2019 European Parliament election in Germany

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

This is an old revision of this page, as edited by Cilidus (talk | contribs) at 14:26, 14 June 2020. The present address (URL) is a permanent link to this revision, which may differ significantly from the current revision.

2019 European Parliament election in Germany
← 2014 26 May 2019 2024 →
All 96 German seats to the European Parliament
Turnout37,396,889 (61.4%)
Increase 13.3%
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Manfred Weber Ska Keller Katarina Barley
Party CDU/CSU Greens SPD
Alliance EPP Green PES
Last election 34 seats, 35.4% 11 seats, 10.7% 27 seats, 27.3%
Seats won 29 21 16
Seat change Decrease 5 Increase 10 Decrease 11
Popular vote 10,794,042 7,677,071 5,916,882
Percentage 28.9% 20.5% 15.8%
Swing Decrease 6.5% Increase 9.8% Decrease 11.5%
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Jörg Meuthen Martin Schirdewan Nicola Beer
Party AfD Left FDP
Alliance EAPN Left ALDE
Last election 7 seats, 7.0% 7 seats, 7.4% 3 seats, 3.4%
Seats won 11 5 5
Seat change Increase 4 Decrease 2 Increase 2
Popular vote 4,104,453 2,056,049 2,028,594
Percentage 11.0% 5.5% 5.4%
Swing Increase 4.0% Decrease 1.9% Increase 2.0pp
Results of the election. The map on the left shows the results by district. The map in the upper right shows results by state.
Results of the election. The map on the left shows the results by district. The map in the upper right shows results by state.

The 2019 European Parliament election in Germany were held on 26 May 2019, electing members of the national Germany constituency to the European Parliament. Both the CDU/CSU and SPD suffered major losses, while the Greens became the second largest party in a national-level election for the first time in German history.

Background

The 2019 European Parliament election was first national election to be held in Germany since the 2017 federal election, in which Chancellor Angela Merkel's ruling coalition between the Christian Democrats and Social Democrats suffered major losses, while the right-wing, Eurosceptic party Alternative for Germany (AfD) entered parliament in third place. In 2018, the Greens and the AfD made large gains in state elections in Bavaria and Hesse, with the Greens moving into second place in each, whilst the Christian Democrats and Social Democrats each suffered 10+ point swings. Federal polling saw the Greens take a consistent lead over the SPD since October.

Electoral threshold

Since the 2014 European Parliament election, Germany does not have a formal threshold of the vote share required in order for a party to win an EP seat. This has allowed a number of smaller parties to gain representation, since they only have to reach about 0.5% of the vote share needed to get their first seat with the Webster/Sainte-Laguë method.

Although the European Council had recommended that countries with greater than 35 MEPs should introduce a threshold between 2–5%, the German government abandoned its plans for a 2% threshold in November 2018.[1]

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

Federal level

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		Union SPD Grüne Linke AfD FDP Others Lead
style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Alliance 90/The Greens/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:The Left (Germany)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Alternative for Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Free Democratic Party (Germany)/meta/color;"|
2019 European election 26 May 2019 – 28.9 15.8 20.5 5.5 11.0 5.4 12.9 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8.4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 20–23 May 2019 1,779 28 17.5 18.5 6.5 12 5.5 12 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9.5
Ipsos 17–23 May 2019 2,072 27 17 18 7 12 6 13 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9
Civey 15–22 May 2019 5,053 29.1 15.9 18.1 7.2 12.3 6.3 11.1 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11.0
INSA 16–20 May 2019 2,875 28 15.5 18 7 12 8 11.5 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 May 2019 1,313 30 17 19 7 12 5 10 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11
Infratest dimap 14–15 May 2019 1,001 28 17 17 7 12 7 12 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11
Civey 7–14 May 2019 5,043 30.4 16.9 18.2 7.1 10.7 7.2 9.5 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12.2
INSA 10–13 May 2019 2,044 28 15 18 8 12 7.5 11.5 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 May 2019 1,357 32 16 19 6 12 6 9 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13
INSA 3–6 May 2019 2,089 28 15 19 8 13 7 10 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9
Infratest dimap 29–30 Apr 2019 1,505 29 19 19 7 10 7 9 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10
Civey 22–29 Apr 2019 5,013 31.6 16.2 17.3 6.7 11.4 8.3 8.5 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14.3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Apr 2019 1,282 32 18 19 6 10 7 8 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13
Infratest dimap 1–3 Apr 2019 1,503 30 17 19 7 11 7 9 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11
INSA 28 Mar–1 Apr 2019 4,000 29 16 16 8 12 8 11 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–27 Mar 2019 1,325 33 18 18 6 10 7 8 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Mar 2019 1,290 35 18 18 6 9 7 7 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 17
Infratest dimap 11–13 Mar 2019 1,508 32 19 18 7 11 6 7 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13
INSA 27 Feb–1 Mar 2019 4,000 29 16 15 9 12 9.5 9.5 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 19–21 Feb 2019 1,226 33 18 19 8 10 6 6 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14
Infratest dimap 11–13 Feb 2019 1,503 33 18 19 6 10 7 7 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14
INSA 25–28 Jan 2019 2,056 30 15 17 8 12 8 10 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13
Forsa 9–11 Jan 2019 1,505 35 15 20 6 10 8 6 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 15
INSA 8–10 Dec 2018 2,047 30 16.5 17.5 9.5 14.5 9 3 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12.5
INSA 19–22 Oct 2018 1,260 27 16 20 10 16 8 3 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 32.9 20.5 8.9 9.2 12.6 10.7 5.0 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12.4
2014 European election 25 May 2014 – 35.4 27.3 10.7 7.4 7.1 3.4 8.9 style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8.1

