2020 United States Senate election in Wyoming: Difference between revisions
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*David Dodson, businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in [[2018 United States Senate election in Wyoming|2018]]<ref name="Reynolds"/> |
*David Dodson, businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in [[2018 United States Senate election in Wyoming|2018]]<ref name="Reynolds"/> |
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*[[Affie Ellis]], state senator<ref name="Reynolds2">{{cite news|last1=Reynolds|first1=Nick|title=With Mike Enzi retiring, Wyoming's first open Senate seat in decades could attract big names|url=https://trib.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/with-mike-enzi-retiring-wyoming-s-first-open-senate-seat/article_5246e648-6daf-592e-a84a-a59ceba71e9a.html|newspaper=Casper Star-Tribune|date=May 13, 2019|accessdate=May 13, 2019}}</ref> |
*[[Affie Ellis]], state senator<ref name="Reynolds2">{{cite news|last1=Reynolds|first1=Nick|title=With Mike Enzi retiring, Wyoming's first open Senate seat in decades could attract big names|url=https://trib.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/with-mike-enzi-retiring-wyoming-s-first-open-senate-seat/article_5246e648-6daf-592e-a84a-a59ceba71e9a.html|newspaper=Casper Star-Tribune|date=May 13, 2019|accessdate=May 13, 2019}}</ref> |
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*[[Foster Friess]], businessman and candidate for [[Governor of Wyoming]] in [[2018 Wyoming gubernatorial election|2018]]<ref name="RC1">{{cite news |last1=Gonzales |first1=Nathan L. |title=Enzi retirement likely to spur competitive Wyoming primary, but for which seat? |url=http://www.rollcall.com/news/gonzales/enzi-retirement-likely-to-spur-competitive-wyoming-primary-but-for-which-seat |accessdate=May 6, 2019 |publisher=Roll Call |date=May 6, 2019}}</ref> |
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*[[Robert E. Grady|Robert Grady]], policy adviser to former President [[George H.W. Bush]] and former [[Governor of Wyoming]] [[Matt Mead]]<ref>{{cite news |last1=Reynolds |first1=Nick |title=Former White House aide exploring bid for Enzi's seat |url=https://trib.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/former-white-house-aide-exploring-bid-for-enzi-s-seat/article_6943bc86-264e-5ea2-ab58-3e551ecb09f1.html |accessdate=4 May 2019 |work=Casper Star-Tribune |date=28 June 2019}}</ref> |
*[[Robert E. Grady|Robert Grady]], policy adviser to former President [[George H.W. Bush]] and former [[Governor of Wyoming]] [[Matt Mead]]<ref>{{cite news |last1=Reynolds |first1=Nick |title=Former White House aide exploring bid for Enzi's seat |url=https://trib.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/former-white-house-aide-exploring-bid-for-enzi-s-seat/article_6943bc86-264e-5ea2-ab58-3e551ecb09f1.html |accessdate=4 May 2019 |work=Casper Star-Tribune |date=28 June 2019}}</ref> |
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*[[Tyler Lindholm]], state representative<ref name="Reynolds2"/> |
*[[Tyler Lindholm]], state representative<ref name="Reynolds2"/> |
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Revision as of 22:05, 2 March 2020
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| Elections in Wyoming |
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The 2020 United States Senate election in Wyoming will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Wyoming, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. This is the first election to an open U.S. Senate seat in Wyoming since 1996.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Mark Armstrong, geologist[1]
- Cynthia Lummis, former U.S. Representative for Wyoming's at-large congressional district and former Treasurer of Wyoming[2]
- Robert Short, Converse County commissioner and businessman[3]
- Joshua Wheeler, Wyoming Army National Guard veteran[4][5]
Potential
- Jillian Balow, Wyoming Superintendent of Public Instruction[6]
- David Dodson, businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[6]
- Affie Ellis, state senator[7]
- Robert Grady, policy adviser to former President George H.W. Bush and former Governor of Wyoming Matt Mead[8]
- Tyler Lindholm, state representative[7]
- Tara Nethercott, state senator[7]
Declined
- Liz Cheney, incumbent U.S. Representative for Wyoming's at-large congressional district, Chair of House Republican Conference, and daughter of former Vice President Dick Cheney[9]
- Mike Enzi, incumbent U.S. Senator[10]
- Matt Mead, former Governor of Wyoming[11]
- Marian Orr, mayor of Cheyenne (running for re-election)[12]
- Foster Friess, businessman and former governor candidate Cite error: A
<ref>tag is missing the closing</ref>(see the help page). - Ted Cruz, U.S. senator (R-TX) and candidate for President in 2016[13]
- U. S. Representatives
- David M. McIntosh, former U.S. Representative from Indiana
- Organizations
}}
Polling
Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mark Armstrong |
