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|[[Australian Labor Party|Labor]]<ref name="guardian-ed">{{cite news |title=The Guardian view on the Australian election: vote on the climate emergency |url=https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/may/16/guardian-view-australian-election-vote-climate-emergency |accessdate=16 May 2019 |work=Guardian Australia|date=16 May 2019}}</ref>
|[[Australian Labor Party|Labor]]<ref name="guardian-ed">{{cite news |title=The Guardian view on the Australian election: vote on the climate emergency |url=https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/may/16/guardian-view-australian-election-vote-climate-emergency |accessdate=16 May 2019 |work=Guardian Australia|date=16 May 2019}}</ref>
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|[[Australian Labor Party|Labor]]<ref name="age-ed">{{cite news |title=Shorten has made a compelling case for change|url=https://www.theage.com.au/national/shorten-has-made-a-compelling-case-for-change-20190516-p51o1a.html |accessdate=16 May 2019 |work=The Age|date=16 May 2019}}</ref>
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Revision as of 09:18, 16 May 2019

2019 Australian federal election
← 2016 18 May 2019 Next →
All 151 seats in the House of Representatives
76 seats are needed for a majority
40 (of the 76) seats in the Senate
Opinion polls
Registered16,424,248[1]
  Scott Morrison Bill Shorten
Leader Scott Morrison Bill Shorten
Party Liberal/National coalition Labor
Leader since 24 August 2018 (2018-08-24) 13 October 2013 (2013-10-13)
Leader's seat Cook (NSW) Maribyrnong (Vic.)
Last election 76 seats 69 seats
Current seats 74 seats 69 seats
Seats needed Increase 2 Increase 7
2016 TPP 50.36% 49.64%
  Richard Di Natale Bob Katter
Leader Richard Di Natale Bob Katter
Party Greens Katter's Australian
Leader since 6 May 2015 (2015-05-06) 3 June 2011 (2011-06-03)
Leader's seat Senator for Victoria Kennedy (Qld)
Last election 1 seat 1 seat
Current seats 1 seat 1 seat
Seats needed Increase 75 Increase 75
 
Leader No leader
Party Centre Alliance
Last election 1 seat
Current seats 1 seat
Seats needed Increase 75
Electoral map to be contested
Incumbent Prime Minister

Scott Morrison
Liberal/National coalition



The 2019 Australian federal election will be held on Saturday 18 May 2019 to elect members of the 46th Parliament of Australia. The election was called following the dissolution of the 45th Parliament as elected at the 2016 double dissolution federal election. All 151 seats in the House of Representatives (lower house) and 40 of the 76 seats in the Senate (upper house) will be up for election.

The second-term incumbent minority Coalition Government, led by Prime Minister Scott Morrison, is attempting to win a third three-year term against the Labor opposition, led by Opposition Leader Bill Shorten. Minor parties and independents will also contest the election, the most popular of which are the Greens and One Nation, according to nationwide opinion polls. The Greens, Centre Alliance, and Katter's Australian Party are defending one House of Representatives seat each.

Australia enforces compulsory voting and uses full-preference instant-runoff voting in single-member seats for the House of Representatives and optional preferential single transferable voting in the proportionally represented Senate.[2] The election will be administered by the Australian Electoral Commission.

Background


2019 Australian federal election
National results
State and territory results

Previous election

Main article: 2016 Australian federal election

The outcome of the 2016 federal election could not be predicted on election night, with too many seats in doubt.[3][4][5] After a week of vote counting, neither the incumbent Turnbull Government led by Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull of the Liberal/National Coalition nor the Shorten Opposition led by Opposition Leader Bill Shorten of the Australian Labor Party had won enough seats in the 150-seat House of Representatives to form a majority government.[6][7][8][9]

