2010 Kansas gubernatorial election
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The 2010 Kansas gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Governor Mark Parkinson, who assumed office when previous Governor Kathleen Sebelius was sworn in as the United States Secretary of Health and Human Services on April 28, 2009, declined to seek election to a full term. United States Senator Sam Brownback, who unsuccessfully ran for president in 2008, emerged as the Republican nominee, facing off against Democratic State Senator Tom Holland, who was unopposed for his party's nomination. Brownback defeated Holland in a landslide to become the 46th Governor of Kansas. As of 2022, this is the last gubernatorial election in Kansas where the winner received over 50% of the vote.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tom Holland | 74,754 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 74,754 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Sam Brownback, United States Senator
- Joan Heffington, businesswoman
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Dates administered | Sam Brownback |
Joan Heffington |
|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA[2] | July 29 – August 1, 2010 | 75% | 18% |
| Survey USA[3] | July 15–18, 2010 | 73% | 19% |
| Survey USA[4] | June 24–27, 2010 | 76% | 17% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Sam Brownback | 263,920 | 82.20 | |
| Republican | Joan Heffington | 57,160 | 17.80 | |
| Total votes | 321,080 | 100.00 | ||
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[5] | Safe R (flip) | October 26, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[6] | Likely R (flip) | October 28, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[7] | Safe R (flip) | October 26, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[8] | Safe R (flip) | October 22, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R (flip) | October 21, 2010 |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Dates administered | Sam Brownback (R) |
Tom Holland (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA[10] | September 16, 2010 | 59% | 32% |
| Survey USA[11] | August 12–15, 2010 | 67% | 25% |
| Rasmussen Reports[12] | August 4, 2010 | 57% | 34% |
| Rasmussen Reports[13] | June 30, 2010 | 59% | 31% |
| Rasmussen Reports[14] | May 11, 2010 | 58% | 27% |
| Rasmussen Reports[14] | March 1, 2010 | 55% | 33% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Sam Brownback | 530,760 | 63.28% | +22.84% | |
| Democratic | Tom Holland | 270,166 | 32.21% | −25.69% | |
| Libertarian | Andrew P. Gray | 22,460 | 2.68% | +1.63% | |
| Reform | Kenneth W. Cannon | 15,397 | 1.84% | +1.22% | |
| Write-ins | 7 | 0.00% | |||
| Majority | 260,594 | 31.07% | +13.60% | ||
| Turnout | 838,790 | ||||
| Republican gain from Democratic | Swing | ||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]- Jefferson (largest municipality: Valley Falls)
- Crawford (largest city: Pittsburg)
- Riley (largest municipality: Manhattan)
- Shawnee (largest municipality: Topeka)
- Lyon (largest municipality: Emporia)
- Sherman (largest municipality: Goodland)
- Decatur (largest municipality: Oberlin)
- Sheridan (largest municipality: Hoxie)
- Graham (largest municipality: Hill City)
- Lane (largest municipality: Dighton)
- Trego (largest municipality: WaKeeney)
- Ford (largest municipality: Dodge City)
- Smith (largest municipality: Smith Center)
- Phillips (largest municipality: Phillipsburg)
- Rooks (largest municipality: Plainville)
- Osborne (largest municipality: Osborne)
- Russell (largest municipality: Russell)
- Ellis (largest municipality: Hays)
- Rush (largest municipality: La Crosse)
- Barton (largest municipality: Great Bend)
- Pawnee (largest municipality: Larned)
- Stafford (largest municipality: St. John)
- Edwards (largest municipality: Kinsley)
- Kiowa (largest municipality: Greensburg)
- Mitchell (largest municipality: Beloit)
- Lincoln (largest municipality: Lincoln)
- Ellsworth (largest municipality: Ellsworth)
- Rice (largest municipality: Lyons)
- Reno (largest municipality: Hutchinson)
- Kingman (largest municipality: Kingman)
- Harvey (largest municipality: Newton)
- Harper (largest municipality: Anthony)
- Sumner (largest municipality: Wellington)
- McPherson (largest municipality: McPherson)
- Saline (largest municipality: Salina)
- Ottawa (largest municipality: Minneapolis)
- Cloud (largest municipality: Concordia)
- Clay (largest municipality: Clay Center)
- Geary (Largest city: Junction City)
- Dickinson (Largest city: Abilene)
- Morris (Largest city: Council Grove)
- Marshall (Largest city: Marysville)
- Nemaha (Largest city: Sabetha)
- Brown (Largest city: Hiawatha)
- Doniphan (Largest city: Wathena)
- Atchison (Largest city: Atchison)
- Leavenworth (Largest city: Leavenworth)
- Jackson (Largest city: Holton)
- Osage (Largest city: Osage City)
- Franklin (Largest city: Ottawa)
- Miami (Largest city: Spring Hill)
- Anderson (Largest city: Garnett)
- Linn (Largest city: Pleasanton)
- Woodson (Largest city: Yates Center)
- Wilson (Largest city: Neodesha)
- Allen (Largest city: Iola)
- Bourbon (Largest city: Fort Scott)
- Neosho (Largest city: Chanute)
- Labette (Largest city: Parsons)
- Cherokee (Largest city: Baxter Springs)
- Johnson (largest municipality: Overland Park)
References
[edit]- ^ a b "2010 Primary Election Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State.
- ^ Survey USA
- ^ Survey USA
- ^ Survey USA
- ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Governor Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 3, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ Survey USA
- ^ Survey USA
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ a b Rasmussen Reports
- ^ "2010 General Election Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State.
External links
[edit]- Elections at the Kansas Secretary of State
- Kansas Governor Candidates Archived September 29, 2010, at the Wayback Machine at Project Vote Smart
- 2010 Kansas Governor General Election: Sam Brownback (R) vs Tom Holland (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Kansas Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Kansas Governor – Brownback vs. Holland from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Kansas Governor's Race from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions for 2010 Kansas Governor from Follow the Money
- Race Profile in The New York Times
- News coverage from The Midwest Democracy Project at The Kansas City Star
Official campaign sites (Archived)