2018 United States Senate election in New Mexico
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The 2018 United States Senate election in New Mexico will take place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Mexico, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Martin Heinrich is running for reelection to a second term.[1]
The candidate filing deadline was March 13, 2018, and the primary election was held on June 5, 2018.[2]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Martin Heinrich, incumbent U.S. Senator[1]
Endorsements
Martin Heinrich
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Martin Heinrich (incumbent) | 151,473 | 100 | |
| Total votes | 151,473 | 100 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Mick Rich, businessman[8]
Declined
- Aubrey Dunn Jr., New Mexico Commissioner of Public Lands and candidate for NM-02 in 2008 (ran as a Libertarian, later endorsed Gary Johnson)[9]
- Steve Pearce, U.S. Representative, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2000 and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2008 (running for Governor)[10]
- Susana Martinez, Governor of New Mexico[11]
Endorsements
Mick Rich
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mick Rich | 67,028 | 100 | |
| Total votes | 67,028 | 100 | ||
Libertarian primary
On July 30, 2018, Aubrey Dunn withdrew from the race. On August 4, former governor Gary Johnson was formally nominated by the Libertarian Party of New Mexico as Dunn's replacement.[14] Johnson accepted his party's nomination on August 13.[15]
Candidates
Declared
Withdrew
Endorsements
Aubrey Dunn Jr. (withdrew)
- Elected officials
- Gary Johnson, former Governor of New Mexico and Libertarian nominee for President in 2012 and 2016.[9]
- William Weld, former Governor of Massachusetts and Libertarian nominee for Vice-President in 2016.[18]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Aubrey Dunn | 619 | 100 | |
| Total votes | 619 | 100 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid D | September 29, 2017 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid D | September 29, 2017 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | July 24, 2018 |
| Fox News[22] | Likely D^ | July 9, 2018 |
| CNN[23] | Solid D | July 12, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[24] | Safe D | June 2018 |
^Highest rating given
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Martin Heinrich (D) |
Mick Rich (R) |
Gary Johnson (L) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBA Strategies (D-Heinrich) | August 1–5, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 47% | 29% | 22% | – |
| NSON Opinion Strategy (L) | July 2018 | 500 | – | 39% | 25% | 24% | – |
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Hypothetical polling | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Martin Heinrich (incumbent) | ||||
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson | ||||
| Republican | Mick Rich | ||||
| Majority | |||||
| Turnout | |||||
References
- ^ a b Coleman, Michael (November 10, 2016). "Who wants to be New Mexico's next governor?". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved November 10, 2016.
- ^ "United States Senate election in New Mexico, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved March 3, 2017.
- ^ Tiffany Muller (July 6, 2017). "End Citizens United Endorses Senator Martin Heinrich for Re-election". End Citizens United.
- ^ "2018 Senate Endorsees - JStreet".
- ^ a b "National Environmental Groups Endorse Martin Heinrich For U.S. Senate". Martin Heinrich for Senate. April 22, 2018.
- ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". sierraclub.org. 16 July 2012. Retrieved 11 June 2018.
- ^ a b c "New Mexico Election Results". New Mexico Secretary of State. June 6, 2018.
- ^ Lee, Morgan (April 19, 2017). "New Mexico construction contractor announces US Senate bid". KOB. Retrieved April 19, 2017.
- ^ a b "Libertarian Party gets a boost in NM". nmpoliticalreport.com. Retrieved 11 June 2018.
- ^ Keithley, Tim (November 23, 2016). "Turkey talk: Political drama on the horizon in 2018". Ruidoso News. Retrieved November 23, 2016.
- ^ "New Mexico Governor Rules Out Senate Run". U.S. News & World Report. 18 January 2018. Retrieved 15 March 2018.
- ^ "Associated Builders and Contractors Endorses Mick Rich for U.S. Senate". Mick Rich for U.S. Senate. June 29, 2017.
- ^ "National Right To Life Committee Endorses Mick Rich". Mick Rich for U.S. Senate. July 31, 2018.
- ^ "Libertarian Party courts Gary Johnson for Senate run". Associated Press. Associated Press.
- ^ Boyd, Dan (August 14, 2018). "Gary Johnson makes it official: He's running for U.S. Senate". Albuquerque Journal.
- ^ "Libertarian Party courts Gary Johnson for Senate run". Associated Press. Associated Press.
- ^ McLaughlin, Jill. "Aubrey Dunn withdraws from U.S. Senate race". Los Alamos Monitor. Los Alamos Monitor. Retrieved 30 July 2018.
- ^ "Bill Weld". Facebook. Retrieved 11 June 2018.
- ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
- ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at Center for Responsive Politics
- Official campaign websites