During the uncertain week following the election, Turnbull negotiated with the crossbench and secured confidence and supply support from Bob Katter and from independents Andrew Wilkie and Cathy McGowan in the event of a hung parliament and resulting minority government.[10] During crossbench negotiations, Turnbull pledged additional staff and resources for crossbenchers, and stated "It is my commitment to work in every way possible to ensure that the crossbenchers have access to all of the information they need and all of the resources they need to be able to play the role they need in this parliament".[11]

On 10 July, eight days after the election took place and following Turnbull's negotiations with the crossbench where he secured sufficient confidence and supply support, Shorten conceded defeat, acknowledging that the incumbent Coalition had enough seats to form either a minority or majority government. Turnbull claimed victory later that day.[12] In the closest federal majority result since the 1961 election, the ABC declared on 11 July that the incumbent Coalition would be able to form a one-seat majority government.[13]

It was the first election result since federation where the post-election opposition won more seats than the post-election government in both of Australia's two most populous states, New South Wales and Victoria.[14]

Result

See also: Results of the 2016 Australian federal election (House of Representatives)
See also: Results of the 2016 Australian federal election (Senate)

In the 150-seat House of Representatives, the one-term incumbent Liberal/National Coalition government suffered a 14-seat swing, reducing it to 76 seats—a bare one-seat majority. With a national three-point two-party swing against the government, the Labor opposition picked up a significant number of previously government-held seats to gain a total of 69 seats. On the crossbench, the Greens, the Nick Xenophon Team, Katter's Australian Party, and independents Wilkie and McGowan won a seat each. On 19 July, the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) announced a re-count for the Coalition-held but provisionally Labor-won Division of Herbert. At the start of the Herbert re-count, Labor led by eight votes.[15][16] The AEC announced on 31 July that Labor had won Herbert by 37 votes.[17][18]

The final outcome in the 76-seat Senate took more than four weeks to determine, despite significant voting changes. Earlier in 2016, legislation changed the Senate voting system from a full-preference single transferable vote with group voting tickets to an optional-preferential single transferable vote.[19] The final Senate result was announced on 4 August: Liberal/National Coalition 30 seats (−3), Labor 26 seats (+1), Greens 9 seats (−1), One Nation 4 seats (+4) and Nick Xenophon Team 3 seats (+2). Derryn Hinch won a seat, while Jacqui Lambie, Liberal Democrat David Leyonhjelm and Family First's Bob Day retained their seats. The number of crossbenchers increased by two to a record 20. The Liberal/National Coalition will require at least nine additional votes to reach a Senate majority, an increase of three.[20][21][22] The Liberal and Labor parties agreed to support a motion in the parliament that the first six senators elected in each state would serve a six-year term, while the last six elected would serve a three-year term.[23][24]

Changes in parliamentary composition

Since the 2016 election, a number of parliamentarians resigned from their seats, while some were disqualified by the High Court of Australia in the parliamentary eligibility crisis as a result of the dual citizenship of some MPs. However, in the cases of disqualified House of Representatives MPs, most of these were returned in resulting by-elections. Some MPs changed their party affiliation or their independent status.

