2,481 (LV)	–	61%	38%	-	-	–	2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jun 8–30, 2020	1,092 (LV)	–	61%	37%	-	-	–	2%
SSRS/Vanderbilt University	May 5–22, 2020	1,000 (RV)	± 3.8%	51%	42%	-	-	5%^[h]	2%
East Tennessee State University	Apr 22 – May 1, 2020	536 (LV)	–	53%	36%	-	-	6%	5%
Mason-Dixon	Jan 28–30, 2020	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	55%	39%	-	-	–	6%

Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[f]	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Michael Bloomberg (D)	Undecided
Mason-Dixon	Jan 28–30, 2020	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	54%	39%	7%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[f]	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Pete Buttigieg (D)	Undecided
Mason-Dixon	Jan 28–30, 2020	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	55%	38%	7%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[f]	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Bernie Sanders (D)	Undecided
Mason-Dixon	Jan 28–30, 2020	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	57%	37%	6%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[f]	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Elizabeth Warren (D)	Undecided
Mason-Dixon	Jan 28–30, 2020	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	57%	36%	7%

Electoral slates

These slates of electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidates win the state:^[27]

Donald Trump and Mike Pence Republican Party	Joe Biden and Kamala Harris Democratic Party	Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen Libertarian Party	Kanye West and Michelle Tidball Independent	Don Blankenship and William Mohr Constitution Party	Howie Hawkins and Angela Nicole Walker Green Party	Alyson Kennedy and Malcom Jarrett Socialist Workers Party	Gloria La Riva and Sunil Freeman Party for Socialism and Liberation	Rocky De La Fuente and Darcy Richardson Alliance Party	Brian T. Carroll and Amar Patel American Solidarity Party	Jade Simmons and Claudeliah Roze Independent	Tom Hoefling and Andy Prior Independent	R19 Boddie and Eric Stoneham Independent	Kasey Wells and Rachel Wells Independent
Paul Chapman Cindy Hatcher Tina Benkiser John Stanbery Beverly Knight-Hurley Mary Parks Jim Looney Kathy Bryson Terry Roland Scott Smith Julia Atchley-Pace	Barbara Wagner Maria Brewer Mike Hampton Meryl Rice Madeline Rogero Deborah Reed Andrew Berke Gale Carson Charles Howard Kevin Huddleston Martha Shepard	Robert Hammett Justin Cornett David Tyler Suzanne Eltz Daniel Lewis Joshua Eakle Trisha Butler Victoria Sexton Jaron Weldner Heather Scott David Sexton	Breanna Sellars LeeAnn Anderson Sammantha Ashley Clarissa Layne Nicola La Mattina Ricky Williams Mike Magnusson Rochelle Stevens Nicholas Tatum Isaac Ford Newton Ford	Coal Lankston Terri Coker H. James Hepping Laura Marquis James Barlow James Beck Joan Castle James Webb Susan Lankston Darrell Castle	Josh Berger Martin Pleasant Trevor Miles Michael Principe Elizabeth Dachowski Leith Patton Howard Switzer Richard Griffith James Maynard Charles Owens John Miglietta	Helen Wright Jahaan Jones Cordelious Johnson Kristin Griffin Mohd Nasan Clark Harris Keith Cherry Erica Teel Emily Dalerta Jimmy Smartt Celest Farmer	Victoria Hewlett Daniel Castillo James Baker Lucas Byrd Ronda Shelton Janice Martin Haley Rader Cassy Morris Kole Oakes Sebastian Baltes Zen Baltes	Karrie Davis Kurt Davis Marjorie Lloyd Timothy Nelson Heather Couch Sue Litman Jeffrey Lichterman Steven Pitcairn Molly Hoehn Jonathan Etheridge Starla Etheridge	Juan Villalba Sarah Bourque Robert Ritchey Clinton Poston Jonathan Sword Caleb Poston Nathan Warf Heidi Scott David Rogers Patrick Harris Sara Taylor	Olivia McCaughan Reginald Jackson Colin Nottage Rebecca Murphy Sherronda Broughton Brittany Mansfield Doris Littleton Jamel Carter Yolanda Roberson Brittany Murphy Candi Carter	Jesse Owenby Paula Roffey Alexander Ionnidis Jamie Christley Cecret Williams David Schaffer Bryan Davis James Goodman Josiah Weaver Susan Davis Tom Kovach	Preston Sprinkle Fran Stidham Ernestine Thomas Amber Penny Stephanie Frierson Isiah Strafford Debra Rainey Jason Ballard Brigitte Philmore Joseph Frierson Tamika Wright	Bettina Cohan William Bowlin Melissa Holloway John Guigneaux Tiffany Snow Ashley Stone Whitney Tucker Matthew Brown Lacoco Pirtle Kim Moses Kippie Lowry

