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Democratic primary: Victor Ramirez for Trone. Alsobrooks has also begun repeating her supporters' concerns about party unity in the general election.
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Alsobrooks and Trone, who have been viewed by media outlets as the frontrunners in the race,<ref>{{cite news |last1=Bade |first1=Rachael |last2=Daniels |first2=Eugene |last3=Lizza |first3=Ryan |title=Playbook: Jason Miller vs. Kristin Davison on the DeSantis stall |url=https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2023/07/08/jason-miller-vs-kristin-davison-on-the-desantis-stall-00105307 |access-date=October 16, 2023 |work=[[Politico]] |date=July 8, 2023}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Peck |first1=Louis |title=MoCo Politics: Raskin, still conflicted, considers his 2024 role both at home and nationally |url=https://moco360.media/2023/09/07/moco-politics-raskin-still-conflicted-considers-his-2024-role-both-at-home-and-nationally/ |access-date=October 16, 2023 |work=[[MoCo360]] |date=September 7, 2023}}</ref> have faced controversies that could damage their campaigns: Alsobrooks' record as a prosecutor has been scrutinized by progressive-media outlet ''[[The Intercept]]'',<ref>{{cite news |last1=Lacy |first1=Akela |title=Leading Democrat in Maryland Senate Race Once Blamed Murders On Decriminalized Pot |url=https://theintercept.com/2023/09/16/maryland-senate-angela-alsobrooks/ |access-date=October 16, 2023 |work=[[The Intercept]] |date=September 16, 2023}}</ref> while Trone has faced criticism for his [[campaign contributions]] toward Republican politicians through [[Total Wine & More]]<ref>{{cite news |last1=Turque |first1=Bill |title=David Trone has donated more than $150,000 to Republicans, database shows |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/md-politics/david-trone-has-donated-more-than-150000-to-republicans-database-shows/2016/01/28/962a7048-c5e3-11e5-a4aa-f25866ba0dc6_story.html |access-date=October 16, 2023 |newspaper=[[The Washington Post]] |date=January 28, 2016}}</ref><ref>{{cite magazine |last1=Cortellessa |first1=Eric |title=The Pro-Choice Senate Candidate Whose Company Donates to Anti-Abortion Republicans |url=https://time.com/6303732/senate-race-maryland-david-trone-abortion/ |access-date=October 16, 2023 |magazine=[[Time (magazine)|Time]] |date=August 10, 2023}}</ref> and for political gaffes made during the campaign,<ref>{{cite news |last1=Skalka |first1=Liz |title=Maryland Officials To Blast Rep. David Trone Over 'Low-Level' Comment |url=https://www.huffpost.com/entry/david-trone-maryland-senate_n_6635647fe4b0e44cfb119499 |access-date=May 3, 2024 |work=[[HuffPost]] |date=May 3, 2024 |language=en}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Neukam |first1=Stephen |title=Maryland Dem scrubs primary ad after backlash from Black women |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/05/02/david-trone-training-wheels-ad-backlash |access-date=May 2, 2024 |work=[[Axios (website)|Axios]] |date=May 2, 2024}}</ref><ref name="TestingCommitments" /> including his accidental use of a racial slur during a congressional hearing.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Manchester |first1=Julia |title=Democrats face growing divide in Maryland Senate primary |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4562559-maryland-david-trone-angela-alsobrooks-larry-hogan/ |access-date=March 29, 2024 |work=[[The Hill (newspaper)|The Hill]] |date=March 29, 2024}}</ref> On the campaign trail, Alsobrooks has criticized Trone for these contributions and for spending heavily in the race, while Trone has characterized Alsobrooks as a "career politician" with an insufficient record on reproductive rights, criticized her for not including any Latinos in her cabinet,<ref name="LatinoForum" /> and suggested she would be influenced by the corporations that had donated to her campaign.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Beachum |first1=Lateshia |title=U.S. Senate hopefuls debate crime, abortion and money in politics |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2024/04/20/maryland-senate-trone-alsobrooks/ |access-date=April 20, 2024 |work=[[The Washington Post]] |date=April 20, 2024}}</ref> Alsobrooks and some of her supporters, including Maryland treasurer [[Dereck E. Davis]] and Prince George's County councilmember [[Jolene Ivey]], have expressed concerns that Trone's comments toward Alsobrooks and her supporters could make coalescing around Trone difficult if he becomes the Democratic nominee; Trone supporters, including state delegate [[Joseline Peña-Melnyk]], have dismissed these concerns. Peña-Melnyk said that Democrats should "focus on the issues" going into the election and not "make that mistake again" as happened with [[2014 Maryland gubernatorial election|Larry Hogan's victory in 2014]].<ref>{{cite news |last1=Sears |first1=Bryan P. |title=Final days of heated Senate campaign have some worried about healing party divisions |url=https://www.marylandmatters.org/2024/05/04/final-days-of-heated-senate-campaign-have-some-worried-about-healing-party-divisions/ |access-date=May 4, 2024 |work=[[Maryland Matters]] |date=May 4, 2024}}</ref><ref name="TronesCase">{{cite news |last1=Brown |first1=Danielle J. |last2=Kurtz |first2=Josh |last3=Ford |first3=William J. |title=Trone lets others make the case for him in final days before the primary |url=https://www.marylandmatters.org/2024/05/10/trone-lets-others-make-the-case-for-him-in-final-days-before-the-primary/ |access-date=May 10, 2024 |work=[[Maryland Matters]] |date=May 10, 2024}}</ref> In interviews with [[WTOP-FM]] before the primary election, both candidates said that they will support the Democratic nominee in the general election.<ref>{{cite news |title=Q&A: Maryland Democratic Senate candidate Angela Alsobrooks |url=https://wtop.com/maryland-election/2024/05/qa-maryland-democratic-senate-candidate-angela-alsobrooks/ |access-date=May 8, 2024 |work=[[WTOP-FM]] |date=May 8, 2024 |language=en}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=Q&A: Maryland Democratic Senate candidate David Trone |url=https://wtop.com/maryland-election/2024/05/qa-maryland-democratic-senate-candidate-david-trone/ |access-date=May 8, 2024 |work=[[WTOP-FM]] |date=May 8, 2024 |language=en}}</ref>
