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==Preparation==
==Preparation==
As the election approached, the ruling [[Union Solidarity and Development Party]] confirmed it would contest its winning constituencies from 2010.<ref name="mizzima1">{{cite web |url=http://www.mizzima.com/mizzima-news/politics/item/10768-political-parties-gear-up-for-2015-election |title=Political parties gear up for 2015 election |publisher=Mizzima.com |date=15 October 2013 |accessdate=29 December 2013}}{{dead link|date=November 2015}}</ref> The opposition [[National League for Democracy]] party confirmed it would contest even if a [[Constitution of Myanmar|constitutional measure]] barring [[Aung San Suu Kyi]] from running for president was not amended.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.startribune.com/world/237811691.html |title=Suu Kyi's party says it will contest 2015 Myanmar election even if constitution is not amended |work=Star Tribune |accessdate=29 December 2013}}{{dead link|date=November 2015}}</ref>
As the election approached, the ruling [[Union Solidarity and Development Party]] confirmed it would contest its winning constituencies from 2010.<ref name="mizzima1">{{cite web|url=http://www.mizzima.com/mizzima-news/politics/item/10768-political-parties-gear-up-for-2015-election |title=Political parties gear up for 2015 election |publisher=Mizzima.com |date=15 October 2013 |accessdate=29 December 2013 |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/20131228110203/http://mizzima.com/mizzima-news/politics/item/10768-political-parties-gear-up-for-2015-election |archivedate=28 December 2013 }}</ref> The opposition [[National League for Democracy]] party confirmed it would contest even if a [[Constitution of Myanmar|constitutional measure]] barring [[Aung San Suu Kyi]] from running for president was not amended.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.startribune.com/world/237811691.html |title=Suu Kyi's party says it will contest 2015 Myanmar election even if constitution is not amended |work=Star Tribune |accessdate=29 December 2013 |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/20131230233548/http://www.startribune.com/world/237811691.html |archivedate=30 December 2013 }}</ref>


