2020 United States Senate elections
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Class 2 (33 of the 100) seats in the United States Senate (and 1 special election) 51 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Seats up for election: Democratic incumbent Retiring Democrat Republican incumbent Retiring Republican No election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections to the United States Senate will be held on November 3, 2020, with the 33 Class 2 seats of the Senate being contested in regular elections. The winners will be elected to six-year terms extending from January 3, 2021, until January 3, 2027. Additionally, there will be a special election in Arizona to fill the vacancy created by the death of John McCain in 2018.
In 2014, the last regularly scheduled elections for Class 2 Senate seats, the Republicans won a net gain of nine seats from the Democrats and gained a majority in the Senate. Republicans defended that majority in 2016 and 2018, and held 53 Senate seats following the 2018 elections. Democrats held 45 seats after the 2018 elections, while independents caucusing with the Democratic Party held two seats.
Including the special election in Arizona, Republicans will be defending 22 seats in 2020, while the Democratic Party will be defending 12 seats. Because the Vice President of the United States has the power to break ties in the Senate, a Senate majority requires either 51 Senate seats without control of the vice presidency or 50 seats with control of the vice presidency. Thus, assuming that the two independents continue to caucus with the Senate Democratic Caucus, the Democrats will have to pick up at least three Senate seats to win a majority. If a Republican is elected as vice president in the 2020 election, then the Democratic Party will have to pick up at least four Senate seats to win a majority.
Contents
- 1 Partisan composition
- 2 Results summary
- 3 Change in composition
- 4 Pre-election predictions
- 5 Race summary
- 6 Alabama
- 7 Alaska
- 8 Arizona (Special)
- 9 Arkansas
- 10 Colorado
- 11 Delaware
- 12 Georgia
- 13 Idaho
- 14 Illinois
- 15 Iowa
- 16 Kansas
- 17 Kentucky
- 18 Louisiana
- 19 Maine
- 20 Massachusetts
- 21 Michigan
- 22 Minnesota
- 23 Mississippi
- 24 Montana
- 25 Nebraska
- 26 New Hampshire
- 27 New Jersey
- 28 New Mexico
- 29 North Carolina
- 30 Oklahoma
- 31 Oregon
- 32 Rhode Island
- 33 South Carolina
- 34 South Dakota
- 35 Tennessee
- 36 Texas
- 37 Virginia
- 38 West Virginia
- 39 Wyoming
- 40 See also
- 41 Notes
- 42 References
Partisan composition[edit]
As of November 2018 (and including the 2020 special election in Arizona), Republicans are expected to defend 22 seats in 2020, while the Democratic Party is expected to defend only 12 seats. These figures could change if vacancies or party switches occur. Additional special elections may also be held in 2020 if vacancies should arise in Class 1 or Class 3 Senate seats.
Results summary[edit]
| Parties | Total | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Independent | Republican | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Last election (2018) | 45 | 2 | 53 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Before this election | 45 | 2 | 53 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Not up | 33 | 2 | 31 | 66 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Class 1 (2018→2024) | 21 | 2 | 10 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Class 3 (2016→2022) | 12 | 0 | 21 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Up | 12 | 0 | 22 | 34 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Class 2 (2014→2020) | 12 | 0 | 21 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Special: Class 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| General elections | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Incumbent retiring | 0 | — | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Incumbent running | 7 | — | 10 | 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Intent unknown | 5 | — | 10 | 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Change in composition[edit]
Each block represents one of the one hundred seats in the U.S. Senate. "D#" is a Democratic senator, "I#" is an Independent senator, and "R#" is a Republican senator. They are arranged so that the parties are separated and a majority is clear by crossing the middle.
Before the elections[edit]
Each block indicates an incumbent senator's actions going into the election.
