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Opinion polling for the 2023 Turkish presidential election

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In the run up to the Turkish general election scheduled to take place in 2023, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Turkey. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. These polls only include Turkish voters nationwide and do not take into account Turkish expatriates voting abroad. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 24 June 2018, to the present day.

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

First round

Graphical summary

A LOESS graph displaying the polls for the 2023 Turkish Presidential election

2022

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Others Lead
Erdoğan
AKP
İmamoğlu
CHP
Yavaş
CHP
Kılıçdaroğlu
CHP
Demirtaş
HDP
Beştaş
HDP
Buldan
HDP
Akşener
İYİ
Karamollaoğlu
SAADET
Bahçeli
MHP
Babacan
DEVA
Davutoğlu
GP
İnce
MP
12–15 Aug Optimar 2,000 36.48 3.73 14.67 14.57 9.52 7.62 8.30 5.11 22.81
11–14 Jul Optimar 3,481 30.1 4.6 12.5 11 8.2 6.4 17.6
13–24 Jun SONAR 3.100 40.2 10.1 17.8 4.3 4.6 10.4 2.2 1.7 2.1 6.6 22.4
12–15 May Optimar 2.519 36.1 8.4 11.9 11.9 4.7 3.2 24.2
6–12 May SONAR 2.840 39.2 12.5 15.7 3.9 4.7 8.0 2.8 1.9 2.7 8.6 23,5
23–28 Apr Optimar 1.847 33.1 9.1 13.0 12.0 20,1
Apr MetroPOLL 40.1 30.2 15.2 9,9
Apr ALF 33.7 16.6 22.2 4.3 8.3 7.2 2.1 5.6 11,5
10–16 Mar Optimar 2.002 33.8 10.7 9.9 11.5 22.3
24–31 Jan AKAM 1.860 28.5 30.3 10.2 11.0 4.9 7.9 2.4 2.7 1.8
7–13 Jan İEA 1.500 44 15.2 40.8 2.2

2021

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Others Lead
Erdoğan
AKP
İmamoğlu
CHP
Yavaş
CHP
Kılıçdaroğlu
CHP
Demirtaş
HDP
Beştaş
HDP
Buldan
HDP
Akşener
İYİ
Karamollaoğlu
SAADET
Bahçeli
MHP
Babacan
DEVA
Davutoğlu
GP
İnce
MP
30 Nov–5 Dec Yöneylem 2,002 43.5 40.8 15.8 2.7
13–20 Nov Optimar 2,507 26.0 8.5 14.2 5.0 8.7 6.4 4.3 11.8
11–14 Nov ASAL 1,712 43.3 11.3 10.6 6.0 10.1 7.7 3.7 2.4 0.7 1.5 2.7 32.0
27 Oct–3 Nov Yöneylem 2,000 44.8 40.0 15.2 4.8
Oct ADA 2,423 38.8 19.0 6.1 17.1 1.0 7.8 2.7 1.4 2.4 3.7 19.8
Oct SAROS 1,854 43.4 12.1 11.4 6.1 11.0 8.0 3.6 3.0 0.5 0.7 0.2 31.3
24–30 Sep Yöneylem 2,400 47.8 36.3 15.9 11.5
19–27 Sep Optimar 1,938 45.6 8.1 15.8 10.1 9.1 9.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.2 29.8
10–22 Sep Sosyo Politik 2,000 48.2 7.6 5.8 19.0 8.4 6.8 2.1 1.4 0.7 29.2
20–27 Aug Yöneylem 3,040 45.9 38.2 15.9 7.7
Aug Optimar N/A 46.3 8.2 18.5 7.3 6.3 5.3 0.1 3.2 1.6 0.1 0.9 2.1 27.8
10–13 Jul Optimar 1,726 45.1 8.9 15.9 8.3 5.9 6.4 0.5 4.1 0.9 0.3 0.4 3.3 29.2
21–28 Jun Sosyo Politik 1,008 37.5 14.2 7.6 18.3 9.8 8.4 3.1 1.1 19.2
5–30 May Sandık Analiz 4,477 42.7 31.2 6.4 11.4 3.3 3.9 1.1 11.5
22–24 May Optimar 1,836 36.7 7.7 13.8 6.5 8.2 8.0 22.9
22–30 Apr Optimar 2,027 38.6 9.6 15.7 4.1 6.0 22.9
9–30 Apr Sandık Analiz 2,427 41.0 31.3 6.2 9.7 4.0 5.5 2.3 9.7
7–24 Mar Sandık Analiz 4,039 41.3 30.7 5.9 10.4 4.0 1.0 5.1 1.4 10.6
Mar SAROS 3,042 38.6 14.6 2.9 3.9 13.2 9.7 11.3 1.9 1.8 1.4 0.7 24.0
28 Feb – 5 Mar Optimar 2,207 32.5 6.2 8.0 1.6 5.2 4.2 24.5
Feb Sandık Analiz 9,771 43.9 34.7 6.9 6.6 2.6 3.9 1.4 13.9
10 Jan – 4 Feb SONAR 3,200 45.9 14.6 9.8 2.3 5.2 8.8 7.1 6.3 31.3
20–26 Jan ADA 3,245 48.2 12.6 7.4 13.7 1.0 4.0 2.4 3.3 7.3 34.5
Jan SAROS 3,034 37.6 9.6 3.8 7.3 17.1 9.3 0.9 10.0 1.5 1.6 1.2 0.2 20.5
Jan Sandık Analiz 7,296 43.8 29.9 7.2 9.6 0.6 3.7 0.9 3.9 0.4 13.9

