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Eurabia, a portmanteau of "Europe" and "Arabia," is a political neologism referring to Europe becoming subsumed by the Arab World, because of European leaders betrayal^[2] and/or continued immigration and high birth rates of Muslims in Europe.

The term was publicized by the writer Bat Ye'or, especially in her 2005 book Eurabia: The Euro-Arab Axis, referring to joint Euro-Arab domestic and foreign policies which she characterizes as anti-American and anti-Zionist.^[3]

The term is generally used in combination with "dhimmitude," another neologism introduced by Ye'or, denoting an attitude of concession, surrender and appeasement towards Islam.

Etymology

Eurabia was originally the title of a newsletter published by the Comité européen de coordination des associations d'amitié avec le monde Arabe.^[4] According to Bat Ye'or, it was published collaboratively with France-Pays Arabes (journal of the Association de solidarité franco-arabe or ASFA), Middle East International (London), and the Groupe d'Etudes sur le Moyen-Orient (Geneva).^[5] There is no group of this name at the University of Geneva, but there is a Groupe de recherche et d'études sur la Méditerranée et le Moyen Orient (GREMMO) at the University of Lyon,^[6] and one of its members is the Institut universitaire d'études du développement (IUED) at the University of Geneva.^[7]

During the 1973 oil crisis, the European Economic Community (predecessor of the European Union), had entered into the [[{{{1}}}]] [] (EAD) with the Arab League.^[8] Bat Ye'or later used the [[{{{1}}}]] [] to describe the associated political developments.

Bat Ye'or describes Eurabia as a result of the French-led European policy originally intended to increase European power against the United States by aligning its interests with those of the Arab countries, and regards it as a primary cause of European hostility to Israel. She describes it as follows:

A machinery that has made Europe the new continent of dhimmitude was put into motion more than 30 years ago at the instigation of France. A wide-ranging policy was then first sketched out, a symbiosis of Europe with the Muslim Arab countries, that would endow Europe - and especially France, the project's prime mover - with a weight and a prestige to rival that of the United States. This policy was undertaken quite discreetly, outside of official treaties, under the innocent-sounding name of the Euro-Arab Dialogue [...] This strategy, the goal of which was the creation of a pan-Mediterranean Euro-Arab entity, permitting the free circulation both of men and of goods, also determined the immigration policy with regard to Arabs in the European Community (EC). And, for the past 30 years, it also established the relevant cultural policies in the schools and universities of the EC [...] The Arabs set the conditions for this association:

a European policy that would be independent from, and opposed to that of the United States

the recognition by Europe of a "Palestinian people", and the creation of a "Palestinian state"

European support for the PLO

the designation of Arafat as the sole and exclusive representative of that "Palestinian people"

the delegitimizing of the State of Israel, both historically and politically, its shrinking into non viable borders, and the Arabization of Jerusalem.
From this sprang the hidden European war against Israel, through economic boycotts, and in some cases academic boycotts as well, through deliberate vilification, and the spreading of both anti-Zionism and antisemitism.^[9]

Europe's economic greed was instrumentalized by Arab League policy in a long-term political strategy targeting Israel, Europe, and America [...] Through the labyrinth of the EAD system, a policy of Israel's delegitimization was planned at both the EC's national and international levels [...] Strategically, the Euro-Arab Cooperation was a political instrument for anti-Americanism in Europe, whose aim was to separate and weaken the two continents by an incitement to hostility and the permanent denigration of American policy in the Middle East.^[10]

The truth is that for 30 years the Europeans were with the terrorists. They can't fight the Arabs; they have allowed the Arabs to dictate their policy since 1974.^[11]

Current usage

Current use of the term has gained supporters, and sometimes differs from that of Bat Ye'or, with more attention to Muslim immigration and demographic, and to the difficulties of assimilating Europe's Islamic populations. Niall Ferguson wrote in The New York Times that the idea of Eurabia has

gained credibility since 9/11. The 3/11 bombings in Madrid confirm that terrorists sympathetic to Osama bin Laden continue to operate with comparative freedom in European cities. Some American commentators suspect Europeans of wanting to appease radical Islam. Others detect in sporadic manifestations of anti-Semitism a sinister conjunction of old fascism and new fundamentalism.^[12]

