2020 United States Senate election in Alaska

The 2020 United States Senate election in Alaska will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alaska, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan is running for reelection to a second term in office.

Both primaries will take place on August 18, 2020.^[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Presumptive nominee

Dan Sullivan, incumbent U.S. Senator^[2]

Withdrawn

Adam Master Newman^[3]^[4]

Endorsements

Dan Sullivan

U.S. federal officials

Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States^[5]

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Dan Sullivan (incumbent)
Total votes				100.00%

Democratic-Independence primary

Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination. In October 2017, the Alaska Democratic Party sued for the right to allow non-Democrats to compete for and win the Democratic nomination, which was ultimately decided in their favor in April 2018.^[6]

Democratic Candidates

Declared

Al Gross (Independent), orthopedic surgeon and commercial fisherman^[7]
Chris Cumings (Independent), Democratic candidate for the 2018 election in Alaska's at-large congressional district and ex-bank employee^[8]^[4]
Edgar Blatchford (Democratic), Democratic candidate in the 2016 United States Senate election in Alaska, founder and former editor and publisher of Alaska Newspapers, Inc., former mayor of Seward (1999-2003) and former commissioner of the Alaska Department of Commerce, Community and Economic Development^[4]

Disqualified from the ballot

Larry N. Barnes (Independent)^[4]^[a]

Withdrawn

David Darden (Independent), nonpartisan candidate for Anchorage Assembly District 3 Seat E in a 2018 special election^[4]

Alaskan Independence Candidates

Declared

John Howe (Alaskan Independence)^[4]

Endorsements

Al Gross

State officials

Tom Begich, Alaska Senate minority leader^[9]
Tom Cashen, former Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development commissioner (passed away in August 2019)^[10]
Johnny Ellis, former state senator (1993-2017), Alaska Senate majority leader (2009-2011), state representative (1987-1993)^[11]
Vic Fischer, former state senator^[12]
Les Gara, former state representative (2003-2019)^[13]
Berta Gardner, former state senator (2013-2019), Alaska Senate minority leader (2015-2019), state representative (2005-2013)^[14]
Elvi Gray-Jackson, state senator^[15]
Sara Hannan, state representative^[16]
Scott Kawasaki, state senator, former state representative (2007-2019)^[17]
Beth Kerttula, former state representative (1999-2014), Alaska House of Representatives minority leader (2007-2014)^[18]
Donny Olson, state senator^[19]
Joe Paskvan, former state senator (2009-2013)^[20]

Organizations

314 Action^[21]
Alaska Center^[22]
Alaska Democratic Party^[23]
Communications Workers of America^[24]
Demand Universal Healthcare^[25]
DSCC^[26]
End Citizens United^[27]
International Union of Painters and Allied Trades^[28]
J Street PAC^[29]
Orthopaedic PAC^[30]
Planned Parenthood Action Fund^[31]

Individuals

Bella Hammond, former First Lady of Alaska (1974-1982) (passed away in February 2020)^[32]
Derek Redd, Anchorage Democrats president^[33]
Andrew Yang, 2020 Democratic presidential candidate^[34]

Primary results

Primary results
Party		Candidate	%
	Democratic	Edgar Blatchford
	Independent	Chris Cumings
	Independent	Al Gross
	Independence	John Howe
Total votes			100.00%

Other candidates

Green Party

Nominee

Jed Whittaker, Green nominee in the 1996 United States Senate election in Alaska and salvage company owner^[35]^[36]

Independents

Declared

Sid Hill, independent write-in candidate for the 2018 election in Alaska's at-large congressional district and independent write-in candidate for the 2014 United States Senate election in Alaska and LaRouche activist^[35]^[36]

Withdrawn

David Matheny, wildfire technician^[37]^[38]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[39]	Likely R	June 18, 2020
Inside Elections^[40]	Safe R	April 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[41]	Likely R	April 30, 2020
Daily Kos^[42]	Safe R	June 4, 2020
Politico^[43]	Likely R	April 19, 2020
Niskanen^[44]	Safe R	April 28, 2020

Polling

Hypothetical polling

with Forrest Dunbar

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Dan Sullivan (R)	Forrest Dunbar (D)	Undecided
Patinkin Research Strategies	May 28 – Jun 4, 2019	1,000	–	39%	39%	22%

with Forrest Dunbar as an independent

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[c]	Margin of error	Dan Sullivan (R)	Forrest Dunbar (I)	Undecided
Patinkin Research Strategies	May 28 – Jun 4, 2019	1,000	–	42%	40%	19%

Results

United States Senate election in Alaska, 2020
Party		Candidate	%
	Republican	Dan Sullivan (incumbent)
	TBA	TBA
	Independence	John Howe
	Green	Jed Whittaker
	Independent	Sid Hill
Total votes			100.0%