By state

Baden-Württemberg

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		CDU SPD Grüne AfD FDP Linke Others Lead
style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Alliance 90/The Greens/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Alternative for Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Free Democratic Party (Germany)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:The Left (Germany)/meta/color;"|
2019 European election 26 May 2019 – 30.8 13.3 23.3 10.0 6.8 3.1 12.7 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7.5
Infratest dimap 9–14 May 2019 1,003 31 15 23 10 7 3 11 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8
INSA 10–13 May 2019 505 28 12 20 12 9 5 14 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 34.4 16.4 13.5 12.2 12.7 6.4 4.5 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 18.0
2016 state election 13 Mar 2016 – 27.0 12.7 30.3 15.1 8.3 2.9 3.7 style="background:Template:Alliance 90/The Greens/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-3.3"| 3.3
2014 European election 25 May 2014 – 39.3 23.0 13.2 7.9 4.1 3.6 8.9 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 16.3

Bavaria

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		CSU SPD Grüne AfD FW FDP Linke Others Lead
style="background:Template:Christian Social Union in Bavaria/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Alliance 90/The Greens/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Alternative for Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Free Voters/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Free Democratic Party (Germany)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:The Left (Germany)/meta/color;"|
2019 European election 26 May 2019 – 40.7 9.3 19.1 8.5 5.3 3.4 2.4 11.3 style="background:Template:Christian Social Union in Bavaria/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 21.6
GMS 16–22 May 2019 1,003 39 11 19 11 4 5 3 8 style="background:Template:Christian Social Union in Bavaria/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 20
GMS 2–8 May 2019 1,005 40 12 18 10 5 6 3 6 style="background:Template:Christian Social Union in Bavaria/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 22
Infratest dimap 2–6 May 2019 1,000 39 11 18 9 4 4 3 12 style="background:Template:Christian Social Union in Bavaria/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 21
GMS 28 Mar–3 Apr 2019 1,000 39 11 18 13 5 6 3 5 style="background:Template:Christian Social Union in Bavaria/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 21
Infratest dimap 14–18 Mar 2019 1,001 41 12 19 10 5 5 3 5 style="background:Template:Christian Social Union in Bavaria/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 22
GMS 21–27 Feb 2019 1,006 36 11 17 14 5 7 4 6 style="background:Template:Christian Social Union in Bavaria/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 19
GMS 27 Dec–2 Jan 2019 1,003 36 10 18 13 5 8 4 6 style="background:Template:Christian Social Union in Bavaria/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 18
2018 state election 14 Oct 2018 – 37.2 9.7 17.6 10.2 11.6 5.1 3.2 5.4 style="background:Template:Christian Social Union in Bavaria/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 19.6
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 38.8 15.3 9.8 12.4 2.7 10.2 6.1 4.8 style="background:Template:Christian Social Union in Bavaria/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 23.5
2014 European election 25 May 2014 – 40.5 20.1 12.1 8.1 4.3 3.1 2.9 9.0 style="background:Template:Christian Social Union in Bavaria/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 20.4

Berlin

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		SPD CDU Grüne Linke AfD FDP Others Lead
style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Alliance 90/The Greens/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:The Left (Germany)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Alternative for Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Free Democratic Party (Germany)/meta/color;"|
2019 European election 26 May 2019 – 14.0 15.2 27.8 11.9 9.9 4.7 16.5 style="background:Template:Alliance 90/The Greens/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-5"| 12.6
Infratest dimap 30 Apr–4 May 2019 1,000 13 18 23 16 10 5 15 style="background:Template:Alliance 90/The Greens/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-5"| 5
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 17.9 22.7 12.6 18.8 12.0 8.9 7.1 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-3.9"| 3.9
2016 state election 18 Sep 2016 – 21.6 17.6 15.2 15.6 14.2 6.7 9.2 style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 3.9
2014 European election 25 May 2014 – 24.0 20.0 19.1 16.2 7.9 2.8 10.0 style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4.0

