Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election

United States presidential election polling, 2016
Leading presidential 2016 candidate by electoral vote count. States in gray have no polling data. Polls from lightly shaded states are older than August 1, 2016. This map only represents the most recent statewide polling data; it is not a prediction for the 2016 election.
Hillary Clinton	201*
Donald Trump	101*
Margin of error between Clinton and Trump	223
File:Legendstriped red clue cyan.png Margin of error between Clinton, Trump, and McMullin	6
No data	7
Incumbent before election; Barack Obama; Democratic	President-elect ; TBD;

This article is a collection of statewide polls for the United States presidential election, 2016. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, the Libertarian candidate, and the Green candidate. Prior to the parties' conventions, presumptive candidates were included in the polls. Not all states will conduct polling for the election due to various factors. States that are considered swing states usually put out more polls as more attention is given to the results. For determining a statistical tie, the margin of error provided by the polling source is applied to the result for each candidate. This article displays each candidate's potential electoral vote total and is not a prediction of the current state of the election.

Most recent polling

Hillary Clinton has a vote lead among states recently polled. State polls with results outside the margin of error presently show 227 electoral votes for Clinton and 109 electoral votes for Donald Trump. In 15 states and two congressional districts (192 electoral votes), results for Clinton and Trump are within the margin of error. For the 2 states and one district without recent polling, one state (3 electoral votes) voted for Mitt Romney in the 2012 election, while one state and district (7 electoral votes) voted for Barack Obama. Third party candidates, such as Jill Stein and Gary Johnson, are also included in many statewide polls. They have not received support in statewide polling that surpasses the two main party nominees. Third party candidate Evan McMullin is presently tied with the major third party candidates in the state of Utah, but has only been included on a very limited number of statewide polls.

Note: If the newest poll of a state comes out that omits a third party candidate, please erase the old polling info for that third party candidate. Polling that does not include third party candidates should not be mixed with old poll results that do. Areas shaded in light gray indicate that the candidate was not included in the most recent poll.

State	Date	Hillary Clinton	Donald Trump	Gary Johnson	Jill Stein	Margin of error	Lead	Clinton potential EVs	Trump potential EVs	Tied potential EVs
Nationwide^[a]	National polling							207	101	223
Alabama	September 27, 2016	32%	48%			2.0%	16		9
Alaska	October 11-13, 2016	36%	37%	7%	3%	4.4%	1			3
Arizona	October 14, 2016	39%	37%	8%		4.88%	2			11
Arkansas	September 15–17, 2016	34%	55%	3%	1%	3.4%	21		6
California	September 27–28, 2016	59%	33%	3%	2%	3.6%	26	55
Colorado	October 10-16, 2016	45%	37%	10%	3%	3.7%	8	9
Connecticut	September 2–5, 2016	50%	35%	9%	4%	3.0%	15	7
Delaware	September 16–28, 2016	51%	30%	7%	2%	4.1%	21	3
Florida	October 10-16, 2016	48%	44%	4%	1%	3.8%	4			29
Georgia	October 11–12, 2016	42%	48%	4%		2.7%	6		16
Idaho	September 28 – October 9, 2016	30%	40%	10%	3%	4.0%	10		4
Illinois	September 27 – October 2, 2016	53%	28%	5%	2%	3.3%	25	20
Indiana	October 11–13, 2016	41%	45%	9%		4.9%	4			11
Iowa	October 3–6, 2016	39%	43%	6%	2%	3.5%	4			6
Kansas	September 6–11, 2016	36%	48%	8%	2%	4.1%	12		6
Kentucky	August 2–4, 2016	25%	41%			4.0%	16		8
Louisiana	October 11-15, 2016	38%	45%	4%	1%	3.5%	7			8
Maine	October 7–9, 2016	44%	36%	9%	3%	3.3%	8	3		1
Maryland	September 27–30, 2016	63%	27%	4%	2%	4.0%	36	10
Massachusetts	September 24 – October 3, 2016	58%	26%	7%	4%	5.0%	32	11
Michigan	October 11, 2016	47%	37%	7%	4%	2.6%	10	16
Minnesota	September 23, 2016	43%	43%	4%	2%	3.3%	Tied			10
Mississippi	August 11, 2016	39%	52%	3%	0%	2.9%	13		6
Missouri	October 9–11, 2016	42%	47%	4%	1%	2.1%	5		10
Montana	October 10–12, 2016	36%	46%	11%		3.2%	10		3
Nebraska	September 25–27, 2016	29%	56%	7%	1%	3.6%	27		4	1
Nevada	October 10–15, 2016	46%	44%	7%		3.5%	2			6
New Hampshire	October 10–12, 2016	41%	38%	11%	3%	4.4%	3			4
New Jersey	September 22–29, 2016	46%	40%			3.9%	6			14
New Mexico	October 11, 2016	46%	36%	12%	2%	2.5%	13	5
New York	September 21–23, 2016	52%	31%	7%	5%	3.8%	21	29
North Carolina	October 10–15, 2016	48%	47%	4%		3.5%	1			15
North Dakota	September 12–17, 2016	32%	43%	8%	1%	4.9%	11		3
Ohio	October 10–16, 2016	45%	45%	6%	1%	3.9%	Tied			18
Oklahoma	September 13–15, 2016	36%	51%	6%		4.3%	15		7
Oregon	October 10–12, 2016	48%	38%	6%	4%	3.9%	10	7
Pennsylvania	October 10-16, 2016	47%	41%	6%	1%	3.8%	6			20
Rhode Island	October 2–4, 2016	52%	32%	5%	5%	3.4%	20	4
South Carolina	September 18–26, 2016	38%	42%	6%	3%	4.5%	4			9
Tennessee	September 27 – October 2, 2016	38%	50%	5%	1%	5.0%	12		11
Texas	October 10–12, 2016	43%	47%	3%	1%	4.0%	4			38
Utah	October 15–16, 2016	See table below				4.0%	1			6
Vermont	September 2–5, 2016	47%	26%	13%	7%	3.9%	21	3
Virginia	October 11–14, 2016	44%	29%	11%	2%	3.6%	15	13
Washington	September 28 – October 3, 2016	47%	31%	10%	4%	4.4%	16	12
West Virginia	September 13–17, 2016	28%	60%			5.0%	32		5
Wisconsin	October 6–9, 2016	44%	37%	9%	3%	3.9%	7			10
Wyoming	September 6–11, 2016	19%	54%	10%	2%	4.9%	35		3
No recent polling								7

Utah

The state of Utah currently has a third party candidate within the margin of error of the two major party candidates.

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Independent	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Rasmussen/Pulse Opinion Research^[1]	October 15-16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	28%	Donald Trump	30%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	1%	Evan McMullin	29%	1	750	± 4.0%

Alabama

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 60%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–38%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 13, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Lead margin
Two-way	Election Projection	34.5%	54.5%	—	20.0
	TPM Polltracker	33%	57%		24
	Votamatic	40.1%	59.9%		19.8
Three-way	FiveThirtyEight	36.8%	56.6%	4.8%	19.8

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
News-5/Strategy Research ^[2]	September 27, 2016	Hillary Clinton	32%	Donald Trump	48%	16	3,000	± 2.0%

Alaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 13, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Lead margin
Two-way	Election Projection	35.5%	50.0%	—	14.5
	Real Clear Politics	not yet calculated
	TPM Polltracker	33%	36.7%	—	3.7
Three-way	FiveThirtyEight	40.6%	45.4%	12.4%	4.8

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Alaska Survey Research^[3]	September 28 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	46%	4	660	± 3.8%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Lake Research Partners^[4]	October 11–13, 2016	Hillary Clinton	36%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	3%	1	500	± 4.4%
Moore Information^[5]	October 5–6, 2016	Hillary Clinton	34%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	2%	3	500	± 4%
Alaska Survey Research^[3]	September 28 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	31%	Donald Trump	36%	Gary Johnson	18%	Jill Stein	6%	5	660	± 3.8%
Moore Information^[6]	August 27–29, 2016	Hillary Clinton	29%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	4%	10	500	± 4%

Arizona

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 10, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	41.3%	41.6%	—		0.3
	Election Projection	40.4%	40.8%			0.4
	HuffPost Pollster	40.3%	43.2%			2.9
	Real Clear Politics	41.8%	42.5%			0.7
	TPM Polltracker	43.0%	41.7%			1.3
	Votamatic	50.6%	49.4%			1.2
Three-way	FiveThirtyEight	45.4%	45.8%	7.4%	—	0.4
	Real Clear Politics	not yet calculated
	TPM Polltracker	44.1%	42.2%	7.6%	—	1.9
Four-way	270 to Win	40.5%	41.0%	8.8%	1.7%	0.5
	Election Projection	43.0%	42.0%	7.0%	1.0%	1.0
	Real Clear Politics	41.0%	42.0%	8.5%	1.5%	1.0
	TPM Polltracker	43.3%	42.0%	7.7%	1.0%	1.3

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[7]	September 6–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	42%	1	649	± 3.8%
Public Policy Polling^[8]	August 26–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	46%	3	837	± 3.4%
CNN/ORC^[9]	August 18–23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	49%	5	809	± 3.5%

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Data Orbital^[10]	October 11-12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	5%	1	550	±4.12%
Data Orbital^[11]	September 20–22, 2016	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	40%	Gary Johnson	9%	2	550	± 4.12%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Highground^[12]	October 14, 2016	Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	3%	2	400	±4.88%
Emerson College^[13]	October 2–4, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	1%	2	600	±3.90%
OH Predictive Insights^[14]	September 28–30, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	1%	Tied	718	±3.66%
Insights West^[15]	September 12–14, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	46%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	1%	5	484	± 4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[7]	September 6–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	40%	Gary Johnson	12%	Jill Stein	3%	2	649	± 3.8%
Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News^[16]	August 17–31, 2016	Hillary Clinton	35%	Donald Trump	34%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	2%	1	704	± 3.3%
Gravis Marketing^[17]	August 27, 2016	Hillary Clinton	40%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	1%	4	1,244	± 2.8%
OH Predictive Insights^[18]	August 25–27, 2016	Hillary Clinton	40%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	1%	1	728	±3.63%
CNN/ORC^[9]	August 18–23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	45%	Gary Johnson	12%	Jill Stein	4%	7	809	± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov^[19]	August 2–5, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	2%	2	1,095	± 4.8%
OH Predictive Insights^[20]^[21]	August 1, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	1%	2	996	±3.0%

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 13, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	32%	56%	—		24
	Election Projection	38.5%	50.5%			12.0
	Real Clear Politics	31.5%	56%			24.5
	Votamatic	41%	59%			18
Three-way	FiveThirtyEight	39.1%	54.1%	5%	—	15
Three-way	Real Clear Politics	31.5%	56%	4%	—	24.5

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Talk Business/Hendrix College^[22]	September 15–17, 2016	Hillary Clinton	34%	Donald Trump	55%	Gary Johnson	3%	Jill Stein	1%	21	831	± 3.4%
Emerson College^[23]	September 9–13, 2016	Hillary Clinton	29%	Donald Trump	57%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	3%	28	600	± 3.9%

California

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 13, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	52%	32%	—		20
	Election Projection	57.5%	30.5%			27
	HuffPost Pollster	54.3%	30.3%			24
	Real Clear Politics	52%	32.3%			19.7
	TPM Polltracker	60%	28.8%			31.2
	Votamatic	64.2%	35.8%			28.4
Three-way	Electoral Vote	59%	33%	3%	—	26
	FiveThirtyEight	58.4%	34.4%	5.6%		24
	Real Clear Politics	52%	28%	8.5%		20
	TPM Polltracker	46%	32.3%	6%		13.7
Four-way	270 to Win	52%	32%	8%	6%	20
	Election Projection	53%	32%	6.5%	3.5%	21
	Real Clear Politics	52%	32.3%	6%	4.3%	19.7
	TPM Polltracker	55%	32.3%	5.3%	3%	22.7

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times^[24]	September 1–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	58%	Donald Trump	33%	25	4,212	± 2.0%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
KABC/SurveyUSA^[25]	September 27–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	59%	Donald Trump	33%	Gary Johnson	3%	Jill Stein	2%	26	732	± 3.6%
Public Policy Institute of California^[26]	September 9–18, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	31%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	5%	16	1,055	± 4.5%
Insights West^[15]	September 12–14, 2016	Hillary Clinton	62%	Donald Trump	34%	Gary Johnson	2%	Jill Stein	1%	28	515	± 4.3%
Field Research^[27]	September 7–13, 2016	Hillary Clinton	50%	Donald Trump	33%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	6%	17	1,426	±%
SurveyUSA^[28]	September 8–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	57%	Donald Trump	32%	Gary Johnson	3%	Jill Stein	1%	25	678	± 3.8%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times^[24]	September 1–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	29%	Gary Johnson	11%	Jill Stein	6%	20	4,212	± 2.0%

Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	46.2%	40.2%	—		6.4
	Election Projection	44.3%	39.4%			4.9
	HuffPost Pollster	42.4%	37.9%			4.5
	Real Clear Politics	44.3%	37%			7.3
	TPM Polltracker	45.7%	38.2%			7.5
	Votamatic	53.7%	46.3%			7.4
Three-way	FiveThirtyEight	48%	41.5%	9.3%	—	6.5
Three-way	Real Clear Politics	43%	39%	9.5%	—	4
Four-way	270 to Win	44%	38.4%	8.6%	2.6%	5.6
	Election Projection	43%	39%	9.5%	2.7%	4
	Real Clear Politics	44.3%	37%	9%	3%	7.3
	TPM Polltracker	43%	39.3%	9%	3%	3.7

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[29]	October 10–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	51%	Donald Trump	40%	11	685	± 3.7%
Public Policy Polling^[30]	September 27–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	51%	Donald Trump	44%	7	694	± 3.7%
CNN/ORC^[31]	September 20–25, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	47%	2	784	± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University^[32]	September 13–21, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	47%	Tied	644	± 3.9%
Colorado Mesa University/Rocky Mountain PBS^[33]	September 14–18, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	35%	9	540	± 5.3%
Quinnipiac University^[34]	August 9–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	39%	10	830	± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[35]	August 4–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	32%	14	899	± 3.3%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[29]	October 10-16	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	3%	8	685	± 3.7%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart New^[36]	October 12-13, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	2%	5	1226	± 2.8%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News^[37]	October 3–4, 2016	Hillary Clinton	40%	Donald Trump	40%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	3%	Tied	1,246	± 2.8%
Monmouth University^[38]	September 29 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	38%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	3%	11	400	± 4.9%
Keating Research^[39]	September 27–29, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	33%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	3%	11	602	± 4.0%
Public Policy Polling^[30]	September 27–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	40%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	2%	6	694	± 3.7%
CNN/ORC^[31]	September 20–25, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	13%	Jill Stein	3%	1	784	± 3.5%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing^[40]	September 22–23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	37%	Donald Trump	41%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	6%	4	799	± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov^[41]	September 21–23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	40%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	2%	1	991	± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University^[32]	September 13–21, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	2%	2	644	± 3.9%
Colorado Mesa University/Rocky Mountain PBS^[33]	September 14–18, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	34%	Gary Johnson	12%	Jill Stein	3%	7	540	± 5.3%
Emerson College^[23]	September 9–13, 2016	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	13%	Jill Stein	2%	4	600	± 3.9%
Magellan Strategies^[42]	August 29–31, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	36%	Gary Johnson	13%	Jill Stein	3%	5	500	± 4.38%
Quinnipiac University^[34]	August 9–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	33%	Gary Johnson	16%	Jill Stein	7%	8	830	± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[35]	August 4–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	29%	Gary Johnson	15%	Jill Stein	6%	12	899	± 3.3%

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	50%	35%	—		15
	Election Projection	48%	39.5%	—		8.5
	RealClearPolitics	not yet calculated
	Votamatic	58.6%	41.7%	—		16.9
Three-way	FiveThirtyEight	54.3%	37.8%	6.4%	—	16.5
Three-way	Real Clear Politics	not yet calculated
Four-way	270 to Win	50%	35%	9%	4%	15
	Election Projection	47%	34%	10.5%	4.5%	13.0
	Real Clear Politics	not yet calculated

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Emerson College^[43]	September 2–5, 2016	Hillary Clinton	50%	Donald Trump	35%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	4%	15	1,000	± 3.0%

Delaware

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 59%–40%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	51%	30%	—		21
	Election Projection	46%	34%			12
	Real Clear Politics	46.5%	31%			15.5
	TPM Polltracker	51%	30%			21
	Votamatic	61.2%	38.8%			22.4
Three-way	270 to Win	51%	30%	7%	—	21
	Electoral Vote	51%	30%	7%		21
	FiveThirtyEight	54.3%	37.8%	6.4%		16.5
	Real Clear Politics	46.5%	31%	8%		15.5
	TPM Polltracker	51%	30%	7%		21
Four-way	TPM Polltracker	51%	30%	7%	2%	21

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
University of Delaware^[44]	September 16–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	51%	Donald Trump	30	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	2%	21	762	± 4.1%

District of Columbia

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%
(Democratic in 2012) 91%–7%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Lead margin
Two-way	Electoral Vote	66%	20%	—	46
Three-way	FiveThirtyEight	76.8%	14.4%	5.8%	62.4
Three-way	TPM Polltracker	not yet calculated

No polling has been conducted post August 1, 2016

Florida

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	46.6%	43.2%	—		3.4
	Election Projection	46.2%	43.3%			2.9
	HuffPost Pollster	45.4%	42.4%			3
	Real Clear Politics	46.6%	43.4			3.2
	TPM Polltracker	47.8%	43.6			4.2
	Votamatic	52.6%	47.4%			5.2
Three-way	Election Projection	45%	42%	6.0%	—	3
	FiveThirtyEight	48.7%	45.2%	4.8%		3.5
	Real Clear Politics	45.1%	42.4%	4.9%		2.7
Four-way	270 to Win	45.2%	42.4%	4.2%	2%	3
	Election Projection	45.4%	42.9%	4.8%	2%	2.5
	Real Clear Politics	45.1%	42.4%	4.9%	2%	2.7
	TPM Polltracker	47.3%	44.1%	2.8%	0.8%	3.2

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[29]	October 10–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	45%	4	660	± 3.8%
Public Policy Poll^[45]	October 12–13, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	44%	5	985	± 3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[46]	October 3–5, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	44%	2	700	± 3.7%
University of North Florida^[47]	September 27 – October 4, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	40%	7	696	± 3.8%
Quinnipiac University^[48]	September 27 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	44%	5	545	± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling^[30]	September 27–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	45%	3	826	± 3.4%
Florida Chamber Political Institute^[49]	September 15–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	42%	3	617	± 4.0%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College^[50]	September 10–14, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	43%	Tied	867	± 3.3%
CNN/ORC^[51]	September 7–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	50%	4	788	± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University^[52]	August 27 – September 7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	47%	Tied	761	± 3.6%
Public Policy Polling^[53]	September 4–6, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	46%	1	744	± 3.6%
Florida Chamber Political Institute^[54]	August 17–22, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	44%	1	608	± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[35]	August 4–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	39%	5	862	± 3.3%
Public Policy Polling^[55]	August 5–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	43%	3	938	± 3.2%
Quinnipiac University^[56]	July 30 – August 7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	45%	1	1,056	± 3.0%
Suffolk University^[57]	August 1–3, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	42%	6	500	± 4.4%

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Florida Chamber Political Institute^[49]	September 15–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	41%	Gary Johnson	8%	2	617	± 4.0%
Florida Chamber Political Institute^[54]	August 17–22, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	9%	3	608	± 4.0%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[29]	October 10-16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	1%	4	660	± 3.8%
Public Policy Poll^[45]	October 12–13, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	1%	4	985	± 3.1%
Opinion Savvy^[58]	October 10–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	1%	3	533	± 4.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[46]	October 3–5, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	3%	3	700	± 3.7%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News^[59]	October 4, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	45%	Gary Johnson	2%	Jill Stein	1%	2	821	± 3.4%
Emerson College^[13]	October 2–4, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	45%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	3%	1	600	± 3.90%
University of North Florida^[47]	September 27 – October 4, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	38%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	3%	3	696	± 3.8%
Quinnipiac University^[48]	September 27 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	41%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	2%	5	545	± 4.2%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/Fox 35^[60]	September 28–29, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	46%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	2%	1	619	± 4.0%
Mason-Dixon^[61]	September 27–29, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	1%	4	820	± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling^[30]	September 27–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	3%	Jill Stein	1%	2	826	± 3.4%
Suffolk University^[62]	September 19–21, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	45%	Gary Johnson	3%	Jill Stein	1%	1	500	± 4.4%
Monmouth University^[63]	September 16–19, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	41%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	1%	5	400	± 4.9%
Saint Leo University^[64]	September 10–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	2%	5	502	± 4.5%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College^[50]	September 10–14, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	40%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	2%	1	867	± 3.3%
CNN/ORC^[51]	September 7–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	47%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	1%	3	788	± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov^[65]	September 7–9, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	2%	2	1,193	± 3.5%
JMC Analytics^[66]	September 7–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	46%	Gary Johnson	3%	Jill Stein	1%	4	781	± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University^[52]	August 29 – September 7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	2%	Tied	761	± 3.6%
Public Policy Polling^[53]	September 4–6, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	1%	1	744	± 3.6%
Mason-Dixon^[67]	August 22–24, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	2%	2	625	± 4.0%
ICITIZEN^[68]	August 18–24, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	2%	5	600	± 4.0%
Florida Atlantic University^[69]	August 19–22, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	2%	2	1,200	± 3.0%
Saint Leo University Polling Institute^[70]	August 14–18, 2016	Hillary Clinton	52%	Donald Trump	38%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	2%	14	1,380	± 3.0%
Monmouth University^[71]	August 12–15, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	1%	9	402	± 4.9%
CBS News/YouGov^[72]	August 10–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	40%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	2%	5	1,194	± 3.6%
Fox 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion Savvy^[73]	August 10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	1%	1	622	± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[35]	August 4–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	36%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	4%	5	862	± 3.3%
Quinnipiac University^[56]	July 30 – August 7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	3%	Tied	1,056	± 3.0%
Suffolk University^[57]	August 1–3, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	3%	4	500	± 4.4%

Georgia

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 13, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	41.8%	46.8%	—		5
	Election Projection	41.6%	46.1%			4.5
	HuffPost Pollster	41.6%	45.1%			3.5
	Real Clear Politics	41.5%	46.8%			5.3
	TPM Polltracker	41.7%	49.5%			7.8
	Votamatic	49.8%	50.2%			0.4
Three-way	Election Projection	40.9%	45.4%	7.7%	—	4.5
	FiveThirtyEight	45.4%	47.9%	6.7%		2.5
	Real Clear Politics	40.5%	46%	6.5%		5.5
Four-way	270 to Win	41%	46.2%	6.4%	1.0%	5.2
Four-way	Election Projection	40.0%	42.5%	8.5%	2.5%	2.5

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[32]	September 13–21, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	50%	6	638	± 3.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[7]	September 6–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	46%	3	625	± 3.9%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing^[74]	August 4–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	45%	1	1,604	± 2.5%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution^[75]	August 1–4, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	40%	4	847	± 4.0%

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Landmark Communications^[76]	October 11–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	48%	Gary Johnson	4%	6	1,400	± 2.7%
Landmark/RosettaStone^[77]	September 21–22, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	47%	Gary Johnson	6%	4	600	± 4.0%
JMC Analytics^[78]	September 20–22, 2016	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	5%	6	600	± 4.0%
Quinnipiac University^[32]	September 13–21, 2016	Hillary Clinton	40%	Donald Trump	47%	Gary Johnson	9%	7	638	± 4.9%
Monmouth University^[79]	September 15–18, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	45%	Gary Johnson	8%	3	401	± 4.9%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta^[80]	September 14, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	46%	Gary Johnson	10%	4	568	± 4.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[7]	September 6–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	10%	2	625	± 3.9%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta^[81]	August 17, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	11%	Tied	730	± 3.6%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Emerson College^[23]	September 9–13, 2016	Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	45%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	3%	6	600	± 3.9%
CBS News/YouGov^[72]	August 10–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	45%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	1%	4	988	± 4.3%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing^[74]	August 4–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	2%	4	1,604	± 2.5%
JMC Analytics^[82]	August 6–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	1%	7	615	± 4.0%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution^[75]	August 1–4, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	38%	Gary Johnson	11%	Jill Stein	2%	3	847	± 4.0%
Landmark/RosettaStone^[83]	August 1, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	46%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	1%	Tied	787	± 3.5%

Hawaii

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%
(Democratic in 2012) 71%–28%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 13, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Lead margin
Two-way	Election Projection	54%	29.5%	—	24.5
Two-way	TPM Polltracker	not yet calculated
Three-way	Electoral Vote	51%	25%	7%	26
Three-way	FiveThirtyEight	62.6%	29.2%	6.1%	33.4

No polls conducted yet

Idaho

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	35%	53%	—		18
	Election Projection	35%	49%	—		14
	Real Clear Politics	not yet calculated
	TPM Polltracker	23%	44%	—		21
	Votamatic	37.2%	62.8%	—		25.6
Three-way	Electoral Vote	24%	44%	16%	—	20
	FiveThirtyEight	34.7%	53.6%	9.8%	—	18.9
	Real Clear Politics	not yet calculated
Four-way	270 to Win	25%	44%	19%	7%	19
	Election Projection	24%	44%	16%	4.5%	20
	Real Clear Politics	not yet calculated
	TPM Polltracker	23%	44%	13%	2%	21