Notes

^ Payment of filing fee was not made prior to the deadline.
^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

References

^ http://www.elections.alaska.gov/Core/electioncalendar.php
^ "SULLIVAN, DAN - Candidate overview". FEC.gov.
^ McCue, Dan (May 1, 2020). "Center for Politics Adds Alaska to Senate Battleground Map". TheWell News. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f "Alaska Division of Elections". www.elections.alaska.gov. June 5, 2020. Retrieved June 2, 2020.
^ "President Trump endorses Sullivan re-election as US senator for Alaska". KTUU. December 18, 2019. Retrieved December 30, 2019.
^ Hertz, Nathaniel (April 4, 2018). "Independents can run in party primaries, Alaska Supreme Court says, opening door for Gov. Walker". Anchorage Daily News.
^ "Gross announces candidacy for Alaska US Senate seat". Associated Press. June 2, 2019.
^ "Alaska - Senate". FEC. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
^ Gross, Dr Al (January 7, 2020). ""Alan Gross will stand up for Alaskans. He'll be an Independent voice we can count on, not a rubber stamp. Alaskans can count on Dr. Al." - Senator Tom Begichpic.twitter.com/icxj3e8XWJ".
^ Gross (August 1, 2019). "Tom Cashen, Former Commissioner of Labor".
^ Gross (August 8, 2019). "Senator Johnny Ellis endorses Dr. Al Gross for Senate".
^ Gross (July 10, 2019). ""Vic Fischer endorses dr. Al Gross for Senate!"".
^ Gross (July 25, 2019). "Former State Rep. Les Gara endorses Al Gross for Senate". {{cite web}}: Cite has empty unknown parameter: |1= (help)
^ Gross (September 9, 2019). "Former Senator Berta Gardner endorses Dr. Al Gross for Senate!".
^ "Sen. Elvi Gray-Jackson endorses Dr. Al Gross for Senate!".
^ Gross (July 19, 2019). "Sara Hannan, state representative".
^ Gross (November 4, 2019). "Sen. Kawasaki endorses dr. Al Gross for Senate".
^ Gross (July 11, 2019). "Al's commitment to Alaska is unparalleled and his vision for solutions gives me hope. I'm all in".
^ Gross (April 7, 2020). "Sen. Donny Olson endorses DR. Al Gross for Senate!".
^ Gross (July 22, 2019). "Joe Paskvan, Former State Senator".
^ "Endorsed Candidates — 314actionfund". 314 Action. Retrieved 27 November 2019.
^ https://akcenter.org/elections/endorsed-candidates/
^ Quinn, Steve (October 11, 2019). "Alaska Democratic Party backs Gross for US Senate". KTVA. Retrieved October 14, 2019.
^ https://cwa-union.org/news/releases/communications-workers-of-america-endorses-al-gross-ak-for-us-senate
^ "DUH/PEP website". duh4all.org.
^ "DSCC Endorses Dr. Al Gross in Alaska Senate Race". DSCC. December 3, 2019.
^ Muller, Tiffany (January 21, 2020). "End Citizens United Endorses 39 Candidates 10 Years After Citizens United Decision". End Citizens United.
^ Gross (September 6, 2019). "IUPAT endorse Dr. Al Gross for U.S. Senate!".
^ https://donate.jstreetpac.org/candidate/al-gross-ak-sen/
^ https://www.aaos.org/aaosnow/2019/oct/advocacy/advocacy02/
^ "2020 Endorsements". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org.
^ Gross (July 15, 2019). "Former Alaska First Lady Bella Hammond endorses Dr. Gross for Senate!".
^ Gross (October 4, 2019). "Anchorage Democrats President Derek Reed endorsed Dr. Al Gross for Senate!".
^ [https: https://twitter.com/AndrewYang/status/1229776202698809344?s=20 https: https://twitter.com/AndrewYang/status/1229776202698809344?s=20]. {{cite web}}: Check |url= value (help); Missing or empty |title= (help)
^ ^a ^b "ALASKA". Politics1. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
^ ^a ^b "November 3, 2020 General Election Candidate List". www.elections.alaska.gov. June 1, 2020. Retrieved June 2, 2020.
^ Downing, Suzanne (May 11, 2019). "Sen. Sullivan has his first challenger: a Bernie supporter". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
^ "IDENTIFICATION NUMBER: C00705293" (PDF). FEC. May 29, 2019. Retrieved June 2, 2020.
^ "2020 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
^ "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 Senate". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
^ "Daily Kos Elections 2020 Senate election ratings". Daily Kos. February 27, 2020.
^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
^ "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.

External links

Official campaign websites

[9] Payment of filing fee was not made prior to the deadline.

