2024 United States Senate election in New York
 | This article documents a current election. Information may change rapidly as the election progresses until official results have been published. Initial news reports may be unreliable, and the last updates to this article may not reflect the most current information. (November 2024) |
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The 2024 United States Senate election in New York will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New York. Democratic incumbent Kirsten Gillibrand is seeking a third term. She is being challenged by Republican businessman Mike Sapraicone. Primary elections took place on June 25, 2024.[1]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Kirsten Gillibrand, incumbent U.S. senator[2]
Disqualified
[edit]- Khaled Salem, nonprofit executive[3]
Declined
[edit]- Jamaal Bowman, U.S. representative from New York's 16th congressional district (2021–present)[4] (unsuccessfully ran for re-election)[5]
- Al Franken, former U.S. Senator from Minnesota (2009–2018)[6]
- Mondaire Jones, member of the U.S. Commission on Civil Rights (2023–present) and former U.S. representative from New York's 17th congressional district (2021–2023)[4] (running for U.S. House)[7]
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. representative from New York's 14th congressional district (2019–present) (running for re-election)[4]
- Ritchie Torres, U.S. representative from New York's 15th congressional district (2021–present)[8]
Endorsements
[edit]Kirsten Gillibrand
- Individuals
- Stuart Appelbaum, president of the Jewish Labor Committee (1998–present) and board member of the National Endowment for Democracy (2022–present)[9]
- Labor unions
- District Council 37[10]
- New York State AFL–CIO[11]
- New York State Nurses Association[12]
- Retail, Wholesale and Department Store Union[9]
- Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC)[13]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[14]
- EMILY's List[15]
- End Citizens United[16]
- Feminist Majority PAC[17]
- Giffords[18]
- Humane Society Legislative Fund[19]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[20]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[21]
- League of Conservation Voters[22]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[23]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[24]
- Population Connection Action Fund[25]
- Stonewall Democratic Club of New York City[26]
- Vote Mama[27]
- Political parties
Polling
[edit]Hypothetical polling
- Kirsten Gillibrand vs. Andrew Cuomo
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kirsten Gillibrand |
Andrew Cuomo |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Pulse & Research Polling (R)[A] | November 30 – December 1, 2023 | 417 (V) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 35% | 16% |
Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of June 5, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Kirsten Gillibrand (D) | $13,181,513 | $13,105,874 | $10,391,040 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[29] | |||
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Disqualified
[edit]- David Bellon, attorney[3]
- Cara Castronuova, Newsmax reporter and former professional boxer[3]
- Josh Eisen, businessman[3]
Endorsements
[edit]Mike Sapraicone
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States[31]
- Party chapters
- Nassau County Republican Party[32]
- Queens Republican Party[32]
- Suffolk County Republican Party[32]
- Westchester County Republican Party[32]
Cara Castronuova (disqualified)
- U.S. Representatives
- George Santos, former U.S. Representative for New York's 3rd congressional district (Independent)[32]
- Local officials
- Individuals
- Roger Stone, former advisor to Donald Trump[32]
- Party chapters
Josh Eisen (disqualified)
- Statewide officials
- Organizations
Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of June 5, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Mike Sapraicone (R) | $738,958 | $494,680 | $244,277 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[29] | |||
Independents
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Diane Sare, political organizer and perennial candidate[35]
Endorsements
[edit]Diane Sare
- Organizations
Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of June 5, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Diane Sare (I) | $331,307 | $331,025 | $6,726 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[29] | |||
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[37] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[38] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] | Safe D | November 9, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[40] | Safe D | June 8, 2024 |
| Elections Daily[41] | Safe D | May 4, 2023 |
| CNalysis[42] | Solid D | November 21, 2023 |
| RealClearPolitics[43] | Solid D | August 5, 2024 |
| Split Ticket[44] | Safe D | October 23, 2024 |
| 538[45] | Solid D | October 23, 2024 |
Endorsments
[edit]Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
- Individuals
- Stuart Appelbaum, president of the Jewish Labor Committee (1998–present) and board member of the National Endowment for Democracy (2022–present)[9]
- Labor unions
- District Council 37[10]
- New York State AFL–CIO[46]
- New York State Nurses Association[12]
- Retail, Wholesale and Department Store Union[9]
- Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC)[47]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[14]
- EMILY's List[15]
- End Citizens United[16]
- Feminist Majority PAC[17]
- Giffords[48]
- Humane Society Legislative Fund[19]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[20]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[21]