Alsobrooks and Trone, who have been viewed by media outlets as the frontrunners in the race,<ref>{{cite news |last1=Bade |first1=Rachael |last2=Daniels |first2=Eugene |last3=Lizza |first3=Ryan |title=Playbook: Jason Miller vs. Kristin Davison on the DeSantis stall |url=https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2023/07/08/jason-miller-vs-kristin-davison-on-the-desantis-stall-00105307 |access-date=October 16, 2023 |work=[[Politico]] |date=July 8, 2023}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Peck |first1=Louis |title=MoCo Politics: Raskin, still conflicted, considers his 2024 role both at home and nationally |url=https://moco360.media/2023/09/07/moco-politics-raskin-still-conflicted-considers-his-2024-role-both-at-home-and-nationally/ |access-date=October 16, 2023 |work=[[MoCo360]] |date=September 7, 2023}}</ref> have faced controversies that could damage their campaigns: Alsobrooks' record as a prosecutor has been scrutinized by progressive-media outlet ''[[The Intercept]]'',<ref>{{cite news |last1=Lacy |first1=Akela |title=Leading Democrat in Maryland Senate Race Once Blamed Murders On Decriminalized Pot |url=https://theintercept.com/2023/09/16/maryland-senate-angela-alsobrooks/ |access-date=October 16, 2023 |work=[[The Intercept]] |date=September 16, 2023}}</ref> while Trone has faced criticism for his [[campaign contributions]] toward Republican politicians through [[Total Wine & More]]<ref>{{cite news |last1=Turque |first1=Bill |title=David Trone has donated more than $150,000 to Republicans, database shows |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/md-politics/david-trone-has-donated-more-than-150000-to-republicans-database-shows/2016/01/28/962a7048-c5e3-11e5-a4aa-f25866ba0dc6_story.html |access-date=October 16, 2023 |newspaper=[[The Washington Post]] |date=January 28, 2016}}</ref><ref>{{cite magazine |last1=Cortellessa |first1=Eric |title=The Pro-Choice Senate Candidate Whose Company Donates to Anti-Abortion Republicans |url=https://time.com/6303732/senate-race-maryland-david-trone-abortion/ |access-date=October 16, 2023 |magazine=[[Time (magazine)|Time]] |date=August 10, 2023}}</ref> and for political gaffes made during the campaign,<ref>{{cite news |last1=Skalka |first1=Liz |title=Maryland Officials To Blast Rep. David Trone Over 'Low-Level' Comment |url=https://www.huffpost.com/entry/david-trone-maryland-senate_n_6635647fe4b0e44cfb119499 |access-date=May 3, 2024 |work=[[HuffPost]] |date=May 3, 2024 |language=en}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Neukam |first1=Stephen |title=Maryland Dem scrubs primary ad after backlash from Black women |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/05/02/david-trone-training-wheels-ad-backlash |access-date=May 2, 2024 |work=[[Axios (website)|Axios]] |date=May 2, 2024}}</ref><ref name="TestingCommitments" /> including his accidental use of a racial slur during a congressional hearing.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Manchester |first1=Julia |title=Democrats face growing divide in Maryland Senate primary |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4562559-maryland-david-trone-angela-alsobrooks-larry-hogan/ |access-date=March 29, 2024 |work=[[The Hill (newspaper)|The Hill]] |date=March 29, 2024}}</ref> On the campaign trail, Alsobrooks has criticized Trone for these contributions and for spending heavily in the race, while Trone has characterized Alsobrooks as a "career politician" with an insufficient record on reproductive rights, criticized her for not including any Latinos in her cabinet,<ref name="LatinoForum" /> and suggested she would be influenced by the corporations that had donated to her campaign.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Beachum |first1=Lateshia |title=U.S. Senate hopefuls debate crime, abortion and money in politics |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2024/04/20/maryland-senate-trone-alsobrooks/ |access-date=April 20, 2024 |work=[[The Washington Post]] |date=April 20, 2024}}</ref> Alsobrooks and some of her supporters, including Maryland treasurer [[Dereck E. Davis]] and Prince George's County councilmember [[Jolene Ivey]], have expressed concerns that Trone's comments toward Alsobrooks and her supporters could make coalescing around Trone difficult if he becomes the Democratic nominee; Trone supporters, including state delegate [[Joseline Peña-Melnyk]], have dismissed these concerns. Peña-Melnyk said that Democrats should "focus on the issues" going into the election and not "make that mistake again" as happened with [[2014 Maryland gubernatorial election|Larry Hogan's victory in 2014]].<ref>{{cite news |last1=Sears |first1=Bryan P. |title=Final days of heated Senate campaign have some worried about healing party divisions |url=https://www.marylandmatters.org/2024/05/04/final-days-of-heated-senate-campaign-have-some-worried-about-healing-party-divisions/ |access-date=May 4, 2024 |work=[[Maryland Matters]] |date=May 4, 2024}}</ref><ref name="TronesCase">{{cite news |last1=Brown |first1=Danielle J. |last2=Kurtz |first2=Josh |last3=Ford |first3=William J. |title=Trone lets others make the case for him in final days before the primary |url=https://www.marylandmatters.org/2024/05/10/trone-lets-others-make-the-case-for-him-in-final-days-before-the-primary/ |access-date=May 10, 2024 |work=[[Maryland Matters]] |date=May 10, 2024}}</ref> In interviews with [[WTOP-FM]] before the primary election, both candidates said that they will support the Democratic nominee in the general election.<ref>{{cite news |title=Q&A: Maryland Democratic Senate candidate Angela Alsobrooks |url=https://wtop.com/maryland-election/2024/05/qa-maryland-democratic-senate-candidate-angela-alsobrooks/ |access-date=May 8, 2024 |work=[[WTOP-FM]] |date=May 8, 2024 |language=en}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=Q&A: Maryland Democratic Senate candidate David Trone |url=https://wtop.com/maryland-election/2024/05/qa-maryland-democratic-senate-candidate-david-trone/ |access-date=May 8, 2024 |work=[[WTOP-FM]] |date=May 8, 2024 |language=en}}</ref>


