2012 United States presidential election: Difference between revisions
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The '''United States presidential election of 2012''' is the next [[United States presidential election]], to be held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012. It will be the 57th [[wikt:quadrennial|quadrennial]] presidential election in which [[Electoral College (United States)|presidential electors]], who will actually elect the [[President of the United States|President]] and the [[Vice President of the United States|Vice President]] of the [[United States]] on December 17, 2012, will be chosen. [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]] President [[Barack Obama]] will be eligible to run for a second and final term during this election. |
The '''United States presidential election of 2012''' is the next [[United States presidential election]], to be held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, and if you ask us(wikipedia editers)we love to have the honour of telling you the candidates first. barack obama,going for another time in the presidential seat,george bush, attempting to ruin the american economy again,i'm proud to say this , my uncle,borat he is a leader and always has been he in ar eeyes can easily be the future president,and what is surprisingthe ex prime minister from great britain grodon brown , going for an american mug face as the president of the richest country in the world.good luck to him:)<3. It will be the 57th [[wikt:quadrennial|quadrennial]] presidential election in which [[Electoral College (United States)|presidential electors]], who will actually elect the [[President of the United States|President]] and the [[Vice President of the United States|Vice President]] of the [[United States]] on December 17, 2012, will be chosen. [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]] President [[Barack Obama]] will be eligible to run for a second and final term during this election. |
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The 2012 presidential election will coincide with the [[United States Senate elections, 2012|United States Senate election]]s where 33 races will be occurring as well as the [[United States House of Representatives]] elections to elect the members for the 113th Congress. The election will also encompass eleven [[Governor#United States|gubernatorial]] races as well as many [[state legislature (United States)|state legislature]] races. |
The 2012 presidential election will coincide with the [[United States Senate elections, 2012|United States Senate election]]s where 33 races will be occurring as well as the [[United States House of Representatives]] elections to elect the members for the 113th Congress. The election will also encompass eleven [[Governor#United States|gubernatorial]] races as well as many [[state legislature (United States)|state legislature]] races. |
Revision as of 20:02, 2 August 2010
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File:Electors 2012 Polidata2009.svg One projection of the Electoral College map for the 2012, 2016, and 2020 elections.[1] | |||
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The United States presidential election of 2012 is the next United States presidential election, to be held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, and if you ask us(wikipedia editers)we love to have the honour of telling you the candidates first. barack obama,going for another time in the presidential seat,george bush, attempting to ruin the american economy again,i'm proud to say this , my uncle,borat he is a leader and always has been he in ar eeyes can easily be the future president,and what is surprisingthe ex prime minister from great britain grodon brown , going for an american mug face as the president of the richest country in the world.good luck to him:)<3. It will be the 57th quadrennial presidential election in which presidential electors, who will actually elect the President and the Vice President of the United States on December 17, 2012, will be chosen. Democratic President Barack Obama will be eligible to run for a second and final term during this election.
The 2012 presidential election will coincide with the United States Senate elections where 33 races will be occurring as well as the United States House of Representatives elections to elect the members for the 113th Congress. The election will also encompass eleven gubernatorial races as well as many state legislature races.
Electoral College changes
The 2010 Census will ultimately decide how the electoral map will be laid out for the 2012 election, but population projections based upon Census updates give an estimate of how the Electoral College vote apportionment will change. The Census occurs every ten years and is the basis for electoral vote reapportionment based on relative state population changes. According to a study based on the 2009 population estimates, the likely changes are as follows.[1]
Safe Democratic States (Democratic 2000, 2004, 2008)
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Safe Republican States (Republican 2000, 2004, 2008)
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Swing States
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States in green represent states that are predicted to gain votes. States in maroon represent states that are predicted to lose votes. Based on the 2008 presidential election results, this would give the Democratic Party a net loss of seven electoral votes, for a national total of 358, and the Republican Party a net gain of seven electoral votes, for a national total of 180.