The skeptical Matt Carr, writing in the academic journal Race & Class, describes this imagined scenario as follows:

According to the worst-case Eurabian predictions, by the end of the twenty-first century, most of Europe’s cities will be overrun with Arabic-speaking foreign immigrants, much of the continent will be living under Islamic Sharia law and Christianity will have ceased to exist or be reduced to a state of 'dhimmitude' [...] In the nightmare world of Eurabia, the future will become the past once again and Christians and Jews will become oppressed minorities in a sea of Islam; churches and cathedrals will be replaced by mosques and minarets, the call to prayer will echo from Paris to Rotterdam and London and the remnants of 'Judeo-Christian' Europe will have been reduced to small enclaves in a world of bearded Arabic-speakers and burka-clad women.^[13]

The term Eurabia has been popularized by writers such Bat Ye'or (see above), Oriana Fallaci,^[14] Robert Spencer,^[15] Daniel Pipes,^[16] Ayaan Hirsi Ali,^[17] Melanie Phillips,^[18] Mark Steyn^[19] (and several web sites^[20]). Others, such as Bernard Lewis^[21] and Bruce Bawer have presented comparable scenarios.

The term has become more common partly because it reflects a more general political tendency, which sees Islam as a major threat to Europe and its values^[22]. Justin Vaisse, who is sceptical of the claimed transformation into Eurabia, spoke of this mood at the Brookings Institution:

I toured the bookshops and I was looking for books on Islam in Europe. And the only titles I could find, the only books I could find, bore titles like While Europe Slept: How Radical Islam is Destroying the West from Within, by Bruce Bawer; The West's Last Chance: Will We Win the Clash of Civilizations?, by Tony Blankley; Eurabia, The Euro-Arab Axis by Bat Ye'or; or Menace in Europe: Why the Continent's Crisis Is America's, Too, by Claire Berlinski [...] And more generally, even more serious authors like Bernard Lewis or Niall Ferguson write things or give interviews^[23] speaking of the Islamization of Europe, the reverse colonization, the demographic time bomb that is threatening Europe, et cetera, with the suggestion that the sky is falling.^[24]

Waleed Aly, in an article published in the Melbourne Age, responding to Raphael Israeli's call for controls limiting Muslim immigration to Australia (lest a "critical mass" develop); observed that Raphael Israeli's comments are a cause for concern "because they are not as marginal as they are mad." Aly continues that Israeli's latest book "is an unoriginal appropriation of the 'Eurabia' conspiracy thesis of Jewish writer Bat Ye'or: that Europe is evolving into a post-Judeo-Christian civilisation increasingly subjugated to the jihadi ideology of Muslim migrants" and that the theory has received "enthusiastic support" from intellectuals in Europe and activists in the USA.^[25]

In November 2006, Daniel Pipes and Robert Spencer wrote that the 751 [[{{{1}}}]] [] urban areas were Muslim no-go areas.^[26]

Implications and response

Not all supporters of the theory see 'Eurabia' as inevitable.^[27] Some advocate the prohibition of Islam^[28] and some advocate a direct confrontation.

In an article entitled Confrontation, not appeasement, Ayaan Hirsi Ali demands a confrontational policy at European level to meet the threat of radical Islam, and compares non-confrontational policies with Neville Chamberlain's appeasement of Hitler.^[29] Specifically, she proposes:

constant monitoring of the demographic growth of the Muslim population in Europe
registration of all violent incidents against women, Jews and homosexuals, including the (religious) identity of the perpetrator
Europe must recognise the United States and Israel as allies in the struggle against radical Islam
development of alternative energy sources (to reduce [[{{{1}}}]] [])
an [[{{{1}}}]] [], which makes entry conditional on allegiance to the national constitution: Immigrants should sign a contract to obey the Constitution, and should be deported if they break it
ideological confrontation with the generation infected by radical Islam: all Muslims must explicitly renounce radical Islam
offer good education, close all Islamic schools, and prohibit the opening of new ones

During the conference "The collapse of Europe" at Pepperdine University, Ayaan Hirsi Ali asked for "reform, meaning, to reduce government, where government is unnecessary, and especially the welfare state."^[30]

