2024 United States presidential election in Virginia
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| Elections in Virginia |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Virginia took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Virginia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Virginia has 13 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
Before the election, most news organizations considered Virginia a likely win for Harris. On election day, Harris won Virginia with 51.83% of the vote, carrying the state by a margin of 5.78%, similar to the 2016 results.
Primary elections
[edit]Democratic primary
[edit]The Virginia Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Incumbent president Joe Biden won the state and all 11 of its congressional districts, securing 99 pledged delegates. Activist Marianne Williamson garnered 8% of the vote total, which was her second-best performance on Super Tuesday after Oklahoma.
Biden
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- >90%
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 317,329 | 88.51% | 99 | 99 | |
| Marianne Williamson | 28,599 | 7.98% | 0 | 0 | |
| Dean Phillips | 12,586 | 3.51% | 0 | 0 | |
| Total: | 358,514 | 100.00% | 99 | 19 | 118 |
Republican primary
[edit]The Virginia Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Former president Donald Trump defeated former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley, attaining 42 pledged delegates to the Republican National Convention in July. Trump performed best in southwest Virginia, while Haley's strength lay in Charlottesville, Albemarle County, the urban areas of Richmond and the suburbs surrounding Washington, D.C.
Trump
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- >90%
Haley
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 440,416 | 62.99% | 39 | 3 | 42 |
| Nikki Haley | 244,586 | 34.98% | 6 | 6 | |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 7,494 | 1.07% | |||
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 3,384 | 0.48% | |||
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 2,503 | 0.36% | |||
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 853 | 0.12% | |||
| Total: | 699,236 | 100.00% | 45 | 3 | 48 |
General election
[edit]Harris won the state by 5.78%, worse than Biden's margin but slightly improved from Hillary Clinton's 5.32% margin. Trump flipped Prince Edward County for the first time since 2000, Surry County since 1972, and won back the city of Lynchburg. Nevertheless, he became the first ever Republican to win the White House without carrying the city of Virginia Beach since it became an independent city in 1952, as well as the first to do so without carrying Chesterfield or Stafford Counties since Calvin Coolidge in 1924, and the first to do so without carrying James City County or the city of Chesapeake since Richard Nixon in 1968. This was the first presidential election in which the Republican candidate received more than 2 million votes in Virginia. Trump is the first Republican to win the popular vote without Virginia since 1924. This is also the first election since 2000 where Virginia voted for the popular vote loser.
Voting law changes
[edit]In August 2024, Virginia governor Glenn Youngkin signed an executive order removing 6,303 voters suspected of being non-citizens from Virginia's voter rolls.[3][4] In October 2024, the Department of Justice sued the Virginia Board of Elections and Virginia commissioner of elections over the voter purge, accusing that it violated the National Voter Registration Act.[5][6] The suit also found a number of alleged non-citizens purged were actually citizens.[6][7] District judge Patricia Tolliver Giles ruled that the removal was illegal, ordering the state to stop purging voter rolls and to restore the voter registration of more than 1,600 voters who had been removed.[8][7] The 4th Circuit Court of Appeals then upheld the order.[9][10] The administration filed an emergency appeal to the Supreme Court, which sided with Virginia in a 6–3 decision, allowing the state to continue purging voter rolls.[11][10]
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[12] | Likely D | June 12, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[13] | Likely D | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Likely D | August 27, 2024 |
| The Economist[15] | Likely D | September 10, 2024 |
| CNalysis[16] | Solid D | September 15, 2024 |
