2018 United States Senate election in Utah
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Elections in Utah |
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The 2018 United States Senate election in Utah will take place November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Utah, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
Background
Process
Utah's 2018 U.S. Senate candidates have dual routes toward placement on the primary election ballot: (1) eligibility via win or second-place showings at a convention of delegates selected from party local caucuses; and/or (2) eligibility via obtaining sufficient petition signatures.
Taking the traditional route, the top two candidates for the U.S. Senate at any of the party state conventions (to be held this year the latter part of April) will be placed on the June 26 primary election ballot. Also, any candidate who collects 28,000 ballot-access petition signatures will be placed on the primary ballot.
If no competitor will have achieved the above-mentioned alternate access to the primary ballot through collected signatures and a convention winner had achieved sixty-percent of delegate votes, this candidate straightaway receives his or her party's nomination solely via the older-style caucuses-convention system. Otherwise, a candidate will be nominated through receiving a plurality of votes in the primary election and thereby advance to the November general election.
Incumbent Orrin Hatch is not seeking reelection.[1]
Hatch to retire
Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Orrin Hatch was reelected to a seventh term in 2012. During his 2012 reelection campaign, Hatch had pledged that if he were elected that it would be his last term.[2] Hatch won his first election in 1976 in part by criticizing the incumbent's 18-year tenure. Hatch initially announced a re-election campaign on March 9, 2017,[3][4][5][6] though he also said at that time that he might withdraw from the race if Mitt Romney decided to run.[7] An August 19–21, 2016, poll conducted by Public Policy Polling found only 19% of voters wanted Hatch to run in 2018, while 71% wanted him to retire.[8] On October 27, 2017, Hatch reportedly told friends privately that he was going to retire in 2019[9] and on January 2, 2018, made a public announcement of his plans to retire at the end of his current term in January 2019.[1]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Alicia Colvan[10]
- Stoney Fonua[10]
- Chris Forbush, attorney and candidate for the Nevada State Assembly in 2016[11]
- Jeremy Friedbaum[10]
- Timothy Adrian Jimenez, engineer[12]
- Mike Kennedy, State Representative[13]
- Larry Michael Meyers, attorney[14]
- Gayle Painter[10]
- Samuel Parker[10]
- Mitt Romney, former Governor of Massachusetts and Republican nominee for President of the United States in 2012[15][16]
Potential
- John Dougall, State Auditor[17][18]
- Deidre Henderson, State Senator[19]
- Jon Huntsman Jr., U.S. Ambassador to Russia, former U.S. Ambassador to China and former Governor of Utah, and Republican candidate for President of the United States in 2012[20][21][22]
- Mike Leavitt, former Governor, former United States Secretary of Health and Human Services and former Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency[4][23]
- Dan Liljenquist, former State Senator and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[3]
- Daniel McCay, State Representative[24]
- Sean Reyes, Utah Attorney General[19]
- Chris Stewart, U.S. Representative[25]
- Thomas Wright, Republican National Committeeman and former Chair of the Utah Republican Party[4]
Withdrawn
- Orrin Hatch, incumbent U.S. Senator and President pro tempore of the United States Senate[6]
Declined
- Rob Bishop, U.S Representative[26]
- Jason Chaffetz, former U.S. Representative[27]
- Boyd Matheson, former Chief of Staff for Senator Mike Lee[28]
- Mia Love, U.S. Representative (Endorsed Mitt Romney)[29][30]
- Evan McMullin, former congressional staffer, former CIA agent and independent candidate for President of the United States in 2016 (Endorsed Mitt Romney)[29][19]
Endorsements
- U.S. Presidents
- U.S. Senators
- Jeff Flake, U.S. Senator from Arizona[32]
- Lindsey Graham, U.S. Senator from South Carolina and Republican candidate for President of the United States in 2016[33]
- Chuck Grassley, U.S. Senator from Iowa[34]
- Orrin Hatch, U.S. Senator from Utah and President Pro Tempore of the Senate[35]
- Mike Lee, U.S. Senator from Utah[36]
- John McCain, U.S. Senator from Arizona and Republican nominee for President of the United States in 2008[37]
- Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senator from Kentucky and Senate Majority Leader[38]
- Jim Risch, U.S. Senator from Idaho[39]
- Richard Shelby, U.S. Senator from Alabama[40]
- U.S. Representatives
- Jason Chaffetz, former U.S. Representative from Utah's 3rd district[41]
- Mia Love, U.S. Representative from Utah's 4th district[30]