Criticism

The Economist has described the concept of Eurabia as scaremongering.^[31] Matt Carr wrote that "What began as an outlandish conspiracy theory has become a dangerous Islamophobic fantasy"^[13]

The first academic work to address the Eurabia thesis is Integrating Islam Political and Religious Challenges in Contemporary France, by Brookings scholars [[{{{1}}}]] [] and Jonathan Laurence. Professor Laurence begins:

Those who utter the term 'Eurabia' conjure up a mutant European continent under pressure from oil-producing states that has all but abandoned its values and policies to a horde of Arab immigrants. Our book attempts to dismantle that position by exploring the actual evolution of French policies towards Muslims and organized Islam since the 1970s. We try to do away with one of the false premises of 'Eurabia', namely, that French and European governments - fuelled by self-loathing multiculturalist policies- have capitulated to Muslims' cultural and religious demands.^[24]

Justin Vaisse says the book intends to debunk "four myths of the alarmist school." Using Muslims in France as an example, he says:

The Muslim population is not growing as fast as the scenario claims, since the fertility rate of immigrants declines^[32]
Muslims are not a monolithic or cohesive group^[33]
Muslims do seek to integrate politically and socially
Despite their numbers, Muslims have little influence on foreign policy (e.g. policy toward Israel)^[34]

According to David Aaronovitch:

[Eurabia] is a concept created by a writer called Bat Ye’or who, according to the publicity for her most recent book, "chronicles Arab determination to subdue Europe as a cultural appendage to the Muslim world — and Europe's willingness to be so subjugated". This, as students of conspiracy theories will recognise, is the addition of the Sad Dupes thesis to the Enemy Within idea.^[35]

Claim of France leading the Eurabia conspiracy and "Europe's willingness to be so subjugated" can be seen as xenophobia toward France or Europe. According to Randy McDonald, "Many Eurabianists are motivated by domestic politics", by example the "European countries [being] skeptical about the Bush Administration’s foreign policy" (including the Iraq War and pre-war since 2002) and "'Eurabia' has come into a new vogue among conservatives[9] (particularly Anglophone ones) who blame European reluctance to support United States foreign-policy initiatives (like, say, Iraq)."

Many partisans of the Eurabia theory claim that there is already 12%^[36] Muslims in France, although 2007 polls showed only 3% Muslim.^[37] According to The Economist, "[Bruce Bawer] uses wildly exaggerated statistics to give warning that Muslim birth rates will soon turn Europe into 'Eurabia'. The Muslim share of Switzerland's population is not an 'astonishing 20%', as Mr Bawer claims, but 4.3%, at least according to the 2000 Swiss census."^[38] According to the CIA World Factbook and several other source, there were 14 to 16 million Muslims in European Union in 2007, that is 3% of total population (495 M). According to Matt Carr, an "expansion from 3 per cent to 40 per cent within twenty years would be nothing short of miraculous".^[13]^[39]

Writer Ralph Peters concedes that Muslim assimilation is an issue and sees clashes between Muslim immigrants and Europeans as likely, but argues that the Eurabia thesis is the reverse of the real situation. "The endangered species isn't the 'peace loving' European lolling in his or her welfare state," he writes, "but the continent's Muslim immigrants." Citing Europe's violent and intolerant history, Peters predicts that once Europeans feel significantly threatened by Muslims, whether or not those feelings are justified, they will "over-react with stunning ferocity," ending in the ethnic cleansing of Muslims.^[40]

French academic historian Ivan Jablonka, from École Normale Supérieure in Paris, asserts that Robert Spencer or Bat Ye'or's views lack of academic seriousness: their purported historical and interpretative continuity between some data picked up from Middle Age Islamic civilization and modern activism is a political construction poorly substantiated. For Jablonka, writings of authors like Spencer or Bat Ye'or relentlessly intent to designate "new enemies for wars to come", and "Eurabia: The Euro-Arab Axis shares some of its certainty with the far right. The book faill easyly in the conspiracy paranoia".^[41]

The theory of Eurabia has been compared to antisemitic writings by left-wing British journalist Johann Hari, who calls the two "startlingly similar" and says that "there are intellectuals on the British right who are propagating a conspiracy theory about Muslims that teeters very close to being a 21st century Protocols of the Elders of Mecca."^[42]