Jawando dropped out of the race on October 20, 2023, and later endorsed Alsobrooks,<ref name="WesMoore" /> leaving a contest between Alsobrooks and Trone in the Democratic primary.<ref name="JawandoOut" /><ref name="JawandoOut1">{{cite news |last1=Booker |first1=Brakkton |title=Maryland Senate contest becomes a two-person race |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/20/maryland-senate-contest-becomes-a-two-person-race-00122654 |access-date=October 20, 2023 |work=[[Politico]] |date=October 20, 2023}}</ref> Alsobrooks was seen as the early frontrunner of the Democratic primary, but momentum quickly built up behind Trone's campaign as he self-funded his campaign and its nonstop media blitz, which has increased his name recognition and approval ratings in polling and overwhelmed the Alsobrooks campaign's resources.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Peck |first1=Louis |title=MoCo Politics: A deep dive into the money in the recently altered battle for Maryland's open Senate seat |url=https://moco360.media/2024/02/16/moco-politics-a-deep-dive-into-the-money-in-the-recently-altered-battle-for-marylands-open-senate-seat/ |access-date=February 16, 2024 |work=[[MoCo360]] |date=February 16, 2024}}</ref> The Democratic primary has been compared to the primary in [[2016 United States Senate election in Maryland|Maryland's 2016 U.S. Senate election]], in which [[Chris Van Hollen]] defeated [[Donna Edwards]]. <ref name="Wounds" /> Upon former governor [[Larry Hogan]]'s entry into the race, the Democratic primary largely transformed into a contest to determine which candidate had the best chance of defeating him, with candidates shifting from talking about their experience and leadership styles to talking about national issues—such as abortion, the [[U.S. Supreme Court]], and [[Donald Trump]]—and criticizing Hogan's legislative record as governor.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Wood |first1=Pamela |title=Larry Hogan's candidacy, national issues upend Democratic race for U.S. Senate |url=https://www.thebaltimorebanner.com/politics-power/national-politics/hogan-alsobrooks-trone-senate-H4D2BJYNVFF6RCPRJL5L57SKLE/ |access-date=February 15, 2024 |work=[[Baltimore Banner]] |date=February 15, 2024 |language=en}}</ref>
Jawando dropped out of the race on October 20, 2023, and later endorsed Alsobrooks,<ref name="WesMoore" /> leaving a contest between Alsobrooks and Trone in the Democratic primary.<ref name="JawandoOut" /><ref name="JawandoOut1">{{cite news |last1=Booker |first1=Brakkton |title=Maryland Senate contest becomes a two-person race |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/20/maryland-senate-contest-becomes-a-two-person-race-00122654 |access-date=October 20, 2023 |work=[[Politico]] |date=October 20, 2023}}</ref> Alsobrooks was seen as the early frontrunner of the Democratic primary, but momentum quickly built up behind Trone's campaign as he self-funded his campaign and its nonstop media blitz, which has increased his name recognition and approval ratings in polling and overwhelmed the Alsobrooks campaign's resources.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Peck |first1=Louis |title=MoCo Politics: A deep dive into the money in the recently altered battle for Maryland's open Senate seat |url=https://moco360.media/2024/02/16/moco-politics-a-deep-dive-into-the-money-in-the-recently-altered-battle-for-marylands-open-senate-seat/ |access-date=February 16, 2024 |work=[[MoCo360]] |date=February 16, 2024}}</ref> The Democratic primary has been compared to the primary in [[2016 United States Senate election in Maryland|Maryland's 2016 U.S. Senate election]], in which [[Chris Van Hollen]] defeated [[Donna Edwards]].<ref name="Wounds" /> Upon former governor [[Larry Hogan]]'s entry into the race, the Democratic primary largely transformed into a contest to determine which candidate had the best chance of defeating him, with candidates shifting from talking about their experience and leadership styles to talking about national issues—such as abortion, the [[U.S. Supreme Court]], and [[Donald Trump]]—and criticizing Hogan's legislative record as governor.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Wood |first1=Pamela |title=Larry Hogan's candidacy, national issues upend Democratic race for U.S. Senate |url=https://www.thebaltimorebanner.com/politics-power/national-politics/hogan-alsobrooks-trone-senate-H4D2BJYNVFF6RCPRJL5L57SKLE/ |access-date=February 15, 2024 |work=[[Baltimore Banner]] |date=February 15, 2024 |language=en}}</ref>


