Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election

This article is a collection of statewide polls for the United States presidential election, 2016. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Democratic candidate against a possible Republican candidate.

Alaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[1]	September 18–21, 2014	Hillary Clinton	39%	Jeb Bush	44%	5	880	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	36%	Chris Christie	46%	10
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Ted Cruz	46%	7
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Mike Huckabee	44%	4
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Sarah Palin	38%	6
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Rand Paul	45%	5
Public Policy Polling	July 31–August 3, 2014	Hillary Clinton	38%	Jeb Bush	47%	9	673	± 3.8%
		Hillary Clinton	34%	Chris Christie	45%	11
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Mike Huckabee	47%	8
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Sarah Palin	40%	6
		Hillary Clinton	36%	Rand Paul	50%	14
Public Policy Polling	May 8–11, 2014	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	47%	6	582	± 4.1%
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Chris Christie	44%	3
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Mike Huckabee	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Sarah Palin	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Rand Paul	46%	6
Public Policy Polling	January 30–February 1, 2014	Hillary Clinton	39%	Jeb Bush	47%	8	850	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Chris Christie	43%	4
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Mike Huckabee	45%	4
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Sarah Palin	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Rand Paul	47%	6
Public Policy Polling	July 25–28, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	49%	7	890	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Chris Christie	46%	8
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Sarah Palin	40%	9
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	49%	6
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Marco Rubio	45%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Paul Ryan	47%	1
Public Policy Polling	February 4–5, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	43%	1	1,129	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Sarah Palin	37%	16
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Marco Rubio	43%	1

Arizona

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[2]	May 1–3, 2015	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	41%	Tied	600	± 4%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Ben Carson	42%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Chris Christie	46%	7
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Ted Cruz	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Mike Huckabee	44%	3
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Rand Paul	45%	5
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rick Perry	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Marco Rubio	43%	2
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Scott Walker	44%	1
		Lincoln Chafee	26%	Scott Walker	41%	15
		Martin O'Malley	25%	Scott Walker	43%	18
		Bernie Sanders	28%	Scott Walker	43%	15
		Jim Webb	26%	Scott Walker	44%	18
Public Policy Polling	February 28–March 2, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jan Brewer	39%	7	870	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Mike Huckabee	41%	6
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	43%	3

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Gravis Marketing^[3]	October 21–27, 2014	Hillary Clinton	38%	"Republican nominee"	47%	9	568	± 4.1%
Gravis Marketing	September 8–11, 2014	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	49%	7	902	± 4%
Gravis Marketing	September 8–11, 2014	Hillary Clinton	42%	Rand Paul	48%	6	902	± 4%
Public Policy Polling	August 1–3, 2014	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	46%	5	1,066	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Chris Christie	42%	1
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Ted Cruz	46%	4
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Mike Huckabee	55%	16
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Rand Paul	45%	3
Public Policy Polling	April 25–27, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	41%	5	840	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Chris Christie	38%	9
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Mike Huckabee	47%	3
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	42%	6
Polling Company/WomenTrend	August 6–7, 2013	Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	42%	2	600	± 4%
Polling Company/WomenTrend	August 6–7, 2013	Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	45%	3	600	± 4%

California

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Field Poll^[4]	April 23-May 16, 2015	Hillary Clinton	52%	Jeb Bush	31%	21	435	± 5.0%
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Marco Rubio	32%	21
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Scott Walker	30%	24
Emerson College	April 2–8, 2015	Hillary Clinton	53%	Jeb Bush	47%	6	881	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	56%	Ted Cruz	45%	9
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Scott Walker	47%	6
Gravis Marketing	July 22–24, 2014	Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	40%	9	580	± 4%
Gravis Marketing	July 22–24, 2014	Elizabeth Warren	33%	Rand Paul	44%	11	580	± 4%

Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[5]	March 29–April 7, 2015	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	38%	3	894	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Chris Christie	39%	2
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Ted Cruz	41%	1
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Mike Huckabee	41%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Rand Paul	44%	3
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Marco Rubio	41%	1
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Scott Walker	42%	1
Quinnipiac University	February 5–15, 2015	Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	36%	8	1,049	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	34%	9
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Mike Huckabee	39%	5
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	41%	2
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Scott Walker	40%	2
Public Policy Polling	July 17–20, 2014	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	40%	1	653	± 3.8%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	39%	6
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Mike Huckabee	43%	2
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	45%	1
Quinnipiac	July 10–14, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	40%	4	1,147	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	40%	2
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Mike Huckabee	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	46%	3
Quinnipiac	April 15–21, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	40%	5	1,298	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	42%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Mike Huckabee	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	48%	5
Public Policy Polling	March 13–16, 2014	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	39%	9	568	± 4.1%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	38%	7
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	40%	9
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Mike Huckabee	41%	7
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	44%	3
Quinnipiac	January 29–February 2, 2014	Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	42%	1	1,139	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	47%	4
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Paul Ryan	48%	5
Public Policy Polling	December 3–4, 2013	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	43%	4	928	±3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Chris Christie	46%	7
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ted Cruz	45%	3
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	47%	2
Quinnipiac	November 15–18, 2013	Hillary Clinton	38%	Chris Christie	46%	8	1,206	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	44%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	47%	3
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Paul Ryan	45%	2
Quinnipiac	August 15–21, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	43%	1	1,184	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Ted Cruz	42%	3
		Joe Biden	33%	Chris Christie	50%	17
		Joe Biden	39%	Ted Cruz	45%	6
Quinnipiac	June 5–10, 2013	Hillary Clinton	41%	Chris Christie	44%	3	1,065	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Marco Rubio	46%	1
		Joe Biden	32%	Chris Christie	48%	16
		Joe Biden	35%	Marco Rubio	48%	13
Public Policy Polling	April 11–14, 2013	Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	45%	3	500	±4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Marco Rubio	44%	4
		John Hickenlooper	47%	Rand Paul	45%	2
		John Hickenlooper	47%	Marco Rubio	45%	2

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[6]	March 6–9, 2015	Hillary Clinton	52%	Jeb Bush	34%	18	1,235	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Chris Christie	34%	18
		Hillary Clinton	55%	Ted Cruz	30%	25
		Hillary Clinton	56%	Mike Huckabee	31%	25
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Rand Paul	32%	22
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Marco Rubio	34%	19
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Scott Walker	33%	20
Public Policy Polling	October 2–5, 2014	Hillary Clinton	50%	Jeb Bush	37%	13	861	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Ted Cruz	32%	22
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Mike Huckabee	34%	19
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Rand Paul	35%	19
Gravis Marketing	August 4–7, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Ben Carson	36%	9	440	± 5%
Gravis Marketing	August 4–7, 2014	Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	33%	15	440	± 5%