| CNN[17] | Lean D | August 18, 2024 |
| 538[18] | Likely D | August 23, 2024 |
| NBC News[19] | Likely D | October 6, 2024 |
| YouGov[20] | Safe D | October 16, 2024 |
| Split Ticket[21] | Likely D | November 1, 2024 |
Polling
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [a] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270ToWin[22] | October 2 - November 1, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 49.8% | 41.0% | 9.2% | Harris +8.8% |
| 538[23] | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 49.9% | 43.7% | 6.4% | Harris +6.2% |
| Silver Bulletin[24] | through November 3, 2024 | November 3, 2024 | 49.5% | 43.2% | 7.3% | Harris +6.3% |
| The Hill/DDHQ[25] | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 50.1% | 45.1% | 4.8% | Harris +5.0% |
| Average | 49.8% | 43.3% | 6.9% | Harris +6.5% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel[26] | November 3–4, 2024 | 2,202 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 51% | 46% | 3% |
| Research Co.[27] | November 2–3, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 45% | 4% |
| ActiVote[28] | October 2–28, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 46% | – |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[29][A] | October 24–25, 2024 | 1,014 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 46% | 6%[c] |
| CES/YouGov[30] | October 1–25, 2024 | 2,027 (A) | – | 53% | 44% | 3% |
| 2,015 (LV) | 53% | 44% | 3% | |||
| Quantus Insights (R)[31][B] | October 22−24, 2024 | 725 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| Braun Research[32][C] | October 19−23, 2024 | 1,004 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 42% | 9% |
| 1,004 (LV) | 49% | 43% | 8% | |||
| Christopher Newport University[33] | September 28 − October 4, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 41% | 7%[d] |
| Emerson College[34][D] | September 22−24, 2024 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 52% | 44% | 4%[e] |
| 53%[f] | 46% | 1%[e] | ||||
| Morning Consult[35] | September 9−18, 2024 | 899 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 44% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[36][A] | September 19−22, 2024 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| ActiVote[37] | August 19 – September 17, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 55% | 45% | – |
| Research America Inc.[38][E] | September 3−9, 2024 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 45% | 10%[g] |
| 756 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 46% | 6%[h] | ||
| Washington Post/Schar School[39] | September 4–8, 2024 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 43% | 6%[i] |
| 1,005 (LV) | 51% | 43% | 6%[i] | |||
| Morning Consult[35] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 873 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 42% | 6% |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Quantus Insights (R)[40][B] | August 20–22, 2024 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Democratic National Convention | ||||||
| Roanoke College[41] | August 12–16, 2024 | 691 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 47% | 44% | 10%[j] |
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| Republican National Convention | ||||||
| Emerson College[42] | July 14–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[43] | July 14–15, 2024 | 301 (RV) | – | 43% | 44% | 13%[k] |
| 265 (LV) | 43% | 47% | 10%[l] | |||
| attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[43] | July 12–13, 2024 | 617 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| 544 (LV) | 46% | 42% | 12% | |||
| New York Times/Siena College[44] | July 9–12, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| 661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 44% | 7% | ||
| SoCal Strategies (R)[45][F] | July 6–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel[26] | November 3–4, 2024 | 2,202 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 51% | 45% | – | 2% | 1% | 1%[m] |
| Chism Strategies[46] | October 28–30, 2024 | 520 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45.2% | 44.5% | – | 1.3% | 0.6% | 8.4%[n] |
| Cygnal (R)[47] | October 27–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 43% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 5%[o] |
| Roanoke College[48] | October 25–29, 2024 | 851 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 41% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3%[p] |
