2016 Romanian parliamentary election: Difference between revisions
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| [[Social Liberal Union]] (USL)<small><br />• [[Social Democratic Party (Romania)]] (PSD) <br /> • [[National Union for the Progress of Romania]] – (UNPR) <br />• [[Conservative Party (Romania)]] (PC) </small> |
| [[Social Liberal Union]] (USL)<small><br />• [[Social Democratic Party (Romania)]] (PSD) <br /> • [[National Union for the Progress of Romania]] – (UNPR) <br />• [[Conservative Party (Romania)]] (PC) </small> |
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| [[Liviu Dragnea]] |
| [[Liviu Dragnea]] |
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| [[Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats]] |
| [[Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats]] |
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| [[National Liberal Party (Romania)]] (PNL) |
| [[National Liberal Party (Romania)]] (PNL) |
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| [[Alina Gorghiu]], [[Vasile Blaga]] |
| [[Alina Gorghiu]], [[Vasile Blaga]] |
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| [[European People's Party]] (EPP) |
| [[European People's Party]] (EPP) |
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| [[Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania]] (RMDSz) |
| [[Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania]] (RMDSz) |
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| [[Hunor Kelemen]] |
| [[Hunor Kelemen]] |
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Revision as of 12:16, 7 November 2015
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Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Romania in 2016.[2]
| Part of the Politics series |
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 Politics portal |
Electoral system
The legislative election of 2016 will unfold differently compared to 2012 and 2008. On 24 February 2015, the Electoral Code Commission decided in principle for the future electoral law to return to voting by list and relinquish the uninominal voting system.[3] The proposal was supported both by ruling Social Democratic Party and the National Liberal Party, in opposition.[4] There were discussions since 2013 on an electoral variant which provides bicameral parliament, of which to be part 300 deputies elected on closed list and 100 senators chosen by a majority vote in one round.[5]
In an electoral system with proportional representation (PR) on list, parties present to voters a list of candidates to choose multiple candidates in a district. In a system with PR on closed list, electors can vote for a party list, not for a particular candidate.[6] Number of seats in a district which a party wins is determined by how many votes gets its list. Once seats have been allocated to parties, they are then allocated to the candidates of each list, starting from the top. If a party wins three seats, these seats will be allocated to first three candidates on the list. This electoral system is called system with "closed" list, because electors can't afford their votes for certain candidates and have no say on the order of candidates on the list;[6] party list is determined by the party and is "closed".
According to the legislative election law promulgated by Klaus Iohannis on 20 July 2015, the representation norm is one deputy for 73,000 inhabitants and one senator for 168,000 inhabitants.[7] Thus, will be elected 308 deputies, to which are added the 18 deputies of minorities, 134 senators and only six MPs of diaspora (two senators and four deputies);[8] a total of 466 MPs, four fewer than in 2008 and 122 fewer than in 2012.
Parties
PNL and PDL merged in the summer of 2014 under the National Liberal Party, being rated with the best chance of entering the parliament, after the resounding victory of its candidate Klaus Iohannis in the presidential election in November 2014.
PSD and UNPR will enter the electoral race as an alliance. However, President of UNPR Gabriel Oprea advanced the variant of running independently in the legislative election.[9] Although the image of PSD and its leader Victor Ponta was badly affected by corruption scandals and wave of protests in last years, PSD remains the largest party in Romania, rated with big chance to enter the parliament.
Former Prime Minister Călin Popescu-Tăriceanu formed the Liberal Reformist Party, after splitting from PNL in February 2014. In June 2015, Tăriceanu signed a fusion protocol with the Conservative Party led by Daniel Constantin. The new formation is called Alliance of Liberals and Democrats Party, abbreviated as ALDE.[10] Conservative MEP Maria Grapini accused PC of betrayal after fusion with PLR.[11] The People's Movement Party, formed around former President Traian Băsescu after splitting from PDL, was rocked by the arrest of its leader Elena Udrea in Microsoft licensing corruption scandal[12] and is losing popularity. In this context, the party has small chance to enter the parliament. The People's Party – Dan Diaconescu is concussed by internal dissensions and loses popularity, especially after final conviction of its president of honor Dan Diaconescu in March 2015.[13] Moreover, the PPDD group in the Senate was disbanded in January 2014.[14] On 29 June 2015, PPDD merged through absorption with UNPR.[15]
A nationalist party, United Romania Party (PRU), was founded by MP Bogdan Diaconu on 17 August 2014 and became official by court decision on 17 February 2015. The largest political formation of an ethnic minority, the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania, has a chance to be represented in the parliament.