===Candidates===
===Candidates===

Revision as of 16:07, 10 May 2024

2024 United States Senate election in Maryland

← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
 
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Ben Cardin
Democratic



The 2024 United States Senate election in Maryland will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Maryland. The Democratic and Republican primary elections will be held on May 14, 2024.[1]

Incumbent three-term Democratic Senator Ben Cardin was reelected in 2018 with 64.9% of the vote. On May 1, 2023, he announced that he would not be seeking reelection to a fourth term in office.[2]

Background

At the federal and state level, Maryland is a deeply blue state and one of the most reliably Democratic states in the nation, with Joe Biden carrying it by 33 points in the 2020 presidential election. Elections in Maryland are dominated by the Baltimore metropolitan area and the D.C. suburbs.[3] Democrats currently occupy both Senate seats, 7 out of 8 House seats, supermajorities in both houses of the state legislature, and all statewide offices.

Republicans have not won Maryland's Class 1 seat since 1970.[4] Although the entry of former Maryland governor Larry Hogan is expected to make the race more competitive, the winner of the Democratic primary is favored to win in the general election given that Republicans have not won a Senate seat in the state of Maryland since 1980. The decline of split-ticket voting in U.S. Senate races is expected to favor the Democrats for this race.[5][6][7][8] Hogan has led in most polls as of April 2024, however.[9]

Democratic primary

Campaign

Cardin speaking on a stage with a "My Friend Ben Cardin for U.S. Senate" logo on a projector in the background
Ben Cardin in 2023

In the early months of 2023, Cardin's low fundraising and cash-on-hand numbers led to speculation that he would retire.[10][11] Several potential candidates, including Angela Alsobrooks and David Trone, began hiring campaign advisers in anticipation of Cardin's possible retirement,[12] which he announced on May 1, 2023, ending a political career that spanned over 50 years.[13]