| Virginia Commonwealth University[49] | September 16–25, 2024 | 832 (A) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 37% | 3% | 1% | – | 16%[q] |
| 762 (RV) | 47% | 37% | 2% | 1% | – | 13%[r] | |||
| Washington Post/Schar School[39] | September 4–8, 2024 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 42% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 7%[s] |
| 1,005 (LV) | 50% | 42% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 6%[s] | |||
| Virginia Commonwealth University[50] | August 26 – September 6, 2024 | 809 (A) | ± 5.0% | 46% | 36% | 2% | 1% | – | 15%[t] |
| 749 (RV) | 49% | 36% | 1% | 1% | – | 13%[u] |
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research America Inc.[38][E] | September 3−9, 2024 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 44% | 2% | − | 0% | 0% | 10%[v] |
| 756 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 46% | 2% | − | 0% | 0% | 6%[w] | ||
| Roanoke College[41] | August 12–16, 2024 | 691 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 42% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 3%[d] |
| Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||||||
| New York Times/Siena College[44] | July 9–12, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 38% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 11% |
| 661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 39% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 10% | ||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | |||||||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[43] | July 14–15, 2024 | 301 (RV) | – | 40% | 41% | 7% | 12%[l] |
| 265 (LV) | 41% | 45% | 5% | 9%[x] | |||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[43] | July 12–13, 2024 | 617 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 37% | 10% | 12% |
| 544 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 38% | 10% | 9% | ||
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[42] | July 14–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| 50%[f] | 50% | – | ||||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[43] | July 14–15, 2024 | 301 (RV) | – | 41% | 44% | 15%[k] |
| 265 (LV) | 44% | 44% | 12%[x] | |||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[43] | July 12–13, 2024 | 617 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| 544 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 42% | 11% | ||
| New York Times/Siena College[44] | July 9–12, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| 661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 45% | 7% | ||
| SoCal Strategies (R)[45][F] | July 6–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Fox News[51] | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,107 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Roanoke College[52] | May 12–21, 2024 | 711 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[53][G] | April 29 – May 1, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[54][H] | April 26–28, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 42% | 16% |
| John Zogby Strategies[55][I] | April 13–21, 2024 | 586 (LV) | – | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[56] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 394 (RV) | – | 47% | 42% | 11%[y] |
| 368 (LV) | 47% | 43% | 10%[z] | |||
| Roanoke College[57] | February 11–19, 2024 | 705 (A) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Virginia Commonwealth University[58] | December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 | 812 (A) | ± 5.4% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
| Mason-Dixon[59] | December 15–19, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| Roanoke College[60] | November 12–20, 2023 | 686 (A) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Change Research (D)/Future Majority (D)[61] | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,437 (RV) | – | 47% | 42% | 11% |
| Research America Inc.[62][E] | September 5–11, 2023 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 37% | 26% |
| Roanoke College[63] | August 6–15, 2023 | 702 (A) | ± 4.2% | 51% | 42% | 17% |
| Virginia Commonwealth University[64] | July 14–25, 2023 | 804 (A) | ± 5.4% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
