Jump to content

2023 Kentucky gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see 2023 United States gubernatorial elections and 2023 Kentucky elections.

2023 Kentucky gubernatorial election
← 2019 November 7, 2023 2027 →
Turnout37.9% Decrease 3.9 pp
 
Nominee Andy Beshear Daniel Cameron
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Jacqueline Coleman Robby Mills
Popular vote 694,482 627,457
Percentage 52.53% 47.46%
Beshear:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80-90%      >90%
Cameron:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Governor before election

Andy Beshear
Democratic

Elected Governor

Andy Beshear
Democratic

Elections in Kentucky
Federal government
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections
State government
State elections
Gubernatorial elections
Secretary of State elections
Attorney General elections
State Treasurer elections
State Auditor elections
Agriculture Commissioner elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives elections
Supreme Court elections
Ballot measures
2004
Amendment 1
2022
Amendment 2
2024
Amendment 2
Lexington
Mayoral elections
Louisville
Mayoral elections
Government

The 2023 Kentucky gubernatorial election was held on November 7, 2023, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Kentucky. Incumbent Democratic governor Andy Beshear won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican state Attorney General Daniel Cameron. If Cameron had won, he would have become Kentucky's first African-American governor.

This race was one of two Democratic-held governorships up for election in 2023 in a state Donald Trump won in 2020. The other was held in Louisiana, which Jeff Landry flipped for the Republicans.

This was the first gubernatorial election in the state's history in which both major party candidates had previously held the position of attorney general; Beshear held the position from 2016 to 2019, after which he was succeeded by Cameron. This is the first election since 1999 where the party that won the gubernatorial election lost the following presidential election.

Beshear's victory has been attributed to his broad popularity among Democrats and independents, as well as approximately half of Republicans in the state.[1] Compared to 2019, Beshear most improved his performance in suburban precincts; he increased his margins by nearly 6 percentage points in suburban areas, compared to 4.5 percentage points in urban and rural precincts.[2]

Background

[edit]

A socially conservative southern state, Kentucky is considered safely Republican in federal elections, with Republicans holding both of its U.S. Senate seats and all but one of its U.S. House seats. In the 2020 presidential election, Republican Donald Trump carried Kentucky by 26 percentage points. However, the state was much more competitive as recently as the 1990s, when it voted for Bill Clinton twice, and Democrats remain competitive in many local and some state-level elections.

Beshear was first elected in 2019, narrowly defeating incumbent Republican Matt Bevin, who had become widely unpopular for signing a pension reform bill for teachers and opposing a subsequent teachers' strike. In that same year, Cameron was elected attorney general, becoming the first African-American to be elected to that position.

Cameron gained national recognition as attorney general, especially due to his involvement in the Breonna Taylor case in 2020. He spoke at the 2020 Republican National Convention on August 25, 2020.[3] In September 2020, Cameron appeared on a shortlist of potential nominees to replace Ruth Bader Ginsburg on the Supreme Court by President Trump.[4]

On May 16, 2023, Cameron won the Republican nomination with 47.7% of the vote, a 26% margin over the second-place candidate, and Beshear won the Democratic nomination with 91.3% of the vote over two perennial candidates.[5][6]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Andy Beshear
Organizations
Newspapers and other media

Fundraising

[edit]

Beshear is the only candidate who has filed a financial disclosure.

Campaign finance reports as of January 3, 2023[15]
Candidate Raised Cash on hand
Andy Beshear $647,000 $7,400,000

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Beshear
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Democratic primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andy Beshear (incumbent) 176,589 91.3
Democratic Geoff Young 9,865 5.1
Democratic Peppy Martin 6,913 3.6
Total votes 193,367 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Did not file

[edit]
  • Anthony Moore, wellwater drilling contractor[10]

Withdrew

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Daniel Cameron
Executive Branch officials
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Kelly Craft
Executive Branch officials
Statewide officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Individuals
Mike Harmon
Organizations
Savannah Maddox (withdrawn)
U.S. representatives
Organizations
Ryan Quarles
State legislators
Organizations
Newspapers

Fundraising

[edit]

Financial disclosures for major candidates are below:

Campaign finance reports as of April 18, 2023[45]
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Daniel Cameron $1,370,904 $777,446 $593,458
Kelly Craft $8,563,233[c] $8,156,315 $406,918
Eric Deters $669,064[d] $659,746 $9,319
Mike Harmon $84,547[e] $70,693 $13,854
Alan Keck $311,717[f] $257,577 $54,139
Ryan Quarles $1,202,650 $299,419 $903,231

Debates

[edit]
2023 Republican primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Daniel Cameron Kelly Craft Eric Deters Mike Harmon Alan Keck Ryan Quarles
1 March 7, 2023 Jefferson County Republican Party
Spectrum News 1 Kentucky 		Mario Anderson Spectrum News 1 P A N P P P
2 April 26, 2023 Kenton County Republican Party
WCPO
LINK nky 		Evan Millward
Shane Noem
Mark Payne 		YouTube A A P P P P
3 May 1, 2023 Kentucky Educational Television Renee Shaw YouTube P P P N P P
4 May 8, 2023 WKYT
Transylvania University 		Bill Bryant WSAZ A A P P N P
5 May 9, 2023 WDKY Marvin Bartlett
Gilbert Corsey
Ashley Kirklen 		WDKY P A P N N P