The following day, at-large Montgomery County Councilmember Will Jawando announced that he would run for Senate.[14] He was joined by Trone[15] and Alsobrooks[16] later in the week. Upon Trone's entry into the race, the Democratic primary quickly developed into a contest between money and endorsements,[17] with Alsobrooks receiving major endorsements from the Maryland Democratic establishment[18][19] and Trone self-financing his campaign with $61 million in personal loans,[20] which he claims protects him from political influence and would allow the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee to focus its resources on more competitive races,[21][22] and suggesting that he could spend as much as $50 million on the race.[23] Despite Trone's ad blitz, independent polling has portrayed him as only the slight favorite in the Democratic primary.[24][25]

Angela Alsobrooks (left) and David Trone (right) in 2023

During the Democratic primary, Jawando and Trone have sought to present themselves as progressives and political outsiders, pointing to their careers and political records,[26][27] despite Trone's record in Congress being more aligned with its moderate members.[28] Alsobrooks, meanwhile, has emphasized "kitchen-table" issues such as community safety and health care in her campaign while also focusing on her political career.[29][30] Candidates are expected to campaign heavily in the Baltimore metropolitan area, which is seen as a key battleground in the Democratic primary[31][32] as Trone and Alsobrooks are expected to dominate in their respective home counties of Montgomery and Prince George's County, which are of similar sizes and could cancel each other out in the primary results.[33]

Alsobrooks and Trone, who have been viewed by media outlets as the frontrunners in the race,[34][35] have faced controversies that could damage their campaigns: Alsobrooks' record as a prosecutor has been scrutinized by progressive-media outlet The Intercept,[36] while Trone has faced criticism for his campaign contributions toward Republican politicians through Total Wine & More[37][38] and for political gaffes made during the campaign,[39][40][41] including his accidental use of a racial slur during a congressional hearing.[42] On the campaign trail, Alsobrooks has criticized Trone for these contributions and for spending heavily in the race, while Trone has characterized Alsobrooks as a "career politician" with an insufficient record on reproductive rights, criticized her for not including any Latinos in her cabinet,[43] and suggested she would be influenced by the corporations that had donated to her campaign.[44] Alsobrooks and some of her supporters, including Maryland treasurer Dereck E. Davis and Prince George's County councilmember Jolene Ivey, have expressed concerns that Trone's comments toward Alsobrooks and her supporters could make coalescing around Trone difficult if he becomes the Democratic nominee; Trone supporters, including state delegate Joseline Peña-Melnyk, have dismissed these concerns. Peña-Melnyk said that Democrats should "focus on the issues" going into the election and not "make that mistake again" as happened with Larry Hogan's victory in 2014.[45][46] In interviews with WTOP-FM before the primary election, both candidates said that they will support the Democratic nominee in the general election.[47][48]

Jawando dropped out of the race on October 20, 2023, and later endorsed Alsobrooks,[49] leaving a contest between Alsobrooks and Trone in the Democratic primary.[50][4] Alsobrooks was seen as the early frontrunner of the Democratic primary, but momentum quickly built up behind Trone's campaign as he self-funded his campaign and its nonstop media blitz, which has increased his name recognition and approval ratings in polling and overwhelmed the Alsobrooks campaign's resources.[51] The Democratic primary has been compared to the primary in Maryland's 2016 U.S. Senate election, in which Chris Van Hollen defeated Donna Edwards.[22] Upon former governor Larry Hogan's entry into the race, the Democratic primary largely transformed into a contest to determine which candidate had the best chance of defeating him, with candidates shifting from talking about their experience and leadership styles to talking about national issues—such as abortion, the U.S. Supreme Court, and Donald Trump—and criticizing Hogan's legislative record as governor.[52]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Angela Alsobrooks
U.S. Ambassadors
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide elected officials
State cabinet officials
State legislators
County officials
Mayors
Other local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Will Jawando (withdrawn)
Executive Branch officials
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Declined to endorse
U.S. senators
Party officials
Organizations

Debates and forums

From left to right: Steve Seuferer, Andrew Wildman, Marcellus Crews, Angela Alsobrooks, David Trone, Robert Houton, and Brian Frydenborg
Democratic candidates debating at the Montgomery County Women's Democratic Club forum, 2024

A straw poll was held during the Maryland Democratic Party's forum on the Eastern Shore, which was won by Alsobrooks, who received 125 votes to Trone's 98 votes and Dominguez's 15 votes.[148]