- Paul Ryan, 55th Speaker of the United States House of Representatives, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 1st District, and Romney's running mate in the 2012 presidential election[42]
- U.S. Governors
- Jeb Bush, former Governor of Florida and Republican candidate for President of the United States in 2016[43]
- Gary Herbert, Governor of Utah[44]
- Statewide Officeholders
- Individuals
- Jon Huntsman Sr., businessman and philanthropist[46]
- Evan McMullin, former congressional staffer, former CIA agent and independent candidate for President of the United States in 2016[47]
- Dana Milbank, political commentator[48]
- Kevin D. Williamson, political commentator[49]
- Newspapers and Magazines
Polling
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||
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Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Mitchell Kent Vice, businessman[53]
- Jenny Wilson, Salt Lake County Councilwoman and candidate for Mayor of Salt Lake City in 2007[54]
Withdrew
- James Singer, Salt Lake Community College and Westminster College adjunct professor[55][56]
- Danny Drew, Director of Adult Education for the Duchesne County School District[57][58]
Potential
- Scott Howell, former Minority Leader of the Utah State Senate and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2000 and 2012[59]
- Jim Matheson, former U.S. Representative[60]
Declined
- Ben McAdams, Mayor of Salt Lake County (running for UT-04)[61]
Endorsements
- Statewide & Local Politicians
- Chris McCandless, Sandy City Councilman (R-UT)[62]
- Individuals
- Randy Bryce, Ironworker & Candidate for Wisconsin's 1st congressional district (D-WI)[63]
- James Singer, Salt Lake Community College and Westminster College adjunct professor (D-UT)[56]
- Danny Drew, Director of Adult Education for the Duchesne County School District (D-UT)[58]
- Organizations
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local Union 57[64]
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Craig Bowden, veteran and businessman[65]
Independents
Candidates
Declined
- Jon Huntsman Jr., Ambassador to Russia, former Ambassador to China and Singapore, former Governor of Utah, and Republican candidate for President of the United States in 2012[23][66]
- Evan McMullin, former congressional staffer, former CIA agent and independent candidate for President of the United States in 2016[29][19][67]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[68] | Solid R | September 29, 2017 |
Rothenberg Political Report[69] | Solid R | September 29, 2017 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[70] | Safe R | September 27, 2017 |
Polling
Note: the party affiliations of candidates in the August 30–September 5, 2017 poll by Dan Jones & Associates were not described in the question wording as a result of an oversight by the pollster.
- with Mitt Romney
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitt Romney (R) |
Jenny Wilson (D) |
Other | Undecided |
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Dan Jones & Associates | February 9–16, 2018 | 609 | ± 4.0% | 60% | 14% | 12% | 14% |
Salt Lake Tribune/Hinckley Institute | January 15–18, 2018 | 803 | ± 3.5% | 64% | 19% | — | 12% |
Dan Jones & Associates | November 16–21, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 72% | 21% | — | 7% |
Dan Jones & Associates | August 30–September 5, 2017 | 608 | ± 4.0% | 64% | 26% | — | 10% |
- with Chris Stewart
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Stewart (R) |
Jenny Wilson (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates | August 30–September 5, 2017 | 608 | ± 4.0% | 34% | 30% | 36% |
- with Matt Holland
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Holland (R) |
Jenny Wilson (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates | August 30–September 5, 2017 | 608 | ± 4.0% | 23% | 30% | 47% |
Hypothetical polling | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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References
- ^ a b Martin, Jonathan (January 2, 2018). "Orrin Hatch to Retire from Senate, Opening Path for Mitt Romney". The New York Times. Retrieved January 2, 2018.
- ^ Lederman, Josh (March 14, 2012). "Hatch will retire in 2018 if he wins reelection". The Hill. Retrieved October 20, 2016.
- ^ a b Romboy, Dennis (November 6, 2014). "Sen. Orrin Hatch leaves door ajar for run in 2018". Deseret News. Retrieved October 20, 2016.
- ^ a b c Rolly, Paul (September 23, 2016). "When Hatch said he wouldn't run again, he was just kidding". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved October 20, 2016.
- ^ Everett, Burgess; Palmer, Anna (October 19, 2016). "Hatch may reverse himself and run in 2018". Politico. Retrieved October 20, 2016.
- ^ a b Raju, Manu (March 9, 2017). "First on CNN: After lobbying from Trump, Orrin Hatch plans to run again". CNN. Retrieved March 11, 2017.
