2020 United States Senate elections

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2020 United States Senate elections

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →

Class 2 (33 of the 100) seats in the United States Senate
(and 1 special election)
51 seats needed for a majority
  Mitch McConnell 2016 official photo (cropped).jpg Chuck Schumer official photo (cropped).jpg
Leader Mitch McConnell Chuck Schumer
Party Republican Democratic
Leader since 2007 2017
Leader's seat Kentucky New York
Current seats 53 45
Seats needed Steady Increase 3–4[a]
Seats up 22 12

 
Party Independent
Current seats 2[b]
Seats up 0

United States Senate elections, 2020.svg

Incumbent Majority Leader

Mitch McConnell
Republican



Elections to the United States Senate will be held on November 3, 2020, with the 33 Class 2 seats of the Senate being contested in regular elections. The winners will be elected to six-year terms extending from January 3, 2021, until January 3, 2027. Additionally, there will be a special election in Arizona to fill the vacancy created by the death of John McCain in 2018.

In 2014, the last regularly scheduled elections for Class 2 Senate seats, the Republicans won a net gain of nine seats from the Democrats and gained a majority in the Senate. Republicans defended that majority in 2016 and 2018, and held 53 Senate seats following the 2018 elections. Democrats held 45 seats after the 2018 elections, while independents caucusing with the Democratic Party held two seats.

Including the special election in Arizona, Republicans will be defending 22 seats in 2020, while the Democratic Party will be defending 12 seats. Because the vice president of the United States has the power to break ties in the Senate, a Senate majority requires either 51 Senate seats without control of the vice presidency or 50 seats with control of the vice presidency. Thus, assuming that the two independents continue to caucus with the Senate Democratic Caucus, the Democrats will have to pick up at least three Senate seats to win a majority. If a Republican is elected as vice president in the 2020 election, then the Democratic Party will have to pick up at least four Senate seats to win a majority.

Partisan composition[edit]

As of November 2018 (and including the 2020 special election in Arizona), Republicans are expected to defend 22 seats in 2020, while the Democratic Party is expected to defend only 12 seats. These figures could change if vacancies or party switches occur. Additional special elections may also be held in 2020 if vacancies should arise in Class 1 or Class 3 Senate seats.

Results summary[edit]

Parties Total
Democratic Independent Republican
Last election (2018) 45 2 53 100
Before this election 45 2 53 100
Not up 33 2 31 66
Class 1 (20182024) 21 2 10 33
Class 3 (2016→2022) 12 0 21 33
Up 12 0 22 34
Class 2 (2014→2020) 12 0 21 33
Special: Class 3 0 0 1 1
General elections
Incumbent retiring 1 3 4
Incumbent running 9 13 22
Intent unknown 2 6 8

Change in composition[edit]

Each block represents one of the one hundred seats in the U.S. Senate. "D#" is a Democratic senator, "I#" is an Independent senator, and "R#" is a Republican senator. They are arranged so that the parties are separated and a majority is clear by crossing the middle.

Before the elections[edit]

Each block indicates an incumbent senator's actions going into the election.

D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8 D9 D10
D20 D19 D18 D17 D16 D15 D14 D13 D12 D11
D21 D22 D23 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28 D29 D30
D40
N.H.
Running
D39
Minn.
Running
D38
Mich.
Running
D37
Mass.
Running
D36
Ill.
Running
D35
Del.
Running
D34
Ala.
Running
D33 D32 D31
D41
Ore.
Running
D42
R.I.
Running
D43
N.J.
Unknown
D44
Va.
Unknown
D45
N.M.
Retiring
I1 I2 R53
Wyo.
Retiring
R52
Tenn.
Retiring
R51
Kan.
Retiring
Majority →
R41
S.C.
Running
R42
S.D.
Running
R43
Texas
Running
R44
W.Va.
Running
R45
Alaska
Unknown
R46
Idaho
Unknown
R47
Me.
Unknown
R48
Miss.
Unknown
R49
Neb.
Unknown
R50
Okla.
Unknown
R40
N.C.
Running
R39
Mont.
Running
R38
La.
Running
R37
Ky.
Running
R36
Iowa
Running
R35
Ga.
Running
R34
Colo.
Running
R33
Ark.
Running
R32
Ariz.
Running
R31
R21 R22 R23 R24 R25 R26 R27 R28 R29 R30
R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 R15 R14 R13 R12 R11
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10