Florida

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[7]	June 4-15, 2015	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	42%	4	1,147	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	35%	11
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ted Cruz	37%	11
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Mike Huckabee	38%	11
		Hillary Clinton	48%	John Kasich	35%	13
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	39%	7
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Marco Rubio	44%	3
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Scott Walker	38%	10
Mason-Dixon	April 14–16, 2015	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	47%	4	625	± 4%
Mason-Dixon	April 14–16, 2015	Hillary Clinton	43%	Marco Rubio	49%	6	625	± 4%
Quinnipiac University	March 17–28, 2015	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	45%	3	1,087	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	39%	5
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ted Cruz	39%	9
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Mike Huckabee	40%	8
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	43%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	44%	2
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	40%	6
Public Policy Polling	March 19–22, 2015	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	44%	3	923	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ben Carson	41%	8
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Chris Christie	41%	7
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	42%	7
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Mike Huckabee	44%	5
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rick Perry	42%	8
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Marco Rubio	46%	2
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Scott Walker	41%	8
		Joe Biden	43%	Scott Walker	43%	Tied
		Elizabeth Warren	42%	Scott Walker	41%	1
Quinnipiac University	January 22–February 1, 2015	Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	43%	1	936	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Chris Christie	33%	18
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Mike Huckabee	34%	17
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	38%	12
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Marco Rubio	39%	10
Gravis Marketing	October 22–24, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	46%	1	861	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	October 22–24, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	39%	7	861	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	October 11–12, 2014	Hillary Clinton	37%	Jeb Bush	36%	1	1,023	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	October 11–12, 2014	Hillary Clinton	43%	Marco Rubio	35%	8	1,023	± 3%
Public Policy Polling	September 4–7, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	44%	2	818	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	38%	8
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ted Cruz	36%	15
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Mike Huckabee	40%	9
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	40%	8
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Marco Rubio	42%	7
Gravis Marketing	August 14–24, 2014	Hillary Clinton	39%	Jeb Bush	37%	2	859	± 4%
Gravis Marketing	August 14–24, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Marco Rubio	35%	9	859	± 4%
SurveyUSA	August 15–18, 2014	Hillary Clinton	48%	Mitt Romney	41%	7	852	± 3.4%
SurveyUSA	August 15–18, 2014	Joe Biden	39%	Mitt Romney	47%	8	852	± 3.4%
SurveyUSA	July 31–August 1, 2014	Hillary Clinton	50%	Rick Perry	40%	10	859	± 3.4%
SurveyUSA	July 31–August 1, 2014	Joe Biden	43%	Rick Perry	44%	1	859	± 3.4%
Quinnipiac	July 17–21, 2014	Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	42%	7	1,251	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Chris Christie	33%	21
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Rand Paul	37%	16
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Marco Rubio	39%	14
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Paul Ryan	38%	13
SurveyUSA	July 17–21, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	41%	6	836	± 3.5%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	38%	11
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Marco Rubio	39%	14
		Joe Biden	38%	Jeb Bush	47%	9
		Joe Biden	39%	Chris Christie	48%	9
		Joe Biden	39%	Rand Paul	47%	8
		Joe Biden	43%	Marco Rubio	46%	3
SurveyUSA	June 30–July 2, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	42%	4	849	± 3.4%
SurveyUSA	June 30–July 2, 2014	Joe Biden	39%	Rand Paul	47%	8	849	± 3.4%
SurveyUSA	June 23–30, 2014	Hillary Clinton	53%	Marco Rubio	39%	14	834	± 3.5%
SurveyUSA	June 23–30, 2014	Joe Biden	43%	Marco Rubio	46%	3	834	± 3.5%
SurveyUSA	June 5–10, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	41%	6	850	± 3.4%
SurveyUSA	June 5–10, 2014	Joe Biden	38%	Jeb Bush	47%	9	850	± 3.4%
Public Policy Polling	June 6–9, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	45%	1	672	± 3.8%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	38%	8
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Ted Cruz	39%	11
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Mike Huckabee	41%	7
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	42%	6
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Marco Rubio	44%	4
Saint Leo University	May 28-June 4, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	46%	2	500	± 5%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Chris Christie	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Ted Cruz	36%	16
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Paul Ryan	40%	10
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	38%	12
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Marco Rubio	41%	8
Quinnipiac	April 23–28, 2014	Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	41%	8	1,413	± 2.6%
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Chris Christie	34%	18
		Hillary Clinton	57%	Ted Cruz	31%	26
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Mike Huckabee	35%	18
		Hillary Clinton	55%	Rand Paul	37%	18
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Marco Rubio	40%	12
		Hillary Clinton	56%	Paul Ryan	36%	20
Quinnipiac	January 22–27, 2014	Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	43%	6	1,565	± 2.5%
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Chris Christie	35%	16
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Ted Cruz	34%	20
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Rand Paul	38%	15
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Marco Rubio	41%	10
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Paul Ryan	39%	13
Quinnipiac	November 12–17, 2013	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	45%	2	1,646	± 2.4%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	41%	4
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Ted Cruz	36%	16
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	41%	10
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Marco Rubio	43%	7
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Paul Ryan	42%	8
Gravis Marketing	November 8–10, 2013	Hillary Clinton	49%	Marco Rubio	45%	4	932	± 3%
Quinnipiac	June 11–16, 2013	Hillary Clinton	50%	Jeb Bush	43%	7	500	± 4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Marco Rubio	41%	12
		Joe Biden	43%	Jeb Bush	47%	4
		Joe Biden	43%	Marco Rubio	45%	2
Public Policy Polling	March 15–18, 2013	Hillary Clinton	53%	Jeb Bush	40%	13	500	± 4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	56%	Marco Rubio	40%	16
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Paul Ryan	41%	13
Quinnipiac	March 13–18, 2013	Hillary Clinton	51%	Jeb Bush	40%	11	1,000	± 3.1%
Quinnipiac	March 13–18, 2013	Hillary Clinton	52%	Marco Rubio	41%	11	1,000	± 3.1%
Public Policy Polling	January 11–13, 2013	Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	44%	5	501	± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling	January 11–13, 2013	Hillary Clinton	50%	Marco Rubio	46%	4	501	± 4.4%

Georgia

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[8]	October 2–5, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	45%	1	895	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Herman Cain	45%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	41%	5
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	41%	6
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Newt Gingrich	43%	6
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Mike Huckabee	45%	3
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	44%	3
Public Policy Polling	August 2–5, 2013	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	45%	Tied	520	± 4.3%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	44%	2
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Newt Gingrich	43%	4
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Sarah Palin	38%	13
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	43%	5
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Paul Ryan	44%	3
Public Policy Polling	February 15–18, 2013	Hillary Clinton	51%	Newt Gingrich	44%	7	602	± 4%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Marco Rubio	46%	3
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Paul Ryan	45%	5

Idaho

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[9]	October 9–12, 2014	Hillary Clinton	33%	Jeb Bush	50%	17	522	± 4.3%
		Hillary Clinton	33%	Chris Christie	44%	11
		Hillary Clinton	34%	Ted Cruz	50%	16
		Hillary Clinton	34%	Mike Huckabee	52%	18
		Hillary Clinton	33%	Rand Paul	52%	19

Iowa

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[10]	April 23–26, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	42%	3	1,219	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ben Carson	41%	7
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	40%	5
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	42%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	44%	2
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	43%	2
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rick Perry	41%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	44%	2
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Scott Walker	41%	7
		Lincoln Chafee	29%	Scott Walker	39%	10
		Martin O'Malley	32%	Scott Walker	38%	6
		Bernie Sanders	34%	Scott Walker	39%	5
		Jim Webb	32%	Scott Walker	39%	7
Gravis Marketing	April 13, 2015	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	40%	3	1,259	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Ben Carson	37%	8
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	39%	3
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Carly Fiorina	37%	7
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Mike Huckabee	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Condoleezza Rice	43%	3
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Marco Rubio	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	41%	5
Quinnipiac University	March 29–April 7, 2015	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	40%	1	948	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Chris Christie	39%	2
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Ted Cruz	40%	3
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Mike Huckabee	42%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Rand Paul	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Marco Rubio	40%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Scott Walker	40%	4
Quinnipiac University	February 5–15, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	35%	10	1,089	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	34%	10
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Mike Huckabee	38%	7
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	37%	8
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Scott Walker	35%	10
Gravis Marketing	February 12–13, 2015	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	37%	6	343	±
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	35%	10
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Mike Huckabee	40%	5
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	39%	5
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Scott Walker	41%	6
NBC News/Marist	February 3–10, 2015	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	40%	8	891	± 3.3%
NBC News/Marist	February 3–10, 2015	Hillary Clinton	49%	Scott Walker	38%	11	891	± 3.3%
Reuters/Ipsos	October 23–29, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	36%	8	1,129	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Chris Christie	37%	3
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	36%	7
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Paul Ryan	41%	1
		Joe Biden	33%	Jeb Bush	40%	7
		Joe Biden	30%	Chris Christie	41%	11
		Joe Biden	33%	Rand Paul	39%	6
		Joe Biden	32%	Paul Ryan	45%	13
		Andrew Cuomo	30%	Jeb Bush	36%	6
		Andrew Cuomo	24%	Chris Christie	39%	15
		Andrew Cuomo	30%	Rand Paul	37%	7
		Andrew Cuomo	27%	Paul Ryan	41%	14
Gravis Marketing	October 20–21, 2014	Hillary Clinton	42.6%	Jeb Bush	43.5%	0.9	964	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	October 20–21, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Paul Ryan	44%	1	964	± 3%
The Iowa Poll	October 3–8, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	39%	7	1,107	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	38%	5
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Ted Cruz	35%	10
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Paul Ryan	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Mitt Romney	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Marco Rubio	37%	8
Gravis Marketing	September 29–30, 2014	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	41%	Tied	522	± 4%
Gravis Marketing	September 29–30, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Paul Ryan	44%	Tied	522	± 4%
Public Policy Polling	September 25–28, 2014	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	43%	Tied	1,192	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	41%	4
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	39%	8
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	42%	5
NBC News/Marist	July 7–13, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	42%	4	753	± 3.6%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	43%	1	753	± 3.6%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	37%	12	832	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	45%	Tied	753	± 3.6%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Marco Rubio	40%	9	832	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Scott Walker	37%	13	832	± 3.4%
Quinnipiac	June 12–16, 2014	Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	36%	13	1,277	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	36%	8
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	39%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	40%	6
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Paul Ryan	41%	6
Loras College	June 4–5, 2014	Hillary Clinton	48.7%	Jeb Bush	38.2%	5	600	± 4.0%
		Hillary Clinton	47.5%	Chris Christie	39%	8.5
		Hillary Clinton	49.7%	Mike Huckabee	39.8%	9.9
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Rand Paul	37.5%	14.5
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Paul Ryan	38.7%	11.3
Public Policy Polling	May 15–19, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	39%	5	914	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	39%	6
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	42%	4
The Polling Company	April 13–14, 2014	Hillary Clinton	43.8%	Jeb Bush	39%	4.8	600	± 4.1%
		Hillary Clinton	41.8%	Chris Christie	38.9%	2.9
		Hillary Clinton	43.8%	Mike Huckabee	44.1%	0.3
		Hillary Clinton	44.3%	Bobby Jindal	39.6%	4.7
		Hillary Clinton	43.3%	Rand Paul	44.3%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43.8%	Mike Pence	32%	11.8
		Hillary Clinton	43.4%	Marco Rubio	42.3%	1.1
		Hillary Clinton	45.9%	Scott Walker	40.4%	5.5
Quinnipiac	March 5–10, 2014	Hillary Clinton	51%	Jeb Bush	37%	14	1,411	± 2.6%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Chris Christie	35%	13
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ted Cruz	35%	16
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	39%	10
Public Policy Polling	February 20–23, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	41%	4	869	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	39%	6
Quinnipiac	December 10–15, 2013	Hillary Clinton	40%	Chris Christie	45%	5	1,617	± 2.4%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	41%	4
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ted Cruz	41%	7
Harper Polling	November 23–24, 2013	Hillary Clinton	38.12%	Chris Christie	43.35%	5.23	985	± 3.12%
		Hillary Clinton	46.40%	Paul Ryan	42.57%	3.83
		Hillary Clinton	45.21%	Marco Rubio	40.79%	4.42
		Hillary Clinton	46.82%	Rand Paul	41.06%	5.76
		Hillary Clinton	47.37%	Ted Cruz	40.45%	6.92
Quinnipiac	July 15–17, 2013	Hillary Clinton	41%	Chris Christie	41%	Tied	1,256	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	39%	7
		Joe Biden	32%	Chris Christie	49%	17
		Joe Biden	39%	Scott Walker	42%	3
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	36%	7	668	± 3.8%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Paul Ryan	40%	9
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	37%	11
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Marco Rubio	35%	12
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Jeb Bush	36%	14
Quinnipiac	May 15–21, 2013	Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	42%	4	1,411	± 2.6%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Marco Rubio	37%	11
		Joe Biden	39%	Rand Paul	44%	5
		Joe Biden	39%	Marco Rubio	40%	1
Public Policy Polling	January 31–February 3, 2013	Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	41%	5	800	± 3.5%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	43%	6
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Paul Ryan	44%	6
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Marco Rubio	41%	8
		Joe Biden	44%	Chris Christie	44%	Tied
		Joe Biden	48%	Jeb Bush	45%	3
		Joe Biden	49%	Paul Ryan	45%	4
		Joe Biden	48%	Marco Rubio	43%	5

Kansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Gravis Marketing^[11]	October 20–21, 2014	Hillary Clinton	38%	Jeb Bush	49%	11	1,124	± 3%
Gravis Marketing^[11]	October 20–21, 2014	Hillary Clinton	37%	Rand Paul	50%	13	1,124	± 3%
Public Policy Polling	October 9–12, 2014	Hillary Clinton	37%	Jeb Bush	48%	11	1,081	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Chris Christie	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Ted Cruz	44%	3
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Mike Huckabee	47%	6
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Rand Paul	45%	5
Gravis Marketing	September 30–October 1, 2014	Hillary Clinton	38%	Jeb Bush	49%	11	850	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	September 30–October 1, 2014	Hillary Clinton	38%	Rand Paul	48%	10	850	± 3%
Public Policy Polling	September 11–14, 2014	Hillary Clinton	40%	Jeb Bush	46%	6	1,328	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Chris Christie	42%	2
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Mike Huckabee	45%	3
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Rand Paul	43%	2
Public Policy Polling	August 14–17, 2014	Hillary Clinton	39%	Jeb Bush	45%	6	903	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Chris Christie	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Ted Cruz	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Mike Huckabee	46%	5
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Rand Paul	45%	4
Public Policy Polling	February 18–20, 2014	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	50%	9	693	± 3.7%
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Chris Christie	46%	7
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Mike Huckabee	49%	7
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Rand Paul	48%	7
Public Policy Polling	February 21–24, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Marco Rubio	47%	5	1,229	±2.8%
Public Policy Polling	February 21–24, 2013	Hillary Clinton	43%	Paul Ryan	50%	7	1,229	±2.8%

Kentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[12]	June 18-21, 2015	Hillary Clinton	40%	Jeb Bush	48%	8	1,108	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Ben Carson	49%	9
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Ted Cruz	48%	6
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Carly Fiorina	45%	5
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Mike Huckabee	49%	10
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Rand Paul	50%	10
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Marco Rubio	46%	5
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Scott Walker	46%	5
		Lincoln Chafee	23%	Scott Walker	41%	18
		Martin O'Malley	22%	Scott Walker	40%	18
		Bernie Sanders	29%	Scott Walker	42%	13
		Jim Webb	22%	Scott Walker	42%	20
Gravis Marketing	October 11–12, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	48%	3	1,020	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	October 11–12, 2014	Elizabeth Warren	36%	Rand Paul	49%	13	1,020	± 3%
Public Policy Polling	August 7–10, 2014	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	48%	5	991	± 3.1%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Ted Cruz	41%	5
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Mike Huckabee	47%	3
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	49%	6
Gravis Marketing	July 17–20, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	50%	6	1,054	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	July 17–20, 2014	Elizabeth Warren	34%	Rand Paul	52%	18	1,054	± 3%
Survey USA	May 14–16, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	48%	4	1,782	± 2.4%
Public Policy Polling	December 12–15, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	46%	4	1,509	± 2.5%
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Chris Christie	44%	4
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	49%	6
Public Policy Polling	April 5–7, 2013	Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	45%	Tied	1,052	± 3%
Public Policy Polling	April 5–7, 2013	Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	40%	6	1,052	± 3%
Public Policy Polling	December 7–9, 2012	Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	42%	5	1,266	± 2.8%
Public Policy Polling	December 7–9, 2012	Hillary Clinton	48%	Marco Rubio	40%	8	1,266	± 2.8%

Louisiana

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[13]	September 25–28, 2014	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	49%	8	1,141	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	42%	2
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	47%	3
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Mike Huckabee	50%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Bobby Jindal	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	47%	4
Gravis Marketing	September 5–9, 2014	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	48%	5	426	± 5%
Gravis Marketing	September 5–9, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	45%	1	426	± 5%
Public Policy Polling	June 26–29, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	46%	1	664	± 3.8%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Ted Cruz	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Mike Huckabee	46%	1
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Bobby Jindal	44%	4
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	46%	Tied
Magellan Strategies	March 24–26, 2014	Hillary Clinton	40.4%	Bobby Jindal	45%	4.6	600	± 4.1%
Public Policy Polling	February 6–9, 2014	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	50%	7	635	± 3.9%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Mike Huckabee	49%	5
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Bobby Jindal	47%	2
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	47%	4
Public Policy Polling	August 16–19, 2013	Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	44%	Tied	721	± 3.7%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	41%	1
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Bobby Jindal	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Paul Ryan	46%	2
Harper Polling	August 14–15, 2013	Hillary Clinton	44%	Bobby Jindal	42%	2	596	± 4.01%
Public Policy Polling	February 8–12, 2013	Hillary Clinton	48%	Bobby Jindal	45%	3	603	± 4%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	43%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Paul Ryan	46%	Tied

Maine

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[14]	November 8–11, 2013	Hillary Clinton	55%	Jeb Bush	32%	23	964	±3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Chris Christie	39%	8
		Hillary Clinton	57%	Ted Cruz	30%	27
		Hillary Clinton	57%	Rand Paul	32%	25

Maryland

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Gravis Marketing^[15]	October 6–9, 2014	Hillary Clinton	52%	Jeb Bush	35%	17	784	± 3.5%
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	34%	17
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Paul Ryan	36%	15

Massachusetts

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Emerson College^[16]	March 14–19, 2015	Hillary Clinton	59%	Jeb Bush	38%	21	797	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	60%	Rand Paul	36%	24
		Hillary Clinton	58%	Scott Walker	38%	20