A televised debate between Alsobrooks and Trone hosted by WBAL-TV and WRC-TV was set to be held on April 23, 2024, but was cancelled after Trone refused to commit to the debate.[149] Both campaigns agreed to attend a different televised debate hosted by WBFF and WJLA-TV a few days later, which was held on April 19.[150][151] A second televised debate was held by WDCW on April 29, 2024, which was attended by Alsobrooks while Trone declined to attend.[152]

2024 Maryland Democratic Senate primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Alsobrooks Crews Frydenborg Trone Others
1[153] Oct 24, 2023 Maryland Federation of NARFE Barbara Cuffee N/A A N N P
2[148] Nov 3, 2023 Maryland Democratic Party Sam Shoge N/A P N N P P[i]
3[43] Dec 3, 2023 Latino Democrats of
Prince George's County
Patricia Villone
William Ford
Website P N N P P[i]
4[154] Mar 2, 2024 Montgomery County
Women's Democratic Club
Jennifer Rubin N/A P P P P P[j]
5[155] Mar 8, 2024 Prince George's
County NAACP
Ebony McMorris
Jordan Howlette
YouTube P N N P
6[156] Mar 11, 2024 Frederick County
Conservative Club
Jonathan Jenkins
Matthew Foldi
Facebook A N A A P[k]
7[157] Mar 16, 2024 Baltimore City Democratic
State Central Committee
Karenthia Barber Facebook I
Facebook II
P N P A P[l]
8[158] Mar 21, 2024 League of Women Voters
of Maryland
TBD TBD P P P A P[m]
9[159] Mar 28, 2024 Democratic Club of
Leisure World
Louis Peck
Erin Cox
TBD P N N P
10[136] Apr 2, 2024 Maryland Matters
Maryland League of
Conservation Voters
Josh Kurtz
Staci Hartwell
Linda Kohn
Sydney Nwuli
YouTube P N N P
11[160] Apr 6, 2024 Frederick County
Democratic Party
TBD Facebook P P P A
12[161] Apr 7, 2024 Baltimore County Democratic
State Central Committee
Jayne Miller Facebook
X (Twitter)
P N N A
13[151] Apr 19, 2024 WBFF
The Baltimore Sun
Kai Jackson YouTube P N N P
14[152] Apr 29, 2024 WDCW Chris Flanagan
Anna-Lysa Gayle
Website
YouTube
P N N A
15 Apr 29, 2024 First Baptist Church
of Glenarden
Lou Holder Facebook P P P A
16[162] Apr 30, 2024 Caucus of African
American Leaders
Justin J. Pearson Facebook P P N P

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Angela Alsobrooks (D) $7,784,332 $5,875,228 $1,909,104
David Trone (D) $54,937,505[n] $51,413,130 $3,727,481
Source: Federal Election Commission[163]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[o]
Margin
of error
Angela
Alsobrooks
David
Trone
Other Undecided
Emerson College[A] May 6−8, 2024 462 (RV) ± 4.5% 47% 44% 9%[p] [q]
42% 41% 5%[r] 12%
OpinionWorks[B] April 7−10, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 50% 12%
29% 48% 10%[s] 12%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group[C] April 8−10, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 43% 17%
Goucher College[D] March 19−24, 2024 408 (LV) ± 4.9% 33% 42% >1% 24%
SurveyUSA March 13−18, 2024 550 (LV) ± 5.4% 28% 40% 11%[t] 21%
Braun Research[E] March 5−12, 2024 525 (RV) ± 4.5% 27% 34% 39%
Hickman Analytics[F] February 13−18, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 32% 49% 1% 18%
Emerson College[A] February 12−13, 2024 543 (RV) ± 3.0% 17% 32% 14%[u] 37%
Hickman Analytics[F] January 18−24, 2024 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 34% 45% 1% 21%
Hickman Analytics[F] November 27–30, 2023 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 34% 41% 1% 25%
RMG Research[G] November 15–17, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 25% 45% 5%[v] 25%
Victoria Research[H] November 9–13, 2023 813 (LV) 31% 36% 18%

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Angela Alsobrooks
Democratic Marcellus Crews
Democratic Michael Cobb
Democratic Brian Frydenborg
Democratic Scottie Griffin
Democratic Robert Houton
Democratic Joseph Perez
Democratic Steve Seuferer
Democratic David Trone
Democratic Andrew Wildman
Total votes

Republican primary

Campaign

Larry Hogan (left) and Robin Ficker (right) in 2018

Several Republican candidates have filed to enter the race, with the most notable being former Maryland governor Larry Hogan.[164] Retired U.S. Air Force brigadier general John Teichert was long viewed as the frontrunner[165] until Hogan's surprise entry into the race hours before the candidate filing deadline,[6][166] which prompted Teichert to withdraw from the race on February 16 and endorse Hogan, leaving him with only token opposition remaining in the primary.[167]