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[g] 		Margin
of error 		Daniel
Cameron 		David
Cooper 		Kelly
Craft 		Eric
Deters 		Bob
DeVore 		Mike
Harmon 		Alan
Keck 		Savannah
Maddox 		Ryan
Quarles 		Robbie
Smith 		Other Undecided
Emerson College May 10–12, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 33% 2% 18% 10% <1% 4% 3% – 13% <1% <1%[h] 13%
Emerson College April 10–11, 2023 900 (LV) ± 3.2% 30% <1% 24% 6% <1% 2% <1% – 15% <1% <1%[i] 21%
Mason-Dixon January 18–23, 2023 404 (LV) ± 5% 39% 1% 13% 2% 1% 5% 2% – 8% 1% – 28%
Meeting Street[A] January 9–11, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 39% – 8% 2% – 2% 1% – 8% – 2% 38%
December 20, 2022 Maddox withdraws from the race
co/efficient (R)[A] June 13–14, 2022 974 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% – 3% 4% – 5% – 7% 9% – 3% 22%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Cameron
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Quarles
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Craft
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Daniel Cameron 144,576 47.7
Republican Ryan Quarles 65,718 21.7
Republican Kelly Craft 52,170 17.2
Republican Eric Deters 17,464 5.8
Republican Mike Harmon 7,797 2.6
Republican Alan Keck 7,317 2.4
Republican David Cooper 2,282 0.8
Republican Jacob Clark 1,900 0.6
Republican Robbie Smith 1,388 0.5
Republican Bob DeVore 931 0.3
Republican Johnny Rice 726 0.2
Republican Dennis Ormerod 696 0.2
Total votes 302,965 100.0

General election

[edit]

A viral ad featuring Hadley Duvall, who had been raped and impregnated by her stepfather at age 12, was widely credited by Republican leadership for contributing to Beshear's victory, as Kentucky was one of 12 states that had anti-abortion laws that allowed no exceptions for rape or incest, which was initially supported by Cameron.[46]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[47] Lean D July 21, 2023
Inside Elections[48] Tilt D September 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] Lean D October 16, 2023
Elections Daily[50] Lean D November 7, 2023

Debates

[edit]
2023 Kentucky gubernatorial debates[51]
No. Date Host Link Democratic Republican
 P  Participant   A  Absent    I  Invitee
Andy Beshear Daniel Cameron
1 October 16, 2023 Northern Kentucky University YouTube P P
2 October 21, 2023 League of Women Voters YouTube P P
3 October 23, 2023 Kentucky Educational Television YouTube P P
4 October 24, 2023 WKYT WKYT P P

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of November 7, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Andy Beshear (D) $18,968,345 $18,963,018 $5,327
Daniel Cameron (R) $4,349,178 $4,316,097 $33,081
Source: Kentucky Registry of Election Finance[52]

Endorsements

[edit]
Andy Beshear (D)
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Municipal officials
Newspapers and other media
Individuals
Organizations
Political parties
Daniel Cameron (R)
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Governors
State senators
State representatives
Municipal officials
Individuals
Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[g] 		Margin
of error 		Andy
Beshear (D) 		Daniel
Cameron (R) 		Other Undecided
Concord Public Opinion Partners[B] November 1–2, 2023 470 (LV) ± 4.5% 48% 40% – 12%
Data for Progress (D) November 1–2, 2023 660 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 48% – 2%
Emerson College October 30 – November 2, 2023 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 47% 2%[j] 4%
co/efficient (R) Archived October 23, 2023, at the Wayback Machine[C] October 18–19, 2023 1,845 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 45% − 8%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D)[D] October 14–16, 2023 721 (LV) ± 3.6% 52% 44% − 4%
Emerson College October 1–3, 2023 450 (RV) ± 4.6% 49% 33% 5%[k] 13%
WPA Intelligence (R)[E] September 25–28, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 42% – 10%
WPA Intelligence (R)[E] September 5–8, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 40% – 12%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D)[D] August 30 – September 1, 2023 716 (LV) ± 3.6% 51% 42% – 7%
Public Policy Polling (D)[D] August 9–10, 2023 737 (V) – 49% 41% – 10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[F] July 19–20, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 45% – 5%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D)[D] Late July 2023 716 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% 45% – 7%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[G] June 22–29, 2023 800 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 42% – 6%
Cygnal (R) May 22–23, 2023 600 (LV) ± 3.9% 47% 47% – 6%
co/efficient (R) Archived May 22, 2023, at the Wayback Machine[A] May 18–19, 2023 987 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 43% – 12%
Mason-Dixon January 18–23, 2023 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 40% – 11%
Hypothetical polling
Andy Beshear vs. Kelly Craft
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[g] 		Margin
of error 		Andy
Beshear (D) 		Kelly
Craft (R) 		Undecided
Mason-Dixon January 18–23, 2023 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 57% 32% 11%
Andy Beshear vs. Mike Harmon
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[g] 		Margin
of error 		Andy
Beshear (D) 		Mike
Harmon (R) 		Undecided
Mason-Dixon January 18–23, 2023 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 53% 33% 14%
Andy Beshear vs. Ryan Quarles
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[g] 		Margin
of error 		Andy
Beshear (D) 		Ryan
Quarles (R) 		Undecided
Mason-Dixon January 18–23, 2023 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 35% 13%

Results

[edit]

Beshear won re-election by a 5% margin.[89] Key to his victory was his performance in the state's two most populous counties, Jefferson and Fayette (home to the cities of Louisville and Lexington, respectively), each of which he carried with more than 70% of the vote. Beshear also over-performed in several Republican-leaning suburban counties in Northern Kentucky and the Bluegrass region, and in several historically Democratic rural counties in the Eastern Coalfield which have swung sharply towards the Republican Party in the 21st century.[90] Beshear's gains in the Eastern Coalfield were attributed to his response to flooding in the region in 2022.[91][92]

