Opinion polling for the next Dutch general election

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In the run-up to the next Dutch general election, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in the Netherlands. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 15 March 2017, to the present day. The next election is scheduled for no later than 17 March 2021. Snap elections occur fairly frequently in the Netherlands, having most recently occurred in 2012.

No sample sizes or date ranges are provided by Maurice de Hond's Peil.nl; the panel includes approximately 3,000 respondents per week. Data on sample sizes and dates for the first two Kantar Public polls was not provided. Because date ranges and sample sizes for the Ipsos Political Barometer is not archived, only the end dates are listed. The date of publication is the listed date for Peil.nl polls, while the end date is used for Ipsos, I&O Research, Kantar Public, and GfK (De Stemming/EenVandaag). Starting in January 2018, EenVandaag cooperates with Ipsos for De Peiling, and has dropped GfK as their pollster.

Projections[edit]

Graphical summary[edit]

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the five major Dutch pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 90-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

Opinion polling for the next Dutch general election.png

Seats[edit]

Parties are denoted with en dashes if no indication is given of their level in polls.

Polling firm Date VVD PVV CDA D66 GL SP PvdA CU PvdD 50+ SGP DENK FvD Others Lead
Peil.nl 16 Sep 2018 26 15 11 10 18 13 12 6 8 5 3 7 16 10
I&O Research 11 Sep 2018 26 15 15 13 19 14 11 7 6 5 4 3 12 0 7
Peil.nl 9 Sep 2018 27 16 11 11 17 12 12 6 8 5 3 6 16 10
Ipsos 2 Sep 2018 32 18 17 13 16 14 8 6 7 5 3 2 9 14
Peil.nl 2 Sep 2018 29 16 11 12 16 12 11 6 7 5 3 6 16 13
Peil.nl 26 Aug 2018 29 16 11 12 16 12 11 6 7 5 3 6 16 13
Peil.nl 19 Aug 2018 29 15 12 13 16 12 11 6 7 5 3 6 15 13
Ipsos 30 Jul 2018 33 18 16 14 15 12 7 6 8 6 3 3 9 15
Peil.nl 8 Jul 2018 30 15 12 13 17 11 10 6 7 5 3 6 15 13
Peil.nl 1 Jul 2018 28 15 12 13 17 10 11 6 7 6 3 6 16 11
I&O Research 29 Jun 2018 27 16 16 14 19 11 11 7 6 6 3 3 11 0 8
Ipsos 25 Jun 2018 32 17 17 15 16 11 8 6 7 5 3 4 9 15
Peil.nl 24 Jun 2018 27 14 12 13 17 11 11 6 8 6 3 6 16 10
Peil.nl 17 Jun 2018 27 14 12 13 16 12 11 6 8 6 3 6 16 11
Peil.nl 10 Jun 2018 27 14 12 13 16 12 11 6 8 6 3 6 16 11
Peil.nl 3 Jun 2018 26 14 12 13 16 13 11 6 8 6 3 6 16 10
Ipsos 28 May 2018 32 16 17 15 18 11 8 6 7 5 3 3 9 14
