Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election
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This article is a collection of statewide polls for the United States presidential election, 2016. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Democratic candidate against a possible Republican candidate.
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[1] | September 18–21, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 5 | 880 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 36% | Chris Christie | 46% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Rand Paul | 45% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 31–August 3, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 9 | 673 | ± 3.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 34% | Chris Christie | 45% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Mike Huckabee | 47% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 36% | Rand Paul | 50% | 14 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 8–11, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 6 | 582 | ± 4.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Sarah Palin | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Rand Paul | 46% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 30–February 1, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 8 | 850 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Chris Christie | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 45% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Rand Paul | 47% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 25–28, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 7 | 890 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Chris Christie | 46% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 49% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Paul Ryan | 47% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 4–5, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 43% | 1 | 1,129 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Sarah Palin | 37% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 1 |
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[2] | May 1–3, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 41% | Tied | 600 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ben Carson | 42% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Chris Christie | 46% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Rand Paul | 45% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rick Perry | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Scott Walker | 44% | 1 | ||||
Lincoln Chafee | 26% | Scott Walker | 41% | 15 | ||||
Martin O'Malley | 25% | Scott Walker | 43% | 18 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 28% | Scott Walker | 43% | 15 | ||||
Jim Webb | 26% | Scott Walker | 44% | 18 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 28–March 2, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jan Brewer | 39% | 7 | 870 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 43% | 3 |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[3] | October 21–27, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | "Republican nominee" | 47% | 9 | 568 | ± 4.1% |
Gravis Marketing | September 8–11, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 7 | 902 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Rand Paul | 48% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | August 1–3, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 5 | 1,066 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 42% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Mike Huckabee | 55% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Rand Paul | 45% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | April 25–27, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | 840 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 38% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 47% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 42% | 6 | ||||
Polling Company/WomenTrend | August 6–7, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 42% | 2 | 600 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 45% | 3 |
55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Field Poll[4] | April 23-May 16, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Jeb Bush | 31% | 21 | 435 | ± 5.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Marco Rubio | 32% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Scott Walker | 30% | 24 | ||||
Emerson College | April 2–8, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 6 | 881 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Scott Walker | 47% | 6 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | July 22–24, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 40% | 9 | 580 | ± 4% |
Elizabeth Warren | 33% | Rand Paul | 44% | 11 |
9 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University[5] | March 29–April 7, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 3 | 894 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 39% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Rand Paul | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Scott Walker | 42% | 1 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | February 5–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 8 | 1,049 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 34% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 41% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Scott Walker | 40% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 17–20, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 1 | 653 | ± 3.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 39% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 45% | 1 | ||||
Quinnipiac | July 10–14, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 4 | 1,147 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 40% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 46% | 3 | ||||
Quinnipiac | April 15–21, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 5 | 1,298 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 42% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 48% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 13–16, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 9 | 568 | ± 4.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 38% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 44% | 3 | ||||
Quinnipiac | January 29–February 2, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 42% | 1 | 1,139 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 47% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Paul Ryan | 48% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | December 3–4, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 4 | 928 | ±3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Chris Christie | 46% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 47% | 2 | ||||
Quinnipiac | November 15–18, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Chris Christie | 46% | 8 | 1,206 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 44% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 47% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Paul Ryan | 45% | 2 | ||||
Quinnipiac | August 15–21, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 43% | 1 | 1,184 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 3 | ||||
Joe Biden | 33% | Chris Christie | 50% | 17 | ||||
Joe Biden | 39% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 6 | ||||
Quinnipiac | June 5–10, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 44% | 3 | 1,065 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 1 | ||||
Joe Biden | 32% | Chris Christie | 48% | 16 | ||||
Joe Biden | 35% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 13 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | April 11–14, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 45% | 3 | 500 | ±4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 4 | ||||
John Hickenlooper | 47% | Rand Paul | 45% | 2 | ||||
John Hickenlooper | 47% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 2 |
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University[6] | March 6–9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Jeb Bush | 34% | 18 | 1,235 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Chris Christie | 34% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Ted Cruz | 30% | 25 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Mike Huckabee | 31% | 25 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 32% | 22 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Marco Rubio | 34% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Scott Walker | 33% | 20 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | October 2–5, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 13 | 861 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Ted Cruz | 32% | 22 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Mike Huckabee | 34% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 35% | 19 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | August 4–7, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 36% | 9 | 440 | ± 5% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 33% | 15 |
29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University[7] | June 4-15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 4 | 1,147 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 35% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | John Kasich | 35% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 38% | 10 | ||||
