Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election: Difference between revisions
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|6% |
|6% |
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|2% |
|2% |
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|{{Hidden|6%|[[Reform UK]] on 3% <br/> [[Alba Party|Alba]] on 2% |
|{{Hidden|6%|[[Reform UK]] on 3% <br/> [[Alba Party|Alba]] on 2%|headercss=font-weight:normal;line-height:10px;}} |
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|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|2 |
|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|2 |
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|5% |
|5% |
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|3% |
|3% |
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|{{Hidden|7%|[[Reform UK]] on 4% <br/> [[Alba Party|Alba]] on 3% |
|{{Hidden|7%|[[Reform UK]] on 4% <br/> [[Alba Party|Alba]] on 3%|headercss=font-weight:normal;line-height:10px;}} |
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|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|4 |
|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|4 |
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|8% |
|8% |
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|3% |
|3% |
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|{{Hidden|4%|[[Reform UK]] on 3% <br/> |
|{{Hidden|4%|[[Reform UK]] on 3% <br/>[[Alba Party|Alba]] on 1%|headercss=font-weight:normal;line-height:10px;}} |
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|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|2 |
|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|2 |
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|7% |
|7% |
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|4% |
|4% |
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|{{Hidden|5%|[[Reform UK]] on 1% <br/> |
|{{Hidden|5%|[[Reform UK]] on 1% <br/>[[Alba Party|Alba]] on 1%|headercss=font-weight:normal;line-height:10px;}} |
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|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|9 |
|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|9 |
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|8% |
|8% |
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|5% |
|5% |
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|{{Hidden|5%|[[Alba Party|Alba]] on 2%|headercss=font-weight:normal;line-height:10px;}} |
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|5% |
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|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|4 |
|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|4 |
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|- |
|- |
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|{{opdrts|22|25|Jan|2024|year}} |
|{{opdrts|22|25|Jan|2024|year}} |
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|[https://aws.norstat.no/uk-political-polling/ST%20Tables%20for%20publication%20v1%20300124.pdf Norstat] |
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|[https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/scottish-labour-has-greatest-lead-over-snp-in-a-decade-9k9ng6cqj Norstat] |
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|''The Sunday Times'' |
|''The Sunday Times'' |
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|1,007 |
|1,007 |
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|{{opdrts|9|11|Jan|2024|year}} |
|{{opdrts|9|11|Jan|2024|year}} |
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|[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/scottish-independence-referendum-westminster-voting-intention-9-11-january-2024/ Redfield & Wilton] |
|[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/scottish-independence-referendum-westminster-voting-intention-9-11-january-2024/ Redfield & Wilton] |
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| |
|N/A |
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|1,040 |
|1,040 |
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|style="background:#FEFACD;"|'''37%''' |
|style="background:#FEFACD;"|'''37%''' |
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|8% |
|8% |
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|3% |
|3% |
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|{{Hidden|2%|[[Reform UK]] on 1%|headercss=font-weight:normal;line-height:10px;}} |
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|2% |
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|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|5 |
|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|5 |
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|- |
|- |
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|''STV News'' |
|''STV News'' |
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|1,004 |
|1,004 |
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|style="background:#FEFACD;"|''' |
|style="background:#FEFACD;"|'''39%''' |
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|15% |
|15% |
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|27% |
|27% |
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|8% |
|8% |
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|4% |
|4% |
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|{{Hidden|5%|[[Alba Party|Alba]] on 3%<br/>[[Reform UK]] on 1%|headercss=font-weight:normal;line-height:10px;}} |
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|5% |
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|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"| |
|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|12 |
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|- |
|- |
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|{{opdrts|29|30|Oct|2023|year}} |
|{{opdrts|29|30|Oct|2023|year}} |
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|8% |
|8% |
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|2% |
|2% |
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|{{Hidden|4%|[[Reform UK]] on 2%<br/>[[Alba Party|Alba]] on 2%|headercss=font-weight:normal;line-height:10px;}} |
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|4% |
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|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|4 |
|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|4 |
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|- |
|- |
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|33% |
|33% |
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|6% |