Hesse

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		CDU SPD Grüne AfD Linke FDP Others Lead
style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Alliance 90/The Greens/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Alternative for Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:The Left (Germany)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Free Democratic Party (Germany)/meta/color;"|
2019 European election 26 May 2019 – 25.8 18.4 23.4 9.9 4.4 6.4 11.7 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 2.4
Infratest dimap 16–24 Apr 2019 1,001 27 19 21 12 4 8 9 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 6
2018 state election 28 Oct 2018 – 27.0 19.8 19.8 13.1 6.3 7.5 6.5 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7.2
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 30.9 23.5 9.7 11.9 8.1 11.5 4.4 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7.3
2014 European election 25 May 2014 – 30.6 30.3 12.9 9.1 5.6 4.1 7.3 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 0.3

Rhineland-Palatinate

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		CDU SPD Grüne AfD FDP Linke FW Others Lead
style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Alliance 90/The Greens/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Alternative for Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Free Democratic Party (Germany)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:The Left (Germany)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Free Voters/meta/color;"|
2019 European election 26 May 2019 – 31.3 21.3 16.7 9.8 5.8 3.1 2.9 9.1 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10.0
Infratest dimap 8–13 May 2019 1,000 31 21 18 9 8 4 – 9 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 35.9 24.1 7.6 11.2 10.4 6.8 1.4 2.6 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11.7
2016 state election 13 Mar 2016 – 31.8 36.2 5.3 12.6 6.2 2.8 2.2 2.8 style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-4.4"| 4.4
2014 European election 25 May 2014 – 38.4 30.7 8.1 6.7 3.7 3.7 2.0 6.7 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7.7

Saarland

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		CDU SPD AfD Linke Grüne FDP Others Lead
style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Alternative for Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:The Left (Germany)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Alliance 90/The Greens/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Free Democratic Party (Germany)/meta/color;"|
2019 European election 26 May 2019 – 32.5 23.1 9.6 6.0 13.2 3.7 11.9 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9.4
Infratest dimap 29 Apr–6 May 2019 1,000 34 23 7 9 14 4 9 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 – 32.4 27.1 10.1 12.9 6.0 7.6 3.9 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5.2
2017 state election 26 Mar 2017 – 40.7 29.6 6.2 12.8 4.0 3.3 3.4 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11.1
2014 European election 25 May 2014 – 34.9 34.4 6.8 6.6 6.0 2.2 9.0 style="background:Template:Christian Democratic Union of Germany/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 0.5

Results

Template:European Parliament election, 2019 (Germany)

Results by state

Results for each party by state.[2]

State Union Grüne SPD AfD Linke FDP Others
style="background:Template:CDU/CSU/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Alliance 90/The Greens/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Alternative for Germany/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:The Left (Germany)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Free Democratic Party (Germany)/meta/color;"|
 Baden-Württemberg 30.8 23.3 13.3 10.0 3.1 6.8 12.7
 Bavaria 40.7 19.1 9.3 8.5 2.4 3.4 16.6
 Berlin 15.2 27.8 14.0 9.9 11.9 4.7 16.5
 Brandenburg 18.0 12.3 17.2 19.9 12.3 4.4 15.9
 Bremen 21.8 22.7 24.5 7.7 7.9 4.7 10.7
 Hamburg 17.7 31.2 19.8 6.5 7.0 5.6 12.2
 Hesse 25.8 23.4 18.4 9.9 4.4 6.4 11.7
 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 24.5 10.8 15.6 17.7 13.9 3.9 13.6
 Lower Saxony 29.9 22.6 20.9 7.9 3.8 5.0 9.9
 North Rhine-Westphalia 27.9 23.2 19.2 8.5 4.2 6.7 10.3
 Rhineland-Palatinate 31.3 16.7 21.3 9.8 3.1 5.8 12.0
 Saarland 32.5 13.2 23.1 9.6 6.0 3.7 11.9
 Saxony 23.0 10.3 8.6 25.3 11.7 4.7 16.4
 Saxony-Anhalt 23.2 9.2 12.5 20.4 14.4 4.9 15.4
 Schleswig-Holstein 26.2 29.1 17.1 7.4 3.7 5.9 10.6
 Thuringia 24.7 8.6 11.0 22.5 13.8 4.4 15.0

References

  1. ^ Christian Kerl. "Europawahl 2019: Große Koalition begräbt Pläne für Sperrklausel". Retrieved 19 January 2019. {{cite web}}: Cite has empty unknown parameter: |1= (help)
  2. ^ Officer, The Federal Returning. "European Parliament election 2019 - The Federal Returning Officer". www.bundeswahlleiter.de.
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2019_European_Parliament_election_in_Germany&oldid=962517179"