2023 Kentucky gubernatorial election[93]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic
694,482 52.53% +3.34
Republican
627,457 47.46% −1.37
Write-in 83 0.01% N/A
Total votes 1,322,022 100.00%
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

By county

[edit]
By county
County Andy Beshear Daniel Cameron Write-in Margin Total
votes
% # % # % # % #
Adair 31.94% 1,688 68.06% 3,597 0.00% 0 -36.12% -1,909 5,285
Allen 29.60% 1,513 70.40% 3,599 0.00% 0 -40.81% -2,086 5,112
Anderson 45.34% 4,212 54.66% 5,078 0.00% 0 -9.32% -866 9,290
Ballard 36.28% 963 63.72% 1,691 0.00% 0 -27.43% -728 2,654
Barren 41.78% 4,965 58.21% 6,918 0.01% 1 -16.43% -1,953 11,884
Bath 55.81% 1,913 44.19% 1,515 0.00% 0 11.61% 398 3,428
Bell 40.24% 2,281 59.74% 3,386 0.02% 1 -19.50% -1,105 5,668
Boone 43.96% 17,575 56.03% 22,399 0.01% 4 -12.07% -4,824 39,978
Bourbon 53.96% 3,265 46.04% 2,786 0.00% 0 7.92% 479 6,051
Boyd 51.52% 6,068 48.48% 5,710 0.00% 0 3.04% 358 11,778
Boyle 52.89% 5,040 47.11% 4,489 0.00% 0 5.78% 551 9,529
Bracken 39.86% 939 60.14% 1,417 0.00% 0 -20.29% -478 2,356
Breathitt 61.17% 1,763 38.83% 1,119 0.00% 0 22.35% 644 2,882
Breckinridge 41.96% 2,608 58.04% 3,607 0.00% 0 -16.07% -999 6,215
Bullitt 42.96% 10,723 57.04% 14,235 0.00% 0 -14.07% -3,512 24,958
Butler 32.15% 1,173 67.85% 2,475 0.00% 0 -35.69% -1,302 3,648
Caldwell 39.99% 1,519 60.01% 2,279 0.00% 0 -20.01% -760 3,798
Calloway 46.26% 5,211 53.74% 6,054 0.00% 0 -7.48% -843 11,265
Campbell 54.19% 16,885 45.80% 14,271 0.01% 4 8.39% 2,614 31,160
Carlisle 30.33% 545 69.67% 1,252 0.00% 0 -39.34% -707 1,797
Carroll 47.95% 1,112 52.05% 1,207 0.00% 0 -4.10% -95 2,319
Carter 47.27% 2,978 52.71% 3,321 0.02% 1 -5.44% -343 6,300
Casey 26.08% 1,129 73.92% 3,200 0.00% 0 -47.84% -2,071 4,329
Christian 42.68% 5,135 57.30% 6,893 0.02% 2 -14.61% -1,758 12,030
Clark 51.63% 5,938 48.35% 5,561 0.03% 3 3.28% 377 11,502
Clay 35.63% 1,441 64.37% 2,603 0.00% 0 -28.73% -1,162 4,044
Clinton 24.33% 607 75.67% 1,888 0.00% 0 -51.34% -1,281 2,495
Crittenden 34.07% 858 65.93% 1,660 0.00% 0 -31.85% -802 2,518
Cumberland 26.43% 503 73.57% 1,400 0.00% 0 -47.14% -897 1,903
Daviess 51.11% 15,572 48.89% 14,895 0.01% 2 2.22% 677 30,469
Edmonson 37.38% 1,358 62.54% 2,272 0.08% 3 -25.16% -914 3,633
Elliott 53.48% 875 46.52% 761 0.00% 0 6.97% 114 1,636
Estill 42.17% 1,509 57.83% 2,069 0.00% 0 -15.65% -560 3,578
Fayette 71.75% 74,298 28.24% 29,239 0.01% 8 43.52% 45,059 103,545
Fleming 42.13% 1,865 57.87% 2,562 0.00% 0 -15.74% -697 4,427
Floyd 57.14% 5,136 42.85% 3,852 0.01% 1 14.28% 1,284 8,989
Franklin 68.52% 13,500 31.48% 6,201 0.00% 0 37.05% 7,299 19,701
Fulton 44.89% 615 55.11% 755 0.00% 0 -10.22% -140 1,370
Gallatin 40.71% 865 59.29% 1,260 0.00% 0 -18.59% -395 2,125
Garrard 37.69% 2,141 62.31% 3,539 0.00% 0 -24.61% -1,398 5,680
Grant 35.16% 2,220 64.82% 4,093 0.02% 1 -29.66% -1,873 6,314
Graves 36.49% 3,885 63.51% 6,763 0.00% 0 -27.03% -2,878 10,648
Grayson 36.07% 2,514 63.91% 4,454 0.01% 1 -27.84% -1,940 6,969
Green 29.63% 1,082 70.35% 2,569 0.03% 1 -40.72% -1,487 3,652
Greenup 45.74% 4,498 54.26% 5,336 0.00% 0 -8.52% -838 9,834
Hancock 49.41% 1,464 50.59% 1,499 0.00% 0 -1.18% -35 2,963
Hardin 49.70% 14,336 50.30% 14,511 0.00% 0 -0.61% -175 28,847
Harlan 33.96% 1,904 66.04% 3,702 0.00% 0 -32.07% -1,798 5,606
Harrison 49.09% 2,775 50.91% 2,878 0.00% 0 -1.82% -103 5,653
Hart 38.62% 1,920 61.38% 3,051 0.00% 0 -22.75% -1,131 4,971
Henderson 55.77% 7,048 44.22% 5,589 0.01% 1 11.54% 1,459 12,638
Henry 44.97% 2,325 55.01% 2,844 0.02% 1 -10.04% -519 5,170
Hickman 33.03% 470 66.97% 953 0.00% 0 -33.94% -483 1,423
Hopkins 45.50% 5,762 54.50% 6,901 0.00% 0 -8.99% -1,139 12,663
Jackson 22.91% 743 77.06% 2,499 0.03% 1 -54.15% -1,756 3,243
Jefferson 70.04% 179,854 29.95% 76,908 0.00% 11 40.09% 102,946 256,773
Jessamine 46.79% 8,007 53.20% 9,104 0.01% 1 -6.41% -1,097 17,112
Johnson 37.08% 1,898 62.92% 3,220 0.00% 0 -25.83% -1,322 5,118
