Economy of Qatar

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Economy of Qatar
CurrencyQatari riyal (QAR, QR)
Trade organisations
WTO
Country group
Statistics
PopulationIncrease 2,781,677 (2018)[3]
GDP
  • Increase $191.849 billion (nominal, 2019 est.)[4]
  • Increase $365.835 billion (PPP, 2019 est.)[4]
GDP rank
GDP growth
  • 1.5% (2018) 1.4% (2019e)
  • 0.4% (2020f) 1.5% (2021f)[5]
GDP per capita
  • Decrease $69,688 (nominal, 2019 est.)[4]
  • Increase $132,886 (PPP, 2019 est.)[4]
GDP per capita rank
GDP by sector
  • agriculture: 0.2%
  • industry: 50.3%
  • services: 49.5%
  • (2017 est.)
  • 2.2% (2020 est.)[4]
  • Negative increase 3.8% (2019f est.) [6]
Population below poverty line
0%[7]
  • Steady 0.848 very high (2018)[8] (41st)
  • N/A IHDI (2018)[9]
Labour force
Increase 2,129,330 (2019)[10]
UnemploymentSteady 0.6% (2017 est.)
Main industries
External
ExportsDecrease $86.51 billion (2018 est.)
Export goods
Liquefied natural gas, Petroleum Products, Fertilizers, Steel
Main export partners
ImportsDecrease $26.69 billion (2017 est.)
Import goods
Machinery and Transport Equipment, Food, Chemicals
Main import partners
$168 billion (31 December 2017 est.)[13]
Public finances
Negative increase 56.8% of GDP (2017 est.)
Revenues$95.35 billion (2018 est.)
Expenses$55.81 billion (2018 est.)
Main data source: CIA World Fact Book
All values, unless otherwise stated, are in US dollars.
Qatar Export Treemap
Map showing the mineral resources of Qatar.

The economy of Qatar is one of the richest in the world based on GDP per capita, ranking between fifth and seventh on world rankings for 2015 and 2016 data compiled by the World Bank, United Nations, and IMF.[16][17] The country's economy has grown despite sanctions by neighbors, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.

Petroleum and natural gas are the cornerstones of Qatar's economy and account for more than 70% of total government revenue, more than 60% of gross domestic product, and roughly 85% of export earnings. Qatar has the world's third largest proven natural gas reserve and is the second-largest exporter of natural gas.

Energy sector

Before the emergence of petrol-based industry, Qatar was a poor pearl diving country. The exploration of oil and gas fields began in 1939.[18][19] In 1973, oil production and revenues increased dramatically, moving Qatar out of the ranks of the world's poorest countries and providing it with one of the highest per capita incomes in the world.

Qatar's economy was in a downturn from 1982 to 1989. OPEC (Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries) quotas on crude oil production, the lower price for oil, and the generally unpromising outlook on international markets reduced oil earnings. In turn, the Qatari government's spending plans had to be cut to match lower income. The resulting recessionary local business climate caused many firms to lay off expatriate staff. With the economy recovering in the 1990s, expatriate populations, particularly from Egypt and South Asia, have grown again.

Oil production will not long remain at peak levels of 500,000 barrels (80,000 m³) per day, as oil fields are projected to be mostly depleted by 2023. However, large natural gas reserves have been located off Qatar's northeast coast. These offshore gas fields also may contain significant oil and condensate reserves. For example, the state owned Qatar Petroleum found 2 offshore oil fields in the 1960s. At the time production was too expensive. However, technological development led to production over 30 years later.

The gas condensate can be refined to usual oil products in specialised refineries. The costs are a bit higher but it is normal today for companies to use the gas condensate too. Oil offshore production in 2008 for PS-2 and PS-3 blocks was about 31.1 million barrels (84,995 b/d). Joint Ventures facilities (PS-1, ALK, K & A): Combined oil production from these three joint venture production facilities in 2008 was 57.4 million barrels (156,873 b/d).[20] Like with gas fields there are more offshore blocks which need to be explored and could increase the oil output. So the 500,000 bpd peak and a depletion in 2023 is delayed. With higher oil prices it is expected that the offshore exploration of oil and/or natural gas fields will go on. Oil production in June 2016 seemed to be around 670,000 barrels per day, a bit down from February 2016 production of 692,000 barrels per day. Taking all liquids together Qatar is already far beyond a million barrels per day.