| D1 | D2 | D3 | D4 | D5 | D6 | D7 | D8 | D9 | D10 |
| D20 | D19 | D18 | D17 | D16 | D15 | D14 | D13 | D12 | D11 |
| D21 | D22 | D23 | D24 | D25 | D26 | D27 | D28 | D29 | D30 |
| D40 Ore. Running |
D39 N.H. Running |
D38 Minn. Running |
D37 Mass. Running |
D36 Ill. Running |
D35 Del. Running |
D34 Ala. Running |
D33 | D32 | D31 |
| D41 Mich. Unknown |
D42 N.J. Unknown |
D43 N.M. Unknown |
D44 R.I. Unknown |
D45 Va. Unknown |
I1 | I2 | R53 Tenn. Retiring |
R52 Kan. Retiring |
R51 Wyo. Unknown |
| Majority → | |||||||||
| R41 Texas Running |
R42 Alaska Unknown |
R43 Idaho Unknown |
R44 La. Unknown |
R45 Me. Unknown |
R46 Miss. Unknown |
R47 Neb. Unknown |
R48 Okla. Unknown |
R49 S.D. Unknown |
R50 W.Va. Unknown |
| R40 S.C. Running |
R39 N.C. Running |
R38 Mont. Running |
R37 Ky. Running |
R36 Iowa Running |
R35 Ga. Running |
R34 Colo. Running |
R33 Ark. Running |
R32 Ariz. Running |
R31 |
| R21 | R22 | R23 | R24 | R25 | R26 | R27 | R28 | R29 | R30 |
| R20 | R19 | R18 | R17 | R16 | R15 | R14 | R13 | R12 | R11 |
| R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 |
After the elections[edit]
| D1 | D2 | D3 | D4 | D5 | D6 | D7 | D8 | D9 | D10 |
| D20 | D19 | D18 | D17 | D16 | D15 | D14 | D13 | D12 | D11 |
| D21 | D22 | D23 | D24 | D25 | D26 | D27 | D28 | D29 | D30 |
| TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | I2 | I1 | D33 | D32 | D31 |
| TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD |
| Majority → | |||||||||
| TBD | |||||||||
| TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | |
| TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | R31 |
| R30 | R29 | R28 | R27 | R26 | R25 | R24 | R23 | R22 | R21 |
| R20 | R19 | R18 | R17 | R16 | R15 | R14 | R13 | R12 | R11 |
| R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 |
| Key: |
|
|---|
Pre-election predictions[edit]
Most election predictors use:
- "tossup": no advantage
- "tilt" (used sometimes): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean": slight advantage
- "likely" or "favored": significant, but surmountable, advantage (*highest rating given by Fox News)
- "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
| State | PVI[1] | Incumbent | Last Election[c] |
Cook Mar 1, 2019[2] |
IE Jan 4, 2019[3] |
Sabato Dec 13, 2018[4] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | R+14 | Doug Jones | 50.0% D (2017 Special) |
Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup |
| Alaska | R+9 | Dan Sullivan | 48.0% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R |
| Arizona (Special) |
R+5 | Martha McSally | 47.6% R (2018) |
Lean R | Tossup | Tossup |
| Arkansas | R+15 | Tom Cotton | 56.5% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R |
| Colorado | D+1 | Cory Gardner | 48.2% R | Lean R | Tossup | Tossup |
| Delaware | D+6 | Chris Coons | 55.8% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
| Georgia | R+5 | David Perdue | 52.9% R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R |
| Idaho | R+19 | Jim Risch | 65.3% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R |
| Illinois | D+7 | Dick Durbin | 53.5% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
| Iowa | R+3 | Joni Ernst | 52.1% R | Safe R | Likely R | Lean R |
| Kansas | R+13 | Pat Roberts (retiring) |
53.1% R | Likely R | Safe R | Safe R |
| Kentucky | R+15 | Mitch McConnell | 56.2% R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R |
| Louisiana | R+11 | Bill Cassidy | 55.9% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R |
| Maine | D+3 | Susan Collins | 68.5% R | Lean R | Tilt R | Lean R |
| Massachusetts | D+12 | Ed Markey | 61.9% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
| Michigan | D+1 | Gary Peters | 54.6% D | Safe D | Likely D | Lean D |
| Minnesota | D+1 | Tina Smith | 53.0% D (2018 Special) |
Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
| Mississippi | R+9 | Cindy Hyde-Smith | 53.6% R (2018 Special) |
Likely R | Safe R | Safe R |
| Montana | R+11 | Steve Daines | 57.9% R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R |
| Nebraska | R+14 | Ben Sasse | 64.5% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R |
| New Hampshire | EVEN | Jeanne Shaheen | 51.5% D | Safe D | Likely D | Lean D |
| New Jersey | D+7 | Cory Booker | 55.8% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
| New Mexico | D+3 | Tom Udall | 55.6% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
| North Carolina | R+3 | Thom Tillis | 48.8% R | Likely R | Tilt R | Lean R |
| Oklahoma | R+20 | Jim Inhofe | 68.0% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R |
| Oregon | D+5 | Jeff Merkley | 55.7% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
| Rhode Island | D+10 | Jack Reed | 70.6% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D |
| South Carolina | R+8 | Lindsey Graham | 55.3% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R |
| South Dakota | R+14 | Mike Rounds | 50.4% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R |
| Tennessee | R+14 | Lamar Alexander (retiring) |
61.9% R | Likely R | Safe R | Safe R |
| Texas | R+8 | John Cornyn | 61.6% R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R |
| Virginia | D+1 | Mark Warner | 49.1% D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D |
| West Virginia | R+19 | Shelley Moore Capito | 62.1% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R |
| Wyoming | R+25 | Mike Enzi | 72.2% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R |
Race summary[edit]
Special elections during the preceding Congress[edit]
In this special election, the winner will serve when they are elected and qualified.