Kenton 52.80% 26,066 47.20% 23,301 0.01% 4 5.60% 2,765 49,371
Knott 54.45% 1,847 45.55% 1,545 0.00% 0 8.90% 302 3,392
Knox 34.54% 2,286 65.46% 4,333 0.00% 0 -30.93% -2,047 6,619
Larue 38.57% 1,756 61.41% 2,796 0.02% 1 -22.84% -1,040 4,553
Laurel 31.41% 4,974 68.59% 10,862 0.01% 1 -37.18% -5,888 15,837
Lawrence 37.31% 1,361 62.69% 2,287 0.00% 0 -25.38% -926 3,648
Lee 46.32% 705 53.68% 817 0.00% 0 -7.36% -112 1,522
Leslie 30.36% 667 69.64% 1,530 0.00% 0 -39.28% -863 2,197
Letcher 52.33% 2,205 47.67% 2,009 0.00% 0 4.65% 196 4,214
Lewis 31.64% 911 68.36% 1,968 0.00% 0 -36.71% -1,057 2,879
Lincoln 37.82% 2,586 62.18% 4,252 0.00% 0 -24.36% -1,666 6,838
Livingston 36.62% 1,061 63.38% 1,836 0.00% 0 -26.75% -775 2,897
Logan 37.35% 2,449 62.60% 4,105 0.05% 3 -25.26% -1,656 6,557
Lyon 42.99% 1,221 57.01% 1,619 0.00% 0 -14.01% -398 2,840
Madison 51.72% 14,012 48.28% 13,080 0.00% 1 3.44% 932 27,093
Magoffin 50.38% 1,577 49.62% 1,553 0.00% 0 0.77% 24 3,130
Marion 52.14% 2,891 47.84% 2,653 0.02% 1 4.29% 238 5,545
Marshall 39.94% 4,610 60.05% 6,932 0.01% 1 -20.12% -2,322 11,543
Martin 29.81% 513 70.19% 1,208 0.00% 0 -40.38% -695 1,721
Mason 46.68% 2,247 53.30% 2,566 0.02% 1 -6.63% -319 4,814
McCracken 47.06% 9,867 52.94% 11,099 0.00% 0 -5.88% -1,232 20,966
McCreary 28.21% 853 71.76% 2,170 0.03% 1 -43.55% -1,317 3,024
McLean 41.59% 1,238 58.41% 1,739 0.00% 0 -16.83% -501 2,977
Meade 43.13% 3,599 56.83% 4,742 0.04% 3 -13.70% -1,143 8,344
Menifee 45.88% 862 54.07% 1,016 0.05% 1 -8.20% -154 1,879
Mercer 44.26% 3,399 55.72% 4,279 0.01% 1 -11.46% -880 7,679
Metcalfe 40.99% 1,242 59.01% 1,788 0.00% 0 -18.02% -546 3,030
Monroe 25.27% 1,023 74.73% 3,025 0.00% 0 -49.46% -2,002 4,048
Montgomery 49.31% 3,962 50.69% 4,073 0.00% 0 -1.38% -111 8,035
Morgan 47.18% 1,630 52.79% 1,824 0.03% 1 -5.62% -194 3,455
Muhlenberg 46.45% 3,833 53.55% 4,419 0.00% 0 -7.10% -586 8,252
Nelson 50.63% 7,562 49.37% 7,375 0.00% 0 1.25% 187 14,937
Nicholas 56.01% 1,142 43.99% 897 0.00% 0 12.02% 245 2,039
Ohio 39.24% 2,479 60.76% 3,839 0.00% 0 -21.53% -1,360 6,318
Oldham 49.57% 12,952 50.43% 13,177 0.00% 1 -0.86% -225 26,130
Owen 40.55% 1,494 59.45% 2,190 0.00% 0 -18.89% -696 3,684
Owsley 40.84% 381 59.16% 552 0.00% 0 -18.33% -171 933
Pendleton 38.20% 1,511 61.80% 2,444 0.00% 0 -23.59% -933 3,955
Perry 55.79% 3,121 44.21% 2,473 0.00% 0 11.58% 648 5,594
Pike 45.46% 5,797 54.54% 6,954 0.00% 0 -9.07% -1,157 12,751
Powell 50.02% 1,518 49.98% 1,517 0.00% 0 0.03% 1 3,035
Pulaski 32.15% 6,139 67.85% 12,957 0.01% 1 -35.70% -6,818 19,097
Robertson 44.17% 307 55.83% 388 0.00% 0 -11.65% -81 695
Rockcastle 29.11% 1,244 70.89% 3,029 0.00% 0 -41.77% -1,785 4,273
Rowan 60.75% 3,907 39.25% 2,524 0.00% 0 21.51% 1,383 6,431
Russell 30.03% 1,604 69.97% 3,737 0.00% 0 -39.94% -2,133 5,341
Scott 54.58% 10,575 45.42% 8,801 0.01% 1 9.16% 1,774 19,377
Shelby 47.58% 7,946 52.40% 8,751 0.02% 4 -4.82% -805 16,701
Simpson 41.21% 1,905 58.79% 2,718 0.00% 0 -17.59% -813 4,623
Spencer 37.04% 2,752 62.96% 4,677 0.00% 0 -25.91% -1,925 7,429
Taylor 40.80% 3,198 59.20% 4,641 0.00% 0 -18.41% -1,443 7,839
Todd 34.07% 907 65.85% 1,753 0.08% 2 -31.78% -846 2,662
Trigg 37.16% 1,532 62.84% 2,591 0.00% 0 -25.69% -1,059 4,123
Trimble 44.09% 1,108 55.91% 1,405 0.00% 0 -11.82% -297 2,513
Union 44.97% 1,722 55.03% 2,107 0.00% 0 -10.05% -385 3,829
Warren 52.12% 18,165 47.87% 16,685 0.01% 5 4.25% 1,480 34,855
Washington 43.02% 1,772 56.96% 2,346 0.02% 1 -13.94% -574 4,119
Wayne 37.81% 1,754 62.19% 2,885 0.00% 0 -24.38% -1,131 4,639
Webster 41.32% 1,425 58.68% 2,024 0.00% 0 -17.37% -599 3,449
Whitley 32.74% 2,697 67.26% 5,540 0.00% 0 -34.51% -2,843 8,237
Wolfe 57.26% 1,010 42.74% 754 0.00% 0 14.51% 256 1,764
Woodford 59.25% 6,414 40.75% 4,411 0.00% 0 18.50% 2,003 10,825
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Despite winning the election, Beshear won only two of the state's six congressional districts, including one represented by a Republican.[94]