- League of Conservation Voters[49]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[50]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[51]
- Population Connection Action Fund[25]
- Stonewall Democratic Club of New York City[26]
- Vote Mama[27]
- Political parties
Mike Sapraicone (R)
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States[53]
- Party chapters
- Nassau County Republican Party[32]
- Queens Republican Party[32]
- Suffolk County Republican Party[32]
- Westchester County Republican Party[32]
Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Kirsten Gillibrand (D) | $15,120,750 | $23,896,091 | $1,540,060 |
| Michael Sapraicone (R) | $1,110,275[b] | $771,871 | $338,403 |
| Diane Sare (I) | $457,732[c] | $455,244 | $8,933 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[29] | |||
Polling
[edit]- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Mike Sapraicone (R) |
Undecided [d] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 538 | through November 3, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 57.2% | 33.9% | 8.9% | Gillibrand +23.2% |
| RealClearPolitics | September 23 – October 27, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | 55.0% | 34.3% | 10.7% | Gillibrand +20.7% |
| 270ToWin | September 30 - November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 55.8% | 32.8% | 11.4% | Gillibrand +23.0% |
| TheHill/DDHQ | through November 3, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 58.9% | 34.8% | 6.3% | Gillibrand +24.1% |
| Average | 56.7% | 34.0% | 9.3% | Gillibrand +22.7% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Mike Sapraicone (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | November 2–3, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 61% | 33% | 2%[e] | 4% |
| ActiVote | October 4–28, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 60% | 40% | – | – |
| Cygnal (R) | October 26–27, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 58% | 39% | 1%[f] | 2% |
| Siena College | October 13–17, 2024 | 872 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 57% | 31% | 2%[g] | 9% |
| YouGov[B] | October 7–17, 2024 | 1,089 (RV) | ± 3.41% | 57% | 32% | – | 11% |
| Emerson College[C] | September 23–25, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 33% | 1%[h] | 15% |
| ActiVote | August 24 – September 25, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 60% | 40% | – | – |
| Siena College | September 11–16, 2024 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 54% | 31% | 3%[i] | 13% |
| ActiVote | July 8 – August 5, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 63% | 37% | – | – |
| Siena College | July 28 – August 1, 2024 | 1,199 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 56% | 33% | 1%[j] | 10% |
Hypothetical polling
- Kirsten Gillibrand vs. generic opponent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Generic opponent |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College | June 12–13 & 16–17, 2024 | 805 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
| Siena College | May 13–15, 2024 | 1,191 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 39% | 41% | 20% |
| Siena College | April 15–17, 2024 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
| Siena College | February 12–14, 2024 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 39% | 37% | 23% |
| Siena College | January 14–17, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 38% | 19% |
| Siena College | November 12–15, 2023 | 893 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 35% | 25% |
| Siena College | October 15–19, 2023 | 1,225 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 39% | 38% | 23% |
| Siena College | September 10–13, 2023 | 804 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 41% | 37% | 22% |
| Siena College | August 13–16, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 41% | 19% |
| Siena College | June 20–25, 2023 | 817 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| Siena College | May 7–11, 2023 | 810 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 43% | 38% | 19% |
| Siena College | March 19–22, 2023 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 38% | 19% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kirsten Gillibrand | ||||
| Working Families | Kirsten Gillibrand | ||||
| Total | Kirsten Gillibrand (incumbent) | ||||
| Republican | Mike Sapraicone | ||||
| Conservative | Mike Sapraicone | ||||
| Total | Mike Sapraicone | ||||
| LaRouche | Diane Sare | ||||
| Total votes | |||||
Notes
[edit]- ^ a b c Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ $550,050 of this total was self-funded by Sapraicone
- ^ $6,000 of this total was self-funded by Sare
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
- ^ Sare (I) with 1%
- ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
- ^ Sare (I) with 1%
- ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
- Partisan clients
References
[edit]- ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
- ^ Balk, Tim (January 13, 2023). "N.Y. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand announces 2024 reelection campaign". New York Daily News. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
- ^ a b c d Roy, Yancey (May 1, 2024). "NYS elections board disqualifies primary challengers for Gillibrand, Sapraicone". Newsday. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
- ^ a b c Otterbein, Holly; Gibson, Brittany (April 30, 2023). "AOC is 'not planning' to run for Senate in 2024". Politico. Retrieved April 30, 2023.
Former New York Rep. Mondaire Jones, a progressive, has decided he won't run for Gillibrand's seat...Reps. Jamaal Bowman (D-N.Y.) and Ritchie Torres (D-N.Y.) also told POLITICO they are not interested in the race.