|6% |
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| |
|– |
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|5% |
|5% |
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|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|4 |
|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|4 |
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|7% |
|7% |
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|7% |
|7% |
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| |
|3% |
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|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|4 |
|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|4 |
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|- |
|- |
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|10% |
|10% |
||
|3% |
|3% |
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|{{Hidden|2%|[[Reform UK]] on 1%|headercss=font-weight:normal;line-height:10px;}} |
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|1% |
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|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|6 |
|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|6 |
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|- |
|- |
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|26% |
|26% |
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|8% |
|8% |
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| |
|– |
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|5% |
|5% |
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|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|16 |
|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|16 |
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|8% |
|8% |
||
|3% |
|3% |
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|{{Hidden|4%|[[Reform UK]] on 3%<br/>[[Alba Party|Alba]] on 1%|headercss=font-weight:normal;line-height:10px;}} |
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|4% |
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|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|9 |
|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|9 |
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|- |
|- |
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|34% |
|34% |
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|8% |
|8% |
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| |
|– |
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|4% |
|4% |
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|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|5 |
|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|5 |
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|{{opdrts|3|8|Aug|2023|year}} |
|{{opdrts|3|8|Aug|2023|year}} |
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|[https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/6i430fpvw4/Internal_Scotland_VI_230808_W_BPC.pdf YouGov] |
|[https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/6i430fpvw4/Internal_Scotland_VI_230808_W_BPC.pdf YouGov] |
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|''The Times'' |
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| |
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|1,086 |
|1,086 |
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|style="background:#FEFACD;"|'''41%''' |
|style="background:#FEFACD;"|'''41%''' |
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|{{opdrts|5|6|Aug|2023|year}} |
|{{opdrts|5|6|Aug|2023|year}} |
||
|[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/Scottish-Independence-Referendum-Westminster-Holyrood-Voting-Intention-5-6-August-2023.xlsx Redfield & Wilton] |
|[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/Scottish-Independence-Referendum-Westminster-Holyrood-Voting-Intention-5-6-August-2023.xlsx Redfield & Wilton] |
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| |
|N/A |
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|1,050 |
|1,050 |
||
|style="background:#FEFACD;"|'''36%''' |
|style="background:#FEFACD;"|'''36%''' |
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|8% |
|8% |
||
|2% |
|2% |
||
|{{Hidden|2%|[[Alba Party|Alba]] on 1%<br/>[[Reform UK]] on 1%|headercss=font-weight:normal;line-height:10px;}} |
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|2% |
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|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|4 |
|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|4 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|{{opdrts|1|2|Jul|2023|year}} |
|{{opdrts|1|2|Jul|2023|year}} |
||
|[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Scottish-Independence-Referendum-Westminster-Holyrood-Voting-Intention-1-2-July-2023.xlsx Redfield & Wilton] |
|[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Scottish-Independence-Referendum-Westminster-Holyrood-Voting-Intention-1-2-July-2023.xlsx Redfield & Wilton] |
||
| |
|N/A |
||
|1,030 |
|1,030 |
||
|style="background:#FEFACD;"|'''33%''' |
|style="background:#FEFACD;"|'''33%''' |
||
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|10% |
|10% |
||
|2% |
|2% |
||
|{{Hidden|3%|[[Reform UK]] on 2%<br/>[[Alba Party|Alba]] on 1%|headercss=font-weight:normal;line-height:10px;}} |
|||
| |
|||
|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|3 |
|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|3 |
||
|- |
|- |
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|{{opdrts|23|28|Jun|2023|year}} |
|{{opdrts|23|28|Jun|2023|year}} |
||
|[https://cdn.survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/03133410/Survation-Scotland-VI-0623.xlsx Survation] |
|[https://cdn.survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/03133410/Survation-Scotland-VI-0623.xlsx Survation] |
||
| |
|N/A |
||
|1,891 |
|1,891 |
||
|style="background:#FEFACD;"|'''38%''' |
|style="background:#FEFACD;"|'''38%''' |
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|33% |
|33% |
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|10% |
|10% |
||
| |
|– |
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|3% |
|3% |
||
|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|5 |
|style="background:{{party color|Scottish National Party}};"|5 |
Revision as of 14:53, 26 April 2024
In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. The pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.
The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held on 6 May 2021, to the next election, which can be held no later than 7 May 2026.