District Beshear Cameron Representative
1st 44% 56% James Comer
2nd 46% 54% Brett Guthrie
3rd 72% 28% Morgan McGarvey
4th 48% 52% Thomas Massie
5th 42% 58% Hal Rogers
6th 60% 40% Andy Barr

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Green nominee for Kentucky's 45th House district in 2012; Democratic candidate for Kentucky's 6th congressional district in 2014, 2016, and 2018, Republican candidate in 2020, and Democratic nominee in 2022; Democratic candidate for governor in 2015 and 2019
  2. ^ Candidate for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district in 2008, 2012, and 2016; candidate for Kentucky's 46th House district in 2010 and nominee in 2020; Republican nominee for Mayor of Louisville in 2014 and candidate in 2018
  3. ^ $7,001,000 of this total was self-funded by Craft
  4. ^ $52,500 of this total was self-funded by Deters
  5. ^ $10,772 of this total was self-funded by Harmon
  6. ^ $32,000 of this total was self-funded by Keck
  7. ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  8. ^ Ormerod with 0.5%
  9. ^ Jacob Clark with 0.5%
  10. ^ "Someone Else" with 2%
  11. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c This poll was sponsored by Cameron's campaign
  2. ^ Poll commissioned by Education Reform Now Advocacy
  3. ^ Poll commissioned by the Bluegrass Freedom Action PAC
  4. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Beshear's campaign
  5. ^ a b Poll commissioned by the Club for Growth PAC
  6. ^ Poll commissioned by the Republican State Leadership Committee
  7. ^ Poll commissioned by the Prichard Committee for Academic Excellence

