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The '''2022 Ohio gubernatorial election''' was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the [[governor of Ohio]]. Incumbent [[Ohio Republican Party|Republican]] Governor [[Mike DeWine]] won reelection to a second term in a [[Landslide victory|landslide]], defeating [[Ohio Democratic Party|Democrat]] nominee [[Nan Whaley]], the former mayor of [[Dayton, Ohio|Dayton]], 62.8% to 37.2%.<ref>{{Cite web |last=CNN |first=By Aditi Sangal, Adrienne Vogt, Elise Hammond, Maureen Chowdhury, Clare Foran, Meg Wagner, Melissa Macaya, Joe Ruiz and Seán Federico-OMurchú |date=2022-11-08 |title=CNN Projection: Republican Gov. Mike DeWine will win reelection in Ohio |url=https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/midterm-election-results-livestream-voting-11-08-2022/h_6dab3e1f3532b3062bc489d6ab42108d |access-date=2022-11-09 |website=CNN |language=en}}</ref> DeWine's 25 percentage point victory marked the continuation of a trend in which every incumbent Republican Governor of Ohio since [[1958 Ohio gubernatorial election|1958]] has won reelection by a double digit margin.
The '''2022 Ohio gubernatorial election''' was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the [[governor of Ohio]]. Incumbent [[Ohio Republican Party|Republican]] Governor [[Mike DeWine]] won reelection to a second term in a [[Landslide victory|landslide]], defeating [[Ohio Democratic Party|Democrat]] nominee [[Nan Whaley]], the former mayor of [[Dayton, Ohio|Dayton]], 62.8% to 37.2%.<ref>{{Cite web |last=CNN |first=By Aditi Sangal, Adrienne Vogt, Elise Hammond, Maureen Chowdhury, Clare Foran, Meg Wagner, Melissa Macaya, Joe Ruiz and Seán Federico-OMurchú |date=2022-11-08 |title=CNN Projection: Republican Gov. Mike DeWine will win reelection in Ohio |url=https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/midterm-election-results-livestream-voting-11-08-2022/h_6dab3e1f3532b3062bc489d6ab42108d |access-date=2022-11-09 |website=CNN |language=en}}</ref> DeWine's 25 percentage point victory marked the continuation of a trend in which every incumbent Republican Governor of Ohio since [[1978 Ohio gubernatorial election|1978]] has won reelection by a double digit margin.


This was the first time since [[1994 Ohio gubernatorial election|1994]] in which [[Trumbull County, Ohio|Trumbull]] and [[Mahoning County, Ohio|Mahoning]] county have gone to the Republican candidate by over 60%.
This was the first time since [[1994 Ohio gubernatorial election|1994]] in which [[Trumbull County, Ohio|Trumbull]] and [[Mahoning County, Ohio|Mahoning]] county have gone to the Republican candidate by over 60%.

Revision as of 11:19, 18 November 2022

2022 Ohio gubernatorial election

← 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 →
 
Nominee Mike DeWine Nan Whaley
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Jon Husted Cheryl Stephens
Popular vote 2,528,018 1,497,966
Percentage 62.8% 37.2%

County results

DeWine:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Whaley:      50–60%

Governor before election

Mike DeWine
Republican

Elected Governor

Mike DeWine
Republican

The 2022 Ohio gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Ohio. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike DeWine won reelection to a second term in a landslide, defeating Democrat nominee Nan Whaley, the former mayor of Dayton, 62.8% to 37.2%.[1] DeWine's 25 percentage point victory marked the continuation of a trend in which every incumbent Republican Governor of Ohio since 1978 has won reelection by a double digit margin.

This was the first time since 1994 in which Trumbull and Mahoning county have gone to the Republican candidate by over 60%.

Republican primary

Former U.S. Representative Jim Renacci challenged DeWine in the primary

Incumbent Governor Mike DeWine faced backlash from Republicans due to having implemented strict COVID-19 restrictions, such as a statewide stay at home order and mask mandates.[2][3][4] Due to this, on April 30, 2021, farmer Joe Blystone became the first candidate to announce a primary challenge to DeWine. On June 9, former U.S. Representative Jim Renacci also announced a run, later being followed up by former state representative Ron Hood.[5][6][7] As a result, DeWine became the first incumbent Ohio governor to face a primary challenger since Jim Rhodes in 1978 and the first to have multiple challengers since Michael Disalle in 1962. Initial polling showed Renacci in the lead; however his lead soon evaporated, as DeWine attempted to appeal to conservatives angry with his COVID response by attacking President Joe Biden's policies and signing Constitutional carry into law, allowing permitless carry of firearms.[8][9][10] Incumbent governors rarely ever lose their primaries. Ultimately, DeWine prevailed in the May 3rd primary election, however only won with a plurality of the vote, which suggests that he could have lost had his opponents not split the vote.[11]