A lawsuit Clemons et al. v. Department of Commerce et al. has been filed in the United States District Court for the Northern District of Mississippi. The suit seeks a court order for Congress to reapportion the House of Representatives with a greater number of members following the 2010 Census, in order to rectify under- and over-representation of some states with the 435 rule. If this occurs, this would also affect Electoral College apportionment for the 2012 and subsequent presidential elections.[2][3] The court has granted oral arguments, which began on May 28, 2010.[4]
Party conventions
- August 27–30, 2012: 2012 Republican National Convention to be held in Tampa, Florida.[5][6]
- September 3–6, 2012: 2012 Democratic National Convention to be held.[7] Location TBD. The Democratic National Committee has selected Charlotte,[8] Cleveland,[9] Minneapolis,[10] and St. Louis[11] as the finalist cities for hosting the event.[12][13]
Declared candidates
The following are individuals who have formally announced that they are running for president in 2012, and have filed as a candidate with the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
Independents
- Former journalist, author, and perennial independent candidate Joe Schriner of Ohio [14][15]
Speculated candidates
The following are individuals who are or have been the subject of speculation in prominent media sources as being possible presidential contenders in the 2012 election. The speculation may stem from noted media analysts and commentators, or from actions or comments made by the individuals themselves—which suggest the possibility of a presidential run—as reported in reliable media sources.
Democratic
- President Barack Obama is eligible for a second term. Since 1972, every incumbent President eligible for re-election has been nominated by his party. The most recent case of an incumbent president declining to seek reelection was in 1968, when Lyndon B. Johnson decided not to seek a second full term. The most recent credible primary challenge to a sitting Democratic President came from Senator Edward Kennedy against President Jimmy Carter during the 1980 United States Presidential Election.
There is speculation that Obama may run with a different Vice-Presidential nominee in 2012. Former Democratic Virginia Governor L. Douglas Wilder suggested in August 2010 that Obama replace Joe Biden with Secretary of State Hillary Clinton on the 2012 ticket. [16]
Republican
No one has formally announced his or her candidacy for the Republican Party nomination. The following individuals are currently speculated about as possible candidates.
- Governor Haley Barbour of Mississippi[17][18]
- Senator Scott Brown of Massachusetts[19][20]
- Former Governor Jeb Bush of Florida[21][22]
- Businessman and radio talk show host Herman Cain of Georgia[23][24]
- Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey[25][26]
- Governor Mitch Daniels of Indiana [27][28][29]
- Former Speaker of the House of Representatives Newt Gingrich of Georgia[30][31]
- Former Governor Mike Huckabee of Arkansas[32][33]
- Former Governor Gary E. Johnson of New Mexico[34][35]
- Governor Bobby Jindal of Louisiana[36][37]
- Former Governor and 2008 vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin of Alaska[38][39]
- Representative Ron Paul of Texas [40][41]
- Governor Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota[42][43]
- Governor Rick Perry of Texas[44][45]
- General David Petraeus of New York[46][47]
- Former Governor Mitt Romney of Massachusetts[48][49]
- Former Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives Marco Rubio of Florida[50][51]
- Former Senator Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania[52][53]
- Senator John Thune of South Dakota[54][55]
Libertarian
No one has formally announced his or her candidacy for the Libertarian Party nomination. The following individuals are currently speculated about as possible candidates.
- Entrepreneur and 2008 Libertarian Party vice-presidential nominee Wayne Allyn Root of Nevada[56][57]
Independent
The following are individuals are currently speculated about as possible candidates.
- Mayor Michael Bloomberg of New York[58][59]
- Television journalist and commentator Lou Dobbs of New Jersey[60][61]
- Attorney, consumer advocate, and perennial presidential candidate Ralph Nader of Connecticut[62][63]
See also
- Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012
- Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012
References
- ^ a b "Congressional Apportionment: 2010 Projections Based Upon State Estimates as of July 1, 2009". Clark H. Bensen. 2009-12-23. Retrieved 2010-02-02. "MID-RECESSION MIGRATION: APPORTIONMENT IN 2010 - Population Trends for the 2000s; the 2009 Estimates" (PDF) (Press release). Polidata.org. December 23, 2009. Retrieved June 13, 2010.
- ^ Apportionment.us/Complaint.pdf
- ^ "Press Release May 14, 2010: Three-Judge Panel Grants Plaintiffs Oral Argument in Historic Lawsuit Coordinated by Apportionment.US Challenging Size of Congress", Apportionment.us.
- ^ (May 17, 2010) "Unique Three-Judge Panel Grants Plaintiffs Oral Argument in Historic Lawsuit Challenging Size", Forbes.com. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
- ^ Barr, Andy, and Mike Allen (May 12, 2010) "Republicans pick Tampa for 2012 convention", Politico. Retrieved May 13, 2010.
- ^ Lush, Tamara (May 12, 2010) "Tampa wins bid to host 2012 GOP convention", The Associated Press. Retrieved May 13, 2010.