Peil.nl 27 May 2018 26 13 13 12 17 13 12 6 8 6 3 5 16 9
Peil.nl 20 May 2018 25 13 13 12 17 14 12 5 8 7 3 5 16 8
Peil.nl 13 May 2018 25 13 13 12 17 14 12 5 8 7 3 5 16 8
Peil.nl 6 May 2018 24 13 13 12 17 15 12 5 8 7 3 5 16 7
Peil.nl 29 Apr 2018 24 13 13 12 17 15 12 5 8 7 3 5 16 7
Ipsos 23 Apr 2018 33 14 15 14 18 12 8 7 7 6 3 3 10 15
Peil.nl 22 Apr 2018 25 12 15 13 16 14 11 6 8 7 3 5 15 9
Peil.nl 15 Apr 2018 25 12 15 13 16 14 11 6 8 7 3 5 15 9
Peil.nl 8 Apr 2018 25 12 15 13 16 14 11 6 8 7 3 5 15 9
Peil.nl 1 Apr 2018 24 11 15 13 16 14 12 6 8 7 3 5 16 8
Peil.nl 25 Mar 2018 24 11 15 13 16 14 12 6 8 7 3 5 16 8
Ipsos 19 Mar 2018 32 16 16 16 14 13 8 6 7 7 3 3 9 16
Peil.nl 18 Mar 2018 26 12 14 13 14 15 12 7 7 7 3 4 16 10
I&O Research 12 Mar 2018 27 16 16 16 16 13 12 7 5 6 3 3 10 0 11
Peil.nl 11 Mar 2018 25 13 14 14 14 16 12 7 7 7 3 3 15 9
Kantar Public 4 Mar 2018 30 16 15 15 16 16 9 6 6 6 3 3 9 14
Peil.nl 4 Mar 2018 26 14 13 13 14 16 12 7 7 7 3 3 15 10
Ipsos 26 Feb 2018 31 15 15 16 14 13 8 5 8 6 3 4 12 15
Peil.nl 25 Feb 2018 26 14 13 13 14 16 12 7 7 7 3 3 15 10
Peil.nl 18 Feb 2018 27 14 14 14 14 15 12 6 7 6 3 3 15 12
Peil.nl 11 Feb 2018 27 15 15 16 14 14 12 5 7 5 3 3 14 11
I&O Research 6 Feb 2018 29 16 14 18 16 12 10 6 6 5 3 2 13 0 12
Peil.nl 4 Feb 2018 27 15 14 16 13 14 13 5 7 5 3 3 15 11
Ipsos 29 Jan 2018 31 16 15 16 14 13 9 5 7 5 3 4 12 15
Kantar Public 28 Jan 2018 28 18 14 17 16 15 11 6 4 4 3 2 12 10
Peil.nl 28 Jan 2018 27 15 14 16 13 14 13 5 7 5 3 3 15 11
Peil.nl 21 Jan 2018 27 15 14 16 13 14 13 5 7 5 3 3 15 11
Peil.nl 14 Jan 2018 27 14 14 15 14 14 14 5 7 5 3 3 15 0 12
Peil.nl 24 Dec 2017 27 14 14 15 14 14 14 5 7 5 3 3 15 12
GfK 18 Dec 2017 29 21 15 15 13 15 11 6 5 5 3 2 10 8
Ipsos 18 Dec 2017 31 18 14 16 13 12 10 6 6 5 3 4 12 0 13
Peil.nl 17 Dec 2017 25 14 14 17 13 14 15 5 7 5 3 3 15 8
Peil.nl 10 Dec 2017 26 15 14 16 13 13 15 6 7 5 3 3 14 10
Peil.nl 3 Dec 2017 26 15 14 16 13 13 15 6 7 5 3 3 14 10
Ipsos 30 Nov 2017 31 19 14 18 15 9 10 6 6 5 3 3 11 0 12
GfK 27 Nov 2017 28 23 14 18 13 13 11 6 4 7 3 1 9 5
Peil.nl 26 Nov 2017 28 15 15 16 13 12 14 6 7 6 3 3 12 12
Peil.nl 19 Nov 2017 28 16 15 17 14 13 13 5 6 5 3 3 12 11
Peil.nl 12 Nov 2017 28 16 15 17 14 13 13 5 6 5 3 3 12 11
Peil.nl 5 Nov 2017 29 16 16 18 13 12 13 5 6 5 3 3 11 11
Ipsos 2 Nov 2017 32 19 15 18 15 9 8 6 6 6 3 4 9 0 13
GfK 31 Oct 2017 30 21 16 17 13 12 12 6 6 4 3 2 8 9
I&O Research 30 Oct 2017 30 18 15 18 16 11 10 6 5 5 3 2 11 0 12
Peil.nl 29 Oct 2017 29 17 16 18 14 11 12 5 6 5 3 3 11 11