| PSD (Victor Ponta) | PV (Constantin Damov) | PNL (Alina Gorghiu, Vasile Blaga) |
| UNPR (Gabriel Oprea) | PNȚCD (Aurelian Pavelescu) | UDMR (Hunor Kelemen) |
| PSRO (Mircea Geoană) | ALDE[16] (Daniel Constantin, Călin Popescu-Tăriceanu) | |
| PRU (Bogdan Diaconu) | M10[17] (Monica Macovei) | |
| PMP (Eugen Tomac) | ||
| PRM (Corneliu Vadim Tudor) | ||
| PER (Dănuț Pop) |
Opinion polls
| Poll source | Date | Sample size | PNL | PLR | PSD–UNPR–PC | PPDD | UDMR | PRM | PMP | PNȚCD | M10 | PRU | Other | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSCOP | 1–6 July 2014 | 1,055 | 29.8% | 43.5% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 7% | 1.2% | 13.7% | ||||||
| CCSCC | 20–26 Aug. 2014 | 1,248 | 34% | 5% | 38% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 4% | ||||||
| INSCOP | 30 Aug.–4 Sept. 2014 | 1,058 | 31.5% | 4.4% | 42.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 0.8% | 10.1% | |||||
| INSCOP | 27 Nov.–2 Dec. 2014 | 1,076 | 41.7% | 3.3% | 38.8% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 2.9% | |||||
| CSOP | 13–18 Dec. 2014 | 1,044 | 47% | 34% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 13% | |||||||
| CSOP | 27 Jan.–4 Feb. 2015 | 1,036 | 49% | 32% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 17% | |||||||
| INSCOP | 5–10 Feb. 2015 | 1,065 | 44.2% | 3.3% | 37.4% | 1.4% | 5% | 1.1% | 4% | 0.9% | 6.8% | |||||
| Avangarde | 18–26 Feb. 2015 | 900 | 40% | 5% | 37% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||||||
| CSOP | 3–10 March 2015 | 1,007 | 49% | 31% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 18% | |||||||
| CSCI | 24–28 March 2015 | 1,073 | 39% | 6% | 37% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 2% | ||||||
| Agenția de Rating Politic |
30 March–3 April 2015 | 1,100 | 44% | 3% | 34% | 2% | 5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1% | 10% | |||||
| CSCI | 20–24 April 2015 | 1,090 | 42% | 5% | 39% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | ||||||
| Avangarde | 21–29 April 2015 | 950 | 43% | 5% | 40% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | |||||
| INSCOP | 23–30 April 2015 | 1,085 | 44.7% | 2.2% | 39.1% | 1% | 5.2% | 2% | 2.8% | 1% | 5.6% | |||||
| Poll source | Date | Sample size | PNL | ALDE (PLR+PC) | PSD | UNPR | UDMR | PRM | PMP | PNȚCD | M10 | PRU | Other | Lead | ||
| INSCOP | 9–14 July 2015 | 1,075 | 44.5% | 3% | 37.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 7.4% | ||||
| CSCI | 10–17 Aug. 2015 | 1,021 | 41% | 3% | 37% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 4% | ||||
| Avangarde | 1–7 Sept. 2015 | 1,000[18] | 32% | 6% | 34% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 2% | ||||
| INSCOP | 10-15 Sep 2015 | 1,085 | 42.0% | 2.6% | 35.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 7.0% | ||
References
- ^ Chiujdea, Silvana (22 July 2015). "Liviu Dragnea, ales preşedinte interimar al PSD. ASCENSIUNEA baronului de Teleorman, dintr-un modest inginer la IUGTC Craiova, la şefia celui mai mare partid din România". Evenimentul Zilei (in Romanian).
- ^ Votul pe listă revine la alegerile din 2016
- ^ Andrei, Cristian (24 February 2015). "NOUA LEGE ELECTORALĂ. Parlamentari aleşi pe liste şi campanii electorale finanţate de stat". Gândul (in Romanian).
- ^ "Schimbări MAJORE la viitoarele alegeri parlamentare: Se renunţă la uninominal şi se revine la votul pe liste". România TV (in Romanian). 24 February 2015.
- ^ Zachmann, Sebastian (27 February 2013). "Votul pe listă revine la alegerile din 2016". Adevărul (in Romanian).
- ^ a b "Lista inchisa". EuroVote+ (in Romanian).
- ^ Filimon, Paul (20 July 2015). "Legea ALEGERILOR PARLAMENTARE pe LISTE, promulgată de Iohannis". România Liberă (in Romanian).
- ^ Rosca, Iulia (20 July 2015). "Presedintele Klaus Iohannis a promulgat Legea alegerilor parlamentare". HotNews.ro (in Romanian).
- ^ Tomescu, Ioana (19 July 2015). "Gabriel Oprea: UNPR are două variante pentru viitoarele alegeri, în alianţă cu PSD sau singuri". Evenimentul Zilei (in Romanian).
- ^ Ionaşc, Sorina (19 June 2015). "Mica unire a partidului lui Tăriceanu cu Partidul Conservator. "Un partid cu un procent, unit cu un partid cu un procent, nu va face decât două procente". Ce nu s-a văzut la televizor". Gândul (in Romanian).
- ^ Dolana, Andra (18 June 2015). "SCANDAL ÎN PC. Grapini își varsă "amărăciunea" pe Facebook. Conservatorii: Hoțul strigă hoții". România Liberă (in Romanian).
- ^ Pickles, Kate (11 February 2015). "Glamorous former Romanian tourism minister and presidential candidate is detained on suspicion of money laundering". Daily Mail.
- ^ "Dan Diaconescu, cinci ani și șase luni de închisoare cu executare. Prima reacție a șefului PPDD". Gândul (in Romanian). 4 March 2015.
- ^ Samoilă, Ionela (6 January 2014). "Anul începe prost pentru Dan Diaconescu: Grupul PP-DD din Senat se desființează". Ziare.com (in Romanian).
- ^ Bernaschi, Larisa (30 June 2015). "UNPR se întărește: a absorbit PP-DD și are protocol cu pensionarii". Evenimentul Zilei (in Romanian).
- ^ Neagu, Alina (19 June 2015). "Daniel Constantin si Calin Popescu Tariceanu au semnat protocolul de fuziune intre PC si PLR: Noua formatiune se va numi Partidul Alianta Liberalilor si Democratilor (ALDE)". HotNews.ro (in Romanian).
- ^ "Manifest". Asociația M10 (in Romanian).
- ^ (only Bucharest citizens)
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