Changes in parliamentary composition
Seat Before Change After
Member Party Type Date Date Member Party
Vic (Senate) Stephen Conroy Labor Resignation 30 September 2016 25 October 2016 Kimberley Kitching Labor
SA (Senate) Bob Day Family First Resignation, disqualification 1 November 2016 19 April 2017 Lucy Gichuhi Family First
WA (Senate) Rod Culleton One Nation Departure from party 18 December 2016 Rod Culleton Independent
Independent Disqualification 11 January 2017 27 March 2017 Peter Georgiou One Nation
SA (Senate) Cory Bernardi Liberal Formation of new party 7 February 2017 Cory Bernardi Conservatives
SA (Senate) Lucy Gichuhi Family First Refusal to join party merger 3 May 2017 Lucy Gichuhi Independent
WA (Senate) Scott Ludlam Greens Resignation, disqualification 14 July 2017 10 November 2017 Jordon Steele-John Greens
Qld (Senate) Larissa Waters Greens 18 July 2017 10 November 2017 Andrew Bartlett Greens
WA (Senate) Chris Back Liberal Resignation 31 July 2017 16 August 2017 Slade Brockman Liberal
Qld (Senate) Malcolm Roberts One Nation Disqualification 27 October 2017 10 November 2017 Fraser Anning One Nation
New England Barnaby Joyce National 2 December 2017 Barnaby Joyce
(re-elected) 		National
NSW (Senate) Fiona Nash National 22 December 2017 Jim Molan Liberal
SA (Senate) Nick Xenophon Xenophon Team Resignation 31 October 2017 14 November 2017 Rex Patrick Xenophon Team
Tas (Senate) Stephen Parry Liberal Resignation, disqualification 2 November 2017 9 February 2018 Richard Colbeck Liberal
Bennelong John Alexander Liberal Resignation 11 November 2017 16 December 2017 John Alexander
(re-elected) 		Liberal
Tas (Senate) Jacqui Lambie Lambie Network Resignation, disqualification 14 November 2017 9 February 2018 Steve Martin Independent
SA (Senate) Skye Kakoschke-Moore Xenophon Team 22 November 2017 16 February 2018 Tim Storer Independent
Qld (Senate) Fraser Anning One Nation Departure from party 15 January 2018 Fraser Anning Independent
NSW (Senate) Sam Dastyari Labor Resignation 25 January 2018 14 February 2018 Kristina Keneally Labor
Batman David Feeney Labor Resignation 1 February 2018 17 March 2018 Ged Kearney Labor
SA (Senate) Lucy Gichuhi Independent Party membership 2 February 2018 Lucy Gichuhi Liberal
Qld (Senate) George Brandis LNP Resignation 8 February 2018 21 March 2018 Amanda Stoker LNP
ACT (Senate) Katy Gallagher Labor Disqualification 9 May 2018 23 May 2018 David Smith Labor
Perth Tim Hammond Labor Resignation 10 May 2018 28 July 2018 Patrick Gorman Labor
Braddon Justine Keay Labor Resignation Justine Keay
(re-elected) 		Labor
Fremantle Josh Wilson Labor Josh Wilson
(re-elected) 		Labor
Longman Susan Lamb Labor Susan Lamb
(re-elected) 		Labor
Mayo Rebekha Sharkie Centre Alliance 11 May 2018 Rebekha Sharkie
(re-elected) 		Centre Alliance
Tas (Senate) Steve Martin Independent Party membership 28 May 2018 Steve Martin National
Qld (Senate) Fraser Anning Independent Party membership 4 June 2018 Fraser Anning Katter's Australian
NSW (Senate) Brian Burston One Nation Departure from party 14 June 2018 Brian Burston Independent
Independent Party membership 18 June 2018 United Australia
NSW (Senate) Lee Rhiannon Greens Resignation 15 August 2018 Mehreen Faruqi Greens
Qld (Senate) Andrew Bartlett Greens Resignation 27 August 2018 6 September 2018 Larissa Waters Greens
Wentworth Malcolm Turnbull Liberal Resignation 31 August 2018 20 October 2018 Kerryn Phelps Independent
Qld (Senate) Fraser Anning Katter's Australian Departure from party 25 October 2018 Fraser Anning Independent
Chisholm Julia Banks Liberal Departure from party 27 November 2018 Julia Banks Independent
Tas (Senate) David Bushby Liberal Resignation 21 January 2019 6 March 2019 Wendy Askew Liberal
Vic (Senate) Jacinta Collins Labor Resignation 15 February 2019 Raff Ciccone Labor
NSW (Senate) David Leyonhjelm Liberal Democrats Resignation 1 March 2019 20 March 2019 Duncan Spender Liberal Democrats
Qld (Senate) Fraser Anning Independent Formation of new party 4 April 2019 Fraser Anning Conservative National Party
ACT (Senate) David Smith Labor Resignation 11 April 2019 vacant
SA (Senate) Cory Bernardi Conservatives Party deregistration 24 June 2019[a] Cory Bernardi Independent
  1. ^ The party deregistration was after the 2019 election but before the start of the 46th Parliament