| State (linked to summaries below) |
Incumbent | Results | Candidates | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senator | Party | Electoral history | |||
| Arizona (Class 3) |
Martha McSally | Republican | 2019 (Appointed) | Incumbent running. | Martha McSally (Republican) Mark Kelly (Democratic)[5] |
Elections leading to the next Congress[edit]
In these general elections, the winners will be elected for the term beginning January 3, 2021. All of the elections involve the Class 2 seats; ordered by state.
| State (linked to summaries below) |
Incumbent | Results | Candidates | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senator | Party | Electoral history | |||
| Alabama | Doug Jones | Democratic | 2017 (Special) | Incumbent running. |
|
| Alaska | Dan Sullivan | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent's intent unknown. |
|
| Arkansas | Tom Cotton | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent running. |
|
| Colorado | Cory Gardner | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent running. |
|
| Delaware | Chris Coons | Democratic | 2010 (Special) 2014 |
Incumbent running. |
|
| Georgia | David Perdue | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent running. |
|
| Idaho | Jim Risch | Republican | 2008 2014 |
Incumbent's intent unknown. |
|
| Illinois | Dick Durbin | Democratic | 1996 2002 2008 2014 |
Incumbent running. |
|
| Iowa | Joni Ernst | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent running. |
|
| Kansas | Pat Roberts | Republican | 1996 2002 2008 2014 |
Incumbent retiring. |
|
| Kentucky | Mitch McConnell | Republican | 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 2014 |
Incumbent running. |
|
| Louisiana | Bill Cassidy | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent's intent unknown. |
|
| Maine | Susan Collins | Republican | 1996 2002 2008 2014 |
Incumbent's intent unknown. | |
| Massachusetts | Ed Markey | Democratic | 2013 (Special) 2014 |
Incumbent running. | |
| Michigan | Gary Peters | Democratic | 2014 | Incumbent's intent unknown. |
|
| Minnesota | Tina Smith | Democratic | 2018 (Appointed) 2018 (Special) |
Incumbent running. |
|
| Mississippi | Cindy Hyde-Smith | Republican | 2018 (Appointed) 2018 (Special) |
Incumbent's intent unknown. |
|
| Montana | Steve Daines | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent running. |
|
| Nebraska | Ben Sasse | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent's intent unknown. |
|
| New Hampshire | Jeanne Shaheen | Democratic | 2008 2014 |
Incumbent running. |
|
| New Jersey | Cory Booker | Democratic | 2013 (Special) 2014 |
Incumbent's intent unknown. |
|
| New Mexico | Tom Udall | Democratic | 2008 2014 |
Incumbent's intent unknown. |
|
| North Carolina | Thom Tillis | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent running. |
|
| Oklahoma | Jim Inhofe | Republican | 1994 (Special) 1996 2002 2008 2014 |
Incumbent's intent unknown. |
|
| Oregon | Jeff Merkley | Democratic | 2008 2014 |
Incumbent running. |
|
| Rhode Island | Jack Reed | Democratic | 1996 2002 2008 2014 |
Incumbent's intent unknown. |
|
| South Carolina | Lindsey Graham | Republican | 2002 2008 2014 |
Incumbent running. |
|
| South Dakota | Mike Rounds | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent's intent unknown. |
|
| Tennessee | Lamar Alexander | Republican | 2002 2008 2014 |
Incumbent retiring. |
|
| Texas | John Cornyn | Republican | 2002 2008 2014 |
Incumbent running. |
|
| Virginia | Mark Warner | Democratic | 2008 2014 |
Incumbent's intent unknown. |
|
| West Virginia | Shelley Moore Capito | Republican | 2014 | Incumbent's intent unknown. |
|
| Wyoming | Mike Enzi | Republican | 1996 2002 2008 2014 |
Incumbent's intent unknown. |
|
Alabama[edit]
Incumbent Democrat Doug Jones was elected in a special election in 2017, narrowly defeating controversial Republican candidate Roy Moore. Jones will be running for his first full term as a Senator. Congressman Bradley Byrne and state Auditor Jim Ziegler are running for the GOP nomination. Other potential Republican candidates include state Senator Del Marsh, and U.S. Representative Gary Palmer, and Roy Moore, among others.