- ^ Prignano, Christina (March 31, 2017). "Utah Senator says he may forgo '18 run if Mitt Romney runs for his seat". The Boston Globe. Retrieved April 2, 2017.
- ^ Jensen, Tom (August 24, 2016). "Utah Ready for Hatch to Move On; More Progressive Than You Might Think". Public Policy Polling. Retrieved October 20, 2016.
- ^ Linskey, Annie (October 27, 2017). "A Hatch retirement — and a Romney Senate run — could be inching closer to reality". The Boston Globe. Retrieved January 2, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e Cathcart, Preston (March 14, 2018). "Candidates file for congressional, Utah legislative races". Deseret News. Retrieved March 15, 2018.
- ^ "Op-ed: It's time to invite Sen. Orrin Hatch to come home". DeseretNews.com. 2017-08-07. Retrieved 2017-08-22.
- ^ "Tooelean wants to capture U.S. Senate seat". Retrieved 2018-02-11.
- ^ Davidson, Lee (March 14, 2018). "Mitt Romney again faces a Kennedy in a U.S. Senate race". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved March 15, 2018.
- ^ "St. George attorney announces run for GOP US Senate nomination". StGeorgeUtah.com. January 6, 2018. Retrieved January 10, 2018.
- ^ "Mitt Romney is officially running for U.S. Senate".
- ^ "Mitt Romney is running for Senate in Utah".
- ^ https://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2018-02-14/utah-senate-race-state-auditor-john-dougall-may-challenge-mitt-romney
- ^ Editor, Bryan Schott, Managing. "Report: Dougall may challenge Romney for GOP nomination: 'I think he's beatable'".
{{cite web}}
:|last=
has generic name (help)CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ a b c d Burr, Thomas; Canham, Matt (November 16, 2016). "Sen. Orrin Hatch considers re-election run, Evan McMullin won't rule out his own bid". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved December 4, 2016.
- ^ "Former Utah Governor Huntsman Considers U.S. Senate Run in 2018". Bloomberg. 29 November 2016 – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ "Huntsman Weighing a Senate Run in 2018". Utah Policy. 29 November 2016 – via utahpolicy.com.
- ^ "Former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman mulling 2018 Senate run". Politico. 29 November 2016 – via politico.com.
- ^ a b Schott, Bryan (October 18, 2016). "Hatch, Huntsman Could Make 2018 Senate Race Very Interesting". Utah Policy. Retrieved October 20, 2016.
- ^ Schott, Bryan (January 8, 2018). "McCay reportedly eyeing U.S. Senate run in 2018". utahpolicy.com. Retrieved January 9, 2018.
- ^ Tanner, Courtney (August 23, 2017). "Chris Stewart says he'll seek Senate seat if Orrin Hatch doesn't run for re-election". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved August 28, 2017.
- ^ Bowman, Bridget (April 28, 2017). "Rob Bishop Discounts Prospect of Senate Run". Roll Call. Retrieved April 30, 2017.
- ^ Viebeck, Elise (April 19, 2017). "Chaffetz will leave behind Oversight panel he used to investigate Obama White House". Washington Post. Retrieved April 19, 2017.
- ^ Samuels, Brett (20 November 2017). "Prominent conservative passes on Utah Senate bid". The Hill.
- ^ a b c Rogin, Josh (November 8, 2016). "What is Evan McMullin's endgame?". The Washington Post. Retrieved November 11, 2016.
- ^ a b https://twitter.com/MiaBLove/status/964538056777777152
- ^ https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/965773283554668544
- ^ https://www.nbcnews.com/dateline/video/jeff-flake-wants-mitt-romney-to-run-for-u-s-senate-in-utah-1135112771871
- ^ https://twitter.com/LindseyGrahamSC/status/964526984868003840
- ^ https://twitter.com/ChuckGrassley/status/965399609848877062
- ^ CNN, Andrew Kaczynski,. "Sen. Orrin Hatch: Romney will 'have my support' if he runs for Senate".
{{cite web}}
:|last=
has generic name (help)CS1 maint: extra punctuation (link) CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ http://www.businessinsider.com/orrin-hatch-mike-lee-utah-republicans-trump-mitt-romney-steve-bannon-roy-moore-2017-12
- ^ https://twitter.com/SenJohnMcCain/status/964522559239852033
- ^ https://www.cbsnews.com/video/mitch-mcconnell-were-all-behind-mitt-romney/
- ^ https://www.denverpost.com/2018/02/17/mitt-romney-senate-bid/
- ^ http://yellowhammernews.com/featured/richard-shelby-mitt-romney-u-s-senate-hope-will-run-encourage-run/
- ^ https://www.mediaite.com/online/jason-chaffetz-makes-comical-defense-of-romneys-utah-senate-run-hes-got-a-utah-drivers-license/
- ^ https://twitter.com/PRyan/status/964531082665193472
- ^ Beavers, Olivia (15 January 2018). "Jeb Bush backs Romney for Utah Senate run".
