2024 European Parliament election in Cyprus: Difference between revisions
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Revision as of 23:08, 9 June 2024
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The 2024 European Parliament elections in Cyprus will be held on 9 June 2024 as part of the 2024 European Parliament election. This will be the fifth parliamentary election since Cyprus’s EU accession in 2004.
Background
These elections may be held concurrently with local elections in order to cut costs.[1]
This will be the first such vote to take place since the withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European Union. Also known as 'Brexit', the move impacted Cyprus due to ties linked to its status as a fellow Commonwealth member and former UK colony.
The election is primarily focused on the issue of illegal migration, with President Nikos Christodoulides declaring that Cyprus is in "a state of serious crisis".[2][3] Due to the war in the Middle East, the number of illegal migrants in Cyprus has skyrocketed, with more than 2,000 people arriving in the first three months of 2024, compared to just 78 in the same period the previous year.[4] According to the president, 7% of the Cypriot population now consists of migrants.[5][6] This increasing migrational upheaval has led to a significant rise in the poll numbers of the far-right, anti-immigration party ELAM, whose manifesto is primarily focused on illegal migration.[7][8]
These elections will be the first European Parliament elections with the most number of Turkish Cypriots being candidates from different parties. The incumbent Member of the Parliament Niyazi Kizilyurek is running again with AKEL,[9] the new founded party Volt Cyprus is showing Hulusi Kilim as a lead candidate,[10] and Oz Karahan has announced that he is running as a candidate from KOSP.[11] The government has also started campaigns for including the Turkish Cypriots more into the elections.
The Democratic Rally (DISY) has won every election since the island's accession into the EU in 2004, though the party recently suffered defeat in the presidential election.
Democratic Rally
Nine DISY personalities announced their interest for the European Parliament Elections.[12] The six nominees were selected through an internal election process, with former Health Minister Michalis Hatzipantelas emerging as the top candidate.[13][14]
Marios Pelekanos, one of the three vice presidents of the Democratic Rally, finished second to last in the internal election and was not included in the list of six nominees. Pelekanos expressed profound dissatisfaction and subsequently resigned from his position within the party leadership, citing a series of underlying events that had undermined his standing.[15][16] After multi-day discussions with ELAM, on March 22, 2024, it was announced that he would run in the European Elections as a candidate of the ultranationalist party. The leader of the Democratic Rally, Annita Demetriou, harshly condemned this move, and the center-right party proceeded by deleting Pelekanos from its registry, emphasizing the vast differences in politics between the two parties.[17][18]
Progressive Party of Working People
After consistently placing second in every European Parliament Election, recent opinion polls indicate a notable surge in the party's performance relative to the frontrunner DISY, with some polls even positioning it in the first place.[19]
Anna Theologou, leader of the centre-left party Generation Change, is featured as one of the communist party's candidates, effectively merging the two parties.[20] Theologou is regarded as a highly reputable politician, with the ability to attract votes to AKEL based on her personal influence.[21]
Democratic Party
Despite finishing third in all previous European elections, the Democratic Party now appears fourth in every opinion poll released, falling below the far-right ELAM.[22]
The party's candidates feature the veteran politician and paediatric surgeon Eleni Theocharous, who served as an MEP from 2009 to 2019 initially with DISY and later with the newly established Solidarity Movement.[23][24] The conservative politician, who was ranked 3 times as the second best MEP by the DEVE Committee, is widely considered a strong candidate to attract nationalist voters away from ELAM.[24][25]
The list also features biochemist Leondios Kostrikis, who served as a member of the Advisory Committee of the Ministry of Health during the Covid-19 pandemic in Cyprus.[24][26] The Professor is also internationally known for his discovery of a new COVID-19 variant in January 2022, the so-called "Deltacron", at the University of Cyprus.[27][28][29][30]
Movement of Ecologists – Citizens' Cooperation
On March 21, 2024, Fidias Panayiotou, a globally renowned Cypriot YouTuber, confirmed speculations that he was approached by the KOSP to be included in their list of six candidates for the European elections. Panayiotou engaged his audience by conducting a poll on TikTok to gauge their opinion on his potential candidacy, offering two options: running as a member of KOSP or running independently. Out of a total of 10,000 participants, 70% favored the latter option. Consequently, Panayiotou announced his decision to pursue an independent candidacy.[31][32]
