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2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands

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2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands
Netherlands
← 2019 6 June 2024 2029 →

31 Netherlands seats in the European Parliament
Party Leader Current seats
GL/PvdA Bas Eickhout 9
PVV Sebastiaan Stöteler 0
VVD Malik Azmani 5
CDA Tom Berendsen 5
D66 Gerben-Jan Gerbrandy 1
BBB Sander Smit 0
Volt Reinier van Lanschot 0
PvdD Anja Hazekamp 1
NSC Dirk Gotink 0
SGP Bert-Jan Ruissen 1

An election of the Members of the European Parliament (MEPs) from the Netherlands was held on 6 June 2024 as part of the 2024 European Parliament election. It was the tenth time the elections have been held for the European elections in the Netherlands, and the first to take place after Brexit.

Electoral system

Ballot paper for the European Parliament election in the Netherlands, 2024
Result

Apportionment

Compared to last election, Netherlands is entitled to five more MEPs: three already assigned in 2020 in the occasion of the redistribution post Brexit, and two assigned in 2023 after a pre-election assessment of the Parliament composition based on the most recent population figures.[1] The 31 members are elected through semi-open list proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency with seats allocated through D'Hondt method. Parties that do not reach a full Hare quota are ineligible to receive remainder seats, meaning there is an effective electoral threshold of around 3.23%.[2][3]

Electoral law

Both Dutch nationals and EU citizens residing in the Netherlands are entitled to vote in the European elections in the Netherlands. No voter registration is needed for EU nationals (including Dutch citizens) residing within the country, but they do need to be registered as a resident in their municipality on 23 April 2024. Dutch citizen residing abroad are required to register as "Dutch voter abroad" in the municipality of The Hague. In addition, those eligible to vote must turn 18 years old by election day at the latest.[4]

The seats won by a list are first allocated to the candidates who, in preferential votes, have received at least 10% of the Hare quota (effectively a tenth of a seat or 0.32% of the total votes), regardless of their placement on the electoral list. If multiple candidates from a list pass this threshold, their ordering is determined based on the number of votes received. Any remaining seats are allocated to candidates according to their position on the electoral list.[5]

Five municipalities – Alphen aan den Rijn, Midden-Delfland, Boekel, Borne, and Tynaarlo – will have a pilot to test an A3-size ballot, smaller than ones used in prior elections. The revised ballot would not list all candidate names and would instead ask voters to select the candidate number regardless of party. If successful, it is planned to be used nationwide starting with the 2026 municipal elections.[6]

Contesting parties

Party European Party Group 2019 result Top candidate
GL/PvdA
GroenLinks–PvdA
EGP / PES Greens-EFA / S&D 29.9[a] Bas Eickhout[7]
VVD People's Party for Freedom and Democracy ALDE RE 14.6 Malik Azmani[8]
CDA Christian Democratic Appeal EPP EPP 12.2 Tom Berendsen[9]
FvD Forum for Democracy NI 11.0 Ralf Dekker [nl]
D66 Democrats 66 ALDE RE 7.1 Gerben-Jan Gerbrandy[10]
CU Christian Union ECPM EPP 6.8 Anja Haga[11]
SGP Reformed Political Party ECPM ECR Bert-Jan Ruissen[12]
PvdD Party for the Animals APEU GUE/NGL 4.0 Anja Hazekamp[13]
50+ 50PLUS EDP RE 3.9 Adriana Hernández[14]
PVV Party for Freedom ID ID 3.5 Sebastiaan Stöteler[15]
SP Socialist Party 3.4 Gerrie Elfrink [nl][16]
Volt Volt Netherlands Volt Greens-EFA 1.9 Reinier van Lanschot[17]
PP–DG PPEU 0.4[b] Matthijs Pontier
VDR vandeRegio 0.2[c] Sent Wierda
BBB Farmer–Citizen Movement Sander Smit[18]
BVNL Interest of the Netherlands Wybren van Haga[19]
JA21 JA21 ECR Michiel Hoogeveen[20]
MDD More Direct Democracy ECR Dorien Rookmaker
NLPLAN Nederland met een Plan Kok Chan
NSC New Social Contract Dirk Gotink
  1. ^ ran separately in 2019.
  2. ^ ran separately in 2019, with PPNL running together with vandeRegio
  3. ^ ran together with Pirate Party in 2019

Campaign

Newspaper NRC wrote that the election campaign was overshadowed by the conclusion of the 2023–2024 cabinet formation and that it only gained momentum in the week prior. Polling by Ipsos I&O showed that name recognition of the lead candidates barely increased during the campaign.[21]