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green Party	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Dan Jones & Associates^[84]	September 28 – October 9, 2016	Hillary Clinton	30%	Donald Trump	40%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	3%	10	608	± 3.97%
Dan Jones & Associates^[85]	August 18–31, 2016	Hillary Clinton	23%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	13%	Jill Stein	2%	21	602	± 4.0%

Illinois

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	50%	33%	—		17
	Election Projection	51%	36.5%			14.5
	Real Clear Politics	48.3%	33.3%			15
	TPM Polltracker	54.1%	31.1%			23
	Votamatic	61.7%	38.3%			23.4
Three-way	270 to Win	39%	33%	5%	—	17
	Electoral Vote	53%	28%	5%		25
	FiveThirtyEight	58.4%	34.4%	5.6%		24
Four-way	Real Clear Politics	47%	32.3%	6.3%	2.7%	14.3
Four-way	TPM Polltracker	51%	31.3%	5.7%	2%	19.7

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Loras College^[86]	September 13–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	33%	14	600	± 4.0%
Normington, Petts and Associates^[87]	August 1–4, 2016	Hillary Clinton	51%	Donald Trump	32%	19	800	± 3.5%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green Party	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Southern Illinois University^[88]	September 27 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	53%	Donald Trump	28%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	2%	25	865	± 3.3%
Victory Research^[89]	September 21–24, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	35%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	1%	14	1,200	± 2.83%
Emerson College^[90]	September 19–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	3%	6	700	± 3.6%
Loras College^[86]	September 13–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	30%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	3%	13	600	± 4.0%
We Ask America^[91]	September 12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	51%	Donald Trump	33%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	1%	18	955	± 3.17%

Indiana

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 54%–44%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	38%	43%	—		5
	Election Projection	36.5%	51%			14.5
	HuffPost Pollster	35.9%	47.3%			11.4
	Real Clear Politics	37%	45%			8
	TPM Polltracker	36%	48%			12
	Votamatic	46.7%	53.3%			6.6
Three-way	270 to Win	38%	43%	11%	—	5
	Electoral Projection	43.8%	41.2%	7.3%		2.6
	Electoral Vote	38%	43%	11%		5
	FiveThirtyEight	42.1%	49.1%	8.8%		7
	Real Clear Politics	37%	45%	10.5%		8
	TPM Polltracker	36%	47%	10%		11
Four-way	Electoral Projection	44.6%	40.1%	6.5%	2.1%	4.5

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Independent/ Third-party candidate	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Monmouth University^[92]	October 11–13, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	45%	Gary Johnson	9%	4	402	± 4.9%
WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana^[93]	October 3–5, 2016	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	11%	5	600	± 4%
WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana^[94]	September 6–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	36%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	11%	7	600	± 4%
Monmouth University^[95]	August 13–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	36%	Donald Trump	47%	Gary Johnson	10%	11	403	± 4.9%

Iowa

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	44%	39.5%	—		4.5
	Election Projection	45.7%	41%			4.7
	HuffPost Pollster	39.4%	41.6%			2.2
	Real Clear Politics	41.7%	45%			3.3
	TPM Polltracker	39.8%	43.7%			39.8
	Votamatic	49.8	50.2%			0.4
Three-way	Electoral Vote	41%	40%	10%	—	1
Three-way	FiveThirtyEight	46.2%	45.2%	7.4%	—	1
Four-way	270 to Win	37.8%	42.5%	8.3%	1.8%	4.7
	Election Projection	38.5%	40.5%	7.5%	1.5%	2
	Real Clear Politics	38%	41.7%	8.3%	1.7%	0.2
	TPM Polltracker	38.3	43.7%	6.7%	2%	5.4

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Loras College^[96]	September 20–22, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	42%	Tied	491	± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University^[32]	September 13–21, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	50%	6	612	± 4%
Simpson College/RABA Research^[97]	September 6–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	43%	1	1,054	± 3.0%
Public Policy Polling^[98]	August 30–31, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	43%	2	827	± 3.4%
Quinnipiac University^[34]	August 9–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	44%	3	846	± 3.4%
Suffolk University^[99]	August 8–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	40%	Donald Trump	41%	1	500	± 4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[100]	August 3–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	37%	4	899	± 3.1%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co.^[101]	October 3–6, 2016	Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	2%	4	800	± 3.5%
Loras College^[96]	September 20–22, 2016	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	38%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	1%	Tied	491	± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University^[32]	September 13–21, 2016	Hillary Clinton	37%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	2%	7	612	± 4%
Monmouth University^[102]	September 12–14, 2016	Hillary Clinton	37%	Donald Trump	45%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	2%	8	404	± 4.9%
Simpson College/RABA Research^[97]	September 6–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	40%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	3%	1	1,054	± 3.0%
Emerson College^[103]	August 31 – September 1, 2016	Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	1%	5	600	± 3.9%
CBS News/YouGov^[104]	August 17–19, 2016	Hillary Clinton	40%	Donald Trump	40%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	2%	Tied	987	± 4%
Quinnipiac University^[34]	August 9–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	12%	Jill Stein	3%	2	846	± 3.4%
Suffolk University^[99]	August 8–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	36%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	3%	1	500	± 4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[100]	August 3–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	35%	Donald Trump	35%	Gary Johnson	12%	Jill Stein	6%	Tied	899	± 3.1%

Kansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	36%	48%	—		12
	Election Projection	32%	46.5%	14.5
	HuffPost Pollster	33%	46.1%	13.1
	Real Clear Politics	not yet calculated
	TPM Polltracker	36.3%	46.7%	—		10.4
	Votamatic	45.1%	54.9%	—		9.8
Three-way	270 to Win	33%	44%	8%	—	11
	Election Projection	33%	44%	7.5%	11
	Electoral Vote	39%	44%	8%	5
	FiveThirtyEight	35.8%	44%	7.8%	8.2
	Real Clear Politics	not yet calculated
	TPM Polltracker	36.3%	46.7%	8%	—	10.4
Four-way	Election Projection	33%	45.5%	12.5%	3%	12.5
Four-way	TPM Polltracker	36.3%	46.7%	8%	2%	10.4

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
SurveyUSA/KSN News^[105]	August 9, 2016	Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	8%	5	566	±4.2%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
SurveyUSA/KSN News^[106]	September 6–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	36%	Donald Trump	48%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	2%	12	595	± 4.1%
Remington Research Group^[107]	August 22–23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	37%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	2%	7	7,769	± 1.5 %

Kentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	34%	57%	—		23
	Election Projection	34.5%	53%	—		18.5
	Real Clear Politics	not yet calculated
	Votamatic	40.8%	59.2	—		18.4
Three-way	Electoral Vote	29%	52%	7%	—	23
Three-way	FiveThirtyEight	39.9%	52.9%	5.4%	—	26.9
Four-way	270 to Win	36%	48%	7%	5%	12
	Election Projection	29%	52%	7%	5%	23
	TPM Polltracker	36%	49%	5%	2%	13

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Bellwether^[108]	August 2–4, 2016	Hillary Clinton	25%	Donald Trump	41%	16	508	± 4.0%

Louisiana

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–41%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 13, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	34%	47%	—	13
	Election Projection	35.5%	52%		16.5
	Real Clear Politics	34%	46%		13
	TPM Polltracker	34.3%	46.3%		12
	Votamatic	45.1%	54.9%		9.8
Three-way	Electoral Vote	35%	45%	6%	10
Three-way	FiveThirtyEight	40.2%	52.5%	5.7%	12.3

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Independent/ Third-party candidate	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Southern Media & Opinion Research^[109]	September 15–17, 2016	Hillary Clinton	33%	Donald Trump	49%	Gary Johnson	8%	16	500	± 4.4%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
JMC Analytics^[110]	October 11–15, 2016	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	45%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	1%	7	800	± 3.5%
JMC Analytics^[111]	September 22–24, 2016	Hillary Clinton	35%	Donald Trump	45%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	2%	10	905	± 3.3%

Maine

4 electoral votes (Statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st and 2nd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	45%	38%	—		7
	Election Projection	46%	39.5%			7.5
	HuffPost Pollster	43.4%	35.8%			7
	Real Clear Politics	43.7%	38.7%			5
	TPM Polltracker	46.7%	39.7%			7
	Votamatic	55.8%	44.2%			11.6
Three-way	270 to Win	42%	36%	11%	—	6
	Election Projection	43.8%	41.2%	7.3%		2.6
	Electoral Vote	44%	36%	9%		8
	FiveThirtyEight	49.9%	39.8%	8.9%		10.1
	Real Clear Politics	43.3%	35.8%	10%		7.5
Four-way	Election Projection	44.7%	40.1%	6.6%	2.2%	4.6
	Real Clear Politics	42%	37.3%	10%	3.7%	4.7
	TPM Polltracker	42.7%	37.7%	10%	4%	5

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Maine People's Resource Center^[112]	October 7–9, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49	Donald Trump	40%	9	892	± 3.3%
Maine People's Resource Center^[113]	September 15–17, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	40%	5	835	± 3.4%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing^[114]	August 4–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	36%	10	2,046	± 2.2%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Maine People's Resource Center^[112]	October 7–9, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44	Donald Trump	36%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	3%	8	892	± 3.3%
University of New Hampshire^[115]	September 15–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton	40%	Donald Trump	36%	Gary Johnson	12%	Jill Stein	3%	4	513	± 4.3%
Maine People's Resource Center^[113]	September 15–17, 2016	Hillary Clinton	37%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	11%	Jill Stein	5%	Tied	835	± 3.4%
Colby College/Boston Globe^[116]	September 4–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	5%	3	779	± 3.6%
Emerson College^[43]	September 2–5, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	35%	Gary Johnson	12%	Jill Stein	2%	9	800	± 3.4%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing^[114]	August 4–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	33%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	5%	10	2,046	± 2.2%

Maryland

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	61%	26%	—		36
	Election Projection	56%	32%			24
	Electoral Vote	61%	28%			33
	HuffPost Pollster	56.2%	28.7%			27.5
	Real Clear Politics	58.3%	25.7%			32.6
	TPM Polltracker	61.3%	26.3%			35
	Votamatic	69.1%	30.9%			38.2
Three-way	270 to Win	61%	26%	5%	—	36
Three-way	FiveThirtyEight	61.1%	32.3%	4.9%	—	28.8
Four-way	Real Clear Politics	58.3%	25.7%	5.3%	2%	32.6
Four-way	TPM Polltracker	61.3%	26.3%	4.7%	2%	35

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Washington Post/University of Maryland^[117]	September 27–30, 2016	Hillary Clinton	63%	Donald Trump	27%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	2%	36	706	± 4.0%
Goucher Poll^[118]	September 17–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton	58%	Donald Trump	25%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	2%	33	514	± 4.3%
OpinionWorks^[119]	August 18–30, 2016	Hillary Clinton	54%	Donald Trump	25%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	2%	29	754	± 3.6%

Massachusetts

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	56%	32%	—		24
	Election Projection	53%	33%			20
	Real Clear Politics	55.3%	31.8%			23.5
	TPM Polltracker	61.3%	26.3%			35
	Votamatic	64.3%	35.7%			28.6
Three-way	270 to Win	53%	30%	8%	—	23
	Electoral Vote	58%	26%	7%		32
	FiveThirtyEight	57.4%	33.9%	7.1%		23.5
Four-way	Real Clear Politics	52%	30%	8.3%	3%	32
Four-way	TPM Polltracker	61.3%	26.3%	4.7%	2%	35

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Western New England University^[120]	September 24 – October 3, 2016	Hillary Clinton	65%	Donald Trump	30%	35	403	± 5.0%
WBUR/MassINC^[121]	September 7–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	60%	Donald Trump	31%	29	506	± 4.4%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Western New England University^[120]	September 24 – October 3, 2016	Hillary Clinton	58%	Donald Trump	26%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	4%	32	403	± 5.0%
UMass Amherst/WBZ Poll^[122]	September 15–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	34%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	3%	13	700	± 4.3%
WBUR/MassINC^[121]	September 7–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	54%	Donald Trump	28%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	4%	26	500	± 4.3%
Emerson College^[43]	September 3–5, 2016	Hillary Clinton	50%	Donald Trump	33%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	2%	17	500	± 4.3%

Michigan

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	46.7%	35.3%	—		11.4
	Election Projection	46.7%	35.3%			11.4
	HuffPost Pollster	43.5%	37.2%			6.3
	Real Clear Politics	46.7%	35.3%			11.4
	TPM Polltracker	44%	34.1%			10.3
	Votamatic	56.6%	43.4%			13.2
Three-way	Election Projection	37%	33%	12%	—	4
	Electoral Vote	42%	31%	10%		11
	FiveThirtyEight	50.3%	41.2%	72%		9.1
	TPM Polltracker	44.4%	33.4%	8.7%		11
	TPM Polltracker	44.7%	33.8%	—	4.5%	10.9
Four-way	270 to Win	44%	33%	9%	4%	11
	Election Projection	44%	33.3%	9%	4%	10.7
	Real Clear Politics	44%	33.3%	9%	4%	10.7
	TPM Polltracker	44.7%	33.8%	8.5%	4.5%	10.9