2020

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Others Lead
Erdoğan
AKP
İmamoğlu
CHP
Yavaş
CHP
Kılıçdaroğlu
CHP
Demirtaş
HDP
Beştaş
HDP
Akşener
İYİ
Karamollaoğlu
SAADET
Bahçeli
MHP
Babacan
DEVA
Davutoğlu
GP
İnce
MP
Dec TEAM 9,281 43.2 16.2 6.2 2.8 9.6 8.3 4.8 1.6 1.0 3.9 2.4 27.0
Dec Sandık Analiz 3,809 44.0 31.2 7.5 10.6 0.6 4.1 1.1 0.9 12.8
3–9 Dec Optimar 2,253 33.8 4.7 6.6 4.5 5.1 27.2
11 Nov – 4 Dec Kadir Has University 1,000 47.8 9.6 6.1 10.8 11.1 10.3 4.3 36.7
Nov SAROS 3,092 34.1 13.1 4.1 7.0 12.2 7.5 10.3 9.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 21.0
26–30 Oct Optimar 2,147 36.4 8.3 8.6 27.8
Aug SONAR 2,850 50.5 11.1 7.7 7.8 8.8 8.3 5.8 39.4
3–5 Aug ADA 1,750 43.2 13.8 14.3 1.2 5.7 6.8 0.9 4.2 3.4 1.7 3.7 1.1 28.9
10–14 Jul Optimar 2,047 38.4 7.0 4.0 4.7 5.6 31.4
Jun SAROS 3,017 41.4 15.0 4.7 9.9 9.2 8.8 0.2 8.1 0.7 1.4 0.6 26.4
May AR–G 1,258 42.1 19.6 12.8 1.0 5.6 6.1 0.9 3.2 4.1 1.8 2.2 0.6 22.5
20 Apr – 8 May Optimar 2,307 48.2 13.5 7.3 8.5 34.7
9 Mar - 2 Apr Konsensus 1,500 49.9 17.7 5.6 6.8 5.5 32.2
2–6 Mar ADA 1,366 44.3 25.5 2.9 1.3 6.6 6.2 1.3 4.9 3.2 1.3 1.4 1.1 18.8
24 Feb Polimetre[nb 1] N/A 38.5 35.1 9.3 8.1 9.0 3.4
2–9 Jan Artibir 1,500 49.5 37.7 9.4 3.4 11.8

2018–2019

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Others Lead
Erdoğan
AKP
İmamoğlu
CHP
Yavaş
CHP
Kılıçdaroğlu
CHP
Demirtaş
HDP
Akşener
İYİ
Karamollaoğlu
SAADET
Bahçeli
MHP
Babacan
DEVA
Davutoğlu
GP
İnce
MP
13–15 Dec Public Status 4,150 53.0 27.7 8.5 6.8 1.1 0.9 0.2 1.2 1.0 25.3
21−28 Oct ADA 1,700 45.1 26.6 1.1 4.2 6.1 1.4 5.3 3.8 2.1 1.6 2.8 18.1
19–30 Aug ADA 1,721 39.1 28.6 0.5 8.0 6.8 6.5 4.2 2.3 2.0 2.0 10.5
2–7 Aug SAROS 3,012 45.0 19.2 15.3 12.8 0.7 4.9 2.1 25.8
2019
Jul ORC N/A 56.7[nb 2] 27.7[nb 3] 8.4 6.5 0.5 0.2 29.0
24 Jun 2018 2018 presidential election 51,188,524 52.6[nb 2] 30.6[nb 3] 8.4 7.3 0.9 N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.2 20.0