On election day, CDA, PVV, and FVD reported that their websites had been hit by denial-of-service attacks, and pro-Russian hacker group HackNeT claimed responsibility.[22]

Debates

The NOS organized a television debate the day before the election. The lead candidates of the nine biggest parties in the November 2023 general election and in the polls – PVV, GroenLinks–PvdA, VVD, CDA, SP, D66, NSC, Volt, and BBB – participated. Anja Haga (Christian Union) and Anja Hazekamp (PvdD), who did not qualify, debated each other the same day in De Balie.[23]

Opinion polling

Seats

  Exit poll

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Total GL–PvdA VVD
Renew
CDA
EPP
FvD
NI
D66
Renew
SGP
ECR
CU
EPP
PvdD
Left
50PLUS
Renew
PVV
ID
SP
Left
Volt
G/EFA
BBB
EPP
NSC
EPP
Lead Ref
PvdA
S&D
GL
G/EFA
Ipsos 6 Jun 2024 31 8 4 3 0 3 1 0 1 0 7 0 1 2 1 1 [24]
Peil.nl 5 Jun 2024 31 8 4 2 1 2 1 0 1 0 8 0 2 1 1 Tie [25]
Ipsos 3–5 Jun 2024 2,030 31 8 5 2 0 2 0 0 1 0 8 1 1 1 2 Tie [26]
Ipsos 24–27 May 2024 2,048 31 8 5 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 9 1 2 1 1 1 [27]
I&O Research 17–21 May 2024 2,141 31 7 4 2 0 2 1 0 1 0 9 1 2 1 1 2 [28]
Peil.nl 17–18 May 2024 31 8 5 2 1 2 0 0 1 0 8 1 1 1 1 Tie [29]
I&O Research 10–14 May 2024 2,102 31 8 4 2 1 2 1 1 0 0 8 1 2 0 1 Tie [28]
Peil.nl 3–4 May 2024 31 8 5 2 1 2 0 0 1 0 8 1 1 1 1 Tie [30]
I&O Research 12–15 Apr 2024 2,182 31 7 5 2 0 3 1 0 1 0 8 1 1 1 1 1 [31]
I&O Research 22–25 Mar 2024 1,586 31 7 5 2 0 2 1 0 1 0 10 0 2 1 0 3 [28]
Ipsos 23 Feb5 Mar 2024 1,890 31 6 5 2 0 2 0 0 1 0 9 1 2 1 2 3 [32]
2019 election 23 May 2019 29 6 3 5 4 4 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 1

Vote share

  Exit poll

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
GL–PvdA VVD
Renew
CDA
EPP
FvD
NI
D66
Renew
SGP
ECR
CU
EPP
PvdD
Left
50PLUS
Renew
PVV
ID
SP
Left
Volt
G/EFA
JA21
ECR
BBB
EPP
NSC
EPP
Others Lead Ref
PvdA
S&D
GL
G/EFA
Ipsos 6 Jun 2024 21.6% 11.6% 9.7% 2.5% 8.1% 3.4% 2.7% 4.4% 0.8% 17.7% 2.0% 4.9% 5.3% 3.8% 1.7% 3.9% [33]
Ipsos 3–5 Jun 2024 2,030 19.5% 13.8% 6.1% 2.7% 7.1% 2.4% 2.7% 3.6% 0.6% 21.3% 3.6% 4.4% 4.0% 5.0% 3.3% 1.8% [34]
Ipsos 24–27 May 2024 2,048 20.3% 12.5% 5.3% 3.2% 6.4% 2.3% 3.0% 3.1% 0.6% 22.7% 3.2% 6.3% 3.9% 4.7% 2.5% 2.4% [35]
I&O Research 17–21 May 2024 2,141 19.3% 10.9% 5.7% 2.9% 7.1% 3.8% 3.0% 4.5% 23.0% 3.3% 5.9% 1.4% 4.4% 3.5% 1.4% 3.7% [28]
I&O Research 10–14 May 2024 2,102 21.3% 11.8% 5.8% 3.6% 6.8% 3.8% 3.3% 3.2% 22.5% 3.4% 5.4% 0.8% 3.2% 3.5% 1.8% 1.2% [28]
I&O Research 12–15 Apr 2024 2,182 18.7% 12.6% 5.4% 3.1% 7.8% 3.3% 3.0% 4.6% 22.0% 3.6% 4.7% 1.1% 4.3% 4.2% 1.6% 3.3% [31]
I&O Research 22–25 Mar 2024 1,586 18.6% 14.1% 5.5% 3.0% 7.0% 3.8% 3.1% 4.0% 25.1% 2.9% 5.2% 1.0% 3.9% 3.1% 6.5% [36]
Ipsos 23 Feb5 Mar 2024 1,890 16.0% 12.7% 5.6% 2.3% 6.0% 2.6% 2.4% 3.7% 22.4% 3.2% 4.9% 4.5% 4.7% 8.8% 6.4% [32]
Portland 24–31 Jan 2024 535 17% 12% 5% 2% 5% 3% 1% 3% 1% 25% 3% 3% 2% 4% 12% 2% 8% [37]
2023 parliamentary election 22 Nov 2023 15.8% 15.2% 3.3% 2.2% 6.3% 2.1% 2.0% 2.3% 0.5% 23.5% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 4.6% 12.9% 3.8% 7.7%
2023 provincial elections 15 Mar 2023 8.4%[a] 9.0% 11.2% 6.6% 3.1% 6.3% 2.5% 3.9%[b] 4.8% 2.3% 5.8% 4.2% 3.0% 4.4% 19.2% 5.3% 8.0%
2021 parliamentary election 15–17 Mar 2021 5.7% 5.2% 21.9% 9.5% 5.0% 15.0% 2.1% 3.4% 3.8% 1.0% 10.8% 6.0% 2.4% 2.4% 1.0% 4.8% 6.9%
2019 election 23 May 2019 19.0% 10.9% 14.6% 12.2% 11.0% 7.1% 6.8% 4.0% 3.9% 3.5% 3.4% 1.9% 1.6% 4.4%
  1. ^ including GL–PvdA joint list in Zeeland
  2. ^ including CU–SGP joint list in North Brabant

