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United States presidential approval rating

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Approval rating of Donald Trump as of June 8 2019. [1]
  Approval rating of 60-69%
  Approval rating of 50-59%
  Approval rating of 40–49%
  Approval rating of 30–39%
  Approval rating of 20–29%
  Approval rating of 10–19%

In the United States, presidential job approval ratings were introduced by George Gallup in the late 1930s (most likely 1937) to gauge public support for the president of the United States during their term. An approval rating is a percentage determined by a polling which indicates the percentage of respondents to an opinion poll who approve of a particular person or program. Typically, an approval rating is given to a politician based on responses to a poll in which a sample of people are asked whether they approve or disapprove of that particular political figure. A question might ask:


Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?[2]


Like most surveys that predict opinions, individual poll results may be inaccurate. Many unscientific approval rating systems exist that show inaccurate statistics. Examples that self select, such as online questions are of this type. However, the aggregate approval rating is generally accepted by statisticians, as a statistically valid indicator of the comparative changes in the popular United States mood regarding a president.

President Donald Trump in 2018 had a job approval of approximately 75 to 90 percent among Republicans and 5 to 10 percent among Democrats.[2] Gallup polling has found that, as of 2019, 47% of Americans are either "Democrats or Democratic leaners" while 42% are either "Republicans or Republican leaners".[3]

President Donald Trump

Main article: Opinion polling on the Donald Trump administration

Most recent polls for President Donald J. Trump[4][5][6]

Polling group Date Approval Disapproval Unsure Net +/- Sample size[6] Population[6][7]
Rasmussen Reports[8] March 11–15, 2020 47% 52% 1% -5% ≈1,500 Likely voters
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[a][9] March 11–13, 2020 46% 51% 3% -5% 900 Registered voters
Ipsos/Reuters[10] March 9–10, 2020 40% 55% 5% -15% 1,113 All adults
Quinnipiac University[11] March 5–8, 2020 41% 54% 5% -14% 1,261 Registered voters
CNN[b][12] March 4–7, 2020 43% 53% 4% -10% 1,211 All adults
Gallup Poll[c][13] February 17–28, 2020 47% 51% 2% -4% 1,020 All adults
Fox News [d][14] February 23–26, 2020 47% 52% 1% -5% 1,000 Registered voters
Kaiser Family Foundation[e][15] February 13–18, 2020 42% 54% 2% -12% 1,207 All adults
ABC News/Washington Post[f][16] February 14–17, 2020 43% 53% 4% -10% 1,066 All adults
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist[17] February 13–16, 2020 42% 51% 7% -9% 1,416 All adults
Monmouth University[18] February 6–9, 2020 44% 50% 5% -6% 902 All adults
CBS News [e][19] January 26–29, 2020 43% 51% 6% -8% 1,202 All adults

Historical comparison

Historical Gallup Poll approval highs and lows for each president since 1937[20][21][22][g]

Order President Highest approval Lowest approval High –
Low 		Highest disapproval Highest margin Lowest margin Final poll Approval
average[20] 		Polls
per year
45[23][24][25][26] Trump 49 (2020-01-29, 2020-02-20)[23] 35 (2017-8-27, 2017-10-29, 2017-12-03, 2017-12-17)[23] 14 60 (2017-8-27, 2017-10-29, 2017-12-17, 2018-11-25) [23] 1 (2017-01-24, 2020-01-29) [23] −29 (2017-10-29, 2017-12-01) [23] 40[23]
44[27][28] Obama 67 (2009-01-25) 40 (2014-09-05)[h] 27 55 (2014-06-22, 2014-10-12) 56 (2009-01-23, 2009-01-24) −18 (2014-10-10) 59 (2017-01-19) 47.9 48.4
43[29] G. W. Bush 90 (2001-9-21) 25 (2008-10-05, 2008-10-12, 2008-11-02) 65 71 (2008-10-10) 83 (2001-09-22) −46 (2008-10-12) 34 (2009-01-11) 49.4 33.7
42[30] Clinton 73 (1998-12-19) 37 (1993-06-06) 36 54 (1994-09-07) 45 (2000-12-17) −14 (1994-09-07) 66 (2001-01-14) 55.1 28.5
41[31] G. H. W. Bush 89 (1991-02-28) 29 (1992-08-02, 1992-10-13) 60 60 (1992-07-31) 82 (1991-03-03) −30 (1992-08-02, 1992-10-13) 56 (1993-01-11) 60.9 39.5
40[32] Reagan 71 (1986-01-30) 35 (1983-01-31) 36 56 (1983-01-28) 52 (1986-01-30) −21(1983-01-31) 63 (1988-12-29) 52.8 37.0
39[33] Carter 74 (1977-03-15) 28 (1979-06-26, 1979-10-02) 46 59 (1979-06-26) 66 (1977-03-15) −31 (1979-06-26) 34 (1980-12-08) 45.5 22.7
38[34] Ford 70 (1974-08-13) 36 (1975-03-25) 34 46 (1975-04-15, 1975-11-18) 67 (1974-08-13) −7 (1975-02-25, 1975-03-25, 1975-04-15) 53 (1976-12-13) 47.2 14.7
37[35] Nixon 66 (1973-01-23) 24 (1974-01-02) 42 66 (1974-08-05) 57 (1969-03-17) −42 (1974-08-05) 24 (1974-08-05) 49.1 17.7
36[36] Johnson 79 (1964-03-05) 34 (1968-08-12) 45 52 (1968-08-12) 75 (1963-12-10) −18 (1968-08-12) 49 (1969-01-06) 55.1 15.3
35[37] Kennedy 83 (1962-03-05) 56 (1963-09-10) 27 30 (1963-09-12, 1963-11-08) 78 (1962-03-05) 27 (1963-09-10) 58 (1963-11-13) 70.1 13.7
34[38] Eisenhower 77 (1955-11-22, 1956-12-19) 47 (1958-03-25) 30 36 (1958-03-25) 66 (1953-04-02, 1956-12-19) 12 (1958-03-25) 59 (1960-12-13) 65.0 14.4
33[39] Truman 87 (1945-08-22) 22 (1951-11-16, 1952-02-14) 65 67 (1952-01-06) 85 (1945-08-22) −43 (1952-01-04) 32 (1952-12-16) 45.4 8.4
32[40] F. D. Roosevelt 83 (1942-01-23) 48 (1939-08-18) 35 46 (1938-05-22, 1938-05-29, 1938-11-07) 73 (1942-01-23) 65 (1943-12-15) 63

