Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election: Difference between revisions
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|Dan Jones & Associates<ref>{{cite web|http://idahopoliticsweekly.com/politics/1277-poll-clinton-gaining-on-trump-in-idaho|title=Poll: Clinton Gaining on Trump in Idaho|publisher=Idaho Politics Weekly|date=October 17, 2016|accessdate=October 17, 2016 }}</ref> |
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|September 28 – October 9, 2016 |
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|Hillary Clinton |
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|30% |
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|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''Donald Trump''' |
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|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''40%''' |
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|[[Gary Johnson]] |
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|10% |
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|[[Jill Stein]] |
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|3% |
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|{{party shading/Republican}} align="center" |'''10''' |
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|608 |
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|± 3.97% |
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|Dan Jones & Associates<ref>{{cite web|url=http://idahopoliticsweekly.com/politics/1218-idaho-presidential-race-trump-44-clinton-23-johnson-13|title=Idaho Presidential Race: Trump 44%, Clinton 23%, Johnson 13% |work=Dan Jones & Associates|publisher=Idaho Politics Weekly|date=September 5, 2016|accessdate=September 5, 2016 }}</ref> |
|Dan Jones & Associates<ref>{{cite web|url=http://idahopoliticsweekly.com/politics/1218-idaho-presidential-race-trump-44-clinton-23-johnson-13|title=Idaho Presidential Race: Trump 44%, Clinton 23%, Johnson 13% |work=Dan Jones & Associates|publisher=Idaho Politics Weekly|date=September 5, 2016|accessdate=September 5, 2016 }}</ref> |
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|Hillary Clinton |
|Hillary Clinton |
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|23% |
|23% |
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|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''Donald Trump |
|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''Donald Trump''' |
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|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''44% |
|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''44%''' |
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|[[Gary Johnson]] |
|[[Gary Johnson]] |
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|13% |
|13% |
Revision as of 16:48, 17 October 2016
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Leading presidential 2016 candidate by electoral vote count. States in gray have no polling data. Polls from lightly shaded states are older than August 1, 2016. This map only represents the most recent statewide polling data; it is not a prediction for the 2016 election. | |||||||||
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*No margin of error recorded for Nebraska's congressional districts. Maine and Nebraska both award 1 electoral vote per congressional district and 2 statewide electoral votes. Trump leads in Nebraska's 1st congressional district and Nebraska's 3rd congressional district while Clinton leads in Maine's 1st congressional district. Nebraska's 2nd congressional district could possibly be within the margin of error and Maine's 2nd congressional district is within the margin of error. | |||||||||
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2016 U.S. presidential election | |
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Republican Party | |
Democratic Party | |
Third parties | |
Related races | |
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This article is a collection of statewide polls for the United States presidential election, 2016. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, the Libertarian candidate, and the Green candidate. Prior to the parties' conventions, presumptive candidates were included in the polls. Not all states will conduct polling for the election due to various factors. States that are considered swing states usually put out more polls as more attention is given to the results. For determining a statistical tie, the margin of error provided by the polling source is applied to the result for each candidate. This article displays each candidate's potential electoral vote total and is not a prediction of the current state of the election.
Most recent polling
Hillary Clinton has a vote lead among states recently polled. State polls with results outside the margin of error presently show 218 electoral votes for Clinton and 109 electoral votes for Donald Trump. In 16 states and two congressional districts (201 electoral votes), results for Clinton and Trump are within the margin of error. For the 2 states and one district without recent polling, one state (3 electoral votes) voted for Mitt Romney in the 2012 election, while one state and district (7 electoral votes) voted for Barack Obama. Third party candidates, such as Jill Stein and Gary Johnson, are also included in many statewide polls. They have not received support in statewide polling that surpasses the two main party nominees.
- Note: If the newest poll of a state comes out that omits a third party candidate, please erase the old polling info for that third party candidate. Polling that does not include third party candidates should not be mixed with old poll results that do. Areas shaded in light gray indicate that the candidate was not included in the most recent poll.
State | Date | Hillary Clinton | Donald Trump | Gary Johnson |
Jill Stein | Margin of error | Lead | Clinton potential EVs |
Trump potential EVs |
Tied potential EVs |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nationwide[a] | National polling | 218 | 109 | 201 | ||||||
Alabama | September 27, 2016 | 32% | 48% | 2.0% | 16 | 9 | ||||
Alaska | October 11-13, 2016 | 36% | 37% | 7% | 3% | 4.4% | 1 | 3 | ||
Arizona | October 11–12, 2016 | 43% | 42% | 5% | 4.12% | 1 | 11 | |||
Arkansas | September 15–17, 2016 | 34% | 55% | 3% | 1% | 3.4% | 21 | 6 | ||
California | September 27–28, 2016 | 59% | 33% | 3% | 2% | 3.6% | 26 | 55 | ||
Colorado | October 12-13, 2016 | 44% | 39% | 6% | 2% | 2.8% | 5 | 9 | ||
Connecticut | September 2–5, 2016 | 50% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 3.0% | 15 | 7 | ||
Delaware | September 16–28, 2016 | 51% | 30% | 7% | 2% | 4.1% | 21 | 3 | ||
Florida | October 12–13, 2016 | 46% | 42% | 5% | 1% | 3.1% | 4 | 29 | ||
Georgia | October 11–12, 2016 | 42% | 48% | 4% | 2.7% | 6 | 16 | |||
Idaho | August 18–31, 2016 | 23% | 44% | 13% | 2% | 4.0% | 21 | 4 | ||
Illinois | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | 53% | 28% | 5% | 2% | 3.3% | 25 | 20 | ||
Indiana | October 11–13, 2016 | 41% | 45% | 9% | 4.9% | 4 | 11 | |||
Iowa | October 3–6, 2016 | 39% | 43% | 6% | 2% | 3.5% | 4 | 6 | ||
Kansas | September 6–11, 2016 | 36% | 48% | 8% | 2% | 4.1% | 12 | 6 | ||
Kentucky | August 2–4, 2016 | 25% | 41% | 4.0% | 16 | 8 | ||||
Louisiana | October 11-15, 2016 | 38% | 45% | 4% | 1% | 3.5% | 7 | 8 | ||
Maine | October 7–9, 2016 | 44% | 36% | 9% | 3% | 3.3% | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
Maryland | September 27–30, 2016 | 63% | 27% | 4% | 2% | 4.0% | 36 | 10 | ||
Massachusetts | September 24 – October 3, 2016 | 58% | 26% | 7% | 4% | 5.0% | 32 | 11 | ||
Michigan | October 11, 2016 | 47% | 37% | 7% | 4% | 2.6% | 10 | 16 | ||
Minnesota | September 23, 2016 | 43% | 43% | 4% | 2% | 3.3% | Tied | 10 | ||
Mississippi | August 11, 2016 | 39% | 52% | 3% | 0% | 2.9% | 13 | 6 | ||
Missouri | October 9–11, 2016 | 42% | 47% | 4% | 1% | 2.1% | 5 | 10 | ||
Montana | October 10–12, 2016 | 36% | 46% | 11% | 3.2% | 10 | 3 | |||
Nebraska | September 25–27, 2016 | 29% | 56% | 7% | 1% | 3.6% | 27 | 4 | 1 | |
Nevada | October 12–14, 2016 | 46% | 40% | 4% | 4.5% | 6 | 6 | |||
New Hampshire | October 10–12, 2016 | 41% | 38% | 11% | 3% | 4.4% | 3 | 4 | ||
New Jersey | September 22–29, 2016 | 46% | 40% | 3.9% | 6 | 14 | ||||
New Mexico | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | 46% | 33% | 14% | 2% | 4.1% | 13 | 5 | ||
New York | September 21–23, 2016 | 52% | 31% | 7% | 5% | 3.8% | 21 | 29 | ||
North Carolina | October 10–12, 2016 | 46% | 42% | 5% | 3% | 3.9% | 4 | 15 | ||
North Dakota | September 12–17, 2016 | 32% | 43% | 8% | 1% | 4.9% | 11 | 3 | ||
Ohio | October 10–12, 2016 | 41% | 42% | 9% | 4% | 3.6% | 1 | 18 | ||
Oklahoma | September 13–15, 2016 | 36% | 51% | 6% | 4.3% | 15 | 7 | |||
Oregon | October 10–12, 2016 | 48% | 38% | 6% | 4% | 3.9% | 10 | 7 | ||
Pennsylvania | October 7–11, 2016 | 48% | 39% | 6% | 4% | 3.5% | 9 | 20 | ||
Rhode Island | October 2–4, 2016 | 52% | 32% | 5% | 5% | 3.4% | 20 | 4 | ||
South Carolina | September 18–26, 2016 | 38% | 42% | 6% | 3% | 4.5% | 4 | 9 | ||
Tennessee | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | 38% | 50% | 5% | 1% | 5.0% | 12 | 11 | ||
Texas | October 10–12, 2016 | 43% | 47% | 3% | 1% | 4.0% | 4 | 38 | ||
Utah | October 15–16, 2016 | 28% | 30% | 5% | 1% | 4.0% | 1 | 6 | ||
Vermont | September 2–5, 2016 | 47% | 26% | 13% | 7% | 3.9% | 21 | 3 | ||
Virginia | October 11–14, 2016 | 44% | 29% | 11% | 2% | 3.6% | 15 | 13 | ||
Washington | September 28 – October 3, 2016 | 47% | 31% | 10% | 4% | 4.4% | 16 | 12 | ||
West Virginia | September 13–17, 2016 | 28% | 60% | 5.0% | 32 | 5 | ||||
Wisconsin | October 6–9, 2016 | 44% | 37% | 9% | 3% | 3.9% | 7 | 10 | ||
Wyoming | September 6–11, 2016 | 19% | 54% | 10% | 2% | 4.9% | 35 | 3 | ||
No recent polling | 10 |
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 60%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–38%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 13, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 34.5% | 54.5% | — | 20.0 |
TPM Polltracker | 33% | 57% | 24 | ||
Votamatic | 40.1% | 59.9% | 19.8 | ||
Three-way | FiveThirtyEight | 36.8% | 56.6% | 4.8% | 19.8 |
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
News-5/Strategy Research [1] | September 27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 32% | Donald Trump | 48% | 16 | 3,000 | ± 2.0% |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 13, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 35.5% | 50.0% | — | 14.5 |
Real Clear Politics | not yet calculated | ||||
TPM Polltracker | 33% | 36.7% | — | 3.7 | |
Three-way | FiveThirtyEight | 40.6% | 45.4% | 12.4% | 4.8 |
Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaska Survey Research[2] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 46% | 4 | 660 | ± 3.8% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lake Research Partners[3] | October 11–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Moore Information[4] | October 5–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 34% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 2% | 3 | 500 | ± 4% |
Alaska Survey Research[2] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 31% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 18% | Jill Stein | 6% | 5 | 660 | ± 3.8% |
Moore Information[5] | August 27–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 29% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 4% | 10 | 500 | ± 4% |
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 10, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 41.3% | 41.6% | — | 0.3 | |
Election Projection | 40.4% | 40.8% | 0.4 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 40.3% | 43.2% | 2.9 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 41.8% | 42.5% | 0.7 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 43.0% | 41.7% | 1.3 | |||
Votamatic | 50.6% | 49.4% | 1.2 | |||
Three-way | FiveThirtyEight | 45.4% | 45.8% | 7.4% | — | 0.4 |
Real Clear Politics | not yet calculated | |||||
TPM Polltracker | 44.1% | 42.2% | 7.6% | — | 1.9 | |
Four-way | 270 to Win | 40.5% | 41.0% | 8.8% | 1.7% | 0.5 |
Election Projection | 43.0% | 42.0% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 1.0 | |
Real Clear Politics | 41.0% | 42.0% | 8.5% | 1.5% | 1.0 | |
TPM Polltracker | 43.3% | 42.0% | 7.7% | 1.0% | 1.3 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 42% | 1 | 649 | ± 3.8% |
Public Policy Polling[7] | August 26–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 46% | 3 | 837 | ± 3.4% |
CNN/ORC[8] | August 18–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 49% | 5 | 809 | ± 3.5% |
- Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data Orbital[9] | October 11-12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 1 | 550 | ±4.12% |
Data Orbital[10] | September 20–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 2 | 550 | ± 4.12% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[11] | October 2–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 600 | ±3.90% |
OH Predictive Insights[12] | September 28–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | Tied | 718 | ±3.66% |
Insights West[13] | September 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 1% | 5 | 484 | ± 4.5% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 | 649 | ± 3.8% |
Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News[14] | August 17–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 35% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 1 | 704 | ± 3.3% |
Gravis Marketing[15] | August 27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 1,244 | ± 2.8% |
OH Predictive Insights[16] | August 25–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | 1 | 728 | ±3.63% |
CNN/ORC[8] | August 18–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 4% | 7 | 809 | ± 3.5% |
CBS News/YouGov[17] | August 2–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 | 1,095 | ± 4.8% |
OH Predictive Insights[18][19] | August 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 996 | ±3.0% |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 13, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 32% | 56% | — | 24 | |
Election Projection | 38.5% | 50.5% | 12.0 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 31.5% | 56% | 24.5 | |||
Votamatic | 41% | 59% | 18 | |||
Three-way | FiveThirtyEight | 39.1% | 54.1% | 5% | — | 15 |
Real Clear Politics | 31.5% | 56% | 4% | 24.5 |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Talk Business/Hendrix College[20] | September 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 34% | Donald Trump | 55% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 21 | 831 | ± 3.4% |
Emerson College[21] | September 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 29% | Donald Trump | 57% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 3% | 28 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 13, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 52% | 32% | — | 20 | |
Election Projection | 57.5% | 30.5% | 27 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 54.3% | 30.3% | 24 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 52% | 32.3% | 19.7 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 60% | 28.8% | 31.2 | |||
Votamatic | 64.2% | 35.8% | 28.4 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 59% | 33% | 3% | — | 26 |
FiveThirtyEight | 58.4% | 34.4% | 5.6% | 24 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 52% | 28% | 8.5% | 20 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 46% | 32.3% | 6% | 13.7 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 52% | 32% | 8% | 6% | 20 |
Election Projection | 53% | 32% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 21 | |
Real Clear Politics | 52% | 32.3% | 6% | 4.3% | 19.7 | |
TPM Polltracker | 55% | 32.3% | 5.3% | 3% | 22.7 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[22] | September 1–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 58% | Donald Trump | 33% | 25 | 4,212 | ± 2.0% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KABC/SurveyUSA[23] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 59% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 2% | 26 | 732 | ± 3.6% |
Public Policy Institute of California[24] | September 9–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 31% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 5% | 16 | 1,055 | ± 4.5% |
Insights West[13] | September 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 62% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 1% | 28 | 515 | ± 4.3% |
Field Research[25] | September 7–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 6% | 17 | 1,426 | ±% |
SurveyUSA[26] | September 8–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 57% | Donald Trump | 32% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 25 | 678 | ± 3.8% |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[22] | September 1–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 29% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 6% | 20 | 4,212 | ± 2.0% |
9 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 46.2% | 40.2% | — | 6.4 | |
Election Projection | 44.3% | 39.4% | 4.9 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 42.4% | 37.9% | 4.5 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 44.3% | 37% | 7.3 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 45.7% | 38.2% | 7.5 | |||
Votamatic | 53.7% | 46.3% | 7.4 | |||
Three-way | FiveThirtyEight | 48% | 41.5% | 9.3% | — | 6.5 |
Real Clear Politics | 43% | 39% | 9.5% | 4 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 44% | 38.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 5.6 |
Election Projection | 43% | 39% | 9.5% | 2.7% | 4 | |
Real Clear Politics | 44.3% | 37% | 9% | 3% | 7.3 | |
TPM Polltracker | 43% | 39.3% | 9% | 3% | 3.7 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[27] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 44% | 7 | 694 | ± 3.7% |
CNN/ORC[28] | September 20–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 47% | 2 | 784 | ± 3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[29] | September 13–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 47% | Tied | 644 | ± 3.9% |
Colorado Mesa University/Rocky Mountain PBS[30] | September 14–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 35% | 9 | 540 | ± 5.3% |
Quinnipiac University[31] | August 9–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 39% | 10 | 830 | ± 3.4% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[32] | August 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 32% | 14 | 899 | ± 3.3% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart New[33] | October 12-13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 | 1226 | ± 2.8% |
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[34] | October 3–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 3% | Tied | 1,246 | ± 2.8% |
Monmouth University[35] | September 29 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 11 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
Keating Research[36] | September 27–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 3% | 11 | 602 | ± 4.0% |
Public Policy Polling[27] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 | 694 | ± 3.7% |
CNN/ORC[28] | September 20–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 13% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 | 784 | ± 3.5% |
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[37] | September 22–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 6% | 4 | 799 | ± 3.5% |
CBS News/YouGov[38] | September 21–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 1 | 991 | ± 4.4% |
Quinnipiac University[29] | September 13–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 | 644 | ± 3.9% |
Colorado Mesa University/Rocky Mountain PBS[30] | September 14–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 3% | 7 | 540 | ± 5.3% |
Emerson College[21] | September 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 13% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
Magellan Strategies[39] | August 29–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 13% | Jill Stein | 3% | 5 | 500 | ± 4.38% |
Quinnipiac University[31] | August 9–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 16% | Jill Stein | 7% | 8 | 830 | ± 3.4% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[32] | August 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 29% | Gary Johnson | 15% | Jill Stein | 6% | 12 | 899 | ± 3.3% |
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 50% | 35% | — | 15 | |
Election Projection | 48% | 39.5% | 8.5 | |||
RealClearPolitics | not yet calculated | |||||
Votamatic | 58.6% | 41.7% | — | 16.9 | ||
Three-way | FiveThirtyEight | 54.3% | 37.8% | 6.4% | — | 16.5 |
Real Clear Politics | not yet calculated | |||||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 50% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 15 |
Election Projection | 47% | 34% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 13.0 | |
Real Clear Politics | not yet calculated |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[40] | September 2–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | 15 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 59%–40%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 51% | 30% | — | 21 | |
Election Projection | 46% | 34% | 12 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 46.5% | 31% | 15.5 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 51% | 30% | 21 | |||
Votamatic | 61.2% | 38.8% | 22.4 | |||
Three-way | 270 to Win | 51% | 30% | 7% | — | 21 |
Electoral Vote | 51% | 30% | 7% | 21 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 54.3% | 37.8% | 6.4% | 16.5 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 46.5% | 31% | 8% | 15.5 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 51% | 30% | 7% | 21 | ||
Four-way | TPM Polltracker | 51% | 30% | 7% | 2% | 21 |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Delaware[41] | September 16–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 30 | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 21 | 762 | ± 4.1% |
3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%
(Democratic in 2012) 91%–7%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Electoral Vote | 66% | 20% | — | 46 |
Three-way | FiveThirtyEight | 76.8% | 14.4% | 5.8% | 62.4 |
TPM Polltracker | not yet calculated |
No polling has been conducted post August 1, 2016
29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 46.6% | 43.2% | — | 3.4 | |
Election Projection | 46.2% | 43.3% | 2.9 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 45.4% | 42.4% | 3 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 46.6% | 43.4 | 3.2 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 47.8% | 43.6 | 4.2 | |||
Votamatic | 52.6% | 47.4% | 5.2 | |||
Three-way | Election Projection | 45% | 42% | 6.0% | — | 3 |
FiveThirtyEight | 48.7% | 45.2% | 4.8% | 3.5 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 45.1% | 42.4% | 4.9% | 2.7 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 45.2% | 42.4% | 4.2% | 2% | 3 |
Election Projection | 45.4% | 42.9% | 4.8% | 2% | 2.5 | |
Real Clear Politics | 45.1% | 42.4% | 4.9% | 2% | 2.7 | |
TPM Polltracker | 47.3% | 44.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 3.2 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Poll[42] | October 12–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 44% | 5 | 985 | ± 3.1% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[43] | October 3–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | 700 | ± 3.7% |
University of North Florida[44] | September 27 – October 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 40% | 7 | 696 | ± 3.8% |
Quinnipiac University[45] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 44% | 5 | 545 | ± 4.2% |
Public Policy Polling[27] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 45% | 3 | 826 | ± 3.4% |
Florida Chamber Political Institute[46] | September 15–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 42% | 3 | 617 | ± 4.0% |
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[47] | September 10–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 43% | Tied | 867 | ± 3.3% |
CNN/ORC[48] | September 7–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 50% | 4 | 788 | ± 3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[49] | August 27 – September 7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 47% | Tied | 761 | ± 3.6% |
Public Policy Polling[50] | September 4–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 46% | 1 | 744 | ± 3.6% |
Florida Chamber Political Institute[51] | August 17–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 44% | 1 | 608 | ± 4.0% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[32] | August 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 39% | 5 | 862 | ± 3.3% |
Public Policy Polling[52] | August 5–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | 938 | ± 3.2% |
Quinnipiac University[53] | July 30 – August 7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 45% | 1 | 1,056 | ± 3.0% |
Suffolk University[54] | August 1–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 42% | 6 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
- Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida Chamber Political Institute[46] | September 15–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 2 | 617 | ± 4.0% |
Florida Chamber Political Institute[51] | August 17–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 3 | 608 | ± 4.0% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Poll[42] | October 12–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 985 | ± 3.1% |
Opinion Savvy[55] | October 10–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 3 | 533 | ± 4.2% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[43] | October 3–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 3% | 3 | 700 | ± 3.7% |
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[56] | October 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 821 | ± 3.4% |
Emerson College[11] | October 2–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 | 600 | ± 3.90% |
University of North Florida[44] | September 27 – October 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 3% | 3 | 696 | ± 3.8% |
Quinnipiac University[45] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 | 545 | ± 4.2% |
Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/Fox 35[57] | September 28–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 1 | 619 | ± 4.0% |
Mason-Dixon[58] | September 27–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 820 | ± 3.5% |
Public Policy Polling[27] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 826 | ± 3.4% |
Suffolk University[59] | September 19–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 1 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Monmouth University[60] | September 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 5 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
Saint Leo University[61] | September 10–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 | 502 | ± 4.5% |
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[47] | September 10–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 2% | 1 | 867 | ± 3.3% |
CNN/ORC[48] | September 7–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 3 | 788 | ± 3.5% |
CBS News/YouGov[62] | September 7–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 | 1,193 | ± 3.5% |
JMC Analytics[63] | September 7–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 781 | ± 3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[49] | August 29 – September 7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | Tied | 761 | ± 3.6% |
Public Policy Polling[50] | September 4–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 1 | 744 | ± 3.6% |
Mason-Dixon[64] | August 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 | 625 | ± 4.0% |
ICITIZEN[65] | August 18–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Florida Atlantic University[66] | August 19–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 | 1,200 | ± 3.0% |
Saint Leo University Polling Institute[67] | August 14–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 14 | 1,380 | ± 3.0% |
Monmouth University[68] | August 12–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 9 | 402 | ± 4.9% |
CBS News/YouGov[69] | August 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 | 1,194 | ± 3.6% |
Fox 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion Savvy[70] | August 10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 1 | 622 | ± 4.0% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[32] | August 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | 5 | 862 | ± 3.3% |
Quinnipiac University[53] | July 30 – August 7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | Tied | 1,056 | ± 3.0% |
Suffolk University[54] | August 1–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 3% | 4 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 13, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 41.8% | 46.8% | — | 5 | |
Election Projection | 41.6% | 46.1% | 4.5 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 41.6% | 45.1% | 3.5 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 41.5% | 46.8% | 5.3 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 41.7% | 49.5% | 7.8 | |||
Votamatic | 49.8% | 50.2% | 0.4 | |||
Three-way | Election Projection | 40.9% | 45.4% | 7.7% | — | 4.5 |
FiveThirtyEight | 45.4% | 47.9% | 6.7% | 2.5 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 40.5% | 46% | 6.5% | 5.5 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 41% | 46.2% | 6.4% | 1.0% | 5.2 |
Election Projection | 40.0% | 42.5% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 2.5 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University[29] | September 13–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 50% | 6 | 638 | ± 3.9% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 46% | 3 | 625 | ± 3.9% |
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[71] | August 4–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 45% | 1 | 1,604 | ± 2.5% |
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[72] | August 1–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 40% | 4 | 847 | ± 4.0% |
- Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Landmark Communications[73] | October 11–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 48% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 6 | 1,400 | ± 2.7% |
Landmark/RosettaStone[74] | September 21–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 4 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
JMC Analytics[75] | September 20–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 6 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Quinnipiac University[29] | September 13–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 7 | 638 | ± 4.9% |
Monmouth University[76] | September 15–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 3 | 401 | ± 4.9% |
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta[77] | September 14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 4 | 568 | ± 4.1% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 2 | 625 | ± 3.9% |
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta[78] | August 17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Tied | 730 | ± 3.6% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[21] | September 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 3% | 6 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
CBS News/YouGov[69] | August 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 988 | ± 4.3% |
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[71] | August 4–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 1,604 | ± 2.5% |
JMC Analytics[79] | August 6–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | 7 | 615 | ± 4.0% |
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[72] | August 1–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 2% | 3 | 847 | ± 4.0% |
Landmark/RosettaStone[80] | August 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | Tied | 787 | ± 3.5% |
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%
(Democratic in 2012) 71%–28%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 13, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 54% | 29.5% | — | 24.5 |
TPM Polltracker | not yet calculated | ||||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 51% | 25% | 7% | 26 |
FiveThirtyEight | 62.6% | 29.2% | 6.1% | 33.4 |
No polls conducted yet
4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 35% | 53% | — | 18 | |
Election Projection | 35% | 49% | 14 | |||
Real Clear Politics | not yet calculated | |||||
TPM Polltracker | 23% | 44% | — | 21 | ||
Votamatic | 37.2% | 62.8% | 25.6 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 24% | 44% | 16% | — | 20 |
FiveThirtyEight | 34.7% | 53.6% | 9.8% | 18.9 | ||
Real Clear Politics | not yet calculated | |||||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 25% | 44% | 19% | 7% | 19 |
Election Projection | 24% | 44% | 16% | 4.5% | 20 | |
Real Clear Politics | not yet calculated | |||||
TPM Polltracker | 23% | 44% | 13% | 2% | 21 |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green Party | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates[81] | September 28 – October 9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 30% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 3% | 10 | 608 | ± 3.97% |
Dan Jones & Associates[82] | August 18–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 23% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 13% | Jill Stein | 2% | 21 | 602 | ± 4.0% |
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 50% | 33% | — | 17 | |
Election Projection | 51% | 36.5% | 14.5 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 48.3% | 33.3% | 15 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 54.1% | 31.1% | 23 | |||
Votamatic | 61.7% | 38.3% | 23.4 | |||
Three-way | 270 to Win | 39% | 33% | 5% | — | 17 |
Electoral Vote | 53% | 28% | 5% | 25 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 58.4% | 34.4% | 5.6% | 24 | ||
Four-way | Real Clear Politics | 47% | 32.3% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 14.3 |
TPM Polltracker | 51% | 31.3% | 5.7% | 2% | 19.7 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Loras College[83] | September 13–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 33% | 14 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Normington, Petts and Associates[84] | August 1–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 32% | 19 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green Party | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Southern Illinois University[85] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Donald Trump | 28% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 25 | 865 | ± 3.3% |
Victory Research[86] | September 21–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 14 | 1,200 | ± 2.83% |
Emerson College[87] | September 19–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 3% | 6 | 700 | ± 3.6% |
Loras College[83] | September 13–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 30% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 13 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
We Ask America[88] | September 12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 18 | 955 | ± 3.17% |
11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 54%–44%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 38% | 43% | — | 5 | |
Election Projection | 36.5% | 51% | 14.5 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 35.9% | 47.3% | 11.4 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 37% | 45% | 8 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 36% | 48% | 12 | |||
Votamatic | 46.7% | 53.3% | 6.6 | |||
Three-way | 270 to Win | 38% | 43% | 11% | — | 5 |
Electoral Projection | 43.8% | 41.2% | 7.3% | 2.6 | ||
Electoral Vote | 38% | 43% | 11% | 5 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 42.1% | 49.1% | 8.8% | 7 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 37% | 45% | 10.5% | 8 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 36% | 47% | 10% | 11 | ||
Four-way | Electoral Projection | 44.6% | 40.1% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 4.5 |
- Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/
Third-party candidate |
% | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University[89] | October 11–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 4 | 402 | ± 4.9% |
WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana[90] | October 3–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 5 | 600 | ± 4% |
WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana[91] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 7 | 600 | ± 4% |
Monmouth University[92] | August 13–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 11 | 403 | ± 4.9% |
6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 44% | 39.5% | — | 4.5 | |
Election Projection | 45.7% | 41% | 4.7 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 39.4% | 41.6% | 2.2 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 41.7% | 45% | 3.3 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 39.8% | 43.7% | 39.8 | |||
Votamatic | 49.8 | 50.2% | 0.4 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 41% | 40% | 10% | — | 1 |
FiveThirtyEight | 46.2% | 45.2% | 7.4% | 1 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 37.8% | 42.5% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 4.7 |
Election Projection | 38.5% | 40.5% | 7.5% | 1.5% | 2 | |
Real Clear Politics | 38% | 41.7% | 8.3% | 1.7% | 0.2 | |
TPM Polltracker | 38.3 | 43.7% | 6.7% | 2% | 5.4 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Loras College[93] | September 20–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 42% | Tied | 491 | ± 4.4% |
