Opinion polling for the 2024 French legislative election
There have been numerous opinion polls conducted for the 2024 French legislative election.
Polling
Graphical summary
First round
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | EXG | NFP | DVG | ENS | DVC | UDC | DVD | DSV | RN | REC | Others | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LFI | PCF | PÉ | PS | |||||||||||||
| Opinion Way | 11–12 Jun 2024 | 1,019 | 1% | 25% | 3% | 19% | – | 9% | 1% | – | 32% | 4% | 5% | |||
| Elabe | 11–12 Jun 2024 | 1,502 | 1% | 28% | 5% | 18% | – | 6.5% | 2% | – | 31% | 4% | 4.5% | |||
| Ifop | 10–11 Jun 2024 | 1,089 | 1% | 25% | 5% | 18% | – | 9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 35% | 4% | 1% | |||
| 1% | 11% | 19% | 3% | 17% | – | 8% | 2% | <0.5% | 34% | 4% | 1% | |||||
| 1% | 11% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 2% | 16% | – | 8% | 1% | 0.5% | 35% | 3.5% | 1% | |||
| – | 10 Jun 2024 | LFI, PS, PÉ, PCF, FGR, PRG and others formed a broad left and environmentalist electoral alliance[1] | ||||||||||||||
| Opinion Way | 10 Jun 2024 | 1,095 | 1% | 23% | 4% | 18% | – | 8% | 2% | – | 33% | 5% | 6% [a] | |||
| Harris-Interactive | 9–10 Jun 2024 | 2,744 | 3% | 22% | 9% | 19% | – | 9% | – | 34% | 4% | – | ||||
| – | 9 Jun 2024 | Emmanuel Macron dissolves the National Assembly and calls a legislative election to be held on 30 June and 7 July | ||||||||||||||
| Ifop | 12–13 Dec 2023 | 1,100 | 1.5% | 24% | 6% | 19% | – | 11% | 3% | 1% | 28% | 5% | 1.5% | |||
| 1% | 10% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 2% | 18% | – | 10% | 3% | 1% | 27% | 6% | 1% | |||
| Elabe | 3–5 Apr 2023 | 1,808 | 1% | 25.5% | 3% | 21.5% | – | 11.5% | 1% | – | 24.5% | 4.5% | 6% | |||
| Ifop | 20–21 Mar 2023 | 1,094 | 1% | 26% | 5% | 22% | – | 10% | 2% | 1% | 26% | 5% | 2% | |||
| 1% | 11% | 3% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 21% | – | 10% | 1% | 1% | 26% | 5% | 2% | |||
| Harris-Interactive | 3–7 Mar 2023 | 2,108 | 1% | 24% | 6% | 24% | 1% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 22% | 4% | 4% | |||
| Cluster17 | 4–6 Nov 2022 | 2,151 | 1.5% | 24.5% | 3% | 25% | 0.5% | 10.5% | 2% | 2% | 20% | 5% | 6%[b] | |||
| Ifop | 2–4 Nov 2022 | 1,513 | 1.5% | 25% | 4% | 27% | – | 11% | 2% | 0.5% | 21% | 5.5% | 2.5% | |||
| 1.5% | 11% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 2% | 26% | – | 11% | 3% | 0% | 21% | 5% | 1.5% | |||
| Results of 2022 election | 12 Jun 2022 | 22,744,708 | 1.17% | 25.66% | 6.37% | 25.75% | 1.25% | 11.29% | 2.33% | 1.10% | 18.68% | 4.24% | 3.33%[c] | |||
Seat projections
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | NFP | DVG | ENS | DVC | UDC | DVD | DSV | RN | REC | Others | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LFI | PCF | PÉ | PS | ||||||||||||
| Elabe | 11–12 Jun 2024 | 1,502 | 150–190 | 90–130 | 30–40 | – | 220–270 | – | 10–20 | ||||||
| Harris-Interactive | 9–10 Jun 2024 | 2,744 | 115–145 | – | 125–155 | 40–55 | 0–2 | 235–265 | – | 5–20 | |||||
| Ipsos (L'Obs) | 8–13 Dec 2023 | 4,000 | 55–79 | 20–22 | 117–165 | 3 | 44–60 | 7–8 | – | 243–305 | – | 10–11 | |||
| Elabe | 3–5 Apr 2023 | 1,808 | 150–180 | 15–20 | 130–155 | 60–75 | 1–2 | 150–175 | – | 12–15 | |||||
| Harris-Interactive | 3–7 Mar 2023 | 2,108 | 158–168 | 234–244 | 69–79 | 91–100 | – | 8–14 | |||||||
| Results of 2022 election | 12 Jun 2022 | 22,744,708 | 131 | 22 | 245 | 4 | 64 | 10 | 1 | 89 | 0 | 11[d] | |||
- ^ Includes 2% for general Ecologist parties
- ^ Includes 1% for Animalist Party and 1% for general Regionalist parties
- ^ Includes 1.28% for Regionalist candidates
- ^ 10 from regionalist parties and 1 Independent
References
- ^ "France leftwing parties present united front for snap elections". France 24. 10 June 2024. Retrieved 10 June 2024.