The [[National Unity Party (Myanmar)|National Unity Party]] confirmed it would review its winning seats from 2010 and would consider other constituencies to challenge. The [[National Democratic Force]] said the party was prepared to challenge in as many as 200 constituencies but was still determining candidates. Ethnic political groups would contest in each state based on ethnic party strongholds, although some indicated they would consider forming an alliance as the Federal Union Party.
The [[National Unity Party (Myanmar)|National Unity Party]] confirmed it would review its winning seats from 2010 and would consider other constituencies to challenge. The [[National Democratic Force]] said the party was prepared to challenge in as many as 200 constituencies but was still determining candidates. Ethnic political groups would contest in each state based on ethnic party strongholds, although some indicated they would consider forming an alliance as the Federal Union Party.
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===Cancellation of by-elections===
===Cancellation of by-elections===
By-elections had been scheduled to be held in November or December 2014, to elect members for six seats in the [[House of Nationalities]], 13 in the [[House of Representatives (Myanmar)|House of Representatives]], and 11 in [[State and Region Hluttaws|state and regional legislatures]]. The seat vacancies were primarily the result of their former holders' moves to ministerial posts or departmental positions within government, but also included some other constituencies where representatives had died.<ref name="irrawaddy1">{{cite web |url=http://www.irrawaddy.org/burma/official-confirms-burma-elections-due-year.html |title=Official Confirms Burma By-Elections Due This Year |publisher=Irrawaddy.org |date=21 March 2014 |accessdate=10 April 2014}}{{dead link|date=November 2015}}</ref><ref name="autogenerated1">{{cite web |url=http://www.rfa.org/english/news/myanmar/by-elections-03202014185956.html |title=Myanmar to Hold By-Elections at End of Year |publisher=Rfa.org |accessdate=10 April 2014}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.dvb.no/news/general-election-will-be-nov-dec-2015-says-ec-chairman-burma-myanmar/38722 |title=General Election will be Nov- Dec 2015, says EC chairman &#124; DVB Multimedia Group |publisher=Dvb.no |date=20 March 2014 |accessdate=10 April 2014}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |url=http://asiancorrespondent.com/120822/burma-plans-by-elections-for-28-seats-this-year/ |title=Burma plans by-elections for 28 seats this year |publisher=Asian Correspondent |date=21 March 2014 |accessdate=10 April 2014}}</ref> The by-elections were expected to indicate the relative strengths of the contending parties, including President [[Thein Sein]]'s [[Union Solidarity and Development Party]] (USDP) and the opposition [[National League for Democracy]] (NLD) party led by [[Aung San Suu Kyi]].<ref name="autogenerated1"/>
By-elections had been scheduled to be held in November or December 2014, to elect members for six seats in the [[House of Nationalities]], 13 in the [[House of Representatives (Myanmar)|House of Representatives]], and 11 in [[State and Region Hluttaws|state and regional legislatures]]. The seat vacancies were primarily the result of their former holders' moves to ministerial posts or departmental positions within government, but also included some other constituencies where representatives had died.<ref name="irrawaddy1">{{cite web|url=http://www.irrawaddy.org/burma/official-confirms-burma-elections-due-year.html |title=Official Confirms Burma By-Elections Due This Year |publisher=Irrawaddy.org |date=21 March 2014 |accessdate=10 April 2014 |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/20140408094045/http://www.irrawaddy.org/burma/official-confirms-burma-elections-due-year.html |archivedate=8 April 2014 }}</ref><ref name="autogenerated1">{{cite web |url=http://www.rfa.org/english/news/myanmar/by-elections-03202014185956.html |title=Myanmar to Hold By-Elections at End of Year |publisher=Rfa.org |accessdate=10 April 2014}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.dvb.no/news/general-election-will-be-nov-dec-2015-says-ec-chairman-burma-myanmar/38722 |title=General Election will be Nov- Dec 2015, says EC chairman &#124; DVB Multimedia Group |publisher=Dvb.no |date=20 March 2014 |accessdate=10 April 2014}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |url=http://asiancorrespondent.com/120822/burma-plans-by-elections-for-28-seats-this-year/ |title=Burma plans by-elections for 28 seats this year |publisher=Asian Correspondent |date=21 March 2014 |accessdate=10 April 2014}}</ref> The by-elections were expected to indicate the relative strengths of the contending parties, including President [[Thein Sein]]'s [[Union Solidarity and Development Party]] (USDP) and the opposition [[National League for Democracy]] (NLD) party led by [[Aung San Suu Kyi]].<ref name="autogenerated1"/>


On 7 September 2014, the [[Union Election Commission]] cancelled the by-election because the period for campaigning would take place too close to that of the general elections in 2015 and because the results would therefore not have had any political significance.<ref name="mcbe">{{cite news |url=http://news.yahoo.com/myanmar-cancels-elections-061301428.html |title=Myanmar cancels by-elections |date=7 September 2014 |agency=Reuters |publisher=Yahoo!News |accessdate=7 September 2014 |author=Aung Hla Tun}}</ref><ref name="bec">{{cite news |url=http://www.dvb.no/news/by-elections-cancelled-burma-myanmar/43928 |title=By-elections cancelled |date=7 September 2014 |agency=DVB News |accessdate=7 September 2014}}</ref>
On 7 September 2014, the [[Union Election Commission]] cancelled the by-election because the period for campaigning would take place too close to that of the general elections in 2015 and because the results would therefore not have had any political significance.<ref name="mcbe">{{cite news |url=http://news.yahoo.com/myanmar-cancels-elections-061301428.html |title=Myanmar cancels by-elections |date=7 September 2014 |agency=Reuters |publisher=Yahoo!News |accessdate=7 September 2014 |author=Aung Hla Tun}}</ref><ref name="bec">{{cite news |url=http://www.dvb.no/news/by-elections-cancelled-burma-myanmar/43928 |title=By-elections cancelled |date=7 September 2014 |agency=DVB News |accessdate=7 September 2014}}</ref>