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Detroit News^[123]	October 10–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	33%	14	600	± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll^[124]	September 27, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	44%	5	1,956	± 2.2%
EPIC-MRA^[125]	September 10–13, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	38%	4	600	± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll^[126]	September 6–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	42%	5	940	± 3.2%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll^[127]	August 9–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	39%	10	1,314	± 2.7%
EPIC-MRA^[128]	July 30 – August 4, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	36%	10	600	± 4%

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Target Insyght^[129]	September 18–24, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	41%	Gary Johnson	8%	5	600	± 4%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll^[130]	October 11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	4%	10	1,429	± 2.59%
Detroit News^[123]	October 10–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	31%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	5%	11	600	± 4.0%
EPIC-MRA^[131]	October 1–3, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	32%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	3%	11	600	± 4.0%
The Detroit News/WDIV-TV^[132]	September 27–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	35%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	3%	7	600	± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll^[124]	September 27, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	41%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	1%	5	1,956	± 2.2%
EPIC-MRA^[125]	September 10–13, 2016	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	35%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	4%	3	600	± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll^[126]	September 6–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	1%	6	940	± 3.2%
Emerson College^[133]	August 25–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	40%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	3%	5	800	± 3.4%
Suffolk University^[134]	August 22–24, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	3%	7	500	± 4.4%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll^[127]	August 9–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	33%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	5%	11	1,314	± 2.7%
EPIC-MRA^[128]	July 30 – August 4, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	32%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	3%	11	600	± 4%

Minnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	47%	41%	—		6
	Election Projection	45.3%	41.3%			4
	HuffPost Pollster	44%	38.5%			5.5
	Real Clear Politics	45.3%	41.3%			4
	TPM Polltracker	45%	43%			2
	Votamatic	55%	45%			10
Three-way	Electoral Vote	45%	39%	6%	6
Three-way	FiveThirtyEight	50%	42.2%	6.5%	7.8
Four-way	270 to Win	45%	38.5%	6%	2%	6.5
	Real Clear Politics	44.3%	40%	5.3%	2%	4.3
	TPM Polltracker	43.3%	41.3%	4.7%	2%	2

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV^[135]	September 16–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	43%	6	625	± 4%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV^[135] SurveyUSA. SurveyUSA. October 19, 2016 http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=2fc82f11-ee2e-4d25-b88d-805a1a9a3ae8. Retrieved October 19, 2016. `{{cite web}}`: Missing or empty `\|title=` (help)</ref>	October 10–13, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	35%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	1%	13	650	n.a
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing^[136]	September 23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	2%	Tied	906	± 3.3%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV^[135]	September 16–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	2%	7	625	± 4%
Star Tribune^[137]	September 12–14, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	38%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	2%	6	625	± 4%

Mississippi

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	46%	48%	—		2
	Election Projection	42.5%	51%	8.5
	Real Clear Politics	not yet calculated
	TPM Polltracker	39%	54%	—		15
	Votamatic	46.5%	53.5%	—		7
Three-way	Electoral Vote	43%	46%	4%	—	3
	FiveThirtyEight	41.8%	53.4%	3.2%	—	11.6
	Real Clear Politics	not yet calculated
Four-way	270 to Win	not yet calculated
	Election Projection	41%	49%	3.5%	2%	8
	Real Clear Politics	not yet calculated

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Magellan Strategies^[138]	August 11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	54%	15	1,084	± 2.9%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Magellan Strategies^[138]	August 11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	52%	Gary Johnson	3%	Jill Stein	0%	13	1,084	± 2.9%

Missouri

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49.4%–49.2%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 15, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	38.5%	46.5%	—		8
	Election Projection	36.7%	47.3%			10.6
	HuffPost Pollster	38.1%	45.3%			7.2
	Real Clear Politics	38.5%	46.5%			8
	TPM Polltracker	41.7%	46.4%			4.7
	Votamatic	47.7%	52.3%			4.6
Three-way	Election Projection	42.5%	44%	6.5%	—	1.5
	Electoral Vote	43%	44%	8%		1
	FiveThirtyEight	43.6%	48.5%	6.4%		4.5
	Real Clear Politics	38.5%	46.5%	5.3%		8
	TPM Polltracker	41.6%	46.6%	4.5%		5
Four-way	270 to Win	37.8%	47%	5.5%	3.3%	9.2
	Election Projection	41.5%	46.5%	4.5%	1.5%	0.5
	Real Clear Politics	38.5%	46.5%	5.3%	2.8%	8
	TPM Polltracker	40.7%	47.3%	4.7%	1%	6.6

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[139]	August 26–27, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	47%	6	1,055	± 3.0%
Public Policy Polling^[140]	August 8–9, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	45%	3	947	± 3.2%

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Remington Research Group^[141]	September 26–27, 2016	Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	49%	Gary Johnson	5%	10	1,279	± 3%
Monmouth University^[142]	August 19–22, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	8%	1	401	± 4.9%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Remington Research Group^[143]	October 9–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	47%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	1%	5	2,171	± 2.1%
Monmouth University^[144]	October 9–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	46%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	2%	5	406	± 4.9%
CBS News/YouGov^[145]	September 21–23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	37%	Donald Trump	46%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	2%	9	1,087	± 3.9%
Emerson College^[23]	September 9–13, 2016	Hillary Clinton	34%	Donald Trump	47%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	6%	13	600	± 3.9%
Remington Research Group^[146]	September 1–2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	47%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	3%	9	1,275	± 3%
Remington Research Group^[147]	August 5–6, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	2%	2	1,280	± 3%

Montana

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–42%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 15, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	Election Projection	37%	48%	—		11
Two-way	Votamatic	42.7%	57.3%	—		14.6
Three-way	Electoral Vote	31%	44%	14%	—	13
Three-way	FiveThirtyEight	40%	49.4%	9.1%	—	9.4
Four-way	Election Projection	31%	44%	14%	5%	13

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Mason-Dixon^[148]	October 10–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	36%	Donald Trump	46%	Gary Johnson	11%	10	1,003	± 3.2%

Nebraska

5 electoral votes (Statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st, 2nd, and 3rd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 15, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	Election Projection	36.5%	48.5%	—		12
	Huffpost Pollster	34.4%	51%			16.6
	TPM Polltracker	28.7%	56%			27.3
	Votamatic	39.9%	60.1%			20.2
Three-way	Electoral Vote	29%	56%	7%	—	27
Three-way	FiveThirtyEight	37.4%	53.2%	7.7%	—	15.8
Four-way	Election Projection	30.5%	49%	11%	3%	18.5
Four-way	TPM Polltracker	29%	56%	7%	1%	27

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Emerson College^[149]	September 25–27, 2016	Hillary Clinton	29%	Donald Trump	56%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	1%	27	700	± 3.6%

Nevada

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Aggregate polls Poll numbers verified as of September 13, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Darrell Castle IAPN (Constitution)	Rocky de la Fuente Unafilliated (ADP/ Reform)	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	45.5%	42.8%	—				2.7
	Election Projection	46.5%	43.5%					3.0
	HuffPost Pollster	42.9%	41.8%					1.1
	Real Clear Politics	43.3%	41.8%					1.5
	TPM Polltracker	45.0%	43.3%					1.7
	Votamatic	50.4%	49.6%					0.8
Three-way	Election Projection	43.5	41.5	4.5	—			2
	FiveThirtyEight	46.2%	44.1%	8.4%				2.1
	Real Clear Politics	42.8%	41.2%	6.4%				1.6
	TPM Polltracker	43.7%	41.7%	4.7%				2.0
Four-way	270 to Win	41.7%	40.3%	8.3%	4.5%	—		1.4
	Election Projection	40.5%	39.5%	10.0%	4.5%			1.5
	Real Clear Politics	42.0%	41.5%	6.0%	3.0%			0.5
	TPM Polltracker	43%	41%	4%	3%			2
Five-way	TPM Polltracker	44%	42%	5%	—	1%	1%	2

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
CNN/ORC^[150]	October 10–15, 2016	Hillary Clinton	50%	Donald Trump	46%	4	698	± 3.5%
Clarity Campaign Labs^[151]	October 10–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	43%	Tied	1,010	± 3.1%
Public Policy Polling^[152]	October 10–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	43%	4	986	± 3.1%
Fox News^[153]	September 18–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	46%	4	704	± 3.5%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner^[154]	September 10–19, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	46%	3	400	± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[7]	September 6–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	44%	1	627	± 3.9%
Public Policy Polling^[155]	September 6–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	42%	3	815	± 3.4%

Three-way

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
CNN/ORC^[150]	October 10–15, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	7%	2	698	± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov^[156]	October 12–14, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	40%	Gary Johnson	4%	6	996	± 4.5%
JMC Analytics/8 News NOW^[157]	October 10–13, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	41%	Gary Johnson	4%	2	600	± 4.0%
Public Opinion Strategies^[158]	October 11–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	10%	6	600	± 4%
UNLV/Hart Research^[159]	September 27 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	41%	Gary Johnson	8%	3	700	± 3.8%
Las Vegas Review-Journal/Bendixen & Amandi International^[160]	September 27–29, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	5%	1	800	± 3.5%
Fox News^[153]	September 18–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton	40%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	8%	3	704	± 3.5%
KTNV/Rasmussen Reports^[161]	September 16–18, 2016	Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	11%	3	800	± 4%
Insights West^[15]	September 12–14, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	47%	Gary Johnson	6%	3	398	± 4.9%
Monmouth University^[162]	September 11–13, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	8%	2	406	± 4.9%
Suffolk ^[163]^[164]^[165]	August 15–17, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	5%	2	500	± 4.4%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Emerson College^[13]	October 2–4, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	4%	Tied	700	± 3.6%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner^[154]	September 10–19, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	3%	Tied	400	± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[7]	September 6–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	3%	1	627	± 3.9%
CBS News/YouGov^[19]	August 2–5, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	41%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	3%	2	993	± 4.6%

Five-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	IAPN	%	Unaffiliated	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Suffolk University^[166]	September 27–29, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	38%	Gary Johnson	7%	Darrell Castle	1%	Rocky De La Fuente	1%	6	500	± 4.4%
Suffolk University^[163]^[164]^[165]	August 15–17, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43.8%	Donald Trump	41.6%	Gary Johnson	4.8%	Darrell Castle	1%	Rocky De La Fuente	1%	2.2	500	± 4.4%

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of August 24, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	46.8%	34.5%	—		12.3
	Election Projection	45%	35.5%			9.5
	Electoral Vote	43%	37%			6
	HuffPost Pollster	42.5%	35.7%			6.8
	Real Clear Politics	43.3%	36%			7.4
	TPM Polltracker	44.3%	34.7%			9.6
	Votamatic	55.3%	44.8%			10.5
Three-way
	FiveThirtyEight	43.5%	38%	8.2%	—	4.5
	Real Clear Politics	43%	35%	7.7%		8
	TPM Polltracker	43.7%	34.3%	7%		9.4
Four-way	270 to Win	44.3%	33%	8%	3%	11.3
	Election Projection	46%	34%	6.5%	3%	12
	Real Clear Politics	43%	35%	7.7%	3.7%	8
	TPM Polltracker	43.7%	34.3%	7%	3%	9.4

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
MassInc/WBUR^[167]	October 10–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	41%	5	501	± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling^[168]	October 7-9, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	37%	11	600	± 4%
MassInc/WBUR^[169]	September 27–29, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	38%	9	502	± 4.4%
GBA Strategies^[170]	September 25–27, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	40%	6	600	± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[7]	September 6–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	41%	1	737	± 3.6%
Public Policy Polling^[171]	August 30–31, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	41%	5	585	± 4.1%
Public Policy Polling^[172]	August 26–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	40%	6	977	± 3.1%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire^[173]	August 20–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	36%	9	433	± 4.7%
Public Policy Polling^[55]	August 5–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	50%	Donald Trump	37%	13	802	± 3.5%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
MassInc/WBUR^[167]	October 10–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	38%	Gary Johnson	11%	Jill Stein	3%	3	501	± 4.4%
UMass Lowell/7News^[174]	October 7–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	2%	6	517	± 4.9%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe^[175]	October 3–5, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	1%	2	500	± 4.4%
MassInc/WBUR^[169]	September 27–29, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	35%	Gary Johnson	13%	Jill Stein	4%	7	502	± 4.4%
GBA Strategies^[170]	September 25–27, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	11%	Jill Stein	4%	7	600	± 4.0%
American Research Group^[176]	September 20–25, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	1%	4	522	± 4.2%
Monmouth University^[177]	September 17–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	38%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	1%	9	400	± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[7]	September 6–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	15%	Jill Stein	3%	2	737	± 3.6%
Emerson College^[43]	September 3–5, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	14%	Jill Stein	4%	5	600	± 3.9%
WMUR/University of New Hampsire^[173]	August 20–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	32%	Gary Johnson	12%	Jill Stein	4%	11	433	± 4.7%
CBS News/YouGov^[72]	August 10–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	36%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	3%	9	990	± 4.3%
Vox Populi^[178]	August 7–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	31%	Gary Johnson	11%	Jill Stein	3%	10	820	± 3.4%