Mason-Dixon | April 14–16, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 4 | 625 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 49% | 6 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | March 17–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 3 | 1,087 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 39% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 40% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 19–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 3 | 923 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ben Carson | 41% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rick Perry | 42% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 41% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 43% | Scott Walker | 43% | Tied | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 42% | Scott Walker | 41% | 1 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | January 22–February 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 1 | 936 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Chris Christie | 33% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 34% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 10 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | October 22–24, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 1 | 861 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 7 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | October 11–12, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 1 | 1,023 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 35% | 8 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 4–7, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 2 | 818 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 38% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 7 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | August 14–24, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 2 | 859 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 35% | 9 | ||||
SurveyUSA | August 15–18, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 7 | 852 | ± 3.4% |
Joe Biden | 39% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 8 | ||||
SurveyUSA | July 31–August 1, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rick Perry | 40% | 10 | 859 | ± 3.4% |
Joe Biden | 43% | Rick Perry | 44% | 1 | ||||
Quinnipiac | July 17–21, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 7 | 1,251 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Chris Christie | 33% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rand Paul | 37% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Paul Ryan | 38% | 13 | ||||
SurveyUSA | July 17–21, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 6 | 836 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 38% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 14 | ||||
Joe Biden | 38% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 9 | ||||
Joe Biden | 39% | Chris Christie | 48% | 9 | ||||
Joe Biden | 39% | Rand Paul | 47% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 43% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 3 | ||||
SurveyUSA | June 30–July 2, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | 849 | ± 3.4% |
Joe Biden | 39% | Rand Paul | 47% | 8 | ||||
SurveyUSA | June 23–30, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 14 | 834 | ± 3.5% |
Joe Biden | 43% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 3 | ||||
SurveyUSA | June 5–10, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 6 | 850 | ± 3.4% |
Joe Biden | 38% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 9 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 6–9, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 1 | 672 | ± 3.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 38% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 4 | ||||
Saint Leo University | May 28-June 4, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 2 | 500 | ± 5% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 8 | ||||
Quinnipiac | April 23–28, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 8 | 1,413 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Chris Christie | 34% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Ted Cruz | 31% | 26 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Mike Huckabee | 35% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Rand Paul | 37% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Paul Ryan | 36% | 20 | ||||
Quinnipiac | January 22–27, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 6 | 1,565 | ± 2.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Chris Christie | 35% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Ted Cruz | 34% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rand Paul | 38% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Paul Ryan | 39% | 13 | ||||
Quinnipiac | November 12–17, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 2 | 1,646 | ± 2.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 41% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 41% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 42% | 8 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | November 8–10, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 4 | 932 | ± 3% |
Quinnipiac | June 11–16, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 7 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 12 | ||||
Joe Biden | 43% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 43% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 15–18, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 13 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 13 | ||||
Quinnipiac | March 13–18, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 11 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 11 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 11–13, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 5 | 501 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 4 |
16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[8] | October 2–5, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 1 | 895 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Herman Cain | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 44% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | August 2–5, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 45% | Tied | 520 | ± 4.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 43% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 15–18, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 7 | 602 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 45% | 5 |
4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[9] | October 9–12, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 33% | Jeb Bush | 50% | 17 | 522 | ± 4.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 33% | Chris Christie | 44% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 34% | Ted Cruz | 50% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 34% | Mike Huckabee | 52% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 33% | Rand Paul | 52% | 19 |
6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[10] | April 23–26, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 3 | 1,219 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ben Carson | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 40% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rick Perry | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 41% | 7 | ||||
Lincoln Chafee | 29% | Scott Walker | 39% | 10 | ||||
Martin O'Malley | 32% | Scott Walker | 38% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 34% | Scott Walker | 39% | 5 | ||||
Jim Webb | 32% | Scott Walker | 39% | 7 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | April 13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 3 | 1,259 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 37% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 39% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Carly Fiorina | 37% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Condoleezza Rice | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 41% | 5 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | March 29–April 7, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 1 | 948 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 39% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Rand Paul | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Scott Walker | 40% | 4 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | February 5–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 35% | 10 | 1,089 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 34% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 37% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Scott Walker | 35% | 10 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | February 12–13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 6 | 343 | ± |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 35% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 39% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Scott Walker | 41% | 6 | ||||
NBC News/Marist | February 3–10, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 8 | 891 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 38% | 11 | ||||
Reuters/Ipsos | October 23–29, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 8 | 1,129 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Chris Christie | 37% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 36% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 1 | ||||
Joe Biden | 33% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 7 | ||||
Joe Biden | 30% | Chris Christie | 41% | 11 | ||||
Joe Biden | 33% | Rand Paul | 39% | 6 | ||||
Joe Biden | 32% | Paul Ryan | 45% | 13 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 30% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 6 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 24% | Chris Christie | 39% | 15 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 30% | Rand Paul | 37% | 7 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 27% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 14 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | October 20–21, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 42.6% | Jeb Bush | 43.5% | 0.9 | 964 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 1 | ||||
The Iowa Poll | October 3–8, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 7 | 1,107 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 38% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Paul Ryan | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 8 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | September 29–30, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 41% | Tied | 522 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Paul Ryan | 44% | Tied | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 25–28, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 43% | Tied | 1,192 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 41% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 42% | 5 | ||||