| Roanoke College[65] | May 14–23, 2023 | 678 (A) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 38% | 8% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[66] | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| Roanoke College[67] | February 12–21, 2023 | 590 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 46% | 6% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[42] | July 14–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 7% |
| New York Times/Siena College[44] | July 9–12, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 38% | 36% | 9% | 0% | 2% | 15% |
| 661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 38% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 13% | ||
| Virginia Commonwealth University[68] | June 24 – July 3, 2024 | 809 (A) | ± 4.8% | 36% | 39% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 13%[aa] |
| Fox News[51] | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,107 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 41% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
| Roanoke College[52] | May 12–21, 2024 | 711 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 40% | 38% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 10% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[53][G] | April 29 – May 1, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[43] | July 14–15, 2024 | 301 (RV) | – | 40% | 40% | 5% | 15%[ab] |
| 265 (LV) | 43% | 42% | 4% | 11%[ac] | |||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[43] | July 12–13, 2024 | 617 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 38% | 11% | 10% |
| 544 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 39% | 10% | 9% | ||
| co/efficient (R)[69] | June 11–12, 2024 | 851 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 41% | 7% | 11% |
| Mason-Dixon[59] | December 15–19, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 36% | 14% | 8% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D)/Future Majority (D)[61] | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,437 (RV) | – | 40% | 39% | 7% | 14% |
| 37% | 37% | 5% | 21%[ad] |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[55][I] | April 13–21, 2024 | 586 (LV) | – | 42% | 47% | 11% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[55][I] | April 13–21, 2024 | 586 (LV) | – | 43% | 41% | 16% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roanoke College[57] | February 11–19, 2024 | 705 (A) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 49% | 11% |
| Virginia Commonwealth University[58] | December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 | 812 (A) | ± 5.4% | 38% | 43% | 19% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Commonwealth University[58] | December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 | 812 (A) | ± 5.4% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
| Research America Inc.[62][E] | September 5–11, 2023 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Virginia Commonwealth University[64] | July 14–25, 2023 | 804 (A) | ± 5.46% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[66] | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Roanoke College[67] | February 12–21, 2023 | 590 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 48% | 8% |
Joe Biden vs. Glenn Youngkin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Glenn Youngkin Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research America Inc.[62][E] | September 5–11, 2023 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 34% | 29% |
| Virginia Commonwealth University[64] | July 14–25, 2023 | 804 (A) | ± 5.46% | 37% | 44% | 19% |
| Roanoke College[67] | February 12–21, 2023 | 590 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 39% | 55% | 6% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kamala Harris Tim Walz |
2,335,395 | 51.83 | −2.28 | |
| Republican | Donald Trump JD Vance |
2,075,085 | 46.05 | +2.05 | |
| Green | Jill Stein Butch Ware |
34,888 | 0.77 | New | |
| Libertarian | Chase Oliver Mike ter Maat |
19,814 | 0.44 | −1.01 | |
| Independent | Cornel West Melina Abdullah |
8,984 | 0.20 | New | |
| Socialism and Liberation | Claudia De la Cruz[ae] Karina Garcia |
8,410 | 0.19 | New | |
| Write-in | 23,365 | 0.52 | +0.08 | ||
| Turnout | 4,505,951 | ||||
| Total votes | 4,505,951 | 100.00 | |||
By city and county
[edit]| County/City | Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Accomack | 7,374 | 42.93% | 9,659 | 56.24% | 143 | 0.83% | -2,285 | -13.31% | 17,176 |
| Albemarle | 44,279 | 65.87% | 21,513 | 32.00% | 1,432 | 2.13% | 22,766 | 33.87% | 67,224 |
