2020 Taiwan presidential election

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2020 Taiwan presidential election

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Party DPP Kuomintang

 
Party New Power People First

ROC-county-division-blank.svg
Taiwan by administrative divisions

Incumbent President

Tsai Ing-wen
DPP



The 15th President and Vice President election of the Republic of China (Chinese: 中華民國第十五屆總統、副總統選舉) is scheduled to be held in Taiwan on 11 January 2020.[1] Voters will either elect a new President and Vice President or re-elect the incumbents. The process of presidential primary elections and nominations are likely to be held during the last six months of 2019.

Incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), who was elected in 2016, is eligible to seek for a second term. The winner of the 2020 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on 20 May 2020. The 10th Legislative Yuan election will also be held concurrently.

Background[edit]

Presidential candidates and Vice Presidential running mates are elected on the same ticket, using first-past-the-post voting. This will be the seventh direct election of the president and vice president, the posts having previously been indirectly elected by the National Assembly until 1996.

Under the Article 22 of the Presidential and Vice Presidential Election and Recall Act, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), Kuomintang (KMT), New Power Party (NPP) and People First Party (PFP), which received more than five per cent of the total vote share in the latest election in any level, are eligible to contest the election, registering with the Central Election Commission as the candidates for President and Vice President is filed by the way of political party recommendation, a letter of recommendation stamped with the political party’s seal issued by the Ministry of the Interior shall be submitted together with the application. Under Article 23, independent candidates and smaller parties are also eligible to contest, registering as the candidates for President and Vice President by the way of joint signature shall, within five days after the public notice for election is issued, apply to the Central Election Commission for being the presenter recommended by way of joint signature, receive a list of joint signers and to receive 1.5 per cent of the total electors in the latest election of the members of the Legislative Yuan, and pay the deposit of NT$1,000,000.[2]

According to the constitution, the incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen and Vice President Chen Chien-jen, who will finish their first full term, are eligible for re-election.

Nominations[edit]

Democratic Progressive Party[edit]

The chance of incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen seeking for re-election was heavily crippled after the Democratic Progressive Party's devastating defeat in the 2018 local elections, where the DPP lost seven of the 13 cities and counties it previously held. The DPP’s share of the vote also fell from 56 to 39 per cent since the 2016 presidential election.[3] Tsai resigned as the party chairwoman after the defeat. However, Tsai kept trailing behind in the polls as the surveys found most Taiwanese would not support Tsai in the 2020 election but would support Premier William Lai, who also resigned from the premiership for the electoral defeat in January 2019.

On 19 February 2019, Tsai Ing-wen told CNN in an interview she will run for re-election, despite facing calls from senior members of her own party to not seek re-election. Before her announcement, Tsai had received a bump in the polls after she gave a robust speech saying that her people would never relinquish their democratic freedoms, as a response to the General Secretary of the Communist Party of China Xi Jinping's speech in January describing Taiwan's unification with the mainland as "inevitable".[4]

On 18 March, William Lai registered to run in the party's presidential primary, saying that he could shoulder the responsibility of leading Taiwan in defending itself from being annexed by China.[5] This is the first time in history where a serious primary challenge has been mounted against a sitting president.[6]

Declared candidates[edit]

Name Born Current or previous positions Announced Ref
蔡英文官方元首肖像照 (cropped).png
Tsai Ing-wen
August 30, 1956 (age 62)
Taipei City, Taiwan
President of the Republic of China (2016–present) February 19, 2019 [4]
賴清德市長.jpg
William Lai
October 6, 1959 (age 59)
Taipei County, Taiwan
President of the Executive Yuan (2017–2019) March 18, 2019 [5]

Kuomintang[edit]

Former Kuomintang chairman and 2016 presidential candidate Eric Chu announced that he would run in the 2020 presidential race when he stepped down on 25 December 2018 as Mayor of New Taipei City, becoming the first big-name politician to throw his hat in the ring.[7] Former President of the Legislative Yuan Wang Jin-pyng also announced his presidential bid on 7 March.[8] Other candidates include former Deputy Secretary-General of the Presidential Office and incumbent Taipei City Councillor Lo Chih-chiang and National Taiwan University professor Chang Ya-chung who have also announced their candidacies.