- ^ Smith, Ben (April 5, 2010) "DNC 2012: Mark your calendars", Politico. Retrieved April 13, 2010.
- ^ (December 2, 2009) "Blue city. Blue state. Blue convention?", News & Observer. Retrieved December 2, 2009.
- ^ (July 1, 2010) "Democrats name Cleveland a finalist", Akron Beacon Journal. Retrieved July 1, 2010.
- ^ Kessler, Pat; Brown, Heather (May 22, 2010) "Minneapolis Bids For DNC In 2012", WCCO-TV. Retrieved May 24, 2010.
- ^ Tritto, Christopher (April 16, 2010) "St. Louis City makes play for DNC convention", St. Louis Business Journal. Retrieved April 16, 2010.
- ^ Zeleny, Jeff (July 1, 2010) "Four Cities Vie for 2012 Democratic Convention", The New York Times. Retrieved July 1, 2010.
- ^ Hamby, Peter (July 1, 2010) "DNC names four cities as finalists to host 2012 convention", CNN.com. Retrieved July 1, 2010.
- ^ Feather, Carl E. (January 14, 2009) "In the 2008 presidential campaign, it was Joe the Plumber. In 2012, it’s going to be Joe the Painter", The Star Beacon. Retrieved February 23, 2010.
- ^ Place, Rich (August 14, 2009) "Not Your ‘Average Joe’", The Post-Journal. Retrieved February 23, 2010.
- ^ Wilder, Douglas L. (August 2, 2010) "Obama-Clinton Ticket for 2012." Politico. Retrieved August 2, 2010.
- ^ Leibovich, Mark (June 20, 2010) "G.O.P. Stalwart Says Come, the Gulf’s Fine", New York Times. Retrieved June 21, 2010.
- ^ Vogel, Kenneth P. (June 24, 2010) "Haley Barbour's fundraising takes off", Politico. Retrieved June 25, 2010.
- ^ Muskal, Michael (February 11, 2010) "Media boost Brown into GOP presidential mix", Los Angeles Times. Retrieved February 12, 2010.
- ^ (February 15, 2010) "Scott Brown Supporters Touting Him for President", Newsmax. Retrieved February 19, 2010.
- ^ Gormley, Michael (June 2, 2010) "Jeb Bush preaches capitalism for GOP revival", Miami Herald. Retrieved June 9, 2010.
- ^ Bai, Matt (June 22, 2010) "For Jeb Bush, Life Defending the Family Name", The New York Times. Retrieved June 25, 2010.
- ^ Blake, Aaron (April 10, 2010) "Black Republican radio host suggests he will run for president", The Hill. Retrieved July 12, 2010.
- ^ Lewis, Matt (July 12, 2010) "Herman Cain: Possible 'Dark Horse' 2012 GOP Presidential Candidate", Politics Daily. Retrieved July 12, 2010.
- ^ (April 26,2010)[1] "Chris Christie for President?", The Washington Post. Retrieved July 11, 2010.
- ^ (May 27, 2010)"Christie for President", The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved July 11, 2010.
- ^ Groppe, Maureen (June 15, 2010) "Daniels key critic of health care plan, may be eyeing presidential run", Louisville Courier-Journal. Retrieved June 16, 2010.
- ^ (June 20, 2010) "Ind.'s Daniels urged to run in 2012", UPI. Retrieved June 21, 2010.
- ^ Weidenbener, Lesley Stedman (July 4, 2010) "Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels mulls a run for president - sort of", The Courier-Journal. Retrieved July 12, 2010.
- ^ Hamby, Peter (April 23, 2010) "Gingrich to help Iowa GOP raise money", CNN.com. Retrieved April 23, 2010.
- ^ Mark, David (May 21, 2010) "Gingrich Newt-ered for 2012?", Politico. Retrieved May 21, 2010.
- ^ Douthat, Ross (June 21, 2010) "The Secret Frontrunner", New York Times. Retrieved June 22, 2010.
- ^ Cillizza, Chris (June 28, 2010) "Could Mike Huckabee be the 2012 presidential nominee?", The Washington Post. Retrieved June 29, 2010.
- ^ Boerema, Jurgen (February 15, 2010) "Former N.M Gov. Johnson deflects question on 2012 bid", The Hill. Retrieved February 17, 2010.
- ^ Stanage, Niall (May 5, 2010) "The most interesting Republican you've never heard of", Salon.com. Retrieved May 25, 2010.