After the elections[edit]

D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8 D9 D10
D20 D19 D18 D17 D16 D15 D14 D13 D12 D11
D21 D22 D23 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28 D29 D30
TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD I2 I1 D33 D32 D31
TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD
Majority →
TBD
TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD
TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD R31
R30 R29 R28 R27 R26 R25 R24 R23 R22 R21
R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 R15 R14 R13 R12 R11
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10
Key:
D# Democratic
R# Republican
I# Independent, caucusing with Democrats

Pre-election predictions[edit]

Most election predictors use:

  • "tossup": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used sometimes): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
  • "lean": slight advantage
  • "likely" or "favored": significant, but surmountable, advantage (*highest rating given by Fox News)
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
State PVI[1] Incumbent Last
Election[c]
Cook
Apr 19,
2019
[2]
IE
May 17,
2019
[3]
Sabato
Mar 25,
2019
[4]
Alabama R+14 Doug Jones 50.0% D
(2017 Special)
Tossup Lean R (flip) Tossup
Alaska R+9 Dan Sullivan 48.0% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Arizona
(Special)
R+5 Martha McSally appointed
(2019)
Tossup Tossup Tossup
Arkansas R+15 Tom Cotton 56.5% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Colorado D+1 Cory Gardner 48.2% R Tossup Tossup Tossup
Delaware D+6 Chris Coons 55.8% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Georgia R+5 David Perdue 52.9% R Likely R Lean R Lean R
Idaho R+19 Jim Risch 65.3% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Illinois D+7 Dick Durbin 53.5% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Iowa R+3 Joni Ernst 52.1% R Likely R Likely R Lean R
Kansas R+13 Pat Roberts
(retiring)
53.1% R Likely R Safe R Safe R
Kentucky R+15 Mitch McConnell 56.2% R Likely R Safe R Likely R
Louisiana R+11 Bill Cassidy 55.9% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Maine D+3 Susan Collins 68.5% R Lean R Tilt R Lean R
Massachusetts D+12 Ed Markey 61.9% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Michigan D+1 Gary Peters 54.6% D Likely D Likely D Lean D
Minnesota D+1 Tina Smith 53.0% D
(2018 Special)
Likely D Likely D Likely D
Mississippi R+9 Cindy Hyde-Smith 53.6% R
(2018 Special)
Likely R Safe R Safe R
Montana R+11 Steve Daines 57.9% R Safe R Safe R Likely R
Nebraska R+14 Ben Sasse 64.5% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
New Hampshire EVEN Jeanne Shaheen 51.5% D Safe D Likely D Lean D
New Jersey D+7 Cory Booker 55.8% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
New Mexico D+3 Tom Udall
(retiring)
55.6% D Likely D Safe D Likely D
North Carolina R+3 Thom Tillis 48.8% R Likely R Tilt R Lean R
Oklahoma R+20 Jim Inhofe 68.0% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Oregon D+5 Jeff Merkley 55.7% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Rhode Island D+10 Jack Reed 70.6% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
South Carolina R+8 Lindsey Graham 55.3% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
South Dakota R+14 Mike Rounds 50.4% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Tennessee R+14 Lamar Alexander
(retiring)
61.9% R Likely R Safe R Safe R
Texas R+8 John Cornyn 61.6% R Safe R Safe R Likely R
Virginia D+1 Mark Warner 49.1% D Safe D Safe D Likely D
West Virginia R+19 Shelley Moore Capito 62.1% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Wyoming R+25 Mike Enzi
(retiring)
72.2% R Safe R Safe R Safe R

Race summary[edit]

Special elections during the preceding Congress[edit]

In this special election, the winner will serve when they are elected and qualified.

State
(linked to
summaries below)
Incumbent Results Candidates
Senator Party Electoral history
Arizona
(Class 3)
Martha McSally Republican 2019 (Appointed) Incumbent running. Mark Kelly (Democratic)[5]
Martha McSally (Republican)

Elections leading to the next Congress[edit]

In these general elections, the winners will be elected for the term beginning January 3, 2021. All of the elections involve the Class 2 seats; ordered by state.