Second round

Erdoğan vs. İmamoğlu

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Undecided Lead
Erdoğan
AKP
İmamoğlu
CHP
Jul Bupar 30.5 43.9 25.6 13.4
12-15 May Yöneylem 2.400 36.0 46.5 17.7 10.5
27 Apr-3 May AKAM 2.460 38.8 53.7 7.5 14.9
14–20 Apr MetroPOLL 2.164 40.0 49.7 9.8 9.7
1–4 APR Sosyo Politik 2.010 36.7 42.5 20.8 5.8
24–29 Mar AKAM 2.490 42.2 52.1 5.7 9.9
3–6 Mar Yöneylem 2.488 37.6 49.6 12.8 12
24–31 Jan AKAM 1.860 38 62 24
9–14 Jan AKAM 1.260 38.1 59.1 2.1 21
2022
23–27 Dec AKAM 2,460 39.1 58.4 19.3
14–15 Dec AKAM 1,260 31 54.7 14.3 23.7
13–20 Nov Optimar 2,507 41.3 34.2 24.5 7.1
11–17 Nov AKAM 1,260 33.6 49.5 16.9 15.9
27 Oct – 3 Nov Yöneylem 2,000 42.0 58.0 16.0
9–14 Oct AKAM 1,500 42.3 57.7 15.4
Oct SAROS 1,854 47.3 41.3 11.3 6.0
19–27 Sep Optimar 1,938 42.6 38.0 19.5 4.6
21–28 Aug AKAM 2,460 40.5 59.5 19.0
Aug Yöneylem 3,040 37.8 48.5 13.6 10.7
11–14 Aug AKAM N/A 41.1 58.9 17.8
Aug Optimar N/A 46.3 36.4 17.3 9.9
26–30 Jul Yöneylem 3,040 39.2 48.5 12.3 9.3
10–13 Jul Optimar 1,726 48.1 37.8 14.1 10.3
25–29 Jun Yöneylem 3,848 40.6 46.1 13.3 5.5
21−29 Jun Artıbir 1,500 44.2 46.1 9.7 1.9
23−28 Jun AKAM 2,460 37.8 50.2 12.0 14.4
8–13 Jun AKAM 2,460 34.7 49.6 15.7 14.9
5–30 May Sandık Analiz 4,477 43.1 56.9 13.8
21–25 May Yöneylem 3,140 40.4 48.5 11.1 8.1
22–24 May Optimar 1,836 44.9 41.8 13.3 3.1
6–9 May İEA 1,506 39.9 51.4 8.7 11.5
27–30 Apr Yöneylem 3,605 40.3 42.9 16.8 2.6
Apr AKAM N/A 32.1 48.0 19.9 15.9
26–30 Apr Aksoy 1,067 36.0 45.5 18.6 9.5
9–30 Apr Sandık Analiz 2,427 44.2 55.8 11.6
16–21 Apr Metropoll 1,752 38.8 49.7 11.5 10.9
11–14 Apr AKAM 1,460 30.5 48.6 20.9 18.1
Mar Aksoy N/A 37.0 45.1 17.9 8.1
Mar SAROS 3,042 45.2 44.2 10.6 1.0