Michigan

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[17]	June 25-28, 2015	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	38%	9	1,072	± 3.0%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ben Carson	41%	8
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	38%	6
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Carly Fiorina	38%	8
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Mike Huckabee	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	40%	6
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	42%	4
		Lincoln Chafee	31%	Scott Walker	36%	5
		Martin O'Malley	32%	Scott Walker	37%	5
		Bernie Sanders	35%	Scott Walker	39%	4
		Jim Webb	31%	Scott Walker	38%	7
Public Policy Polling	September 4–7, 2014	Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	38%	11	687	± 3.7%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Chris Christie	36%	12
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ted Cruz	37%	14
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Mike Huckabee	38%	12
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	39%	10
Public Policy Polling	June 26–29, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	37%	10	578	± 4.1%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Chris Christie	35%	13
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Ted Cruz	34%	16
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Mike Huckabee	36%	12
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	37%	10
Public Policy Polling	April 3–6, 2014	Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	38%	11	825	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	37%	9
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Mike Huckabee	38%	12
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	39%	9
Marketing Resource Group	March 24–28, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	38%	6	600	± 4.1%
EPIC-MRA	February 5–11, 2014	Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	39%	4	600	± 4%
Harper Polling	January 7–8, 2014	Hillary Clinton	40%	Chris Christie	38%	2	1,004	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Ted Cruz	36%	10
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	40%	5
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Paul Ryan	41%	3
Public Policy Polling	December 5–8, 2013	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	42%	4	1,034	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	40%	3
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	38%	11
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	39%	9
Public Policy Polling	May 30–June 2, 2013	Hillary Clinton	51%	Jeb Bush	37%	14	697	± 3.7%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	38%	6
		Hillary Clinton	55%	Rand Paul	35%	20
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Marco Rubio	36%	17
Public Policy Polling	March 2–4, 2013	Hillary Clinton	51%	Marco Rubio	37%	14	702	± 3.7%
Public Policy Polling	March 2–4, 2013	Hillary Clinton	52%	Paul Ryan	41%	11	702	± 3.7%

Minnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[18]	June 12–15, 2014	Hillary Clinton	52%	Michele Bachmann	35%	17	633	± 3.9%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Chris Christie	37%	10
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ted Cruz	35%	16
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Mike Huckabee	40%	10
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	38%	11
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Tim Pawlenty	42%	6
Public Policy Polling	January 18–20, 2013	Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	38%	6	1,065	± 3%
		Amy Klobuchar	42%	Chris Christie	39%	3
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Marco Rubio	37%	13
		Amy Klobuchar	48%	Marco Rubio	36%	12

Mississippi

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[19]	July 10–13, 2014	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	47%	5	691	± 3.7%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	45%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	44%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Mike Huckabee	49%	7
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	45%	2
Public Policy Polling	November 15–17, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	50%	8	502	± 4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Chris Christie	49%	9
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Ted Cruz	47%	2
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	46%	2

Montana

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–42%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Gravis Marketing^[20]	February 24–25, 2015	Hillary Clinton	35.4%	Jeb Bush	48.5%	13.1	1,035	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	33.3%	Chris Christie	49.5%	16.2
		Hillary Clinton	33%	Mike Huckabee	50%	17
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Rand Paul	48%	10
		Hillary Clinton	37%	Scott Walker	49%	12
Gravis Marketing	November 24–25, 2014	Hillary Clinton	38%	Jeb Bush	50%	12	836	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Ted Cruz	52%	13
		Hillary Clinton	37%	Nikki Haley	45%	8
		Hillary Clinton	37%	Rand Paul	55%	18
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Paul Ryan	54%	16
Gravis Marketing	October 23–24, 2014	Hillary Clinton	38%	Jeb Bush	43%	5	604	± 4%
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Rand Paul	48%	9
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Paul Ryan	46%	7
Gravis Marketing	September 29–30, 2014	Hillary Clinton	36%	Jeb Bush	45%	9	535	± 4%
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Rand Paul	46%	8
		Hillary Clinton	37%	Paul Ryan	51%	14
Gravis Marketing	July 20–22, 2014	Hillary Clinton	39%	Jeb Bush	49%	10	741	± 4%
Public Policy Polling	November 15–17, 2013	Hillary Clinton	38%	Jeb Bush	49%	11	952	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	34%	Chris Christie	51%	17
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Ted Cruz	50%	11
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Rand Paul	52%	13
		Brian Schweitzer	41%	Jeb Bush	46%	5
		Brian Schweitzer	39%	Chris Christie	47%	8
		Brian Schweitzer	43%	Ted Cruz	46%	3
		Brian Schweitzer	42%	Rand Paul	50%	8
Public Policy Polling	June 21–23, 2013	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	45%	Tied	807	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Chris Christie	45%	5
		Brian Schweitzer	48%	Jeb Bush	41%	7
		Brian Schweitzer	42%	Chris Christie	41%	1
Public Policy Polling	February 15–17, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Marco Rubio	50%	8	1,011	± 3.1%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Paul Ryan	51%	7
		Brian Schweitzer	46%	Marco Rubio	46%	Tied
		Brian Schweitzer	45%	Paul Ryan	49%	4

Nevada

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Gravis Marketing^[21]	March 27, 2015	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	38%	10	955	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Chris Christie	38%	10
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	42%	8
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Scott Walker	41%	8
Gravis Marketing	February 21–22, 2015	Hillary Clinton	50%	Jeb Bush	37%	13	955	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Chris Christie	38%	9
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	42%	7
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Brian Sandoval	46%	3
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Scott Walker	43%	6
Harper Polling	July 26–29, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	41%	5	602	± 3.99%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Susana Martínez	35%	13
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	44%	3

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Purple Insights^[22]	May 2–6, 2015	Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	42%	2	952	± 4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	43%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Marco Rubio	42%	2
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	40%	6
WMUR/UNH	April 24–May 1, 2015	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	47%	6	627	± 3.9%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Ted Cruz	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	47%	4
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Marco Rubio	47%	5
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Scott Walker	44%	Tied
Dartmouth College	April 27–30, 2015	Hillary Clinton	34.1%	Jeb Bush	36.9%	2.8	355	± 5.2%
		Hillary Clinton	36.5%	Chris Christie	34.4%	2.1
		Hillary Clinton	36.9%	Ted Cruz	28.7%	8.2
		Hillary Clinton	38.1%	Mike Huckabee	31.1%	7
		Hillary Clinton	36.1%	Rand Paul	33.3%	2.8
		Hillary Clinton	34.5%	Marco Rubio	34.4%	0.1
		Hillary Clinton	34.8%	Scott Walker	38.7%	3.9
Gravis Marketing	April 21–22, 2015	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	42%	Tied	1,117	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	41%	2
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	44%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Marco Rubio	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Scott Walker	47%	3
Public Policy Polling	April 9–13, 2015	Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	36%	13	747	± 3.6%
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ben Carson	38%	13
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Chris Christie	36%	15
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Ted Cruz	37%	15
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Mike Huckabee	38%	13
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	40%	9
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rick Perry	38%	13
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Marco Rubio	38%	12
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Scott Walker	40%	9
		Joe Biden	44%	Scott Walker	40%	4
		Elizabeth Warren	45%	Scott Walker	40%	5
Gravis Marketing	March 18–19, 2015	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	40%	3	?	± ?
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	43%	3
NBC News/Marist	February 3–10, 2015	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	42%	6	887	± 3.3%
NBC News/Marist	February 3–10, 2015	Hillary Clinton	49%	Scott Walker	42%	7	887	± 3.3%
Purple Insights	January 31–February 5, 2015	Hillary Clinton	50%	Jeb Bush	36%	14	503	± 4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	41%	7
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Scott Walker	37%	13
UNH/WMUR	January 22–February 3, 2015	Hillary Clinton	51%	Jeb Bush	39%	12	776	± 3.5%
UNH/WMUR	January 22–February 3, 2015	Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	40%	10	776	± 3.5%
Purple Insights	November 12–18, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	39%	8	500	± 4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	41%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mitt Romney	45%	1
NBC News/Marist	July 7–13, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	42%	5	1,342	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Chris Christie	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ted Cruz	38%	13
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	43%	3
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Marco Rubio	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Scott Walker	39%	9
Rockefeller Center	April 21–25, 2014	Hillary Clinton	42.1%	Jeb Bush	32.2%	9.9	412	± 4.8%
		Hillary Clinton	36.5%	Chris Christie	34.4%	2.1
		Hillary Clinton	38.3%	Mike Huckabee	36.2%	2.1
		Hillary Clinton	35.8%	Rand Paul	38.4%	2.6
Purple Strategies	January 21–23, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	42%	4	1,052	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	44%	2
		Elizabeth Warren	35%	Jeb Bush	46%	11
		Elizabeth Warren	33%	Chris Christie	45%	12
Public Policy Polling	January 9–12, 2014	Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	38%	11	1,354	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	39%	4
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ted Cruz	32%	19
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	37%	13
Public Policy Polling	September 13–16, 2013	Hillary Clinton	50%	Kelly Ayotte	42%	8	1,038	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	40%	9
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	39%	4
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Ted Cruz	38%	12
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	41%	10
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Paul Ryan	41%	9
Rockefeller Center	April 22–25, 2013	Hillary Clinton	37.1%	Chris Christie	32.3%	4.8	433	± 4.7%
Rockefeller Center	April 22–25, 2013	Hillary Clinton	44.3%	Marco Rubio	33.2%	11.1	433	± 4.7%
Public Policy Polling	April 19–21, 2013	Hillary Clinton	52%	Rand Paul	41%	11	933	± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling	April 19–21, 2013	Hillary Clinton	52%	Marco Rubio	38%	14	933	± 3.2%