NBC News/Marist | July 7–13, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 4 | 753 | ± 3.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 12 | 832 | ± 3.4% | ||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 45% | Tied | 753 | ± 3.6% | ||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 9 | 832 | ± 3.4% | ||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Scott Walker | 37% | 13 | ||||
Quinnipiac | June 12–16, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 13 | 1,277 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 36% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 40% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 6 | ||||
Loras College | June 4–5, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 48.7% | Jeb Bush | 38.2% | 5 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 47.5% | Chris Christie | 39% | 8.5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49.7% | Mike Huckabee | 39.8% | 9.9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 37.5% | 14.5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 38.7% | 11.3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 15–19, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 5 | 914 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 39% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
The Polling Company | April 13–14, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 43.8% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 4.8 | 600 | ± 4.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 41.8% | Chris Christie | 38.9% | 2.9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43.8% | Mike Huckabee | 44.1% | 0.3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44.3% | Bobby Jindal | 39.6% | 4.7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43.3% | Rand Paul | 44.3% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43.8% | Mike Pence | 32% | 11.8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43.4% | Marco Rubio | 42.3% | 1.1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45.9% | Scott Walker | 40.4% | 5.5 | ||||
Quinnipiac | March 5–10, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 14 | 1,411 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 35% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 39% | 10 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 20–23, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 4 | 869 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 39% | 6 | ||||
Quinnipiac | December 10–15, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Chris Christie | 45% | 5 | 1,617 | ± 2.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 41% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 7 | ||||
Harper Polling | November 23–24, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 38.12% | Chris Christie | 43.35% | 5.23 | 985 | ± 3.12% |
Hillary Clinton | 46.40% | Paul Ryan | 42.57% | 3.83 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45.21% | Marco Rubio | 40.79% | 4.42 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46.82% | Rand Paul | 41.06% | 5.76 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47.37% | Ted Cruz | 40.45% | 6.92 | ||||
Quinnipiac | July 15–17, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 41% | Tied | 1,256 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 39% | 7 | ||||
Joe Biden | 32% | Chris Christie | 49% | 17 | ||||
Joe Biden | 39% | Scott Walker | 42% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 5–7, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 36% | 7 | 668 | ± 3.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 37% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 35% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 14 | ||||
Quinnipiac | May 15–21, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | 1,411 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 11 | ||||
Joe Biden | 39% | Rand Paul | 44% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 39% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 31–February 3, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 41% | 5 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Chris Christie | 44% | Tied | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 3 | ||||
Joe Biden | 49% | Paul Ryan | 45% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 5 |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[11] | October 20–21, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 11 | 1,124 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Rand Paul | 50% | 13 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | October 9–12, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 11 | 1,081 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Chris Christie | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 47% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Rand Paul | 45% | 5 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | September 30–October 1, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 11 | 850 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Rand Paul | 48% | 10 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 11–14, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 6 | 1,328 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Chris Christie | 42% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Mike Huckabee | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Rand Paul | 43% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | August 14–17, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 6 | 903 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Chris Christie | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Rand Paul | 45% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 18–20, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 50% | 9 | 693 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Chris Christie | 46% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Rand Paul | 48% | 7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 5 | 1,229 | ±2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Paul Ryan | 50% | 7 |
8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[12] | June 18-21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 8 | 1,108 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Ben Carson | 49% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ted Cruz | 48% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Carly Fiorina | 45% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Rand Paul | 50% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Scott Walker | 46% | 5 | ||||
Lincoln Chafee | 23% | Scott Walker | 41% | 18 | ||||
Martin O'Malley | 22% | Scott Walker | 40% | 18 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 29% | Scott Walker | 42% | 13 | ||||
Jim Webb | 22% | Scott Walker | 42% | 20 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | October 11–12, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 48% | 3 | 1,020 | ± 3% |
Elizabeth Warren | 36% | Rand Paul | 49% | 13 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | August 7–10, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 5 | 991 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 47% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 49% | 6 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | July 17–20, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 50% | 6 | 1,054 | ± 3% |
Elizabeth Warren | 34% | Rand Paul | 52% | 18 | ||||
Survey USA | May 14–16, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 48% | 4 | 1,782 | ± 2.4% |
Public Policy Polling | December 12–15, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 4 | 1,509 | ± 2.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Chris Christie | 44% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 49% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | April 5–7, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 45% | Tied | 1,052 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | December 7–9, 2012 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 42% | 5 | 1,266 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 8 |
8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[13] | September 25–28, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 8 | 1,141 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 42% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Mike Huckabee | 50% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Bobby Jindal | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 47% | 4 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | September 5–9, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 5 | 426 | ± 5% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 45% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 26–29, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 1 | 664 | ± 3.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Bobby Jindal | 44% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 46% | Tied | ||||
Magellan Strategies | March 24–26, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 40.4% | Bobby Jindal | 45% | 4.6 | 600 | ± 4.1% |
Public Policy Polling | February 6–9, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 50% | 7 | 635 | ± 3.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Bobby Jindal | 47% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 47% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | August 16–19, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 44% | Tied | 721 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 41% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Bobby Jindal | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Paul Ryan | 46% | 2 | ||||
Harper Polling | August 14–15, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Bobby Jindal | 42% | 2 | 596 | ± 4.01% |
Public Policy Polling | February 8–12, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Bobby Jindal | 45% | 3 | 603 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Paul Ryan | 46% | Tied |
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[14] | November 8–11, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 55% | Jeb Bush | 32% | 23 | 964 | ±3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 39% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Ted Cruz | 30% | 27 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Rand Paul | 32% | 25 |