Results

Polling firm Ipsos I&O concluded that of those who had voted for NSC and PVV in the November 2023 general election, 59% and 56%, respectively, did not turn out in the European Parliament election. This was 22% for GL/PvdA.[38]

Party+/–
GroenLinks–PvdA
Party for Freedom
People's Party for Freedom and Democracy
Christian Democratic Appeal
Democrats 66
Farmer–Citizen MovementNew
Volt Netherlands
Party for the Animals
New Social ContractNew
Reformed Political Party
Christian Union
Forum for Democracy
Socialist Party
JA21New
50PLUS
Belang van NederlandNew
Pirate PartyThe Greens
More Direct DemocracyNew
Nederland met een PlanNew
vandeRegio
Total+5

References

  1. ^ "2024 European elections: 15 additional seats divided between 12 countries | News | European Parliament". www.europarl.europa.eu. 13 September 2023. Retrieved 4 December 2023.
  2. ^ Oelbermann, Kai Friederike; Pukelsheim, Friedrich (July 2020). "The European Elections of May 2019" (PDF). europarl.europa.eu. p. 14.
  3. ^ "Zetelverdeling over partijen". Kiesraad.nl (in Dutch). Retrieved 24 May 2024.
  4. ^ "How to vote in Netherlands". European Parliament. Retrieved 25 January 2024.
  5. ^ "Kiesdrempel, kiesdeler en voorkeurdrempel". kiesraad.nl (in Dutch). Retrieved 8 June 2024.
  6. ^ Keultjes, Hanneke (11 March 2024). "Proef met kleinere stembiljetten: twee vakjes rood maken in plaats van één" [Pilot with smaller ballots: Making two circles red instead of one]. Algemeen Dagblad (in Dutch). Retrieved 11 March 2024.
  7. ^ "Bas Eickhout gekozen tot Europese lijsttrekker GroenLinks-PvdA". GroenLinks/PvdA. 30 January 2024. Retrieved 30 January 2024.
  8. ^ "Azmani kandidaatlijsttrekker VVD bij Europese verkiezingen 2024". Parlament.com. 2 November 2023. Retrieved 25 January 2024.
  9. ^ "Tom Berendsen lijsttrekker Europeseverkiezingen". CDA. 2 September 2023. Retrieved 25 January 2024.
  10. ^ Ven, Liam van de (27 September 2023). "Gerben-Jan Gerbrandy wordt lijsttrekker D66 bij Europese Parlementsverkiezingen". NRC. Retrieved 25 January 2024.
  11. ^ "Anja Haga uit Dokkum wordt nieuwe Europarlementariër ChristenUnie". Omrop Fryslan. 30 June 2023. Retrieved 25 January 2024.
  12. ^ "SGP presenteert brede lijst voor Europese verkiezingen". SGP. 19 June 2023. Retrieved 30 January 2024.
  13. ^ "Partij voor de Dieren draagt Europarlementariër Anja Hazekamp opnieuw voor als lijsttrekker voor EU-verkiezingen". Partij voor de Dieren. 11 December 2023. Retrieved 30 January 2024.
  14. ^ "Adriana Hernandez unaniem gekozen tot lijsttrekker 50plus bij eu verkiezingen". 50PLUS. 20 April 2024. Retrieved 24 April 2024.
  15. ^ "PVV KANDIDATENLIJST EUROPEES PARLEMENT 2024". Party for Freedom. 5 April 2024. Retrieved 5 April 2024.
  16. ^ "Gerrie Elfrink voorgedragen als SP-lijsttrekker Europese verkiezingen". Socialist Party. 21 December 2023. Retrieved 25 January 2024.
  17. ^ "Van Lanschot weer Volt-lijsttrekker voor Europese verkiezingen". Nederlands Dagblad. 23 September 2023. Retrieved 25 January 2024.