Kantar Public 15 Oct 2017 29 21 15 17 15 12 10 6 6 5 3 2 9 8
Peil.nl 15 Oct 2017 29 18 16 18 14 11 12 5 6 5 3 3 10 11
I&O Research 11 Oct 2017 30 19 15 18 16 10 9 6 6 6 3 2 10 0 11
Ipsos 5 Oct 2017 34 18 15 20 15 9 7 5 7 5 2 4 9 0 14
Peil.nl 1 Oct 2017 31 18 15 19 14 11 12 5 6 4 3 3 9 12
GfK 25 Sep 2017 29 23 16 17 15 12 10 6 6 5 4 1 6 6
Peil.nl 24 Sep 2017 31 18 16 19 14 11 12 5 6 4 3 3 8 12
Peil.nl 17 Sep 2017 31 18 16 19 14 11 12 5 6 4 3 3 8 12
Ipsos 14 Sep 2017 35 19 16 19 13 9 8 6 6 5 3 3 8 0 16
I&O Research 11 Sep 2017 30 20 16 18 15 12 9 6 6 4 3 2 9 0 10
Peil.nl 10 Sep 2017 31 18 16 19 14 11 12 5 6 4 3 3 8 12
GfK 4 Sep 2017 30 23 16 19 14 11 9 7 6 5 3 2 5 7
Peil.nl 3 Sep 2017 31 19 17 18 13 12 12 5 6 4 3 3 7 12
Kantar Public 31 Aug 2017 31 22 16 18 16 11 9 5 5 4 3 2 8 9
Peil.nl 27 Aug 2017 31 20 17 18 13 12 11 5 6 4 3 3 7 11
Peil.nl 20 Aug 2017 31 20 17 18 13 12 11 5 6 4 3 3 7 11
Ipsos 10 Aug 2017 35 21 16 20 13 9 7 6 7 3 2 4 7 0 14
Peil.nl 30 Jul 2017 32 21 16 20 13 11 11 5 5 4 3 3 6 11
GfK 24 Jul 2017 30 26 17 18 12 13 10 5 5 4 3 2 5 4
Peil.nl 16 Jul 2017 33 21 16 20 13 11 11 5 5 3 3 3 6 12
Ipsos 13 Jul 2017 36 19 16 21 14 9 8 6 6 4 2 4 5 0 15
Kantar Public 12 Jul 2017 31 23 16 19 17 13 9 5 5 3 3 2 4 8
Peil.nl 2 Jul 2017 33 21 16 20 13 11 12 5 5 3 3 3 5 12
Ipsos 29 Jun 2017 36 20 17 20 16 7 8 6 5 3 2 4 6 0 16
GfK 26 Jun 2017 34 24 17 18 14 12 10 5 4 5 2 2 3 10
I&O Research 18 Jun 2017 31 23 16 19 15 12 10 6 5 4 3 2 4 0 8
Peil.nl 18 Jun 2017 33 21 17 20 14 11 10 5 5 3 3 3 5 12
Ipsos 15 Jun 2017 37 19 18 21 14 9 9 6 5 3 2 3 4 0 16
Peil.nl 4 Jun 2017 33 20 17 20 14 12 10 5 5 4 3 3 4 13
Ipsos 1 Jun 2017 37 19 18 20 15 9 7 6 5 4 2 3 5 0 17
GfK 29 May 2017 30 23 18 18 15 13 10 5 5 4 3 2 3 1[a] 7
Peil.nl 21 May 2017 32 20 18 19 14 13 9 5 5 5 3 3 4 12
Ipsos 19 May 2017 37 20 16 21 14 9 7 6 5 3 3 4 5 0 16
Peil.nl 14 May 2017 32 19 18 20 14 13 9 5 5 5 3 3 4 12
Peil.nl 7 May 2017 32 19 18 20 14 13 9 5 5 5 3 3 4 12
Ipsos 4 May 2017 37 21 17 21 15 8 7 6 5 3 3 3 4 0 16
GfK 24 Apr 2017 32 22 19 19 14 14 8 5 5 4 3 2 3 10
Peil.nl 23 Apr 2017 32 19 18 20 14 13 9 5 5 5 3 3 4 12
Ipsos 20 Apr 2017 38 19 17 20 16 9 6 5 6 3 3 3 5 0 18
Peil.nl 16 Apr 2017 32 19 18 20 14 13 9 5 5 5 3 3 4 12
Peil.nl 9 Apr 2017 32 19 19 20 14 14 9 5 5 4 3 3 3 12
Ipsos 6 Apr 2017 34 20 18 20 15 11 8 5 5 4 4 3 3 0 14
Peil.nl 2 Apr 2017 32 19 19 20 14 14 9 5 5 4 3 3 3 12
Peil.nl 26 Mar 2017 32 19 19 20 14 14 9 5 5 4 3 3 3 12
2017 election 15 Mar 2017 33 20 19 19 14 14 9 5 5 4 3 3 2 0 13

