Next Latvian parliamentary election
Appearance
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All 100 seats in the Saeima 51 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Latvia no later than 3 October 2026, following the end of the term of the fourteenth Saeima elected in 2022.
Opinion polls
[edit]2024
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
JV | ZZS | AS | NA | ST! | LPV | PRO | KP | LA | S | P21 | PLV | SV | JKP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SKDS/LTV[1] | October 2024 | 1,807 | 15.9 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 15.2 | 7 | 11.5 | 11.1 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 7.6 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
SKDS/LTV[2] | August 2024 | 1,789 | 15.5 | 7.9 | 7.6 | 16.1 | 7.5 | 11.8 | 11.2 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 7.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 3 | 2.5 | 0.6 |
SKDS/LTV[3] | June 2024 | 1,818 | 18.4 | 7.2 | 7.9 | 16.1 | 6 | 10.7 | 10.6 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 8.5 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
SKDS/LTV[4] | April 2024 | 1,806 | 12.7 | 11.6 | 8.5 | 14.5 | 6.5 | 10.2 | 11.5 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 8.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
SKDS/LTV[5] | March 2024 | 1,785 | 13.6 | 10.3 | 8.2 | 13.9 | 8.4 | 11.1 | 13.6 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 7.3 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
SKDS/LTV[6] | January 2024 | 1,799 | 16 | 10.1 | 8.4 | 13 | 8.2 | 11.1 | 13.3 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 5.9 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 2.7 |
2023
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
JV | ZZS | AS | NA | ST! | LPV | PRO | AP! | S | P21 | PLV | SV | K | Others | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KP | LA | LKS | ||||||||||||||||
SKDS/LTV[7] | December 2023 | 1,808 | 14.4 | 12 | 8.9 | 13.1 | 9.1 | 11.3 | 12 | 2 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
SKDS/LTV[7] | November 2023 | [a] | 18 | 13.2 | 7.6 | 10.1 | 9.6 | 11.5 | 11.2 | 2.8 | 2 | 7.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 3.6 |
SKDS/LTV[8] | October 2023 | 1,793 | 17.3 | 13.7 | 8.2 | 12.9 | 8.7 | 11.6 | 11 | 2.3 | - | 4.5 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 3.6 |
SKDS/LTV[9] | September 2023 | 1,081 | 14.5 | 12.9 | 8.7 | 12 | 8.1 | 11.9 | 13.8 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 5.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
SKDS/LTV[10] | August 2023 | 1,787 | 18.1 | 12.7 | 9.3 | 8.7 | 9.3 | 11.9 | 13 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 5.1 |
SKDS/LTV[11] | July 2023 | 1,805 | 22.3 | 11.8 | 7.5 | 8.8 | 7.5 | 11.4 | 14 | 2.5 | 2 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 8.3 |
SKDS/LTV[12] | June 2023 | 1,797 | 18.9 | 11.1 | 8.9 | 10.2 | 6.6 | 14.1 | 14.7 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4.2 |
SKDS/LTV[13] | May 2023 | 1,777 | 18.9 | 12.8 | 9.1 | 10.6 | 7.8 | 13.5 | 10.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5.4 |
SKDS/LTV[14] | April 2023 | 1,800 | 19.0 | 12.7 | 11.7 | 10.0 | 7.8 | 11.7 | 11.3 | 2.9 | – | 4.7 | – | 2.2 | – | 2.9 | 3.0 | 6.3 |
SKDS/LTV[15] | March 2023 | 1,814 | 17.7 | 14.4 | 9.7 | 10.9 | 8.8 | 9.0 | 12.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3.3 |
SKDS/LTV[16] | January 2023 | 1,792 | 21.3 | 14.1 | 10.3 | 10.4 | 7.2 | 7.8 | 10.9 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 4.1 | 2 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 7.2 |
2022
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
JV | ZZS | AS | NA | ST! | LPV | PRO | AP! | S | P21 | LKS | SV | K | R | Others | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KP | LA | ||||||||||||||||||
SKDS/LTV[17] | December 2022 | 1,785 | 18.8 | 15.1 | 8.9 | 11.1 | 8 | 5.8 | 11.7 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 2.8 | – | 1.5 | 3.7 | |
SKDS/LTV[18] | November 2022 | 1,795 | 22.5 | 11.6 | 11 | 12.1 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 12.3 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 2 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2.7 | – | 1.0 | 10.2 | |