The party has decided to hold its primary based on a 70-30 weighing of public polls and party member votes, although it has not ruled out the possibility of drafting the strongest candidate in an all-out effort to win back power, which was seen to be reserved for the party's best performing candidate in the polls, Mayor of Kaohsiung Han Kuo-yu.[8] Several KMT heavyweights such as party chairman Wu Den-yih and even former President Ma Ying-jeou were believed to also be interested in running for the party's presidential nomination.[9] Wu Den-yih’s withdrew his proposal to only allow KMT members to decide the party’s presidential candidate which drew criticism, with some questioning whether he aimed to rig the game for himself, before he declined to run on 11 April.[10]

On 17 April, founder and chairman of Foxconn Terry Gou announced his presidential bid by joining the KMT presidential primary.[11] He also stated that he would not accept to be drafted to run. Han, Gou's potential rival, announced on 23 April that he was "willing to take responsibility" for the development of Taiwan but was "unable" to participate in the party's primary in its current form. He expressed his disapproval of the "closed-door negotiations" within the party and called for reform.[12] In order to settle the demand from Han's supporters, the party adopted a resolution to put in place special guidelines to include all its presidential hopefuls, including Han, in its primary on the next day, and also switch the primary method from 70-30 weighing of public polls and party member votes to fully being determined by public polls.[13]

Declared candidates[edit]

Name Born Current or previous positions Announced Ref
Yia-Chung Chang (cropped).jpg
Chang Ya-chung
December 1954 (age 64)
Taichung City, Taiwan
Professor of the National Taiwan University January 7, 2019 [14]
2008TourDeTaiwan TaipeiCounty PressConference Hsi-wei Chou.jpg
Chou Hsi-wei
March 11, 1958 (age 61)
Changhua County, Taiwan
Magistrate of Taipei County (2005–2010) February 26, 2019 [15]
Eric Chu Chopped 2017.png
Eric Chu
June 7, 1961 (age 57)
Taoyuan County, Taiwan
Mayor of New Taipei (2016–2018) December 25, 2018 [16]
Terry Gou.jpg
Terry Gou
October 8, 1950 (age 68)
Taipei County, Taiwan
Founder and Chairman of Foxconn April 17, 2019 [17]
王委員金平 (第九屆).jpg
Wang Jin-pyng
March 17, 1941 (age 78)
Takao Prefecture, Japanese Taiwan
Member of the Legislative Yuan (1976–present) March 7, 2019 [8]

Withdrawn candidates[edit]

The candidates in this section have withdrawn or suspended their campaigns.

Candidate Born Experience Campaign Ref
Blanksvg.svg
Lo Chih-chiang
March 26, 1970 (age 49)
Hualien City, Taiwan
Taipei City Councillor (2018–present) November 26, 2018
Withdrawn: April 7, 2019
[18][19]

Declined candidates[edit]

Potential candidates[edit]

People First Party[edit]

Four-time presidential candidate James Soong is speculated to run again in 2020 on a joint ticket with nonpartisan Mayor of Taipei Ko Wen-je.[25]

Potential candidates[edit]

Other parties and independents[edit]

Declared candidates[edit]

Name Born Current or previous positions Announced Ref
張善政照片.jpg
Chang San-cheng
June 24, 1954 (age 64)
Taipei City, Taiwan
President of the Executive Yuan (2016) February 17, 2019 [26]

Potential candidates[edit]

Opinion polling[edit]

Two-way contest[edit]