Vote share[edit]

Polling firm Date VVD PVV CDA D66 GL SP PvdA CU PvdD 50+ SGP DENK FvD Others Lead
I&O Research 11 Sep 2018 17.1% 9.7% 9.6% 8.9% 12.7% 8.9% 7.4% 4.9% 4.4% 3.4% 2.7% 2.2% 8.0% 0.4% 4.4%
Ipsos 2 Sep 2018 20.3% 11.9% 11.2% 8.7% 10.2% 9.3% 5.4% 4.3% 4.7% 3.7% 2.1% 1.8% 5.7% 0.6% 8.4%
Ipsos 30 Jul 2018 21.5% 12.0% 10.2% 8.9% 10.0% 7.6% 4.9% 4.3% 5.1% 4.1% 2.3% 2.3% 6.2% 0.6% 9.5%
I&O Research 29 Jun 2018 17.5% 10.3% 10.8% 9.1% 12.7% 7.6% 7.0% 4.7% 4.4% 4.0% 2.3% 2.3% 7.1% 0.1% 4.8%
Ipsos 25 Jun 2018 20.4% 11.4% 10.8% 9.9% 10.7% 7.4% 5.1% 4.2% 4.7% 3.7% 2.0% 3.1% 6.0% 0.6% 9.0%
Ipsos 28 May 2018 20.5% 10.5% 11.0% 10.0% 11.7% 7.2% 5.3% 4.4% 4.5% 3.4% 2.0% 2.3% 6.4% 0.8% 8.8%
Ipsos 23 Apr 2018 21.7% 9.4% 9.7% 9.4% 11.6% 8.2% 5.2% 4.7% 4.5% 4.1% 2.0% 2.5% 6.4% 0.4% 10.1%
Ipsos 19 Mar 2018 20.9% 10.4% 10.2% 10.5% 9.5% 8.5% 5.1% 4.3% 4.5% 4.6% 2.2% 2.5% 5.9% 0.8% 10.4%
I&O Research 12 Mar 2018 17.7% 10.5% 10.5% 10.2% 10.7% 8.4% 7.6% 5.0% 3.6% 4.2% 2.3% 2.0% 6.8% 0.5% 7.0%
Ipsos 26 Feb 2018 19.9% 9.7% 10.1% 10.4% 9.3% 8.3% 5.1% 3.6% 5.2% 4.0% 2.3% 3.1% 7.7% 1.3% 9.5%
I&O Research 6 Feb 2018 18.9% 10.6% 9.4% 11.3% 10.7% 7.9% 6.7% 4.3% 4.1% 3.2% 2.4% 1.6% 8.6% 0.5% 7.6%
Ipsos 29 Jan 2018 20.2% 10.6% 10.1% 10.2% 9.1% 8.7% 5.8% 3.7% 4.5% 3.4% 2.2% 3.1% 7.9% 0.5% 9.6%
Ipsos 18 Dec 2017 19.8% 11.8% 9.4% 10.7% 8.7% 8.0% 6.6% 3.9% 4.4% 3.2% 2.5% 2.6% 7.8% 0.6% 8.0%
Ipsos 30 Nov 2017 20.3% 12.4% 9.4% 11.6% 9.6% 6.3% 6.8% 3.9% 4.0% 3.6% 2.1% 2.0% 7.5% 0.5% 7.9%
Ipsos 2 Nov 2017 20.3% 12.2% 9.8% 11.7% 10.0% 6.2% 5.6% 4.1% 3.8% 4.0% 1.9% 3.1% 6.3% 1.0% 8.1%
I&O Research 30 Oct 2017 19.2% 11.9% 9.5% 11.7% 10.3% 7.1% 6.9% 4.4% 3.5% 3.4% 2.5% 1.6% 7.4% 0.5% 7.3%