Quinnipiac University[29] | September 13–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 50% | 6 | 612 | ± 4% |
Simpson College/RABA Research[94] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 43% | 1 | 1,054 | ± 3.0% |
Public Policy Polling[95] | August 30–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | 2 | 827 | ± 3.4% |
Quinnipiac University[31] | August 9–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 44% | 3 | 846 | ± 3.4% |
Suffolk University[96] | August 8–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 41% | 1 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[97] | August 3–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 37% | 4 | 899 | ± 3.1% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co.[98] | October 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Loras College[93] | September 20–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 1% | Tied | 491 | ± 4.4% |
Quinnipiac University[29] | September 13–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 2% | 7 | 612 | ± 4% |
Monmouth University[99] | September 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 8 | 404 | ± 4.9% |
Simpson College/RABA Research[94] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 | 1,054 | ± 3.0% |
Emerson College[100] | August 31 – September 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 1% | 5 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
CBS News/YouGov[101] | August 17–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | Tied | 987 | ± 4% |
Quinnipiac University[31] | August 9–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 | 846 | ± 3.4% |
Suffolk University[96] | August 8–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[97] | August 3–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 35% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 6% | Tied | 899 | ± 3.1% |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 36% | 48% | — | 12 | |
Election Projection | 32% | 46.5% | 14.5 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 33% | 46.1% | 13.1 | |||
Real Clear Politics | not yet calculated | |||||
TPM Polltracker | 36.3% | 46.7% | — | 10.4 | ||
Votamatic | 45.1% | 54.9% | 9.8 | |||
Three-way | 270 to Win | 33% | 44% | 8% | — | 11 |
Election Projection | 33% | 44% | 7.5% | 11 | ||
Electoral Vote | 39% | 44% | 8% | 5 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 35.8% | 44% | 7.8% | 8.2 | ||
Real Clear Politics | not yet calculated | |||||
TPM Polltracker | 36.3% | 46.7% | 8% | — | 10.4 | |
Four-way | Election Projection | 33% | 45.5% | 12.5% | 3% | 12.5 |
TPM Polltracker | 36.3% | 46.7% | 8% | 2% | 10.4 |
- Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA/KSN News[102] | August 9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 5 | 566 | ±4.2% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA/KSN News[103] | September 6–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 48% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 12 | 595 | ± 4.1% |
Remington Research Group[104] | August 22–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 7 | 7,769 | ± 1.5 % |
8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 34% | 57% | — | 23 | |
Election Projection | 34.5% | 53% | 18.5 | |||
Real Clear Politics | not yet calculated | |||||
Votamatic | 40.8% | 59.2 | — | 18.4 | ||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 29% | 52% | 7% | — | 23 |
FiveThirtyEight | 39.9% | 52.9% | 5.4% | — | 26.9 | |
Four-way | 270 to Win | 36% | 48% | 7% | 5% | 12 |
Election Projection | 29% | 52% | 7% | 5% | 23 | |
TPM Polltracker | 36% | 49% | 5% | 2% | 13 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bellwether[105] | August 2–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 25% | Donald Trump | 41% | 16 | 508 | ± 4.0% |
8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–41%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 13, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 34% | 47% | — | 13 |
Election Projection | 35.5% | 52% | 16.5 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 34% | 46% | 13 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 34.3% | 46.3% | 12 | ||
Votamatic | 45.1% | 54.9% | 9.8 | ||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 35% | 45% | 6% | 10 |
FiveThirtyEight | 40.2% | 52.5% | 5.7% | 12.3 |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/
Third-party candidate |
% | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Southern Media & Opinion Research[106] | September 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 33% | Donald Trump | 49% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 16 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JMC Analytics[107] | October 11–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 7 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
JMC Analytics[108] | September 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 35% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 10 | 905 | ± 3.3% |
4 electoral votes (Statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st and 2nd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 45% | 38% | — | 7 | |
Election Projection | 46% | 39.5% | 7.5 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 43.4% | 35.8% | 7 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 43.7% | 38.7% | 5 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 46.7% | 39.7% | 7 | |||
Votamatic | 55.8% | 44.2% | 11.6 | |||
Three-way | 270 to Win | 42% | 36% | 11% | — | 6 |
Election Projection | 43.8% | 41.2% | 7.3% | 2.6 | ||
Electoral Vote | 44% | 36% | 9% | 8 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 49.9% | 39.8% | 8.9% | 10.1 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 43.3% | 35.8% | 10% | 7.5 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 44.7% | 40.1% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 4.6 |
Real Clear Politics | 42% | 37.3% | 10% | 3.7% | 4.7 | |
TPM Polltracker | 42.7% | 37.7% | 10% | 4% | 5 |
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maine People's Resource Center[109] | October 7–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49 | Donald Trump | 40% | 9 | 892 | ± 3.3% |
Maine People's Resource Center[110] | September 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 40% | 5 | 835 | ± 3.4% |
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[111] | August 4–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 36% | 10 | 2,046 | ± 2.2% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maine People's Resource Center[109] | October 7–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44 | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 8 | 892 | ± 3.3% |
University of New Hampshire[112] | September 15–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 3% | 4 | 513 | ± 4.3% |
Maine People's Resource Center[110] | September 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 5% | Tied | 835 | ± 3.4% |
Colby College/Boston Globe[113] | September 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 5% | 3 | 779 | ± 3.6% |
Emerson College[40] | September 2–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 2% | 9 | 800 | ± 3.4% |
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[111] | August 4–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 5% | 10 | 2,046 | ± 2.2% |
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 61% | 26% | — | 36 | |
Election Projection | 56% | 32% | 24 | |||
Electoral Vote | 61% | 28% | 33 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 56.2% | 28.7% | 27.5 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 58.3% | 25.7% | 32.6 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 61.3% | 26.3% | 35 | |||
Votamatic | 69.1% | 30.9% | 38.2 | |||
Three-way | 270 to Win | 61% | 26% | 5% | — | 36 |
FiveThirtyEight | 61.1% | 32.3% | 4.9% | 28.8 | ||
Four-way | Real Clear Politics | 58.3% | 25.7% | 5.3% | 2% | 32.6 |
TPM Polltracker | 61.3% | 26.3% | 4.7% | 2% | 35 |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Washington Post/University of Maryland[114] | September 27–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 63% | Donald Trump | 27% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 36 | 706 | ± 4.0% |
Goucher Poll[115] | September 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 58% | Donald Trump | 25% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 33 | 514 | ± 4.3% |
OpinionWorks[116] | August 18–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Donald Trump | 25% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 29 | 754 | ± 3.6% |
11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 56% | 32% | — | 24 | |
Election Projection | 53% | 33% | 20 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 55.3% | 31.8% | 23.5 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 61.3% | 26.3% | 35 | |||
Votamatic | 64.3% | 35.7% | 28.6 | |||
Three-way | 270 to Win | 53% | 30% | 8% | — | 23 |
Electoral Vote | 58% | 26% | 7% | 32 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 57.4% | 33.9% | 7.1% | 23.5 | ||
Four-way | Real Clear Politics | 52% | 30% | 8.3% | 3% | 32 |
TPM Polltracker | 61.3% | 26.3% | 4.7% | 2% | 35 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Western New England University[117] | September 24 – October 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 65% | Donald Trump | 30% | 35 | 403 | ± 5.0% |
WBUR/MassINC[118] | September 7–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 60% | Donald Trump | 31% | 29 | 506 | ± 4.4% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Western New England University[117] | September 24 – October 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 58% | Donald Trump | 26% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 4% | 32 | 403 | ± 5.0% |
UMass Amherst/WBZ Poll[119] | September 15–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 13 | 700 | ± 4.3% |
WBUR/MassINC[118] | September 7–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Donald Trump | 28% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | 26 | 500 | ± 4.3% |
Emerson College[40] | September 3–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 2% | 17 | 500 | ± 4.3% |
16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 46.7% | 35.3% | — | 11.4 | |
Election Projection | 46.7% | 35.3% | 11.4 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 43.5% | 37.2% | 6.3 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 46.7% | 35.3% | 11.4 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 44% | 34.1% | 10.3 | |||
Votamatic | 56.6% | 43.4% | 13.2 | |||
Three-way | Election Projection | 37% | 33% | 12% | — | 4 |
Electoral Vote | 42% | 31% | 10% | 11 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 50.3% | 41.2% | 72% | 9.1 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 44.4% | 33.4% | 8.7% | 11 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 44.7% | 33.8% | — | 4.5% | 10.9 | |
Four-way | 270 to Win | 44% | 33% | 9% | 4% | 11 |
Election Projection | 44% | 33.3% | 9% | 4% | 10.7 | |
Real Clear Politics | 44% | 33.3% | 9% | 4% | 10.7 | |
TPM Polltracker | 44.7% | 33.8% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 10.9 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Detroit News[120] | October 10–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 33% | 14 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[121] | September 27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 44% | 5 | 1,956 | ± 2.2% |
EPIC-MRA[122] | September 10–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 38% | 4 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[123] | September 6–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | 940 | ± 3.2% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[124] | August 9–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 39% | 10 | 1,314 | ± 2.7% |
EPIC-MRA[125] | July 30 – August 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 36% | 10 | 600 | ± 4% |
- Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target Insyght[126] | September 18–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 5 | 600 | ± 4% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[127] | October 11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 4% | 10 | 1,429 | ± 2.59% |
Detroit News[120] | October 10–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 31% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 5% | 11 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
EPIC-MRA[128] | October 1–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 32% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 3% | 11 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