Chu–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Eric Chu
KMT
Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
19 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,080 38.2 36.8
11 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,077 37.6 36.3
8 May 2019 TVBS 951 40.0 40.0
29 April 2019 TVBS 1,090 41.0 35.0
25 April 2019 TVBS 1,222 40.0 33.0
26 March 2019 Formosa 1,072 40.8 35.8
5 March 2019 Fount Media 1,077 50.0 34.9
22 February 2019 TPOF 1,089 46.5 37.9
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 46.0 27.0
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 50.2 33.6
27 December 2018 UDN 1,186 56.0 22.0
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 53.6 27.8
14 December 2018 TVBS 834 50.0 23.0

Chu–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Eric Chu
KMT
William Lai
DPP
19 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,080 35.9 38.3
11 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,077 34.7 42.2
8 May 2019 TVBS 951 37.0 43.0
29 April 2019 TVBS 1,090 36.0 41.0
25 April 2019 TVBS 1,222 36.0 39.0
26 March 2019 Formosa 1,072 38.2 40.6
19 March 2019 TPOF 1,073 34.1 53.1
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 41.0 33.0
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 43.8 39.4
27 December 2018 UDN 1,186 47.0 32.0
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 43.8 41.0
14 December 2018 TVBS 834 40.0 39.0

Wang–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Wang Jin-pyng
KMT
Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
19 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,080 25.5 37.4
11 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,077 26.9 38.3
8 May 2019 TVBS 951 27.0 39.0
29 April 2019 TVBS 1,090 27.0 35.0
25 April 2019 TVBS 1,222 28.0 34.0
5 March 2019 Fount Media 1,077 43.3 34.2
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 39.0 26.0
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 39.6 34.6

Wang–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Wang Jin-pyng
KMT
William Lai
DPP
19 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,080 20.7 45.2
11 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,077 19.8 46.4
8 May 2019 TVBS 951 25.0 44.0
29 April 2019 TVBS 1,090 22.0 42.0
25 April 2019 TVBS 1,222 24.0 41.0
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 31.0 33.0
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 34.1 44.5

Han–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Han Kuo-yu
KMT
Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
19 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,080 40.4 38.6
15 May 2019 United Daily 1,103 44.0 38.0
13 May 2019 EtToday 2,875 43.7 33.7
11 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,077 42.4 37.4
8 May 2019 TVBS 951 50.0 38.0
30 April 2019 China Daily 1,004 49.6 30.4
29 April 2019 TVBS 1,090 52.0 34.0
25 April 2019 Formosa 1,068 44.1 35.9
25 April 2019 TVBS 1,222 51.0 33.0
21 April 2019 TPOF 1,072 47.9 39.6
17 April 2019 Formosa 1,078 48.7 33.9
26 March 2019 Formosa 1,072 49.5 34.5
5 March 2019 Fount Media 1,077 54.9 31.6
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 54.0 25.0
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 52.5 33.4
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 48.7 32.3

Han–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Han Kuo-yu
KMT
William Lai
DPP
19 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,080 40.3 40.3
15 May 2019 United Daily 1,103 40.0 39.0
13 May 2019 EtToday 2,875 43.4 30.5
11 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,077 40.1 39.7
8 May 2019 TVBS 951 48.0 40.0
30 April 2019 China Daily 1,004 47.2 32.9
29 April 2019 TVBS 1,090 50.0 37.0
25 April 2019 Formosa 1,068 40.8 39.3
25 April 2019 TVBS 1,222 50.0 36.0
21 April 2019 TPOF 1,072 41.7 46.2
17 April 2019 Formosa 1,078 46.4 37.5
26 March 2019 Formosa 1,072 45.5 39.8
19 March 2019 TPOF 1,073 41.5 48.7
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 49.0 32.0
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 49.4 36.9
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 43.5 41.6

Ma–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Ma Ying-jeou
KMT
Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
14 December 2018 TVBS 834 37.0 29.0

Ma–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Ma Ying-jeou
KMT
William Lai
DPP
14 December 2018 TVBS 834 31.0 45.0

Chang–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Chang San-cheng
Ind.
Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
14 December 2018 TVBS 834 34.0 27.0