I&O Research 11 Oct 2017 19.3% 12.3% 9.6% 12.0% 10.5% 6.6% 6.4% 4.4% 3.9% 4.1% 2.2% 1.6% 6.6% 0.5% 7.0%
Ipsos 5 Oct 2017 21.9% 11.4% 9.7% 12.9% 9.4% 6.2% 4.9% 3.6% 4.7% 3.3% 1.7% 3.1% 6.2% 1.0% 9.0%
Ipsos 14 Sep 2017 22.7% 12.1% 10.3% 12.4% 8.5% 5.8% 5.1% 4.0% 4.3% 3.3% 2.1% 2.4% 5.6% 1.4% 10.3%
I&O Research 11 Sep 2017 19.5% 12.8% 10.4% 12.0% 9.7% 7.9% 6.0% 4.3% 4.1% 2.8% 2.2% 1.8% 5.9% 0.7%[b] 6.7%
Ipsos 10 Aug 2017 22.2% 13.7% 10.0% 13.1% 8.4% 5.7% 4.9% 4.2% 4.9% 2.4% 1.4% 3.1% 4.8% 1.2% 8.5%
Ipsos 13 Jul 2017 22.7% 12.6% 10.6% 13.4% 9.0% 5.8% 5.5% 4.3% 4.4% 2.7% 1.6% 3.1% 3.5% 0.8% 9.3%
Ipsos 29 Jun 2017 23.1% 12.6% 11.2% 12.7% 10.7% 5.0% 5.1% 4.4% 3.7% 2.4% 1.7% 2.8% 3.9% 0.7% 10.4%
I&O Research 18 Jun 2017 20.4% 15.2% 10.5% 12.6% 9.7% 8.0% 6.5% 3.9% 3.3% 2.6% 2.2% 1.7% 3.1% 0.5%[c] 5.2%
Ipsos 15 Jun 2017 23.7% 12.2% 11.4% 13.2% 9.3% 6.1% 6.0% 4.2% 3.3% 2.4% 1.5% 2.2% 3.1% 1.4% 10.5%
Ipsos 1 Jun 2017 24.0% 12.1% 11.4% 12.8% 10.1% 5.7% 4.5% 4.3% 3.7% 2.6% 1.8% 2.5% 3.4% 1.1% 11.2%
Ipsos 19 May 2017 23.6% 12.9% 10.7% 13.9% 9.2% 5.7% 4.9% 3.9% 3.3% 2.1% 1.9% 3.0% 3.7% 1.2% 9.7%
Ipsos 4 May 2017 23.9% 13.5% 10.9% 13.3% 9.8% 5.5% 4.7% 4.1% 3.6% 2.2% 2.3% 1.9% 3.1% 1.2% 10.4%
Ipsos 20 Apr 2017 24.3% 12.4% 11.2% 12.6% 10.6% 5.8% 4.1% 3.3% 4.1% 2.4% 2.3% 2.2% 3.5% 1.2% 11.7%
Ipsos 6 Apr 2017 22.0% 13.1% 11.9% 13.1% 9.4% 7.5% 5.1% 3.6% 3.6% 2.9% 2.3% 2.2% 2.2% 1.1% 8.9%
2017 election 15 Mar 2017 21.3% 13.1% 12.4% 12.2% 9.1% 9.1% 5.7% 3.4% 3.2% 3.1% 2.1% 2.1% 1.8% 1.5%[d] 8.2%

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ PP with 1 seat
  2. ^ PP with 0.4%, A1 with 0.3%, others with 0.0%
  3. ^ PP and A1 with 0.2%, others with 0.1%
  4. ^ VNL with 0.4%, PP and A1 with 0.3%, others with 0.6%

External links[edit]