Qatar's proved reserves of gas are the third-largest in the world, exceeding 7000 km³ (250 trillion cubic feet). The economy was boosted in 1991 by completion of the $1.5-billion Phase I of North Field gas development. In 1996, the Qatargas project began exporting liquefied natural gas (LNG) to Japan. Further phases of North Field gas development costing billions of dollars are in various stages of planning and development.

Qatar's heavy industrial projects, all based in Umm Said, include a refinery with a 50,000 barrels (8,000 m³) per day capacity, a fertilizer plant for urea and ammonia, a steel plant, and a petrochemical plant. All these industries use gas for fuel. Most are joint ventures between European and Japanese firms and the state-owned Qatar General Petroleum Corporation (QGPC). The U.S. is the major equipment supplier for Qatar's oil and gas industry, and U.S. companies are playing a major role in North Field gas development. 890- Qatar pursues a vigorous program of "Qatarization", under which all joint venture industries and government departments strive to move Qatari nationals into positions of greater authority. Growing numbers of foreign-educated Qataris, including many educated in the U.S., are returning home to assume key positions formerly occupied by expatriates. In order to control the influx of expatriate workers, Qatar has tightened the administration of its foreign manpower programs over the past several years. Security is the principal basis for Qatar's strict entry and immigration rules and regulations.

Industry

The government considers industry to be an integral part of its plan to diversify the economy and maximize its huge natural gas reserves, which serve as the primary feedstock for the sector. Accordingly, careful planning has gone into industrial development. With an eye towards exports, development has been clustered around the ports of Ras Laffan Industrial City and Mesaieed Industrial Area, which are key centers of energy. The result has seen considerable growth over the years. Industries Qatar (IQ), a producer of petrochemicals, fertilizers and steel, is a regional powerhouse, surpassed only in size by Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (SABIC), the Middle East's largest chemical producer. In 2007 the manufacturing sector made the third-largest contribution to GDP among non-oil and gas sectors, equivalent to about 7.5% of GDP. Industry in Qatar is regulated by the Ministry of Business and Trade.[21]

Petrochemicals and fertilizers supply make up a large portion of the industrial base, along with steel and other construction materials, through Qatar Steel and Qatar Primary Material Company (QPMC). Indeed, over the past few years, demand for construction materials experienced a major surge as the development boom swept the Persian Gulf region. But the global financial crisis has put a significant dent in demand in the region, as project credit lines dry up and investor sentiment remains cautious. The crisis has in fact impacted the whole of the industrial sector – IQ saw its net profit drop in the fourth quarter of 2008 more than 90% over the same period the previous year. But in relative terms, the sector has fared better than most and IQ still managed to post an annual profit of $2bn. Large profit chunks from years past have been channeled into capital investments, which should help the sector ride out the storm. IQ, for example, is pushing several major expansion projects, worth almost $6bn, ahead. Qatar is expected to be one of the fastest growing economies in 2009 – the hope is it will be enough to keep the industrial sector on an upward trajectory.

Financial sector

The Qatari banking sector managed to escape the direct impact of the global subprime fallout, but was not altogether unscathed by its aftershocks. Overall, it was the best performing of the Gulf Cooperation Council markets in the last quarter of 2008 and most banks posted substantial profits for 2008. But the sector is also facing issues of liquidity, declining customer confidence and a forced reluctance to lend. In a bid to strengthen the banks’ positions, the Qatar Investment Authority (QIA) announced in early 2009 that it was willing to take a 10-20% stake in any interested local listed banks by way of a capital injection, although this was later reduced to 5% stakes and an additional 5% at the end of 2009.

