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== References ==
== References ==
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{{Estonian elections}}{{European Parliament elections}}
{{Estonian elections}}{{European Parliament elections}}
[[Category:2024 European Parliament election|Estonia]]
[[Category:2024 European Parliament election|Estonia]]

Revision as of 04:35, 17 March 2024

2024 European Parliament election in Estonia
← 2019 6-9 June 2024
All 7 Estonian seats to the European Parliament
4 seats needed for a majority
 
Leader Kaja Kallas Lauri Läänemets Mihhail Kõlvart
Party Reform SDE Centre
Alliance RE S&D RE
Last election 2 seats, 26.2% 2 seats, 23.3% 1 seat, 14.4%
Current seats 2 2 1
Seats needed Increase 2 Increase 2 Increase 3
 
Leader Martin Helme Urmas Reinsalu
Party EKRE Isamaa
Alliance ID EPP
Last election 1 seat, 12.7% 1 seat, 10.3%
Current seats 1 1
Seats needed Increase 3 Increase 3

An election for the Members of the European Parliament from Estonia as part of the 2024 European Parliament election will take place on June 9.[1][2][3]

Background

In March 2023 Estonia held its latest national election, and in that occasion the Reform Party managed to maintain its position as biggest party in parliament, while its leader and incumbent Prime Minister Kaja Kallas was reconfirmed in the office with the support of the Social Democratic Party and Estonia 200.

Reform Party

In recent months the party's performance on opinion polls has suffered significantly from the party's decision to back several tax increases unpopular with the economically libreal voter base as well as due to a scandal involving party leader Kaja Kallas. In August 2023, she came under the international spotlight after it was revealed that her husband held a significant share in a transportation company, Stark Logistics, which continued business with Russia despite Kallas's previous calls for Estonian companies to cease operations in Russia in the aftermath of the Russian invasion of Ukraine.[4] Kallas tried to minimise the affair and ignored the calls for her resignation from her political opponents, calling the controversy a "witch-hunt".[5]

At the same time she has appeared in the news as a prominent figure of the Renew Europe group and therefore as one of the frontrunners to be ALDE's Spitzenkandidat for the European Commission's presidency. She has also been linked to the post of High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, whose current holder Josep Borrell will retire at the end of this mandate, or to the post of Estonia's European Commissioner, currently held by Kadri Simson (Centre Party).[6][7] On 7 March 2024, Kallas announced that she rejected the offer from ALDE to be the alliance's Spitzenkandidat.[8]

Social Democratic Party

Since the 2023 Estonian parliamentary election, the Social Democrats have remained the only party in the government coalition to avoid losing support in polling. This has been attributed to the party members' public statements, especially those of the leader of the party Lauri Läänemets, setting the Social Democrats apart from the two economically liberal parties in the coalition. Moreover, the party gained MPs and members from the defections out of the Centre Party, including seeing its number of MPs increase from 9 to 13.[9][10]

Centre Party

In September 2023 Mihhail Kõlvart, incumbent mayor of Tallinn, won Centre Party's leadership election. His victory marked a significant change in the party's direction, choosing to focus more on its Russophone electoral base and shifting to socially conservative and economically syncretic positions, with the party becoming seen as one specifically of the niche Russian minority concentrated in the capital Tallinn and Ida-Viru County.[11][12][13] As a result, in the following months the previous party leader Jüri Ratas and several other party members defected to other political forces, leaving Centre Party with one third of its initial parliamentary representation (down to only 6 MPs) and with an increasingly weaker position in the most recent opinion polls.[14][15][16]

Isamaa

Since August 2023, Isamaa has seen its support rocket to unprecedented historic highs.[17][18] These gains in polling are mainly attributed to the party gaining 3 MPs and several other members defecting from the Centre Party, EKRE being seen as too extreme of an option as an alternative to the government coalition and the success of the newly elected party leader, Urmas Reinsalu, in attracting disgruntled Reform Party voters unhappy with its plans to raise taxes.[19][20][21]

Electoral system

Compared to last election, Estonia is entitled to one more MEP has already been assigned in 2020 in the occasion of the redistribution post Brexit. The 7 members are elected through open list proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency with seats allocated through D'Hondt method and no electoral threshold.[22]

Both Estonian citizens and other non-Estonian EU citizens residing in the country are entitled to vote in the European elections in Estonian. No registration is needed for Estonian citizens, while other EU citizens residing in Estonia are required to register with the National Electoral Committee only if it's their first time voting in the country. Estonian citizens residing abroad can choose between three options to vote: in person in an embassy or consulate, online or by mail, with only the latter procedure requiring registration. In addition, those eligible to vote must turn 18 years old by election day at the latest.[23]

Outgoing delegation

The table shows the detailed composition of the Estonian seats at the European Parliament as of 1 February 2024.