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Tennessee^[28]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Donald Trump Mike Pence	1,852,475	60.66	–0.06
	Democratic	Joe Biden Kamala Harris	1,143,711	37.45	+2.73
	Independent^[i]	Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen	29,877	0.98	–1.83
	Independent	Kanye West Michelle Tidball	10,279	0.34	N/A
	Independent^[j]	Don Blankenship William Mohr	5,365	0.18	+0.12
	Independent^[k]	Howie Hawkins Angela Walker	4,545	0.15	–0.49
	Independent^[l]	Alyson Kennedy Malcolm Jarrett	2,576	0.08	–0.04
	Independent^[m]	Gloria La Riva Sunil Freeman	2,301	0.08%	N/A
	Independent^[n]	Rocky De La Fuente Darcy Richardson	1,860	0.06	–0.10
	American Solidarity	Brian T. Carroll (write-in) Amar Patel (write-in)	762	0.02	N/A
	Independent	Jade Simmons (write-in) Claudeliah Roze (write-in)	68	0.00	N/A
	Independent	Tom Hoefling (write-in) Andy Prior (write-in)	31	0.00%	N/A
	Independent	R19 Boddie (write-in) Eric Stoneham (write-in)	1	0.00%	N/A
	Independent	Kasey Wells (write-in) Rachel Wells (write-in)	0	0.00%	N/A
Total votes			3,053,851	100.00%
	Republican win

By congressional district

Trump won 7 of 9 congressional districts.^[29]

District	Trump	Biden	Representative
1st	76.2%	22.1%	Phil Roe
1st	76.2%	22.1%	Diana Harshbarger
2nd	63.6%	34.5%	Tim Burchett
3rd	65.3%	32.9%	Chuck Fleischmann
4th	67.5%	30.7%	Scott DesJarlais
5th	36.7%	60.3%	Jim Cooper
6th	72.7%	25.6%	John W. Rose
7th	66.9%	31.3%	Mark E. Green
8th	65.4%	33.2%	David Kustoff
9th	19.9%	78.5%	Steve Cohen