- ^ Largen, Stephen (January 25, 2010) "Analysts: Jindal's national reputation recovering", Monroe News Star. Retrieved January 24, 2010.
- ^ Ambinder, Marc (February 16, 2010)"Bobby Jindal Writes A Book. Does This Mean He's Running For President?", The Atlantic. Retrieved February 18, 2010.
- ^ (April 15, 2010) "Mitt Romney-Sarah Palin in 2012? You betcha!", Boston Herald. Retrieved April 15, 2010.
- ^ Patton, Doug (June 15, 2010) "Sarah Will Have Many Markers to Call in for 2012", Canada Free Press. Retrieved June 15, 2010.
- ^ (April 15, 2010) "Rasmussen: Ron Paul Polls Even With Obama for 2012", Newsmax. Retrieved April 16, 2010.
- ^ Pappas, Alex (June 21, 2010)"Ron Paul says GOP will be more open to libertarian-minded nominee in 2012", The Daily Caller. Retrieved June 21, 2010.
- ^ (June 16, 2010) "Governor Tim Pawlenty Starts PACs in Iowa, New Hampshire, Builds for 2012", Life News. Retrieved June 30, 2010.
- ^ "Tim Pawlenty, Possible GOP 2012 Prospect, Sets up PACs in Iowa and New Hampshire". politicsdaily.com. 2010-06-16. Retrieved 2010-06-30.
- ^ (November 17, 2010) "GOP Dark Horses for 2012: Texas Governor Rick Perry", RealClearPolitics. Retrieved February 3, 2010.
- ^ "Perry Says No Bid for President". Politicalwire.com. 2010-04-17. Retrieved 2010-06-13.
- ^ Ambinder, Marc (March 12, 2010) "Petraeus to New Hampshire! Petraeus to New Hampshire?", The Atlantic. Retrieved March 24, 2010.
- ^ Harnden, Toby (April 3, 2010) "David Petraeus for President: Run General, run", The Daily Telegraph. Retrieved April 3, 2010.
- ^ Wagner, John (June 10, 2010) "Romney headlining Md. GOP fundraising dinner", The Washington Post. Retrieved June 10, 2010.
- ^ Bennet, George"Florida 2012 groundwork? Romney endorses McCollum, 13 other GOPers", The Palm Beach Post. Retrieved June 16, 2010.
- ^ "Rubio's path". April 7, 2010. Retrieved April 7, 2010.
{{cite web}}
: Unknown parameter|Publisher=
ignored (|publisher=
suggested) (help) - ^ Murray, Mark (April 7, 2010) "Marco Rubio and 2012", MSNBC.com. Retrieved April 7, 2010.
- ^ Preston, Mark (June 15, 2010) "Potential 2012 Republican candidate headed to Iowa", CNN. Retrieved June 21, 2010.
- ^ (June 19, 2010) "Sunday pops", Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. Retrieved June 21, 2010.
- ^ Goldman, LeRoy (May 27, 2010) "Thune is the one to watch in GOP", The Asheville Citizen Times. Retrieved June 3, 2010.
- ^ Drucker, David M. (June 21, 2010) "Thune’s Popularity Is About to Rise", Roll Call. Retrieved June 21, 2010.
- ^ Mannies, Jo (May 30, 2010) "Libertarians vote to stay true to the past", St. Louis Beacon. Retrieved June 3, 2010.
- ^ Zaitchik, Alexander (June 22, 2010) "In Its Heterodox Media Star, an Identity Crisis for Libertarian Party", The Washington Independent. Retrieved June 28, 2010.
- ^ (June 8, 2010) "Will Bloomberg run for President? He is looking at the current Political Climate", The Huffington Post. Retrieved June 9, 2010.
- ^ ""Bloomberg says to lay off BP"". Politico.com. Retrieved 2010-06-13.
- ^ Mason, Julie (May 19, 2010) "Checking in....with Lou Dobbs", The Washington Examiner. Retrieved May 20, 2010.
- ^ Edgecliffe, Andrew (May 29, 2010) "Dobbs drops anchor in Tea Party waters", Financial Times. Retrieved June 1, 2010.
- ^ Weigel, David (June 21, 2010) "Ralph Nader not ruling out 2012 presidential bid", The Washington Post. Retrieved June 24, 2010.
- ^ Zimmermann, Eric (June 21, 2010) "Nader blasts Obama, won't rule out 2012 run", The Hill. Retrieved June 24, 2010.
External links
- Mytimetovote.com - Contains voting information by State including seats repartition, poll location, and voter registration.