The Qatari government also announced in March 2009 that it was planning to buy the investment portfolio of the banks in the hope this would encourage them to continue lending. Cautious sector sentiment has also been compounded by the Qatar Central Bank's (QCB's) lending restrictions, which demand a loan-to-deposit ratio of 90%. Given the high level of integration between Qatar's economy and the Persian Gulf region, as well as the wider world, a slowdown in business and banking activity seemed inevitable. Nevertheless, Qatar's banking sector has been faring relatively well, considering the strife experienced in other countries, and insiders are confident that activity will return to its previous brisk pace in the second half of 2009 as confidence slowly rebuilds around the globe.

The International Monetary Fund in its spring assessment 2019 said that Qatar has “successfully absorbed the shocks” of the blockade imposed in 2017 and the dropped oil prices from 2014 to 2016. S&P Global had marked Qatar's outlook to negative in 2017, but changed it to stable in 2019.[22]

In August 2019, Qatar Central Bank stated that the country's economic growth will see a boost over the next two years amid expectations of stable oil prices and continued strong exports. The GDP is expected to grow at an average rate of 2.8% between 2018 and 2020, with the budget surplus falling to 4.35 billion riyals in 2019, from a surplus of 15.1 billion riyals in 2018.[23]

Islamic finance

The Islamic finance sector enjoyed increased activity in 2008 and is expected to continue to grow into 2009 as more sophisticated financial instruments spark the interest of investors. In addition to Islamic banks, such as Qatar Islamic Bank (QIB), Qatar International Islamic Bank (QIIB) and newcomer Masraf Al Rayyan, conventional banks have also been entering the sharia-compliant sector and are coming to view an Islamic subsidiary as a virtual necessity in order to maintain market standing. Islamic banks currently take the lion's share of sharia-compliant business, though the conventional banks are working hard to take a greater share of market activity. Both Islamic banks and Islamic subsidiaries did remarkably well in the first three quarters of 2008, during which overall financing activity increased by 70.6% compared to the same period in the previous year. The global financial crisis slowed this growth though. Poor market conditions have contributed to a marked slowdown of Islamic bond, or sukuk, activity in 2008 throughout the Persian Gulf. But other segments, such as Islamic insurance, or takaful, have not seen a similar downturn. Overall, challenges to further growth remain, including a lack of qualified staff to meet the growing demand for sharia-compliant banking services.

Capital market

The stock market capitalisation of listed companies in Qatar was valued at $95,487 million in 2007 by the World Bank.[24] As 2008 drew to a close, no capital markets around the globe, including Qatar's, were immune to the effects of the sub-prime fallout. That said, there is considerable optimism that Qatar's bourse, the Doha Securities Market (DSM), will remain relatively resilient to the ongoing international turbulence. It has followed the same peak-trough trajectory as many others around the globe, hitting record highs in mid-2008, before diving in late 2008 and early 2009. Between December 2006 and July 2008 the DSM Index rose about 117% before the global financial crisis wiped out most of these gains. In the first few months of 2009, the DSM lost about 40% of its value. In an effort to stave off further losses, the government announced in February 2009 that it would step in to buy up shares of troubled banks amounting to about 10% of the market's capitalisation. The move improved investor optimism and is hoped to prevent the market from falling further. The proposal to create a single unified regulator as early as 2010 to oversee all banking and financial services is viewed as another promising development that will transform the financial sector for the better.

Tourism

The Pearl Qatar

Under the ambitious five-year development plan of the Qatar Tourism and Exhibitions Authority (QTEA), the government aimed to boost the number of visitors from 964,000 as of 2007 to 1.5m by 2010. The funding required to meet this goal was present in sufficient amounts; in 2008 the state allocated some $17bn for tourism development through 2014, most of which was allocated towards hotels, exhibition space and infrastructure. In order to keep up with a rising number of visitors, the government set a goal of increasing hotel capacity 400% by 2012. In addition to financial support, the government has also worked to ease business regulations in a bid to increase private sector activity. A major aspect of expansion plans is the Hamad International Airport, which will have the capacity to handle up to 24m passengers upon the completion of the first phase in 2012.

Other niche tourism segments receiving special focus include cultural tourism on the back of the high publicity opening of Doha's Museum of Islamic Art, and sports tourism, initially spurred by the Asian Games, to which Qatar played host in 2006. The government appears to be committed to long-term expansion plans, but challenges nevertheless remain, including effective marketing to the international community as well as the effect of the financial crisis on global tourism appetite.