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "U.S. Governor Rankings: Beshear Gets a Boost, Desantis' Approval Dips". Morning Consult Pro. Archived from the original on November 7, 2023. Retrieved November 8, 2023.
  2. ^ "Election 2023: Democrats win control of Va. legislature; Ohio residents vote to protect abortion rights". Washington Post. November 7, 2023. Archived from the original on November 8, 2023. Retrieved November 8, 2023.
  3. ^ Astor, Maggie (August 26, 2020). "Daniel Cameron, Kentucky A.G., Speaks at the R.N.C.: Full Transcript". The New York Times. Archived from the original on September 2, 2023. Retrieved September 2, 2023.
  4. ^ Wolfson, Andrew; Tobin, Ben; Ladd, Sarah (September 9, 2020). "Trump lists Kentucky AG Daniel Cameron as potential US Supreme Court nominee". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved November 22, 2023.
  5. ^ "Kentucky Primary Election Results". The New York Times. May 16, 2023. Archived from the original on September 2, 2023. Retrieved September 2, 2023.
  6. ^ a b c "May 16, 2023 Official 2023 Primary Election Results" (PDF). Kentucky Secretary of State. Archived (PDF) from the original on July 30, 2023. Retrieved October 6, 2023.
  7. ^ a b Brammer, Jack (October 1, 2021). "KY Gov. Andy Beshear kicks off re-election bid, will keep Coleman as running mate". Lexington Herald-Leader. McClatchy. Retrieved October 11, 2021.
  8. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o "Election Candidate Filings - Governor". web.sos.ky.gov. Archived from the original on January 30, 2023. Retrieved January 6, 2023.
  9. ^ Martin, Ryland (December 2, 2022). "Beshear draws a primary challenger…former Republican Peppy Martin". WEKU. Archived from the original on December 8, 2022. Retrieved December 8, 2022.
  10. ^ a b c d e f Duvall, Tessa (November 22, 2022). "Here's the complete list of candidates running for Kentucky governor in 2023". Lexington Herald Leader. Archived from the original on May 19, 2023. Retrieved November 24, 2022.
  11. ^ a b "Kentucky's working families stand with Governor Beshear". Kentucky AFL–CIO. January 11, 2023. Archived from the original on January 25, 2023. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  12. ^ a b "KY Democratic Party Endorses Gov. Beshear for Re-Election". Kentucky Fried Politics. March 27, 2023. Archived from the original on May 4, 2023. Retrieved May 4, 2023.
  13. ^ a b "Kentucky - COMPAC Endorsements". Archived from the original on April 17, 2023.
  14. ^ a b "Herald-Leader endorses two clear, qualified choices in Ky's gubernatorial primaries". Lexington Herald-Leader. April 28, 2023. Archived from the original on November 8, 2023. Retrieved May 4, 2023.
  15. ^ "Beshear maintains big fundraising lead over Republican rivals". January 3, 2023. Archived from the original on January 5, 2023. Retrieved January 5, 2023.
  16. ^ "Kentucky Attorney General Daniel Cameron Announces Gubernatorial Run". National Review. May 11, 2022. Archived from the original on April 20, 2023. Retrieved May 11, 2022.
  17. ^ a b c Schreiner, Bruce (September 7, 2022). "Trump ambassador Kelly Craft joins Kentucky governor's race". Associated Press. Archived from the original on September 20, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  18. ^ a b c d e "Craft taps Sen. Max Wise as early 2023 GOP running mate". Spectrum News. September 22, 2022. Archived from the original on September 26, 2022. Retrieved September 26, 2022.
  19. ^ Karthikeyan, Divya (October 6, 2022). "Beshear leads in gubernatorial fundraising; Craft closes in on Quarles". Archived from the original on November 20, 2022. Retrieved November 20, 2022.
  20. ^ Sonka, Joe (July 12, 2021). "Kentucky Auditor Mike Harmon is running for governor". Courier-Journal. Archived from the original on November 8, 2023. Retrieved July 12, 2021.
  21. ^ Horn, Austin (November 21, 2022). "Ky. GOP governor primary was already crowded. One more candidate just jumped in". Lexington Herald-Leader. Archived from the original on November 21, 2022. Retrieved November 21, 2022.
  22. ^ Schreiner, Bruce (April 30, 2022). "GOP's Quarles announces run for Kentucky governor in 2023". Associated Press. Archived from the original on December 7, 2022. Retrieved May 1, 2022.
  23. ^ "State Rep. Savannah Maddox joining Kentucky governor's race". WKYT-TV. June 6, 2022. Archived from the original on June 6, 2022. Retrieved June 6, 2022.
  24. ^ Fowler, Audrey (December 20, 2022). "State Rep. Savannah Maddox drops out of Kentucky governor's race". WLEX-TV. Archived from the original on December 20, 2022. Retrieved December 20, 2022.
  25. ^ Horn, Austin. "Sen. Ralph Alvarado leaving office to lead Tennessee health department". Lexington Herald Leader. Archived from the original on November 23, 2022. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  26. ^ Bacon, Perry (November 7, 2019). "Kentucky May Have Gotten Even More Red This Week". Louisville Eccentric Observer. Louisville Eccentric Observer. Archived from the original on November 8, 2019. Retrieved December 29, 2020.
  27. ^ Storm, Nick (July 25, 2022). "Treasurer Allison Ball Announces Campaign for KY Auditor". www.kentuckyfried.com. Archived from the original on April 6, 2023. Retrieved July 25, 2022.
  28. ^ Delouche, Conroy. "Matt Bevin teases run for Kentucky governor, walks out as deadline passes". WDRB. Archived from the original on January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 7, 2023.
  29. ^ Schreiner, Bruce (August 5, 2021). "US Rep. Comer eyeing House chairmanship, not governorship". Associated Press. Archived from the original on August 22, 2021. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  30. ^ May, Adam (July 8, 2022). "Comer says he'll endorse a GOP gov candidate who hasn't announced yet". Archived from the original on July 8, 2022. Retrieved July 8, 2022.
  31. ^ Schreiner, Bruce (August 18, 2021). "Kentucky elections: Republican state Sen. Max Wise eying possible run for governor". The Courier-Journal. Gannett. Archived from the original on November 8, 2023. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  32. ^ a b "Trump endorses Cameron's bid for governor in Kentucky". Spectrum News 1. June 17, 2022. Archived from the original on May 30, 2023. Retrieved June 18, 2023.