State
(linked to
summaries below)
Incumbent Results Candidates
Senator Party Electoral history
Alabama Doug Jones Democratic 2017 (Special) Incumbent running.
Alaska Dan Sullivan Republican 2014 Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
Arkansas Tom Cotton Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Colorado Cory Gardner Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Delaware Chris Coons Democratic 2010 (Special)
2014
Incumbent running.
Georgia David Perdue Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Idaho Jim Risch Republican 2008
2014
Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • Nancy Harris (Democratic)[33]
Illinois Dick Durbin Democratic 1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent running.
Iowa Joni Ernst Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Kansas Pat Roberts Republican 1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent retiring.
Kentucky Mitch McConnell Republican 1984
1990
1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent running.
Louisiana Bill Cassidy Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Maine Susan Collins Republican 1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • Michael Bunker (Democratic)[47]
  • Sara Gideon (Democratic)[48]
  • Bre Kidman (Democratic)[49]
  • Derek Levasseur (Republican)[50]
  • Max Linn (Republican)[51]
  • Betsy Sweet (Democratic)[52]
Massachusetts Ed Markey Democratic 2013 (Special)
2014
Incumbent running.
Michigan Gary Peters Democratic 2014 Incumbent running.
Minnesota Tina Smith Democratic 2018 (Appointed)
2018 (Special)
Incumbent running.
Mississippi Cindy Hyde-Smith Republican 2018 (Appointed)
2018 (Special)
Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • Jensen Bohren (Democratic)[61]
Montana Steve Daines Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Nebraska Ben Sasse Republican 2014 Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
New Hampshire Jeanne Shaheen Democratic 2008
2014
Incumbent running.
New Jersey Cory Booker Democratic 2013 (Special)
2014
Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • Tricia Flanagan (Republican)[66]
  • Hirsh Singh (Republican)[67]
New Mexico Tom Udall Democratic 2008
2014
Incumbent retiring.
North Carolina Thom Tillis Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Oklahoma Jim Inhofe Republican 1994 (Special)
1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
Oregon Jeff Merkley Democratic 2008
2014
Incumbent running.
Rhode Island Jack Reed Democratic 1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent running.
South Carolina Lindsey Graham Republican 2002
2008
2014
Incumbent running.
South Dakota Mike Rounds Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Tennessee Lamar Alexander Republican 2002
2008
2014
Incumbent retiring.
Texas John Cornyn Republican 2002
2008
2014
Incumbent running.
Virginia Mark Warner Democratic 2008
2014
Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
West Virginia Shelley Moore Capito Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Wyoming Mike Enzi Republican 1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent retiring.
  • Yana Ludwig (Democratic)[94]
  • Joshua Wheeler (Republican)[95]

Alabama[edit]

Incumbent Democrat Doug Jones was elected in a special election in 2017, narrowly defeating Republican nominee Roy Moore. Jones is running for his first full term as a senator.[96] He may be challenged in the Democratic primary by state Representative John Rogers.[97]

Secretary of State John Merrill[98], Congressman Bradley Byrne, former Auburn University football head coach Tommy Tuberville, and state Representative Arnold Mooney[99] are seeking the Republican nomination.[100][101] Roy Moore has also stated that he will seek a rematch with Jones.[102] Other potential Republican candidates include state Auditor Jim Zeigler, and Congressman Gary Palmer.[100]

Alaska[edit]

One-term incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan was elected to a first term in 2014, defeating incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Begich.

Potential Democratic candidates include Begich, Anchorage mayor Ethan Berkowitz, and 2018 U.S. House nominee Alyse Galvin.