EP Group Seats Party Seats MEPs
Renew Europe
3 / 7
 Estonian Reform Party 2
 
Estonian Centre Party 1
 
Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats
2 / 7
 Social Democratic Party 2
 
Identity and Democracy
1 / 7
 Conservative People's Party of Estonia 1
 
European People's Party
1 / 7
 Isamaa 1
 
Total 7
Source: European Parliament

Candidates

Reform Party

Publicly expressed interest

Potential candidates

Declined to be candidates

Social Democratic Party

Confirmed[33]

  1. Marina Kaljurand, Member of the European Parliament (2019-present), independent candidate in the 2016 Estonian presidential election
  2. Sven Mikser, Member of the European Parliament (2019-present)
  3. Katri Raik, Mayor of Narva (2020-2023)
  4. Tanel Kiik, Minister of Health and Labour (2021-2022)
  5. Riina Sikkut, Minister of Health (2023-present)
  6. Ivari Padar, Member of the European Parliament (2009-2014, 2017-2019)
  7. Natalie Mets, Tallinn nightlife advisor (2021-present)
  8. Vootele Päi, advisor to the Minister of the Interior (2022-present)
  9. Jevgeni Ossinovski, Minister of Health and Labour (2015-2018)

Centre Party

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Declined to be candidates

Conservative People's Party

Publicly expressed interest

Potential candidates

Isamaa

Potential candidates

Estonia 200

Potential candidates

Parempoolsed

Publicly expressed interest

Greens

Potential candidates

Together

Publicly expressed interest

Potential candidates

Others

Potential

Declined to be candidates

Party manifestos and slogans

Party Slogan and manifesto (external link) Other slogan(s)
Parempoolsed
Greens
Isamaa
Social Democratic Party Freedom, justice, security.[49] (Estonian: Vabadus, õiglus, julgeolek.)
Conservative People's Party
Estonia 200
Reform Party
Centre Party Dignity and rights[50] (Estonian: Väärikus ja õigused) Russian: Достоинство и права
United Left Party[a]

Opinion polling and seat projections

The following table shows the projected number of seats for the parties in the EU Parliament.

Organisation Release date Ref
RE 		SDE
S&D 		Kesk
RE 		EKRE
ID 		Isamaa
EPP 		E200
RE 		Others Lead
Estonian party European group
election.de 8 March 2024 1 1 1 2 2 0 0 — —
Europe Elects 4 March 2024 2 1 1 1 2 0 0 — 1
Europe Elects for Euractiv 19 February 2024 2 1 1 1 2 0 0 — 1
election.de 7 February 2024 1 1 1 1 3 0 0 2 1
Europe Elects 5 February 2024 1 1 1 1 3 0 0 2 1
Europe Elects for Euractiv 15 January 2024 1 1 1 2 2 0 0 — —
election.de 9 January 2024 1 1 1 2 2 0 0 — —
Europe Elects 30 December 2023 1 1 1 2 2 0 0 — —
Europe Elects 30 November 2023 1 1 1 2 2 0 0 — —
Der Föderalist 9 November 2023 1 1 1 2 2 0 0 — —
Europe Elects 31 October 2023 2 1 1 2 1 0 0 — 1
Europe Elects 30 September 2023 2 1 1 2 1 0 0 — 1
Der Föderalist 15 September 2023 2 1 1 2 1 0 0 — 1
Europe Elects 31 August 2023 2 1 1 2 0 1 0 — 2
Europe Elects 31 July 2023 3 0 1 2 1 0 0 1 2
Der Föderalist 17 July 2023 2 1 1 2 1 0 0 — 1
Europe Elects 28 June 2023 2 1 1 2 0 1 0 — 2
Europe Elects 31 May 2023 2 1 1 2 0 1 0 — 2
Der Föderalist 22 May 2023 2 0 2 2 0 1 0 — 3
Der Föderalist 30 Mar 2023 3 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 4
Der Föderalist 1 Feb 2023 3 0 1 2 0 1 0 1 3
Der Föderalist 6 Dec 2022 3 0 1 2 0 1 0 1 3
Der Föderalist 12 Oct 2022 3 0 1 2 0 1 0 1 3
Der Föderalist 20 Aug 2022 3 0 1 1 1 1 0 2 4
Der Föderalist 22 Jun 2022 3 0 1 2 0 1 0 1 3
Der Föderalist 26 Apr 2022 3 0 1 2 0 1 0 1 3
Der Föderalist 1 Mar 2022 2 0 1 2 0 2 0 — 3
Der Föderalist 4 Jan 2022 2 0 2 2 0 1 0 — 3
Der Föderalist 8 Nov 2021 2 0 2 2 0 1 0 — 3
Der Föderalist 13 Sep 2021 2 0 2 2 0 1 0 — 3
Der Föderalist 21 Jul 2021 3 0 1 2 0 1 0 1 3
Der Föderalist 24 May 2021 3 0 1 2 0 1 0 1 3
Der Föderalist 29 Mar 2021 3 0 2 1 0 1 0 1 5
Der Föderalist 2 Feb 2021 3 0 2 1 0 1 0 1 5
Der Föderalist 9 Dec 2020 3 0 2 1 0 1 0 1 5
Der Föderalist 12 Oct 2020 3 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 4
Election Results 26 May 2019 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 — 1

Results

Party
Estonian Reform Party
Social Democratic Party 
Estonian Centre Party
Conservative People's Party of Estonia
Isamaa
Total


References

  1. ^ The party's list featured members of Together
  1. ^ ERR, ERR | (2023-05-17). "European Parliament elections scheduled for June 2024". ERR. Retrieved 2023-06-14.
  2. ^ "| Valimised Eestis". www.valimised.ee. Retrieved 2023-10-06.
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