Revision as of 16:40, 26 February 2016

Myanmar general election, 2015
← 2010 8 November 2015
330 (of the 440) seats to the House of Representatives
221 seats needed for a majority 168 (of the 224) seats to the House of Nationalities
113 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party
 
Leader Aung San Suu Kyi Thein Sein
Party NLD USDP
Leader since 27 September 1988 2 June 2010
Leader's seat Kawhmu Did not contest
Last election Did not contest 259 R / 129 N
Seats before 37 R / 4 N 212 R / 124 N
Seats won 255 R / 135 N 30 R / 11 N
Seat change Increase218 R / Increase131 N Decrease182 R / Decrease113 N
President before election

Thein Sein
USDP

President-designate

To be determined
NLD

Politics of Myanmar
Constitution
Government
Legislature (dissolved)
Judiciary
Recent elections
Administrative divisions
Foreign relations
Exiled government
Related topics
flag Myanmar portal

General elections were held in Myanmar on 8 November 2015, with the National League for Democracy winning a supermajority of seats in the combined national parliament. Voting occurred in all constituencies, excluding seats appointed by the military, to select Members of Assembly to seats in both the upper house (the House of Nationalities) and the lower house (the House of Representatives) of the Assembly of the Union, and State and Region Hluttaws. Ethnic Affairs Ministers were also elected by their designated electorates on the same day, although only select ethnic minorities in particular states and regions were entitled to vote for them.

These polls are the first openly-contested election held in the country since 1990, which was annulled by the military government after the National League for Democracy's (NLD) victory. The poll was preceded by the 2010 General Election, which was marred by a widespread boycott and allegations of systematic fraud by the victorious Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP).

The NLD won a sweeping victory, taking 86 percent of the seats in the Assembly of the Union (235 in the House of Representatives and 135 in the House of Nationalities)--well more than the 67 percent supermajority needed to ensure that its preferred candidates will be elected president and first vice president in the Presidential Electoral College. While the NLD only needed a simple majority to carry on the normal business of government, it needed at least 67 percent to outvote the combined pro-military bloc in the Presidential Electoral College (the USDP and the appointed legislators representing the military). While NLD leader Aung San Suu Kyi is constitutionally barred from the presidency (as both her late husband and her children are foreign citizens), she declared that she will hold the real power in any NLD-led government.[1]

Preparation

As the election approached, the ruling Union Solidarity and Development Party confirmed it would contest its winning constituencies from 2010.[2] The opposition National League for Democracy party confirmed it would contest even if a constitutional measure barring Aung San Suu Kyi from running for president was not amended.[3]

The National Unity Party confirmed it would review its winning seats from 2010 and would consider other constituencies to challenge. The National Democratic Force said the party was prepared to challenge in as many as 200 constituencies but was still determining candidates. Ethnic political groups would contest in each state based on ethnic party strongholds, although some indicated they would consider forming an alliance as the Federal Union Party.

Before the election, 91 political parties were registered to take part in 2015.

In July 2015, Myanmar's Union Election Commission (UEC) designated the number of constituencies for running in the 2015 general election of four levels of parliamentary representatives: 330 constituencies for elections to the House of Representatives (the lower house), 168 for the House of Nationalities (the upper house), 644 for the State and Regional Hluttaws (local parliaments) and 29 for ethnic ministers of the local parliaments. The UEC also issued procedures for international observers to follow in monitoring the election, which was preliminarily scheduled for the end of October or the beginning of November.[4]

The Union Election Commission cancelled elections in Kyethi and Mong Hsu townships in Shan State following armed clashes between the Tatmadaw and the insurgent Shan State Army - North. Despite calls by the Shan State Progressive Party to proceed with the elections, the UEC has denied the request, stating that it is not possible to hold free and fair elections in these areas. Elections were further cancelled in some villages in Hopang, Namtit, both of which fall within the nation's Wa Self-Administered Division, and under the control of the insurgent United Wa State Army. The cancellation of these elections will see the vacancy of 7 seats in the House of Representatives and 14 seats in the Shan State Hluttaw.