Following the parliamentary eligibility crisis, the AEC's form for nomination was updated to ask detailed questions on whether candidates are disqualified under Section 44 of the Constitution of Australia. Three Victorian Liberal candidates had to withdraw based on section 44 issues.[25]

Change of Prime Minister

Main article: 2018 Liberal Party of Australia leadership spills

Following the Liberal Party leadership spill on 24 August 2018, Malcolm Turnbull was replaced as Prime Minister by Scott Morrison. Turnbull resigned from parliament on 31 August, triggering a by-election in his former seat of Wentworth.[26] The by-election was won by independent Kerryn Phelps. This, combined with National MP Kevin Hogan's move to the crossbench and the resignation of MP Julia Banks from the Liberal Party, reduced the government to 73 seats going into the election; a net three-seat deficit.

Further dissatisfaction within the Liberal Party saw a number of centrist and economically-liberal candidates announce that they would nominate as independents in wealthy electorates, with a specific focus on "addressing climate change".[27][28]

Candidates

Main article: Candidates of the 2019 Australian federal election

The nomination of candidates closed on 23 April 2019.

There are 1,514 candidates in total (1,056 for the House of Representatives and 458 for the Senate).

State of electorates

Main article: Pre-election pendulum for the 2019 Australian federal election
See also: Post-election pendulum for the 2016 Australian federal election

After effects of boundary redistributions for the next election,[29][30] and the 2018 Wentworth by-election, the Mackerras pendulum has the Liberal/National Coalition government on 73 of 151 seats with the Labor opposition on 72 seats and a crossbench of six seats.[30]

Assuming a theoretical nationwide uniform swing, the Labor opposition would need at least 50.7% of the two-party vote (at least a 1.1-point two-party swing) to win 76 seats and majority government. The incumbent Coalition government no longer holds a majority, and would require at least 51.1% of the two-party vote (at least a 0.7-point two-party swing) to regain it.

The key marginal seats are as follows:

Marginal Coalition seats
Capricornia (Qld) Michelle Landry LNP 50.63
Forde (Qld) Bert van Manen LNP 50.63
Gilmore (NSW) Ann Sudmalis[b] LIB 50.73
Flynn (Qld) Ken O'Dowd LNP 51.04
^^^ Opposition wins majority on a uniform swing ^^^
Robertson (NSW) Lucy Wicks LIB 51.14
Banks (NSW) David Coleman LIB 51.44
Petrie (Qld) Luke Howarth LNP 51.65
Dickson (Qld) Peter Dutton LNP 51.69
Hasluck (WA) Ken Wyatt LIB 52.05
Page (NSW) Kevin Hogan NAT 52.30
Boothby (SA) Nicolle Flint LIB 52.71
Chisholm (Vic) Julia Banks (IND) LIB 52.91
La Trobe (Vic) Jason Wood LIB 53.22
Dawson (Qld) George Christensen LNP 53.37
Bonner (Qld) Ross Vasta LNP 53.39
Swan (WA) Steve Irons LIB 53.59
Pearce (WA) Christian Porter LIB 53.63
Leichhardt (Qld) Warren Entsch LNP 53.95
Casey (Vic) Tony Smith LIB 54.54
Cowper (NSW) Luke Hartsuyker[b] NAT v IND 54.56
Reid (NSW) Craig Laundy LIB 54.69
Sturt (SA) Christopher Pyne[b] LIB 55.39
Marginal Labor seats
Herbert (Qld) Cathy O'Toole ALP 50.02
Corangamite (Vic) Sarah Henderson (LIB)[a] ALP 50.03
Cooper (Vic) Ged Kearney ALP 50.6 v GRN[c]
Cowan (WA) Anne Aly ALP 50.68
^^^ Government regains majority on a uniform swing ^^^
Longman (Qld) Susan Lamb ALP 50.79[c]
Dunkley (Vic) Chris Crewther (LIB)[a] ALP 51.03
Lindsay (NSW) Emma Husar ALP 51.11
Macnamara (Vic) Michael Danby[b] ALP 51.21
Griffith (Qld) Terri Butler ALP 51.43
Braddon (Tas) Justine Keay ALP 51.73[c]
Macquarie (NSW) Susan Templeman ALP 52.19
Eden-Monaro (NSW) Mike Kelly ALP 52.93
Isaacs (Vic) Mark Dreyfus ALP 52.98
Perth (WA) Patrick Gorman ALP 53.33[c]
Lyons (Tas) Brian Mitchell ALP 53.83
Bendigo (Vic) Lisa Chesters ALP 53.87
Richmond (NSW) Justine Elliot ALP 53.96
Hotham (Vic) Clare O'Neil ALP 54.21
Dobell (NSW) Emma McBride ALP 54.81
Wills (Vic) Peter Khalil ALP 54.9 v GRN
Bass (Tas) Ross Hart ALP 55.42
Jagajaga (Vic) Jenny Macklin[b] ALP 55.60
Lilley (Qld) Wayne Swan[b] ALP 55.68
Marginal Crossbench Seats
Wentworth (NSW) Kerryn Phelps IND 51.2 v LIB[c]
Indi (Vic) Cathy McGowan[b] IND 54.1 v LIB
Mayo (SA) Rebekha Sharkie CA 55.5 v LIB[c]
Notes