- ^ Bocanegra, Michelle (January 25, 2024). "NY Rep. Jamaal Bowman launches re-election campaign in Yonkers, facing primary challenge". Gothamist. Retrieved January 25, 2024.
- ^ Niemietz, Brian (February 10, 2022). "Al Franken is tempted to return to the U.S. Senate". New York Daily News. Retrieved January 4, 2023.
- ^ Bazail-Eimil, Eric (July 5, 2023). "Former Rep. Mondaire Jones launches comeback bid for House seat in New York". POLITICO. Retrieved July 5, 2023.
- ^ Fandos, Nicholas (January 20, 2023). "Gillibrand, Looking Left, Launches Campaign For a Third Term". The New York Times.
Asked by text on Wednesday if he was considering a primary, [Ritchie] Torres said, 'The answer to your question is no.'
- ^ a b c d Reisman, Nick (April 6, 2023). "Gillibrand picks up early union nod in re-election bid". Spectrum News 1. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
- ^ a b "District Council 37 Political Action and Legislation". District Council 37. Retrieved May 26, 2024.
- ^ "New York State AFL-CIO Announces Endorsement of Sen. Gillibrand and Endorsements in Congressional, State Senate, and Assembly Races with Primary Elections | New York State AFL-CIO". nysaflcio.org. May 14, 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
- ^ a b "2024 Primary Election Endorsements". New York State Nurses Association. Retrieved February 23, 2024.
- ^ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
- ^ a b Fernandez, Madison (May 20, 2024). "Pro-Israel group boosts Democrats in battleground races". Politico. Retrieved May 20, 2024.
- ^ a b Wang, Danni (April 26, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection to the United States Senate". EMILYs List. Retrieved April 26, 2023.
- ^ a b "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Gillibrand for Reelection". End Citizens United. August 10, 2023. Retrieved August 13, 2023.
- ^ a b "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
- ^ "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection to the US Senate". Giffords. August 7, 2023. Retrieved August 14, 2023.
- ^ a b "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
- ^ a b "Jewish Dems: President Biden Stands with Israel". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
- ^ a b "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
- ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
- ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Reproductive Rights Champions Baldwin, Brown, Gillibrand, Rosen, Tester for Re-Election in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved July 31, 2023.
- ^ a b "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
- ^ a b "Stonewall Democratic Club of NYC". Stonewall Democratic Club of NYC. May 2, 2024. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
- ^ a b "Vote Mama PAC | Candidates". Vote Mama PAC. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
- ^ Committee, New York State Democratic. "New York State Democratic Committee Officially Nominates U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection | New York State Democratic Party". www.nydems.org. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
- ^ a b c d "2024 Election United States Senate - New York". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
- ^ Campanile, Carl (February 18, 2024). "Retired NYC detective Mike Sapraicone winning GOP support in bid to take on Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand". New York Post. Retrieved February 19, 2024.
- ^ "Trump backs NY Senate hopeful Mike Sapraicone". March 3, 2024. Retrieved March 4, 2024.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Coltin, Jeff (February 20, 2024). "Gillibrand vs. Who?". Politico. Retrieved February 20, 2024.
- ^ "Former NY Gov. Pataki backs GOP hopeful Eisen in Senate race against Gillibrand". February 7, 2024. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
- ^ Kiprilov, Nicole (January 22, 2024). "Endorsement: Josh Eisen for United States Senate in New York". New York Young Republican Club. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
- ^ Danielle Wallace, Houston Keene (August 31, 2023). "NYC voters explain why they're voting for RFK Jr. over Biden: 'Going to unify the nation'". Fox News. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
- ^ "2024 TLO Endorsements: So Far, There's Only One! | The LaRouche Organization". www.laroucheorganization.com. November 8, 2023. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
- ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
- ^ "New York State AFL-CIO Announces Endorsement of Sen. Gillibrand and Endorsements in Congressional, State Senate, and Assembly Races with Primary Elections | New York State AFL-CIO". nysaflcio.org. May 14, 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
- ^ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
- ^ "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection to the US Senate". Giffords. August 7, 2023. Retrieved August 14, 2023.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
- ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
- ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Reproductive Rights Champions Baldwin, Brown, Gillibrand, Rosen, Tester for Re-Election in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved July 31, 2023.
- ^ Committee, New York State Democratic. "New York State Democratic Committee Officially Nominates U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection | New York State Democratic Party". www.nydems.org. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
- ^ "Trump backs NY Senate hopeful Mike Sapraicone". March 3, 2024. Retrieved March 4, 2024.
External links
[edit]- Official campaign websites