Alaska[edit]
One-term incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan was elected to a first term in 2014, defeating one-term incumbent Mark Begich. Education activist Alyse Galvin, who ran for Congress in 2018, is a possible Democratic nominee.
Arizona (Special)[edit]
Six-term Republican senator John McCain died on August 25, 2018.[39] Governor Doug Ducey was required by state law to appoint a new senator of the same party as McCain, and then the seat would be up for a special election in November 2020 and this will determine who serves the remainder of the term until January 3, 2023.[40] On September 4, Governor Ducey appointed former Arizona senator Jon Kyl to fill McCain's vacancy. Kyl only committed to serving until at least the end of the 115th United States Congress,[41] resigning at the end of 2018. Governor Ducey appointed outgoing Congresswoman Martha McSally to the seat for the 116th United States Congress.[42] McSally was the Republican nominee for Arizona's Class I Senate seat in 2018, but narrowly lost to Democrat Kyrsten Sinema.
Former Astronaut Mark Kelly is running for the Democratic nomination. Other potential Democratic candidates include Congressman Ruben Gallego and Congressman Greg Stanton, the former Mayor of Phoenix.[43]
Arkansas[edit]
One-term incumbent Republican Tom Cotton was elected to a first term in 2014, easily defeating two-term incumbent Mark Pryor.
Colorado[edit]
One-term incumbent Republican Cory Gardner was elected to a first term in 2014, defeating one-term incumbent Mark Udall.
Former state Senator Mike Johnston,[12] former state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff,[15] community organizer Lorena Garcia,[44] Derrick Blanton, and pharmacist Dustin Leitzel are running for the Democratic nomination.[9][13] Potential Democratic candidates include biomedical scientist Trish Zornio,[45][46] Boulder County District Attorney Stan Garnett,[47] and Congressman Ed Perlmutter.
Delaware[edit]
One-term Democrat Chris Coons was re-elected in 2014; Coons first took office after winning a 2010 special election, which occurred after long-time Senator Joe Biden resigned his seat to become Vice President of the United States.
Georgia[edit]
One-term incumbent Republican David Perdue was elected to a first term in 2014. Columbus Mayor Teresa Tomlinson is considering running for the Democratic nomination.[48] Other potential Democratic candidates include 2018 gubernatorial nominee Stacey Abrams,[49] state Representative Scott Holcomb, state Senator Jen Jordan, former Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed and former Points of Light CEO and 2014 nominee Michelle Nunn.[50][51]
Idaho[edit]
Two-term incumbent Republican Jim Risch was easily re-elected in 2014.
Illinois[edit]
Four-term incumbent and Senate Minority Whip Dick Durbin, a Democrat, was re-elected in 2014. Durbin will be running for reelection and is the favorite to win his party's nomination. Potential Republican candidates include former Governor Bruce Rauner, U.S. Representatives Rodney Davis and Darin LaHood, and 2018 Republican nominee for state Attorney General Erika Harold.
Iowa[edit]
One-term incumbent Republican Joni Ernst was elected to a first term in 2014. Democrats claim her victory was due to low voter turnout and mistakes made by her Democratic opponent, Bruce Braley.
Potential Democratic candidates include state Auditor Rob Sand, Congresswomen Cindy Axne and Abby Finkenauer, and former Governor Chet Culver.[52]
Kansas[edit]
Four-term incumbent Republican Pat Roberts was re-elected in 2014, defeating Independent candidate Greg Orman by less than expected. Democrat Elliott Adams is running.[53] In January 2019, Roberts announced that he would not seek re-election. Republican State Treasurer Jake LaTurner has already announced his candidacy. Potential candidates for the GOP nomination include former Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach, former Governor and Lieutenant Governor Jeff Colyer, state Senate President Susan Wagle, and incumbent Congressman Roger Marshall.