Constituency vote
Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
SNP | Con | Lab | Lib Dems | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9–12 Apr 2024 | Norstat | Sunday Times | 1,086 | 35% | 17% | 30% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 5 |
6–7 Apr 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 34% | 21% | 32% | 6% | 2% | 2 | |
25 Mar – 2 Apr 2024 | YouGov | N/A | 1,100 | 34% | 15% | 32% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 2 |
10–11 Mar 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 35% | 18% | 31% | 5% | 3% | 4 | |
3–4 Feb 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 35% | 18% | 33% | 8% | 3% | 2 | |
25–31 Jan 2024 | Ipsos | STV News | 1,005 | 39% | 14% | 30% | 7% | 4% | 9 | |
23–25 Jan 2024 | Survation | True North | 1,029 | 35% | 16% | 31% | 8% | 5% | 5%
Alba on 2% |
4 |
22–25 Jan 2024 | Norstat | The Sunday Times | 1,007 | 36% | 16% | 31% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5 |
9–11 Jan 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,040 | 37% | 18% | 32% | 8% | 3% | 2%
Reform UK on 1% |
5 |
20–26 Nov 2023 | Ipsos | STV News | 1,004 | 39% | 15% | 27% | 8% | 4% | 12 | |
29–30 Oct 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,092 | 34% | 22% | 30% | 8% | 2% | 4 | |
20–25 Oct 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,200 | 34% | 14% | 32% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2 |
6–11 Oct 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,002 | 37% | 18% | 33% | 6% | – | 5% | 4 |
2–6 Oct 2023 | YouGov | Fabians | 1,028 | 37% | 20% | 29% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 9 |
2–5 Oct 2023 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,022 | 35% | 16% | 31% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 4 |
4–5 Oct 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,094 | 35% | 20% | 29% | 10% | 3% | 2%
Reform UK on 1% |
6 |
5–14 Sep 2023 | Opinium | Tony Blair Institute | 1,004 | 42% | 20% | 26% | 8% | – | 5% | 16 |
8–13 Sep 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1.103 | 41% | 16% | 28% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 13 |
2–4 Sep 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,100 | 39% | 16% | 30% | 8% | 3% | 9 | |
15–18 Aug 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,022 | 39% | 16% | 34% | 8% | – | 4% | 5 |
3–8 Aug 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,086 | 41% | 14% | 31% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 10 |
5–6 Aug 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,050 | 36% | 19% | 32% | 8% | 2% | 4 | |
1–2 Jul 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,030 | 33% | 21% | 30% | 10% | 2% | 3 | |
23–28 Jun 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,891 | 38% | 17% | 33% | 10% | – | 3% | 5 |
12–15 Jun 2023 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,007 | 36% | 13% | 32% | 9% | 7% | 4 | |
9–14 Jun 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,018 | 40% | 16% | 33% | 8% | 7 | ||
9–13 Jun 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,200 | 27% | 11% | 21% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 6 |
3–6 Jun 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | 1,395 | 36% | 21% | 29% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 7 | |
15–21 May 2023 | Ipsos | STV News | 1,090 | 42% | 17% | 28% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 14 |
27 Apr – 3 May 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,009 | 39% | 19% | 30% | 9% | 4% | 9 | |
30 Apr – 2 May 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,295 | 36% | 18% | 32% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 4 |
17–20 Apr 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,032 | 38% | 16% | 30% | 10% | 2% | 4% | 8 |
29 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,001 | 38% | 16% | 27% | 7% | 3% | 11 | |
31 Mar – 1 Apr 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 38% | 18% | 28% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 10 |
28–31 Mar 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,009 | 39% | 19% | 32% | 7% | 3% | 7 | |
28–30 Mar 2023 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,089 | 37% | 17% | 30% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 7 |
27 Mar 2023 | Humza Yousaf is elected as the leader of the SNP and then as First Minister of Scotland | |||||||||
9–13 Mar 2023 | YouGov | Sky News | 1,002 | 43% | 15% | 26% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 17 |
7–10 Mar 2023 | Panelbase | Scot Goes Pop | 1,013 | 39% | 14% | 31% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 8 |
2–5 Mar 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,050 | 40% | 20% | 29% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 11 |
17–20 Feb 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,017 | 42% | 18% | 28% | 8% | 2% | 4% | 14 |
15–17 Feb 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,034 | 43% | 17% | 29% | 8% | 3% | 14 | |