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[15] | October 6–9, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Jeb Bush | 35% | 17 | 784 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 34% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Paul Ryan | 36% | 15 |
11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[16] | March 14–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 59% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 21 | 797 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 60% | Rand Paul | 36% | 24 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Scott Walker | 38% | 20 |
16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[17] | June 25-28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 9 | 1,072 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ben Carson | 41% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 38% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 38% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 42% | 4 | ||||
Lincoln Chafee | 31% | Scott Walker | 36% | 5 | ||||
Martin O'Malley | 32% | Scott Walker | 37% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 35% | Scott Walker | 39% | 4 | ||||
Jim Webb | 31% | Scott Walker | 38% | 7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 4–7, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 11 | 687 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 36% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 39% | 10 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 26–29, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 10 | 578 | ± 4.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 35% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 34% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 36% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 37% | 10 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | April 3–6, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 11 | 825 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 37% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 39% | 9 | ||||
Marketing Resource Group | March 24–28, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 38% | 6 | 600 | ± 4.1% |
EPIC-MRA | February 5–11, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 39% | 4 | 600 | ± 4% |
Harper Polling | January 7–8, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Chris Christie | 38% | 2 | 1,004 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 40% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | December 5–8, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 4 | 1,034 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 40% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 39% | 9 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 30–June 2, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 14 | 697 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 38% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Rand Paul | 35% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 17 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 2–4, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 14 | 702 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 11 |
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[18] | June 12–15, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Michele Bachmann | 35% | 17 | 633 | ± 3.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 37% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 38% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Tim Pawlenty | 42% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 18–20, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 38% | 6 | 1,065 | ± 3% |
Amy Klobuchar | 42% | Chris Christie | 39% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 13 | ||||
Amy Klobuchar | 48% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 12 |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[19] | July 10–13, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 5 | 691 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 44% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 45% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 15–17, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 50% | 8 | 502 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Chris Christie | 49% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 46% | 2 |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[20] | February 24–25, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 35.4% | Jeb Bush | 48.5% | 13.1 | 1,035 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 33.3% | Chris Christie | 49.5% | 16.2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 33% | Mike Huckabee | 50% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Rand Paul | 48% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Scott Walker | 49% | 12 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | November 24–25, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Jeb Bush | 50% | 12 | 836 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Ted Cruz | 52% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Nikki Haley | 45% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Rand Paul | 55% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Paul Ryan | 54% | 16 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | October 23–24, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 5 | 604 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Rand Paul | 48% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Paul Ryan | 46% | 7 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | September 29–30, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 9 | 535 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Rand Paul | 46% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Paul Ryan | 51% | 14 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | July 20–22, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 10 | 741 | ± 4% |
Public Policy Polling | November 15–17, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 11 | 952 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 34% | Chris Christie | 51% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Ted Cruz | 50% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Rand Paul | 52% | 13 | ||||
Brian Schweitzer | 41% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 5 | ||||
Brian Schweitzer | 39% | Chris Christie | 47% | 8 | ||||
Brian Schweitzer | 43% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 3 | ||||
Brian Schweitzer | 42% | Rand Paul | 50% | 8 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 21–23, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 45% | Tied | 807 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Chris Christie | 45% | 5 | ||||
Brian Schweitzer | 48% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 7 | ||||
Brian Schweitzer | 42% | Chris Christie | 41% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 15–17, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 50% | 8 | 1,011 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Paul Ryan | 51% | 7 | ||||
Brian Schweitzer | 46% | Marco Rubio | 46% | Tied | ||||
Brian Schweitzer | 45% | Paul Ryan | 49% | 4 |
6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[21] | March 27, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 10 | 955 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 38% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 42% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 41% | 8 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | February 21–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 13 | 955 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 38% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 42% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Brian Sandoval | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 43% | 6 | ||||
Harper Polling | July 26–29, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | 602 | ± 3.99% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Susana Martínez | 35% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 44% | 3 |
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Purple Insights[22] | May 2–6, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 2 | 952 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 40% | 6 | ||||
WMUR/UNH | April 24–May 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 6 | 627 | ± 3.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 47% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Scott Walker | 44% | Tied | ||||
Dartmouth College | April 27–30, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 34.1% | Jeb Bush | 36.9% | 2.8 | 355 | ± 5.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 36.5% | Chris Christie | 34.4% | 2.1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 36.9% | Ted Cruz | 28.7% | 8.2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38.1% | Mike Huckabee | 31.1% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 36.1% | Rand Paul | 33.3% | 2.8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 34.5% | Marco Rubio | 34.4% | 0.1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 34.8% | Scott Walker | 38.7% | 3.9 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | April 21–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 42% | Tied | 1,117 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 41% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Scott Walker | 47% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | April 9–13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 13 | 747 | ± 3.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ben Carson | 38% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Chris Christie | 36% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rick Perry | 38% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 40% | 9 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Scott Walker | 40% | 4 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 45% | Scott Walker | 40% | 5 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | March 18–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 3 | ? | ± ? |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 43% | 3 | ||||
