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|'''39'''<!-- As of October 7, 2018. Average of weekly averages for entire term to this date. --><ref name=galweek2/>
|'''39'''<!-- As of October 7, 2018. Average of weekly averages for entire term to this date. --><ref name=galweek2/>

Revision as of 15:15, 18 January 2019

Approval ratings of President Barack Obama by state in 2015—approval of President Obama was highest in Hawaii (at 58 percent) and lowest in West Virginia (at 24 percent)
  >50%
  40–49%
  30–39%
  <30%

In the United States, presidential job approval ratings were introduced by George Gallup in the late 1920s (most likely 1927) to gauge public support for the President of the United States during his term. An approval rating is a percentage determined by a polling which indicates the percentage of respondents to an opinion poll who approve of a particular person or program. Typically, an approval rating is given to a politician based on responses to a poll in which a sample of people are asked whether they approve or disapprove of that particular political figure. A typical question might ask:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?[1]

Like most surveys that predict public opinion, the approval rating is subjective. Many unscientific approval rating systems exist that skew popular opinion. However, the approval rating is generally accepted as a statistically valid indicator of the comparative changes in the popular United States mood regarding a President.

In contemporary politics, presidential job approval is highly partisan. Barack Obama in his last year as sitting president achieved a job approval of 70 to 90 among Democrats and 10 to 15 among Republicans,[2] while President Donald Trump in 2018 has a job approval of 80 to 90 among Republicans and 5 to 10 among Democrats.[1] Gallup polling has found that 46% of Americans are either "Democrats or Democratic leaners" while 39% are either "Republicans or Republican leaners".[3] However, this fact does not diminish the significance of the overall approval rating.[original research?]

President Donald Trump

Main article: Opinion polling on the Donald Trump administration

Most recent polls for President Donald Trump[4][5][6]

Polling group Date Disapproval Approval Unsure Net +/- Sample size[6] Population[6]
Rasmussen Reports[a][7] January 14–16, 2019 55% 44% 1% -11% ≈1,500 Likely voters
Ipsos/Reuters[8] January 9–15, 2019 55% 41% 4% -14% 3,363 All adults
Pew Research Center[b][9] January 9–14, 2019 59% 37% 3% -22% 1,505 All adults
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist[10] January 10–13, 2019 53% 39% 8% -14% 1,023 All adults
Quinnipiac University[11] January 9–13, 2019 55% 41% 3% -14% 1,209 Registered voters
Investor's Business Daily[c][12] January 3–12, 2019 54% 42% 2% -12% 903 All adults
CNN[d][13] January 10–11, 2019 57% 37% 7% -20% 848 All adults
Gallup Poll[e][14] January 2–10, 2019 59% 37% 4% -22% ≈1,500 All adults
Suffolk University/USA Today[15] December 11–16, 2018 54% 42% 4% -12% 1,000 Registered voters
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[f][16] December 9–12, 2018 54% 43% 3% -11% 900 All adults
Fox News[g][17] December 9–11, 2018 52% 46% 2% -6% 1,006 Registered voters
Grinnell College[h][18] November 24–27, 2018 45% 43% 12% -2% 1,000 All adults
Kaiser Family Foundation[i][19] November 14–19, 2018 58% 37% 5% -21% 1,201 All adults
CBS News[j][20] November 15–18, 2018 55% 39% 6% -16% 1,103 All adults
ABC News/Washington Post[k][21] October 29 – November 1, 2018 53% 40% 8% -13% 1,255 All adults

Historical comparison

Historical Gallup Poll approval highs and lows for each President since 1937[22][23][24][l]

Order President Highest approval Lowest approval High –
Low 		Highest disapproval Highest margin Lowest margin Final poll Approval
average[22] 		Polls
per year
45[25][26][27][28] Trump 45 (01/29/17, 06/17/18)[26] 35 (10/29/17, 12/01/17)[25] 12 62 (10/29/17, 10/30/17, 12/01/17) [25] 1 (01/24/17) [25] -29 (10/29/17, 12/01/17) [25] 39[27]
44[29][30] Obama 69 (01/24/09) 38 (09/05/14)[m] 31 57 (10/10/14) 56 (01/23-24/09) −18 (10/10/14) 59 (01/19/17) 47.9 348.4
43[31] G. W. Bush 92 (9/21/01) 25 (10/05/08, 10/12/08, 11/02/08) 65 71 (10/10/08) 83 (09/22/01) −46 (10/12/08) 34 (01/11/09) 49.4 33.7
42[32] Clinton 73 (12/19/98) 37 (06/06/93) 36 54 (09/07/94) 45 (12/17/00) −14 (09/07/94) 66 (01/14/01) 55.1 28.5
41[33] G. H. W. Bush 89 (02/28/91) 29 (08/02/92, 10/13/92) 60 60 (07/31/92) 82 (03/03/91) −30 (08/02/92, 10/13/92) 56 (01/11/93) 60.9 39.5
40[34] Reagan 71 (01/30/86) 35 (01/31/83) 36 56 (01/28/83) 52 (01/30/86) −21(01/31/83) 63 (12/29/88) 52.8 37.0
39[35] Carter 74 (03/15/77) 28 (06/26/79, 10/02/79) 46 59 (06/26/79) 66 (03/15/77) −31 (06/26/79) 34 (12/08/80) 45.5 22.7
38[36] Ford 70 (08/13/74) 36 (03/25/75) 34 46 (04/15/75, 11/18/75) 67 (08/13/74) −7 (02/25/75, 03/25/75, 04/15/75) 53 (12/13/76) 47.2 14.7
37[37] Nixon 66 (01/23/73) 24 (01/02/74) 42 66 (08/05/74) 57 (03/17/69) −42 (08/05/74) 24 (08/05/74) 49.1 17.7
36[38] Johnson 79 (03/05/64) 34 (08/12/68) 45 52 (08/12/68) 75 (12/10/63) −18 (08/12/68) 49 (01/06/69) 55.1 15.3
35[39] Kennedy 83 (03/05/62) 56 (09/10/63) 27 30 (09/12/63, 11/08/63) 78 (03/05/62) 27 (09/10/63) 58 (11/13/63) 70.1 13.7
34[40] Eisenhower 77 (11/22/55, 12/19/56) 47 (03/25/58) 30 36 (03/25/58) 66 (04/02/53, 12/19/56) 12 (03/25/58) 59 (12/13/60) 65.0 14.4
33[41] Truman 87 (08/22/45) 22 (11/16/51, 02/14/52) 65 67 (01/06/52) 85(08/22/45) −43 (01/04/52) 32 (12/16/52) 45.4 8.4
32[42] F. D. Roosevelt 83 (01/08/42) 48 (08/18/39) 35 46 (05/22/38, 05/29/38, 11/07/38) 73 (01/23/42) 65 (12/15/43) 63