15–17 Feb 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1008 | 43% | 17% | 30% | 8% | 2% | 13 | |
15 Feb 2023 | Nicola Sturgeon announces her intention to resign as First Minister and leader of the Scottish National Party. | |||||||||
10–15 Feb 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Election Study | 1239 | 39% | 17% | 28% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 11 |
1–7 Feb 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1070 | 43% | 17% | 29% | 7% | 4% | 14 | |
23–26 Jan 2023 | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,088 | 44% | 17% | 26% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 18 |
10–12 Jan 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,002 | 46% | 17% | 27% | 8% | 2% | 19 | |
22–31 Dec 2022 | Survation | Scotland in Union | 1,025 | 44% | 16% | 29% | 8% | 0% | 3% | 15 |
16–21 Dec 2022 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,048 | 44% | 18% | 28% | 8% | 3% | 16 | |
6–9 Dec 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,090 | 50% | 13% | 25% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 25 |
28 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 | Ipsos MORI | STV News | 1,045 | 50% | 14% | 24% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 26 |
22–25 Nov 2022 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,239 | 34% | 11% | 17% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 17 |
7–11 Oct 2022 | Panelbase | Alba Party | 1,018 | 45% | 15% | 28% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 17 |
30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,067 | 49% | 13% | 26% | 8% | 4% | 23 | |
30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,029 | 47% | 17% | 25% | 8% | 2% | 22 | |
28–29 Sep 2022 | Survation | Scotland in Union | 1,011 | 45% | 14% | 30% | 6% | 4% | 15 | |
17–19 Aug 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,133 | 47% | 17% | 22% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 25 |
29 Jun – 1 Jul 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,010 | 47% | 17% | 22% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 25 |
23–28 Jun 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,029 | 46% | 18% | 25% | 8% | 4% | 21 | |
18–23 May 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,115 | 47% | 18% | 23% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 24 |
5 May 2022 | Scottish local elections | |||||||||
26 Apr – 3 May 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,010 | 46% | 18% | 25% | 7% | 4% | 21 | |
26–29 Apr 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,009 | 42% | 19% | 24% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 18 |
25–31 Mar 2022 | BMG | The Herald | 1,012 | 44% | 21% | 22% | 8% | 4% | 22 | |
24–28 Mar 2022 | Survation | Ballot Box Scotland | 1,002 | 46% | 20% | 25% | 7% | 2% | 21 | |
10–16 Mar 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,008 | 46% | 20% | 24% | 7% | 3% | 22 | |
24–28 Feb 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Economist | 1,866 | 47% | 21% | 22% | 8% | 2% | 25 | |
1–4 Feb 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,014 | 44% | 19% | 22% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 22 |
14–18 Jan 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,004 | 47% | 19% | 22% | 8% | 4% | 25 | |
22–29 Nov 2021 | Ipsos MORI | STV News | 1,107 | 52% | 19% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 33 |
18–22 Nov 2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,060 | 48% | 21% | 19% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 27 |
9–12 Nov 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,781 | 47% | 20% | 19% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 27 |
22–28 Oct 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,005 | 48% | 20% | 22% | 7% | 3% | 26 | |
6–10 Sep 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 2,003 | 46% | 22% | 18% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 24 |
3–9 Sep 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,016 | 48% | 22% | 20% | 7% | 3% | 26 | |
2–8 Sep 2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,014 | 51% | 21% | 18% | 6% | 4% | 30 | |
20 Aug 2021 | Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats | |||||||||
16–24 Jun 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,287 | 46% | 24% | 19% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 22 |
6 May 2021 | 2021 Scottish Parliament election[1] | 47.7% | 21.9% | 21.6% | 6.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 25.8 |
Regional vote
Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
SNP | Con | Lab | Green | Lib Dems | Alba | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9–12 Apr 2024 | Norstat | Sunday Times | 1,086 | 28% | 19% | 25% | 9% | 10% | 3% | 5%
Reform UK on 4% |
3 |
6–7 Apr 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 26% | 17% | 29% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 3 |