Cancellation of by-elections

By-elections had been scheduled to be held in November or December 2014, to elect members for six seats in the House of Nationalities, 13 in the House of Representatives, and 11 in state and regional legislatures. The seat vacancies were primarily the result of their former holders' moves to ministerial posts or departmental positions within government, but also included some other constituencies where representatives had died.[5][6][7][8] The by-elections were expected to indicate the relative strengths of the contending parties, including President Thein Sein's Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP) and the opposition National League for Democracy (NLD) party led by Aung San Suu Kyi.[6]

On 7 September 2014, the Union Election Commission cancelled the by-election because the period for campaigning would take place too close to that of the general elections in 2015 and because the results would therefore not have had any political significance.[9][10]

Possible Presidential Candidates

In the event of a USDP victory, President Thein Sein was considered the frontrunner to continue as President after the election. Commander-in-Chief of the Military Min Aung Hlaing is close to retirement and was another favourite for the presidency, but may assume the role after a transitional period headed by another ex-military figure. Aung San Suu Kyi has reiterated her desire to become the next president but constitutional changes need to take place before she would be allowed to run.[11] Although Parliament voted against most constitutional amendments on 25 June 2015 meaning that Aung San Suu Kyi cannot become president in the election,[12] Suu Kyi later stated that she would be "above the President" if the NLD won the elections.[13]

Shwe Mann, the former No. 3 in the junta who is now speaker of House of Representatives, considered reform-minded, was the most likely figure to take the mantle from Thein Sein until he was removed from his position within the party on 12 August 2015.[14][15]

Results

A polling station used for elections. The ballot boxes are at the front, while the voting booths are at the rear.

The National League for Democracy (NLD) obtained a majority of the total seats in both the House of Nationalities and the House of Representatives of the Assembly of the Union, which is enough for its nominees to win election as president and first vice president in the Presidential Electoral College, and for control over national legislation.[16]

The NLD also received a majority of total combined seats in the State and Regional Hluttaws, including 21 of 29 Ministers of Ethnic Affairs. With the final tally of all elected seats (township and ethnic), it is believed they will have the ability to control most local governments and parliaments, either entirely on its own or with the support of ethnic parties. The exceptions to this are the Rakhine State Hluttaw, where the Arakan National Party won a plurality of total seats and is expected to govern with the NLD's support, and the Shan State Hluttaw, where the USDP (which won a plurality of elected seats) and Military Representatives control roughly equal seats to the combined total of the various other parties, led by the Shan Nationalities League for Democracy and the NLD in second and third place, respectively.

House of Nationalities

A ballot paper and rubber stamp in voting booth

168 of the 224 seats in the House of Nationalities (Amyotha Hluttaw) were up for election. The remaining 56 seats (25%) were not elected, and instead reserved for military appointees (taken from Tatmadaw personnel; officially known as "Defence Services Personnel Representatives"). There are 12 members elected per state/region, including one member from each self-administered zone.

Template:Election summary Myanmar

House of Representatives

There are 330 of 440 seats in the House of Representatives (Pyithu Hluttaw) that are elected, of which 323 were filled after seven seats were cancelled due to the ongoing armed insurgencies in Shan State.[18] The remaining 110 seats (25%) were not elected, and instead reserved for military appointees (taken from Tatmadaw personnel; officially known as "Defence Services Personnel Representatives"). Members are elected to constituencies based on township and population.

Template:Election summary Myanmar

State and Regional Hluttaws

There are 644 district seats (out of a total of 864)[20] in the State and Regional Hluttaws, or Local Assemblies, of which 630 were up for election after 14 seats were cancelled due to the ongoing armed insurgencies in Shan State. These figures exclude the 29 elected Ethnic Affairs Ministers, who have different election parameters and their accountability solely to an ethnic electorate, but also sit alongside the elected district and appointed military members of their respective state/region. There are two members are elected for each township of the state/region. The remaining 220 seats (approximately 25% of each assembly) were not elected, and instead reserved for military appointees (taken from Tatmadaw personnel; officially known as "Defence Services Personnel Representatives").

