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Stormy Marmot is a yellow-bellied marmot of the Rocky Mountain region, living in Aurora, Colorado. Every February 2, on Groundhog Day, Stormy makes a prediction for the remainder of winter.


History

Stormy is a yellow-bellied marmot, a member of the squirrel family.[1] Stormy is trotted out once a year to check for his shadow and make a weather prediction.[2][3]

Punxsutawney Phil loyalists have been known to disparage Stormy.[4]

Flatiron Freddy also represents Groundhog Day prognostication in Colorado. He makes his home at Chautauqua Park in Boulder, CO.[5][6]

Past predictions

Year Prediction
2021 6 more weeks of winter[7]
2020 6 more weeks of winter[8]
2019 6 more weeks of winter[9][10]
2018 Early spring[11]
2017 Early spring[12][13][14]
2016 Early spring[15][16]
2015 Early spring[17][18]
2014 6 more weeks of winter[19][20]
2013 6 more weeks of winter[21][22][23][2]
2012 Early spring[24][25]
2011 6 more weeks of winter[26][27][28]
2010 6 more weeks of winter[29]
2008 6 more weeks of winter[30]
2006 Early spring[31]

Accuracy

Statistical analysis of groundhog predictions show that Stormy Marmot and Poor Richard (a groundhog based in York, Pennsylvania) have the best correlation to observed weather trends. "When Stormy Marmot predicts an early spring, we can expect March to be on average 6 °F warmer, and April to be 2.5 °F warmer. When Poor Richard predicts an early spring, we can expect February to be 4 °F warmer and March to be 8 °F warmer."[32] Dover Doug, a groundhog from Dover, Pennsylvania, was also noted for having a strong correlation between the sign of his shadow and the arrival of spring conditions.[33]

Background

Punxsutawney Phil has been making predictions since the 1880s. However, this method of prognostication did not gain mass notoriety until the release of the 1993 comedy Groundhog Day (film) with Bill Murray and Andie MacDowell. The movie became the 13th highest grossing of the year, with over $70 million at the box office.[34] Over time, the movie became a cult classic and significantly increased awareness and attendance at Groundhog Day events.[35]

See also


References

  1. ^ "Wild(life) Weather", Curiosity Seldom Pays, Oct 9, 2014
  2. ^ a b "Your rodent rear is mine, Phil!", Aurora Magazine, Feb 6, 2013
  3. ^ "Groundhog’s Day: Colorado Movers Style", Exodus Moving & Storage, Feb 1, 2012
  4. ^ "Groundhog Day story repeats itself", The Denver Post, Feb 1, 2014
  5. ^ "Happy Groundhog Day, Colorado-Style", The Denver Post, Feb 2, 2013
  6. ^ "Groundhogs in Colorado"
  7. ^ "Groundhog Day 2021 Predictions"
  8. ^ "Groundhogs Around the World: Stormy Marmot"
  9. ^ "Countdown to Groundhog Day", February 2, 2019
  10. ^ "2019 Groundhog Day Predictions", February 2, 2019
  11. ^ "Countdown to Groundhog Day", February 2, 2019
  12. ^ "Did The Groundhog See His Shadow Today", May 17, 2017
  13. ^ "Colorado’s Groundhog Looks to Predict an Early Spring", KTRR Tri 102.5 FM Loveland, Feb 1, 2017
  14. ^ "How Accurate are Groundhog Day Predictions? (2018 Update)", Jeremy Neiman, Jan 31, 2018
  15. ^ "The Groundhog Saw His Shadow, but Will He be Right?", KORD FM 102.7 Richland, Feb 2, 2016
  16. ^ "It’s Groundhog Day!!", Hoosier-Doughty, Feb 2, 2016
  17. ^ "The Eternal Life Disaster", Nathan Gast, Feb 3, 2015
  18. ^ "Happy Groundhog Day 2015", Mrs. Glock's Class, Feb 2, 2015
  19. ^ "Happy Groundhog Day!!!", Mrs. Glock's Class, Feb 4, 2014
  20. ^ "Are You Letting a Groundhog Dictate Strategy?", Brooks Bell Group, Feb 6, 2014
  21. ^ "Happy Groundhog Day, Colorado-Style", The Denver Post, Feb 2, 2013
  22. ^ "Groundhog Day - Feb. 2 - Early Spring or 6 More Weeks of Winter????", Talk Graphics, Feb 2, 2014
  23. ^ "The largest Groundhog Day celebration is held in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania", Julie Roberts, Feb 2, 2013
  24. ^ "The largest Groundhog Day celebration is held in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania", Julie Roberts, Feb 2, 2013
  25. ^ "Michigan’s Official Groundhog Predicts An Early Spring", WWJ CBS 62 Detroit, Feb 2, 2012
  26. ^ "The largest Groundhog Day celebration is held in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania", Julie Roberts, Feb 2, 2013
  27. ^ "Happy Groundhog Day!", Steve Mandich Blog, Feb 2, 2011
  28. ^ "Predicting the weather is tricky business", Crossville Chronicle, Feb 3, 2011
  29. ^ "The largest Groundhog Day celebration is held in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania", Julie Roberts, Feb 2, 2013
  30. ^ "Groundhogs Around the World: Stormy Marmot"
  31. ^ "Groundhogs Around the World: Stormy Marmot"
  32. ^ "How Accurate are Groundhog Day Predictions?", Jeremy Neiman, Jan 27, 2017
  33. ^ "How Accurate are Groundhog Day Predictions? (2018 Update)", Jeremy Neiman, Jan 31, 2018
  34. ^ "1993 Worldwide Grosses". Box Office Mojo. Retrieved February 2, 2019.
  35. ^ Carlson, Peter (February 3, 2004). "His Moment In the Sun". The Washington Post. 23.



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