29–31 Mar Yöneylem 3,140 42.8 42.6 14.5 0.2
26–31 Mar AKAM 2,460 33.6 47.6 18.8 14.0
7–24 Mar Sandık Analiz N/A 44.4 55.6 11.2
7–12 Mar AKAM 1,480 35.2 47.0 17.8 11.8
28 Feb – 5 Mar Optimar 2,207 42.5 34.6 22.9 7.9
Feb Sandık Analiz 9,804 45.7 54.3 8.6
Feb Yöneylem N/A 41.9 40.8 17.3 1.1
Feb Aksoy 2,400 37.3 45.3 17.4 8.0
18–25 Feb AKAM 2,184 34.3 46.2 19.5 11.9
19–22 Feb Metropoll 1,604 44.3 43.7 12.1 0.6
Jan Sandık Analiz 9,738 44.3 55.7 11.4
Jan SAROS 3,034 42.9 37.8 19.3 5.1
Jan Aksoy 2,400 37.7 44.1 18.2 6.4
15–30 Jan Yöneylem 5,292 38.8 40.1 20.7 1.3
12–20 Jan Optimar 2,089 43.9 35.2 20.8 8.7
6–10 Jan AKAM 1,460 37.2 42.1 20.7 4.9
4–9 Jan Artıbir 1,500 43.2 41.2 15.6 2.0
2021
Dec Sandık Analiz 3,809 47.7 52.3 4.6
Dec Aksoy 2,400 37.0 43.3 19.7 6.3
19–23 Dec MetroPoll 1,791 41.5 41.2 17.3 0.3
21 Nov – 9 Dec Konsensus 1,500 53.7 46.3 7.4
Nov SAROS 3,092 42.5 36.2 21.3 6.3
21–26 Nov AKAM 2,460 41.5 43.1 15.4 1.6
Oct Aksoy 2,400 40.6 44.0 15.4 3.4
19–24 Oct AKAM 2,460 41.1 42.3 16.6 1.2
21–25 Sep AKAM 2,460 38.7 41.9 19.4 3.2
Aug MetroPoll N/A 46.5 43.5 10.0 3.0
22–27 Aug AKAM 2,460 40.8 43.7 15.5 2.9
10–12 Aug Optimar 2,121 45.1 36.8 18.1 8.3
5–6 Aug Aksoy 1,067 37.1 38.7 24.2 1.6
18–26 Jul Artıbir 1,500 39.0 33.1 27.9 5.9
20–23 May AKAM 2,460 40.4 45.5 14.1 5.1
20 Apr – 8 May Optimar 2,307 44.7 34.7 20.6 10.0
20–29 Apr Yöneylem 2,409 40.8 37.0 22.2 3.8
18–25 Mar Yöneylem 2,605 42.1 44.9 13.0 2.8
20 Feb – 2 Mar Artıbir 1,500 42.9 39.6 17.5 3.3
28 Jan – 4 Feb Artıbir 1,500 43.2 38.3 18.5 4.9
10–24 Jan Yöneylem 2,507 39.1 41.4 19.6 2.3
2020
28–31 Dec ORC 2,980 50.9 34.2 14.9 16.7
19–24 Nov PIAR 2,416 39.7 44.5 15.8 4.8
2–7 Aug SAROS 3,012 40.7 36.9 22.4 3.8
2019