a Although the seats of Corangamite and Dunkley were Liberal wins at the previous election, the redistribution in Victoria changed them to notionally marginal Labor seats.

b Members with names in italics retired at the 2019 election.

c Margin as of the previous by-election (which may apply to older boundaries).

Retiring members

Members of Parliament and Senators who chose not to renominate for the 2019 election are as follows:

Labor

Liberal

Nationals

Liberal National

Country Liberal

Independent

Opinion polls

See also: Opinion polling for the 2019 Australian federal election

Graphical summary

Two-party-preferred vote.
Primary vote.
Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last election. Local regression trends for each party are shown as solid lines.

Election date

An election for the House of Representatives can be called at any time during the maximum three-year parliamentary term. The term of the House of Representatives starts on the first sitting day of the House following its election, which in the case of the 45th Parliament was 30 August 2016. The House therefore would expire on 29 August 2019, unless it were dissolved earlier. In this case, the Parliament was dissolved on 11 April and an election called for 18 May 2019.[56] This occurred after Prime Minister Scott Morrison visited the Governor-General advising him to prorogue Parliament and dissolve the House of Representatives. The Governor-General accepted Morrison's recommendations, as is custom in Australia's system of government.[57][58]

The Constitution of Australia does not require simultaneous elections for the Senate and the House of Representatives, but it has long been preferred that elections for the two houses take place simultaneously. The most recent House-only election took place in 1972, and the most recent Senate-only election took place in 1970. However, the writs for a half-Senate election could not be issued earlier than 1 July 2018. Section 13 of the Constitution requires that the election of senators must take place within one year before the terms expire for half-Senate elections. Since the previous election was a double dissolution, half of the senators were allocated three-year terms that end on 30 June 2019, while the other half were allocated six-year terms that end on 30 June 2022. Senators from the territories serve terms timed with House elections. Since campaigns are for a minimum of 33 days, the earliest possible date for a simultaneous House/half-Senate election was 4 August 2018.[59] The latest that a half-Senate election could be held must allow time for the votes to be counted and the writs to be returned before the newly elected senators take office on 1 July 2019. This took over a month in 2016, so practically the last possible date for a half-Senate election to take place before the three-year terms expire is 18 May 2019.