| Alexandria | 62,326 | 77.04% | 16,112 | 19.91% | 2,466 | 3.05% | 46,214 | 57.13% | 80,904 |
| Alleghany | 2,114 | 25.49% | 6,093 | 73.47% | 86 | 1.04% | -3,979 | -47.98% | 8,293 |
| Amelia | 2,214 | 27.51% | 5,776 | 71.76% | 59 | 0.73% | -3,562 | -44.25% | 8,049 |
| Amherst | 5,429 | 31.28% | 11,742 | 67.65% | 187 | 1.08% | -6,313 | -36.37% | 17,358 |
| Appomattox | 2,324 | 24.00% | 7,243 | 74.79% | 118 | 1.22% | -4,919 | -50.79% | 9,685 |
| Arlington | 100,446 | 77.53% | 25,223 | 19.47% | 3,892 | 3.00% | 75,223 | 58.06% | 129,561 |
| Augusta | 11,403 | 25.67% | 32,429 | 73.01% | 585 | 1.32% | -21,026 | -47.34% | 44,417 |
| Bath | 588 | 22.76% | 1,976 | 76.50% | 19 | 0.74% | -1,388 | -53.74% | 2,583 |
| Bedford | 12,414 | 24.30% | 38,017 | 74.42% | 650 | 1.27% | -25,603 | -50.12% | 51,081 |
| Bland | 524 | 14.74% | 2,998 | 84.33% | 33 | 0.93% | -2,474 | -69.59% | 3,555 |
| Botetourt | 5,915 | 26.91% | 15,796 | 71.87% | 267 | 1.21% | -9,881 | -44.96% | 21,978 |
| Bristol | 2,231 | 29.79% | 5,197 | 69.39% | 62 | 0.83% | -2,966 | -39.60% | 7,490 |
| Brunswick | 4,184 | 53.98% | 3,523 | 45.45% | 44 | 0.57% | 661 | 8.53% | 7,751 |
| Buchanan | 1,355 | 14.51% | 7,939 | 85.03% | 43 | 0.46% | -6,584 | -70.52% | 9,337 |
| Buckingham | 2,988 | 37.70% | 4,847 | 61.16% | 90 | 1.14% | -1,859 | -23.46% | 7,925 |
| Buena Vista | 767 | 26.75% | 2,035 | 70.98% | 65 | 2.27% | -1,268 | -44.23% | 2,867 |
| Campbell | 7,890 | 25.22% | 23,032 | 73.62% | 365 | 1.17% | -15,142 | -48.40% | 31,287 |
| Caroline | 7,957 | 44.96% | 9,511 | 53.74% | 230 | 1.30% | -1,554 | -8.78% | 17,698 |
| Carroll | 2,925 | 18.06% | 13,152 | 81.19% | 123 | 0.76% | -10,227 | -63.13% | 16,200 |
| Charles City | 2,384 | 54.77% | 1,917 | 44.04% | 52 | 1.19% | 467 | 10.73% | 4,353 |
| Charlotte | 2,008 | 33.36% | 3,963 | 65.83% | 49 | 0.81% | -1,955 | -32.47% | 6,020 |
| Charlottesville | 19,435 | 82.94% | 3,428 | 14.63% | 571 | 2.44% | 16,007 | 68.31% | 23,434 |
| Chesapeake | 65,399 | 51.09% | 60,550 | 47.30% | 2,052 | 1.60% | 4,849 | 3.79% | 128,001 |
| Chesterfield | 112,869 | 53.59% | 94,030 | 44.64% | 3,729 | 1.77% | 18,839 | 8.95% | 210,628 |
| Clarke | 3,993 | 40.58% | 5,641 | 57.33% | 205 | 2.08% | -1,648 | -16.75% | 9,839 |
| Colonial Heights | 2,982 | 33.27% | 5,883 | 65.63% | 99 | 1.10% | -2,901 | -32.36% | 8,964 |
| Covington | 818 | 32.98% | 1,642 | 66.21% | 20 | 0.81% | -824 | -33.23% | 2,480 |
| Craig | 542 | 17.29% | 2,562 | 81.72% | 31 | 0.99% | -2,020 | -64.43% | 3,135 |
| Culpeper | 10,557 | 36.81% | 17,685 | 61.67% | 437 | 1.52% | -7,128 | -24.86% | 28,679 |
| Cumberland | 2,117 | 38.48% | 3,335 | 60.63% | 49 | 0.89% | -1,218 | -22.15% | 5,501 |
| Danville | 10,615 | 59.93% | 6,894 | 38.92% | 203 | 1.15% | 3,721 | 21.01% | 17,712 |
| Dickenson | 1,316 | 18.64% | 5,701 | 80.75% | 43 | 0.61% | -4,385 | -62.11% | 7,060 |
| Dinwiddie | 5,942 | 38.06% | 9,549 | 61.17% | 120 | 0.77% | -3,607 | -23.11% | 15,611 |
| Emporia | 1,419 | 65.12% | 744 | 34.14% | 16 | 0.73% | 675 | 30.98% | 2,179 |
| Essex | 2,775 | 45.69% | 3,245 | 53.42% | 54 | 0.89% | -470 | -7.73% | 6,074 |
| Fairfax | 386,438 | 65.56% | 181,895 | 30.86% | 21,094 | 3.58% | 204,543 | 34.70% | 589,427 |
| Fairfax City | 8,797 | 64.84% | 4,302 | 31.71% | 468 | 3.45% | 4,495 | 33.13% | 13,567 |
| Falls Church | 7,200 | 79.45% | 1,620 | 17.88% | 242 | 2.67% | 5,580 | 61.57% | 9,062 |
| Fauquier | 17,180 | 38.38% | 26,825 | 59.92% | 763 | 1.70% | -9,645 | -21.54% | 44,768 |
| Floyd | 2,968 | 30.71% | 6,551 | 67.77% | 147 | 1.52% | -3,583 | -37.06% | 9,666 |
| Fluvanna | 7,731 | 46.17% | 8,777 | 52.42% | 235 | 1.40% | -1,046 | -6.25% | 16,743 |
| Franklin | 8,321 | 26.82% | 22,319 | 71.95% | 380 | 1.23% | -13,998 | -45.13% | 31,020 |
| Franklin City | 2,359 | 60.69% | 1,476 | 37.97% | 52 | 1.34% | 883 | 22.72% | 3,887 |
| Frederick | 18,331 | 35.07% | 33,117 | 63.37% | 815 | 1.56% | -14,786 | -28.30% | 52,263 |
| Fredericksburg | 8,760 | 64.52% | 4,480 | 32.99% | 338 | 2.49% | 4,280 | 31.53% | 13,578 |
| Galax | 753 | 27.67% | 1,946 | 71.52% | 22 | 0.81% | -1,193 | -43.85% | 2,721 |
| Giles | 2,069 | 22.34% | 7,102 | 76.67% | 92 | 0.99% | -5,033 | -54.33% | 9,263 |
| Gloucester | 7,034 | 30.28% | 15,918 | 68.53% | 276 | 1.19% | -8,884 | -38.25% | 23,228 |
| Goochland | 7,875 | 39.89% | 11,521 | 58.36% | 346 | 1.75% | -3,646 | -18.47% | 19,742 |
| Grayson | 1,503 | 18.51% | 6,544 | 80.60% | 72 | 0.89% | -5,041 | -62.09% | 8,119 |
| Greene | 4,456 | 36.81% | 7,432 | 61.39% | 218 | 1.80% | -2,976 | -24.58% | 12,106 |