New Jersey

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Stockton College^[179]	September 22–29, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	40%	6	638	± 3.9%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Rutgers-Eagleton^[180]	September 6–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	50%	Donald Trump	29%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	4%	21	735	± 3.8%
Emerson College^[43]	September 2–5, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	2%	4	800	± 3.4%

New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Research & Polling Inc^[181]	September 27–29, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	34%	10	501	± 4.4%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Zia Poll^[182]	October 11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	36%	Gary Johnson	12%	Jill Stein	2%	10	1,536	± 2.5%
SurveyUSA^[183]	September 28 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	33%	Gary Johnson	14%	Jill Stein	2%	13	594	± 4.1%
Research & Polling Inc^[181]	September 27–29, 2016	Hillary Clinton	35%	Donald Trump	31%	Gary Johnson	24%	Jill Stein	2%	4	501	± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling^[184]	August 19–21, 2016	Hillary Clinton	40%	Donald Trump	31%	Gary Johnson	16%	Jill Stein	4%	9	1,103	± 3% ^[185]

New York

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[186]	September 21–23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	57%	Donald Trump	33%	24	676	± 3.8%
Siena College^[187]	August 7–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	57%	Donald Trump	27%	30	717	± 4.3%
Gravis Marketing^[188]	August 4–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	53%	Donald Trump	36%	17	1,717	±2.4%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian Independence	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[186]	September 21–23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	52%	Donald Trump	31%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	5%	21	676	± 3.8%
Siena College^[189]	September 11–15, 2016	Hillary Clinton	51%	Donald Trump	30%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	3%	21	600	± 5.0%
Emerson College^[190]	August 28–30, 2016	Hillary Clinton	52%	Donald Trump	34%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	3%	18	800	± 3.4%
Siena College^[187]	August 7–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	50%	Donald Trump	25%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	6%	25	717	± 4.3%
Gravis Marketing^[188]	August 4–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	34%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	4%	14	1,717	±2.4%

North Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
CNN/ORC^[191]	October 10–15, 2016	Hillary Clinton	50%	Donald Trump	48%	2	788	± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[192]	October 10–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	43%	5	743	± 3.6%
Bloomberg/Selzer^[193]	September 29 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	45%	1	805	± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University^[48]	September 27 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	46%	3	507	± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling^[30]	September 27–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	45%	4	861	± 3.3%
Fox News^[194]	September 18–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	47%	5	734	± 3.9%
Public Policy Polling^[195]	September 18–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	47%	Tied	1,024	± 3.1%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner^[154]	September 10–19, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	45%	3	400	± 4.9%
Quinnipiac University^[52]	August 29 – September 7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	43%	4	751	± 3.6%
Public Policy Polling^[196]	August 26–27, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	44%	1	1,177
CNN/ORC^[197]	August 18–23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	47%	1	803	± 3.5%
Gravis Marketing^[198]	August 15–17, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	43%	1	723	± 3.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[35]	August 4–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	39%	9	921	± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling^[199]	August 5–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	46%	1	830	± 3.4%

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Independent/ Third-party candidate	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
CNN/ORC^[191]	October 10–15, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	47%	Gary Johnson	4%	1	788	± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[192]	October 10–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	41%	Gary Johnson	9%	4	743	± 3.6%
Suffolk University^[200]	October 10–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	5%	2	500	± 4.4%
High Point University^[201]	October 1–6, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	8%	1	479	± 4.5%
WRAL-TV/SurveyUSA^[202]	September 29 – October 3, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	5%	2	656	± 3.9%
Quinnipiac University^[48]	September 27 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	7%	3	507	± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling^[30]	September 27–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	7%	2	861	± 3.3%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing^[203]	September 23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	7%	1	694	± 3.7%
Meredith College^[204]	September 18–22, 2016	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	35%	Gary Johnson	6%	3	487	± 4.43%
High Point University^[205]	September 17–22, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	10%	1	404	± 4.9%
Fox News^[194]	September 18–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton	40%	Donald Trump	45%	Gary Johnson	6%	5	734	± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling^[195]	September 18–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	45%	Gary Johnson	6%	2	1,024	± 3.1%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College^[206]	September 16–19, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	41%	Gary Johnson	11%	Tied	782	± 3.6%
Civitas^[207]	September 11–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	5%	Tied	600	± 4%
Suffolk University^[208]	September 5–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	4%	3	500	± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University^[52]	August 29 – September 7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	38%	Gary Johnson	15%	4	751	± 3.6%
Monmouth University^[209]	August 20–23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	7%	2	401	± 4.9%
CNN/ORC^[197]	August 18–23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	45%	Gary Johnson	9%	Tied	803	± 3.5%
Civitas/SurveyUSA^[210]	July 31 – August 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	46%	Gary Johnson	6%	4	400	± 5.0%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Emerson College^[211]	October 10–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	3%	4	600	± 3.9%
Bloomberg/Selzer^[193]	September 29 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	2%	1	805	± 3.5%
Elon University^[212]	September 27–30, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	0%	6	660	± 3.81%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner^[154]	September 10–19, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	40%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	3%	4	400	± 4.9%
Elon University^[213]	September 12–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	0%	1	644	± 3.86%
CBS News/YouGov^[214]	August 30 – September 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	2%	4	1,088	± 4%
Emerson College^[215]	August 27–29, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	45%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	2%	2	800	± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing^[198]	August 15–17, 2016	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	2%	1	723	± 3.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[35]	August 4–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	36%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	2%	9	921	± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling^[199]	August 5–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	41%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	2%	2	830	± 3.4%

North Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–39%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green Party	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
DFM Research^[216]	September 12–17, 2016	Hillary Clinton	32%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	1%	11	400	4.9%

Ohio

18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[29]	October 10–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	48%	1	624	± 3.9%
CNN/ORC^[217]	October 10–15, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	50%	3	774	± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[192]	October 10–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	45%	Tied	724	± 3.6%
Baldwin Wallace University^[218]	October 9–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	38%	10	1,152	± 3%
Public Policy Polling^[219]	October 5–6, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	47%	1	872	± 3.5%
TargetSmart/William and Mary^[220]	October 3–6, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	43%	3	812	± %
Anzalone Liszt Grove^[221]	September 27 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	44%	2	800	± 3.46%
Quinnipiac University^[48]	September 27 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	49%	3	497	± 4.4%
Target Smart/William & Mary^[222]	September 15–22, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	40%	3	652	± %
Fox News^[223]	September 18–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton	40%	Donald Trump	45%	5	737	± 3.5%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner^[154]	September 10–19, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	46%	Tied	400	± 4.9%
Bloomberg/Selzer^[224]	September 9–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	48%	5	802	± 3.5%
CNN/ORC^[225]	September 7–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	50%	4	769	± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University^[52]	August 29 – September 7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	46%	1	775	± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling^[226]	August 26–27, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	42%	4	1,134	± 2.9%
OnMessage^[227]	August 13–17, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	45%	Tied	600	± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[100]	August 3–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	38%	5	889	± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University^[56]	July 30 – August 7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	45%	4	812	± 3.4%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[29]	October 10-16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	45%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	1%	Tied	624	± 3.9%
CNN/ORC^[217]	October 10–15, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	48%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	2%	4	774	± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[192]	October 10–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	4%	1	724	± 3.6%
Emerson College^[211]	October 10–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	2%	2	600	± 3.9%
Baldwin Wallace University^[218]	October 9–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	34%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	3%	9	1,152	± 3%
CBS News/YouGov^[228]	October 5–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	2%	4	997	± 3.9%
Public Policy Polling^[219]	October 5–6, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	2%	1	872	± 3.5%
TargetSmart/William and Mary^[220]	October 3–6, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	1%	2	812	± %
Monmouth University^[229]	October 1–4, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	1%	2	405	± 4.9%
Anzalone Liszt Grove^[221]	September 27 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	1%	2	800	± 3.46%
Quinnipiac University^[48]	September 27 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	47%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	1%	5	497	± 4.4%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing^[230]	September 22–23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	1%	1	850	± 3.4%
Target Smart/William & Mary^[222]	September 15–22, 2016	Hillary Clinton	40%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	2%	3	652	± %
Fox News^[223]	September 18–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton	37%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	2%	5	737	± 3.5%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner^[154]	September 10–19, 2016	Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	41%	Gary Johnson	11%	Jill Stein	4%	2	400	± 4.9%
Bloomberg/Selzer^[224]	September 9–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	3%	5	802	± 3.5%
CNN/ORC^[225]	September 7–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	46%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	2%	5	769	± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov^[231]	September 7–9, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	2%	7	994	± 3.9%
Quinnipiac University^[52]	August 29 – September 7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	37%	Donald Trump	41%	Gary Johnson	14%	Jill Stein	4%	4	775	± 3.5%
Emerson College^[133]	August 25–27, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	2%	Tied	800	± 3.4%
Monmouth University^[232]	August 18–21, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	<1%	4	402	± 4.9%
CBS News/YouGov^[104]	August 17–19, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	40%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	2%	6	997	± 3.9%
OnMessage^[227]	August 13–17, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	2%	Tied	600	± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[100]	August 3–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	35%	Gary Johnson	12%	Jill Stein	4%	4	889	± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University^[56]	July 30 – August 7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	3%	2	812	± 3.4%

Five-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Independent	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Suffolk University^[233]	September 12–14, 2016	Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	1%	Richard Duncan	1%	3	500	± 4.4%

Oklahoma

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 67%–33%

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Independent/ Third-party candidate	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
SoonerPoll^[234]	September 13–15, 2016	Hillary Clinton	36%	Donald Trump	51%	Gary Johnson	6%	15	515	± 4.32%

Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
DHM Research^[235]	October 6–13, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	36%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	5%	7	600	± 4.0%
KATU-TV/SurveyUSA^[236]	October 10–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	38%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	4%	10	654	± 3.9%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News^[237]	October 4, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	2%	8	1,248	± 2.8%
Hoffman Research^[238]	September 29 – October 1, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	33%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	3%	12	605	± 4%
iCitizen^[239]	September 2–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	28%	Gary Johnson	11%	Jill Stein	3%	15	610	± 4.0%
DHM Research^[240]	September 1–6, 2016	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	25%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	3%	13	517	± 4.3%

Pennsylvania

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[29]	October 10–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	51%	Donald Trump	45%	6	660	± 3.8%
Bloomberg/Selzer^[241]	October 7–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	51%	Donald Trump	42%	9	806	± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[46]	October 3–6, 2016	Hillary Clinton	51%	Donald Trump	39%	12	709	± 3.7%
Quinnipiac University^[48]	September 27 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	43%	5	535	± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling^[30]	September 27–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	44%	5	886	± 3.3%
CNN/ORC^[242]	September 20–25, 2016	Hillary Clinton	50%	Donald Trump	47%	3	771	± 3.5%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College^[243]	September 19–23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	41%	3	486	± 5.0%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner^[154]	September 10–19, 2016	Hillary Clinton	51%	Donald Trump	42%	9	400	± 4.9%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College^[244]	September 12–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	38%	9	405	± 5.5%
Quinnipiac University^[52]	August 29 – September 7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	43%	5	778	± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling^[245]	August 30–31, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	42%	5	814	± 3.4%
GBA Strategies^[246]	August 21–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	43%	5	1,200	± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling^[247]	August 26–27, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	43%	5	1,194	± %
Franklin & Marshall College^[248]	August 25–29, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	40%	7	496	± 5.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[100]	August 3–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	37%	11	834	± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University^[56]	July 30 – August 7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	52%	Donald Trump	42%	10	815	± 3.4%