Chang–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Chang San-cheng
Ind.
Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
14 December 2018 TVBS 834 26.0 47.0

Gou–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Terry Gou
KMT/Ind.
Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
19 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,080 40.7 33.5
15 May 2019 United Daily 1,103 46.0 33.0
13 May 2019 EtToday 2,875 42.9 31.7
11 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,077 37.4 37.4
8 May 2019 TVBS 951 43.0 36.0
30 April 2019 China Daily 1,004 45.6 30.3
29 April 2019 TVBS 1,090 44.0 35.0
25 April 2019 Formosa 1,068 37.1 35.9
25 April 2019 TVBS 1,222 44.0 33.0
17 April 2019 Formosa 1,078 48.2 32.1
17 April 2019 IPO 1,068 50.2 27.1
2 May 2017 CTW 825 35.7 24.2

Gou–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Terry Gou
KMT
William Lai
DPP
19 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,080 36.4 37.6
15 May 2019 United Daily 1,103 43.0 36.0
13 May 2019 EtToday 2,875 42.6 28.7
11 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,077 32.3 43.5
8 May 2019 TVBS 951 42.0 40.0
30 April 2019 China Daily 1,004 43.0 33.1
29 April 2019 TVBS 1,090 42.0 38.0
25 April 2019 Formosa 1,068 34.7 39.6
25 April 2019 TVBS 1,222 42.0 37.0
17 April 2019 Formosa 1,078 44.6 38.6
17 April 2019 IPO 1,068 42.6 33.6
Other hypothetical polling

Wu–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Wu Den-yih
KMT
Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 27.0 32.0
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 29.4 41.4
14 December 2018 TVBS 834 26.0 34.0

Wu–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Wu Den-yih
KMT
William Lai
DPP
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 22.0 41.0
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 19.9 60.3
14 December 2018 TVBS 834 18.0 53.0

Three-way contest[edit]

Ko–Chu–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Ko Wen-je
Ind.
Eric Chu
KMT
Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
19 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,080 28.2 26.8 25.1
8 May 2019 TVBS 951 33.0 26.0 24.0
29 April 2019 TVBS 1,090 33.0 26.0 23.0
25 April 2019 TVBS 1,222 33.0 26.0 22.0
21 April 2019 ETtoday 7,868 28.8 24.7 27.8
21 April 2019 UDN 1,178 34.0 25.0 20.0
2 April 2019 Fount Media 1,079 35.9 30.1 22.7
26 March 2019 Formosa 1,072 32.4 24.6 23.2
5 March 2019 China Daily 2,026 25.7 31.0 12.2
22 February 2019 TPOF 1,089 35.1 25.6 24.3
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 41.0 29.0 16.0
18 February 2019 EtToday 1,072 34.7 32.9 19.8
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 32.4 31.8 23.6
22 January 2019 TVBS 1,398 36.0 30.0 15.0
15 January 2019 NCCU 1,120 38.7 21.5 15.3
27 December 2018 UDN 1,186 45.0 30.0 11.0
24 December 2018 Formosa 1,074 33.3 27.2 22.8
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 34.3 29.5 28.2

Ko–Chu–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Ko Wen-je
Ind.
Eric Chu
KMT
William Lai
DPP
19 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,080 28.0 26.0 27.1
8 May 2019 TVBS 951 33.0 27.0 25.0
29 April 2019 TVBS 1,090 33.0 25.0 24.0
25 April 2019 TVBS 1,222 32.0 26.0 23.0
21 April 2019 ETtoday 7,868 31.8 25.4 19.7
21 April 2019 UDN 1,178 34.0 23.0 23.0
2 April 2019 Fount Media 1,079 34.9 27.4 26.4
26 March 2019 Formosa 1,072 32.8 24.8 25.1
19 March 2019 TPOF 1,073 30.3 22.0 38.0
5 March 2019 China Daily 2,026 24.8 27.5 13.8
22 February 2019 TPOF 1,089 34.1 23.7 30.4
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 39.0 27.0 19.0
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 31.2 30.0 25.8
22 January 2019 TVBS 1,398 33.0 29.0 21.0
27 December 2018 UDN 1,186 42.0 28.0 18.0
24 December 2018 Formosa 1,074 33.3 27.2 22.8
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 34.3 29.5 28.2