| Greensville | 2,334 | 54.24% | 1,936 | 44.99% | 33 | 0.77% | 398 | 9.25% | 4,303 |
| Halifax | 6,984 | 39.08% | 10,741 | 60.10% | 146 | 0.82% | -3,757 | -21.02% | 17,871 |
| Hampton | 43,357 | 69.01% | 18,383 | 29.26% | 1,083 | 1.72% | 24,974 | 39.75% | 62,823 |
| Hanover | 26,733 | 36.42% | 45,569 | 62.08% | 1,102 | 1.50% | -18,836 | -25.66% | 73,404 |
| Harrisonburg | 10,641 | 61.40% | 6,266 | 36.15% | 425 | 2.45% | 4,375 | 25.25% | 17,332 |
| Henrico | 115,040 | 63.39% | 62,882 | 34.65% | 3,567 | 1.97% | 52,158 | 28.74% | 181,489 |
| Henry | 8,457 | 33.20% | 16,800 | 65.95% | 217 | 0.85% | -8,343 | -32.75% | 25,474 |
| Highland | 416 | 27.10% | 1,095 | 71.34% | 24 | 1.56% | -679 | -44.24% | 1,535 |
| Hopewell | 5,078 | 56.26% | 3,838 | 42.52% | 110 | 1.22% | 1,240 | 13.74% | 9,026 |
| Isle of Wight | 9,779 | 39.49% | 14,659 | 59.20% | 324 | 1.31% | -4,880 | -19.71% | 24,762 |
| James City | 26,742 | 52.16% | 23,575 | 45.98% | 957 | 1.87% | 3,167 | 6.18% | 51,274 |
| King and Queen | 1,536 | 36.68% | 2,608 | 62.27% | 44 | 1.05% | -1,072 | -25.59% | 4,188 |
| King George | 5,657 | 36.65% | 9,500 | 61.54% | 280 | 1.81% | -3,843 | -24.89% | 15,437 |
| King William | 3,388 | 29.25% | 8,080 | 69.76% | 115 | 0.99% | -4,692 | -40.51% | 11,583 |
| Lancaster | 3,355 | 45.88% | 3,866 | 52.86% | 92 | 1.26% | -511 | -6.98% | 7,313 |
| Lee | 1,391 | 13.74% | 8,674 | 85.69% | 57 | 0.56% | -7,283 | -71.95% | 10,122 |
| Lexington | 1,795 | 62.00% | 1,030 | 35.58% | 70 | 2.42% | 765 | 26.42% | 2,895 |
| Loudoun | 129,280 | 56.28% | 92,107 | 40.10% | 8,305 | 3.62% | 37,173 | 16.18% | 229,692 |
| Louisa | 8,779 | 36.36% | 15,084 | 62.48% | 281 | 1.16% | -6,305 | -26.12% | 24,144 |
| Lunenburg | 2,253 | 38.28% | 3,594 | 61.07% | 38 | 0.65% | -1,341 | -22.79% | 5,885 |
| Lynchburg | 16,664 | 45.01% | 19,574 | 52.87% | 785 | 2.12% | -2,910 | -7.86% | 37,023 |
| Madison | 2,700 | 31.84% | 5,671 | 66.88% | 109 | 1.29% | -2,971 | -35.04% | 8,480 |
| Manassas | 9,048 | 56.20% | 6,670 | 41.43% | 382 | 2.37% | 2,378 | 14.77% | 16,100 |
| Manassas Park | 3,506 | 58.46% | 2,314 | 38.59% | 177 | 2.95% | 1,192 | 19.87% | 5,997 |
| Martinsville | 3,435 | 60.55% | 2,155 | 37.99% | 83 | 1.46% | 1,280 | 22.56% | 5,673 |
| Mathews | 1,774 | 29.84% | 4,106 | 69.07% | 65 | 1.09% | -2,332 | -39.23% | 5,945 |
| Mecklenburg | 6,404 | 39.28% | 9,791 | 60.05% | 109 | 0.67% | -3,387 | -20.77% | 16,304 |
| Middlesex | 2,473 | 35.80% | 4,357 | 63.08% | 77 | 1.11% | -1,884 | -27.28% | 6,907 |
| Montgomery | 23,811 | 50.60% | 22,179 | 47.14% | 1,063 | 2.26% | 1,632 | 3.46% | 47,053 |
| Nelson | 4,298 | 45.58% | 5,004 | 53.06% | 128 | 1.36% | -706 | -7.48% | 9,430 |
| New Kent | 5,641 | 33.56% | 10,974 | 65.29% | 192 | 1.14% | -5,333 | -31.73% | 16,807 |
| Newport News | 48,169 | 63.46% | 26,385 | 34.76% | 1,355 | 1.79% | 21,784 | 28.70% | 75,909 |
| Norfolk | 59,941 | 69.69% | 24,377 | 28.34% | 1,691 | 1.97% | 35,564 | 41.35% | 86,009 |
| Northampton | 3,603 | 52.55% | 3,183 | 46.43% | 70 | 1.02% | 420 | 6.12% | 6,856 |
| Northumberland | 3,202 | 38.90% | 4,938 | 59.99% | 92 | 1.12% | -1,736 | -21.09% | 8,232 |
| Norton | 458 | 27.86% | 1,174 | 71.41% | 12 | 0.73% | -716 | -43.55% | 1,644 |
| Nottoway | 2,636 | 38.38% | 4,168 | 60.68% | 65 | 0.95% | -1,532 | -22.30% | 6,869 |
| Orange | 8,274 | 37.02% | 13,764 | 61.58% | 315 | 1.41% | -5,490 | -24.56% | 22,353 |
| Page | 2,976 | 22.46% | 10,123 | 76.39% | 152 | 1.15% | -7,147 | -53.93% | 13,251 |
| Patrick | 1,886 | 19.41% | 7,746 | 79.70% | 87 | 0.90% | -5,860 | -60.29% | 9,719 |
| Petersburg | 11,219 | 85.52% | 1,702 | 12.97% | 198 | 1.51% | 9,517 | 72.55% | 13,119 |
| Pittsylvania | 9,599 | 28.10% | 24,310 | 71.17% | 247 | 0.72% | -14,711 | -43.07% | 34,156 |
| Poquoson | 2,119 | 26.27% | 5,800 | 71.92% | 146 | 1.81% | -3,681 | -45.65% | 8,065 |
| Portsmouth | 28,306 | 68.45% | 12,370 | 29.91% | 677 | 1.64% | 15,936 | 38.54% | 41,353 |
| Powhatan | 5,734 | 27.42% | 14,918 | 71.33% | 262 | 1.25% | -9,184 | -43.91% | 20,914 |
| Prince Edward | 4,539 | 47.98% | 4,782 | 50.55% | 139 | 1.47% | -243 | -2.57% | 9,460 |
| Prince George | 6,842 | 38.80% | 10,590 | 60.06% | 201 | 1.14% | -3,748 | -21.26% | 17,633 |
| Prince William | 131,128 | 57.33% | 90,203 | 39.44% | 7,381 | 3.23% | 40,925 | 17.89% | 228,712 |
| Pulaski | 4,830 | 27.22% | 12,732 | 71.75% | 182 | 1.03% | -7,902 | -44.53% | 17,744 |
| Radford | 3,231 | 49.08% | 3,197 | 48.56% | 155 | 2.35% | 34 | 0.52% | 6,583 |