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Mike DeWine
Local officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Jim Renacci
State representatives
  • John Becker, former state representative from the 65th district (2013–2020)[39]
  • Jennifer Gross, state representative from the 52nd district (2021–present)[39]
  • Ron Maag, former state representative from the 62nd district (2013–2016) and the 35th district (2009–2013)[39]
  • Seth Morgan former state representative from the 36th district (2009–2011)[40]
  • Nino Vitale, state representative from the 85th district (2015–present)[40]
  • Scott Wiggam, state representative from the 1st district (2017–present)[39]
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Organizations

Polling

Graphical summary
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Blystone
Mike
DeWine
Jim
Renacci
Other
[a]
Margin
Real Clear Politics February 25 – May 1, 2022 May 2, 2022 16.5% 48.0% 31.0% 4.5% DeWine +17.0
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Blystone
Mike
DeWine
Ron
Hood
Jim
Renacci
Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) April 29 – May 1, 2022 1,081 (LV) ± 3.0% 19% 47% 2% 27% 5%
Emerson College April 28–29, 2022 885 (LV) ± 3.2% 12% 45% 2% 30% 12%
Fox News April 20–24, 2022 906 (LV) ± 3.0% 19% 43% 24% 1% 12%
The Trafalgar Group (R) April 13–14, 2022 1,078 (LV) ± 3.0% 24% 40% 2% 26% 10%
University of Akron February 17 – March 15, 2022 – (LV) 51% 23% 10% 17%
Fox News March 2–6, 2022 918 (LV) ± 3.0% 21% 50% 18% <1% 10%
Emerson College February 25–26, 2022 410 (LV) ± 4.8% 20% 34% 0% 9% 36%
The Trafalgar Group (R) February 1–4, 2022 1,066 (LV) ± 3.0% 20% 41% 23% 16%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] January 25–26, 2022 626 (LV) ± 3.9% 38% 33% 29%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[B] January 11–13, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 38% 46% 16%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[B] May 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 34% 42% 24%

Results

Results by county:
  DeWine
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Renacci
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Blystone
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results[48][49]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican
519,594 48.11%
Republican
302,494 28.01%
Republican
235,584 21.81%
Republican 22,411 2.07%
Total votes 1,080,083 100.0%

Democratic primary

Former Cincinnati Mayor John Cranley finished second in the primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

John Cranley
State senators
State representatives
Individuals
Newspapers
Nan Whaley
U.S. Senators
State senators
State representatives
Local officials
Individuals
  • Joe Rugola, Executive Director of the Ohio Association of Public School Employees (OAPSE)[64]
Unions
Organizations
Declined to endorse

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
John
Cranley
Nan
Whaley
Other Undecided
University of Akron February 17 – March 15, 2022 – (LV) 18% 23% 6% 54%
Emerson College February 25–26, 2022 313 (LV) ± 5.5% 16% 16% 69%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[C] January 17–19, 2022 670 (LV) ± 3.8% 20% 33% 48%

Results

Results by county:
  Whaley
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Cranley
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Democratic primary results[48][49]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic
331,014 65.01%
Democratic 178,132 34.99%
Total votes 509,146 100.0%

Independents

Candidates

  • Timothy Grady (write-in) [70]
    • Running mate: Dayna Bickley
  • Craig Patton (write-in) [70]
    • Running mate: Collin Cook
  • Renea Turner (write-in) [70]
    • Running mate: Adina Pelletier
  • Marshall Usher (write-in) [70]
    • Running mate: Shannon Walker

Disqualified

  • F. Patrick Cunnane
    • Running mate: Mary Cunnane
  • Niel Petersen, pastor from Huber Heights[71]
    • Running mate: Michael V Stewart

Endorsements

Timothy Grady
Activists

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[73] Solid R September 29, 2022
Inside Elections[74] Solid R July 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[75] Safe R June 2, 2022
Politico[76] Solid R November 3, 2022
RCP[77] Safe R October 20, 2022
Fox News[78] Likely R May 12, 2022
538[79] Solid R July 31, 2022