The Detroit News/WDIV-TV[129] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 7 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[121] | September 27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 1% | 5 | 1,956 | ± 2.2% |
EPIC-MRA[122] | September 10–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 4% | 3 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[123] | September 6–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | 6 | 940 | ± 3.2% |
Emerson College[130] | August 25–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 5 | 800 | ± 3.4% |
Suffolk University[131] | August 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 3% | 7 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[124] | August 9–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 5% | 11 | 1,314 | ± 2.7% |
EPIC-MRA[125] | July 30 – August 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 32% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 11 | 600 | ± 4% |
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 47% | 41% | — | 6 | |
Election Projection | 45.3% | 41.3% | 4 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 44% | 38.5% | 5.5 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 45.3% | 41.3% | 4 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 45% | 43% | 2 | |||
Votamatic | 55% | 45% | 10 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 45% | 39% | 6% | 6 | |
FiveThirtyEight | 50% | 42.2% | 6.5% | 7.8 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 45% | 38.5% | 6% | 2% | 6.5 |
Real Clear Politics | 44.3% | 40% | 5.3% | 2% | 4.3 | |
TPM Polltracker | 43.3% | 41.3% | 4.7% | 2% | 2 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV[132] | September 16–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 43% | 6 | 625 | ± 4% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[133] | September 23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | Tied | 906 | ± 3.3% |
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV[132] | September 16–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 7 | 625 | ± 4% |
Star Tribune[134] | September 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 | 625 | ± 4% |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 46% | 48% | — | 2 | |
Election Projection | 42.5% | 51% | 8.5 | |||
Real Clear Politics | not yet calculated | |||||
TPM Polltracker | 39% | 54% | — | 15 | ||
Votamatic | 46.5% | 53.5% | 7 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 43% | 46% | 4% | — | 3 |
FiveThirtyEight | 41.8% | 53.4% | 3.2% | — | 11.6 | |
Real Clear Politics | not yet calculated | |||||
Four-way | 270 to Win | not yet calculated | ||||
Election Projection | 41% | 49% | 3.5% | 2% | 8 | |
Real Clear Politics | not yet calculated |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Magellan Strategies[135] | August 11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 54% | 15 | 1,084 | ± 2.9% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Magellan Strategies[135] | August 11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 52% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 0% | 13 | 1,084 | ± 2.9% |
10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49.4%–49.2%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 15, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 38.5% | 46.5% | — | 8 | |
Election Projection | 36.7% | 47.3% | 10.6 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 38.1% | 45.3% | 7.2 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 38.5% | 46.5% | 8 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 41.7% | 46.4% | 4.7 | |||
Votamatic | 47.7% | 52.3% | 4.6 | |||
Three-way | Election Projection | 42.5% | 44% | 6.5% | — | 1.5 |
Electoral Vote | 43% | 44% | 8% | 1 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 43.6% | 48.5% | 6.4% | 4.5 | ||
Real Clear Politics | 38.5% | 46.5% | 5.3% | 8 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 41.6% | 46.6% | 4.5% | 5 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 37.8% | 47% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 9.2 |
Election Projection | 41.5% | 46.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.5 | |
Real Clear Politics | 38.5% | 46.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 8 | |
TPM Polltracker | 40.7% | 47.3% | 4.7% | 1% | 6.6 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[136] | August 26–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 47% | 6 | 1,055 | ± 3.0% |
Public Policy Polling[137] | August 8–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 45% | 3 | 947 | ± 3.2% |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group[138] | September 26–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 49% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 10 | 1,279 | ± 3% |
Monmouth University[139] | August 19–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 1 | 401 | ± 4.9% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group[140] | October 9–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 5 | 2,171 | ± 2.1% |
Monmouth University[141] | October 9–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 | 406 | ± 4.9% |
CBS News/YouGov[142] | September 21–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 9 | 1,087 | ± 3.9% |
Emerson College[21] | September 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 34% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 6% | 13 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
Remington Research Group[143] | September 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 9 | 1,275 | ± 3% |
Remington Research Group[144] | August 5–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 | 1,280 | ± 3% |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–42%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 15, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 37% | 48% | — | 11 | |
Votamatic | 42.7% | 57.3% | 14.6 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 31% | 44% | 14% | — | 13 |
FiveThirtyEight | 40% | 49.4% | 9.1% | 9.4 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 31% | 44% | 14% | 5% | 13 |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon[145] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 10 | 1,003 | ± 3.2% |
5 electoral votes (Statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st, 2nd, and 3rd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of October 15, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | Election Projection | 36.5% | 48.5% | — | 12 | |
Huffpost Pollster | 34.4% | 51% | 16.6 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 28.7% | 56% | 27.3 | |||
Votamatic | 39.9% | 60.1% | 20.2 | |||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 29% | 56% | 7% | — | 27 |
FiveThirtyEight | 37.4% | 53.2% | 7.7% | 15.8 | ||
Four-way | Election Projection | 30.5% | 49% | 11% | 3% | 18.5 |
TPM Polltracker | 29% | 56% | 7% | 1% | 27 |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[146] | September 25–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 29% | Donald Trump | 56% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | 27 | 700 | ± 3.6% |
6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
Aggregate polls Poll numbers verified as of September 13, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Darrell Castle IAPN (Constitution) |
Rocky de la Fuente Unafilliated (ADP/ Reform) |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 45.5% | 42.8% | — | 2.7 | |||
Election Projection | 46.5% | 43.5% | 3.0 | |||||
HuffPost Pollster | 42.9% | 41.8% | 1.1 | |||||
Real Clear Politics | 43.3% | 41.8% | 1.5 | |||||
TPM Polltracker | 45.0% | 43.3% | 1.7 | |||||
Votamatic | 50.4% | 49.6% | 0.8 | |||||
Three-way | Election Projection | 43.5 | 41.5 | 4.5 | — | 2 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | 46.2% | 44.1% | 8.4% | 2.1 | ||||
Real Clear Politics | 42.8% | 41.2% | 6.4% | 1.6 | ||||
TPM Polltracker | 43.7% | 41.7% | 4.7% | 2.0 | ||||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 41.7% | 40.3% | 8.3% | 4.5% | — | 1.4 | |
Election Projection | 40.5% | 39.5% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.5 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 42.0% | 41.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.5 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 43% | 41% | 4% | 3% | 2 | |||
Five-way | TPM Polltracker | 44% | 42% | 5% | — | 1% | 1% | 2 |
Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/ORC[147] | October 10–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 46% | 4 | 698 | ± 3.5% |
Clarity Campaign Labs[148] | October 10–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 43% | Tied | 1,010 | ± 3.1% |
Public Policy Polling[149] | October 10–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 43% | 4 | 986 | ± 3.1% |
Fox News[150] | September 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 46% | 4 | 704 | ± 3.5% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[151] | September 10–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 46% | 3 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 44% | 1 | 627 | ± 3.9% |
Public Policy Polling[152] | September 6–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 42% | 3 | 815 | ± 3.4% |
Three-way
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/ORC[147] | October 10–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 2 | 698 | ± 3.5% |
CBS News/YouGov[153] | October 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 6 | 996 | ± 4.5% |
JMC Analytics/8 News NOW[154] | October 10–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 2 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Public Opinion Strategies[155] | October 11–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 6 | 600 | ± 4% |
UNLV/Hart Research[156] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 3 | 700 | ± 3.8% |
Las Vegas Review-Journal/Bendixen & Amandi International[157] | September 27–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 1 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Fox News[150] | September 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 3 | 704 | ± 3.5% |
KTNV/Rasmussen Reports[158] | September 16–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 3 | 800 | ± 4% |
Insights West[13] | September 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 3 | 398 | ± 4.9% |
Monmouth University[159] | September 11–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 2 | 406 | ± 4.9% |
Suffolk [160][161][162] | August 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 2 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[11] | October 2–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | Tied | 700 | ± 3.6% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[151] | September 10–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | Tied | 400 | ± 4.9% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 | 627 | ± 3.9% |
CBS News/YouGov[17] | August 2–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 | 993 | ± 4.6% |
Five-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | IAPN | % | Unaffiliated | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University[163] | September 27–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Darrell Castle | 1% | Rocky De La Fuente | 1% | 6 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Suffolk University[160][161][162] | August 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43.8% | Donald Trump | 41.6% | Gary Johnson | 4.8% | Darrell Castle | 1% | Rocky De La Fuente | 1% | 2.2 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of August 24, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 46.8% | 34.5% | — | 12.3 | |
Election Projection | 45% | 35.5% | 9.5 | |||
Electoral Vote | 43% | 37% | 6 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 42.5% | 35.7% | 6.8 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 43.3% | 36% | 7.4 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 44.3% | 34.7% | 9.6 | |||
Votamatic | 55.3% | 44.8% | 10.5 | |||
Three-way | ||||||
FiveThirtyEight | 43.5% | 38% | 8.2% | — | 4.5 | |
Real Clear Politics | 43% | 35% | 7.7% | 8 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 43.7% | 34.3% | 7% | 9.4 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 44.3% | 33% | 8% | 3% | 11.3 |
Election Projection | 46% | 34% | 6.5% | 3% | 12 | |
Real Clear Politics | 43% | 35% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 8 | |
TPM Polltracker | 43.7% | 34.3% | 7% | 3% | 9.4 |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MassInc/WBUR[164] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | 501 | ± 4.4% |
Public Policy Polling[165] | October 7-9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 37% | 11 | 600 | ± 4% |