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
GBA Strategies^[246]	August 21–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	40%	Gary Johnson	10%	6	1,200	± 4.4%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[29]	October 10-16	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	41%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	1%	6	660	± 3.8%
Bloomberg/Selzer^[241]	October 7–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	4%	9	806	± 3.5%
Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc^[249]	October 4–9, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	40%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	2%	4	764	± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov^[228]	October 5–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	40%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	2%	8	997	± 4.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[46]	October 3–6, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	4%	12	709	± 3.7%
Monmouth University^[250]	September 30 – October 3, 2016	Hillary Clinton	50%	Donald Trump	40%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	2%	10	402	± 4.9%
Franklin & Marshall College^[251]	September 28 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	38%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	0%	9	496	± 6.1%
Quinnipiac University^[48]	September 27 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	41%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	2%	4	535	± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling^[30]	September 27–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	2%	6	886	± 3.3%
CNN/ORC^[242]	September 20–25, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	3%	1	771	± 3.5%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing^[252]	September 23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	3%	Jill Stein	3%	3	949	± 3.2%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College^[243]	September 19–23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	40%	Donald Trump	38%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	3%	2	486	± 5.0%
Mercyhurst University^[253]	September 12–23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	41%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	3%	1	420	± 4.8%
Harper Polling^[254]	September 21–22, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	1%	2	500	± 4.4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner^[154]	September 10–19, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	38%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	3%	8	400	± 4.9%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College^[244]	September 12–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	40%	Donald Trump	32%	Gary Johnson	14%	Jill Stein	5%	8	405	± 5.5%
Quinnipiac University^[52]	August 29 – September 7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	3%	5	778	± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov^[255]	August 30 – September 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	2%	8	1,091	± 4.1%
Monmouth University^[256]	August 26–29, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	40%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	1%	8	402	± 4.9%
Franklin & Marshall College^[248]	August 25–29, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	38%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	2%	3	736	± 4.6%
Emerson College^[133]	August 25–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	2%	3	800	± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[100]	August 3–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	36%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	3%	9	834	± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University^[56]	July 30 – August 7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	3%	9	815	± 3.4%
Susquehanna/ABC27 News^[257]	July 31 – August 4, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	3%	9	772	± 3.53%

Rhode Island

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Emerson College^[13]	October 2–4, 2016	Hillary Clinton	52%	Donald Trump	32%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	5%	20	600	± 3.9%
Emerson College^[43]	September 2–5, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	41%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	4%	3	800	± 3.4%

South Carolina

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Feldman^[258]	August 18–21, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	45%	2	600	± 4%
Gravis Marketing^[259]	August 15–17, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	46%	4	768	± 3.5%

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Starboard Communications^[260]	September 7–9, 2016	Hillary Clinton	35%	Donald Trump	48%	Gary Johnson	7%	13	600	± 4.8%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Winthrop University^[261]	September 18–26, 2016	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	3%	4	475	± 4.5%
Trafalgar Group^[262]	September 6–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	53%	Gary Johnson	3%	Jill Stein	1%	15	1,247	± 2.77%
First Tuesday Strategies^[263]	August 30 – September 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	50%	Gary Johnson	3%	Jill Stein	1%	12	775	± 3.5%
Feldman^[258]	August 18–21, 2016	Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	1%	Tied	600	± 4%
Gravis Marketing^[259]	August 15–17, 2016	Hillary Clinton	37%	Donald Trump	41%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	3%	4	768	± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling^[264]	August 9–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	41%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	2%	2	1,290	± 2.7%

South Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–40%

No polls conducted yet

Tennessee

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 59%–39%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
MTSU^[265]	September 28 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	40%	Donald Trump	50%	10	472	± 5.0%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
MTSU^[265]	September 28 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	50%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	1%	12	472	± 5.0%
Vanderbilt University^[266]	September 19 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	33%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	1%	11	1000	± 3.4%

Texas

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of August 24, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Evan McMullin Independent	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	39.5%	48%	—			8.5
	Election Projection	39.5%	48%				8.5
	HuffPost Pollster	37%	39%				2
	Real Clear Politics	37.3%	45.7%				8.4
	TPM Polltracker	41%	48.7%				7.7
	Votamatic	44.3%	55.7%				11.4
Three-way	Electoral Vote	37%	45%	3%	—		8
	FiveThirtyEight	35.5%	42.7	5.6%	—		7.2
	Real Clear Politics	not yet calculated
	TPM Polltracker	32%	39%	7%	—		7
Four-way	270 to Win	38%	44%	6%	2%	—	6
	Election Projection	38%	44%	6%	2%	—	6
	Real Clear Politics	not yet calculated
Five-way	TPM Polltracker	not yet calculated

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Texas Lyceum^[267]	September 1–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	36%	Donald Trump	42%	6	502	± 4.37%
Public Policy Polling^[268]	August 12–14, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	50%	6	944	± 3.2%
KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Poll^[269]	August 8–9, 2016	Hillary Clinton	35%	Donald Trump	46%	11	1,018	± 3.1%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
SurveyUSA/TEGNA^[270]	October 10–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	47%	Gary Johnson	3%	Jill Stein	1%	4	638	± 4.0%
KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Poll^[271]	September 29 – October 1, 2016	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	45%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	1%	7	780	± 3.5%
Texas Lyceum^[267]	September 1–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	32%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	3%	7	502	±4.37%
Emerson College^[272]	September 7–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	36%	Donald Trump	42%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	6%	6	700	±3.6%

Five-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Independent	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[268]	August 12–14, 2016	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	44%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	2%	Evan McMullin	0%	6	944	± 3.2%

Utah

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 73%–25%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of August 24, 2016^[update].

Race	Poll model	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Gary Johnson Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Darrell Castle Constitution	Lead margin
Two-way	270 to Win	29%	45%	—			16
	Election Projection	31.3%	37.7%				6.4
	HuffPost Pollster	26.5%	36.3%				10.1
	Real Clear Politics	not yet calculated
	TPM Polltracker	30.3%	47.7%	—			17.4
	Votamatic	40.6%	59.4%	—			19.2
Three-way	Election Projection	26%	29%	16%	—		3
	Electoral Vote	24%	39%	12%
	FiveThirtyEight	27.3%	36.3%	13.5%			9
	Real Clear Politics	not yet calculated
	TPM Polltracker	25%	37%	16%	—		12
Four-way	270 to Win	24.5%	38.0%	14%	1%	—	13.5
	Election Projection	24.5%	38%	14%	1%	—	13.5
	Real Clear Politics	not yet calculated
	TPM Polltracker	25%	37%	16%	1%	—	12
Six-way	TPM Polltracker	not yet calculated

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[273]	August 19–21, 2016	Hillary Clinton	33%	Donald Trump	53%	20	1,018	± 3.1%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Independent	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Y2 Analytics^[274]	October 10–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	26%	Donald Trump	26%	Gary Johnson	14%	Evan McMullin	22%	Tied	500	± 4.4%

Five-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Independent	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Rasmussen Reports^[1]	October 15-16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	28%	Donald Trump	30%	Gary Johnson	5%	Jill Stein	1%	Evan McMullin	29%	1	750	± 4.0%
CBS News/YouGov^[275]	October 12–14, 2016	Hillary Clinton	20%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	1%	Evan McMullin	20%	17	951	± 5.7%
Monmouth University^[276]	October 10–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	28%	Donald Trump	34%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	1%	Evan McMullin	20%	6	403	± 4.9%
Dan Jones & Associates^[277]	September 12–19, 2016	Hillary Clinton	25%	Donald Trump	34%	Gary Johnson	13%	Jill Stein	1%	Evan McMullin	12%	9	820	± 3.4%

Six-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Constitution	%	Independent	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Dan Jones & Associates^[278]	September 1–9, 2016	Hillary Clinton	24%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	13%	Jill Stein	0%	Darrell Castle	2%	Evan McMullin	9%	15	605	± 3.98%
Public Policy Polling^[273]	August 19–21, 2016	Hillary Clinton	24%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	12%	Jill Stein	5%	Darrell Castle	2%	Evan McMullin	9%	15	1,018	± 3.1%

Vermont

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
(Democratic in 2012) 67%–31%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Emerson College^[43]	September 2–5, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	26%	Gary Johnson	13%	Jill Stein	7%	21	600	± 3.9%

Virginia

13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Hampton University^[279]	September 28 – October 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	34%	12	800	± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling^[30]	September 27–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	43%	6	811	± 3.4%
Christopher Newport University^[280]	September 15–23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	38%	10	1,003	± 3.9%
Quinnipiac University^[32]	September 13–21, 2016	Hillary Clinton	50%	Donald Trump	43%	7	659	± 3.8%
Roanoke College^[281]	September 11–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton	51%	Donald Trump	40%	11	841	± 3.4%
University of Mary Washington^[282]	September 6–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	41%	5	685	± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling^[283]	September 9–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	50%	Donald Trump	42%	8	878	± 3.3%
Hampton University^[284]	August 24–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	41%	2	801	± 4.7%
Roanoke College^[285]	August 7–17, 2016	Hillary Clinton	55%	Donald Trump	36%	19	803	± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University^[34]	August 9–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	50%	Donald Trump	38%	12	808	± 3.5%
Washington Post^[286]	August 11–14, 2016	Hillary Clinton	51%	Donald Trump	43%	8	707	± 4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[35]	August 4–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	33%	13	897	± 3.3%

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Independent/ Third-party candidate	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Emerson College^[211]	October 10–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	6%	3	600	± 3.9%
CBS News/YouGov^[19]	August 2–5, 2016	Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	7%	12	1,181	± 3.7%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[30]	September 27–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	40%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	1%	6	811	± 3.4%
CBS News/YouGov^[287]	September 21–23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	1%	8	1,237	± 3.3%
Quinnipiac University^[32]	September 13–21, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	1%	6	659	± 3.8%
Roanoke College^[281]	September 11–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	1%	7	841	± 3.4%
Public Policy Polling^[283]	September 9–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	6%	Jill Stein	2%	6	878	± 3.3%
Emerson College^[103]	August 30 – September 1, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	43%	Gary Johnson	11%	Jill Stein	3%	1	800	± 3.4%
Roanoke College^[285]	August 7–17, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	32%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	3%	16	803	± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University^[34]	August 9–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	34%	Gary Johnson	11%	Jill Stein	5%	11	808	± 3.5%
Washington Post^[286]	August 11–14, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	3%	7	707	± 4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[35]	August 4–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	31%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	5%	12	897	± 3.3%

Five-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Independent	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Christopher Newport University^[288]	October 11–14, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	29%	Gary Johnson	11%	Jill Stein	2%	Evan McMullin	3%	15	809	± 3.6%
Roanoke College^[289]	October 2–6, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	36%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	1%	Evan McMullin	1%	9	814	± 3.4%
Christopher Newport University^[290]	September 27–30, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	35%	Gary Johnson	12%	Jill Stein	1%	Evan McMullin	2%	7	892	± 3.7%
Christopher Newport University^[280]	September 15–23, 2016	Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	33%	Gary Johnson	15%	Jill Stein	3%	Evan McMullin	3%	6	1,003	± 3.9%
University of Mary Washington^[282]	September 6–12, 2016	Hillary Clinton	40%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	1%	Evan McMullin	3%	3	685	± 4.4%

Washington

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Strategies 360^[291]	September 29 – October 3, 2016	Hillary Clinton	50%	Donald Trump	33%	17	500	± 4.4%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Strategies 360^[291]	September 29 – October 3, 2016	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	31%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	4%	16	500	± 4.4%
Emerson College^[149]	September 25–26, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	38%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	5%	6	700	± 3.6%
Insights West^[15]	September 12–14, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	32%	Gary Johnson	16%	Jill Stein	6%	12	505	± 4.4%
Elway Poll^[292]	August 9–13, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	24%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	4%	19	500	± 4.5%

West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%

Two-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Garin-Hart-Yang^[293]	September 13–17, 2016	Hillary Clinton	28%	Donald Trump	60%	32	500	± 5.0%

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Independent/ Third-party candidate	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Just Win Strategies^[294]	September 8–10, 2016	Hillary Clinton	30%	Donald Trump	57%	Gary Johnson	4%	27	600	± 4%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green Party	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Repass Research^[295]	August 9–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	31%	Donald Trump	49%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	4%	18	386	4.7%

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Marquette University^[296]	October 6–9, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	42%	4	878	± 3.9%
Marquette University^[297]	September 15–18, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	42%	2	677	± 4.8%
Public Policy Polling^[298]	August 26–27, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	41%	7	1,054
Marquette University^[299]	August 25–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	42%	3	615	± 5.0%
Marquette University^[300]	August 4–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	36%	10	805	± 4.6%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Marquette University^[296]	October 6–9, 2016	Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	37%	Gary Johnson	9%	Jill Stein	3%	7	878	± 3.9%
Loras College^[301]	October 5–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	35%	Gary Johnson	8%	Jill Stein	2%	8	500	± 4.4%
CBS News/YouGov^[228]	October 5–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	39%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	1%	4	993	± 4.3%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News^[302]	October 4, 2016	Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	40%	Gary Johnson	4%	Jill Stein	1%	8	1,102	± 3.0%
Emerson College^[90]	September 19–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	38%	Gary Johnson	11%	Jill Stein	2%	7	700	± 3.6%
Marquette University^[297]	September 15–18, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	38%	Gary Johnson	11%	Jill Stein	2%	3	677	± 4.8%
Monmouth University^[303]	August 27–30, 2016	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	38%	Gary Johnson	7%	Jill Stein	3%	5	404	± 4.9%
Marquette University^[299]	August 25–28, 2016	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	38%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	4%	3	615	± 5.0%
Marquette University^[300]	August 4–7, 2016	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	33%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	4%	9	805	± 4.6%

Wyoming

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%
(Republican in 2012) 69%–28%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Green Party	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
DFM Research^[304]	September 6–11, 2016	Hillary Clinton	19%	Donald Trump	54%	Gary Johnson	10%	Jill Stein	2%	35	402	4.9%

Notes

^ These results only reflect polls done on or after August 1, 2016.