| Rappahannock | 2,041 | 40.30% | 2,943 | 58.10% | 81 | 1.60% | -902 | -17.80% | 5,065 |
| Richmond | 1,439 | 34.52% | 2,697 | 64.71% | 32 | 0.77% | -1,258 | -30.19% | 4,168 |
| Richmond City | 88,710 | 81.59% | 17,041 | 15.67% | 2,980 | 2.74% | 71,669 | 65.92% | 108,731 |
| Roanoke | 21,693 | 38.03% | 34,453 | 60.39% | 902 | 1.58% | -12,760 | -22.36% | 57,048 |
| Roanoke City | 25,737 | 60.82% | 15,787 | 37.31% | 790 | 1.87% | 9,950 | 23.51% | 42,314 |
| Rockbridge | 4,160 | 32.43% | 8,468 | 66.01% | 200 | 1.56% | -4,308 | -33.58% | 12,828 |
| Rockingham | 15,035 | 30.78% | 33,033 | 67.62% | 785 | 1.61% | -17,998 | -36.84% | 48,853 |
| Russell | 2,172 | 16.03% | 11,303 | 83.44% | 72 | 0.53% | -9,131 | -67.41% | 13,547 |
| Salem | 5,237 | 39.65% | 7,769 | 58.82% | 201 | 1.52% | -2,532 | -19.17% | 13,207 |
| Scott | 1,607 | 14.51% | 9,392 | 84.79% | 78 | 0.70% | -7,785 | -70.28% | 11,077 |
| Shenandoah | 6,914 | 28.23% | 17,215 | 70.30% | 360 | 1.47% | -10,301 | -42.07% | 24,489 |
| Smyth | 2,805 | 19.39% | 11,521 | 79.63% | 142 | 0.98% | -8,716 | -60.24% | 14,468 |
| Southampton | 3,626 | 36.79% | 6,133 | 62.23% | 97 | 0.98% | -2,507 | -25.44% | 9,856 |
| Spotsylvania | 35,747 | 44.96% | 42,531 | 53.49% | 1,236 | 1.55% | -6,784 | -8.53% | 79,514 |
| Stafford | 41,252 | 49.38% | 40,590 | 48.59% | 1,697 | 2.03% | 662 | 0.79% | 83,539 |
| Staunton | 7,592 | 55.72% | 5,778 | 42.40% | 256 | 1.88% | 1,814 | 13.32% | 13,626 |
| Suffolk | 30,597 | 57.14% | 22,112 | 41.30% | 836 | 1.56% | 8,485 | 15.84% | 53,545 |
| Surry | 2,176 | 49.00% | 2,205 | 49.65% | 60 | 1.35% | -29 | -0.65% | 4,441 |
| Sussex | 2,539 | 51.82% | 2,322 | 47.39% | 39 | 0.80% | 217 | 4.43% | 4,900 |
| Tazewell | 3,030 | 15.22% | 16,711 | 83.95% | 165 | 0.83% | -13,681 | -68.73% | 19,906 |
| Virginia Beach | 115,412 | 50.45% | 109,375 | 47.81% | 3,984 | 1.74% | 6,037 | 2.64% | 228,771 |
| Warren | 6,910 | 30.47% | 15,400 | 67.90% | 369 | 1.63% | -8,490 | -37.43% | 22,679 |
| Washington | 6,772 | 22.94% | 22,455 | 76.07% | 291 | 0.99% | -15,683 | -53.13% | 29,518 |
| Waynesboro | 5,240 | 46.29% | 5,882 | 51.97% | 197 | 1.74% | -642 | -5.68% | 11,319 |
| Westmoreland | 4,491 | 42.34% | 6,003 | 56.59% | 113 | 1.07% | -1,512 | -14.25% | 10,607 |
| Williamsburg | 5,613 | 71.10% | 2,119 | 26.84% | 162 | 2.05% | 3,494 | 44.26% | 7,894 |
| Winchester | 6,407 | 53.87% | 5,252 | 44.16% | 235 | 1.98% | 1,155 | 9.71% | 11,894 |
| Wise | 3,036 | 18.06% | 13,655 | 81.22% | 121 | 0.72% | -10,619 | -63.16% | 16,812 |
| Wythe | 3,075 | 19.87% | 12,267 | 79.27% | 133 | 0.86% | -9,192 | -59.40% | 15,475 |
| York | 18,296 | 46.03% | 20,722 | 52.13% | 731 | 1.84% | -2,426 | -6.10% | 39,749 |
| Totals | 2,335,395 | 51.83% | 2,075,085 | 46.05% | 95,461 | 2.12% | 260,310 | 5.78% | 4,505,941 |
Counties and independent cities that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]- Lynchburg (independent city)
- Prince Edward (largest municipality: Farmville)
- Surry (largest municipality: Claremont)
By congressional district
[edit]Harris won 6 of 11 congressional districts.[71]
| District | Harris | Trump | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 46.66% | 51.58% | Rob Wittman |
| 2nd | 49.06% | 49.33% | Jen Kiggans |
| 3rd | 66.40% | 31.84% | Bobby Scott |
| 4th | 65.41% | 32.82% | Jennifer McClellan |
| 5th | 43.17% | 55.40% | Bob Good (118th Congress) |
| John McGuire (119th Congress) | |||
| 6th | 37.70% | 61.71% | Ben Cline |
| 7th | 50.29% | 47.44% | Abigail Spanberger (118th Congress) |
| Eugene Vindman (119th Congress) | |||
| 8th | 73.04% | 23.76% | Don Beyer |
| 9th | 25.48% | 71.67% | Morgan Griffith |
| 10th | 52.59% | 44.28% | Jennifer Wexton (118th Congress) |
| Suhas Subramanyam (119th Congress) | |||
| 11th | 65.18% | 31.18% | Gerry Connolly |
By legislative district
[edit]-
State Senate district results -
State House of Delegates district results
Analysis
[edit]Despite losing, Trump made notable gains across much of the Commonwealth, particularly in the Northern and Southside regions of Virginia.[72] He reclaimed Lynchburg City, flipped Prince Edward County, which hadn't voted Republican in a presidential election since 2000, and also flipped Surry County, which last supported a Republican presidential candidate in 1972. Harris, by contrast, did not flip any counties or independent cities in Virginia. This is the first time since 1924 that the state voted for a Democrat that lost the popular vote.