Endorsements

Mike DeWine (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
State officials
Local officials
State senators
Individuals
Newspapers
Labor unions
Organizations
Nan Whaley (D)
U.S. Senators
State senators
State representatives
Local officials
Individuals
  • Joe Rugola, Executive Director of the Ohio Association of Public School Employees (OAPSE)[64]
Newspapers
Unions
Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Mike
DeWine (R)
Nan
Whaley (D)
Undecided
[c]
Margin
Real Clear Politics October 7–22, 2022 October 25, 2022 55.8% 37.5% 6.7% DeWine +18.3
FiveThirtyEight August 16 – October 25, 2022 October 25, 2022 55.5% 36.1% 8.4% DeWine +19.3
Average 55.6% 36.8% 7.6% DeWine +18.8
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Mike
DeWine (R)
Nan
Whaley (D)
Other Undecided
Civiqs November 4–7, 2022 716 (LV) ± 4.1% 53% 39% 6%[d] 2%
Research Co. November 4–6, 2022 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 57% 37% 6%
Targoz Market Research November 2–6, 2022 505 (LV) ± 4.3% 62% 32% 5%[e]
The Trafalgar Group (R) November 3–5, 2022 1,123 (LV) ± 2.9% 59% 34% 8%
Data for Progress (D) November 2–5, 2022 1,413 (LV) ± 3.0% 62% 38%
Cygnal (R) November 1–3, 2022 1,498 (LV) ± 2.5% 56% 37% 7%
Remington Research Group (R) November 1–2, 2022 1,125 (LV) ± 2.8% 58% 35% 7%
Emerson College October 30 – November 1, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 55% 34% 5%[f] 7%
Cygnal (R) October 29 – November 1, 2022 1,520 (LV) ± 2.5% 56% 36% 8%
Cygnal (R) October 26–30, 2022 1,510 (LV) ± 2.5% 56% 36% 9%
Cygnal (R) October 24–28, 2022 1,776 (LV) ± 2.3% 56% 35% 9%
Cygnal (R) October 22–26, 2022 1,817 (LV) ± 2.3% 56% 35% 9%
Cygnal (R) October 20–24, 2022 1,886 (LV) ± 2.3% 55% 37% 8%
Baldwin Wallace University October 20–23, 2022 1,068 (LV) ± 3.5% 57% 40% 3%
Cygnal (R) October 18–22, 2022 1,547 (LV) ± 2.5% 55% 37% 8%
Marist College October 17–20, 2022 1,141 (RV) ± 3.9% 53% 40% 1%[g] 6%
942 (LV) ± 4.3% 54% 41% 1%[h] 3%
Cygnal (R) October 16–20, 2022 1,540 (LV) ± 2.5% 55% 37% 8%
Siena College October 14–19, 2022 644 (LV) ± 5.1% 58% 34% 3%[i] 6%
Cygnal (R) October 14–18, 2022 1,438 (LV) ± 2.6% 56% 35% 9%
Ohio Northern University/Lucid October 11–15, 2022 668 (LV) ± 3.8% 60% 29% 1%[j] 10%
Suffolk University October 11–15, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 56% 38% 1%[k] 5%
The Trafalgar Group (R) October 10–12, 2022 1,081 (LV) ± 2.9% 55% 37% 8%
Data for Progress (D) October 7–12, 2022 1,016 (LV) ± 3.0% 57% 38% 5%
Cygnal (R)[D] October 6–8, 2022 640 (LV) 57% 35% 8%
Emerson College October 6–7, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 36% 6%[l] 8%
Siena College September 18–22, 2022 642 (LV) ± 4.4% 55% 32% 3%[m] 10%
Baldwin Wallace University September 12–15, 2022 855 (LV) ± 4.1% 57% 39% 4%
Marist College September 12–15, 2022 1,200 (RV) ± 3.6% 55% 37% 8%
1,009 (LV) ± 3.9% 55% 39% 6%
Emerson College September 10–13, 2022 1000 (LV) ± 3% 50% 33% 5% 12%
Civiqs September 10–13, 2022 780 (LV) ± 4% 44% 41% 10% 5%
Fallon Research September 6–11, 2022 500 (RV) ± 4.3% 49% 37% 14%
Suffolk University September 5–7, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 54% 39% 7%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 831 (LV) ± 4.3% 54% 35% 11%
Survey Monkey (D)[E] August 31 – September 2, 2022 987 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 31% 17%
519 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 37% 10%
The Trafalgar Group (R) August 16–19, 2022 1,087 (LV) ± 2.9% 54% 38% 8%

+|-

Emerson College August 15–16, 2022 925 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 33% 8% 11%
Lake Research Partners (D)[F] August 4–9, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 43% 8% 5%
Lake Research Partners (D)[F] August 3–9, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 43% 7% 6%
Suffolk University May 22–24, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 30% 11%[n] 13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 20–24, 2021 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 44% 2+

+5%

10% 16%
1,160 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 27% 11% 16%
Hypothetical polling
Mike DeWine vs. John Cranley
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Mike
DeWine (R)
John
Cranley (D)
Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 20–24, 2021 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 44% 24% 10% 16%
1,160 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 25% 11% 15%

Results

According to a survey conducted by NORC for Fox News and the Associated Press, most white people (68% to 32%), Latinos (64% to 33%), and other minorities (60% to 36%) voted for DeWine, while most African Americans voted for Whaley (73% to 27%).[89]

a
2022 Ohio gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican
Democratic
Total votes

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. ^ "Someone else" with 6%
  5. ^ "All others" with 5%
  6. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
  7. ^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  8. ^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  9. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%; "Not going to vote" with 1%
  10. ^ "Other" with 1%
  11. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  12. ^ "Someone else" with 6%
  13. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%; "Not going to vote" with 1%
  14. ^ Petersen with 11%, "someone else" with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association
  2. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Renacci's campaign committee
  3. ^ This poll was sponsored by Whaley's campaign
  4. ^ This poll was sponsored by American Greatness
  5. ^ This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes DeWine
  6. ^ a b This poll was circulated by the Ohio Democratic Party

References

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External links

Official campaign websites