NBC News/Marist | February 3–10, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 6 | 887 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 42% | 7 | ||||
Purple Insights | January 31–February 5, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 14 | 503 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Scott Walker | 37% | 13 | ||||
UNH/WMUR | January 22–February 3, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 12 | 776 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 40% | 10 | ||||
Purple Insights | November 12–18, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 8 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | ||||
NBC News/Marist | July 7–13, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 5 | 1,342 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 39% | 9 | ||||
Rockefeller Center | April 21–25, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 42.1% | Jeb Bush | 32.2% | 9.9 | 412 | ± 4.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 36.5% | Chris Christie | 34.4% | 2.1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38.3% | Mike Huckabee | 36.2% | 2.1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 35.8% | Rand Paul | 38.4% | 2.6 | ||||
Purple Strategies | January 21–23, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 4 | 1,052 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 44% | 2 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 35% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 11 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 33% | Chris Christie | 45% | 12 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 11 | 1,354 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 39% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 32% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 37% | 13 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 13–16, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Kelly Ayotte | 42% | 8 | 1,038 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 39% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 41% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 9 | ||||
Rockefeller Center | April 22–25, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 37.1% | Chris Christie | 32.3% | 4.8 | 433 | ± 4.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 44.3% | Marco Rubio | 33.2% | 11.1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | April 19–21, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 41% | 11 | 933 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 14 |
14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University[23] | April 9–14, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 33% | 20 | 1,428 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Chris Christie | 36% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Ted Cruz | 30% | 28 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Mike Huckabee | 30% | 26 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 34% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Marco Rubio | 34% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Scott Walker | 32% | 22 | ||||
Rutgers-Eagleton | February 3–10, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 58% | Jeb Bush | 32% | 26 | 694 | ± 4.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Chris Christie | 35% | 23 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 60% | Scott Walker | 29% | 31 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | January 15–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 16 | 1,211 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Chris Christie | 39% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Mike Huckabee | 33% | 23 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 35% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 15 | ||||
Rutgers-Eagleton | December 3–10, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 39% | 10 | 646 | ± 3.9% |
Quinnipiac University | December 3–8, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 31% | 22 | 1,340 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 39% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Rand Paul | 31% | 24 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 17 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | September 25–29, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 32% | 21 | 1,475 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 40% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Rand Paul | 31% | 24 | ||||
Fairleigh Dickinson University | September 1–7, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 32% | 19 | 721 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 33% | 15 | ||||
Rutgers-Eagleton | July 28–August 5, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Chris Christie | 40% | 11 | 750 | ± 4% |
Quinnipiac | July 31–August 1, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Jeb Bush | 34% | 20 | 1,148 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 42% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Mike Huckabee | 34% | 23 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Rand Paul | 35% | 20 | ||||
Rutgers | February 22–28, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Chris Christie | 41% | 10 | 842 | ± 3.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Rand Paul | 29% | 29 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Paul Ryan | 33% | 25 | ||||
Rutgers | January 22, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 55% | Chris Christie | 34% | 21 | ? | ± ? |
Monmouth University | December 4–8, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 46% | 3 | 698/802 | ± 3.5% |
Andrew Cuomo | 33% | Chris Christie | 52% | 19 | ||||
NBC News/exit poll | November 6, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 44% | 4 | ? | ± ? |
Quinnipiac | September 23–29, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 36% | 13 | 1,497 | ± 2.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rand Paul | 36% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Ted Cruz | 31% | 23 | ||||
Pulse Opinion Research | September 19, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 43% | 5 | 1,000 | ± ? |
NBC News/Marist | April 28–May 2, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Chris Christie | 41% | 11 | 1,095 | ± 3% |
Joe Biden | 40% | Chris Christie | 51% | 11 | ||||
Quinnipiac | February 13–17, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 45% | 4 | 1,149 | ± 2.9% |
Andrew Cuomo | 36% | Chris Christie | 54% | 18 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 26–28, 2012 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Chris Christie | 40% | 12 | 600 | ± 4% |
Joe Biden | 41% | Chris Christie | 47% | 6 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 35% | Chris Christie | 50% | 15 |
5 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[24] | September 27–October 1, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 14 | 727 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 36% | 13 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 20–23, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 16 | 674 | ± 3.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Chris Christie | 35% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Mike Huckabee | 34% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Susana Martinez | 39% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 36% | 15 |
29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College[25] | March 11–16, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 55% | Jeb Bush | 32% | 23 | 785 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Chris Christie | 34% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 59% | Ted Cruz | 26% | 33 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Rand Paul | 29% | 29 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 59% | Marco Rubio | 30% | 29 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | March 11–16, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 58% | Jeb Bush | 30% | 28 | 1,228 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Chris Christie | 34% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 60% | Ted Cruz | 27% | 33 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Mike Huckabee | 29% | 29 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | George Pataki | 34% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 59% | Rand Paul | 31% | 28 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Marco Rubio | 31% | 27 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Scott Walker | 31% | 27 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | August 14–17, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 60% | Jeb Bush | 29% | 31 | 1,034 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Chris Christie | 34% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 61% | Rand Paul | 30% | 31 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 53% | Jeb Bush | 30% | 23 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 47% | Chris Christie | 37% | 10 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 55% | Rand Paul | 31% | 24 | ||||
Siena College | February 22–28, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 64% | Chris Christie | 28% | 36 | 814 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 67% | Rand Paul | 24% | 43 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 64% | Paul Ryan | 27% | 37 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | February 6–10, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 58% | Chris Christie | 31% | 27 | 1,488 | ± 2.5% |
Andrew Cuomo | 50% | Chris Christie | 34% | 16 | ||||
Siena College | January 12–16, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 60% | Chris Christie | 32% | 28 | 808 | ± 3.4% |
Andrew Cuomo | 55% | Chris Christie | 35% | 20 | ||||
Marist | November 18–20, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 57% | Chris Christie | 39% | 18 | 675 | ± 3.8% |
Andrew Cuomo | 51% | Chris Christie | 44% | 7 | ||||
Siena College | November 8–11, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 56% | Chris Christie | 40% | 16 | 806 | ± 3.5% |
Andrew Cuomo | 42% | Chris Christie | 47% | 5 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | March 11–17, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 59% | Chris Christie | 32% | 27 | 1,165 | ± 2.9% |
Andrew Cuomo | 46% | Chris Christie | 38% | 8 |