New Jersey

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[23]	April 9–14, 2015	Hillary Clinton	53%	Jeb Bush	33%	20	1,428	± 2.6%
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Chris Christie	36%	15
		Hillary Clinton	58%	Ted Cruz	30%	28
		Hillary Clinton	56%	Mike Huckabee	30%	26
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Rand Paul	34%	20
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Marco Rubio	34%	20
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Scott Walker	32%	22
Rutgers-Eagleton	February 3–10, 2015	Hillary Clinton	58%	Jeb Bush	32%	26	694	± 4.2%
		Hillary Clinton	58%	Chris Christie	35%	23
		Hillary Clinton	60%	Scott Walker	29%	31
Quinnipiac University	January 15–19, 2015	Hillary Clinton	53%	Jeb Bush	37%	16	1,211	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Chris Christie	39%	13
		Hillary Clinton	56%	Mike Huckabee	33%	23
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Rand Paul	35%	19
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Mitt Romney	38%	15
Rutgers-Eagleton	December 3–10, 2014	Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	39%	10	646	± 3.9%
Quinnipiac University	December 3–8, 2014	Hillary Clinton	53%	Jeb Bush	31%	22	1,340	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Chris Christie	39%	11
		Hillary Clinton	55%	Rand Paul	31%	24
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Mitt Romney	35%	17
Quinnipiac University	September 25–29, 2014	Hillary Clinton	53%	Jeb Bush	32%	21	1,475	± 2.6%
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Chris Christie	40%	10
		Hillary Clinton	55%	Rand Paul	31%	24
Fairleigh Dickinson University	September 1–7, 2014	Hillary Clinton	51%	Jeb Bush	32%	19	721	± 3.7%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	33%	15
Rutgers-Eagleton	July 28–August 5, 2014	Hillary Clinton	51%	Chris Christie	40%	11	750	± 4%
Quinnipiac	July 31–August 1, 2014	Hillary Clinton	54%	Jeb Bush	34%	20	1,148	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Chris Christie	42%	8
		Hillary Clinton	57%	Mike Huckabee	34%	23
		Hillary Clinton	55%	Rand Paul	35%	20
Rutgers	February 22–28, 2014	Hillary Clinton	51%	Chris Christie	41%	10	842	± 3.6%
		Hillary Clinton	58%	Rand Paul	29%	29
		Hillary Clinton	58%	Paul Ryan	33%	25
Rutgers	January 22, 2014	Hillary Clinton	55%	Chris Christie	34%	21	?	± ?
Monmouth University	December 4–8, 2013	Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	46%	3	698/802	± 3.5%
Monmouth University	December 4–8, 2013	Andrew Cuomo	33%	Chris Christie	52%	19	698/802	± 3.5%
NBC News/exit poll	November 6, 2013	Hillary Clinton	48%	Chris Christie	44%	4	?	± ?
Quinnipiac	September 23–29, 2013	Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	36%	13	1,497	± 2.5%
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Rand Paul	36%	17
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Ted Cruz	31%	23
Pulse Opinion Research	September 19, 2013	Hillary Clinton	48%	Chris Christie	43%	5	1,000	± ?
NBC News/Marist	April 28–May 2, 2013	Hillary Clinton	52%	Chris Christie	41%	11	1,095	± 3%
NBC News/Marist	April 28–May 2, 2013	Joe Biden	40%	Chris Christie	51%	11	1,095	± 3%
Quinnipiac	February 13–17, 2013	Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	45%	4	1,149	± 2.9%
Quinnipiac	February 13–17, 2013	Andrew Cuomo	36%	Chris Christie	54%	18	1,149	± 2.9%
Public Policy Polling	November 26–28, 2012	Hillary Clinton	52%	Chris Christie	40%	12	600	± 4%
		Joe Biden	41%	Chris Christie	47%	6
		Andrew Cuomo	35%	Chris Christie	50%	15

New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Gravis Marketing^[24]	September 27–October 1, 2014	Hillary Clinton	50%	Jeb Bush	36%	14	727	± 4%
Gravis Marketing^[24]	September 27–October 1, 2014	Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	36%	13	727	± 4%
Public Policy Polling	March 20–23, 2014	Hillary Clinton	53%	Jeb Bush	37%	16	674	± 3.8%
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Chris Christie	35%	18
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Ted Cruz	37%	17
		Hillary Clinton	55%	Mike Huckabee	34%	21
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Susana Martinez	39%	14
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	36%	15

New York

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Siena College^[25]	March 11–16, 2015	Hillary Clinton	55%	Jeb Bush	32%	23	785	± 4%
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Chris Christie	34%	20
		Hillary Clinton	59%	Ted Cruz	26%	33
		Hillary Clinton	58%	Rand Paul	29%	29
		Hillary Clinton	59%	Marco Rubio	30%	29
Quinnipiac University	March 11–16, 2015	Hillary Clinton	58%	Jeb Bush	30%	28	1,228	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Chris Christie	34%	20
		Hillary Clinton	60%	Ted Cruz	27%	33
		Hillary Clinton	58%	Mike Huckabee	29%	29
		Hillary Clinton	55%	George Pataki	34%	21
		Hillary Clinton	59%	Rand Paul	31%	28
		Hillary Clinton	58%	Marco Rubio	31%	27
		Hillary Clinton	58%	Scott Walker	31%	27
Quinnipiac University	August 14–17, 2014	Hillary Clinton	60%	Jeb Bush	29%	31	1,034	± 3.1%
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Chris Christie	34%	20
		Hillary Clinton	61%	Rand Paul	30%	31
		Andrew Cuomo	53%	Jeb Bush	30%	23
		Andrew Cuomo	47%	Chris Christie	37%	10
		Andrew Cuomo	55%	Rand Paul	31%	24
Siena College	February 22–28, 2014	Hillary Clinton	64%	Chris Christie	28%	36	814	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	67%	Rand Paul	24%	43
		Hillary Clinton	64%	Paul Ryan	27%	37
Quinnipiac University	February 6–10, 2014	Hillary Clinton	58%	Chris Christie	31%	27	1,488	± 2.5%
Quinnipiac University	February 6–10, 2014	Andrew Cuomo	50%	Chris Christie	34%	16	1,488	± 2.5%
Siena College	January 12–16, 2014	Hillary Clinton	60%	Chris Christie	32%	28	808	± 3.4%
Siena College	January 12–16, 2014	Andrew Cuomo	55%	Chris Christie	35%	20	808	± 3.4%
Marist	November 18–20, 2013	Hillary Clinton	57%	Chris Christie	39%	18	675	± 3.8%
Marist	November 18–20, 2013	Andrew Cuomo	51%	Chris Christie	44%	7	675	± 3.8%
Siena College	November 8–11, 2013	Hillary Clinton	56%	Chris Christie	40%	16	806	± 3.5%
Siena College	November 8–11, 2013	Andrew Cuomo	42%	Chris Christie	47%	5	806	± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University	March 11–17, 2013	Hillary Clinton	59%	Chris Christie	32%	27	1,165	± 2.9%
Quinnipiac University	March 11–17, 2013	Andrew Cuomo	46%	Chris Christie	38%	8	1,165	± 2.9%

North Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[26]	July 2–6, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	43%	2	529	± 4.3%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ben Carson	47%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	43%	3
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	46%	1
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Carly Fiorina	45%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Mike Huckabee	49%	4
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	46%	1
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	47%	1
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	44%	3
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Scott Walker	47%	4
		Lincoln Chafee	29%	Scott Walker	43%	14
		Martin O'Malley	29%	Scott Walker	45%	16
		Bernie Sanders	35%	Scott Walker	43%	8
		Jim Webb	31%	Scott Walker	44%	13
Public Policy Polling^[27]	May 28-31, 2015	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	40%	7	561	± 4.1%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Ben Carson	44%	2
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	40%	3
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	42%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Carly Fiorina	40%	6
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	44%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Scott Walker	45%	Tied
		Lincoln Chafee	29%	Scott Walker	42%	13
		Martin O'Malley	28%	Scott Walker	44%	16
		Bernie Sanders	33%	Scott Walker	43%	10
		Jim Webb	31%	Scott Walker	42%	11
SurveyUSA	April 22–27, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	43%	2	1,070	± 3.1%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	43%	4
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	41%	5
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Scott Walker	39%	9
Elon University	April 20–24, 2015	Hillary Clinton	47.4%	Jeb Bush	44%	3.4	677	± 3.77%
Public Policy Polling	April 2–5, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	44%	1	751	± 3.6%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Ben Carson	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	41%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Ted Cruz	45%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Mike Huckabee	48%	5
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	45%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rick Perry	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Marco Rubio	45%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Scott Walker	46%	3
		Joe Biden	39%	Scott Walker	48%	9
		Elizabeth Warren	36%	Scott Walker	46%	10
Public Policy Polling	February 24–26, 2015	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	42%	4	849	3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Ben Carson	46%	1
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	43%	4
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	40%	6
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	43%	3
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rick Perry	44%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Scott Walker	43%	2
		Joe Biden	40%	Jeb Bush	47%	7
		Elizabeth Warren	38%	Jeb Bush	44%	8
Elon University	February 16–20, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45.7%	Jeb Bush	40.2%	5.5	773	± 3.52%
Public Policy Polling	January 29–31, 2015	Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	44%	Tied	845	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Ben Carson	45%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Mitt Romney	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	44%	2
		Joe Biden	41%	Mitt Romney	48%	7
		Elizabeth Warren	39%	Mitt Romney	47%	8
Meeting Street Research	January 21–22, 2015	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	41%	5	500	± 4.38%
Meeting Street Research	January 21–22, 2015	Hillary Clinton	47%	Mitt Romney	42%	5	500	± 4.38%
Public Policy Polling	December 4–7, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	46%	Tied	823	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ben Carson	44%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	42%	2
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	44%	2
		Joe Biden	42%	Jeb Bush	47%	5
		Joe Biden	40%	Ben Carson	45%	5
		Elizabeth Warren	39%	Jeb Bush	46%	7
		Elizabeth Warren	37%	Ben Carson	44%	7
Gravis Marketing	October 29–30, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	47%	2	1,006	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	October 29–30, 2014	Elizabeth Warren	34%	Rand Paul	47%	13	1,006	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	October 16–18, 2014	Hillary Clinton	42%	Rand Paul	48%	6	1,022	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	October 16–18, 2014	Elizabeth Warren	32%	Rand Paul	48%	16	1,022	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	September 22–23, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	45%	1	860	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	September 22–23, 2014	Elizabeth Warren	33%	Rand Paul	46%	13	860	± 3%
Public Policy Polling	September 11–14, 2014	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	45%	2	1,266	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	38%	7
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ted Cruz	40%	8
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Mike Huckabee	46%	1
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	41%	5
Public Policy Polling	August 14–17, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	42%	4	856	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	38%	7
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	41%	6
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Mike Huckabee	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	42%	5
Civitas Institute	July 28–29, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	48%	1	600	± 4%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	47%	1
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	47%	4
		Joe Biden	44%	Jeb Bush	50%	6
		Joe Biden	42%	Chris Christie	49%	7
		Joe Biden	44%	Rand Paul	49%	5
Gravis Marketing	July 22–27, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	43%	2	1,380	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	July 22–27, 2014	Elizabeth Warren	35%	Rand Paul	44%	9	1,380	± 3%
Public Policy Polling	June 12–15, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	44%	1	1,076	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	41%	4
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	43%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	43%	3
Public Policy Polling	May 9–11, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	42%	3	877	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	40%	4
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Mike Huckabee	43%	4
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	44%	1
Public Policy Polling	April 3–6, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	44%	1	740	± 3.6%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	44%	2
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Mike Huckabee	43%	5
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	43%	4
Public Policy Polling	March 6–9, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	46%	1	884	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Mike Huckabee	42%	7
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	43%	6
Public Policy Polling	February 6–9, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	43%	4	708	± 3.7%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Mike Huckabee	43%	5
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	44%	3
Public Policy Polling	January 9–12, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	44%	2	1,384	± 2.6%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	41%	6
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	43%	4
Public Policy Polling	December 5–8, 2013	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	45%	1	1,281	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	45%	3
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	41%	8
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	44%	4
Public Policy Polling	November 8–11, 2013	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	43%	4	701	± 3.7%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	46%	3
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ted Cruz	39%	12
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	41%	9
Public Policy Polling	April 11–14, 2013	Hillary Clinton	52%	Rand Paul	40%	12	601	± 4%
Public Policy Polling	April 11–14, 2013	Hillary Clinton	49%	Marco Rubio	42%	7	601	± 4%

Ohio

18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[28]	June 4-15, 2015	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	41%	1	1,191	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	39%	5
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	39%	8
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	41%	5
		Hillary Clinton	40%	John Kasich	47%	7
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	43%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Marco Rubio	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Scott Walker	40%	4
Public Policy Polling	June 4-7, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	43%	2	859	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ben Carson	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Mike Huckabee	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	40%	John Kasich	47%	7
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Rand Paul	44%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Marco Rubio	44%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Scott Walker	43%	1
		Michael Bloomberg	32%	Scott Walker	40%	8
		Lincoln Chafee	24%	Scott Walker	39%	15
		Martin O'Malley	26%	Scott Walker	41%	15
		Bernie Sanders	30%	Scott Walker	40%	10
		Jim Webb	25%	Scott Walker	41%	16
Quinnipiac University	March 17–28, 2015	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	38%	9	1,077	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	39%	6
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ted Cruz	38%	12
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Mike Huckabee	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	41%	5
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Marco Rubio	38%	9
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Scott Walker	38%	11
Public Policy Polling↑	March 2–3, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	40%	5	946	± ?
Public Policy Polling↑	March 2–3, 2015	Hillary Clinton	49%	Scott Walker	41%	8	946	± ?
Quinnipiac University	January 22–February 1, 2015	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	36%	11	943	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Chris Christie	34%	13
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Mike Huckabee	34%	15
		Hillary Clinton	44%	John Kasich	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	36%	12
Fox News	October 28–30, 2014	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	38%	10	803	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	39%	7
		Hillary Clinton	47%	John Kasich	43%	4
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	40%	9
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rick Perry	39%	10
Quinnipiac	July 24–28, 2014	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	37%	11	1,366	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	37%	9
		Hillary Clinton	47%	John Kasich	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	42%	4
Quinnipiac	May 7–12, 2014	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	39%	9	1,174	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	38%	8
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ted Cruz	37%	14
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Mike Huckabee	41%	8
		Hillary Clinton	47%	John Kasich	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	41%	8
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Marco Rubio	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Paul Ryan	41%	7
Quinnipiac	February 12–17, 2014	Hillary Clinton	51%	Jeb Bush	36%	15	1,370	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	36%	13
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ted Cruz	34%	17
		Hillary Clinton	51%	John Kasich	39%	12
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	38%	13
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Marco Rubio	36%	14
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Paul Ryan	40%	9
Quinnipiac	November 19–24, 2013	Hillary Clinton	50%	Jeb Bush	37%	13	1,361	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	41%	1
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Ted Cruz	35%	15
		Hillary Clinton	49%	John Kasich	38%	11
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	40%	10
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Marco Rubio	39%	9
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Paul Ryan	41%	8
Public Policy Polling	August 16–19, 2013	Hillary Clinton	50%	Jeb Bush	36%	14	551	± 4.2%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	36%	9
		Hillary Clinton	53%	John Kasich	35%	18
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	36%	15
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Paul Ryan	36%	16
Quinnipiac	June 18–23, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	42%	Tied	941	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	44%	3
		Joe Biden	32%	Chris Christie	50%	18
		Joe Biden	40%	Rand Paul	49%	9

↑ Poll conducted for the Ohio Democratic Party

Oklahoma

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 67%–33%

Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[29]	May 22–27, 2014	Hillary Clinton	51%	Jeb Bush	36%	15	956	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Chris Christie	34%	17
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Ted Cruz	37%	15
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Mike Huckabee	39%	12
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	39%	12