MassInc/WBUR[166] | September 27–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 38% | 9 | 502 | ± 4.4% |
GBA Strategies[167] | September 25–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 40% | 6 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 41% | 1 | 737 | ± 3.6% |
Public Policy Polling[168] | August 30–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | 585 | ± 4.1% |
Public Policy Polling[169] | August 26–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 40% | 6 | 977 | ± 3.1% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[170] | August 20–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 36% | 9 | 433 | ± 4.7% |
Public Policy Polling[52] | August 5–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 37% | 13 | 802 | ± 3.5% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MassInc/WBUR[164] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 3% | 3 | 501 | ± 4.4% |
UMass Lowell/7News[171] | October 7–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 | 517 | ± 4.9% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe[172] | October 3–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
MassInc/WBUR[166] | September 27–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 13% | Jill Stein | 4% | 7 | 502 | ± 4.4% |
GBA Strategies[167] | September 25–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 4% | 7 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
American Research Group[173] | September 20–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 522 | ± 4.2% |
Monmouth University[174] | September 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 1% | 9 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 15% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 | 737 | ± 3.6% |
Emerson College[40] | September 3–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 14% | Jill Stein | 4% | 5 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
WMUR/University of New Hampsire[170] | August 20–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 32% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 4% | 11 | 433 | ± 4.7% |
CBS News/YouGov[69] | August 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 3% | 9 | 990 | ± 4.3% |
Vox Populi[175] | August 7–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 31% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 3% | 10 | 820 | ± 3.4% |
14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stockton College[176] | September 22–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 40% | 6 | 638 | ± 3.9% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rutgers-Eagleton[177] | September 6–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 29% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 4% | 21 | 735 | ± 3.8% |
Emerson College[40] | September 2–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 800 | ± 3.4% |
5 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research & Polling Inc[178] | September 27–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 34% | 10 | 501 | ± 4.4% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA[179] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 14% | Jill Stein | 2% | 13 | 594 | ± 4.1% |
Research & Polling Inc[178] | September 27–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 35% | Donald Trump | 31% | Gary Johnson | 24% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 501 | ± 4.4% |
Public Policy Polling[180] | August 19–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 31% | Gary Johnson | 16% | Jill Stein | 4% | 9 | 1,103 | ± 3% [181] |
29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist[182] | September 21–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 57% | Donald Trump | 33% | 24 | 676 | ± 3.8% |
Siena College[183] | August 7–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 57% | Donald Trump | 27% | 30 | 717 | ± 4.3% |
Gravis Marketing[184] | August 4–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Donald Trump | 36% | 17 | 1,717 | ±2.4% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian Independence |
% | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist[182] | September 21–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Donald Trump | 31% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 5% | 21 | 676 | ± 3.8% |
Siena College[185] | September 11–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 30% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 21 | 600 | ± 5.0% |
Emerson College[186] | August 28–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 18 | 800 | ± 3.4% |
Siena College[183] | August 7–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 25% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 6% | 25 | 717 | ± 4.3% |
Gravis Marketing[184] | August 4–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 4% | 14 | 1,717 | ±2.4% |
15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/ORC[187] | October 10–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 48% | 2 | 788 | ± 3.5% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[188] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 43% | 5 | 743 | ± 3.6% |
Bloomberg/Selzer[189] | September 29 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 45% | 1 | 805 | ± 3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[45] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 46% | 3 | 507 | ± 4.4% |
Public Policy Polling[27] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 45% | 4 | 861 | ± 3.3% |
Fox News[190] | September 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 47% | 5 | 734 | ± 3.9% |
Public Policy Polling[191] | September 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 47% | Tied | 1,024 | ± 3.1% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[151] | September 10–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 45% | 3 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
Quinnipiac University[49] | August 29 – September 7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 43% | 4 | 751 | ± 3.6% |
Public Policy Polling[192] | August 26–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 44% | 1 | 1,177 | |
CNN/ORC[193] | August 18–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 47% | 1 | 803 | ± 3.5% |
Gravis Marketing[194] | August 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 43% | 1 | 723 | ± 3.6% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[32] | August 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 39% | 9 | 921 | ± 3.2% |
Public Policy Polling[195] | August 5–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 46% | 1 | 830 | ± 3.4% |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/
Third-party candidate |
% | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/ORC[187] | October 10–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 1 | 788 | ± 3.5% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[188] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 4 | 743 | ± 3.6% |
Suffolk University[196] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 2 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
High Point University[197] | October 1–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 1 | 479 | ± 4.5% |
WRAL-TV/SurveyUSA[198] | September 29 – October 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 2 | 656 | ± 3.9% |
Quinnipiac University[45] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 3 | 507 | ± 4.4% |
Public Policy Polling[27] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 2 | 861 | ± 3.3% |
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[199] | September 23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 1 | 694 | ± 3.7% |
Meredith College[200] | September 18–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 3 | 487 | ± 4.43% |
High Point University[201] | September 17–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 1 | 404 | ± 4.9% |
Fox News[190] | September 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 5 | 734 | ± 3.5% |
Public Policy Polling[191] | September 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 2 | 1,024 | ± 3.1% |
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[202] | September 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Tied | 782 | ± 3.6% |
Civitas[203] | September 11–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Tied | 600 | ± 4% |
Suffolk University[204] | September 5–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 3 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Quinnipiac University[49] | August 29 – September 7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 15% | 4 | 751 | ± 3.6% |
Monmouth University[205] | August 20–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 2 | 401 | ± 4.9% |
CNN/ORC[193] | August 18–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Tied | 803 | ± 3.5% |
Civitas/SurveyUSA[206] | July 31 – August 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 4 | 400 | ± 5.0% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[207] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 3% | 4 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
Bloomberg/Selzer[189] | September 29 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 1 | 805 | ± 3.5% |
Elon University[208] | September 27–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 0% | 6 | 660 | ± 3.81% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[151] | September 10–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 4 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
Elon University[209] | September 12–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 0% | 1 | 644 | ± 3.86% |
CBS News/YouGov[210] | August 30 – September 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 1,088 | ± 4% |
Emerson College[211] | August 27–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 | 800 | ± 3.4% |
Gravis Marketing[194] | August 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 2% | 1 | 723 | ± 3.6% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[32] | August 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 2% | 9 | 921 | ± 3.2% |
Public Policy Polling[195] | August 5–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 | 830 | ± 3.4% |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–39%
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green Party | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DFM Research[212] | September 12–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 32% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 1% | 11 | 400 | 4.9% |
18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[188] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 45% | Tied | 724 | ± 3.6% |
Baldwin Wallace University[213] | October 9–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 38% | 10 | 1,152 | ± 3% |
Public Policy Polling[214] | October 5–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 47% | 1 | 872 | ± 3.5% |
TargetSmart/William and Mary[215] | October 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | 812 | ± % |
Anzalone Liszt Grove[216] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | 800 | ± 3.46% |
Quinnipiac University[45] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 49% | 3 | 497 | ± 4.4% |
Target Smart/William & Mary[217] | September 15–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 40% | 3 | 652 | ± % |
Fox News[218] | September 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 45% | 5 | 737 | ± 3.5% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[151] | September 10–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 46% | Tied | 400 | ± 4.9% |
Bloomberg/Selzer[219] | September 9–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 48% | 5 | 802 | ± 3.5% |
CNN/ORC[220] | September 7–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 50% | 4 | 769 | ± 3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[49] | August 29 – September 7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 46% | 1 | 775 | ± 3.5% |
Public Policy Polling[221] | August 26–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | 4 | 1,134 | ± 2.9% |
OnMessage[222] | August 13–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 45% | Tied | 600 | ± 4.0% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[97] | August 3–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 38% | 5 | 889 | ± 3.1% |
Quinnipiac University[53] | July 30 – August 7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 45% | 4 | 812 | ± 3.4% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[188] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | 1 | 724 | ± 3.6% |
Emerson College[207] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