15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[26] | July 2–6, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 2 | 529 | ± 4.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 47% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Carly Fiorina | 45% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 46% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Scott Walker | 47% | 4 | ||||
Lincoln Chafee | 29% | Scott Walker | 43% | 14 | ||||
Martin O'Malley | 29% | Scott Walker | 45% | 16 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 35% | Scott Walker | 43% | 8 | ||||
Jim Webb | 31% | Scott Walker | 44% | 13 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[27] | May 28-31, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 7 | 561 | ± 4.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 40% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 40% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 44% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Scott Walker | 45% | Tied | ||||
Lincoln Chafee | 29% | Scott Walker | 42% | 13 | ||||
Martin O'Malley | 28% | Scott Walker | 44% | 16 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 33% | Scott Walker | 43% | 10 | ||||
Jim Webb | 31% | Scott Walker | 42% | 11 | ||||
SurveyUSA | April 22–27, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 2 | 1,070 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 39% | 9 | ||||
Elon University | April 20–24, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47.4% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 3.4 | 677 | ± 3.77% |
Public Policy Polling | April 2–5, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 1 | 751 | ± 3.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 41% | |||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 45% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Mike Huckabee | 48% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 45% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rick Perry | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 45% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Scott Walker | 46% | 3 | ||||
Joe Biden | 39% | Scott Walker | 48% | 9 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 36% | Scott Walker | 46% | 10 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 24–26, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 4 | 849 | 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 46% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rick Perry | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Scott Walker | 43% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 40% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 7 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 38% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 8 | ||||
Elon University | February 16–20, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45.7% | Jeb Bush | 40.2% | 5.5 | 773 | ± 3.52% |
Public Policy Polling | January 29–31, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 44% | Tied | 845 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 45% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 44% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 41% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 7 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 39% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 8 | ||||
Meeting Street Research | January 21–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | 500 | ± 4.38% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | December 4–7, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 46% | Tied | 823 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 44% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 42% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 42% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 40% | Ben Carson | 45% | 5 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 39% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 7 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 37% | Ben Carson | 44% | 7 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | October 29–30, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 47% | 2 | 1,006 | ± 3% |
Elizabeth Warren | 34% | Rand Paul | 47% | 13 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | October 16–18, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Rand Paul | 48% | 6 | 1,022 | ± 3% |
Elizabeth Warren | 32% | Rand Paul | 48% | 16 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | September 22–23, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 45% | 1 | 860 | ± 3% |
Elizabeth Warren | 33% | Rand Paul | 46% | 13 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 11–14, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 2 | 1,266 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 38% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 41% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | August 14–17, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 4 | 856 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 38% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 42% | 5 | ||||
Civitas Institute | July 28–29, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 1 | 600 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 47% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 47% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Jeb Bush | 50% | 6 | ||||
Joe Biden | 42% | Chris Christie | 49% | 7 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Rand Paul | 49% | 5 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | July 22–27, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 43% | 2 | 1,380 | ± 3% |
Elizabeth Warren | 35% | Rand Paul | 44% | 9 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 12–15, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 1 | 1,076 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 41% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 43% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 9–11, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 3 | 877 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 40% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 44% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | April 3–6, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 1 | 740 | ± 3.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 43% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 6–9, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 1 | 884 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 43% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 6–9, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 4 | 708 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 44% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 2 | 1,384 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 43% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | December 5–8, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 1 | 1,281 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 44% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 8–11, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 4 | 701 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 41% | 9 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | April 11–14, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 40% | 12 | 601 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 7 |
18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University[28] | June 4-15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 1 | 1,191 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 39% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | John Kasich | 47% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 43% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Scott Walker | 40% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 4-7, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 2 | 859 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | John Kasich | 47% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Rand Paul | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 44% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Scott Walker | 43% | 1 | ||||
Michael Bloomberg | 32% | Scott Walker | 40% | 8 | ||||
Lincoln Chafee | 24% | Scott Walker | 39% | 15 | ||||
Martin O'Malley | 26% | Scott Walker | 41% | 15 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 30% | Scott Walker | 40% | 10 | ||||
Jim Webb | 25% | Scott Walker | 41% | 16 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | March 17–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 9 | 1,077 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 39% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 38% | 11 | ||||
Public Policy Polling↑ | March 2–3, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 5 | 946 | ± ? |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 41% | 8 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | January 22–February 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 11 | 943 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 34% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 34% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | John Kasich | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 36% | 12 | ||||
Fox News | October 28–30, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 10 | 803 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | John Kasich | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rick Perry | 39% | 10 | ||||
Quinnipiac | July 24–28, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 11 | 1,366 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 37% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | John Kasich | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
Quinnipiac | May 7–12, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 9 | 1,174 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 38% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | John Kasich | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 41% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 7 | ||||
Quinnipiac | February 12–17, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 15 | 1,370 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 36% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 34% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | John Kasich | 39% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 38% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 9 | ||||