25 Mar – 2 Apr 2024 | YouGov | N/A | 1,100 | 29% | 16% | 29% | 9% | 8% | 3% | Tie | |
10–11 Mar 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 28% | 16% | 29% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 1 |
3–4 Feb 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 27% | 16% | 29% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 2 |
25-31 Jan 2024 | Ipsos | 1,005 | 33% | 13% | 31% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 2 | |
23–25 Jan 2024 | Survation | True North | 1,029 | 31% | 16% | 29% | 9% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 2 |
22–25 Jan 2024 | Norstat | The Sunday Times | 1,007 | 30% | 19% | 29% | 9% | 7% | - | 6% | 1 |
9–11 Jan 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,040 | 25% | 17% | 30% | 11% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 5 |
29–30 Oct 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | 1,092 | 28% | 21% | 27% | 9% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 1 | |
20–26 Nov 2023 | Ipsos Mori | 1,004 | 35% | 14% | 29% | 10% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 6 | |
20–25 Oct 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,200 | 30% | 14% | 30% | 11% | 8% | 2% | 5% | Tie |
6–11 Oct 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,002 | 28% | 20% | 29% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 1 | |
2–6 Oct 2023 | YouGov | Fabians | 1,028 | 28% | 19% | 28% | 11% | 7% | 3% | Tie | |
2–5 Oct 2023 | Panelbase | Sunday Times | 1,022 | 29% | 18% | 30% | 12% | 8% | 3% | 1 | |
4–5 Oct 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | 1,094 | 26% | 19% | 25% | 12% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1 | |
5–14 Sep 2023 | Opinium | Tony Blair Institution | 1,004 | 35% | 18% | 25% | 8% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 10 |
8–13 Sep 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,103 | 33% | 16% | 25% | 11% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 8 |
2–4 Sep 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | 1,100 | 25% | 15% | 30% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 5 | |
15–18 Aug 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,022 | 30% | 15% | 30% | 9% | 9% | 2% | Tie | |
3–8 Aug 2023 | YouGov | 1,086 | 32% | 14% | 28% | 11% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 4 | |
5–6 Aug 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,050 | 29% | 18% | 30% | 9% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 1 |
1–2 Jul 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,030 | 29% | 19% | 26% | 8% | 12% | 2% | 1% | 3 |
23–28 Jun 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,891 | 30% | 18% | 29% | 10% | 9% | 1 | ||
12–15 Jun 2023 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,007 | 30% | 17% | 28% | 12% | 8% | 4% | TBC | 2 |
9–14 Jun 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,018 | 28% | 18% | 28% | 13% | 11% | Tie | ||
9–13 Jun 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,200 | 22% | 12% | 20% | 6% | 8% | 2 | 1% | 2 |
3–5 Jun 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,395 | 25% | 18% | 25% | 13% | 10% | 3% | 0% | Tie |
15–21 May 2023 | Ipsos | STV News | 1,090 | 35% | 17% | 27% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 8 |
27 Apr – 3 May 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,009 | 32% | 19% | 26% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 6 | |
30 Apr – 2 May 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,295 | 25% | 19% | 27% | 13% | 10% | 2% | 4% | 2 |
17–20 Apr 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,032 | 30% | 17% | 26% | 12% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 4 |
29 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,001 | 32% | 17% | 23% | 8% | 7% | – | 4% | 9 |
31 Mar – 1 Apr 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 30% | 19% | 24% | 11% | 13% | – | 4% | 6 |
28–31 Mar 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,009 | 33% | 18% | 30% | 10% | 7% | – | 2% | 3 |
28–30 Mar 2023 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,089 | 31% | 20% | 27% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 4 |
27 Mar 2023 | Humza Yousaf is elected as the leader of the SNP and First Minister of Scotland | ||||||||||
9–13 Mar 2023 | YouGov | Sky News | 1,002 | 35% | 16% | 25% | 11% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 10 |
7–10 Mar 2023 | Panelbase | Scot Goes Pop | 1,013 | 32% | 17% | 27% | 12% | 8% | – | 3% | 5 |
2–5 Mar 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,050 | 29% | 20% | 26% | 10% | 11% | – | 4% | 3 |
17–20 Feb 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,017 | 35% | 18% | 27% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 8 |
15–17 Feb 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,034 | 35% | 18% | 27% | 8% | 8% | – | 3% | 8 |
15–17 Feb 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1008 | 32% | 16% | 27% | 14% | 9% | – | 2% | 5 |