Baldwin Wallace University[213] | October 9–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 3% | 9 | 1,152 | ± 3% |
CBS News/YouGov[223] | October 5–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 997 | ± 3.9% |
Public Policy Polling[214] | October 5–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 1 | 872 | ± 3.5% |
TargetSmart/William and Mary[215] | October 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 812 | ± % |
Monmouth University[224] | October 1–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 405 | ± 4.9% |
Anzalone Liszt Grove[216] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 800 | ± 3.46% |
Quinnipiac University[45] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 5 | 497 | ± 4.4% |
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[225] | September 22–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 1 | 850 | ± 3.4% |
Target Smart/William & Mary[217] | September 15–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 3 | 652 | ± % |
Fox News[218] | September 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 | 737 | ± 3.5% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[151] | September 10–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 4% | 2 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
Bloomberg/Selzer[219] | September 9–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 3% | 5 | 802 | ± 3.5% |
CNN/ORC[220] | September 7–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 46% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 | 769 | ± 3.5% |
CBS News/YouGov[226] | September 7–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 7 | 994 | ± 3.9% |
Quinnipiac University[49] | August 29 – September 7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 14% | Jill Stein | 4% | 4 | 775 | ± 3.5% |
Emerson College[130] | August 25–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 2% | Tied | 800 | ± 3.4% |
Monmouth University[227] | August 18–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | <1% | 4 | 402 | ± 4.9% |
CBS News/YouGov[101] | August 17–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 | 997 | ± 3.9% |
OnMessage[222] | August 13–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | Tied | 600 | ± 4.0% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[97] | August 3–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 4% | 4 | 889 | ± 3.1% |
Quinnipiac University[53] | July 30 – August 7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 | 812 | ± 3.4% |
Five-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Independent | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University[228] | September 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | Richard Duncan | 1% | 3 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 67%–33%
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/
Third-party candidate |
% | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SoonerPoll[229] | September 13–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 51% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 15 | 515 | ± 4.32% |
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KATU-TV/SurveyUSA[230] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 4% | 10 | 654 | ± 3.9% |
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[231] | October 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 8 | 1,248 | ± 2.8% |
Hoffman Research[232] | September 29 – October 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 12 | 605 | ± 4% |
iCitizen[233] | September 2–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 28% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 3% | 15 | 610 | ± 4.0% |
DHM Research[234] | September 1–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 25% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 3% | 13 | 517 | ± 4.3% |
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Selzer[235] | October 7–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 42% | 9 | 806 | ± 3.5% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[43] | October 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 39% | 12 | 709 | ± 3.7% |
Quinnipiac University[45] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 43% | 5 | 535 | ± 4.2% |
Public Policy Polling[27] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 44% | 5 | 886 | ± 3.3% |
CNN/ORC[236] | September 20–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 47% | 3 | 771 | ± 3.5% |
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[237] | September 19–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 41% | 3 | 486 | ± 5.0% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[151] | September 10–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 42% | 9 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[238] | September 12–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 38% | 9 | 405 | ± 5.5% |
Quinnipiac University[49] | August 29 – September 7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 43% | 5 | 778 | ± 3.5% |
Public Policy Polling[239] | August 30–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | 814 | ± 3.4% |
GBA Strategies[240] | August 21–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 43% | 5 | 1,200 | ± 4.4% |
Public Policy Polling[241] | August 26–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 43% | 5 | 1,194 | ± % |
Franklin & Marshall College[242] | August 25–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 40% | 7 | 496 | ± 5.6% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[97] | August 3–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 37% | 11 | 834 | ± 3.1% |
Quinnipiac University[53] | July 30 – August 7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Donald Trump | 42% | 10 | 815 | ± 3.4% |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GBA Strategies[240] | August 21–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 6 | 1,200 | ± 4.4% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Selzer[235] | October 7–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 4% | 9 | 806 | ± 3.5% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc[243] | October 4–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 764 | ± 3.5% |
CBS News/YouGov[223] | October 5–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 8 | 997 | ± 4.2% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[43] | October 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 4% | 12 | 709 | ± 3.7% |
Monmouth University[244] | September 30 – October 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 10 | 402 | ± 4.9% |
Franklin & Marshall College[245] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 0% | 9 | 496 | ± 6.1% |
Quinnipiac University[45] | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 | 535 | ± 4.2% |
Public Policy Polling[27] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 | 886 | ± 3.3% |
CNN/ORC[236] | September 20–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 | 771 | ± 3.5% |
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[246] | September 23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 3% | 3 | 949 | ± 3.2% |
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[237] | September 19–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 | 486 | ± 5.0% |
Mercyhurst University[247] | September 12–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 | 420 | ± 4.8% |
Harper Polling[248] | September 21–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[151] | September 10–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 8 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[238] | September 12–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 32% | Gary Johnson | 14% | Jill Stein | 5% | 8 | 405 | ± 5.5% |
Quinnipiac University[49] | August 29 – September 7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 5 | 778 | ± 3.5% |
CBS News/YouGov[249] | August 30 – September 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 8 | 1,091 | ± 4.1% |
Monmouth University[250] | August 26–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 1% | 8 | 402 | ± 4.9% |
Franklin & Marshall College[242] | August 25–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 3 | 736 | ± 4.6% |
Emerson College[130] | August 25–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 3 | 800 | ± 3.4% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[97] | August 3–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 9 | 834 | ± 3.1% |
Quinnipiac University[53] | July 30 – August 7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 9 | 815 | ± 3.4% |
Susquehanna/ABC27 News[251] | July 31 – August 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 9 | 772 | ± 3.53% |
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[11] | October 2–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Donald Trump | 32% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 5% | 20 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
Emerson College[40] | September 2–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 4% | 3 | 800 | ± 3.4% |
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Feldman[252] | August 18–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 45% | 2 | 600 | ± 4% |
Gravis Marketing[253] | August 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 46% | 4 | 768 | ± 3.5% |
- Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Starboard Communications[254] | September 7–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 35% | Donald Trump | 48% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 13 | 600 | ± 4.8% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winthrop University[255] | September 18–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 3% | 4 | 475 | ± 4.5% |
Trafalgar Group[256] | September 6–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 53% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 15 | 1,247 | ± 2.77% |
First Tuesday Strategies[257] | August 30 – September 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 50% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 12 | 775 | ± 3.5% |
Feldman[252] | August 18–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | Tied | 600 | ± 4% |
Gravis Marketing[253] | August 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 4 | 768 | ± 3.5% |
Public Policy Polling[258] | August 9–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 | 1,290 | ± 2.7% |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–40%
No polls conducted yet
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 59%–39%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MTSU[259] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 50% | 10 | 472 | ± 5.0% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MTSU[259] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 50% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 12 | 472 | ± 5.0% |
Vanderbilt University[260] | September 19 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 33% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | 11 | 1000 | ± 3.4% |
38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of August 24, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Evan McMullin Independent |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 39.5% | 48% | — | 8.5 | ||
Election Projection | 39.5% | 48% | 8.5 | ||||
HuffPost Pollster | 37% | 39% | 2 | ||||
Real Clear Politics | 37.3% | 45.7% | 8.4 | ||||
TPM Polltracker | 41% | 48.7% | 7.7 | ||||
Votamatic | 44.3% | 55.7% | 11.4 | ||||
Three-way | Electoral Vote | 37% | 45% | 3% | — | 8 | |
FiveThirtyEight | 35.5% | 42.7 | 5.6% | 7.2 | |||
Real Clear Politics | not yet calculated | ||||||
TPM Polltracker | 32% | 39% | 7% | — | 7 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 38% | 44% | 6% | 2% | — | 6 |
Election Projection | 38% | 44% | 6% | 2% | 6 | ||
Real Clear Politics | not yet calculated | ||||||
Five-way | TPM Polltracker |
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Lyceum[261] | September 1–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 42% | 6 | 502 | ± 4.37% |
Public Policy Polling[262] | August 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 50% | 6 | 944 | ± 3.2% |
KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Poll[263] | August 8–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 35% | Donald Trump | 46% | 11 | 1,018 | ± 3.1% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA/TEGNA[264] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 47% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 638 | ± 4.0% |
KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Poll[265] | September 29 – October 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 7 | 780 | ± 3.5% |