An election for the House of Representatives needed to be held on or before 2 November 2019.[59] The latest date for the election is calculated from the Constitution and the Commonwealth Electoral Act 1918 (CEA). Section 28 of the Constitution provides that a term of the House of Representatives expires three years from the first sitting of the House, unless dissolved earlier. The last federal election was held on 2 July 2016. The 45th Parliament opened on 30 August 2016[60] and its term would expire on 29 August 2019.[61] Writs for election can be issued up to ten days after a dissolution or expiry of the House.[62] Up to 27 days can be allowed for nominations,[63] and the actual election can be set for a maximum of 31 days after close of nominations,[64] resulting in the latest election date for the House of Representatives of Saturday, 2 November 2019.

A double dissolution cannot take place within six months before the date of the expiry of the House of Representatives.[65] That meant that any double dissolution of the 45th Parliament had to have been granted by 28 February 2019. Allowing for the same stages indicated above, the last possible date for a double dissolution election would have been 4 May 2019.[59] This could only occur if a bill that had passed the House of Representatives was rejected by the Senate twice, at least three months apart.

The constitutional and legal provisions which impact on the choice of election dates include:[66]

  • Section 12 of the Constitution says: "The Governor of any State may cause writs to be issued for the election of Senators for that State"
  • Section 13 of the Constitution provides that the election of senators shall be held in the period of twelve months before the places become vacant.
  • Section 28 of the Constitution says: "Every House of Representatives shall continue for three years from the first sitting of the House, and no longer, but may be sooner dissolved by the Governor-General."[67] Since the 45th Parliament of Australia opened on 30 August 2016, it will expire on 29 August 2019.
  • Section 32 of the Constitution says: "The writs shall be issued within ten days from the expiry of a House of Representatives or from the proclamation of a dissolution thereof." Ten days after 29 August 2019 is 8 September 2019.
  • Section 156 (1) of the CEA says: "The date fixed for the nomination of the candidates shall not be less than 10 days nor more than 27 days after the date of the writ".[63] Twenty-seven days after 8 September 2019 is 5 October 2019.
  • Section 157 of the CEA says: "The date fixed for the polling shall not be less than 23 days nor more than 31 days after the date of nomination".[64] Thirty-one days after 5 October 2019 is 5 November 2019, a Tuesday.
  • Section 158 of the CEA says: "The day fixed for the polling shall be a Saturday".[68] The Saturday before 5 November 2019 is 2 November 2019. This is therefore the latest possible date for the lower house election.

Election timeline

On 11 April 2019, the office of the Governor-General released documents relating to the calling of the election. The documents set out a timeline of key dates for the election.[57]

  • 11 April – 8:29 am: Prorogation of the 45th Parliament[57]
  • 11 April – 8:30 am: Dissolution of the House of Representatives[57]
  • 11 April – Issue of writs[57]
  • 18 April – Close of electoral rolls. At this time, enrolment is at 96.8% of the eligible population.[69]
  • 23 April – Close of candidate nominations[57]
  • 24 April – Declaration of nominations
  • 29 April – Early voting commences[70]
  • 18 May – Polling day[57]
  • 28 June – Return of writs[57] (last day)
  • 1 July – Commencement of terms for state senators

The election period includes three national public holidays: Good Friday (19 April), Easter Monday (22 April) and Anzac Day (25 April), as well as May Day and Labour Day in Northern Territory and Queensland, respectively, both falling on 6 May.

Redistributions

See also: Redistribution (Australia)

Since the last election, there has been a reapportionment of seats of the House of Representatives, as well as three scheduled redistributions of electoral boundaries. On 31 August 2017, the Australian Electoral Commission announced a reapportionment of seats based on calculation of each state and territory's entitlement determination: Victoria gained one seat to 38, the Australian Capital Territory gained a seat to 3, and South Australia lost one seat to 10.[71] The total number of members of the House of Representatives increased from 150 to 151.[71]

Following the reapportionment, which applies to the 2019 election, the allocation of seats were:

State Seats Change
New South Wales 47 Steady
Victoria 38 Increase 1
Queensland 30 Steady
Western Australia 16 Steady
South Australia 10 Decrease 1
Tasmania 5 Steady
Australian Capital Territory 3 Increase 1
Northern Territory 2 Steady
Total 151 Increase 1