- ^ https://www.sltrib.com/news/politics/2018/01/09/utah-gov-herbert-says-romney-should-run-for-the-senate/
- ^ https://twitter.com/SpencerJCox/status/963942751212470273
- ^ "Jon Huntsman Sr. backs Mitt Romney for Senate, says he'd represent Utah 'very, very well'".
- ^ McMullin, Evan. "Thank you for your service to our state and country, Senator Hatch. In this seat, we must have a leader prepared to meet the challenges of our day and our future. I hope that leader will be @MittRomney.https://twitter.com/senorrinhatch/status/948269165168746497 …".
{{cite web}}
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at position 264 (help) - ^ https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/run-mitt-run/2017/12/29/9cf9279c-ecbb-11e7-b698-91d4e35920a3_story.html
- ^ a b "Romney for Senate".
- ^ https://www.sltrib.com/opinion/editorial/2017/10/22/tribune-editorial-mitt-romney-should-run-for-senate-and-be-a-savior-for-republicans/
- ^ http://thefederalist.com/2017/11/03/7-reasons-mitt-romney-run-senate-utah/
- ^ http://lowellsun.ma.newsmemory.com/publink.php?shareid=07a2fe6b2
- ^ Witham, Joseph (May 22, 2017). "Mitchell Vice joins 2 other Democrats vying for Hatch's Senate seat in 2018". St. George News. Retrieved August 18, 2017.
- ^ Burr, Thomas (July 17, 2017). "SL County Councilwoman Wilson launches 2018 Senate bid, hoping to take on Orrin Hatch". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved July 17, 2017.
- ^ Tribune, Courtney Tanner The Salt Lake. "Navajo candidate announces bid as Democrat for Hatch's seat". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved 2017-05-17.
- ^ a b Breiner, Andrew (June 21, 2017). "Navajo Candidate Drops Out of Race Against Hatch". Roll Call. Retrieved June 21, 2017.
- ^ Schott, Bryan (April 12, 2017). "Another Democrat looking to knock off Hatch in 2018". Utah Policy. Retrieved April 12, 2017.
- ^ a b "Thank You". Danny Drew For U.S. Senate. Retrieved October 2, 2017.
{{cite web}}
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(help) - ^ Schott, Bryan (April 4, 2017). "Howell weighing another challenge to Hatch in 2018". Utah Policy. Retrieved April 10, 2017.
- ^ Schott, Bryan (November 22, 2016). "Utah Democrats Have a Totally Plausible Path to the U.S. Senate in 2018". Utah Policy. Retrieved December 4, 2016.
- ^ "Salt Lake County Mayor Ben McAdams running for Congress | KSL.com". Retrieved 2017-10-19.
- ^ UT, Jenny Wilson for. "R or D, if we care about this country, we've got to work together and put people above party. Thank you, Chris!https://twitter.com/HollyMullen/status/911641841908334592 …".
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at position 169 (help) - ^ UT, Jenny Wilson for. "Thank you for your support, @IronStache! 2018 is going to be a great year!https://twitter.com/IronStache/status/948367564815642629 …".
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at position 131 (help) - ^ http://votevice.com/#ENDORSEMENTS
- ^ Bernick, Bob. "Bishop Holds Vast Lead Over Clemens in Utah's 1st Congressional District". Utah Policy.
- ^ Kapur, Sahil (November 28, 2016). "Former Utah Governor Huntsman Considers U.S. Senate Run in 2018". Bloomberg. Retrieved December 3, 2016.
- ^ McMullin, Evan. "Thank you for your service to our state and country, Senator Hatch. In this seat, we must have a leader prepared to meet the challenges of our day and our future. I hope that leader will be @MittRomney.https://twitter.com/senorrinhatch/status/948269165168746497 …". Twitter.
{{cite web}}
: External link in
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at position 262 (help) - ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ^ "Poll: Utahns say Orrin Hatch shouldn't run again, but Mitt Romney should". Retrieved October 19, 2017.
External links
- Official campaign websites