In Swedish newspaper Dagens Nyheter, journalist Andreas Malm^[43] quotes Mark Steyn predicting genocide^[44] and highlights the conspiratorical claims against Islam as a whole made by the Eurabia writers. In a follow-up article, journalist Eva Ekselius claims "Like the Jews were depicted as the foreign, the other, onto which one could project all the traits the culture wants to deny in themselves, so the 'muslims' now get to take over the second-hand props of anti-semitism" and makes a direct comparison to pre-war Europe.^[45]

Israeli peace activist Adam Keller, in a letter of protest sent on June 2, 2008 to the Israeli publisher of Eurabia: The Euro-Arab Axis, wrote:

In 1886 the French antisemite Edouard Drumont published 'La France Juive' (Jewish France), creating the false nightmarish image of a France dominated by Jews, and sowing the poisonous seeds which came to fruit when Vichy French officials collaborated in the mass murder of French Jewry. [...] Bat Ye'or follows in notorious footsteps indeed by creating the false nightmarish image of a Europe dominated by Arabs and Muslims.^[46]

Books

Bawer, Bruce, While Europe Slept: How Radical Islam is Destroying the West from Within, New York, Doubleday, 2006 ISBN 0-385-51472-7
Blankley, Tony, The West's Last Chance: Will We Win the Clash of Civilizations?, Washington, D.C., Regnery Publishing, Inc., 2005, ISBN 0-89526-015-8
Fallaci, Oriana, The Force of Reason, New York, Rizzoli International, 2006 ISBN 0-8478-2753-4
Phillips, Melanie, Londonistan: How Britain is creating a terror state within, San Francisco, Encounter Books, 2006, ISBN 1-59403-144-4
Spencer, Robert, The Politically Incorrect Guide to Islam (And the Crusades), Washington, D.C., Regnery Publishing, Inc., 2005 ISBN 0-89526-013-1
Spencer, Robert (ed.), The Myth of Islamic Tolerance, Amherst, NY, Prometheus Books, 2005, ISBN 1-59102-249-5
Steyn, Mark, America Alone: The End of the World as We Know It, 2006, ISBN 0-89526-078-6
Trifkovic, Srdja, The Sword of the Prophet, Boston, Regina Orthodox Press, 2002, ISBN 1-928653-11-1
Ye'or, Bat, Eurabia: The Euro-Arab Axis, Madison, N.J., Fairleigh Dickinson University Press, 2005, ISBN 0-8386-4077-X
Ye'or, Bat, Islam and Dhimmitude: Where Civilizations Collide, Madison, N.J., Fairleigh Dickinson University Press, 2001, ISBN 0-8386-3942-9
George Weigel, The Cube and the Cathedral: Europe, America, and Politics Without God, Basic Books, 2005, ISBN 0-465-09266-7, (and [10] [11] [12])
Oswald Spengler, The Decline of the West, 1918
Walter Laqueur, The Last Days of Europe: Epitaph for an Old Continent, Thomas Dunne Books, 2007, ISBN 0-31-236870-4
Guillaume Faye, [[{{{1}}}]] [], 2000
Jean Raspail, The Camp of the Saints, 1973
Bruce Thornton, Decline and Fall: Europe's Slow Motion Suicide, Encounter Books, 2008
[[{{{1}}}]] [], La France en danger d'Islam, 2002 ("20, 30 or 50 million Muslims are expected in France by 50 or 60 years")
David Pryce-Jones, Betrayal: France, the Arabs, and the Jews, Encounter Books, 2006, ISBN 1594031517
Raphael Israeli, The Islamic Challenge in Europe
Raphael Israeli, The Spread of Islamikaze Terrorism in Europe: The Third Islamic Invasion