Arizona (Special)[edit]

Republican senator John McCain was elected to a sixth term in 2016, but died in office in August 2018.[103] Republican governor Doug Ducey appointed former senator Jon Kyl to fill McCain's seat for the remainder of the 115th United States Congress.[104] After the end of the 115th Congress, Governor Ducey appointed outgoing congresswoman and 2018 Republican Senate nominee Martha McSally as Kyl's successor for the 116th Congress.[105] McSally is running in the 2020 special election to fill the remainder of the term, which expires in 2022.[106]

Former astronaut Mark Kelly is running for the Democratic nomination.[5] Other potential Democratic candidates include Congressman Greg Stanton, the former mayor of Phoenix.[107]

Arkansas[edit]

One-term incumbent Republican Tom Cotton was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving two years in the United States House of Representatives, defeating incumbent Democratic senator Mark Pryor by a comfortable margin. Cotton is seeking a second term in 2020.[14] Joshua Mahony, a non-profit executive and 2018 Democratic nominee for Congress in Arkansas's 3rd congressional district has filed to run for the Democratic nomination.[108] Other potential Democratic candidates include former governor Mike Beebe, former mayor of North Little Rock Pat Hayes, and state senator Greg Leding.[109]

Colorado[edit]

One-term incumbent Republican Cory Gardner was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving six years in the United States House of Representatives, defeating one-term incumbent Mark Udall. Gardner is seeking re-election in 2020.[110]

Announced Democratic candidates include former state Senator Mike Johnston, former state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff,[110] former U.S. Attorney John F. Walsh, state Department of Higher Education Director Dan Baer,[111] former state House Minority Leader Alice Madden ,[112] community organizer Lorena Garcia,[113] state senator Angela Williams,[114] pharmacist Dustin Leitzel,[22] and Derrick Blanton.[115] Other potential Democratic candidates include Congressman Ed Perlmutter,[110] and Secretary of State Jena Griswold.[116]

Delaware[edit]

One-term Democrat Chris Coons was re-elected in 2014; Coons first took office after winning a 2010 special election, which occurred after long-time Senator Joe Biden resigned his seat to become vice president of the United States.

Georgia[edit]

One-term incumbent Republican David Perdue was elected to a first term in 2014. He is seeking a second term in 2020.[117]

Former Columbus mayor Teresa Tomlinson is running for the Democratic nomination. Potential Democratic candidates include, pastor Raphael Warnock, former congressional candidate Jon Ossoff, former state Senator Jason Carter, 2018 lieutenant governor nominee Sarah Riggs Amico, and state Representative Scott Holcomb.[117] Former state Representative Stacey Abrams, widely considered a potential candidate, declined to run.[118]

Idaho[edit]

Two-term incumbent Republican Jim Risch was easily re-elected in 2014. Businesswoman Nancy Harris has announced that she would run as a Democrat.[33]

Illinois[edit]

Four-term incumbent and Senate minority whip Dick Durbin, a Democrat, was re-elected in 2014. Durbin will be running for reelection and is the heavy favorite to win his party's nomination over state representative Anne Stava-Murray.[citation needed]

Other potential Republican candidates include former Governor Bruce Rauner, U.S. Representatives Rodney Davis and Darin LaHood, and 2018 Republican nominee for state Attorney General Erika Harold.

Iowa[edit]

One-term incumbent Republican Joni Ernst was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving four years in the state Senate. She is seeking a second term in 2020.[119]

Among Democrats, businesswoman Theresa Greenfield has announced her candidacy.[120] Other potential Democratic candidates include state Auditor Rob Sand, former governor Chet Culver, and congresswoman Abby Finkenauer,[121] as well as 2018 Congressional candidates J.D. Scholten.[122]

Kansas[edit]

Four-term incumbent Republican Pat Roberts is retiring. State Treasurer Jake LaTurner is seeking the Republican nomination.[123] Potential Republican candidates include Congressman Roger Marshall,[123] state Senate Ppresident Susan Wagle,[124] former lieutenant governor Jeff Colyer,[125] state Attorney General Derek Schmidt, wealthy businessman Wink Hartman, and former Secretary of State Kris Kobach.[126]

Democrat Elliott Adams is running.[127] Potential Democratic candidates include former U.S. attorney for Kansas Barry Grissom and former congressional candidate Brent Welder.[128]

Kentucky[edit]

Six-term incumbent and Senate majority leader Republican Mitch McConnell was re-elected by a comfortable margin in 2014.

Steven Cox is running for the Democratic nomination.[43] Other potential Democratic candidates include state Attorney General Andy Beshear, 2018 congressional candidate Amy McGrath, and sports radio show host Matt Jones.[129]

Louisiana[edit]

One-term incumbent Bill Cassidy was first elected in 2014 after serving six years in the United States House of Representatives, defeating three-term incumbent Mary Landrieu.