Volt Cyprus
The Cyprus branch of Volt Europa was established on December 3, 2023, shortly after the resignation of MP Alexandra Attalides from KOSP.[33][34]
The party's candidates for the European Elections include Makarios Drousiotis, a political activist, journalist, and writer. Drousiotis has garnered significant attention following the publication of a trilogy of books containing personal accounts and third-party documents uncovering extensive corruption scandals during the presidency of Nicos Anastasiades.[35][36][37] His third publication, "Mafia State," instigated a criminal investigation against Anastasiades, prompting the involvement of international legal practitioner Gabrielle Louise McIntyre.[38][39]
National Popular Front
![]() | This section needs expansion with: ECR. You can help by adding to it. (April 2024) |
The far-right party ELAM is projected to secure its first seat in the European Parliament. Formerly considered on the fringe, the party is now anticipated to achieve a third-place finish, surpassing DIKO, with every poll indicating a percentage higher than 13%.[40] Known for its anti-establishment and often labeled extremist positions, the party is now being considered "mainstream" for the first time,[41] as illegal migration has become the most important issue for Cypriot voters.[42][43]
The party has announced the candidacy of Pavlos Ioannou, who served as the financial commissioner of Cyprus from 2013 to 2023.[44][45] The candidacy of the reputable figure has caused surprise and is anticipated to attract more moderate voters to the party often referred to as "extremist". Notably, Ioannou clarified that he is not a member of ELAM but has been granted complete freedom of speech and disagreement by the party. He emphasized that his views align more with rationalism rather than far-right ideologies. Additionally, Ioannou stated his commitment not to vote against the rights of the LGBTQ+ community in potential European votes, provided that the rights of other groups are not impeded.[46][47]
The announcement of Marios Pelekanos' candidacy with ELAM, who had been serving as vice president of the centre-right DISY until a few weeks prior, created a political upheaval. Pelekanos, who also held the position of government spokesperson in Anastasiades' administration from 2021 to 2023, is believed to have the potential to attract a considerable number of DISY voters to ELAM.[48][49][50]
Democratic Alignment
Pantelis Poietis, formerly the Deputy Secretary of International Relations of the Democratic Rally (DISY), is now one of the six candidates nominated by DIPA for the European Elections. After resigning from DISY on September 9, 2022, Poietis supported Nicos Christodoulides in the 2023 Presidential Election, who stood as an opposing candidate to DISY's Averof Neofytou.[51][52][53]
EDEK Socialist Party
According to all opinion polls, the centre-left party EDEK is projected to lose its seat in the European Parliament. Critics have accused the party of losing its identity, with some even claiming that many of its political positions are now indistinguishable from those of the far-right party ELAM.[54][55]
Fidias Panagiotou
Fidias Panagiotou, a 24-year-old YouTuber with over 2.6 million subscribers, turned down an offer to join the Ecologists' electoral list and instead announced his independent candidacy for this election. He initiated a social media campaign with the goal of increasing youth voter registration. On 30 March 2024, he live-streamed himself on YouTube running 80 km from Kyrenia to Larnaca to encourage young people to register for the election. On that day alone, over 2000 new voter registrations were recorded.[56][57] He also launched a podcast series, interviewing renowned political and non-political personalities, to engage both himself and his audience in political discussions.[58][59] Despite being an independent candidate, a poll showed an 8.7% voting intention for him, surpassing even well-established parties like EDEK, DIPA and KOSP.[60] Some journalists refer to this as the "Fidias Phenomenon", emphasising how an independent candidate with no political experience might be able to shake up the Cypriot political system.[61][62][63][64]
Fidias runs on an anti-partisan platform, accusing establishment politicians of neglecting society's best interests and failing to understand critical modern developments such as AI and Bitcoin.[65] He emphasises education as a priority, aiming to enhance schools in both Cyprus and the EU by eliminating exams and promoting self-education.[66] He acknowledges the significance of adapting to the impact of artificial intelligence on future developments. Regarding the Cyprus issue, Panagiotou leans towards the "Bi-zonal, Bi-communal Federation" solution while expressing a willingness to learn more about the complexities involved. Additionally, he advocates for a measured approach to migration, proposing that asylum applications should be processed from applicants' home countries before their arrival in Cyprus.[67]