Erdoğan vs. Yavaş

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Undecided Lead
Erdoğan
AKP
Yavaş
CHP
Jul Bupar 30.0 47.4 22.6 17.4
27 Apr-3 May AKAM 2.460 38.4 52.0 9.6 13.6
14–20 Apr MetroPOLL 2.164 36.5 53.9 9.0 17.4
1–4 Ap Sosyo Politik 2.010 32.5 34.0 33.4 0.6
24–29 Mar AKAM 2.490 39.7 55.5 4.8 15.8
F AR-G 42.0 56.0 2.0 14
24–31 Jan AKAM 1.860 36 64 28
9–14 Jan AKAM 1.260 35.4 61.5 3.1 26.1
2022
23–27 Dec AKAM 2,460 35.2 61.5 26.3
14–15 Dec AKAM 1,260 30.1 54.2 15.7 24.1
13–20 Nov Optimar 2,507 41.3 39.3 19.4 2
11–17 Nov AKAM 1,260 32.8 49.2 18.0 16.4
27 Oct – 3 Nov Yöneylem 2,000 38.0 62.0 24.0
9–14 Oct AKAM 1,500 43.1 56.9 13.8
Oct SAROS 1,854 47.9 38.8 13.3 9.1
19–27 Sep Optimar 1,938 42.3 39.3 18.5 3.0
21–28 Aug AKAM 2,460 41.9 58.1 16.2
Aug Yöneylem 3,040 34.8 53.8 11.3 19.0
11–14 Aug AKAM N/A 42.6 57.4 14.8
Aug Optimar N/A 46.5 41.8 11.5 4.7
26–30 Jul Yöneylem 3,040 36.6 52.8 10.6 16.2
10–13 Jul Optimar 1,726 46.8 39.3 13.9 7.5
25–29 Jun Yöneylem 3,848 38.4 49.3 12.4 10.9
21–29 Jun Artıbir 1,500 42.7 45.8 11.5 3.1
23–28 Jun AKAM 2,460 37.0 49.4 13.6 12.4
8–13 Jun AKAM 2,460 32.0 48.2 19.8 16.2
5–30 May Sandık Analiz 4,477 39.2 60.8 21.6
21–25 May Yöneylem 3,140 38.8 50.7 10.5 11.9
22–24 May Optimar 1,836 44.1 42.0 13.9 2.1
6–9 May İEA 1,506 38.1 52.5 9.4 14.4
27–30 Apr Yöneylem 3,605 38.9 46.5 14.5 7.6
Apr AKAM N/A 30.9 47.5 21.6 16.6
26–30 Apr Aksoy 1,067 35.7 47.9 16.4 12.2
9–30 Apr Sandık Analiz 2,427 38.9 61.1 22.2
16–21 Apr Metropoll 1,752 37.5 49.4 13.1 11.9
11–14 Apr AKAM 1,460 30.5 48.0 21.5 17.5
Mar Aksoy N/A 37.0 47.8 15.2 10.8
Mar SAROS 3,042 45.2 41.0 13.8 4.2
29–31 Mar Yöneylem 3,140 41.3 45.5 13.2 4.2
26–31 Mar AKAM 2,460 33.8 47.7 18.5 13.9
7–24 Mar Sandık Analiz N/A 42.9 57.1 14.2
7–12 Mar AKAM 1,480 34.3 47.1 18.6 12.8
28 Feb – 5 Mar Optimar 2,207 41.2 36.7 22.1 4.5
Feb Sandık Analiz 9,804 44.5 55.5 11.0
Feb Yöneylem N/A 40.1 43.0 16.9 2.9
Feb Aksoy 2,400 37.0 47.5 15.5 10.5
18–25 Feb AKAM 2,184 34.7 48.6 16.7 13.9
19–22 Feb Metropoll 1,604 44.6 44.4 11.1 0.2
Jan Sandık Analiz 9,746 43.6 56.4 12.8
Jan SAROS 3,034 41.9 30.9 27.1 11.0
Jan Aksoy 2,400 37.7 48.5 13.8 10.8
15–30 Jan Yöneylem 5,292 38.4 38.4 22.9 0.0
12–20 Jan Optimar 2,089 43.1 31.8 25.0 11.9
6–10 Jan AKAM 1,460 36.9 42.7 20.4 5.8
2021
Dec Sandık Analiz 3,809 46.7 53.3 6.6
Dec Aksoy 2,400 35.4 48.7 15.8 13.3
19–23 Dec MetroPoll 1,791 40.7 43.9 15.4 3.2
21 Nov – 9 Dec Konsensus 1,500 55.2 44.8 10.4
Nov Sandık Analiz N/A 48.9 51.1 1.2
Nov SAROS 3,092 42.8 31.9 25.2 10.9
21–26 Nov AKAM 2,460 41.1 42.2 16.7 1.1
2–12 Nov Artıbir 1,500 43.6 38.9 17.5 4.7
Oct Aksoy 2,400 39.5 49.0 11.5 9.5
19–24 Oct AKAM 2,460 39.8 40.4 19.8 0.6
21–25 Sep AKAM 2,460 38.0 37.6 24.4 0.4
Aug MetroPoll N/A 45.5 43.0 11.6 2.5
22–27 Aug AKAM 2,460 40.4 41.1 18.5 0.7
10–12 Aug Optimar 2,121 44.5 36.7 18.8 7.8
5–6 Aug Aksoy 1,067 39.2 40.4 20.4 1.2
18–26 Jul Artıbir 1,500 49.7 30.5 19.8 19.2
20–23 May AKAM 2,460 39.9 39.7 20.4 0.2
20 Apr – 8 May Optimar 2,307 43.0 36.1 20.9 6.9
20–29 Apr Yöneylem 2,409 39.9 36.9 23.3 3.0
10–24 Jan Yöneylem 2,507 39.5 32.6 27.8 6.9
2020