Quinnipiac | November 19–24, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 13 | 1,361 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 41% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | John Kasich | 38% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 40% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 8 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | August 16–19, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 14 | 551 | ± 4.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 36% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | John Kasich | 35% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 36% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Paul Ryan | 36% | 16 | ||||
Quinnipiac | June 18–23, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 42% | Tied | 941 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 44% | 3 | ||||
Joe Biden | 32% | Chris Christie | 50% | 18 | ||||
Joe Biden | 40% | Rand Paul | 49% | 9 |
- ↑ Poll conducted for the Ohio Democratic Party
7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 67%–33%
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[29] | May 22–27, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 15 | 956 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Chris Christie | 34% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 39% | 12 |
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University[30] | June 4-15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 4 | 970 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 41% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | John Kasich | 39% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 41% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 21-24, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 11 | 799 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ben Carson | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rick Santorum | 42% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Scott Walker | 41% | 4 | ||||
Lincoln Chafee | 27% | Scott Walker | 36% | 9 | ||||
Martin O'Malley | 30% | Scott Walker | 38% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 32% | Scott Walker | 37% | 5 | ||||
Jim Webb | 29% | Scott Walker | 36% | 8 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | March 17–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 6 | 1,036 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 40% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 41% | 5 | ||||
Muhlenberg College | January 28–February 11, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 32% | 16 | 351 | ± 7% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 31% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | ?% | Mitt Romney | ?% | ? | ||||
Quinnipiac University | January 22–February 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 35% | 15 | 881 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 39% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Mike Huckabee | 34% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rand Paul | 34% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rick Santorum | 34% | 20 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 15–18, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 11 | 1,042 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ben Carson | 37% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 39% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rick Santorum | 36% | 16 | ||||
Joe Biden | 41% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 2 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 36% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 8 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 30–June 1, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 14 | 835 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Ted Cruz | 34% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Mike Huckabee | 37% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 38% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 11 | ||||
Quinnipiac | May 29–June 2, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 35% | 16 | 1,308 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 41% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 36% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 37% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 38% | 12 | ||||
Quinnipiac | February 19–24, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 17 | 1,405 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Ted Cruz | 34% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rand Paul | 38% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rick Santorum | 37% | 16 | ||||
Quinnipiac | December 11–16, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 16 | 1,061 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 40% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 13 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 4 | 693 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 48% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 43% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rick Santorum | 42% | 9 | ||||
Quinnipiac | May 30–June 4, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 37% | 15 | 1,032 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rick Santorum | 36% | 17 | ||||
Joe Biden | 45% | Rand Paul | 41% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 8–10, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 15 | 504 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 17 | ||||
Quinnipiac | March 6–11, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 42% | 5 | 1,116 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Paul Ryan | 38% | 17 | ||||
Joe Biden | 38% | Chris Christie | 51% | 13 | ||||
Joe Biden | 45% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Paul Ryan | 47% | 13 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 32% | Chris Christie | 53% | 21 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 42% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 4 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 44% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 3 |
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[31] | February 12–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 7 | 868 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ben Carson | 48% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Lindsey Graham | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rick Perry | 48% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Scott Walker | 46% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 36% | Jeb Bush | 53% | 17 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 34% | Jeb Bush | 50% | 16 | ||||
NBC News/Marist | February 3–10, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 3 | 877 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 46% | Tied | ||||
Harper Polling | October 27–28, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Chris Christie | 43% | 5 | 676 | ± 3.77% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 7 |
38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[32] | April 10–13, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 50% | 8 | 559 | ± 4.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 50% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Mike Huckabee | 50% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Rand Paul | 50% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rick Perry | 49% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 1–4, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 7 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Chris Christie | 44% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 48% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 48% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rick Perry | 45% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 3 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Chris Christie | 47% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 49% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rick Perry | 44% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 43% | 2 | 500 | ±4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rick Perry | 42% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 1 |
13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | July 13-15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 8 | 1,170 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 39% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jim Gilmore | 35% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Scott Walker | 42% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 38% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Donald Trump | 39% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 38% | Scott Walker | 39% | 1 | ||||
Jim Webb | 40% | Scott Walker | 37% | 3 | ||||
Christopher Newport University[33] | April 13–24, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 2 | 658 | ± 4.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 47% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 43% | 5 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | March 29–April 7, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 7 | 961 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 40% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Scott Walker | 40% | 7 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | February 5–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 42% | Tied | 1,074 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 39% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 42% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Scott Walker | 40% | 5 | ||||
Christopher Newport University | January 30–February 10, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 5 | 794 | ± 3.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 42% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 42% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Paul Ryan | 42% | 10 | ||||
Roanoke College | September 13–19, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 37% | 10 | 630 | ± 3.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 35% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 37% | 13 | ||||