Ko–Wang–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Ko Wen-je
Ind.
Wang Jin-pyng
KMT
Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
19 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,080 32.9 14.3 26.4
8 May 2019 TVBS 951 38.0 15.0 23.0
29 April 2019 TVBS 1,090 38.0 14.0 22.0
25 April 2019 TVBS 1,222 37.0 15.0 22.0
21 April 2019 ETtoday 7,868 33.5 9.4 28.0
21 April 2019 UDN 1,178 39.0 13.0 19.0
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 41.0 23.0 17.0
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 40.1 20.5 21.6
22 January 2019 TVBS 1,398 38.0 22.0 15.0

Ko–Wang–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Ko Wen-je
Ind.
Wang Jin-pyng
KMT
William Lai
DPP
19 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,080 33.7 12.7 28.0
8 May 2019 TVBS 951 37.0 13.0 24.0
29 April 2019 TVBS 1,090 37.0 12.0 24.0
25 April 2019 TVBS 1,222 36.0 14.0 24.0
21 April 2019 ETtoday 7,868 37.1 9.4 19.5
21 April 2019 UDN 1,178 39.0 11.0 24.0
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 38.0 21.0 23.0
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 38.3 19.0 26.5
22 January 2019 TVBS 1,398 37.0 21.0 21.0

Ko–Han–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Ko Wen-je
Ind.
Han Kuo-yu
KMT
Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
19 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,080 25.2 33.7 25.6
15 May 2019 United Daily 1,103 32.0 31.0 22.0
13 May 2019 EtToday 2,875 23.5 38.5 23.8
11 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,077 22.7 34.3 28.3
8 May 2019 TVBS 951 26.0 39.0 25.0
30 April 2019 China Daily 1,004 25.0 41.1 20.9
29 April 2019 TVBS 1,090 25.0 42.0 23.0
25 April 2019 Formosa 1,068 24.1 32.3 24.5
25 April 2019 TVBS 1,222 25.0 42.0 22.0
21 April 2019 ETtoday 7,868 23.0 38.9 27.8
21 April 2019 UDN 1,178 26.0 36.0 20.0
21 April 2019 TPOF 1,072 27.9 35.8 27.5
17 April 2019 Formosa 1,078 22.9 37.8 24.8
2 April 2019 Fount Media 1,079 30.1 37.4 22.3
26 March 2019 Formosa 1,072 27.8 35.4 22.6
5 March 2019 China Daily 2,026 22.9 31.9 15.6
5 March 2019 Fount Media 1,077 28.3 42.1 20.3
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 35.0 37.0 16.0
18 February 2019 EtToday 1,072 30.6 38.0 19.7
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 28.6 35.1 22.0
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 38.2 31.0 19.2

Ko–Han–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Ko Wen-je
Ind.
Han Kuo-yu
KMT
William Lai
DPP
19 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,080 24.6 33.6 27.8
15 May 2019 United Daily 1,103 33.0 31.0 23.0
13 May 2019 EtToday 2,875 26.9 38.6 18.6
11 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,077 24.8 32.2 26.6
8 May 2019 TVBS 951 27.0 39.0 24.0
30 April 2019 China Daily 1,004 25.4 40.1 21.1
29 April 2019 TVBS 1,090 25.0 41.0 23.0
25 April 2019 Formosa 1,068 24.3 32.3 26.1
25 April 2019 TVBS 1,222 25.0 41.0 24.0
21 April 2019 ETtoday 7,868 26.9 39.3 18.2
21 April 2019 UDN 1,178 26.0 36.0 21.0
21 April 2019 TPOF 1,072 27.8 31.1 33.2
17 April 2019 Formosa 1,078 21.7 37.3 27.5
2 April 2019 Fount Media 1,079 27.6 35.4 27.5
26 March 2019 Formosa 1,072 28.3 32.1 26.8
19 March 2019 TPOF 1,073 26.0 29.9 36.5
5 March 2019 China Daily 2,026 23.2 31.0 16.6
22 February 2019 TPOF 1,089 28.4 34.2 30.0
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 33.0 36.0 19.0
16 February 2019 Apple Daily 1,087 24.3 37.7 25.4
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 31.8 29.2 30.5