Texas Lyceum[261] | September 1–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 32% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 7 | 502 | ±4.37% |
Emerson College[266] | September 7–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 6% | 6 | 700 | ±3.6% |
Five-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Independent | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[262] | August 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | Evan McMullin | 0% | 6 | 944 | ± 3.2% |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 73%–25%
- Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified as of August 24, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Darrell Castle Constitution |
Evan McMullin Independent |
Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 29% | 45% | — | 16 | |||
Election Projection | 31.3% | 37.7% | 6.4 | |||||
HuffPost Pollster | 26.5% | 36.3% | 10.1 | |||||
Real Clear Politics | not yet calculated | |||||||
TPM Polltracker | 30.3% | 47.7% | — | 17.4 | ||||
Votamatic | 40.6% | 59.4% | 19.2 | |||||
Three-way | Election Projection | 26% | 29% | 16% | — | 3 | ||
Electoral Vote | 24% | 39% | 12% | |||||
FiveThirtyEight | 27.3% | 36.3% | 13.5% | 9 | ||||
Real Clear Politics | not yet calculated | |||||||
TPM Polltracker | 25% | 37% | 16% | — | 12 | |||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 24.5% | 38.0% | 14% | 1% | — | 13.5 | |
Election Projection | 24.5% | 38% | 14% | 1% | 13.5 | |||
Real Clear Politics | not yet calculated | |||||||
TPM Polltracker | 25% | 37% | 16% | 1% | — | 12 | ||
Six-way | TPM Polltracker | not yet calculated |
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[267] | August 19–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 33% | Donald Trump | 53% | 20 | 1,018 | ± 3.1% |
- Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Independent | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Y2 Analytics[268] | October 10–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 26% | Donald Trump | 26% | Gary Johnson | 14% | Evan McMullin | 22% | Tied | 500 | ± 4.4% |
- Five-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Independent | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen/Pulse Opinion Research[269] | October 15-16 | Hillary Clinton | 28% | Donald Trump | 30% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 29% | 1 | 750 | ± 4.0% |
CBS News/YouGov[270] | October 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 20% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 20% | 17 | 951 | ± 5.7% |
Monmouth University[271] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 28% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 20% | 6 | 403 | ± 4.9% |
Dan Jones & Associates[272] | September 12–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 25% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 13% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 12% | 9 | 820 | ± 3.4% |
- Six-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Constitution | % | Independent | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates[273] | September 1–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 24% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 13% | Jill Stein | 0% | Darrell Castle | 2% | Evan McMullin | 9% | 15 | 605 | ± 3.98% |
Public Policy Polling[267] | August 19–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 24% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 5% | Darrell Castle | 2% | Evan McMullin | 9% | 15 | 1,018 | ± 3.1% |
3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
(Democratic in 2012) 67%–31%
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[40] | September 2–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 26% | Gary Johnson | 13% | Jill Stein | 7% | 21 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hampton University[274] | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 34% | 12 | 800 | ± 4.4% |
Public Policy Polling[27] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 43% | 6 | 811 | ± 3.4% |
Christopher Newport University[275] | September 15–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 38% | 10 | 1,003 | ± 3.9% |
Quinnipiac University[29] | September 13–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 43% | 7 | 659 | ± 3.8% |
Roanoke College[276] | September 11–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 40% | 11 | 841 | ± 3.4% |
University of Mary Washington[277] | September 6–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | 685 | ± 4.4% |
Public Policy Polling[278] | September 9–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 42% | 8 | 878 | ± 3.3% |
Hampton University[279] | August 24–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 41% | 2 | 801 | ± 4.7% |
Roanoke College[280] | August 7–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 55% | Donald Trump | 36% | 19 | 803 | ± 3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[31] | August 9–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 38% | 12 | 808 | ± 3.5% |
Washington Post[281] | August 11–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 43% | 8 | 707 | ± 4.5% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[32] | August 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 33% | 13 | 897 | ± 3.3% |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/
Third-party candidate |
% | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[207] | October 10–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 3 | 600 | ± 3.9% |
CBS News/YouGov[17] | August 2–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 12 | 1,181 | ± 3.7% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[27] | September 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | 6 | 811 | ± 3.4% |
CBS News/YouGov[282] | September 21–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | 8 | 1,237 | ± 3.3% |
Quinnipiac University[29] | September 13–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 1% | 6 | 659 | ± 3.8% |
Roanoke College[276] | September 11–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 1% | 7 | 841 | ± 3.4% |
Public Policy Polling[278] | September 9–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 | 878 | ± 3.3% |
Emerson College[100] | August 30 – September 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 | 800 | ± 3.4% |
Roanoke College[280] | August 7–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 32% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 16 | 803 | ± 3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[31] | August 9–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 5% | 11 | 808 | ± 3.5% |
Washington Post[281] | August 11–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 7 | 707 | ± 4.5% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[32] | August 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 31% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 5% | 12 | 897 | ± 3.3% |
Five-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Independent | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Christopher Newport University[283] | October 11–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 29% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 2% | Evan McMullin | 3% | 15 | 809 | ± 3.6% |
Roanoke College[284] | October 2–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 1% | 9 | 814 | ± 3.4% |
Christopher Newport University[285] | September 27–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 2% | 7 | 892 | ± 3.7% |
Christopher Newport University[275] | September 15–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 15% | Jill Stein | 3% | Evan McMullin | 3% | 6 | 1,003 | ± 3.9% |
University of Mary Washington[277] | September 6–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 1% | Evan McMullin | 3% | 3 | 685 | ± 4.4% |
12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%
Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strategies 360[286] | September 29 – October 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 33% | 17 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strategies 360[286] | September 29 – October 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 31% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 4% | 16 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
Emerson College[146] | September 25–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 5% | 6 | 700 | ± 3.6% |
Insights West[13] | September 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 32% | Gary Johnson | 16% | Jill Stein | 6% | 12 | 505 | ± 4.4% |
Elway Poll[287] | August 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 24% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 4% | 19 | 500 | ± 4.5% |
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%
- Two-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Garin-Hart-Yang[288] | September 13–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 28% | Donald Trump | 60% | 32 | 500 | ± 5.0% |
- Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/
Third-party candidate |
% | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Just Win Strategies[289] | September 8–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 30% | Donald Trump | 57% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 27 | 600 | ± 4% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green Party | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Repass Research[290] | August 9–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 31% | Donald Trump | 49% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 4% | 18 | 386 | 4.7% |
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marquette University[291] | October 6–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | 4 | 878 | ± 3.9% |
Marquette University[292] | September 15–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | 2 | 677 | ± 4.8% |
Public Policy Polling[293] | August 26–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 41% | 7 | 1,054 | |
Marquette University[294] | August 25–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 42% | 3 | 615 | ± 5.0% |
Marquette University[295] | August 4–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 36% | 10 | 805 | ± 4.6% |
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marquette University[291] | October 6–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 7 | 878 | ± 3.9% |
Loras College[296] | October 5–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 8 | 500 | ± 4.4% |
CBS News/YouGov[223] | October 5–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 993 | ± 4.3% |
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[297] | October 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 8 | 1,102 | ± 3.0% |
Emerson College[87] | September 19–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 2% | 7 | 700 | ± 3.6% |
Marquette University[292] | September 15–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 2% | 3 | 677 | ± 4.8% |
Monmouth University[298] | August 27–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 5 | 404 | ± 4.9% |
Marquette University[294] | August 25–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 4% | 3 | 615 | ± 5.0% |
Marquette University[295] | August 4–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 4% | 9 | 805 | ± 4.6% |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%
(Republican in 2012) 69%–28%
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green Party | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DFM Research[299] | September 6–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 19% | Donald Trump | 54% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 2% | 35 | 402 | 4.9% |
See also
- General election polling
- Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016
- International opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016
- Democratic primary polling
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2016 presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
- Republican primary polling
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2016 presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016
- Older polling
Notes
- ^ These results only reflect polls done on or after August 1, 2016.
References
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{{cite web}}
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(help); Text "http://idahopoliticsweekly.com/politics/1277-poll-clinton-gaining-on-trump-in-idaho" ignored (help) - ^ "Idaho Presidential Race: Trump 44%, Clinton 23%, Johnson 13%". Dan Jones & Associates. Idaho Politics Weekly. September 5, 2016. Retrieved September 5, 2016.
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