SKDS/LTV[19] | 7–19 Oct 2022 | 1,821 | 23.9 | 13.7 | 9.7 | 10.5 | 6.2 | 5.5 | 9.6 | 4.6 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 10.2 | |
2022 election | 1 Oct 2022 | – | 18.92 | 12.40 | 10.98 | 9.27 | 6.78 | 6.22 | 6.14 | 4.96 | 4.76 | 3.66 | 3.62 | 3.23 | 3.08 | 1.76 | 4.18[a 1] | 6.42 |
Notes
[edit]- ^ LTV never released the November poll, because of its editorial decision "to not highlight the November ratings separately, because the survey was conducted at a time when the scandal involving the private flights of former Prime Minister Krišjānis Kariņš was just beginning to gain momentum and could mislead the public", thus the results may be inaccurate. Numbers on this row were counted manually using information about the November poll given by LTV itself.
- ^ others: 2.76%, blank/invalid votes: 1.42%
References
[edit]- ^ "Oktobrī reitingu līderos atgriežas «Jaunā Vienotība»; lielākais kritums Nacionālajai apvienībai". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2024-10-29.
- ^ "Daudzas partijas augustā piedzīvojušas reitingu kritumu; vislielāko – «Jaunā Vienotība»". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2024-09-05.
- ^ "Jūnijā pieaudzis «Jaunās Vienotības» reitings; Saeimā iekļūtu 8 spēki". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2024-07-06.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi aprīlī: Atbalsts iekļūšanai Saeimā būtu 8 partijām; līderos – NA un ZZS". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2024-05-14.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi martā: Saeimas vēlēšanās līderi būtu NA un «Progresīvie», JV zaudē līderpozīcijas". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2024-04-06.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi janvārī: "Jaunā Vienotība" saglabā līderpozīcijas, lielākais kritums ZZS". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2024-02-04.
- ^ a b "Partiju reitingi decembrī: "Jaunā Vienotība" piedzīvo kritumu, Saeimā iekļūtu 7 spēki". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-12-23.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi: "Jaunā Vienotība" atgriežas līderpozīcijā, atbalsts kāpj arī ZZS, "Progresīvajiem" kritums". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-10-31.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi septembrī: "Jaunā Vienotība" līderpozīciju atdod Zaļo un Zemnieku savienībai". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-10-01.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi augustā: līderos "Jaunā Vienotība", ZZS un Šlesera partija". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-09-14.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi jūlijā: "Jaunā Vienotība" saglabā līderpozīcijas, ZZS izvirzās otrajā vietā". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-08-08.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi: līderos – "Jaunā Vienotība", "Latvija pirmajā vietā" izvirzās otrajā vietā". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-06-30.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi: maijā lielākais kritums – "Apvienotajam sarakstam"". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-06-08.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi: aprīlī lielākais kāpums – "Latvija pirmajā vietā"". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-05-12.
- ^ "Partiju reitingā lielākais kritums – "Jaunajai Vienotībai"; vadošais piecinieks – nemainīgs". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-04-11.
- ^ "Partiju reitingā līderpozīcijas saglabā "Jaunā Vienotība"". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-02-17.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi: decembrī lielākais kritums "Jaunajai Vienotībai", kāpums – ZZS un "Stabilitātei"". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-01-06.
- ^ ""Jaunā Vienotība" arvien droša līdere partiju reitingos, konkurenti mazliet pietuvojušies". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2022-12-11.
- ^ "Pēc 14. Saeimas vēlēšanām reitings kāpis visām parlamentā iekļuvušajām partijām". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2022-12-06.