  33. ^ a b Schreiner, Bruce (April 28, 2023). "Rising GOP star embroiled in tough Kentucky primary fight". ABC News. Archived from the original on May 18, 2023. Retrieved May 18, 2023.
  34. ^ a b c d Owens, Mary (June 22, 2022). "SBA Pro-Life America's Candidate Fund Endorses Pro-Life Champion Daniel Cameron for Kentucky Governor". Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America. Archived from the original on August 23, 2022. Retrieved November 25, 2022.
  35. ^ a b "AG Daniel Cameron Endorsed by Mark Levin". The Journal Kentucky. April 30, 2023. Archived from the original on October 31, 2023. Retrieved October 31, 2023.
  36. ^ a b c d "Kentucky Right to Life Endorsements". Kentucky Right to Life Committee. Archived from the original on May 7, 2023. Retrieved May 10, 2023.
  37. ^ Kamisar, Ben; Bowman, Bridget (May 16, 2023). "Meet the Press Blogs: Three things to watch in Tuesday's elections". NBC News. Archived from the original on November 3, 2023. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
  38. ^ Crain, Brennan (May 15, 2023). "Craft touts U.N. experience, hometown roots ahead of primary election during 'election eve rally'". WBKO News. Archived from the original on May 16, 2023. Retrieved May 15, 2023.
  39. ^ Vakil, Caroline (May 4, 2023). "Ted Cruz to stump for Kelly Craft in heated Kentucky GOP primary". The Hill. Archived from the original on May 4, 2023. Retrieved May 4, 2023.
  40. ^ a b c d e Storm, Nick (September 13, 2022). "Kelly Craft Attempts to Nationalize Gubernatorial Race in Campaign Rollout". Kentucky Fried Politics. Archived from the original on September 14, 2022. Retrieved September 14, 2022.
  41. ^ Kamisar, Ben (May 9, 2023). "Ramaswamy endorses Craft's Kentucky gubernatorial bid". NBC News. Archived from the original on May 9, 2023. Retrieved May 9, 2023.
  42. ^ Horn, Austin (August 6, 2022). "Maddox picks up endorsement; Comer hints at new candidate for governor". Lexington Herald-Leader. Archived from the original on August 7, 2022. Retrieved August 7, 2022.
  43. ^ Republican Liberty Caucus [@RLibertyCaucus] (July 13, 2022). "The Republican Liberty Caucus proudly endorses Savannah Maddox for KY Governor. @SavannahLMaddox has been an unwavering liberty warrior in the KY legislature. As Governor, Savannah will continue to fight for personal liberty, smaller government and economic freedom. #RLCendorsed" (Tweet). Retrieved July 28, 2022 – via Twitter.
  44. ^ a b c d e Storm, Nick (July 27, 2022). "Ryan Quarles Endorsed by 150+ KY Elected Officials". Kentucky Fried Politics. Archived from the original on May 4, 2023. Retrieved May 4, 2023.
  45. ^ "Candidate Search". Kentucky Registry of Election Finance. Archived from the original on April 18, 2023. Retrieved April 19, 2023.
  46. ^ "'Everybody's daughter': The rape victim behind Kentucky's viral abortion ad". Washington Post. December 4, 2023. Retrieved August 21, 2024.
  47. ^ "2024 CPR Governor Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on January 11, 2023. Retrieved July 23, 2023.
  48. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". insideelections.com. Archived from the original on January 5, 2021. Retrieved July 23, 2023.
  49. ^ "2024 Governor – Sabato's Crystal Ball". Archived from the original on January 20, 2023. Retrieved July 23, 2023.
  50. ^ Cunningham, Eric (November 7, 2023). "Final 2023 Gubernatorial Ratings: Kentucky Moves to Leans Democratic, Mississippi is Likely Republican". Elections Daily. Archived from the original on November 7, 2023. Retrieved November 7, 2023.
  51. ^ Almendarez, Jolene (October 10, 2023). "Here's how you can watch Kentucky governor candidates Beshear, Cameron debate at NKU". Archived from the original on October 20, 2023. Retrieved October 17, 2023.
  52. ^ "Candidate Search". Kentucky Registry of Election Finance.
  53. ^ a b Watkins, Morgan (September 9, 2023). "Beshear campaigns in west Louisville, says every neighborhood should see 'new prosperity'". Louisville Public Media. Archived from the original on September 10, 2023. Retrieved September 9, 2023.
  54. ^ Schreiner, Bruce (October 30, 2023). "Democratic Gov. Beshear downplays party labels in campaigning for 2nd term in GOP-leaning Kentucky". New Haven Register. Archived from the original on November 2, 2023. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
  55. ^ a b Saccone, Mike (September 6, 2023). "National Wildlife Federation Action Fund Endorses Andy Beshear for Governor". National Wildlife Federation Action Fund. Archived from the original on September 7, 2023. Retrieved September 7, 2023.
  56. ^ Wilcox, Chandler (October 30, 2023). "Gov. Beshear makes campaign stops in EKY". WYMT-TV. Archived from the original on October 30, 2023. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
  57. ^ a b "Beshear receives law enforcement endorsements". bgdailynews.com. June 8, 2023. Archived from the original on July 7, 2023. Retrieved July 7, 2023.
  58. ^ a b c "Sheriff Ward lends support for Beshear's re-election campaign". thenewsenterprise.com. June 9, 2023. Archived from the original on July 7, 2023. Retrieved July 7, 2023.
  59. ^ a b Gillespie, Brandon (June 10, 2023). "Law enforcement officials join 'coal country' in snubbing Republicans, backing Dem governor for re-election". Fox News. Archived from the original on September 4, 2023. Retrieved September 5, 2023.
  60. ^ Green, Richard. "From the Editor: We believe in endorsements. We wish all the candidates did, too". Lexington Herald-Leader. Archived from the original on November 8, 2023. Retrieved October 26, 2023.
  61. ^ "Governor Beshear has been a great friend to Letcher County. He deserves our votes". The Mountain Eagle. November 1, 2023. Archived from the original on November 6, 2023. Retrieved November 6, 2023.
  62. ^ Sergio, Arianna (November 2, 2023). "Beshear traveling across Kentucky to encourage people to vote, Jack Harlow joins him at Louisville stop". WHAS-TV 11. Archived from the original on November 8, 2023. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