Electoral system
Along with Luxembourg and Malta, Cyprus is the smallest constituency, electing 6 Members of the European Parliament The seats are distributed via proportional representation.[68]
Running parties
List/Party | Main ideologies | European Party or alliance | European Parliament Group | Candidates | 2019 result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||||
Democratic Rally (DISY)
Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (ΔΗΣΥ) Demokratik Seferberlik |
EPP | EPP Group |
|
29.02% | 2 / 6
| ||||
Progressive Party of Working People (AKEL)
Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (ΑΚΕΛ) Emekçi Halkın İlerici Partisi |
The Left |
|
27.49% | 2 / 6
| |||||
Democratic Party (DIKO)
Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (ΔΗΚΟ) Demokratik Parti |
S&D |
|
13.80% | 1 / 6
| |||||
National Popular Front (ELAM)
Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ΕΛΑΜ) Ulusal Halk Cephesi |
ECR Group |
|
8.25% | 0 / 6
| |||||
EDEK Socialist Party (EDEK)
Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (ΕΔΕΚ) EDEK Sosyalist Parti |
PES | S&D |
|
10.58% | 1 / 6
| ||||
Democratic Front (DIPA)
Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (ΔΗΠΑ) Demokratik Cephe |
ALDE | Renew |
|
3.80% | 0 / 6
| ||||
Movement of Ecologists – Citizens' Cooperation (KOSP)
Κίνημα Οικολόγων - Συνεργασία Πολιτών Ekolojistler Hareketi – Yurttaşlar İşbirliği |
EGP |
|
3.29% | 0 / 6
| |||||
Volt Cyprus (Volt)
Βολτ Κύπρος (ΒΟΛΤ) Volt Kıbrıs |
Volt |
|
New | New | |||||
Animal Party Cyprus
Κόμμα για τα Ζώα Κύπρου Hayvan Partisi Kıbrıs |
APEU |
|
0.79% | 0 / 6
| |||||
Active Citizens – Movement of Cypriot United Hunters
Ενεργοί πολίτες - Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κύπριων Κυνηγών Aktif Vatandaşlar – Kıbrıs Birleşmiş Avcılar Hareketi |
|
|
New | New | |||||
National Action Movement
Κίνημα Εθνική Δράσις Kıyam Millî Hareketi |
|
New | New | ||||||
Win
Νίκη Kazanç |
|
New | New | ||||||
Independents |
|
Opinion polling
Date | Polling firm | DISY EPP |
AKEL Left |
ELAM ECR |
DIKO S&D |
EDEK S&D |
DIPA Renew |
KOSP G/EFA |
APC Left |
EP NI |
VOLT G/EFA |
Fidias NI |
Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27-30 May 2024 | IMR | 26.6 | 28.3 | 13.7 | 10.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 3.2 | - | 2.0 | 2.8 | 7.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 |
22-28 May 2024 | CMRC | 28.7 | 27.4 | 14.0 | 12.1 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 1.9 | - | 3.8 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
20-25 May 2024 | RAI Consultants | 27.3 | 25.2 | 12.5 | 9.3 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 4.5 | 8.7 | 0.3 | 2.1 |
13-25 May 2024 | CYMAR Market Research Ltd | 26.0 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | 4.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 |
20-24 May 2024 | Symmetron | 25.6 | 24.2 | 12.0 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 2.6 | - | - | 3.9 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
17-24 May 2024 | SIGMA | 29.0 | 27.7 | 13.5 | 12.9 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 3.9 | - | - | 2.6 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
16-22 May 2024 | Pulse Market Research | 25.8 | 23.5 | 13.6 | 12.1 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | 5.3 | 6.1 | 3.0 | 2.3 |
9-14 May 2024 | Analytica Market Research | 24.3 | 24.9 | 14.5 | 11.9 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 3.7 | - | 3.3 | 3.9 | - | 4.0 | 0.6 |
10-22 Apr 2024 | CMRC | 29.0 | 27.5 | 15.2 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 2.9 | - | 3.6 | - | 0.7 | 1.5 |
08-19 Apr 2024 | CYMAR Market Research Ltd | 28.1 | 25.0 | 15.6 | 12.5 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | - | - | 3.1 | - | 6.3 | 3.1 |
14–23 Mar 2024 | SIGMA | 28.1 | 28.1 | 15.1 | 13.7 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 2.7 | - | - | 2.7 | - | 2.7 | 0 |
20–26 Feb 2024 | Pulse Market Research | 31.3 | 25.8 | 14.7 | 12.9 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 3.7 | - | - | - | - | 5.5 | 5.5 |
12–16 Feb 2024 | SIGMA | 29.0 | 27.5 | 14.5 | 11.6 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 | - | 1.4 | - | 2.9 | 1.5 |
11 Feb 2024 | Symmetron | 25.3 | 23.9 | 11.3 | 9.0 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 2.8 | - | - | 2.5 | - | 1.5 | 1.7 |
29 Jan – 02 Feb 2024 | Interview | 31.7 | 31.8 | 15 | 9.0 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 6.8 | - | - | - | - | 1.1 | 0.1 |
22–26 Jan 2024 | L.S.Prime | 26.4 | 26.4 | 13.8 | 11.1 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 2.8 | - | - | - | - | 11.1 | 0 |
03–11 Jan 2024 | IMR | 25.7 | 27.8 | 17.4 | 9.7 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 4.9 | - | - | 1.8 | - | 3.5 | 2.1 |
30 May | Election 2021 | 27.8% | 22.3% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 3.3% | - | 10.3% | 5.5 | |
26 May | Election 2019 | 29.0% | 27.5% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 3.8% | - | 0.8% | - | - | 3.0% | 1.5 |
Results
References
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