By county

County	Biden%	Biden#	Trump%	Trump#	Others%	Others#	Margin%	Margin#	Total
Anderson	33.01%	11,741	65.18%	23,184	1.81%	645	32.17%	11,443	35,570
Bedford	23.33%	4,453	75.2%	14,354	1.47%	281	51.87%	9,901	19,088
Benton	21.06%	1,529	78.07%	5,668	0.87%	63	57.01%	4,139	7,260
Bledsoe	16.86%	971	82.06%	4,725	1.08%	62	65.2%	3,754	5,758
Blount	26.92%	17,932	71.12%	47,369	1.96%	1,308	44.19%	29,437	66,609
Bradley	21.48%	9,851	76.76%	35,204	1.77%	810	55.28%	25,353	45,865
Campbell	16.35%	2,441	82.58%	12,331	1.08%	161	66.23%	9,890	14,933
Cannon	19.23%	1,261	79.15%	5,190	1.62%	106	59.92%	3,929	6,557
Carroll	21.5%	2,559	77.32%	9,205	1.18%	141	55.83%	6,646	11,905
Carter	18.49%	4,529	79.96%	19,584	1.55%	379	61.47%	15,055	24,492
Cheatham	27.22%	5,514	71.26%	14,438	1.52%	308	44.05%	8,924	20,260
Chester	18.62%	1,412	78.48%	5,952	2.9%	220	59.86%	4,540	7,584
Claiborne	17.01%	2,202	81.92%	10,604	1.07%	139	64.91%	8,402	12,945
Clay	20.96%	735	77.95%	2,733	1.08%	38	56.99%	1,998	3,506
Cocke	17.05%	2,533	81.85%	12,162	1.1%	164	64.8%	9,629	14,859
Coffee	23.49%	5,705	73.65%	17,883	2.86%	694	50.15%	12,178	24,282
Crockett	22.6%	1,382	76.43%	4,673	0.96%	59	53.83%	3,291	6,114
Cumberland	20.84%	6,728	77.97%	25,168	1.19%	383	57.13%	18,440	32,279
Davidson	64.49%	199,703	32.36%	100,218	3.14%	9,737	-32.13%	-99,485	309,658
Decatur	17.25%	904	80.69%	4,229	2.06%	108	63.44%	3,325	5,241
DeKalb	20.56%	1,750	78.37%	6,672	1.07%	91	57.82%	4,922	8,513
Dickson	24.83%	6,106	72.81%	17,643	2.37%	574	47.98%	11,627	24,233
Dyer	20.94%	3,158	78.04%	11,768	1.01%	153	57.1%	8,610	15,079
Fayette	30.57%	7,027	68.26%	15,690	1.16%	267	37.69%	8,663	22,984
Fentress	13.91%	1,214	85.24%	7,441	0.85%	74	71.34%	6,227	8,729
Franklin	25.42%	4,864	73.11%	13,987	1.47%	281	47.68%	9,123	19,132
Gibson	25.84%	5,771	72.8%	16,259	1.37%	305	46.96%	10,488	22,335
Giles	24.98%	3,298	74.1%	9,784	0.92%	121	49.13%	6,486	13,203
Grainger	14.48%	1,467	84.52%	8,565	1.01%	102	70.04%	7,098	10,134
Greene	18.51%	5,199	79.25%	22,259	2.24%	629	60.74%	17,060	28,087
Grundy	16.87%	988	82.02%	4,802	1.11%	65	65.14%	3,814	5,855
Hamblen	22.33%	5,500	76.37%	18,811	1.3%	320	54.04%	13,311	24,631
Hamilton	44.14%	75,522	53.83%	92,108	2.04%	3,483	9.69%	16,586	171,113
Hancock	13.19%	362	86.44%	2,372	0.36%	10	73.25%	2,010	2,744
Hardeman	41.54%	4,180	57.24%	5,760	1.22%	123	15.7%	1,580	10,063
Hardin	15.38%	1,775	82.85%	9,559	1.77%	204	67.46%	7,784	11,538
Hawkins	16.45%	4,083	82.2%	20,405	1.35%	336	65.75%	16,322	24,824
Haywood	53.93%	4,012	44.94%	3,343	1.13%	84	-8.99%	-669	7,439
Henderson	17.4%	2,092	81.51%	9,797	1.09%	131	64.1%	7,705	12,020
Henry	23.58%	3,548	74.69%	11,239	1.73%	260	51.11%	7,691	15,047
Hickman	21.66%	2,130	77.06%	7,577	1.27%	125	55.4%	5,447	9,832
Houston	23.63%	871	73.74%	2,718	2.63%	97	50.11%	1,847	3,686
Humphreys	24.49%	2,017	74.31%	6,120	1.2%	99	49.82%	4,103	8,236
Jackson	21.32%	1,135	77.36%	4,118	1.32%	70	56.04%	2,983	5,323
Jefferson	19.71%	4,654	78.98%	18,651	1.32%	311	59.27%	13,997	23,616
Johnson	15.97%	1,246	82.91%	6,468	1.12%	87	66.94%	5,222	7,801
Knox	41.45%	91,422	56.47%	124,540	2.08%	4,594	15.02%	33,118	220,556