[46] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[47] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[1] ttp://www.elections.alaska.gov/Core/electioncalendar.php

[2] "SULLIVAN, DAN - Candidate overview". FEC.gov.

[3] McCue, Dan (May 1, 2020). "Center for Politics Adds Alaska to Senate Battleground Map". TheWell News. Retrieved May 15, 2020.

[AK2020-4] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f "Alaska Division of Elections". www.elections.alaska.gov. June 5, 2020. Retrieved June 2, 2020.

[5] "President Trump endorses Sullivan re-election as US senator for Alaska". KTUU. December 18, 2019. Retrieved December 30, 2019.

[6] Hertz, Nathaniel (April 4, 2018). "Independents can run in party primaries, Alaska Supreme Court says, opening door for Gov. Walker". Anchorage Daily News.

[7] "Gross announces candidacy for Alaska US Senate seat". Associated Press. June 2, 2019.

[8] "Alaska - Senate". FEC. Retrieved May 17, 2020.

[10] Gross, Dr Al (January 7, 2020). ""Alan Gross will stand up for Alaskans. He'll be an Independent voice we can count on, not a rubber stamp. Alaskans can count on Dr. Al." - Senator Tom Begichpic.twitter.com/icxj3e8XWJ".

[11] Gross (August 1, 2019). "Tom Cashen, Former Commissioner of Labor".

[12] Gross (August 8, 2019). "Senator Johnny Ellis endorses Dr. Al Gross for Senate".

[13] Gross (July 10, 2019). ""Vic Fischer endorses dr. Al Gross for Senate!"".

[14] Gross (July 25, 2019). "Former State Rep. Les Gara endorses Al Gross for Senate". {{cite web}}: Cite has empty unknown parameter: |1= (help)

[15] Gross (September 9, 2019). "Former Senator Berta Gardner endorses Dr. Al Gross for Senate!".

[16] "Sen. Elvi Gray-Jackson endorses Dr. Al Gross for Senate!".

[17] Gross (July 19, 2019). "Sara Hannan, state representative".

[18] Gross (November 4, 2019). "Sen. Kawasaki endorses dr. Al Gross for Senate".

[19] Gross (July 11, 2019). "Al's commitment to Alaska is unparalleled and his vision for solutions gives me hope. I'm all in".

[20] Gross (April 7, 2020). "Sen. Donny Olson endorses DR. Al Gross for Senate!".

[21] Gross (July 22, 2019). "Joe Paskvan, Former State Senator".

[22] "Endorsed Candidates — 314actionfund". 314 Action. Retrieved 27 November 2019.

[23] ttps://akcenter.org/elections/endorsed-candidates/

[24] Quinn, Steve (October 11, 2019). "Alaska Democratic Party backs Gross for US Senate". KTVA. Retrieved October 14, 2019.

[25] ttps://cwa-union.org/news/releases/communications-workers-of-america-endorses-al-gross-ak-for-us-senate

[26] "DUH/PEP website". duh4all.org.

[27] "DSCC Endorses Dr. Al Gross in Alaska Senate Race". DSCC. December 3, 2019.

[28] Muller, Tiffany (January 21, 2020). "End Citizens United Endorses 39 Candidates 10 Years After Citizens United Decision". End Citizens United.

[29] Gross (September 6, 2019). "IUPAT endorse Dr. Al Gross for U.S. Senate!".

[30] ttps://donate.jstreetpac.org/candidate/al-gross-ak-sen/

[31] ttps://www.aaos.org/aaosnow/2019/oct/advocacy/advocacy02/

[32] "2020 Endorsements". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org.

[33] Gross (July 15, 2019). "Former Alaska First Lady Bella Hammond endorses Dr. Gross for Senate!".

[34] Gross (October 4, 2019). "Anchorage Democrats President Derek Reed endorsed Dr. Al Gross for Senate!".

[35] [https: https://twitter.com/AndrewYang/status/1229776202698809344?s=20 https: https://twitter.com/AndrewYang/status/1229776202698809344?s=20]. {{cite web}}: Check |url= value (help); Missing or empty |title= (help)

[politics1-36] "ALASKA". Politics1. Retrieved May 17, 2020.

[AKgecandidates-37] "November 3, 2020 General Election Candidate List". www.elections.alaska.gov. June 1, 2020. Retrieved June 2, 2020.

[38] Downing, Suzanne (May 11, 2019). "Sen. Sullivan has his first challenger: a Bernie supporter". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved May 15, 2020.

[39] "IDENTIFICATION NUMBER: C00705293" (PDF). FEC. May 29, 2019. Retrieved June 2, 2020.

[40] "2020 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.

[41] "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.

[42] "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 Senate". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.

[43] "Daily Kos Elections 2020 Senate election ratings". Daily Kos. February 27, 2020.

[44] "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.

[45] "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.

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