Northern Territory

On 7 December 2016, the Electoral Commission for the Northern Territory announced the results of its deliberations into the boundaries of Lingiari and Solomon, the two federal electoral divisions in the Northern Territory. New boundaries gazetted from 7 February 2017 will see the remainder of the Litchfield Municipality and parts of Palmerston (the suburbs of Farrar, Johnston, Mitchell, Zuccoli and part of Yarrawonga) transferred from Solomon to Lingiari.[72]

Tasmania

A scheduled redistribution began in Tasmania on 1 September 2016, to be finalised by November 2017.[73] The determinations were announced on 27 September 2017. In addition to boundary changes, the Division of Denison will be renamed the Division of Clark after Andrew Inglis Clark.[74]

Queensland

A scheduled redistribution began in Queensland on 6 January 2017, and was finalised on 27 March 2018. Changes were made to the boundaries of 18 of Queensland's 30 electoral divisions, and no division names were changed.[75]

Australian Capital Territory

A redistribution of federal electoral divisions in the Australian Capital Territory commenced on 4 September 2017, due to changes in the territory's representation entitlement. The AEC released a proposed redistribution on 6 April 2018, and the final determination on 3 July 2018.[76] The redistribution resulted in the creation of a third ACT electoral division named Bean (notionally fairly safe Labor), after historian Charles Bean.[77][78]

Victoria

A redistribution of federal electoral divisions in Victoria commenced on 4 September 2017, due to changes in the state's representation entitlement. The determinations were announced on 20 June 2018, and created a 38th electoral division named Fraser (notionally safe Labor), named after prime minister Malcolm Fraser.[79]

The commission also renamed several divisions: Batman to Cooper (after William Cooper), McMillan to Monash (after Sir John Monash), Melbourne Ports to Macnamara (after Dame Jean Macnamara) and Murray to Nicholls (after Sir Douglas and Lady Nicholls). A proposal to rename Corangamite to Cox (after swimming instructor May Cox) did not proceed.[80]

The Coalition notionally lost the seat of Dunkley and Corangamite to Labor in the redistribution.[30]

South Australia

A South Australian seat was abolished due to population changes having occurred since the state's last redistribution in 2011. Although South Australia's population was still increasing, faster increases in other states saw a reduction in South Australia's representation from 11 to 10 seats in the 151-seat House of Representatives. This was the third time South Australia lost a seat since the 1984 enlargement of the parliament, with Hawker abolished in 1993 and Bonython in 2004. South Australia is the least-populated state where the current number of seats can decrease, as Tasmania's current representation is the minimum guaranteed by the Constitution.[81][82][83]

A redistribution of federal electoral divisions in South Australia commenced on 4 September 2017, due to changes in the state's representation entitlement. The proposed redistribution report was released on 13 April 2018, and the final determination on 26 June 2018. The commission abolished the division of Port Adelaide.[84] The hybrid urban-rural seat of Wakefield became the entirely urban seat of Spence, after Catherine Helen Spence.[85][86] The more rural portions of Wakefield transferred to Grey and Barker.[87]

Newspaper endorsements

The Sunday and daily editions of Australian newspapers traditionally provide editorial endorsement for parties contending both federal and state elections. Alternative newspapers have in recent times also provided backing for minor parties.

Sunday editions

Newspaper Endorsement
Sunday Herald Sun Coalition
Sunday Mail (Adelaide) Coalition[88]
The Sunday Age   No endorsement[89]
The Sunday Mail (Brisbane) Coalition[90]
The Sunday Telegraph Coalition[91]
The Sunday Times   No endorsement[92]
The Sun-Herald   No endorsement[93]