The Republican primary results could provide an image of the allegiances of the Maryland Republican Party, whose base has grown frustrated with Hogan for opposing former President Donald Trump.[168][169] Robin Ficker, a perennial candidate and disbarred attorney, has positioned himself as a protest candidate against Hogan by aligning himself with Trump, but opinion polls have shown Hogan with a substantial lead over Ficker.[170]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Larry Hogan
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Organizations
John Teichert (withdrawn)
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide elected officials
State cabinet officials
  • Mike Gill, former Maryland Secretary of Commerce (2015–2019; 2022–2023)[128]
State senators
State delegates

Debates and forums

2024 Maryland Republican Senate primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Baraket Ficker Friend Myrick Seyoum
1[156] Mar 11, 2024 Frederick County
Conservative Club
Jonathan Jenkins
Matthew Foldi
Facebook P P P P P
2[158] Mar 21, 2024 League of Women Voters
of Maryland
TBD TBD A P A P A
3 Apr 29, 2024 First Baptist Church
of Glenarden
Lou Holder Facebook A A A P A

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mohammed Barakat (R) $1,117 $80 $1,037
Robin Ficker (R) $4,408,884[w] $4,358,225 $52,865
Lorie Friend (R) $1,227[x] $3,699 $0
Larry Hogan (R) $3,074,711 $1,289,905 $1,784,807
John Myrick (R) $7,919[y] $7,359 $560
Source: Federal Election Commission[163]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[o]
Margin
of error
Chris
Chaffee
Robin
Ficker
Larry
Hogan
John
Myrick
Other Undecided
Emerson College[A] May 6−8, 2024 248 (RV) ± 6.2% 2% 18% 56% 2% 4%[z] 20%
OpinionWorks[B] April 7−10, 2024 451 (LV) ± 4.6% 2% 9% 69% 3% 7%[aa] 12%
SurveyUSA March 13−18, 2024 300 (LV) ± 6.7% 4% 9% 55% 1% 9%[ab] 22%
Emerson College[A] February 12−13, 2024 246 (RV) ± 3.0% 2% 6% 43% 2% 6%[ac] 43%

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Moe Barakat
Republican Chris Chaffee
Republican Robin Ficker
Republican Lorie Friend
Republican Larry Hogan
Republican John A. Myrick
Republican Laban Seyoum
Total votes

Third-party and independent candidates

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Debates and forums

Osuchukwu attended the NARFE Maryland Federation forum on October 24, 2023.[153]

General election

Campaign

The issue of abortion is expected to be a major issue in the general election, with Maryland voters set to vote on enshrining reproductive rights into the state constitution alongside the Senate election. If Hogan wins the Republican nomination, Democrats are expected to scrutinize Hogan's legislative record—including his vetoes on legislation to require background checks on firearm sales, increase the minimum wage, provide paid family and medical leave, and expand abortion care—and seek to associate him with generic Republicans.[183][184][185][186] Hogan's candidacy could also transform the general election into a test of his popularity, especially among Democrats, who outnumber registered Republicans 2-to-1 and were key to Hogan's successes in past elections.[187] If Trone wins the Democratic nomination, Republicans may look to his business record for attacks; if Alsobrooks wins, Republicans could campaign against her handling of crime and education in Prince George's County.[188]

Trone has suggested that he would spend upwards of $50 million of his own personal wealth on the race if he wins the Democratic nomination, though he has previously suggested that he may require some assistance from the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.[41] Maryland Governor Wes Moore is also expected to play a role in campaigning against Hogan.[189]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[190] Likely D February 9, 2024
Inside Elections[191] Likely D February 9, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[192] Likely D February 9, 2024
Elections Daily[193] Solid D May 4, 2023
CNalysis[194] Solid D November 21, 2023