Maine[edit]

Four-term incumbent Republican Susan Collins was re-elected by a wide margin in 2014. She has not yet announced her intentions for 2020.

Perennial candidate Max Linn[130] and police officer Derek Levasseur are running for the Republican nomination.[50] Democrats running are state House Speaker Sara Gideon[131] Michael Bunker,[47] a travel agent, Bre Kidman,[49] an attorney, and Betsy Sweet, an activist and 2018 gubernatorial candidate.[52] Potential Democratic candidates include 2018 Senate candidate Zak Ringelstein, ,[132] Congresswoman Chellie Pingree, and former Lewiston Mayor James Howaniec.[133]

Massachusetts[edit]

One-term incumbent Democrat Ed Markey was re-elected in 2014; first elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 1976, Markey first took office after winning a 2013 special election to replace longtime incumbent John Kerry, who resigned to become U.S. secretary of state. Scientist Shiva Ayyadurai, a Republican, is a candidate.

Michigan[edit]

One-term incumbent Democrat Gary Peters was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving six years in the U.S. House of Representatives. He is seeking a second term in 2020.[134]

2018 Senate nominee John James has declared his candidacy for the Republican nomination.[135] Other potential Republican candidates include former Congresswoman Candice Miller,[136] former state House Speaker Tom Leonard, and businessman Sandy Pensler.[137]

Minnesota[edit]

Incumbent Democrat Tina Smith was appointed to the U.S. Senate to replace Al Franken in 2018 after serving as lieutenant governor, and she won a special election later in 2018 to serve the remainder of Franken's term. She is seeking a full term in 2020.[138]

Potential Republican candidates include 2018 lieutenant governor candidate Donna Bergstrom,[139] state Senator Karin Housley,[140] former Congressman Jason Lewis,[141] and former state Representative Doug Wardlow.[142]

Mississippi[edit]

After seven-term incumbent Republican senator Thad Cochran resigned in April 2018, Republican Ggovernor Phil Bryant appointed state Agriculture Commissioner Cindy Hyde-Smith to succeed Cochran until a special election could be held later in the year. Hyde-Smith won the November 2018 special election to fill the remainder of Cochran's term, which ends in January 2021. Hyde-Smith may seek a full term in the regularly-scheduled 2020 election. Other potential Republican candidates include state senator Chris McDaniel, who also sought the seat in 2014 and 2018.[143]

Potential Democratic candidates include former U.S Secretary of Agriculture and 2018 Senate candidate Mike Espy.[144]

Montana[edit]

One-term incumbent Republican Steve Daines was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving two years in the United States House of Representatives. He is running for reelection.[63]

Democratic Helena Mayor Wilmot Collins has announced his candidacy.[145] Governor Steve Bullock has indicated that he will not enter the race.[146]

Nebraska[edit]

One-term incumbent Republican Ben Sasse was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving as President of Midland University.

New Hampshire[edit]

Two-term incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen was narrowly re-elected in 2014. Shaheen is seeking a third term in 2020.[147]

Former U.S. Army Brigadier General Donald Bolduc has announced his candidacy.[148] Other potential Republican challengers include former U.S. Senator Kelly Ayotte,[149] Ambassador to New Zealand Scott Brown, state House Minority Leader William L. O'Brien, and businessman Jay Lucas. Governor Chris Sununu has indicated that he will not run for the Senate.[150]

New Jersey[edit]

One-term incumbent Democrat Cory Booker was re-elected in 2014; Booker first took office by winning a 2013 special election after serving seven years as mayor of Newark. Booker is running for president in 2020, but the state allows him to simultaneously run for both president and for the U.S. Senate.[151] Other potential Democratic candidates include Governor Phil Murphy, Congressman Donald Norcross, and Congressman Josh Gottheimer.[152] Among Republicans, attorney and political commentator Matt Rooney is a potential candidate.[153]

New Mexico[edit]

Two-term incumbent Democrat Tom Udall is retiring in 2020.[154] U.S. representative Ben Ray Luján[155] is running for the Democratic nomination. Another potential Democratic candidate is New Mexico secretary of state Maggie Toulouse Oliver.[156] On April 10, 2019, U.S. representative Deb Haaland said that she would not be a candidate, but instead seek reelection.[157]