  18. ^ "Sander Smit (ex-CDA) lijsttrekker BBB bij Europese verkiezingen". Parlament.com. 15 December 2023.
  19. ^ "BVNL doet mee met de Europese Parlementsverkiezingen". BVNL. 21 March 2024. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
  20. ^ "Europese Verkiezingen: Michiel Hoogeveen kandidaat-lijsttrekker JA21". JA21. 2 February 2024. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
  21. ^ Van den Dool, Pim (6 June 2024). "De Europese verkiezingsuitslag zal aan het Binnenhof vooral gezien worden als populariteitsmeting van de nieuwe coalitie" [The European election results will mainly be considered as a popularity test for the new coalition]. NRC (in Dutch). Retrieved 6 June 2024.
  22. ^ "Websites politieke partijen aangevallen door hackers" [Attack on websites of political parties by hackers]. NOS (in Dutch). 6 June 2024. Retrieved 6 June 2024.
  23. ^ "Orbán, klimaat en 'meer of minder Europa' in opvallend inhoudelijk NOS-slotdebat" [Orbán, climate, and 'more or less' Europe in remarkably substantial NOS closing debate]. NRC (in Dutch). 5 June 2024. Retrieved 6 June 2024.
  24. ^ "Definitieve exitpoll: grote winst PVV, nek aan nek met GroenLinks-PvdA". nos.nl. 6 June 2024. Retrieved 7 June 2024.
  25. ^ Hond, Maurice de (5 June 2024). "Prognose uitslag Europese Parlementsverkiezingen 2024". Peil.nl.
  26. ^ "PVV en GroenLinks-PvdA even groot in laatste zetelpeiling voor Europese verkiezingen". EenVandaag (in Dutch). 6 June 2024.
  27. ^ "PVV en GroenLinks-PvdA bovenaan in Europese zetelpeiling, meerdere partijen verliezen hun zetels". EenVandaag (in Dutch). 28 May 2024.
  28. ^ a b c d e "EP-verkiezingen sterk landelijk gekleurd". ioresearch.nl (in Dutch). 22 May 2024.
  29. ^ Hond, Maurice de (18 May 2024). "De electorale reacties op het hoofdlijnen-akkoord". Peil.nl. Wekelijkse peiling zetelverdeling.
  30. ^ Hond, Maurice de (4 May 2024). "Winst PVV neemt iets af". Peil.nl. Wekelijkse peiling zetelverdeling.
  31. ^ a b "EP-verkiezingen: opgeven Nexit schaadt PVV nauwelijks". ioresearch.nl (in Dutch). 23 April 2024.
  32. ^ a b "Européennes : vers une progression de la droite radicale au Parlement européen ?". ipsos.com (in French). 19 March 2024. p. 19.
  33. ^ @XandervdWulp (6 June 2024). "Def exitpoll" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  34. ^ "Slotpeiling Ipsos I&O Europese Verkiezingen: PVV en GL-PvdA nog steeds gelijk aan kop". ipsos.com (in Dutch). 6 May 2024.
  35. ^ "Peiling EP: PVV en GL-PvdA lijken grootste te worden". ipsos.com (in Dutch). 30 May 2024.
  36. ^ "EP-verkiezingen: lijsttrekkers en fracties nagenoeg onbekend". ioresearch.nl (in Dutch). 28 March 2024.
  37. ^ "EUPoll: All Countries". Portland Communications. 12 February 2024.
  38. ^ "Groot deel kiezers coalitiepartijen bleef thuis bij Europese verkiezingen" [Many voters for coalition parties did not turn out in the European Parliament election]. NOS (in Dutch). 6 June 2024. Retrieved 7 June 2024.