Kentucky[edit]
Six-term incumbent and Senate Majority Leader Republican Mitch McConnell was re-elected in 2014.
Steven Cox is running for the Democratic nomination.[23] Other potential Democratic candidates include state Attorney General Andy Beshear, 2018 congressional candidate Amy McGrath, and sports radio show host Matt Jones.[54]
Louisiana[edit]
One-term incumbent Bill Cassidy was first elected in 2014, defeating three-term incumbent Mary Landrieu.
Maine[edit]
Four-term incumbent Republican Susan Collins was re-elected in 2014.
Perennial candidate Max Linn is running for the Republican nomination.[55] Other potential Democratic candidates include 2018 Senate candidate Zak Ringelstein, state House Speaker Sara Gideon,[56] former United Nations Ambassador Susan Rice,[56] Congresswoman Chellie Pingree, Congressman Jared Golden, and 2018 gubernatorial candidate Betsy Sweet.[57]
Massachusetts[edit]
One-term incumbent Democrat Ed Markey was re-elected in 2014; Markey first took office after winning a 2013 special election.
Michigan[edit]
One-term incumbent Democrat Gary Peters was elected to a first term in 2014. Businessman and veteran John James, the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018, is a potential candidate, as is former state House Speaker Tom Leonard, who was the 2018 Republican nominee for state Attorney General.
Minnesota[edit]
Incumbent Democrat Tina Smith was appointed to replace Al Franken in 2018, and she won a special election later in 2018 to serve the remainder of Franken's term. Potential Republican candidates include former Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, 2018 lieutenant governor candidate Donna Bergstrom, and Senator Smith's opponent in the 2018 special election, state Senator Karin Housley.
Mississippi[edit]
Seven-term incumbent Republican Thad Cochran resigned April 1, 2018 due to medical concerns. Republican Governor Phil Bryant appointed state Agriculture Commissioner Cindy Hyde-Smith to hold office until January 3, 2019. A November 2018 special election determined Cochran's elected successor. No candidate garnered a majority of votes in the November 6, 2018 election; the top two candidates, Cindy Hyde-Smith and Democrat Mike Espy continued to a runoff on November 27, 2018. Cindy Hyde-Smith defeated Mike Espy and will serve the remainder of Cochran's term, which ends in January 2021.
Montana[edit]
One-term incumbent Republican Steve Daines was elected to a first term in 2014. He is running for reelection.[58] Term-limited Governor Steve Bullock is a potential Democratic candidate.[59]
Nebraska[edit]
One-term incumbent Republican Ben Sasse was elected to a first term in 2014.
New Hampshire[edit]
Two-term incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen was narrowly re-elected in 2014. On January 27, 2019, Shaheen officially announced that she would run for her third term in 2020.[60] Potential Republican challengers may include former U.S. Senator Kelly Ayotte[61], U.S. Ambassador to New Zealand and Samoa Scott Brown, and perhaps Governor Chris Sununu.
New Jersey[edit]
One-term incumbent Democrat Cory Booker was re-elected in 2014; Booker first took office after winning a 2013 special election after serving as Mayor of Newark. Booker, who is running for President in 2020, could legally run for both President and re-election to the U.S. Senate as New Jersey election laws allow candidates to simultaneously run for two offices. Should Booker choose to forgo a Senate run in 2020, though, potential Democratic nominees include incumbent governor Phil Murphy and incumbent Congressmen Donald Norcross and Josh Gottheimer.
New Mexico[edit]
Two-term incumbent Democrat Tom Udall was re-elected in 2014.
North Carolina[edit]
One-term incumbent Republican Thom Tillis was elected to a first term in 2014, narrowly defeating one-term incumbent Kay Hagan. Tillis could also potentially run for Governor.[62][63]
State Senator Erica D. Smith,[32] and Mecklenburg County Commissioner Trevor Fuller[31] are running for the Democratic nomination. Potential Democratic candidates include former United States Secretary of Transportation Anthony Foxx,[64] and state Senator Jeff Jackson.[43]
Oklahoma[edit]
Four-term incumbent Republican Jim Inhofe was re-elected in 2014. Former EPA Administrator Scott Pruitt may run for the seat if Inhofe retires.[65]
Oregon[edit]
Two-term incumbent Democrat Jeff Merkley was re-elected in 2014. Merkley, who was considered to be a possible 2020 presidential candidate, opted to forgo the crowded contest and is running for re-election to his seat.[66]
Rhode Island[edit]
Four-term incumbent Democrat Jack Reed was easily re-elected in 2014.