Among Republicans, former U.S. Interior Department official Gavin Clarkson has announced his candidacy.[158] Potential Republican candidates include former governor Susana Martinez, former Albuquerque mayor Richard J. Berry,[159] former U.S. representative and former secretary of the air force Heather Wilson, former U.S. representative Steve Pearce and former state representative Yvette Herrell.[160]

North Carolina[edit]

One-term incumbent Republican Thom Tillis was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving eight years in the state House of Representatives, narrowly defeating one-term incumbent Kay Hagan. He faces a primary challenge from wealthy investment broker Garland Tucker.[161] Tillis could also potentially run for governor.[162][163]

state Senator Erica D. Smith, Mecklenburg County Commissioner Trevor Fuller, and former state Ssenator Cal Cunningham are running for the Democratic nomination. Other potential Democratic candidates include state Ssenator Jeff Jackson[107] and former state Treasurer Janet Cowell.[164]

Oklahoma[edit]

Four-term incumbent Republican Jim Inhofe was easily re-elected in 2014. Former EPA Administrator Scott Pruitt may run for the seat if Inhofe retires.[165]

Oregon[edit]

Two-term incumbent Democrat Jeff Merkley was re-elected by a comfortable margin in 2014. Merkley, who was considered to be a possible 2020 presidential candidate, opted to forgo the crowded contest and is running for re-election to his seat.[166]

Rhode Island[edit]

Four-term incumbent Democrat Jack Reed was easily re-elected in 2014. Reed is seeking a fifth term.[80]

South Carolina[edit]

Three-term incumbent Republican Lindsey Graham was re-elected in 2014. Former South Carolina Democratic Party Chairman Jaime Harrison is running for the Democratic nomination.

South Dakota[edit]

One-term incumbent Republican Mike Rounds was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving two terms as Governor of South Dakota. Potential Democratic candidates may include state Senate minority leader Billie Sutton, the 2018 Democratic gubernatorial nominee.[167]

Tennessee[edit]

Three-term incumbent Republican Lamar Alexander was re-elected in 2014. He announced in December 2018 that he would not seek re-election.[168] Among Republicans, orthopedic surgeon Manny Sethi has announced his candidacy.[169] Potential Republican candidates to succeed him include former Governor Bill Haslam,[170][171] Congressman Mark Green,[172] and U.S. Ambassador to Japan William F. Hagerty.[173] Among Democrats, state Senator Jeff Yarbro is a possible candidate.[174]

Texas[edit]

Three-term incumbent Republican John Cornyn was re-elected in 2014 by a wide margin. He is running for re-election.[90]

MJ Hegar, an Air Force combat veteran who served as the 2018 Democratic nominee for Texas's 31st congressional district, is running.[175] Sema Hernandez, a former candidate for U.S Senate in 2018, is also seeking the Democratic nomination.[176] Potential Democratic candidates include former state Senator Wendy Davis, Congressman Colin Allred, Congresswoman Lizzie Pannill Fletcher, Congresswoman Veronica Escobar, Congresswoman Sylvia Garcia, San Antonio Mayor Ron Nirenberg, Houston city Councilwoman Amanda Edwards, and state Representative Rafael Anchia.[177]

Virginia[edit]

Two-term incumbent Democrat Mark Warner was re-elected by a very narrow margin in 2014 after winning easily in 2008. Former Congressman Scott Taylor is a potential Republican candidate.[178]

West Virginia[edit]

One-term incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito was easily elected over a credible opponent after serving 14 years in the U.S. House of Representatives. Potential Democratic candidates may include former state Senator Richard Ojeda, a nominee for the U.S. House of Representatives in West Virginia's 3rd congressional district in 2018 and briefly a candidate for president in 2020.