Transport

Highway Q3 (from Doha to Dukhan)

With a fast-expanding population and substantial economic growth over the past decade, a reliable and extensive transportation network is becoming increasingly necessary within Qatar. So far the government, the primary transport developer, has done well in terms of keeping up with demand for new transportation options. In 2008 the Public Works Authority (Ashghal), one of the bodies that oversees infrastructure development, underwent a major reorganisation in order to streamline and modernise the authority in preparation for major project expansions across all segments in the near future. Ashghal works in tandem with the Urban Planning and Development Authority (UPDA), the body that designed the transportation master plan, instituted in March 2006 and running to 2025.

Scene in the harbour of Al Khor. Fisheries is a minor sector in Qatar, and production is almost exclusively for domestic consumption.

As driving is the primary mode of transport in Qatar, the road network is a major focus of the plan. Project highlights in this segment include the multibillion-dollar Doha Expressway and the Qatar Bahrain Causeway, which will connect Qatar to Bahrain and Saudi Arabia and is considered a milestone in regional interconnectivity. Mass-transit options, such as a Doha metro, light-rail system and more extensive bus networks, are also under development to ease road congestion. In addition, the railway system is being significantly expanded and could eventually form an integral part of a GCC-wide network linking all the Arab states of the Persian Gulf. The airport, too, is expanding capacity to keep up with rising visitor numbers. The New Doha International Airport is one of the largest projects in Qatar today and will boast a capacity of 50m passengers upon completion in 2015. Finally, port infrastructure is seen as an integral part of Qatar's economic development as it focuses on LNG and industrial exports. The port at Mesaieed is undergoing expansion. While the financial crisis may present challenges to infrastructure development, once all projects are completed Qatar will have one of the most advanced and modern transport infrastructures in the region.

Macro-economic trend

Qatar is now the richest country in the world, on a per person basis.[25] Current GDP per capita registered a world record-breaking peak growth of 1,156% in the 70s.[26] This became quickly unsustainable and Qatar's current GDP per capita contracted 53% in the 80s. But rising global oil demand helped current GDP per capita to expand 94% in the 90s. Diversification is still a long-term issue for this over-exposed economy.

This table is of Qatar's gross domestic product at market prices as estimated by the International Monetary Fund with figures in millions of Qatari Rials.[27]

Year Gross Domestic Product US Dollar Exchange Inflation Index
(2000=100)
Per Capita Income
(as % of USA)
1980 28,631 3.65 Qatari Riyals 53 266.18
1985 22,829 3.63 Qatari Riyals 64 104.82
1990 26,792 3.64 Qatari Riyals 77 67.85
1995 29,622 3.63 Qatari Riyals 85 55.75
2000 64,646 3.63 Qatari Riyals 100 86.03
2005 137,784 3.64 Qatari Riyals 115 127.05

For purchasing power parity comparisons only, the US Dollar is exchanged at 3.67 Qatari Riyals. Mean wages were $59.99 per man-hour in 2009.

In February 2012, the International Bank of Qatar reported that GDP grew by 19.9% in 2011, but estimated that 2012 growth would slow to 9.8%[28]

The following table shows the main economic indicators in 1980–2017. Inflation below 2% is in green.[29]