15 Feb 2023 | Nicola Sturgeon announces her intention to resign as First Minister and leader of the Scottish National Party. | ||||||||||
10–15 Feb 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Election Study | 1239 | 33% | 17% | 28% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5 |
1–7 Feb 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,007 | 33% | 17% | 25% | 12% | 7% | – | 4% | 8 |
23–26 Jan 2023 | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,088 | 36% | 17% | 26% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 10 |
10–12 Jan 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,002 | 33% | 18% | 25% | 12% | 8% | – | 3% | 8 |
22–31 Dec 2022 | Survation | Scotland in Union | 1,025 | 33% | 15% | 26% | 12% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 7 |
16–21 Dec 2022 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,048 | 32% | 18% | 24% | 13% | 10% | – | 2% | 8 |
6–9 Dec 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,090 | 40% | 13% | 24% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 16 |
28 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 | Ipsos MORI | STV News | 1,045 | 43% | 14% | 21% | 13% | 6% | – | 3% | 18 |
22–25 Nov 2022 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,239 | 29% | 11% | 18% | 6% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 11 |
7–11 Oct 2022 | Panelbase | Alba Party | 1,018 | 37% | 17% | 26% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 11 |
30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,067 | 38% | 14% | 24% | 12% | 8% | – | 3% | 14 |
30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,029 | 32% | 19% | 26% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 6 |
28–29 Sep 2022 | Survation | Scotland in Union | 1,011 | 31% | 14% | 27% | 14% | 9% | 1% | 3% | 4 |
29 Jun – 1 Jul 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,010 | 41% | 19% | 22% | 7% | 8% | – | 3% | 19 |
23–28 Jun 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,029 | 33% | 20% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 9 |
18–23 May 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,115 | 39% | 18% | 21% | 10% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 18 |
5 May 2022 | Scottish local elections | ||||||||||
26 Apr – 3 May 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,010 | 31% | 18% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 8 |
26–29 Apr 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,009 | 36% | 20% | 22% | 10% | 7% | – | 5% | 14 |
25–31 Mar 2022 | BMG | The Herald | 1,012 | 33% | 20% | 22% | 10% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 11 |
24–28 Mar 2022 | Survation | Ballot Box Scotland | 1,002 | 34% | 19% | 23% | 11% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 11 |
10–16 Mar 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,008 | 34% | 20% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 12 |
24–28 Feb 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Economist | 1,866 | 34% | 21% | 20% | 14% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 13 |
1–4 Feb 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,014 | 38% | 21% | 20% | 9% | 8% | – | 5% | 17 |
14–18 Jan 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,004 | 38% | 18% | 20% | 12% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 18 |
22–29 Nov 2021 | Ipsos MORI | STV News | 1,107 | 43% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 23 |
18–22 Nov 2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,060 | 38% | 19% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 5% | 19 |
9–12 Nov 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,781 | 41% | 21% | 18% | 10% | 8% | – | 2% | 20 |
22–28 Oct 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,005 | 38% | 22% | 20% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 16 |
6–10 Sep 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 2,003 | 38% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 8% | – | 4% | 15 |
3–9 Sep 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,016 | 36% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 13 |
2–8 Sep 2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,014 | 40% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 0% | 10% | 19 |
20 Aug 2021 | Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats | ||||||||||
16–24 Jun 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,287 | 38% | 23% | 17% | 9% | 6% | – | 6% | 15 |
6 May 2021 | 2021 Scottish Parliament election[1] | – | 40.3% | 23.5% | 17.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 16.8 |
See also
- List of political parties in Scotland
- Opinion polling on Scottish independence
- Polling in Scotland for next United Kingdom general election
Notes
References
- ^ a b "Full votes and seats by party etc - SPE21". Electoral Management Board for Scotland. 9 May 2021. Archived from the original on 2 August 2021. Retrieved 2 August 2021.