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^ ^a ^b "8_18_2016_x_tabs.pdf" (PDF). www.suffolk.edu. Suffolk University. August 18, 2016. Retrieved August 18, 2016.
^ "Suffolk University Nevada Poll Shows Clinton Leading by 6 Points". Suffolk University. September 30, 2016. Retrieved October 1, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "WBUR Poll New Hampshire 2016 General Election" (PDF). MassInc Polling Group. WBUR. October 14, 2016. Retrieved October 14, 2016. {{cite web}}: Cite has empty unknown parameter: |1= (help)
^ https://twitter.com/jdistaso/status/786336536300232704
^ ^a ^b "WBUR Poll New Hampshire 2016 General Election" (PDF). MassInc Polling Group. WBUR. September 30, 2016. Retrieved September 30, 2016. {{cite web}}: Cite has empty unknown parameter: |1= (help)
^ ^a ^b "Hassan Opens Up Slight Lead in Race for Senate in New Hampshire" (PDF). Gerstein Bocian Agne. September 29, 2016. Retrieved October 1, 2016. {{cite web}}: Cite has empty unknown parameter: |1= (help)
^ "New Hampshire Survey Results" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. September 7, 2016.
^ "New Hampshire Survey Results" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. September 1, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "CLINTON LEADS TRUMP IN NEW HAMPSHIRE" (PDF). University of New Hampshire. September 2, 2016. Retrieved September 3, 2016.
^ "UMass Lowell/7News Survey of New Hampshire Voters" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell. October 13, 2016. Retrieved October 13, 2016.
^ "Hillary Clinton's lead drops to 2 points over Donald Trump in N.H., new poll shows". Suffolk University. Boston Globe. October 6, 2016. Retrieved October 7, 2016.
^ "2016 New Hampshire President". American Research Group. September 27, 2016. Retrieved September 28, 2016.
^ "Clinton Leads Trump; Senate Race Neck and Neck". Monmouth University. September 21, 2016. Retrieved September 21, 2016.
^ "Current State of the New Hampshire Senate Race" (PDF). Vox Populi Polling. August 10, 2016. Retrieved August 11, 2016.
^ "New Jersey Statewide 2016" (PDF). William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy. Stockton College. September 30, 2016. Retrieved October 2, 2016.
^ "Rutgers-Eagleton Poll 2016 Election" (PDF). Eagleton Institute of Politics. Rutgers University. October 4, 2016. Retrieved October 4, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "Clinton, Trump in tight race in NM". Research & Polling Inc. Albuquerque Journal. October 2, 2016. Retrieved October 2, 2016.
^ "Clinton Takes a 10 Point Lead in New Mexico Following Debate and Trump Tape Release. 9 of 10 Voters are Very Familiar with Trump Tape. 7 of 10 Very Familiar with Clinton Emails" (PDF). Zia Poll. FiveThirtyEight. October 18, 2016. Retrieved October 18, 2016.
^ "New Mexico Whites Split, But Clinton Carries the State With Overwhelming Support from Latino Voters; Democrat Toulouse Oliver Well Positioned To Defeat Republican Espinoza in Secretary of State Contest:". SurveyUSA. KOB-TV Albuquerque. October 3, 2016. Retrieved October 6, 2016.
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^ ^a ^b "CNN/ORC International Poll" (PDF). ORC International. CNN. October 17, 2016. Retrieved October 17, 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d "Poll: Clinton Ahead in North Carolina; Virtual Tie in Ohio". Marist College. NBC News/Wall Street Journal. October 13, 2016. Retrieved October 13, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "Clinton, Trump Neck and Neck in North Carolina: Bloomberg Poll". Selzer and Company. Bloomberg Politics. October 3, 2016. Retrieved October 3, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "Fox News Poll: North Carolina". Anderson Robbins Research/Shaw & Company Research. Fox News. September 21, 2016. Retrieved September 21, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "Presidential Race Tied, Cooper Up in NC" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. September 21, 2016. Retrieved September 21, 2016.
^ "North Carolina Survey Results" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. September 1, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "CNN/ORC International Poll" (PDF). ORC International. August 24, 2016. Retrieved August 25, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "Current North Carolina Polling". Gravis Marketing. August 21, 2016. Retrieved August 21, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "Clinton leads in NC for first time since March" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. August 9, 2016. Retrieved August 9, 2016.
^ "Suffolk University North Carolina Poll Shows Clinton Leading Trump by 2 Points". Suffolk University Political Research Center. October 13, 2016. Retrieved October 13, 2016.
^ "HIGH POINT UNIVERSITY POLL" (PDF). High Point University Survey Research Center. October 10, 2016. Retrieved October 10, 2016.
^ "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23184" (PDF). SurveyUSA. WRAL-TV. October 4, 2016. Retrieved October 5, 2016.
^ "Current North Carolina Polling". Gravis Marketing. Breitbart. September 25, 2016. Retrieved September 26, 2016.
^ "Key Races Close in NC" (PDF). Meredith College. September 28, 2016. Retrieved September 28, 2016.
^ "HIGH POINT UNIVERSITY POLL" (PDF). High Point University Survey Research Center. September 26, 2016. Retrieved September 27, 2016.
^ "New York Times Upshot - Siena College Poll" (PDF). Siena College. September 22, 2016. Retrieved September 22, 2016.
^ "New Civitas Poll Shows Trump and Clinton in Dead Heat in NC". Civitas Institute. September 15, 2016.
^ "North Carolina General Election September 8, 2016". Suffolk University. September 8, 2016. Retrieved September 9, 2016.
^ "Prez and Senate Races Tight; HB2 Drag on Gov. McCrory Re-Elect Bid". Monmouth University. August 24, 2016. Retrieved August 24, 2016.
^ "Civitas Releases Post-Conventions Survey of North Carolina Voters". SurveyUSA. Civitas Institute. August 3, 2016. Retrieved August 3, 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c "Clinton Leads in Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina. In Senate Races Portman is Up 17 points While Burr Hangs on By 2" (PDF). Emerson College. October 13, 2016. Retrieved October 13, 2016.
^ "North Carolina: A Divided State on the Road to the White House". Elon University. September 20, 2016. Retrieved September 20, 2016.
^ "North Carolina: A Divided State on the Road to the White House". Elon. September 20, 2016. Retrieved September 20, 2016.
^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker North Carolina" (PDF). YouGov. CBS News. September 3, 2016. Retrieved September 4, 2016.
^ "Emerson College Poll: GOP Holds a Slight Lead in North Carolina Presidential and Senate Races" (PDF). Emerson College. August 30, 2016. Retrieved August 30, 2016.
^ "ND-Pres DFM Research (Sept. 2016". DFM Research. September 20, 2016.
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^ ^a ^b "New Ohio poll puts Hillary Clinton ahead of Donald Trump by 9 points after news of Trump's vulgar talk". Baldwin Wallace University. cleveland.com. October 12, 2016. Retrieved October 12, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "Tight Race for President in Ohio" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. October 6, 2016. Retrieved October 7, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "NEW PRE-DEBATE TARGETSMART AND WILLIAM & MARY POLL OF OHIO LIKELY VOTERS". TargetSmart. William & Mary University. October 8, 2016. Retrieved October 9, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "Ohio Statewide Poll". Anzalone Liszt Grove. October 7, 2016. Retrieved October 7, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "TARGETSMART AND WILLIAM & MARY RELEASE POLL OF OHIO LIKELY VOTERS". Target Smart. William & Mary. September 26, 2016. Retrieved September 28, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "Fox News Poll: Ohio". Anderson Robbins Research/Shaw & Company Research. Fox News. September 21, 2016. Retrieved September 21, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "Trump Has 5-Point Lead in Bloomberg Poll of Battleground Ohio". Selzer and Company. Bloomberg Politics. September 14, 2016. Retrieved September 14, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "CNN/ORC International Ohio" (PDF). ORC International. CNN. September 14, 2016. Retrieved September 14, 2016.
^ "Ohio Survey Results" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. September 1, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "Exclusive — Rick Scott: Ohio Poll Shows Tie, but Trump's 20-Point Lead over Clinton with Independents Proves Voters Want 'Outsider'". OnMessage. August 26, 2016. Retrieved August 26, 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c "Poll: Gender gap in views on Trump tape describing advances on women". YouGov. CBS News. October 9, 2016. Retrieved October 9, 2016.
^ "Tight Race for Prez; Portman Widens Senate Lead". Monmouth University. October 5, 2016. Retrieved October 6, 2016.
^ "Current Ohio Polling". Gravis Marketing. Breitbart. September 25, 2016. Retrieved September 25, 2016.
^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker Ohio" (PDF). YouGov. CBS News. September 11, 2016. Retrieved September 12, 2016.
^ "Clinton Holds Small Edge; Portman Leads for Senate". Monmouth University. August 22, 2016. Retrieved August 22, 2016.
^ "Suffolk University Ohio Poll Shows Trump Edging Clinton by 3 Points". Suffolk University. September 15, 2016. Retrieved September 15, 2016.
^ "Clinton gains some ground on Trump in Oklahoma, poll shows". SoonerPoll. The Oklahoman. September 17, 2016. Retrieved September 17, 2016.
^ "New OPB Poll Shows Clinton, Brown Ahead, But Measure 97 Will Be Close". DHM Research. October 17, 2016. Retrieved October 17, 2016.
^ "In Oregon, Brown and Pierce in Dogfight for Governor Mansion, Every Vote Vital; Clinton Safely Atop Trump; Wyden Well-Positioned for Re-Election to U.S. Senate:". SurveyUSA. KATU-TV. October 13, 2016. Retrieved October 14, 2016.
^ "Current Oregon Polling". Gravis Marketing. Breitbart News. October 7, 2016. Retrieved October 9, 2016.
^ "Oregon Statewide Poll" (PDF). Hoffman Research. Gateway Communications Inc. October 3, 2016. Retrieved October 4, 2016.
^ "Oregon Poll Results – September 2016". iCitizen. September 13, 2016. Retrieved September 14, 2016.
^ "Hillary Clinton is leading Donald Trump 38% to 25%". DHM Research. September 7, 2016. Retrieved September 8, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "Bloomberg Politics Pennsylvania Poll". Selzer & Company. Bloomberg. October 13, 2016. Retrieved October 13, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "CNN/ORC International Pennsylvania" (PDF). ORC International. CNN. September 26, 2016. Retrieved September 26, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "Muhlenberg College/Morning Call 2016 Pennsylvania Election Survey" (PDF). Muhlenberg College. Morning Call. September 24, 2016. Retrieved September 24, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "Muhlenberg College/Morning Call 2016 Pennsylvania Election Survey" (PDF). Muhlenberg College. Morning Call. September 17, 2016. Retrieved September 18, 2016.
^ "Pennsylvania Survey Results" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. September 7, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "McGinty Leads in Race for PA Senate; Philly Burbs are a Battleground" (PDF). Gerstein Bocian Agne. GBA Strategies. Retrieved September 15, 2016.
^ "Pennsylvania Survey Results" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. September 1, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "August 2016 Franklin & Marshall Poll" (PDF). Center for Opinion Research Floyd Institute for Public Policy. Franklin & Marshall College. September 1, 2016. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
^ "PA Statewide Presidential Survey" (PDF). Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc. WHTM-TV/ABC27 News. October 10, 2016. Retrieved October 11, 2016.
^ "Clinton Maintains Lead; Senate Race All Tied Up". Monmouth University Polling Institute. Monmouth University. October 4, 2016. Retrieved October 5, 2016.
^ "September 2016 Franklin & Marshall College Poll" (PDF). Franklin & Marshall College. Center for Politics & Public Affairs. October 4, 2016. Retrieved October 4, 2016.
^ "Current Pennsylvania Polling". Gravis Marketing. Breitbart. September 25, 2016. Retrieved September 26, 2016.
^ "2016 Pennsylvania General Election" (PDF). Mercyhurst Center for Applied Politics. September 26, 2016. Retrieved September 26, 2016.
^ "PENNSYLVANIA STATEWIDE POLL". Harper Polling. September 26, 2016. Retrieved September 26, 2016.
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^ "Democrats Lead for Both President and Senate". Monmouth University Polling Institute. August 30, 2016. Retrieved August 31, 2016.
^ "Final Top Line Survey Results PA Statewide Presidential Survey – WHTM-TV/ABC27 News Conducted: July 31st – August 4th, 2016" (PDF). Susquehanna/ABC27 News. Retrieved August 8, 2016.
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^ ^a ^b "Trump leads Clinton among Tennessee voters". Middle Tennessee State University. October 4, 2016. Retrieved October 5, 2016.
^ "Trump leads Clinton by 11 points in Tennessee". Vanderbilt University. The Tennessean. October 6, 2016. Retrieved October 5, 2016.
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^ ^a ^b "VIRGINIA SURVEY FALL 2016" (PDF). University of Mary Washington. September 15, 2016. Retrieved September 15, 2016.
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^ "Nationally Recognized Hampton University Center For Public Policy (CPP) Releases New Presidential Poll". Hampton University. September 1, 2016. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
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^ "WY-AL DFM Research for Ryan Greene (Sept. 2016)". DFM Research. September 21, 2016.