South Carolina[edit]
Three-term incumbent Republican Lindsey Graham was re-elected in 2014. Former South Carolina Democratic Party Chairman Jaime Harrison is a possible candidate.
South Dakota[edit]
One-term incumbent Republican Mike Rounds was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving two terms as Governor of South Dakota. Potential Democratic candidates may include state Senate Minority Leader and 2018 gubernatorial candidate Billie Sutton.[67]
Tennessee[edit]
Three-term incumbent Republican Lamar Alexander was re-elected in 2014. He announced in December 2018 that he will not seek re-election.[68] Former Republican Governor Bill Haslam may run for the seat.[69][70]
Texas[edit]
Three-term incumbent Republican John Cornyn was re-elected in 2014. He is running for re-election.[37] Sema Hernandez, a former candidate for U.S Senate in 2018, is running in the 2020 race.[71] Other potential Democratic candidates may include Congressman Joaquin Castro.
Virginia[edit]
Two-term incumbent Democrat Mark Warner was re-elected by a very narrow margin in 2014.
West Virginia[edit]
One-term incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito was easily elected to a first term in 201 over a credible opponent. Potential Democratic candidates may include former state Senator Richard Ojeda, a nominee for the U.S. House of Representatives in West Virginia's 3rd congressional district in 2018.
Wyoming[edit]
Four-term incumbent Republican Mike Enzi was re-elected in 2014. Republican Congresswoman Liz Cheney may run again for the seat if Enzi chooses to retire.[72]
See also[edit]
- United States presidential election, 2020
- 2020 United States elections
- 2020 United States House of Representatives elections
- 2020 United States gubernatorial elections
Notes[edit]
- ^ Democrats would need to pick up four seats if the independents continue to caucus with the Democratic Party and the Democratic Party does not win the vice presidency.
If the Democrats do win the vice presidency and the two Independents continue to caucus with them, then they will need a three seat gain to take control of the Senate. - ^ The two independents, Bernie Sanders and Angus King, have both caucused with the Democratic Party since joining the Senate.
- ^ Incumbent in 2014, except where noted
References[edit]
- ^ "2016 State PVI Changes – Decision Desk HQ". decisiondeskhq.com. December 15, 2017.
- ^ "2020 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. January 4, 2018.
- ^ "Senate Ratings 2020". Inside Elections. January 4, 2019.
- ^ "Senate 2020: Republican exposure on paper, but not necessarily in practice". Sabato's Crystal Ball. December 13, 2018.
- ^ "NASA astronaut Mark Kelly launches Senate campaign". Retrieved February 13, 2019.
- ^ Chandler, Kim (February 20, 2019). "GOP's Byrne to challenge Sen. Doug Jones of Alabama in 2020". Associated Press. Retrieved February 20, 2019.
- ^ Cohen, Zach [@Zachary_Cohen] (November 13, 2018). "#ALsen Doug Jones (D) confirms he'll seek reelection in 2020. "Already off and running."" (Tweet). Retrieved November 14, 2018 – via Twitter.
- ^ "Sen. Cotton says he's running for reelection in 2020". Associated Press.
- ^ a b "BLANTON, DERRICK JAMES - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
- ^ Zubeck, Pam (November 27, 2018). "Lorena Garcia announces challenge to Corey Gardner in 2020". Colorado Springs Independent. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
- ^ Roberts, Michael (February 8, 2019). "Mike Johnston on Challenging Cory Gardner in Nation's Hottest Senate Race". Westword.
- ^ a b "Democrat Mike Johnston announces challenge to GOP U.S. Sen. Cory Gardner". Coloradoan.com.
- ^ a b "LEITZEL, DUSTIN JOHN - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
- ^ "Keith Pottratz of Grand Junction bids for Cory Gardner's seat". Denver Post. December 2, 2018. Retrieved December 10, 2018.
- ^ a b "Andrew Romanoff joins list of Democrats competing to challenge Cory Gardner". The Denver Post.
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