See also
[edit]- 2024 Virginia elections
- United States presidential elections in Virginia
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
[edit]- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Other" with 4%
- ^ a b "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ a b "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ a b With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ "Other candidate" with 3%; "None/Would not vote" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
- ^ "Other candidate" with 3%; "Refused" with 1%
- ^ a b "Would not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 8%. "Refused" and "Undecided" with 1% each
- ^ a b "Another candidate" with 5%
- ^ a b "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1.6%
- ^ Claudia De La Cruz (PSL) with 0%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 4%; "Refused" with 3%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Refused" with 3%; "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ a b Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1%; "Would not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 6%; "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 3%; "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Other candidate" with 2%; "None/Would not vote" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
- ^ "Other candidate" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
- ^ a b "Another candidate" with 3%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 8%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 6%
- ^ "Undecided" with 6%; "Wouldn't vote" with 3%; "Someone else" & "Refused" with 2%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ Joe Manchin with 7%
- ^ Listed on the ballot without party affiliation.
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by American Thinker
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Washington Post & the Schar School of Policy and Government
- ^ Poll sponsored by WAVY-TV, WRIC-TV, WFXR-TV, & WDCW-TV
- ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Virginians Against Neighborhood Slot Machines
- ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
References
[edit]- ^ "Virginia Democratic Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
- ^ "Virginia Republican Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
- ^ Gamboa, Suzanne (August 23, 2024). "A Virginia voter roll purge sparks renewed rhetoric over 'non-citizens' casting ballots". NBC News. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
- ^ Mirshahi, Dean (August 8, 2024). "Youngkin's election security order gets Trump's praise and Democratic criticism". WRIC. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
- ^ Ward, Jasper (October 11, 2024). "Justice Dept sues Virginia for violating federal election law". Reuters. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
- ^ a b Lim, Clarissa-Jan (October 25, 2024). "Justice Department sues Virginia for its voter purge over nonexistent 'noncitizen voting'". MSNBC. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
- ^ a b Sneed, Tierney (October 27, 2024). "Appeals court keeps Virginia voter purge program blocked, setting up Supreme Court fight". CNN. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
- ^ Lo Wang, Hansi (October 25, 2024). "A judge orders Virginia to restore registered voters purged too close to Election Day". NPR. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
- ^ Quinn, Melissa (October 30, 2024). "Supreme Court clears way for Virginia to remove 1,600 alleged noncitizens from voter rolls - CBS News". CBS News. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
- ^ a b Joffe-Block, Jude (October 30, 2024). "U.S. citizens are among the voters removed in Virginia's controversial purge". Morning Edition. NPR.
- ^ "Supreme Court's conservative justices allow Virginia to resume its purge of voter registrations". AP News. October 30, 2024. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Trump v Harris: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved September 10, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. August 18, 2024. Retrieved August 18, 2024.
- ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 23, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Election Polls". YouGov.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". Split Ticket. June 2, 2023.
- ^ 270ToWin
- ^ 538
- ^ Silver Bulletin
- ^ The Hill/DDHQ
- ^ a b "Atlas Poll - US Key States - November 4, 2024" (PDF). AtlasIntel. November 4, 2024.
- ^ Canseco, Mario (November 4, 2024). "Battleground States Remain Closely Contested in U.S. Race". Research Co.
- ^ Allis, Victor (October 29, 2024). "Harris With Smaller Lead in Virginia". ActiVote.
- ^ "Election 2024: Harris 48%, Trump 46% in Virginia; Cruz +4 in Texas". Rasmussen Reports. October 28, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential vote preferences by state". Cooperative Election Study. October 29, 2024.
- ^ "New Virginia 2024 Poll: Harris Holds Slight Edge Over Trump". Quantus Insights. October 25, 2024.
- ^ "Washington Post-Schar School poll" (PDF). The Washington Post. Retrieved October 26, 2024.
- ^ "Harris Leads Trump by 11 points Among Virginia Likely Voters; Kaine Leads Cao by 20 points in U.S. Senate Contest". Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership. October 7, 2024.
- ^ "September 2024 Virginia Poll: Harris 52%, Trump 44%". Emerson College Polling. September 26, 2024.
- ^ a b Easley, Cameron; Yokley, Eli (September 9, 2024). "Tracking the 2024 Election: State by State". Morning Consult.
- ^ "Election 2024: Trump +3 in N.C, Harris +3 in Virginia, Tied in Michigan". Rasmussen Reports. September 27, 2024.
- ^ Allis, Victor (September 18, 2024). "Harris Has Double Digit Lead in Virginia". ActiVote.
- ^ a b "UMW Center for Leadership and Media Studies Survey Zooms in on Presidential Election in Virginia". University of Mary Washington. September 20, 2024.
- ^ a b Schneider, Gregory; Vozzella, Laura; Clement, Scott; Guskin, Emily (September 10, 2024). "Harris leads among Virginia voters, Post-Schar School poll finds". The Washington Post.
- ^ "Analysis of the 2024 General Election Survey in Virginia". Substack. August 23, 2024.
- ^ a b "Roanoke College Poll: Harris holds slim lead over Trump in Virginia". Roanoke College. August 20, 2024.
- ^ a b c Mumford, Camille (July 18, 2024). "Virginia 2024 Poll: Trump 45%, Biden 43%". Emerson Polling.
- ^ a b c d e f g h "Small Trump Bump Post-Assassination Attempt, New Poll Shows". FAU Polling. July 17, 2024.
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