Graphs

Gallup Poll graphs of approval ratings for presidents of the United States

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See also

Notes

  1. ^ Conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R).
  2. ^ Conducted by SSRS.
  3. ^ Monthly averages.
  4. ^ Conducted by Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R).
  5. ^ a b Conducted by SSRS of Glen Mills, Pennsylvania.
  6. ^ Conducted by Abt Associates of Rockville, MD.
  7. ^ Only the results of Gallup polls are included as no other poll results exist for presidents before President Clinton.
  8. ^ Last of eight, sometimes overlapping, 3-day averages.

References

  1. ^ "Tracking Trump". Morning Consult. Retrieved June 8, 2019.
  2. ^ a b "Presidential Approval Ratings – Donald Trump". Gallup. Retrieved February 13, 2017.
  3. ^ Jeffrey M. Jones (January 7, 2020). "U.S. Party Preferences Steady During Trump Era". Gallup. Retrieved January 23, 2020.
  4. ^ "President Trump: Job Ratings". PollingReport.com. Retrieved August 23, 2019.
  5. ^ "President Trump Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved December 26, 2018.
  6. ^ a b c "How (un)popular is Donald Trump?". fivethirtyeight.com. Retrieved December 26, 2018.
  7. ^ "President Trump Job Approval".{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  8. ^ "Trump Approval Index History". Retrieved November 23, 2018.
  9. ^ "NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey" (PDF). March 15, 2020.
  10. ^ "Trump approval at reuters.com". Retrieved June 17, 2017.
  11. ^ "Biden Crushes Sanders In Democratic Race, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; More Disapprove Of Trump's Response To Coronavirus". March 9, 2020.
  12. ^ "CNN March 2020" (PDF). March 9, 2020.
  13. ^ "Trump Job Approval". Retrieved January 10, 2018.
  14. ^ "Fox News Poll". February 28, 2020.
  15. ^ "KFF Health Tracking Poll – February 2020". February 21, 2020.
  16. ^ "Washington Post-ABC News poll, Feb. 14-17, 2020" (PDF). February 19, 2020.
  17. ^ "NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll of 1,416 National Adults" (PDF). February 19, 2020.
  18. ^ "Split Decision on Impeachment Vote; Most Say It's Time to Move On". February 10, 2020.
  19. ^ "Most Feel Good About the Economy, But Not the State of the Country". January 31, 2020.
  20. ^ a b "Presidential Approval Ratings – Gallup Historical Statistics and Trends". Gallup. Retrieved August 16, 2011.
  21. ^ Lydia Saad (March 29, 2017). "Trump's Approval Rating Unusually Low, Unusually Early". Gallup. Retrieved April 1, 2017.
  22. ^ The American Presidency Project at UC Santa Barbara.
  23. ^ a b c d e f g "Gallup Daily: Trump Job Approval". Gallup. Retrieved January 27, 2017.
  24. ^ "Trump Job Approval (Weekly)". Gallup. Retrieved January 22, 2018.
  25. ^ "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Donald Trump". Gallup. Retrieved October 9, 2018.
  26. ^ Jeffrey M. Jones (April 24, 2018). "Trump's Fifth-Quarter Job Approval Up; Still Historically Low". Gallup.
  27. ^ Graphical display and numbers of Gallup "daily tracking" polls
  28. ^ "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Barack Obama".
  29. ^ "Gallup.com". Gallup.com. Retrieved August 16, 2011.
  30. ^ "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Bill Clinton". gallup.com. Retrieved January 26, 2017.
  31. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for George H. W. Bush". American Presidency Project.
  32. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Ronald Reagan". American Presidency Project.
  33. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Jimmy Carter". American Presidency Project.
  34. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Gerald Ford". American Presidency Project.
  35. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Richard Nixon". American Presidency Project.
  36. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Lyndon B. Johnson". American Presidency Project.
  37. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for John F. Kennedy". American Presidency Project.
  38. ^ Presidential Job Approval for "Dwight D. Eisenhower". American Presidency Project.
  39. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Harry S. Truman". American Presidency Project.
  40. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Franklin D. Roosevelt". American Presidency Project.
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