Template:Election summary Myanmar

Ethnic Affairs Ministers

29 Ministers of Ethnic Affairs for the State and Regional Assemblies were up for election.

"Under the 2008 Constitution, ethnic affairs ministers are elected to a given state or division if that division is comprised of an ethnic minority population of 0.1 percent or greater of the total populace [roughly 51,400 people].[21] If one of the country's ethnic minorities counts a state as its namesake, however, it is not granted an ethnic affairs minister (e.g., there is no Mon ethnic affairs minister in Mon State). Only voters who share an ethnic identity with a given ethnic affairs minister post are allowed to vote for candidates to the position."[22] Ministers are not elected for ethnicities that are a majority of their state or region, or where a state/region already has a self-administered region or self-administered division dedicated to those ethnic groups.[21]

Template:Election summary Myanmar

Reactions

On 9 November 2015, former chairperson of the Union Solidarity and Development Party and Speaker of the House of Representatives, Shwe Mann, conceded defeat to the National League for Democracy's Than Nyunt in his hometown constituency of Phyu, announcing on his Facebook that he had 'personally congratulated' his opponent for the victory.[23]

On 9 November 2015, acting chairperson of the Union Solidarity and Development Party, Htay Oo, announced that the party had conceded defeat in a statement to Reuters.[24]

On 11 November 2015, chairperson of the National League for Democracy, Aung San Suu Kyi, called for 'national reconciliation' talks with incumbent president, Thein Sein, commander-in-chief of the Myanmar Armed Forces, Senior General Min Aung Hlaing, and Speaker of the House of Representatives, Shwe Mann to be set for a later date. All have accepted her invitation.[25]

On 12 November 2015, incumbent President of Myanmar, Thein Sein, who has led political reforms during his tenure, congratulated Aung San Suu Kyi and her party on his Facebook, promising that his current government will 'respect and obey' the election results and 'transfer power peacefully'. Commander-in-chief of the Myanmar Armed Forces, Senior General Min Aung Hlaing, also took to his Facebook to congratulate Suu Kyi, vowing that the Tatmadaw will co-operate with the new government following the transition. This was after a meeting conducted within the Tatmadaw's top ranks.[26] US President Barack Obama and UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon congratulated Suu Kyi on her victory and praised Thein Sein for his organisation of the election.[27] Suu Kyi also received calls from French President François Hollande, British Prime Minister David Cameron and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi.[28][29]

Controversy

Controversy has been raised over such issues as inaccurate voter lists, cancellation of voting in some violent areas, vilification of Burmese Muslims as a campaign tool,[30] and the ineligibility to vote of the Muslim Rohingyas.[31] According to The Economist, "No matter how many millions of Burmese vote against the Union Solidarity and Development Party, which rules the country and is backed by the army, the army will remain the real power in Myanmar."[32]

There have been allegations of fraud in many townships where unknown ballots cast as advance votes boosted the results of the Union Solidarity Development Party. The Union Election Commission has defended these votes, stating that they had arrived before the polling booths closed, and thus they were legitimate votes. In Lashio, where the National League for Democracy was expected to win, there are allegations of voting fraud which pulled USDP candidate and incumbent vice-president Sai Mauk Kham forward by more than 4000 votes. The NLD, Shan Nationalities League for Democracy and Shan Nationalities Democratic Party have agreed to file a complaint with the Union Election Commission. The UEC responded by declaring that the victory of Sai Mauk Kham was legal and that no fraud had taken place.[33]