References

^ "Religious Composition by Country, 2010-2050". Pew Research Center. 12 April 2015. Retrieved 22 October 2017.
^ see by example "the EU collectively surrendered to the dictates of Islamism. That is: Europe has adopted voluntary dhimmitude." in Eurabia, Time to Speak, "The EU must die, or Europe will die. It’s that simple. [...] the people who created Eurabia [...] The EU should be viewed that way, as a de facto, slow-motion abolition of European democracy" in Why the EU Needs to be Destroyed, and Soon, Gates of Vienna, 2006-06-05, "The refusal of theWestern elite class to protect their nations from jihadist infiltration is the biggest betrayal in history." in Serge Trifkovic, Can the West be saved?, 2008-05-10;
^ 'Eurabia' Defined, Andrew G. Bostom, American Thinker, November 15, 2005
^ Template:Fr Archive list Universités de Paris
^ Bat Ye'or, Le dialogue Euro-Arabe et la naissance d'Eurabia, Observatoire du Monde Juif, December 2002, English translation
^ Template:Fr GREMMO websites [1] and [2]
^ Template:Fr IUED website
^ MEDEA: Euro-Arab dialogue
^ Bat Ye'or, Beyond Munich The Spirit of Eurabia, 2004; see also this articles list
^ Bat Ye'or, Eurabia, National Review, 2002-10-09; see also "Eurabia is a tangible entity" in How Europe Became Eurabia, Front Page Magazine, 2004-07-27
^ Bat Ye'or quoted in Caroline Glick, Europe's Arab gambit, The Jerusalem Post, 2004-04-04, copy here
^ Niall Ferguson, The way we live now: 4-4-04; Eurabia?, The New York Times, April 4, 2004
^ ^a ^b ^c Matt Carr, You are now entering Eurabia, Race & Class, Vol. 48 No. 1, July 2006, Institute of Race Relations
^ "Europe is no longer Europe, it is 'Eurabia,' a colony of Islam" Oriana Fallaci quoted in Tunku Varadarajan, Prophet of Decline, The Wall Street Journal, 2005-06-23; Template:It "Sono quattr' anni che parlo di nazismo islamico, di guerra all' Occidente, di culto della morte, di suicidio dell' Europa. Un' Europa che non è più Europa ma Eurabia e che con la sua mollezza, la sua inerzia, la sua cecità, il suo asservimento al nemico si sta scavando la propria tomba." in Oriana Fallaci, Il nemico che trattiamo da amico, Corriere della Sera, 2006-09-15
^ Jihad Watch and Dhimmi Watch websites
^ Daniel Pipes's website
^ "The monopoly of force that is now exclusive to states will be challenged by armed subgroups. European societies will be divided along ethnic and religious lines. The education system will not succeed in grooming the youth to believe in a shared past, let alone a shared future. The European states will find themselves limiting civil liberties. Europeans will come to accept the de facto implementation of Sharia law in certain neighborhoods and even cities. The exploitation of the weak, women and children will be commonplace. Those who can afford to emigrate will do so. Instead of an ever-growing union in Europe, future generations may witness an ever-disintegrating one." in Ayaan Hirsi Ali, Europe's Immigration Quagmire, LA Times, 2006
^ Melanie Phillips, Londonistan: How Britain is creating a terror state within, Encounter, London, 2006
^ Mark Steyn, America Alone: The End of the World as We Know It, 2006 and 2008; It's the Demography, Stupid, 2006-01-04; The future belongs to Islam, 2006-10-20
^ including Gates of Vienna, Paul Belien's Brussels Journal, Free Republic, Front Page Magazine, Fjordman's The Eurabia Code article and Defeating Eurabia compilation, Richard Landes's Eurabia article (this web page list several web resources)
^ [3], [4], [5], [6] [7], [8], and "which could lead within the foreseeable future to significant Muslim majorities in at least some European cities or even countries" in Europe and Islam
^ see by example "Immigration from Muslim countries and the demographics will result in the Eurabia that the brave Bat Ye'or is warning about." in Geert Wilders, 2008-12-14
^ several of those authors are pointed by Filip Dewinter in a 2007-02-18 speech at Robert A Taft Club, Template:Wayback
^ ^a ^b Integrating Islam: Political and Religious Challenges in Contemporary France, 2006-09-13
^ Waleed Aly, Hatred in a head count, The Age, 2007-02-19; see also Raphael Israeli's answer to Australian media coverage, 2007-02-22