All four newspapers published by News Corp Australia (Melbourne's Sunday Herald Sun, Adelaide's Sunday Mail, Brisbane's The Sunday Mail and Sydney's The Sunday Telegraph) endorsed the Coalition.[94] The Sunday Telegraph compared the major parties as a choice between Labor, which "seeks to present an agenda for social change, a generational correction for people doing it tough: pensioners, the unemployed, the working poor" and a Coalition "government that presents itself as being responsible in its spending, determined to return the budget to the black, eliminate waste and take a forward but steady approach to the broader social issues, such as ­climate change", ultimately describing Morrison a "safer pair of hands".[91]

Both the Nine Publishing newspapers (Melbourne's The Sunday Age and Sydney's The Sun-Herald) stopped short of endorsing a party, with The Sunday Age calling for bipartisan action on climate change.[89] The Sun-Herald praised Morrison as "the former advertising executive has come into his own, appearing more sure-footed and on message than in the early days of his as leader" but warned that "his single-focus strategy needs some enhancement if he has a chance of pulling off victory", while contrasting it with Labor which has "overwhelmed us with its vision and plans. The party presents itself as a viable alternative government, with bold policy announcements across a variety of sectors, but they carry some risk for the disadvantage they may cause to some sections of the electorate. It runs the risk of hubris should reality not conform with voter expectations".[93]

Seven West Media's newspaper (Perth's The Sunday Times) also made no endorsement, but urged readers not to give the balance of power to "micro parties with wacky, divisive and extreme agendas".[92]

Daily editions

Newspaper Endorsement
Australian Financial Review Coalition[95]
Guardian Australia style="background-color: Template:Australian Labor Party/meta/color" | Labor[96]

|- |The Age |style="background-color: Template:Australian Labor Party/meta/color" | |Labor[97] |}

The Guardian Australia endorsed Labor, arguing that "the climate emergency is the most pressing issue of our time" and that "the Coalition appears deaf to the rising clamour from the electorate...[while] it clings to an obviously deficient emissions reduction target". Concluding that "the Coalition has neither credible policies nor a competent team", it finds that "Labor is the only party with a credible climate policy and a chance of forming government", but also giving qualified support to The Greens as its "climate policy is more ambitious than Labor’s and its tax and spending policies more redistributive". It also wrote positively of "credible independent candidates who could make positive contributions in the parliament".[96]

Alternative newspapers

Newspaper Endorsement
Green Left Weekly Socialist Alliance[98][99]
style="background-color: Template:Victorian Socialists/meta/color" | Victorian Socialists[98][99]
Red Flag style="background-color: Template:Victorian Socialists/meta/color" | Victorian Socialists[100]

Alternative publication Green Left Weekly endorsed socialist parties candidates, particularly the Victorian Socialists and Socialist Alliance. It argued that "the escalating climate crisis and rampant and growing inequality are two major symptoms of the bankruptcy of capitalism", and that preferential voting "makes it possible to send Labor a message that it needs to do better."[99] Where socialist candidates are not standing, they endorsed preferencing The Greens above Labor.[98]

Similarly, Red Flag endorsed the Victorian Socialists, arguing that "a revival of activity at the grassroots, in workplaces, schools and on campuses" is required to "challenge the wealthy elite".[100]

See also

References

  1. ^ "The best electoral roll in history". Australian Electoral Commission. 23 April 2019.
  2. ^ "Australian electoral systems". Parliamentary Library. Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 16 September 2018.
  3. ^ "Swing against Malcolm Turnbull's Coalition leaves election on a knife-edge". ABC News. Australia. 2 July 2016.
  4. ^ "We don't have a winner, so what happens now?". ABC News. Australia. 3 July 2016.
  5. ^ "How the night unfolded with no clear winner". The Guardian. Australia. 3 July 2016.
  6. ^ "Election 2016: Ballot count could take a month to finalise, AEC says". ABC News. Australia. 4 July 2016. Retrieved 4 July 2016.
  7. ^ Gough, Deborah (3 July 2016). "Australian federal election 2016: No results until at least ... Tuesday". Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 4 July 2016.
  8. ^ "Liberals 'cautiously optimistic' on majority". Sky News Australia. 4 July 2016. Retrieved 4 July 2016.
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