Notes

References

  1. ^ "Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy Wins Majority in Myanmar". BBC News. 13 November 2015. Retrieved 13 November 2015.
  2. ^ "Political parties gear up for 2015 election". Mizzima.com. 15 October 2013. Archived from the original on 28 December 2013. Retrieved 29 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  3. ^ "Suu Kyi's party says it will contest 2015 Myanmar election even if constitution is not amended". Star Tribune. Archived from the original on 30 December 2013. Retrieved 29 December 2013. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  4. ^ "#MyanmarElections2015: UEC issues procedures for international observers". MyanmarBusinessNews.com. 4 July 2015. Retrieved 5 July 2015.
  5. ^ "Official Confirms Burma By-Elections Due This Year". Irrawaddy.org. 21 March 2014. Archived from the original on 8 April 2014. Retrieved 10 April 2014. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  6. ^ a b "Myanmar to Hold By-Elections at End of Year". Rfa.org. Retrieved 10 April 2014.
  7. ^ "General Election will be Nov- Dec 2015, says EC chairman | DVB Multimedia Group". Dvb.no. 20 March 2014. Retrieved 10 April 2014.
  8. ^ "Burma plans by-elections for 28 seats this year". Asian Correspondent. 21 March 2014. Retrieved 10 April 2014.
  9. ^ Aung Hla Tun (7 September 2014). "Myanmar cancels by-elections". Yahoo!News. Reuters. Retrieved 7 September 2014.
  10. ^ "By-elections cancelled". DVB News. 7 September 2014. Retrieved 7 September 2014.
  11. ^ "Aung San Suu Kyi: 'I want to be Burma's president'". BBC. 7 June 2013. Retrieved 29 December 2013.
  12. ^ "Myanmar's parliament blocks changes to constitution". US News & World Report.
  13. ^ Suu Kyi 'will be above president' if NLD wins Myanmar election BBC News, 5 November 2015
  14. ^ Krause, Flavia (3 May 2012). "Myanmar's Leader May Step Aside After 2015 Elections, Aide Says". Bloomberg. Retrieved 29 December 2013.
  15. ^ Campbell, Charlie (13 August 2015). "Burmese President Purges Party Chief". Time.
  16. ^ Dinmore, Guy (13 November 2015). "NLD Wins Absolute Majority in Parliament". The Myanmar Times.
  17. ^ "Announcement 95/2015". Union Election Commission. Retrieved 26 November 2015.
  18. ^ Oliver Holmes (11 November 2015). "Myanmar election: Aung San Suu Kyi calls for reconciliation talks with military". The Guardian. Retrieved 11 November 2015.
  19. ^ "Myanmar Times - Election Winners.xlsx - Google Sheets".
  20. ^ "European Union Election Observation Mission. Myanmar, General Elections, 2015. Preliminary Statement" (PDF). Election Observation and Democratic Support. 10 November 2015. Retrieved 21 November 2015.
  21. ^ a b Myanmar 2015 General Elections Fact Sheet
  22. ^ Zaw, Nobel (15 January 2015). "Ethnic Affairs Ministers Defend Seat at Negotiating Table after Suu Kyi Remarks". The Irrawaddy.
  23. ^ "Myanmar's Ex-USDP Chair Shwe Mann Concedes Defeat". 9 November 2015.
  24. ^ Mclaughlin, Timothy; Yadana Zaw, Hnin (11 November 2015). "Myanmar Army, President Endorse Suu Kyi Victory, Vow Stable Transition". Reuters.
  25. ^ "President Thein Sein Accepts Suu Kyi's Call for Talks". Channel NewsAsia. 11 November 2015.
  26. ^ "Thein Sein congratulates NLD".
  27. ^ "Aung San Suu Kyi's party wins majority, Burma election officials confirm". CBC News. 13 November 2015. Retrieved 13 November 2015.
  28. ^ Sherwell, Philip (13 November 2015). "Burma Election: Aung San Suu Kyi's NLD Party Clinches Landslide Victory". The Daily Telegraph. Retrieved 13 November 2015.
  29. ^ "Modi Calls up to Congratulate Suu Kyi on Myanmar Election Win". The Times of India. 12 November 2015. Retrieved 13 November 2015.
  30. ^ "Why Burmese monks accuse Aung San Suu Kyi of being an Islamist". The Economist. 4 November 2015. Retrieved 9 November 2015.
  31. ^ "The first proper election in a generation is a stepping stone to an uncertain future". The Economist. 31 October 2015. Retrieved 31 October 2015.
  32. ^ "Myanmar's poll will be less rigged than previous ones, but military rule is far from over". The Economist. 31 October 2015. Retrieved 31 October 2015.
  33. ^ "Lashio Voting".
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