Lake	25.86%	526	73.35%	1,492	0.79%	16	47.49%	966	2,034
Lauderdale	35.62%	3,193	63.29%	5,674	1.09%	98	27.67%	2,481	8,965
Lawrence	17.07%	3,195	81.92%	15,334	1.01%	189	64.85%	12,139	18,718
Lewis	19.11%	1,072	79.76%	4,474	1.12%	63	60.65%	3,402	5,609
Lincoln	18.7%	2,919	78.68%	12,281	2.61%	408	59.98%	9,362	15,608
Loudon	23.68%	6,948	73.99%	21,713	2.34%	686	50.31%	14,765	29,347
Macon	13.78%	1,307	85.34%	8,096	0.89%	84	71.56%	6,789	9,487
Madison	42.82%	18,390	55.75%	23,943	1.44%	617	12.93%	5,553	42,950
Marion	23.97%	3,177	74.77%	9,911	1.27%	168	50.8%	6,734	13,256
Marshall	24.23%	3,605	74.22%	11,043	1.55%	230	49.99%	7,438	14,878
Maury	30.9%	14,418	67.44%	31,464	1.66%	775	36.53%	17,046	46,657
McMinn	19.09%	4,361	79.66%	18,198	1.25%	285	60.57%	13,837	22,844
McNairy	17.23%	1,943	80.65%	9,093	2.12%	239	63.41%	7,150	11,275
Meigs	18.22%	1,008	80.75%	4,467	1.03%	57	62.53%	3,459	5,532
Monroe	18.1%	3,764	80.7%	16,783	1.2%	250	62.6%	13,019	20,797
Montgomery	42.3%	32,472	54.96%	42,187	2.73%	2,099	12.66%	9,715	76,758
Moore	16.19%	573	81.6%	2,888	2.2%	78	65.41%	2,315	3,539
Morgan	14.18%	1,167	84.22%	6,930	1.59%	131	70.04%	5,763	8,228
Obion	19.15%	2,589	79.8%	10,790	1.05%	142	60.65%	8,201	13,521
Overton	20.26%	2,033	78.89%	7,918	0.86%	86	58.63%	5,885	10,037
Perry	17.94%	615	80.95%	2,775	1.11%	38	63.01%	2,160	3,428
Pickett	17.91%	525	81.24%	2,381	0.85%	25	63.32%	1,856	2,931
Polk	17.85%	1,492	81.24%	6,792	0.91%	76	63.4%	5,300	8,360
Putnam	27.34%	9,185	70.73%	23,759	1.93%	649	43.38%	14,574	33,593
Rhea	17.37%	2,369	81.03%	11,050	1.6%	218	63.66%	8,681	13,637
Roane	23.32%	6,043	74.2%	19,230	2.48%	644	50.88%	13,187	25,917
Robertson	25.78%	8,692	72.77%	24,536	1.45%	489	46.99%	15,844	33,717
Rutherford	41.24%	59,341	56.63%	81,480	2.12%	3,057	15.39%	22,139	143,878
Scott	10.89%	986	88.42%	8,004	0.68%	62	77.53%	7,018	9,052
Sequatchie	17.9%	1,298	80.74%	5,855	1.37%	99	62.84%	4,557	7,252
Sevier	20.03%	8,721	77.6%	33,783	2.37%	1,031	57.57%	25,062	43,535
Shelby	64.42%	246,105	33.98%	129,815	1.61%	6,135	-30.44%	-116,290	382,055
Smith	19.91%	1,802	78.84%	7,136	1.25%	113	58.93%	5,334	9,051
Stewart	19.57%	1,232	78.62%	4,950	1.81%	114	59.05%	3,718	6,296
Sullivan	23.23%	17,272	75.12%	55,860	1.65%	1,225	51.9%	38,588	74,357
Sumner	29.88%	27,680	68.5%	63,454	1.62%	1,496	38.62%	35,774	92,630
Tipton	25.04%	6,837	73.49%	20,070	1.47%	401	48.46%	13,233	27,308
Trousdale	25.31%	1,012	73.44%	2,936	1.25%	50	48.12%	1,924	3,998
Unicoi	19.44%	1,615	79.44%	6,599	1.12%	93	60%	4,984	8,307
Union	15.38%	1,249	83.75%	6,803	0.87%	71	68.37%	5,554	8,123
Van Buren	18.62%	544	80.18%	2,342	1.2%	35	61.55%	1,798	2,921
Warren	24.51%	3,924	74.02%	11,850	1.47%	235	49.51%	7,926	16,009
Washington	30.96%	18,638	67.18%	40,444	1.86%	1,121	36.22%	21,806	60,203
Wayne	12.3%	820	86.89%	5,795	0.81%	54	74.6%	4,975	6,669
Weakley	21.99%	3,020	75.69%	10,396	2.32%	319	53.7%	7,376	13,735
White	18.02%	2,143	80.76%	9,606	1.23%	146	62.74%	7,463	11,895
Williamson	36.08%	50,161	62.2%	86,469	1.72%	2,386	26.12%	36,308	139,016
Wilson	29.94%	22,254	67.67%	50,296	2.39%	1,780	37.73%	28,042	74,330