Graphs

Gallup Poll graphs of approval ratings for Presidents of the United States

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Rolling 3-day average of 500 likely voters each day; no neutral/unsure choice.
  2. ^ Conducted by SSRS.
  3. ^ Conducted by TIPP, a division of TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence.
  4. ^ Conducted by SSRS.
  5. ^ Monthly averages.
  6. ^ Conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R).
  7. ^ Conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R).
  8. ^ Conducted by Selzer & Company.
  9. ^ Conducted by SSRS of Glen Mills, PA.
  10. ^ Conducted by SSRS of Glen Mills, Pennsylvania.
  11. ^ Conducted by Langer Research Associates and Abt Associates of Rockville, MD.
  12. ^ Only the results of Gallup polls are included as no other poll results exist for presidents before President Clinton.
  13. ^ Last of eight, sometimes overlapping, 3-day averages.

References

  1. ^ a b "Presidential Approval Ratings – Donald Trump". Gallup. Retrieved February 13, 2017.
  2. ^ "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Barack Obama". Gallup. Retrieved October 14, 2018.
  3. ^ "Gallup Historical Trends: Party Affiliation". GALLUP News. Gallop, Inc. Retrieved October 23, 2017.
  4. ^ "President Trump: Job Ratings". PollingReport.com. Retrieved December 26, 2018.
  5. ^ "President Trump Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved December 26, 2018.
  6. ^ a b c "How (un)popular is Donald Trump?". fivethirtyeight.com. Retrieved December 26, 2018.
  7. ^ "Trump Approval Index History". Retrieved February 26, 2018.
  8. ^ "Trump approval at reuters.com". Retrieved June 17, 2017.
  9. ^ "JANUARY 2019 POLITICAL SURVEY" (PDF). January 16, 2019.
  10. ^ "NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll of 1,023 National Adults" (PDF). January 17, 2019.
  11. ^ "Shutdown Does Not Change Trump's Already Bad Grades, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Trump Approval For Handling Economy Down Slightly". January 15, 2019.
  12. ^ "Investor's Business Daily/TIPP Poll - January 2019" (PDF). January 17, 2019.
  13. ^ "CNN January 2019" (PDF). January 13, 2019.
  14. ^ "Trump Job Approval". Retrieved January 10, 2018.
  15. ^ "Suffolk University/USA TODAY FINAL" (PDF). January 2, 2019.
  16. ^ "NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey" (PDF). December 17, 2018.
  17. ^ "Fox News Poll". December 17, 2018.
  18. ^ "GRINNELL COLLEGE NATIONAL POLL" (PDF). December 2, 2018.
  19. ^ "Kaiser Health Tracking Poll – November 2018". November 28, 2018.
  20. ^ "Partisan Divide on Protecting the Special Counsel from Being Fired". November 20, 2018.
  21. ^ "Washington Post-ABC News poll". November 4, 2018.
  22. ^ a b "Presidential Approval Ratings – Gallup Historical Statistics and Trends". Gallup. Retrieved August 16, 2011.
  23. ^ Lydia Saad (March 29, 2017). "Trump's Approval Rating Unusually Low, Unusually Early". Gallup. Retrieved April 1, 2017.
  24. ^ The American Presidency Project at UC Santa Barbara.
  25. ^ a b c d e "Gallup Daily: Trump Job Approval". Gallup. Retrieved January 27, 2017.
  26. ^ a b "Trump Job Approval (Weekly)". Gallup. Retrieved January 22, 2018.
  27. ^ a b "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Donald Trump". Gallup. Retrieved October 9, 2018.
  28. ^ Jeffrey M. Jones (April 24, 2018). "Trump's Fifth-Quarter Job Approval Up; Still Historically Low". Gallup.
  29. ^ Graphical display and numbers of Gallup "daily tracking" polls
  30. ^ "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Barack Obama".
  31. ^ "Gallup.com". Gallup.com. Retrieved August 16, 2011.
  32. ^ "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Bill Clinton". gallup.com. Retrieved January 26, 2017.
  33. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for George H. W. Bush". American Presidency Project.
  34. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Ronald Reagan". American Presidency Project.
  35. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Jimmy Carter". American Presidency Project.
  36. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Gerald Ford". American Presidency Project.
  37. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Richard Nixon". American Presidency Project.
  38. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Lyndon B. Johnson". American Presidency Project.
  39. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for John F. Kennedy". American Presidency Project.
  40. ^ Presidential Job Approval for "Dwight D. Eisenhower". American Presidency Project.
  41. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Harry S. Truman". American Presidency Project.
  42. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Franklin D. Roosevelt". American Presidency Project.
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