  63. ^ "2023 CWA Endorsed Candidates - Kentucky". Communications Workers of America. Archived from the original on October 16, 2023. Retrieved October 14, 2023.
  64. ^ "Andy Beshear's Ratings and Endorsements". Just Facts by Vote Smart. Archived from the original on May 20, 2023. Retrieved May 19, 2023.
  65. ^ "Kentucky Educators Political Action Committee: Election Information". www.kepac.org. Archived from the original on October 31, 2023. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
  66. ^ Duvall, Tessa (June 2, 2023). "Kelly Craft says 'stay tuned' as Cameron, Beshear secure endorsements". Lexington Herald-Leader. Archived from the original on June 2, 2023. Retrieved June 27, 2023.
  67. ^ "SUPPORT DANIEL CAMERON FOR GOVERNOR: Carson". WinRed. Retrieved August 20, 2023.
  68. ^ "SUPPORT DANIEL CAMERON FOR GOVERNOR: Budd". WinRed. Retrieved August 20, 2023.
  69. ^ a b Horsley, McKenna (August 6, 2023). "At annual Fancy Farm picnic, Beshear, Cameron face off for first time, trading barbs before raucous crowd". Northern Kentucky Tribune. The Kentucky Lantern. Archived from the original on September 12, 2023. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
  70. ^ Shaw, Renee (October 20, 2023). "Kentucky Edition: Sen. Rand Paul Campaigns for Cameron". PBS. Archived from the original on November 3, 2023. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
  71. ^ "SUPPORT DANIEL CAMERON FOR GOVERNOR: Vance". WinRed. Retrieved August 20, 2023.
  72. ^ Umbro, Jessica (October 30, 2023). "Candidates for governor kick off bus tour before election". WKYT-TV. Archived from the original on November 3, 2023. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
  73. ^ Duvall, Tessa (November 2, 2023). "Flanked by GOP allies, Cameron pitches voters on his vision for making Kentucky a national model". Lexington Herald Leader. Retrieved March 30, 2024. All five of Kentucky's Republican members of the House of Representatives have stumped with Cameron.
  74. ^ Horsley, McKenna (August 31, 2023). "Stumping on home turf, Massie has Cameron's back despite earlier criticism". The Kentucky Lantern. Archived from the original on September 21, 2023. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
  75. ^ a b Harris, Christopher (June 16, 2023). "Cameron makes stop in Somerset on campaign trail for governor's office". Commonwealth Journal. Archived from the original on June 19, 2023. Retrieved June 26, 2023.
  76. ^ "Support Daniel Cameron for Governor: Kemp". WinRed. Retrieved August 20, 2023.
  77. ^ Buczek, Karolina (November 1, 2023). "Cameron rounds out campaign with Arkansas Gov. Huckabee Sanders". WLEX-TV 18. Archived from the original on November 2, 2023. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
  78. ^ "Gov. Glenn Youngkin: I'm Endorsing My Friend Daniel Cameron!". Archive of Political Emails. July 26, 2023. Archived from the original on November 3, 2023. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
  79. ^ a b c d e Richardson, Ryan (November 3, 2023). "Area state legislators endorse Cameron". Owensboro Times. Archived from the original on November 3, 2023. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
  80. ^ Krauth, Olivia; Sonka, Joe (July 19, 2023). "Daniel Cameron taps 'true conservative' Sen. Robby Mills as his running mate". Courier Journal. Archived from the original on November 8, 2023. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
  81. ^ Calfee, Olivia (October 31, 2023). "AG Daniel Cameron continues his gubernatorial tour in the mountains". WYMT-TV. Archived from the original on November 2, 2023. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
  82. ^ Chip, Hutcheson (July 20, 2023). "Cameron, Mills address key campaign issues". Kentucky Today. Archived from the original on July 21, 2023. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  83. ^ a b c d Marlowe, Edward (November 2, 2023). "Cameron Clamors With Christian County Faithful". WDKZ. Archived from the original on November 3, 2023. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
  84. ^ Calvert, Isaac (July 20, 2023). "Daniel Cameron and Sen. Robby Mills visit Bowling Green for first campaign event together". WBKO News. Archived from the original on July 21, 2023. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  85. ^ a b "GOP governor candidate Daniel Cameron lands Kentucky FOP endorsement, unveils education plan". WLKY. August 15, 2023. Archived from the original on August 23, 2023. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  86. ^ Acquisto, Alex; Horn, Austin (October 17, 2023). "Anti-Beshear PAC ad falsely claims Democrats will abduct kids over gender identity". Lexington Herald-Leader. Archived from the original on November 8, 2023. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
  87. ^ Mitola, Will (July 31, 2023). "Club for Growth PAC Endorses Daniel Cameron in KY-GOV Race". Club for Growth. Archived from the original on August 1, 2023. Retrieved July 31, 2023.
  88. ^ "NRA's Political Victory Fund Endorses Attorney General Daniel Cameron with an "A+" Rating". NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 3, 2023.
  89. ^ Montellaro, Zach (November 7, 2023). "Beshear's win shows Democrats can still win in red states". POLITICO. Retrieved November 16, 2023.
  90. ^ "In Kentucky, voters add to the GOP's election woes". MSNBC.com. November 8, 2023. Retrieved November 16, 2023.
  91. ^ Dixon, Eric (December 6, 2023). "Kentucky counties hit hardest by disasters swing toward Beshear • Kentucky Lantern". Kentucky Lantern. Retrieved April 19, 2024.
  92. ^ "Beshear wins big in flood-impacted eastern Kentucky". spectrumnews1.com. Retrieved April 19, 2024.
  93. ^ "Certification of Election Results for 2023 General Election Final" (PDF). Commonwealth of Kentucky - State Board of Elections.
  94. ^ https://lookerstudio.google.com/reporting/75e97d20-411d-4954-9f27-8cc57a80aa96/page/p_zagwlwambd
[edit]
Official campaign websites
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2023_Kentucky_gubernatorial_election&oldid=1255866095"