^ Daniel Pipes, The 751 No-Go Zones of France, danielpipes.org, 2006-11-14, Robert Spencer, The 751 No-Go Zones of France, dhimmiwatch, 2006-11-24; see also "the riots that gripped immigrant suburbs in France in the autumn of 2005 [...] were largely assertions of Muslim authority over Muslim neighborhoods, and thus clearly jihadist" in Bruce Bawer, An Anatomy of Surrender, City journal, "[in France] many suburbs [are] no-go areas for the police and increasingly for non-Muslims too" in Daniel Johnson, J'accuse
^ for those who do, see especially "Eurabia represents a geo-political reality" and "Western Europe [...] future is Eurabia. Period.", Bat Ye'or quoted by Jamie Glazov, Eurabia, Front Page Magazine, 2004-09-21
^ Template:Fr manifesto in Le devoir de précaution
^ Template:Nl Confrontatie, geen verzoening, de Volkskrant, 8 April 2006, copy here
^ 2007-06-19, quoted by bigpicweblog.com, conference The collapse of Europe at Pepperdine University with americanfreedomalliance.org; see also "[Mark Steyn] argues for dissolving Europe's welfare" in Johann Hari, 'America Alone: The End of the World as We Know It' by Mark Steyn, The New Statesman, 2007-03-12, Bruce Bawer claiming that european "big-government, welfare-state social democracy" is a "kind of fundamentalism" in While Europe Slept interview with Bruce Bawer, Front Page Magazine, 2006-05-23;
^ "Tales from Eurabia". The Economist. June 22 2006. Retrieved 19 December 2008. Integration will be hard work for all concerned. But for the moment at least, the prospect of Eurabia looks like scaremongering. {{cite news}}: Check date values in: |date= (help)
^ See also Randy McDonald, Doug Saunders, The 'Eurabia' myth deserves a debunking, The Globe and Mail, 2008-09-20, Fewer differences between foreign born and Swedish born childbearing women, Statistics Sweden, 2008-11-03, Denmark: Immigrants/Danes have same number of children, Statistics Denmark quoted by dr.dk, 2009-05-06, Mary Mederios Kent, Do Muslims have more children than other women in western Europe?, Population Reference Bureau, prb.org, February 2008; for fertility of Muslims outside Europe, see the sentence "The dramatic decline in Iran's fertility provides a recent example of how strict Islamic practices can coexist with widespread use of family planning," and (the articles) Farzaneh Roudi-Fahimi and Mary Mederios Kent, Fertility Declining in the Middle East and North Africa, prb.org, April 2008, especially the figure 2, Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi, Recent changes and the future of fertility in Iran, especially the figure 1, Yoram Ettinger, Demographic implosion in Muslim societies, The Jerusalem Post, 2008-10-28;
^ See also "Merely speaking of a 'Muslim community in France' can be misleading and inaccurate: like every immigrant population, Muslims in France exhibit strong cleavages based on the country of their origin, their social background, political orientation and ideology, and the branch or sect of Islam that they practice (when they do)." in Justin Vaisse, Unrest in France, November 2005, 2006-01-12; "What Turkish and Senegalese and Indonesian Muslims have in common [...] isn't immediately obvious." in Randy McDonald, Why "Eurabia" Is Like "Jew York City": An Examination of Terminologies, 2005-01-17
^ See also Justin Vaïsse, La France et les musulmans: une politique étrangère sous influence?, April 2007 Template:Fr; [[{{{1}}}]] [], 50 idées reçues sur l'état du monde, 2008, ISBN 978-2-200-35052-9, chapters 23 "La France est pro-arabe" & 24 "La politique extérieure française est guidée par l'antiaméricanisme" Template:Fr;
^ David Aaronovitch (2005-11-15). "It's the latest disease: sensible people saying ridiculous things about Islam". The Times. Retrieved 2008-03-08.
^ "France is already 12% Muslim and Switzerland 20%" in Bruce Bawer, While Europe Slept, "Muslims are around 12 percent of the French population." in [[{{{1}}}]] [], A New Muslim Country, 2003-05-12, "In France at least 12 percent of the population is already Muslim" in Lowell Ponte, Goodbye Europe, 2006-03-27, "In France approximately ten percent of the population are Muslims." in Geert Wilders, speech to the Danish parliament, 2008-06-01; sometimes 20%: "France is already 20% Muslim" in Arlene Peck, It's them vs. us... Everywhere!, "France is already 20% Muslim" in A letter to my sons by Posey McMillan/Carl Hutchinson/Michael Sullivan, "almost twenty percent of the people in France" in Thomas Segel, The French-Muslim Connection, "France has the largest percentage of Muslims of any country in Europe" in Gates of Vienna, 2008-10-31;