Ko–Gou–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Ko Wen-je
Ind.
Terry Gou
KMT
Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
19 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,080 25.0 30.2 23.7
15 May 2019 United Daily 1,103 31.0 29.0 21.0
13 May 2019 EtToday 2,875 23.3 35.3 23.1
11 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,077 23.6 27.6 28.4
8 May 2019 TVBS 951 30.0 31.0 24.0
29 April 2019 TVBS 1,090 28.0 33.0 21.0
25 April 2019 Formosa 1,068 26.4 23.1 25.5
25 April 2019 TVBS 1,222 28.0 31.0 22.0
21 April 2019 ETtoday 7,868 22.7 35.8 27.1
21 April 2019 UDN 1,178 27.0 31.0 20.0
17 April 2019 Formosa 1,078 24.3 34.1 24.7
17 April 2019 IPO 1,068 25.2 35.6 20.2
2 April 2019 Fount Media 1,079 33.1 33.1 24.1

Ko–Gou–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Ko Wen-je
Ind.
Terry Gou
KMT
William Lai
DPP
19 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,080 26.4 28.2 26.3
15 May 2019 United Daily 1,103 31.0 28.0 23.0
13 May 2019 EtToday 2,875 26.3 35.2 18.1
11 May 2019 Apple Daily 1,077 26.6 23.7 29.4
8 May 2019 TVBS 951 30.0 31.0 24.0
29 April 2019 TVBS 1,090 28.0 31.0 24.0
25 April 2019 Formosa 1,068 28.2 23.0 26.2
25 April 2019 TVBS 1,222 27.0 30.0 24.0
21 April 2019 ETtoday 7,868 26.5 35.7 18.3
21 April 2019 UDN 1,178 28.0 30.0 22.0
17 April 2019 Formosa 1,078 23.4 32.2 28.1
17 April 2019 IPO 1,068 25.8 32.6 23.0
2 April 2019 Fount Media 1,079 31.5 31.5 28.6

Tsai–Gou–Chu

Date Pollster Sample size Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
Terry Gou
Ind.
Eric Chu
KMT
17 May 2017 Taiwan Style Foundation 1,271 37.6 30.1 15.3
Other hypothetical polling

Ko–Wu–Tsai

Date Pollster Sample size Ko Wen-je
Ind.
Wu Den-yih
KMT
Tsai Ing-wen
DPP
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 44.0 16.0 20.0
22 January 2019 TVBS 1,398 45.0 13.0 17.0
27 December 2018 UDN 1,186 54.0 12.0 14.0
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 53.3 14.1 19.1

Ko–Wu–Lai

Date Pollster Sample size Ko Wen-je
Ind.
Wu Den-yih
KMT
William Lai
DPP
20 February 2019 TVBS 1,382 39.0 15.0 26.0
22 January 2019 TVBS 1,398 43.0 11.0 21.0
27 December 2018 UDN 1,186 50.0 11.0 23.0
20 December 2018 Taiwan Brain Trust 1,072 43.5 11.9 34.4

See also[edit]

References[edit]

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  5. ^ a b Yang, Chun-hui; Hsiao, Sherry (19 March 2019). "Lai seeks DPP's backing for 2020 race". Taipei Times. Retrieved 19 March 2019.
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  7. ^ "KMT veteran Eric Chu announces bid for Taiwan presidency in 2020". The Straits Times. 25 December 2018.
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