Jillian Ballow |
Liz Cheney |
Foster Friess |
Cynthia Lummis |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State University Billings | Oct 7-16, 2019 | 67 (LV) | — | 4% | <1% | 37% | 3% | 17% | 38% |
| The Tarrance Group (R)[A] | Jun 22–24, 2019 | 502 | ± 4.5% | — | — | 56% | — | 34% | — |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mark Armstrong | |||
| Republican | Cynthia Lummis | |||
| Republican | Joshua Wheeler | |||
| Republican | Robert Short | |||
| Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Merav Ben-David, University of Wyoming ecology professor[16]
- Chuck Jagoda, teacher[17]
- Yana Ludwig, activist and community organizer[18]
Potential
- Dave Freudenthal, former Governor of Wyoming[19]
- Mike Gierau, state senator[19]
- John Hastert, former state senator[19]
- Gary Trauner, businessman, nominee for Wyoming's at-large congressional district in 2006 and 2008, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018[6]
Endorsements
Yana Ludwig
- Organizations
- No Dem Left Behind
- Our Revolution Casper
- Rose Caucus[20]
- SE Wyoming Democratic Socialists of America
Polling
Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Dave Freudenthal |
John Hastert |
Gary Trauner |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State University Billings | Oct 7-16, 2019 | 14 (LV) | — | 36% | 8% | 12% | — | 44% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Merav Ben-David | |||
| Democratic | Chuck Jagoda | |||
| Democratic | Yana Ludwig | |||
| Total votes | 100.0% | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[21] | Safe R | February 5, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[22] | Safe R | January 10, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe R | February 20, 2020 |
| Politico[24] | Safe R | November 19, 2019 |
Notes
- Partisan clients
- Voter samples and additional candidates
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References
- ^ "Geologist to seek Wyoming US Senate seat". Times Union. August 23, 2019. Retrieved August 23, 2019.
- ^ Cepeda, Dan (July 11, 2019). "Former Congresswoman Cynthia Lummis announces run for Enzi's seat". Oil City News. Retrieved July 11, 2019.
- ^ https://trib.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/converse-county-commissioner-businessman-robert-short-announces-run-for-us/article_739e240a-cbc9-5cd4-97c7-5d02d3f94471.html
- ^ "Wheeler, Joshua B |FEC-Candidate Overview,". FEC. Retrieved 2019-05-28.
- ^ "Wheeler 4 US Senate Casper, Wyoming". Wheeler 4 US Senate. Retrieved 2019-05-28.
- ^ a b c Reynolds, Nick (May 4, 2019). "After 22 years in office, Sen. Mike Enzi says he will retire in 2020". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved May 4, 2019.
- ^ a b c Reynolds, Nick (May 13, 2019). "With Mike Enzi retiring, Wyoming's first open Senate seat in decades could attract big names". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved May 13, 2019.
- ^ Reynolds, Nick (28 June 2019). "Former White House aide exploring bid for Enzi's seat". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved 4 May 2019.
- ^ "Rep. Liz Cheney says she won't seek open Senate seat, will seek reelection in House". Washington Post. Washington Post. Retrieved 16 January 2020.
- ^ nick.reynolds@trib.com, Nick Reynolds 307-266-0634. "After 22 years in office, Sen. Mike Enzi says he will retire in 2020". Casper Star-Tribune Online. Retrieved 2019-05-04.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link) - ^ Gruver, Mead (December 19, 2019). "Ex Wyoming governor says no to Senate run, Cheney is a maybe". Star Tribune. Retrieved December 20, 2019.
- ^ Huguelet, Austin (January 4, 2019). "Cheyenne mayor to run for re-election, not higher office". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved January 31, 2019.
- ^ "Cruz endorses Lummis in Wyoming's U.S. Senate race". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. January 24, 2020. Retrieved February 29, 2020.
- ^ "Cynthia Lummis (WY-SEN)". Club for Growth. Retrieved February 29, 2020.
- ^ Lake, Eli (June 30, 2019). "Republican Hawks Need Liz Cheney in the Senate". Bloomberg. Retrieved July 1, 2019.
- ^ Exchange, Tom Coulter Wyoming Tribune Eagle Via Wyoming News. "UW professor announces run as Democrat for U.S. Senate seat". Laramie Boomerang. Retrieved 2020-01-20.
- ^ Reynolds, Nick (September 4, 2019). "Wyo Dems resolve to not support out-of-state candidates in in-state elections". Casper Star Tribune. Retrieved January 5, 2020.
- ^ Reynolds, Nick (June 12, 2019). "Laramie Democrat becomes first candidate to announce run to succeed Sen. Mike Enzi". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 13, 2019.
- ^ a b c Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved 19 February 2019.
- ^ https://www.rosecaucus.com/slate
- ^ "2020 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- ^ "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 Senate". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
External links
- Official campaign websites