Erdoğan vs. Kılıçdaroğlu

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Undecided Lead
Erdoğan
AKP
Kılıçdaroğlu
CHP
July Bupar 31.2 43.4 25.4 12.2
12-15 May Yöneylem 2.400 36.5 44.9 18.7 8.4
27 Apr-3 May AKAM 2.460 40.2 51.3 8.5 11,1
14–20 Apr MetroPOLL 2.164 42.5 43.3 13.5 0.8
1–4 Apr Sosyo Politik 2.010 38.1 40.5 21.4 2.4
24–29 Mar AKAM 2.490 41.9 46.8 11.3 4.9
3–6 Mar Yöneylem 2.488 38.6 40.1 21.3 1.5
Feb GEZİCİ 47.4 52.6 5.2
24–31 Jan AKAM 1.860 40 60 20
9–14 Jan AKAM 1.260 42.0 53.9 4.1 11.9
2022
23–27 Dec AKAM 2,460 40.5 53.9 13.4
14–15 Dec AKAM 1,260 32.1 50.6 17.3 18.5
13–20 Nov Optimar 2,507 35.4 33.9 30.6 1.5
11–17 Nov AKAM 1,260 34.1 47.9 18.0 13.8
27 Oct – 3 Nov Yöneylem 2,000 46.5 53.5 7.0
9–14 Oct AKAM 1,500 47.1 52.9 5.8
Oct SAROS 1,854 47.9 37.9 14.1 10.0
19–27 Sep Optimar 1,938 41.2 34.7 24.1 6.5
21–28 Aug AKAM 2,460 45.8 54.2 8.4
Aug Yöneylem 3,040 38.6 42.9 18.6 4.3
11–14 Aug AKAM N/A 46.1 53.9 7.8
Aug Optimar N/A 47.4 31.8 20.9 15.6
26–30 Jul Yöneylem 3,040 40.6 41.0 18.4 0.4
10–13 Jul Optimar 1,726 49.2 30.8 20.0 18.4
25–29 Jun Yöneylem 3,848 43.4 38.7 17.9 4.7
23–28 Jun AKAM 2,460 39.1 44.0 16.9 4.9
8–13 Jun AKAM 2,460 35.2 41.8 23.0 6.6
May Gezici 2,280 43.1 44.8 12.1 1.7
21–25 May Yöneylem 3,140 44.8 40.4 14.9 4.4
22–24 May Optimar 1,836 46.7 35.5 17.8 11.2
6–9 May İEA 1,506 44.2 39.4 16.4 4.8
27–30 Apr Yöneylem 3,605 45.5 32.4 22.3 13.1
26–30 Apr Aksoy 1,067 37.2 32.5 30.3 4.7
16–21 Apr Metropoll 1,752 42.5 39.7 17.8 2.8
Mar Aksoy N/A 39.6 29.9 30.5 9.7
Mar SAROS 3,042 45.1 39.9 15.0 5.2
29–31 Mar Yöneylem 3,140 47.3 31.9 20.9 15.4
28 Feb – 5 Mar Optimar 2,207 44.7 27.0 28.3 17.7
Feb Aksoy 2,400 38.9 31.4 29.7 7.5
Jan SAROS 3,034 42.2 23.7 34.1 18.5
Jan Aksoy 2,400 40.0 29.2 30.7 10.8
15–30 Jan Yöneylem 5,292 41.0 29.0 29.6 12.0
20–26 Jan ADA 3,245 52.8 27.8 19.4 25.0
12–20 Jan Optimar 2,089 45.8 27.2 27.0 18.6
6–10 Jan AKAM 1,460 37.4 35.9 26.7 1.5
2021
Dec Aksoy 2,400 39.0 29.7 31.3 9.3
19–23 Dec MetroPoll 1,791 45.2 27.8 27.0 17.4
3–9 Dec Optimar 2,253 47.8 42.2 10.0 5.6
Nov SAROS 3,092 42.5 32.0 25.4 10.5
21–26 Nov AKAM 2,460 41.0 38.9 20.1 2.1
Oct Aksoy 2,400 40.6 31.3 28.1 9.3
19–24 Oct AKAM 2,460 41.2 38.5 20.3 2.7
21–25 Sep AKAM 2,460 38.5 38.1 23.4 0.4
22–27 Aug AKAM 2,460 41.4 40.6 18.0 0.8
May ORC 2,316 54.1 36.4 9.5 17.7
2020
28–31 Dec ORC 2,980 53.7 31.7 14.6 22.0
2019

Erdoğan vs. Akşener

2022

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Undecided Lead
Erdoğan
AKP
Akşener
İYİ
July Bupar 30.1 37.3 32.6 7.2
14–20 Apr MetroPOLL 2.164 41.9 43.8 13,7 1.9
1–4 Apr Sosyo Politik 2.010 34.5 28.7 36.8 2.3