Year GDP
(in Bil. US$ PPP)
GDP per capita
(in US$ PPP)
GDP growth
(real)
Inflation rate
(in Percent)
Government debt
(in % of GDP)
1980 17.63 72,061 Decrease−1.0 % Negative increase6.8 % n/a
1981 Increase18.5 Decrease69,897 Decrease−3.9 % Negative increase8.5 % n/a
1982 Decrease18.1 Decrease63,271 Decrease−8.2 % Negative increase5.7 % n/a
1983 Decrease17.8 Decrease58,114 Decrease−5.3 % Negative increase2.7 % n/a
1984 Increase21.3 Increase65,435 Increase16.0 % Increase1.1 % n/a
1985 Decrease19.2 Decrease55,602 Decrease−13.0 % Increase1.1 % n/a
1986 Increase20.3 Increase56,008 Increase3.7 % Increase1.9 % n/a
1987 Increase21.0 Decrease55,604 Increase0.9 % Negative increase4.5 % n/a
1988 Increase22.7 Increase57,909 Increase4.7 % Negative increase4.5 % n/a
1989 Increase24.9 Increase60,973 Increase5.3 % Negative increase4.8 % n/a
1990 Decrease22.0 Decrease46,184 Decrease−14.6 % Negative increase3.3 % 10.7 %
1991 Increase22.4 Decrease46,095 Decrease−1.7 % Negative increase3.0 % Negative increase17.6 %
1992 Increase25.5 Increase52,008 Increase11.3 % Negative increase4.4 % Positive decrease16.6 %
1993 Increase25.7 Increase52,284 Decrease−1.3 % Positive decrease−0.9 % Negative increase37.5 %
1994 Increase26.6 Increase53,814 Increase1.4 % Increase1.5 % Negative increase44.2 %
1995 Increase27.9 Increase55,576 Increase2.4 % Negative increase3.0 % Positive decrease42.3 %
1996 Increase29.6 Increase57,761 Increase4.4 % Negative increase7.0 % Negative increase49.5 %
1997 Increase39.1 Increase73,926 Increase30.0 % Negative increase2.7 % Positive decrease48.0 %
1998 Increase44.0 Increase79,960 Increase11.2 % Increase2.8 % Negative increase63.4 %
1999 Increase46.6 Increase81,438 Increase4.3 % Negative increase2.2 % Negative increase74.4 %
2000 Increase51.5 Increase86,713 Increase8.0 % Increase1.6 % Positive decrease52.5 %
2001 Increase54.7 Increase89,419 Increase4.0 % Increase1.6 % Negative increase59.1 %
2002 Increase59.5 Increase94,540 Increase2.5 % Increase0.2 % Positive decrease47.6 %
2003 Increase63.0 Increase95,393 Increase3.7 % Negative increase2.2 % Positive decrease39.0 %
2004 Increase77.2 Increase107,098 Increase19.2 % Negative increase6.8 % Positive decrease29.0 %
2005 Increase85.6 Decrease104,243 Increase7.5 % Negative increase8.9 % Positive decrease19.2 %
2006 Increase111.3 Increase115,048 Increase26.2 % Negative increase11.8 % Positive decrease13.4 %
2007 Increase134.8 Increase117,000 Increase18.0 % Negative increase13.7 % Positive decrease8.9 %
2008 Increase161.8 Decrease104,116 Increase17.7 % Negative increase15.1 % Negative increase11.1 %
2009 Increase182.5 Increase111,364 Increase12.0 % Positive decrease−4.9 % Negative increase32.4 %
2010 Increase218.2 Increase127,226 Increase18.1 % Positive decrease−2.4 % Positive decrease29.1 %
2011 Increase252.5 Increase145,724 Increase13.4 % Increase2.0 % Negative increase33.5 %
2012 Increase269.2 Increase146,872 Increase4.9 % Increase1.8 % Positive decrease32.1 %
2013 Increase285.6 Decrease142,543 Increase4.4 % Negative increase3.2 % Positive decrease30.9 %
2014 Increase302.3 Decrease136,409 Increase4.0 % Negative increase3.4 % Positive decrease24.9 %
2015 Increase316.4 Decrease129,805 Increase3.6 % Increase1.8 % Negative increase34.9 %
2016 Increase327.6 Decrease125,159 Increase2.2 % Negative increase2.7 % Negative increase46.5 %
2017 Increase340.6 Decrease124,529 Increase2.1 % Increase0.4 % Negative increase54.0 %

According to the International Monetary Fund, Qatar's economic performance improved in 2018 despite the economic embargo. The GDP growth is expected to increase to 2.6% in 2019 from 2.2% in 2018.[30]

