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Opinion polling for the 2024 French legislative election

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There have been numerous opinion polls conducted for the 2024 French legislative election.

Polling

Graphical summary

Local regression of polls conducted

First round

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size LO
NPA
EXG
NFP DVG
PRG
FGR
ECO PA ENS DVC UDC DVD DLF
LP
RN REC
EXD
REG DIV
LFI PCF PS
Elabe 11–12 Jun 2024 1,502 1% 28% 5% 18% 6.5% 2% 31% 4% 4.5%
Ifop 10–11 Jun 2024 1,089 1% 25% 5% 18% 9% 1.5% 0.5% 35% 4% 1%
1% 11% 19% 3% 17% 8% 2% <0.5% 34% 4% 1%
1% 11% 2% 6% 13% 2% 16% 8% 1% 0.5% 35% 3.5% 1%
Opinion Way 10 Jun 2024 1,095 1% 23% 4% 2% 18% 8% 2% 33% 5% 4%
Harris-Interactive 9–10 Jun 2024 2,744 3% 22% 9% 19% 9% 34% 4%
9 Jun 2024 Emmanuel Macron dissolves the National Assembly and calls a legislative election to be held on 30 June and 7 July
Ifop 12–13 Dec 2023 1,100 1.5% 24% 6% 19% 11% 3% 1% 28% 5% 1.5%
1% 10% 4% 9% 8% 2% 18% 10% 3% 1% 27% 6% 1%
Elabe 3–5 Apr 2023 1,808 1% 25.5% 3% 21.5% 11.5% 1% 24.5% 4.5% 6%
Ifop 20–21 Mar 2023 1,094 1% 26% 5% 22% 10% 2% 1% 26% 5% 2%
1% 11% 3% 9% 7% 3% 21% 10% 1% 1% 26% 5% 2%
Harris-Interactive 3–7 Mar 2023 2,108 1% 24% 6% 24% 1% 10% 3% 1% 22% 4% 4%
Cluster17 4–6 Nov 2022 2,151 1.5% 24.5% 3% 1% 25% 0.5% 10.5% 2% 2% 20% 5% 1% 4%
Ifop 2–4 Nov 2022 1,513 1.5% 25% 4% 27% 11% 0.5% 21% 5.5% 2.5%
1.5% 11% 3% 7% 8% 2% 26% 11% 0% 21% 5% 1.5%
Ministry of the Interior
(Le Monde)
12 Jun 2022 1.17%
(1.19%)
25.66%
(26.16%)
3.70%
(3.30%)
2.67%
(–)
25.75%
(25.80%)
1.25%
(1.30%)
11.29%
(11.30%)
2.33%
(1.92%)
1.13%
(1.21%)
18.68%
(18.68%)
4.24%
(4.25%)
1.28%
(1.09%)
0.85%
(3.80%)

Seat projections

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample

size

LO
NPA
EXG
NFP ECO PA ENS DVC UDC DVD DLF
LP
RN REC
EXD
REG DIV
NUPÉS DVG
PRG
FGR
PCF LFI PS
Elabe 11–12 Jun 2024 1,502 150–190 90–130 30–40 220–270 10–20
Harris-Interactive 9–10 Jun 2024 2,744 115–145 125–155 40–55 0–2 235–265 5–20
- 9 Jun 2024 Emmanuel Macron dissolves the National Assembly and calls a legislative election to be held on 30 June and 7 July
Ipsos (L'Obs) 8–13 Dec 2023 4,000 55–79 20–22 117–165 3 44–60 7–8 243–305 10–11
Elabe 3–5 Apr 2023 1,808 150–180 15–20 130–155 60–75 150–175 12–15
Harris-Interactive 3–7 Mar 2023 2,108 158–168 234–244 69–79 91–100 8–14
Ministry of the Interior
(Le Monde)
19 Jun 2022 0
(0)
131
(142)
22
(13)
0
(0)
0
(0)
245
(246)
4
(5)
64
(64)
10
(9)
1
(1)
89
(89)
0
(1)
10
(6)
1
(1)


References