Polling

Angela Alsobrooks vs. Larry Hogan
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[o]
Margin
of error
Angela
Alsobrooks (D)
Larry
Hogan (R)
Undecided
Emerson College[A] May 6−8, 2024 1,115 (RV) ± 2.9% 48% 38% 14%
Public Policy Polling (D)[I] May 6−7, 2024 719 (RV) ± 3.7% 46% 37% 17%
OpinionWorks[B] April 7−10, 2024 1,292 (LV) ± 3.0% 36% 54% 10%
Goucher College[D] March 19−24, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 40% 44% 11%
Braun Research[E] March 5−12, 2024 1,004 (RV) ± 3.3% 36% 50% 15%
Emerson College[A] February 12−13, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 44% 19%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)[J] January 30−February 1, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 29% 52% 19%
Victoria Research[H] November 9–13, 2023 813 (LV) 36% 42%
David Trone vs. Larry Hogan
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[o]
Margin
of error
David
Trone (D)
Larry
Hogan (R)
Undecided
Emerson College[A] May 6−8, 2024 1,115 (RV) ± 2.9% 49% 38% 14%
Public Policy Polling (D)[I] May 6−7, 2024 719 (RV) ± 3.7% 47% 37% 16%
OpinionWorks[B] April 7−10, 2024 1,292 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% 53% 7%
Goucher College[D] March 19−24, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 42% 43% 10%
Braun Research[E] March 5−12, 2024 1,004 (RV) ± 3.3% 37% 49% 14%
Emerson College[A] February 12−13, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 42% 16%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)[J] January 30−February 1, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 33% 49% 18%
Victoria Research[H] November 9–13, 2023 813 (LV) 49% 34%
Hypothetical polling
with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[o]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[I] May 6−7, 2024 719 (RV) ± 3.7% 54% 33% 21%

Results

2024 United States Senate election in Maryland
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic TBD
Republican TBD
Libertarian Mike Scott
Green Nancy Wallace N/A
Independent Emmanuel Osuchukwu
Write-in
Total votes

Notes

  1. ^ Revoked endorsement following election as chair of the Maryland Democratic Party
  2. ^ National and Local 689
  3. ^ National and Maryland chapters
  4. ^ Locals 400, 722, and 1199SEIU United Healthcare Workers East
  5. ^ Locals 24, 26, 307, and 1200
  6. ^ Baltimore District Council, and Locals 333 and 953
  7. ^ Mid-Atlantic, Philadelphia/Baltimore/Washington, and Appalachian district councils
  8. ^ National and Local 100
  9. ^ a b Juan Dominguez
  10. ^ Robert Houton, Steven Seuferer, Andrew Wildman
  11. ^ Michael Cobb
  12. ^ Michael Cobb and Andrew Wildman
  13. ^ Michael Cobb, Steven Seuferer, Andrew Wildman
  14. ^ $54,121,000 of this total was self-funded by Trone.
  15. ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  16. ^ Joseph Perez, Robert Houton, and Michael Cobb with 2%; Marcellus Crews, Brian Frydenborg, Scottie Griffin, and Steven Seuferer with 1%; Andrew Wildman with <1%
  17. ^ Undecided respondents were asked which candidate they are leaning towards
  18. ^ Robert Houton with 2%, Michael Cobb with 1%, and Marcellus Crews, Brian Frydenborg, Scottie Griffin, Joseph Perez, Steven Seuferer, and Andrew Wildman with <1%
  19. ^ Marcellus Crews, Scottie Griffin, Robert Houton, and Joseph Perez with 2%, Michael Cobb and Andrew Wildman with 1%, and Brian Frydenborg and Steven Seuferer with 0%
  20. ^ Michael Cobb, Scottie Griffin, Marcellus Crews, and Joseph Perez with 2%; Brian Frydenborg, Andrew Wildman, and Robert Houton with 1%; Steven Seuferer with 0%
  21. ^ Joseph Perez with 4%; Stephen Seuferer with 3%; Michael Cobb with 2% "All others (each with 1%)" with 5%
  22. ^ "Someone else" with 4%, "Would not vote" with 1%
  23. ^ $4,390,018 of this total was self-funded by Ficker
  24. ^ $377 of this total was self-funded by Friend
  25. ^ $7,459 of this total was self-funded by Myrick
  26. ^ Moe Barakat, Lorie Friend, Laban Seyoum, and John Teichert with 1%
  27. ^ "Someone else" with 2%, Lorie Friend and Laban Seyoum with 1%, and Moe Barakat with <1%
  28. ^ Moe Barakat with 7%, Lorie Friend with 2%, and Laban Seyoum with 0%
  29. ^ Moe Barakat, Lorie Friend, Laban Seyoum, and John Teichert with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  2. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by The Baltimore Sun and WBFF
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by Angela Alsobrooks' campaign
  4. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by The Baltimore Banner
  5. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by The Washington Post and the University of Maryland
  6. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by David Trone
  7. ^ Poll sponsored by U.S. Term Limits. David Trone has signed the group's term-limit pledge.
  8. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Perry, White, Ross & Jacobson LLC
  9. ^ a b c This poll was commissioned by EMILY's List, which supports Alsobrooks.
  10. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the National Republican Senatorial Committee, which supports Hogan.

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