2020 United States presidential election in Kansas
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The 2020 United States presidential election in Kansas is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Kansas voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Kansas has 6 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]
By the time that the primary elections were held in Kansas, incumbent President Donald Trump was already the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. On the Democratic Party's side, Vice President Joe Biden became the presumptive nominee after Senator Bernie Sanders, his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020.
Primary elections
Canceled Republican primary
On September 7, 2019, the Kansas Republican Party became one of several state GOP parties to officially cancel their respective primaries and caucuses.[3] Donald Trump's re-election campaign and GOP officials have cited the fact that Republicans canceled several state primaries when George H.W. Bush and George W. Bush sought a second term in 1992 and 2004, respectively; and Democrats scrapped some of their primaries when Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were seeking reelection in 1996 and 2012, respectively.[4][5] At its state convention held between January 31 and February 1, 2020, the state party voted to formally bind all 39 of its national pledged delegates to Trump.[6][7]
Democratic primary
The Kansas Democratic primary was conducted entirely by mail. Votes were counted on May 2, 2020. Joe Biden was declared the winner.[8]
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | 110,041 | 74.92 | 29 |
| Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) | 33,142 | 22.57 | 10 |
| Inactive votes[a] | 3,690 | 2.51 | |
| Total | 146,873 | 100% | 39 |
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[10] | Likely R | July 23, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[11] | Likely R | July 17, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Likely R | July 14, 2020 |
| Politico[13] | Safe R | July 6, 2020 |
| RCP[14] | Safe R | August 3, 2020 |
| Niskanen[15] | Safe R | March 24, 2020 |
| CNN[16] | Safe R | August 3, 2020 |
| The Economist[17] | Likely R | August 7, 2020 |
| CBS News[18] | Likely R | August 9, 2020 |
| 270towin[19] | Likely R | August 2, 2020 |
| ABC News[20] | Safe R | July 31, 2020 |
| NPR[21] | Likely R | August 3, 2020 |
| NBC News[22] | Likely R | August 6, 2020 |
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Other/Undecided [b] | Margin |
| FiveThirtyEight | Until June 1, 2020 | July 14, 2020 | 41.5% | 50.6% | 7.9% | Trump +9.1 |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | Aug 5–9, 2020 | 1,202 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 41% | 5% | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling | Aug 5–6, 2020 | 864 (V) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 43% | – | 7% |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 30 – Jun 1, 2020 | 699 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 40% | 6%[d] | 2% |
| The Progress Campaign (D) | Apr 15–22, 2020 | 1,632 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 51% | 41% | – | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | Mar 10–11, 2020 | 1,567 (V) | – | 52% | 40% | – | 8% |
| DFM Research | Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020 | 600 (A) | ±4% | 51% | 43% | 3%[e] | 3% |
Former candidates
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Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
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Notes
- ^ Votes which had all its 5 ranked vote-choices allocated towards eliminated candidates who did not reach the threshold of 15%.
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b c d e Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Someone else" with 6%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- Partisan clients
See also
- 2020 United States presidential election
- 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2020 United States elections
References
- ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- ^ Kinnard, Meg (September 7, 2019). "Nevada, SC, Kansas GOP drop presidential nomination votes". AP NEWS.
- ^ Karni, Annie (September 6, 2019). "GOP plans to drop presidential primaries in 4 states to impede Trump challengers". Boston Globe. MSN. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
- ^ Steakin, Will; Karson, Kendall (September 6, 2019). "GOP considers canceling at least 3 GOP primaries and caucuses, Trump challengers outraged". ABC News. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
- ^ "Kansas GOP won't hold a caucus in 2020". KAKE. September 6, 2019.
- ^ "Kansas Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved February 20, 2020.
- ^ Hanna, John (3 May 2020). "Joe Biden Wins Kansas Primary Conducted Exclusively By Mail". HuffPost. Retrieved 3 May 2020.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ "KSDEMS: 2020 Primary Results.xlsx". Google Docs. Kansas Democratic Party. Retrieved May 3, 2020.
- ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
- ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
- ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved 7 July 2020.
- ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
- ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved 2020-08-03.
- ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved 2020-08-06.