Notes

^ 33 delegates, if Bloomberg's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
^ 20 delegates, if Bloomberg's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
^ 10 delegates, if Bloomberg's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
^ ^a ^b ^c Candidate withdrew shortly before the primary, after early voting started.
^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 2%; "refused" with 1%
^ Jorgensen and Cohen were nominated by the Libertarian Party of Tennessee but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.
^ Blankenship and Mohr were nominated by the Constitution Party of Tennessee but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.
^ Hawkins and Walker were nominated by the Green Party of Tennessee but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.
^ Kennedy and Jarrett were nominated by the Socialist Workers Party but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.
^ La Riva and Freeman were nominated by the Party for Socialism and Liberation but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.
^ De La Fuente and Richardson were nominated by the Alliance Party but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.

References

^ "Tennessee Election Results 2020". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
^ Mehta, Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King and Dhrumil (June 28, 2018). "Tennessee President: general election Polls". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 15, 2020.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
^ "Tennessee Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 17, 2020.
^ Mattise, Jonathan (December 20, 2018). "Trump foil, retiring GOP Sen. Corker: 'no idea' what's next". Associated Press. Retrieved December 26, 2018.
^ Flessner, Dave (December 3, 2019). "16 Democrats and 3 Republicans on presidential primary ballot in Tennessee". Chattanooga Times Free Press. Retrieved December 4, 2019.
^ "March 3, 2020 Republican Presidential Preference Primary" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved April 3, 2020.
^ Taylor, Kate (February 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
^ Herndon, Astead W.; Burns, Alexander (December 31, 2018). "Elizabeth Warren Announces Iowa Trip as She Starts Running for President in 2020". The New York Times. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
^ "March 3, 2020 Democratic Presidential Preference Primary" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved April 3, 2020.
^ "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Tennessee Democrat". The Green Papers. Retrieved July 4, 2020.
^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
^ Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
^ State of Tennessee (December 2, 2020). "Tennessee Certificate of Ascertainment 2020" (PDF). National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved July 17, 2021.
^ State of Tennessee General Election Results, November 3, 2020, Results By Office (PDF) (Report). Secretary of State of Tennessee. December 2, 2020. Retrieved December 2, 2020.
^ Nir, David (November 19, 2020). "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012". Daily Kos. Retrieved December 10, 2020.

^[1]

External links

Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Tennessee", Voting & Elections Toolkits
"Tennessee: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
"League of Women Voters of Tennessee". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
Tennessee at Ballotpedia

^ "Tennessee breaks voter turnout record for presidential contest, with more than 3 million people casting ballots". Tennessean. November 6, 2020.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)

[tennesseestatewide1-13] 33 delegates, if Bloomberg's statewide delegates would have been calculated.

[tennesseestatewide2-14] 20 delegates, if Bloomberg's statewide delegates would have been calculated.

[tennesseestatewide3-15] 10 delegates, if Bloomberg's statewide delegates would have been calculated.

[WithdrewBeforeST-tn-16] Candidate withdrew shortly before the primary, after early voting started.

[othercalc-31] Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

[key-32] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[33] Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size

[34] "Someone else" and would not vote with 2%; "refused" with 1%

[37] Jorgensen and Cohen were nominated by the Libertarian Party of Tennessee but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.

[38] Blankenship and Mohr were nominated by the Constitution Party of Tennessee but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.

[39] Hawkins and Walker were nominated by the Green Party of Tennessee but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.

[40] Kennedy and Jarrett were nominated by the Socialist Workers Party but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.

[41] La Riva and Freeman were nominated by the Party for Socialism and Liberation but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.

[42] De La Fuente and Richardson were nominated by the Alliance Party but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.

[1] "Tennessee Election Results 2020". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. Retrieved November 15, 2020.

[2] Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.

[3] "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.

[4] Mehta, Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King and Dhrumil (June 28, 2018). "Tennessee President: general election Polls". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 15, 2020.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)

[5] "Tennessee Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 17, 2020.

[6] Mattise, Jonathan (December 20, 2018). "Trump foil, retiring GOP Sen. Corker: 'no idea' what's next". Associated Press. Retrieved December 26, 2018.

[7] Flessner, Dave (December 3, 2019). "16 Democrats and 3 Republicans on presidential primary ballot in Tennessee". Chattanooga Times Free Press. Retrieved December 4, 2019.

[8] "March 3, 2020 Republican Presidential Preference Primary" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved April 3, 2020.

[9] Taylor, Kate (February 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.

[10] Herndon, Astead W.; Burns, Alexander (December 31, 2018). "Elizabeth Warren Announces Iowa Trip as She Starts Running for President in 2020". The New York Times. Retrieved January 3, 2019.

[11] "March 3, 2020 Democratic Presidential Preference Primary" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved April 3, 2020.

[12] "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Tennessee Democrat". The Green Papers. Retrieved July 4, 2020.

[17] "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.

[18] "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.

[19] "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.

[20] "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.

[21] "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.

[22] 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.

[23] David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.

[24] "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.

[25] "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.

[26] "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.

[27] "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.

[28] Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.

[29] "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.

[30] "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.

[Certificate_of_Ascertainment-35] State of Tennessee (December 2, 2020). "Tennessee Certificate of Ascertainment 2020" (PDF). National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved July 17, 2021.

[36] State of Tennessee General Election Results, November 3, 2020, Results By Office (PDF) (Report). Secretary of State of Tennessee. December 2, 2020. Retrieved December 2, 2020.

[43] Nir, David (November 19, 2020). "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012". Daily Kos. Retrieved December 10, 2020.

[44] "Tennessee breaks voter turnout record for presidential contest, with more than 3 million people casting ballots". Tennessean. November 6, 2020.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)

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