Roanoke College | July 14–19, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 34% | 10 | 566 | ± 4.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 37% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Paul Ryan | 38% | 9 | ||||
Quinnipiac | March 19–24, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 8 | 1,288 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 41% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 42% | 6 | ||||
Roanoke College | February 22–28, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 40% | 8 | 707 | ± 3.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 38% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 11 | ||||
Christopher Newport University | February 23–28, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 13 | 901 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 41% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Mike Huckabee | 37% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Paul Ryan | 37% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 35% | 11 | ||||
Washington Free Beacon | November 19–20, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 44% | 2 | 600 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 43% | 7 | ||||
Mark Warner | 42% | Chris Christie | 41% | 1 | ||||
Mark Warner | 52% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 15 | ||||
Mark Warner | 53% | Rand Paul | 39% | 14 | ||||
Harper Polling | September 15–16, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 41% | Tied | 779 | ± 3.51% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 7 | ||||
Purple Strategies | September 6–10, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 40% | 2 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 41% | 7 | ||||
Quinnipiac | August 14–19, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 37% | 9 | 1,374 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Ted Cruz | 34% | 17 | ||||
Joe Biden | 37% | Chris Christie | 44% | 7 | ||||
Joe Biden | 47% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 10 | ||||
Quinnipiac | July 11–15, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 40% | 5 | 1,030 | ±3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 37% | 14 | ||||
Joe Biden | 38% | Chris Christie | 46% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 47% | Rand Paul | 40% | 7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 11–14, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 41% | 1 | 601 | ±4% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Bob McDonnell | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 39% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 12 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 24–26, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Bob McDonnell | 42% | 6 | 672 | ± 3.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 4 | ||||
Quinnipiac | May 8–13, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 13 | 1,286 | ±2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 10 | ||||
Mark Warner | 51% | Marco Rubio | 33% | 18 | ||||
Mark Warner | 50% | Paul Ryan | 37% | 13 | ||||
NBC News/Marist | April 28–May 2, 2012 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Bob McDonnell | 41% | 11 | 1,095 | ±3% |
Joe Biden | 42% | Bob McDonnell | 49% | 7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | April 26–29, 2012 | Mark Warner | 50% | Bob McDonnell | 37% | 13 | 680 | ±3.8% |
12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[34] | May 18–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 8 | 1,032 | ±3% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 40% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 37% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 8 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 14–17, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 11 | 879 | ±3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ben Carson | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 34% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 37% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rick Perry | 37% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 38% | 10 | ||||
Lincoln Chafee | 29% | Scott Walker | 35% | 6 | ||||
Martin O'Malley | 31% | Scott Walker | 34% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 35% | Scott Walker | 35% | Tied | ||||
Jim Webb | 32% | Scott Walker | 33% | 1 |
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[35] | September 19–22, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Jeb Bush | 52% | 14 | 1,110 | ±2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Chris Christie | 47% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Rand Paul | 49% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Paul Ryan | 50% | 12 |
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Wisconsin Survey[36] | April 8–17, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Scott Walker | 42% | 2 | 600 | ± 4% |
Marquette University | April 7–10, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48.8% | Jeb Bush | 37.9% | 10.9 | 803 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 52.1% | Ted Cruz | 36.4% | 15.7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 41% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49.5% | Marco Rubio | 37.7% | 11.8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51.5% | Scott Walker | 39.8% | 11.7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 6–8, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 10 | 1,071 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ben Carson | 38% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 39% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rick Perry | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Scott Walker | 43% | 9 | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Scott Walker | 45% | 3 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 48% | Scott Walker | 45% | 3 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | October 3–4, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Paul Ryan | 51% | 7 | 837 | ± 3% |
Gravis Marketing | September 22–23, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Paul Ryan | 46% | 1 | 908 | ± 3% |
Gravis Marketing | July 31–August 2, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Paul Ryan | 48% | 1 | 1,346 | ± 3% |
Public Policy Polling | April 17–20, 2014 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 11 | 1,144 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 36% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 39% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 45% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Scott Walker | 44% | 7 | ||||
Marquette University | October 21–24, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 40.3% | 9.7 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 55.3% | Ted Cruz | 33.4% | 21.9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50.7% | Paul Ryan | 43% | 7.7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53.3% | Scott Walker | 40.6% | 12.7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 13–16, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 4 | 1,180 | ±2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 40% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Paul Ryan | 46% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 44% | 5 | ||||
Marquette University | May 6–9, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 46.5% | Chris Christie | 40% | 6.5 | 717 | ±3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 50.8% | Rand Paul | 37.2% | 13.6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51.1% | Marco Rubio | 34.9% | 16.2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48.5% | Paul Ryan | 43.5% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50.2% | Scott Walker | 41.7% | 8.5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 14 | 1,799 | ±2.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Paul Ryan | 43% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Scott Walker | 41% | 13 |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%
(Republican in 2012) 69%–28%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[37] | July 19–21, 2013 | Hillary Clinton | 31% | Jeb Bush | 58% | 27 | 1,203 | ±2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 28% | Chris Christie | 56% | 28 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 32% | Rand Paul | 58% | 26 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 32% | Marco Rubio | 56% | 24 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 32% | Paul Ryan | 59% | 27 |
See also
- General election polling
- Democratic primary polling
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2016 presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
- Republican primary polling
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2016 presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016
References
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- ^ "Gravis Insights Political Telephone Survey Montana". Retrieved 2015-07-09.
- ^ "Nevada poll: Sandoval early favorite to succeed Reid; Cruz surges to lead pack with Walker". Retrieved 2015-07-09.
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- ^ University, Quinnipiac. "Release Detail". Quinnipiac University. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
- ^ "Current New Mexico Polling - Gravis". Retrieved 2015-07-09.
- ^ "https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/SNY_April_2015_Poll_Release_--_FINAL.pdf" (PDF). www.siena.edu. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
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- ^ Public Policy Polling Trump Leads GOP Field in North Carolina (July 2–6, 2015)
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- ^ http://cnu.edu/cpp/pdf/april%2027%202015%20report.pdf
- ^ "Washington State poll: Paul leads GOP field, Murray leads McMorris Rodgers; Right to Work up 45% to 33% - Gravis". Retrieved 2015-07-09.
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- ^ http://www.wpr.org/sites/default/files/15%20Spring%20WI%20Survey%20FREQS%20Final_0.pdf
- ^ "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WY_724.pdf" (PDF). www.publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
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