Pennsylvania

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[30]	June 4-15, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	41%	4	970	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	41%	2
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	39%	7
		Hillary Clinton	45%	John Kasich	39%	6
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Marco Rubio	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	41%	1
Public Policy Polling	May 21-24, 2015	Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	38%	11	799	± 3.5%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ben Carson	42%	6
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	41%	5
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	41%	8
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Mike Huckabee	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	43%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rick Santorum	42%	7
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Scott Walker	41%	4
		Lincoln Chafee	27%	Scott Walker	36%	9
		Martin O'Malley	30%	Scott Walker	38%	8
		Bernie Sanders	32%	Scott Walker	37%	5
		Jim Webb	29%	Scott Walker	36%	8
Quinnipiac University	March 17–28, 2015	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	40%	6	1,036	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	40%	5
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ted Cruz	39%	9
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Mike Huckabee	41%	6
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	41%	5
Muhlenberg College	January 28–February 11, 2015	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	32%	16	351	± 7%
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Chris Christie	31%	19
		Hillary Clinton	?%	Mitt Romney	?%	?
Quinnipiac University	January 22–February 1, 2015	Hillary Clinton	50%	Jeb Bush	35%	15	881	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Chris Christie	39%	11
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Mike Huckabee	34%	20
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Rand Paul	34%	19
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Rick Santorum	34%	20
Public Policy Polling	January 15–18, 2015	Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	38%	11	1,042	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ben Carson	37%	14
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Mike Huckabee	39%	12
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	39%	11
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Mitt Romney	40%	10
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Rick Santorum	36%	16
		Joe Biden	41%	Mitt Romney	43%	2
		Elizabeth Warren	36%	Mitt Romney	44%	8
Public Policy Polling	May 30–June 1, 2014	Hillary Clinton	51%	Jeb Bush	37%	14	835	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Ted Cruz	34%	19
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Mike Huckabee	37%	15
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Rand Paul	38%	14
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rick Santorum	40%	11
Quinnipiac	May 29–June 2, 2014	Hillary Clinton	51%	Jeb Bush	35%	16	1,308	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	41%	4
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Mike Huckabee	36%	15
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	37%	14
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Paul Ryan	38%	12
Quinnipiac	February 19–24, 2014	Hillary Clinton	53%	Jeb Bush	36%	17	1,405	± 2.6%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	41%	5
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Ted Cruz	34%	20
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Rand Paul	38%	15
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Rick Santorum	37%	16
Quinnipiac	December 11–16, 2013	Hillary Clinton	52%	Jeb Bush	36%	16	1,061	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Ted Cruz	36%	18
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Rand Paul	40%	12
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rick Santorum	38%	13
Public Policy Polling	November 22–25, 2013	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	44%	4	693	± 3.7%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	48%	4
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Ted Cruz	41%	12
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	43%	8
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rick Santorum	42%	9
Quinnipiac	May 30–June 4, 2013	Hillary Clinton	52%	Rand Paul	37%	15	1,032	± 3.1%
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Rick Santorum	36%	17
		Joe Biden	45%	Rand Paul	41%	4
		Joe Biden	46%	Rick Santorum	39%	7
Public Policy Polling	March 8–10, 2013	Hillary Clinton	52%	Marco Rubio	37%	15	504	± 4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Paul Ryan	40%	12
		Hillary Clinton	55%	Rick Santorum	38%	17
Quinnipiac	March 6–11, 2013	Hillary Clinton	47%	Chris Christie	42%	5	1,116	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Marco Rubio	36%	18
		Hillary Clinton	55%	Paul Ryan	38%	17
		Joe Biden	38%	Chris Christie	51%	13
		Joe Biden	45%	Marco Rubio	41%	4
		Joe Biden	44%	Paul Ryan	47%	13
		Andrew Cuomo	32%	Chris Christie	53%	21
		Andrew Cuomo	42%	Marco Rubio	38%	4
		Andrew Cuomo	44%	Paul Ryan	41%	3

South Carolina

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[31]	February 12–15, 2015	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	49%	7	868	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Ben Carson	48%	7
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Chris Christie	43%	2
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Ted Cruz	46%	3
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Lindsey Graham	45%	2
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Mike Huckabee	49%	8
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	45%	2
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rick Perry	48%	5
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Scott Walker	46%	4
		Joe Biden	36%	Jeb Bush	53%	17
		Elizabeth Warren	34%	Jeb Bush	50%	16
NBC News/Marist	February 3–10, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	48%	3	877	± 3.3%
NBC News/Marist	February 3–10, 2015	Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	46%	Tied	877	± 3.3%
Harper Polling	October 27–28, 2013	Hillary Clinton	38%	Chris Christie	43%	5	676	± 3.77%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Ted Cruz	41%	1
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Marco Rubio	47%	7

Texas

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[32]	April 10–13, 2014	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	50%	8	559	± 4.1%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	44%	2
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Ted Cruz	50%	7
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Mike Huckabee	50%	8
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Rand Paul	50%	10
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rick Perry	49%	5
Public Policy Polling	November 1–4, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	49%	7	500	± 4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Chris Christie	44%	5
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Ted Cruz	48%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	48%	4
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rick Perry	45%	2
Public Policy Polling	June 28–July 1, 2013	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	46%	3	500	± 4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Chris Christie	47%	9
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	49%	5
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rick Perry	44%	4
Public Policy Polling	January 24–27, 2013	Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	43%	2	500	±4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rick Perry	42%	8
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	45%	1

Virginia

13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	July 13-15, 2015	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	38%	8	1,170	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ben Carson	43%	4
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	39%	6
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ted Cruz	41%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Carly Fiorina	39%	7
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Jim Gilmore	35%	12
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Mike Huckabee	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Marco Rubio	43%	4
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Scott Walker	42%	5
		Bernie Sanders	39%	Jeb Bush	40%	1
		Bernie Sanders	38%	Marco Rubio	40%	2
		Bernie Sanders	43%	Donald Trump	39%	4
		Bernie Sanders	38%	Scott Walker	39%	1
		Jim Webb	40%	Scott Walker	37%	3
Christopher Newport University^[33]	April 13–24, 2015	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	48%	2	658	± 4.6%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Chris Christie	45%	2
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	44%	5
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Mike Huckabee	46%	3
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	47%	2
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Marco Rubio	45%	4
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Scott Walker	43%	5
Quinnipiac University	March 29–April 7, 2015	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	40%	7	961	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	40%	6
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Mike Huckabee	40%	8
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	43%	4
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Marco Rubio	40%	8
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Scott Walker	40%	7
Quinnipiac University	February 5–15, 2015	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	42%	Tied	1,074	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	39%	5
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Mike Huckabee	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	42%	2
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Scott Walker	40%	5
Christopher Newport University	January 30–February 10, 2015	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	43%	5	794	± 3.6%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	42%	7
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Mike Huckabee	42%	10
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Rand Paul	42%	10
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Marco Rubio	42%	9
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Paul Ryan	42%	10
Roanoke College	September 13–19, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Chris Christie	37%	10	630	± 3.9%
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	35%	16
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Paul Ryan	37%	13
Roanoke College	July 14–19, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	34%	10	566	± 4.2%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	37%	10
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Paul Ryan	38%	9
Quinnipiac	March 19–24, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	39%	8	1,288	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	41%	4
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Mike Huckabee	41%	8
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	42%	6
Roanoke College	February 22–28, 2014	Hillary Clinton	48%	Chris Christie	40%	8	707	± 3.9%
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Rand Paul	38%	14
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Paul Ryan	40%	11
Christopher Newport University	February 23–28, 2014	Hillary Clinton	51%	Jeb Bush	38%	13	901	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	41%	2
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	37%	10
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Mike Huckabee	37%	15
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Marco Rubio	40%	8
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Paul Ryan	37%	15
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	35%	11
Washington Free Beacon	November 19–20, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	44%	2	600	± 4%
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ted Cruz	41%	10
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	43%	7
		Mark Warner	42%	Chris Christie	41%	1
		Mark Warner	52%	Ted Cruz	37%	15
		Mark Warner	53%	Rand Paul	39%	14
Harper Polling	September 15–16, 2013	Hillary Clinton	41%	Chris Christie	41%	Tied	779	± 3.51%
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	41%	7
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Marco Rubio	40%	7
Purple Strategies	September 6–10, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	40%	2	800	± 3.5%
Purple Strategies	September 6–10, 2013	Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	41%	7	800	± 3.5%
Quinnipiac	August 14–19, 2013	Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	37%	9	1,374	± 2.6%
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Ted Cruz	34%	17
		Joe Biden	37%	Chris Christie	44%	7
		Joe Biden	47%	Ted Cruz	37%	10
Quinnipiac	July 11–15, 2013	Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	40%	5	1,030	±3.1%
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	37%	14
		Joe Biden	38%	Chris Christie	46%	8
		Joe Biden	47%	Rand Paul	40%	7
Public Policy Polling	July 11–14, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	41%	1	601	±4%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Bob McDonnell	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	39%	12
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Marco Rubio	37%	12
Public Policy Polling	May 24–26, 2013	Hillary Clinton	48%	Bob McDonnell	42%	6	672	± 3.8%
Public Policy Polling	May 24–26, 2013	Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	42%	4	672	± 3.8%
Quinnipiac	May 8–13, 2013	Hillary Clinton	51%	Marco Rubio	38%	13	1,286	±2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Paul Ryan	40%	10
		Mark Warner	51%	Marco Rubio	33%	18
		Mark Warner	50%	Paul Ryan	37%	13
NBC News/Marist	April 28–May 2, 2012	Hillary Clinton	52%	Bob McDonnell	41%	11	1,095	±3%
NBC News/Marist	April 28–May 2, 2012	Joe Biden	42%	Bob McDonnell	49%	7	1,095	±3%
Public Policy Polling	April 26–29, 2012	Mark Warner	50%	Bob McDonnell	37%	13	680	±3.8%