2021

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Undecided Lead
Erdoğan
AKP
Akşener
İYİ
Oct SAROS 1,854 48.0 37.1 14.8 10.9
21–28 Aug AKAM 2,460 46.0 54.0 8.0
Aug Yöneylem 3,040 37.2 45.6 17.2 8.4
11–14 Aug AKAM N/A 46.8 53.2 6.4
26–30 Jul Yöneylem 3,040 40.1 44.2 15.7 4.1
25–29 Jun Yöneylem 3,848 41.2 41.6 17.2 0.4
23–28 Jun AKAM 2,460 39.8 42.3 17.9 2.5
8–13 Jun AKAM 2,460 34.1 38.9 27.0 4.8
21–25 May Yöneylem 3,140 42.2 43.0 14.8 0.8
22–24 May Optimar 1,836 43.8 30.0 26.2 13.8
6–9 May İEA 1,506 39.1 45.4 15.5 6.3
27–30 Apr Yöneylem 3,605 42.6 38.1 19.3 4.5
26–30 Apr Aksoy 1,067 37.4 37.5 25.1 0.1
16–21 Apr Metropoll 1,752 38.5 42.5 19.0 4.0
Mar Aksoy N/A 39.5 38.0 22.5 1.5
Mar SAROS 3,042 45.1 34.0 20.8 11.1
29–31 Mar Yöneylem 3,140 44.4 36.4 19.2 8.0
7–24 Mar Sandık Analiz 4,039 49.1 50.9 1.8
28 Feb – 5 Mar Optimar 2,207 43.6 27.0 29.5 16.6
Feb Sandık Analiz 9,804 50.3 49.7 0.6
Feb Yöneylem N/A 43.9 34.2 21.9 9.7
Feb Aksoy 2,400 40.2 35.8 24.0 4.4
Jan Sandık Analiz 9,733 49.5 50.5 1.0
Jan SAROS 3,034 42.0 27.0 30.9 15.0
Jan Aksoy 2,400 40.6 38.1 21.3 2.5
15–30 Jan Yöneylem 5,292 40.1 32.1 27.4 8.0
20–26 Jan ADA 3,245 48.3 37.6 14.1 10.7
12–20 Jan Optimar 2,089 43.8 30.0 26.2 13.8
6–10 Jan AKAM 1,460 37.1 36.4 26.5 0.7
2021
Dec Aksoy 2,400 38.1 37.1 24.8 1.0
19–23 Dec MetroPoll 1,791 42.9 30.2 26.9 12.7
21 Nov – 9 Dec Konsensus 1,500 63.8 37.2 26.6
Nov SAROS 3,092 42.6 19.7 37.7 22.9
21–26 Nov AKAM 2,460 41.5 40.3 18.2 1.2
Oct Aksoy 2,400 41.4 35.9 22.7 5.5
19–24 Oct AKAM 2,460 40.6 38.1 21.3 2.5
21–25 Sep AKAM 2,460 37.9 36.8 25.3 1.1
Aug MetroPoll N/A 46.8 38.3 14.9 8.5
22–27 Aug AKAM 2,460 42.0 40.1 17.9 1.9
5–6 Aug Aksoy 1,067 40.4 32.2 27.3 8.2
May ORC 2,316 51.9 37.5 10.6 14.4
10–24 Jan Yöneylem 2,507 40.8 30.1 29.1 10.7
2020
28–31 Dec ORC 2,980 50.2 38.0 11.8 12.2
2019

Erdoğan vs. Babacan

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Undecided Lead
Erdoğan
AKP
Babacan
DEVA
1–4 April Sosyo Politik 2.010 36.6 21.0 42.3 5.7
2022
23–27 Dec AKAM 2,460 44.3 48.5 4.2
14–15 Dec AKAM 1,260 32.8 46.5 21.5 13.7
11–17 Nov AKAM 1,260 33.5 42.9 23.6 9.4
23–28 Oct AKAM 2,460 34.6 42.0 23.4 7.4
9–14 Oct AKAM 1,500 48.1 51.9 3.8
Oct SAROS 1,854 48.9 18.7 32.5 30.2
23–28 Jun AKAM 2,460 39.0 36.1 24.9 2.9
6–9 May İEA 1,506 43.5 36.9 19.6 6.6
Mar Aksoy N/A 40.6 20.7 38.7 19.9
Mar SAROS 3,042 45.2 19.6 35.1 25.6
28 Feb – 5 Mar Optimar 2,207 43.2 17.4 39.4 25.8
Feb Aksoy 2,400 40.1 20.4 39.5 19.7
Jan SAROS 3,034 42.2 3.4 54.4 38.8
Jan Aksoy 2,400 41.0 21.8 37.2 19.2
15–30 Jan Yöneylem 5,292 40.3 21.9 37.5 18.4
20–26 Jan ADA 3,245 51.9 25.9 22.2 26.0
12–20 Jan Optimar 2,089 45.1 20.9 34.5 24.2
6–10 Jan AKAM 1,460 37.2 34.3 28.5 2.9
2021
Dec Aksoy 2,400 40.4 25.4 34.2 15.0
19–23 Dec MetroPoll 1,791 43.6 21.4 35.0 22.2
Nov SAROS 3,092 42.8 15.0 42.2 27.8
21–26 Nov AKAM 2,460 40.1 37.9 22.0 2.2
Oct Aksoy 2,400 42.1 25.2 32.7 16.9
19–24 Oct AKAM 2,460 39.9 36.7 23.4 3.2
22–27 Aug AKAM 2,460 41.9 35.2 22.9 6.7
5–6 Aug Aksoy 1,067 39.9 14.6 45.5 25.3
18–25 Mar Yöneylem 2,605 46.6 24.7 28.7 21.9
10–24 Jan Yöneylem 2,507 37.0 26.1 36.9 10.9
2020
2–7 Aug SAROS 3,012 38.7 6.1 55.2 32.6
2019