[recent-1] These results only reflect polls done on or after August 1, 2016.

[rasm171016-2] "EXCLUSIVE: Evan McMullin Utah Poll: Independent Conservative Ties Trump". Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research. HeatStreet. October 17, 2016. Retrieved October 18, 2016.

[3] "Trump Support Slipping Slightly in Alabama". Strategy Research. News-5 WKRG. September 29, 2016. Retrieved October 14, 2016.

[asr091016-4] "New poll shows Trump leading in the presidential race in Alaska, but not by much". Alaska Survey Research. Alaska Dispatch News. October 9, 2016. Retrieved October 9, 2016.

[5] Reynolds, Casey. "MIDNIGHT SUN EXCLUSIVE: New Poll Shows Trump-Clinton Tied In Alaska". The Midnight Sun. Lake Research Partners. Retrieved October 17, 2016.

[6] "Murkowski Polling Data Shows Clinton Down Only 3 Points In Alaska". Moore Information. The Midnight Sun. October 7, 2016. Retrieved October 8, 2016.

[7] "Survey Results" (PDF). Moore Information. The Midnight Sun. September 1, 2016. Retrieved September 4, 2016.

[nbcwsjsep1116-8] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h "Clinton, Trump Deadlocked in Battleground States: Polls". Marist. NBC News/Wall Street Journal. September 11, 2016. Retrieved September 11, 2016.

[9] "Arizona Survey Results" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. September 1, 2016.

[cnnorcaug24az-10] "CNN/ORC International Poll". SSRS of Media. CNN. ORC International. August 24, 2016. Retrieved August 24, 2016.

[11] "Clinton and Trump Tied in New Arizona Poll". Data Orbital. October 14, 2016. Retrieved October 15, 2016.

[12] "Trump Leads Arizona by Narrow Margin". Data Orbital. September 26, 2016. Retrieved September 26, 2016.

[13] "Latest Poll Shows Arizona is Officially a Battleground State". Highground Public Affairs Consultant. October 17, 2016. Retrieved October 18, 2016.

[emerson061016-14] "Emerson College Poll Clinton and Trump Keep It Close in Florida, Nevada and Arizona but Clinton Surges in Rhode Island. GOP Could Lock Up Three Senate Seats" (PDF). Emerson College. October 6, 2016. Retrieved October 6, 2016.

[15] "Arizona is a Statistical Dead Heat for President". OH Predictive Insights. October 6, 2016. Retrieved October 7, 2016.

[insightssep2116-16] "Trump Leads in Arizona and Nevada, Clinton in California and Washington". www.insightswest.com. September 21, 2016. Retrieved September 21, 2016.

[17] "Poll: Arizona a toss-up between Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump". www.azcentral.com. September 7, 2016. Retrieved September 7, 2016.

[18] "Breitbart/Gravis Arizona Presidential Poll: Trump 44%, Clinton 40% with Johnson 8%, Stein 1%". Gravis Marketing. August 31, 2016. Retrieved August 31, 2016.

[19] "Arizona Currently a Toss-Up Between Trump and Hillary for President". OH Predictive Insights. August 29, 2016. Retrieved August 30, 2016.

[cbsaug716-20] "Battleground 2016: new game". YouGov. CBS News. August 7, 2016. Retrieved August 7, 2016.

[21] "Poll: Clinton, Trump in statistical dead heat in new Arizona-based poll". Tucson.com. August 2, 2016. Retrieved August 3, 2016.

[22] "Arizona poll: Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump 45-42". Phoenix Business Journal. August 2, 2016. Retrieved August 3, 2016.

[23] "Poll: Donald Trump extends lead over Hillary Clinton in Arkansas". Hendrix College. September 22, 2016. Retrieved September 22, 2016.

[emesep1516-24] "Emerson Poll: Trump Leads Clinton Nationally; Arkansas, Georgia, Missouri Remain Red; Colorado is Leaning Trump; Pneumonia Diagnosis Appears to Be Hurting Clinton" (PDF). Emerson College. September 15, 2016. Retrieved September 15, 2016.

[USCLATimes-25] "Clinton holds wide lead in California; third-party candidates are strong among younger voters". USC Dornsife. Los Angeles Times. September 12, 2016. Retrieved September 12, 2016.

[26] "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23178" (PDF). SurveyUSA. KABC. September 29, 2016. Retrieved September 30, 2016.

[27] "PPIC STATEWIDE SURVEY SEPTEMBER 2016" (PDF). Public Policy Institute of California. Retrieved September 21, 2016.

[28] "CLINTON'S LEAD IN CALIFORNIA SLIPS AS HER IMAGE AMONG VOTERS DECLINES" (PDF). UC Berkeley's Institute of Governmental Studies/YouGov. Field Research. September 20, 2016. Retrieved September 20, 2016.

[29] "In California, Immediately Prior to Pneumonia Reveal, Clinton Far Ahead of Trump; Harris Atop Sanchez in Fight for Boxer's Open Senate Seat; Death Penalty Likely to Survive, But Ballot Measures on Recreational Marijuana, Background Checks & New Cigarette Tax Ahead At This Hour". SurveyUSA. September 12, 2016. Retrieved September 12, 2016.

[quinn171016-30] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h "INDEPENDENTS PUT CLINTON UP IN FLORIDA, COLORADO, PENNSYLVANIA AND TIED IN OHIO, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FINDS" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. October 17, 2016. Retrieved October 18, 2016.

[pppsep2916-31] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j "Clinton Leads in Key Battlegrounds; Seen As Big Debate Winner" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Vote Vets.org Action Fund. September 29, 2016. Retrieved September 29, 2016.

[cnncosep1416-32] "CNN/ORC International Colorado" (PDF). ORC International. CNN. September 26, 2016. Retrieved September 26, 2016.

[quinnsep2216-33] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h "TRUMP NARROWS GAP IN COLORADO, VIRGINIA, PULLS AHEAD IN GEORGIA, IOWA, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FINDS" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. September 22, 2016. Retrieved September 22, 2016.

[colomesep-34] "The Presidential Race in Colorado" (PDF). Franklin & Marshall College. Colorado Mesa University. September 22, 2016. Retrieved September 22, 2016.

[quinnaug1716-35] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f "CLINTON HAS BIG LEADS IN COLORADO, VIRGINIA, TIED IN IOWA, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FINDS". Quinnipiac University. August 17, 2016. Retrieved August 18, 2016.

[nbcwsjmaristaug1216-36] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h "Polls: Clinton Running The Table in Key Battlegrounds". Marist. NBC News. August 12, 2016. Retrieved August 12, 2016.

[37] "Exclusive–Breitbart/Gravis Poll: Clinton Opens Lead Over Trump 44-39 in Colorado, Gains 5 Points in a Week". Gravis Marketing. Breitbart News. October 15, 2016. Retrieved October 16, 2016.

[38] "Exclusive – Breitbart/Gravis Colorado Poll: Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton Tied in Key Western Battleground State". Gravis Marketing. Breitbart News. October 8, 2016. Retrieved October 9, 2016.

[39] "Clinton maintains double digit lead". Monmouth University. Retrieved October 3, 2016.

[40] "Colorado Presidential Tracking Poll–September 27-29, 2016" (PDF). Keating Research. Huffington Post. October 3, 2016. Retrieved October 4, 2016.

[41] "Current Colorado Polling". Gravis Marketing. Breitbart. September 25, 2016. Retrieved September 25, 2016.

[42] "Colorado" (PDF). YouGov. CBS News. September 25, 2016. Retrieved September 25, 2016.

[43] "Colorado 2016 Presidential Voter Opinion Survey". Magellan Strategies. September 8, 2016. Retrieved September 8, 2016.

[Emerson-44] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g "Polls: Trump Threatens to Flip New Jersey, Rhode Island; Clinton Leads in New England States". www.peoplespunditdaily.com. Retrieved September 7, 2016.

[45] "New survey: Clinton leads Trump 51% to 30% among likely voters in Delaware Trump leads Sussex County, but far behind in New Castle County" (PDF). Center for Political Communication. University of Delaware. October 3, 2016. Retrieved October 4, 2016.

[pppflo141016-46] "Clinton's Florida Lead Continues to Grow" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. October 14, 2016. Retrieved October 15, 2016.

[nbcwsjmarist091016-47] "Polls: Clinton Ahead in Florida, Pennsylvania". Marist College. NBC News/Wall Street Journal. October 9, 2016. Retrieved October 10, 2016.

[unf061016-48] "Poll of Likely Voters Shows that Florida Swings Towards Hillary Clinton". Public Opinion Research Laboratory. University of North Florida. October 6, 2016. Retrieved October 6, 2016.

[quinn031016-49] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h "CLINTON WON DEBATE; UP IN FLORIDA, DOWN IN OHIO, ON PLUS SIDE OF CLOSE RACES IN NORTH CAROLINA, PENNSYLVANIA, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FIND" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. October 3, 2016. Retrieved October 4, 2016.

[fcpisep26-50] "New Florida Chamber of Commerce Statewide Poll Shows Presidential Race Too Close to Call in Florida". Florida Chamber Political Institute. September 26, 2016. Retrieved September 26, 2016.

[ntsc-51] "New York Times Upshot - Siena College Poll" (PDF). Siena College. September 19, 2016. Retrieved September 19, 2016.

[cnnflsep1416-52] "CNN/ORC International Poll Florida" (PDF). ORC International. CNN. September 14, 2016. Retrieved September 14, 2016.

[quinnsept816-53] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h "CLINTON-TRUMP CLOSE IN FLORIDA, NORTH CAROLINA, OHIO, PENNSYLVANIA, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FINDS" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. September 8, 2016. Retrieved September 9, 2016.

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[F&MSept116-249] "August 2016 Franklin & Marshall Poll" (PDF). Center for Opinion Research Floyd Institute for Public Policy. Franklin & Marshall College. September 1, 2016. Retrieved September 1, 2016.

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[261] "Trump leads in new SC GOP poll out today". Starboard Communications. September 13, 2016. Retrieved September 13, 2016.

[262] "Winthrop Poll September 2016". Winthrop University. September 29, 2016. Retrieved September 29, 2016.

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[264] "60% of SC Voters Now View Hillary Clinton Unfavorably". First Tuesday Strategies. September 6, 2016. Retrieved September 6, 2016.

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[MTSU_TN_Oct2-266] "Trump leads Clinton among Tennessee voters". Middle Tennessee State University. October 4, 2016. Retrieved October 5, 2016.

[267] "Trump leads Clinton by 11 points in Tennessee". Vanderbilt University. The Tennessean. October 6, 2016. Retrieved October 5, 2016.

[texaslysept1516-268] "2016 Texas Statewide Survey" (PDF). Texas Lyceum. September 15, 2016. Retrieved September 15, 2016.

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[270] "Trump Leads Texas In KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Poll". Dixie Strategies. KTVT-CBS 11. August 11, 2016. Retrieved August 12, 2016.

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[277] "Trump has Narrow Lead But Clinton and McMullin are Hot on His Heels". Monmouth University. October 13, 2016. Retrieved October 13, 2016.

[278] "New Tribune-Hinckley poll: Trump leads Clinton by 9 percentage points". Dan Jones & Associates. Salt Lake Tribune. September 25, 2016. Retrieved August 29, 2016.

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[roaseptr-282] "Roanoke College Poll" (PDF). Roanoke College. September 22, 2016. Retrieved September 22, 2016.

[umwvasep1516-283] "VIRGINIA SURVEY FALL 2016" (PDF). University of Mary Washington. September 15, 2016. Retrieved September 15, 2016.

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[285] "Nationally Recognized Hampton University Center For Public Policy (CPP) Releases New Presidential Poll". Hampton University. September 1, 2016. Retrieved September 1, 2016.

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[296] "MetroNews West Virginia Poll: Trump still the choice of Mountain State voters". Repass Research. WV MetroNews. September 1, 2016.

[marquet121016-297] "New Marquette Law School Poll finds Wisconsin voters shifting support to Clinton after Trump video release". Marquette University Law School. October 12, 2016. Retrieved October 13, 2016.

[marquetteseptt-298] "NEW MARQUETTE LAW SCHOOL POLL FINDS TIGHT PRESIDENTIAL RACE, FEINGOLD WITH EDGE IN WISCONSIN". Marquette University Law School. September 21, 2016. Retrieved September 21, 2016.

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Most recent polling

Utah

See also

Notes

References