Washington

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Gravis Marketing^[34]	May 18–19, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	37%	8	1,032	±3%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	40%	6
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	37%	9
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Mike Huckabee	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Marco Rubio	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ted Cruz	40%	8
Public Policy Polling	May 14–17, 2015	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	37%	11	879	±3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ben Carson	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	34%	15
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Ted Cruz	38%	12
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Mike Huckabee	37%	10
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	38%	12
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rick Perry	37%	13
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Marco Rubio	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Scott Walker	38%	10
		Lincoln Chafee	29%	Scott Walker	35%	6
		Martin O'Malley	31%	Scott Walker	34%	3
		Bernie Sanders	35%	Scott Walker	35%	Tied
		Jim Webb	32%	Scott Walker	33%	1

West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[35]	September 19–22, 2013	Hillary Clinton	38%	Jeb Bush	52%	14	1,110	±2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Chris Christie	47%	9
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Ted Cruz	44%	3
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Rand Paul	49%	10
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Paul Ryan	50%	12

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
The Wisconsin Survey^[36]	April 8–17, 2015	Hillary Clinton	44%	Scott Walker	42%	2	600	± 4%
Marquette University	April 7–10, 2015	Hillary Clinton	48.8%	Jeb Bush	37.9%	10.9	803	± 3.5%
		Hillary Clinton	52.1%	Ted Cruz	36.4%	15.7
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	41%	8
		Hillary Clinton	49.5%	Marco Rubio	37.7%	11.8
		Hillary Clinton	51.5%	Scott Walker	39.8%	11.7
Public Policy Polling	March 6–8, 2015	Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	39%	10	1,071	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ben Carson	38%	11
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Chris Christie	39%	9
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Mike Huckabee	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	42%	6
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rick Perry	40%	8
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Marco Rubio	40%	8
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Scott Walker	43%	9
		Joe Biden	48%	Scott Walker	45%	3
		Elizabeth Warren	48%	Scott Walker	45%	3
Gravis Marketing	October 3–4, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Paul Ryan	51%	7	837	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	September 22–23, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Paul Ryan	46%	1	908	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	July 31–August 2, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Paul Ryan	48%	1	1,346	± 3%
Public Policy Polling	April 17–20, 2014	Hillary Clinton	50%	Jeb Bush	39%	11	1,144	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	36%	13
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Mike Huckabee	38%	12
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	39%	11
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Paul Ryan	45%	5
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Scott Walker	44%	7
Marquette University	October 21–24, 2013	Hillary Clinton	50%	Chris Christie	40.3%	9.7	800	± 3.5%
		Hillary Clinton	55.3%	Ted Cruz	33.4%	21.9
		Hillary Clinton	50.7%	Paul Ryan	43%	7.7
		Hillary Clinton	53.3%	Scott Walker	40.6%	12.7
Public Policy Polling	September 13–16, 2013	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	42%	4	1,180	±2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	40%	3
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ted Cruz	37%	11
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Paul Ryan	46%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Scott Walker	44%	5
Marquette University	May 6–9, 2013	Hillary Clinton	46.5%	Chris Christie	40%	6.5	717	±3.7%
		Hillary Clinton	50.8%	Rand Paul	37.2%	13.6
		Hillary Clinton	51.1%	Marco Rubio	34.9%	16.2
		Hillary Clinton	48.5%	Paul Ryan	43.5%	5
		Hillary Clinton	50.2%	Scott Walker	41.7%	8.5
Public Policy Polling	February 21–24, 2013	Hillary Clinton	52%	Marco Rubio	38%	14	1,799	±2.3%
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Paul Ryan	43%	8
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Scott Walker	41%	13

Wyoming

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%
(Republican in 2012) 69%–28%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[37]	July 19–21, 2013	Hillary Clinton	31%	Jeb Bush	58%	27	1,203	±2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	28%	Chris Christie	56%	28
		Hillary Clinton	32%	Rand Paul	58%	26
		Hillary Clinton	32%	Marco Rubio	56%	24
		Hillary Clinton	32%	Paul Ryan	59%	27

References

^ "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AK_923925.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_AZ_50615.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ "Arkansas Telephone Survey US Senate and Presidential Poll. Hillary Clinton". Retrieved 2015-07-09.
^ "http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2506.pdf" (PDF). www.field.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ University, Quinnipiac. "Release Detail". Quinnipiac University. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
^ University, Quinnipiac. "Release Detail". Quinnipiac University. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
^ "http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/sw/ps06172015_S63hvd.pdf" (PDF). www.quinnipiac.edu. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_GA_1007925.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_ID_1014925.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_43015.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ "Current Kansas Polling October 2014 - Gravis". Retrieved 2015-07-09.
^ "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_KY_62415.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_LA_9301205.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_ME_111313.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ "Current Maryland Polling - Gravis". Retrieved 2015-07-09.
^ "http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_bcbf2f7273744af089da0d4d587120e1.pdf" (PDF). media.wix.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_MI_6302015.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_MN_618.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_MS_717.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ "Gravis Insights Political Telephone Survey Montana". Retrieved 2015-07-09.
^ "Nevada poll: Sandoval early favorite to succeed Reid; Cruz surges to lead pack with Walker". Retrieved 2015-07-09.
^ "http://images.businessweek.com/cms/2015-05-08/150510_methodology_final_31343.pdf" (PDF). images.businessweek.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ University, Quinnipiac. "Release Detail". Quinnipiac University. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
^ "Current New Mexico Polling - Gravis". Retrieved 2015-07-09.
^ "https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/SNY_April_2015_Poll_Release_--_FINAL.pdf" (PDF). www.siena.edu. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ Public Policy Polling Trump Leads GOP Field in North Carolina (July 2–6, 2015)
^ "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_60415.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ "http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/sw/ps06172015_S63hvd.pdf" (PDF). www.quinnipiac.edu. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_OR_530.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ "http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/sw/ps06172015_S63hvd.pdf" (PDF). www.quinnipiac.edu. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_SC_21815.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_TX_417.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ http://cnu.edu/cpp/pdf/april%2027%202015%20report.pdf
^ "Washington State poll: Paul leads GOP field, Murray leads McMorris Rodgers; Right to Work up 45% to 33% - Gravis". Retrieved 2015-07-09.
^ "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_WV_925.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
^ http://www.wpr.org/sites/default/files/15%20Spring%20WI%20Survey%20FREQS%20Final_0.pdf
^ "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WY_724.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[1] "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AK_923925.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[2] "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_AZ_50615.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[3] "Arkansas Telephone Survey US Senate and Presidential Poll. Hillary Clinton". Retrieved 2015-07-09.

[4] "http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2506.pdf" (PDF). www.field.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[5] University, Quinnipiac. "Release Detail". Quinnipiac University. Retrieved 2015-07-09.

[6] University, Quinnipiac. "Release Detail". Quinnipiac University. Retrieved 2015-07-09.

[7] "http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/sw/ps06172015_S63hvd.pdf" (PDF). www.quinnipiac.edu. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[8] "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_GA_1007925.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[9] "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_ID_1014925.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[10] "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_43015.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[11] "Current Kansas Polling October 2014 - Gravis". Retrieved 2015-07-09.

[12] "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_KY_62415.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[13] "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_LA_9301205.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[14] "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_ME_111313.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[15] "Current Maryland Polling - Gravis". Retrieved 2015-07-09.

[16] "http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_bcbf2f7273744af089da0d4d587120e1.pdf" (PDF). media.wix.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[17] "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_MI_6302015.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[18] "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_MN_618.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[19] "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_MS_717.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[20] "Gravis Insights Political Telephone Survey Montana". Retrieved 2015-07-09.

[21] "Nevada poll: Sandoval early favorite to succeed Reid; Cruz surges to lead pack with Walker". Retrieved 2015-07-09.

[22] "http://images.businessweek.com/cms/2015-05-08/150510_methodology_final_31343.pdf" (PDF). images.businessweek.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[23] University, Quinnipiac. "Release Detail". Quinnipiac University. Retrieved 2015-07-09.

[24] "Current New Mexico Polling - Gravis". Retrieved 2015-07-09.

[25] "https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/SNY_April_2015_Poll_Release_--_FINAL.pdf" (PDF). www.siena.edu. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[26] Public Policy Polling Trump Leads GOP Field in North Carolina (July 2–6, 2015)

[27] "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_60415.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[28] "http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/sw/ps06172015_S63hvd.pdf" (PDF). www.quinnipiac.edu. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[29] "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_OR_530.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[30] "http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/sw/ps06172015_S63hvd.pdf" (PDF). www.quinnipiac.edu. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[31] "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_SC_21815.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[32] "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_TX_417.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[33] ttp://cnu.edu/cpp/pdf/april%2027%202015%20report.pdf

[34] "Washington State poll: Paul leads GOP field, Murray leads McMorris Rodgers; Right to Work up 45% to 33% - Gravis". Retrieved 2015-07-09.

[35] "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_WV_925.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

[36] ttp://www.wpr.org/sites/default/files/15%20Spring%20WI%20Survey%20FREQS%20Final_0.pdf

[37] "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WY_724.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)

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See also

References