Erdoğan vs. İnce

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Undecided Lead
Erdoğan
AKP
İnce
MP
Feb AR-G 52.0 11.0 37.0 15
2022
Oct SAROS 1,854 49.8 27.0 23.2 22.8
19–27 Sep Optimar 1,938 43.1 30.4 26.4 12.7
Aug Optimar N/A 49.9 29.4 20.7 20.5
10–13 Jul Optimar 1,726 49.4 26.4 24.2 23.0
23–28 Jun AKAM 2,460 41.0 34.2 24.8 6.8
Mar Aksoy N/A 41.8 20.9 37.3 20.9
Mar SAROS 3,042 44.7 21.9 33.4 22.8
28 Feb – 5 Mar Optimar 2,207 44.2 26.4 29.4 17.8
Feb Yöneylem N/A 45.1 25.2 29.7 19.9
Feb Aksoy 2,400 39.6 22.2 38.2 17.4
Jan SAROS 3,034 42.0 6.0 51.9 36.0
Jan Aksoy 2,400 39.6 23.4 36.9 16.2
20–26 Jan ADA 3,245 50.5 28.1 21.4 22.4
12–20 Jan Optimar 2,089 45.0 28.6 26.4 16.4
6–10 Jan AKAM 1,460 37.9 30.6 31.5 7.3
2021
Dec Aksoy 2,400 40.2 24.6 35.2 15.6
19–23 Dec MetroPoll 1,791 43.1 23.4 33.5 19.7
Nov SAROS 3,092 42.3 10.3 47.4 32.0
Oct Aksoy 2,400 41.4 29.2 29.4 12.2
19–24 Oct AKAM 2,460 41.9 35.9 22.2 6.0
21–25 Sep AKAM 2,460 38.7 35.1 26.2 3.6
Aug MetroPoll N/A 48.5 32.2 19.3 16.3
22–27 Aug AKAM 2,460 42.7 35.9 21.4 6.8
10–12 Aug Optimar 2,121 44.5 33.5 22.0 11.0
10–24 Jan Yöneylem 2,507 43.1 32.6 24.3 10.5
2020
2–7 Aug SAROS 3,012 40.6 26.7 32.7 13.9
2019

Erdoğan vs. Gül

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Undecided Lead
Erdoğan
AKP
Gül
IND
23–27 Dec AKAM 2,460 54.7 38.0 16.7
Oct SAROS 1,854 49.4 11.8 38.7 37.6
23–28 Jun AKAM 2,460 39.9 34.5 25.6 5.4
Mar Aksoy N/A 39.5 16.3 44.2 23.2
Mar SAROS 3,042 45.3 18.5 36.2 26.8
28 Feb – 5 Mar Optimar 2,207 44.2 16.7 39.1 27.5
Feb Aksoy 2,400 38.4 18.1 43.5 20.3
Jan SAROS 3,034 41.9 4.0 54.1 37.9
Jan Aksoy 2,400 40.1 17.2 42.6 22.9
12–20 Jan Optimar 2,089 43.5 20.3 36.1 23.2
2021
Dec Aksoy 2,400 38.5 16.9 44.6 21.6
21 Nov – 9 Dec Konsensus 1,500 76.3 23.7 52.6
Nov SAROS 3,092 42.6 10.5 46.9 32.1
21–26 Nov AKAM 2,460 43.2 37.1 19.7 6.1
Oct Aksoy 2,400 41.0 18.7 40.3 22.3
19–24 Oct AKAM 2,460 40.7 34.5 24.8 6.2
21–25 Sep AKAM 2,460 41.0 33.4 25.6 7.6
Aug MetroPoll N/A 49.6 22.5 27.9 27.1
22–27 Aug AKAM 2,460 42.1 33.2 24.7 8.9
10–12 Aug Optimar 2,121 44.3 21.3 34.4 23.0
5–6 Aug Aksoy 1,067 40.2 15.4 44.4 24.8
May ORC 2,316 57.4 25.1 17.5 32.3
20 Apr – 8 May Optimar 2,307 46.7 20.4 32.9 26.3
10–18 Mar Optimar 2,007 41.8 16.0 42.2 25.8
10–24 Jan Yöneylem 2,507 37.0 25.2 37.8 11.8
2020
28–31 Dec ORC 2,980 52.1 32.8 15.1 19.3
2019

Notes

  1. ^ Poll didn't present candidate names for AKP, CHP, HDP, İYİ; but presented parties.
  2. ^ a b With MHP.
  3. ^ a b With Muharrem İnce as the candidate.