Wyoming[edit]

Four-term incumbent Republican Mike Enzi was re-elected in 2014. Enzi announced in May 2019 that he will retire. Congresswoman Liz Cheney, former two-term Governor Matt Mead, and former Congresswoman Cynthia Lummis[179] are potential Republican candidates.[180]

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Democrats would need to pick up four seats if the independents continue to caucus with the Democratic Party and the Democratic Party does not win the vice presidency.
    If the Democrats do win the vice presidency and the two Independents continue to caucus with them, then they will need a three seat gain to take control of the Senate.
  2. ^ The two independents, Bernie Sanders and Angus King, have both caucused with the Democratic Party since joining the Senate.
  3. ^ Incumbent in 2014, except where noted
  4. ^ Exploratory committee

References[edit]

  1. ^ "2016 State PVI Changes – Decision Desk HQ". decisiondeskhq.com. December 15, 2017.
  2. ^ "2020 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. January 4, 2018.
  3. ^ "Senate Ratings 2020". Inside Elections. January 4, 2019.
  4. ^ "2020 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. December 13, 2018.
  5. ^ a b "NASA astronaut Mark Kelly launches Senate campaign". Retrieved February 13, 2019.
  6. ^ Wilson, Brent (April 28, 2019). "Former televangelist Stanley Adair joins 2020 Senate race". BamaPolitics.com. Retrieved April 30, 2019.
  7. ^ Chandler, Kim (February 20, 2019). "GOP's Byrne to challenge Sen. Doug Jones of Alabama in 2020". Associated Press. Retrieved February 20, 2019.
  8. ^ Cohen, Zach [@Zachary_Cohen] (November 13, 2018). "#ALsen Doug Jones (D) confirms he'll seek reelection in 2020. "Already off and running."" (Tweet). Retrieved November 14, 2018 – via Twitter.
  9. ^ Ross, Sean (June 18, 2019). "Merrill files FEC paperwork for U.S. Senate campaign". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved June 18, 2019.
  10. ^ Talk 99.5 [@realtalk995] (May 6, 2019). "BREAKING NEWS: Alabama State Representative Arnold Mooney (@ArnoldForAL) just announced on the @MAShow995 that he will run for Senate in 2020. #ALPolitics" (Tweet). Retrieved May 6, 2019 – via Twitter.
  11. ^ Everett, Burgess (June 20, 2019). "'This place has enough creepy old men': GOP vows to crush Roy Moore". Politico. Retrieved June 25, 2019.
  12. ^ Ross, Sean (May 7, 2019). "Dem Rep. John Rogers announces primary challenge to Doug Jones". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved May 7, 2019.
  13. ^ Dodd, Dennis (April 6, 2019). "Tommy Tuberville will run for U.S. Senate in Alabama with Sean Spicer on his campaign team". CBSSports.com. Retrieved April 6, 2019.
  14. ^ a b "Sen. Cotton says he's running for reelection in 2020". Associated Press. August 8, 2018. Retrieved June 25, 2019.
  15. ^ Brock, Roby (May 1, 2019). "Josh Mahony confirms challenge to Sen. Tom Cotton (UPDATED)". Talk Business & Politics. Retrieved May 1, 2019.
  16. ^ Wingerter, Justin (April 15, 2019). "Dan Baer enters Democratic race against Cory Gardner, seeks to be first openly gay man elected to Senate". The Denver Post. Retrieved April 15, 2019.
  17. ^ Luning, Ernest (April 3, 2019). "Climate activist Diana Bray joins crowded Democratic primary for Gardner's US Senate seat". Colorado Politics. Retrieved April 3, 2019.
  18. ^ Wingerter, Justin (April 17, 2019). "Colorado State professor is the latest entrant in U.S. Senate race". The Denver Post. Retrieved April 17, 2019.
  19. ^ Zubeck, Pam (November 27, 2018). "Lorena Garcia announces challenge to Corey Gardner in 2020". Colorado Springs Independent. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  20. ^ Roberts, Michael (February 8, 2019). "Mike Johnston on Challenging Cory Gardner in Nation's Hottest Senate Race". Westword.
  21. ^ Riccardi, Nicholas (February 1, 2019). "Democrat Mike Johnston announces challenge to GOP U.S. Sen. Cory Gardner". Coloradoan.com. Retrieved June 25, 2019.
  22. ^ a b "LEITZEL, DUSTIN JOHN - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
  23. ^ Paul, Jesse (May 9, 2019). "Alice Madden, former Democratic leader at Colorado Capitol, joins crowded primary to unseat Cory Gardner". The Colorado Sun. Retrieved May 9, 2019.
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