See also

References

  1. ^ "World Economic Outlook Database, April 2019". IMF.org. International Monetary Fund. Retrieved 29 September 2019.
  2. ^ "World Bank Country and Lending Groups". datahelpdesk.worldbank.org. World Bank. Retrieved 29 September 2019.
  3. ^ "Population, total - Qatar". data.worldbank.org. World Bank. Retrieved 4 March 2020.
  4. ^ a b c d e "World Economic Outlook Database, October 2019". IMF.org. International Monetary Fund. Retrieved 16 November 2019.
  5. ^ "Middle East and North Africa Economic Update, April 2020 : How Transparency Can Help the Middle East and North Africa". openknowledge.worldbank.org. World Bank. p. 10. Retrieved 10 April 2020.
  6. ^ "Qatar: Economic Update - April 2019" (PDF). World Bank. Retrieved 6 July 2019.
  7. ^ "Qatar Poverty and wealth, Information about Poverty and wealth in Qatar". Retrieved 3 March 2015.
  8. ^ "Human Development Index (HDI)". hdr.undp.org. HDRO (Human Development Report Office) United Nations Development Programme. Retrieved 11 December 2019.
  9. ^ "Inequality-adjusted Human Development Index (IHDI)". hdr.undp.org. HDRO (Human Development Report Office) United Nations Development Programme. Retrieved 11 December 2019.
  10. ^ "Labor force, total - Qatar". data.worldbank.org. World Bank. Retrieved 23 January 2020.
  11. ^ "Export Partners of Qatar". CIA World Factbook. 2017. Retrieved 6 July 2019.
  12. ^ "Import Partners of Qatar". CIA World Factbook. 2015. Retrieved 5 August 2016.
  13. ^ "The World Factbook". Retrieved 9 March 2018.
  14. ^ "Sovereigns rating list". Standard & Poor's. Retrieved 26 May 2011.
  15. ^ a b Rogers, Simon; Sedghi, Ami (15 April 2011). "How Fitch, Moody's and S&P rate each country's credit rating". The Guardian. Retrieved 28 May 2011.
  16. ^ "GDP per capita (current US$) | Data". data.worldbank.org. Retrieved 13 September 2017.
  17. ^ "Report for Selected Countries and Subjects". www.imf.org. Retrieved 13 September 2017.
  18. ^ "The Qatar Oil Discoveries, Rasoul Sorkhabi, Ph.D., in GEO ExPro Magazine, Vol. 7, No. 1 - 2010".
  19. ^ "Qatar tourist information guide". Retrieved 14 February 2012.
  20. ^ "Oil and Gas Details". www.qp.com.qa.
  21. ^ "وزير التجارة و الصناعة". مكتب الاتصال الحكومي (in Arabic). Retrieved 21 May 2020.
  22. ^ "How Qatar's cows show the growing resistance to a Saudi-led boycott". The Washington Post. Retrieved 21 July 2019.
  23. ^ "Qatar says economic growth to accelerate in 2019-2020". Reuters. Retrieved 15 August 2019.
  24. ^ "Data - Finance". 5 December 2006. Archived from the original on 5 December 2006.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  25. ^ "The World's Richest and Poorest Countries". Global Finance Magazine. Retrieved 3 March 2015.
  26. ^ "What We Do". Archived from the original on 31 January 2008. Retrieved 3 March 2015.
  27. ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 11 June 2010. Retrieved 11 June 2015.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  28. ^ Nuqudy.com: "Qatar to register 9.8% economic growth in 2012"قطر تسجل 9.8% نموا اقتصاديا في 2012
  29. ^ "Report for Selected Countries and Subjects". www.imf.org. Retrieved 11 September 2018.
  30. ^ "Qatar's Economy Booming Under Embargo, GDP Growth Expected at 2.5-3% - Gov't Financial Body". Sputnik. Retrieved 6 June 2019.

12910128/Economic_Diversification_in_the_Arab_Gulf_States

https://www.academia.edu/12910128/Economic_Diversification_in_the_Arab_Gulf_States https://www.academia.edu/32219974/Economic_Inclination_of_Qatar_Towards_Asian_Region_With_Special_Reference_To_India [1]

External links

  1. ^ 12910128/Economic_Diversification_in_the_Arab_Gulf_States (Parveen, T. (2014). Economic Diversification in the Arab Gulf States: Issues and challenges. New Delhi, India: Global Book.