^ Template:Fr Ifop,Sofres (Template:Wayback); people who are muslim or have muslim ancestors are supposed to be 4 to 8%
^ Muslims and the West, The Economist, 2006-06-22, copy here
^ see also "the EU's population will be 40 percent Muslim by 2025", Mark Steyn quoted in Andrew Sullivan, America Less Alone?, The Daily Dish, 2007-03-12; Steyn and his numbers; "the entire thesis of Steyn's book evaporates into thin air" in Andrew Sullivan, Quote for the Day, 2007-03-09; "[For some claim of him, Mark Steyn] needs to turn 20 million European Muslims into more than 150 million in nine years, which is a lot of humping." in Johann Hari, Ship of fools: Johann Hari sets sail with America's swashbuckling neocons, July 2007; Fjordman, Robert Spencer (chapter 18), Daniel Pipes and some others claiming since 2004 that 25% of Malmö population is Muslim (According to wikipedia.org, there is 25% Muslims in the foreigners inhabited Rosengård district, which total population is about 22,000, and 55,000 Muslims in Malmö metropolitan area, that is 9% of 628,000 total population); "Europe will – maybe not in 20, but rather 30-40 years from now – have a Muslim majority of population", [[{{{1}}}]] [] quoted in Jamie Glazov, Europe's Suicide?, Front Page Magazine, 2006-04-26; "native Swedes [will be] turned into a minority in their own country [...] in a few decades if [the current] level of immigration continues." in Fjordman, My Farewell to Little Green Footballs, Gates of Vienna, 2007-11-14; "a staggering 25 percent of the population in Europe will be Muslim just 12 years from now." in Geert Wilders, 2008-09-25; "At present demographic rates, by 2020 the majority of children in Holland — i.e., the population under 18 — will be Muslim." in Mark Steyn, Europeans are Worse than Cockroaches, The Spectator, 2003-11-08; "in France, approximately one birth in three is to a Muslim family." in Jennifer Morse, Acton Institute, 2006-01-25; "the continent could be majority-Muslim within decades" in Daniel Pipes, Muslim Europe, New York Sun, 2004-05-11; "The current number of Muslims in Western Europe could be forty million [...] In 2030 there could be a Muslim majority in Europe" ("Het aantal moslims in West-Europa [...] veertig miljoen [...] In 2030 leeft in Europa [...] zal de meerderheid van de Europeanen bestaan uit moslims") in Ayaan Hirsi Ali, Confrontation, not appeasement; "Within 20 years, one person out of four in France will be Muslim" in Guy Millière quoted by Fjordman; "the imminent arrival of Eurabia can be dismissed as poor mathematics. Muslim minorities in Europe are indeed growing fast and causing political friction, but they account for less than 5% of the total population, a tiny proportion by American standards of immigration. Even if that proportion trebles in the next 20 years, Eurabia will still be a long way off." in The Economist; "It's now obvious: at end of 21st century, white Europeans will be minority in their continent" ("la perspective apparait désormais clairement : à la fin du XXIe siècle, les Européens de souche seront minoritaires sur leur continent") in [[{{{1}}}]] [], Chronique du choc des civilisations, ISBN 978-2205-06220-5, page 58; "many demographers estimate that as much as 20-30 per cent of the [French] population under 25 is now Muslim. [...] Given current birth rates, it is not impossible that in 25 years France will have a Muslim majority." in Barbara Amiel, Is France on the way to becoming an Islamic state?, The Daily Telegraph, 2004-01-25; John Lichfield, Our Man In Paris: France will never be a Muslim state, The Independent, 2004-02-03; "a third of the young people in France have been born to Muslim parents" in John Reilly, 2006; "1 out of every 3 babies born in France today is a Muslim baby." in Hugh Fitzgerald, Douce France, 2004-06-23; "Given current birthrates, France could be a majority Muslim country in 25 years" in Sam Harris, On the Reality of Islam, 2006-02-07; "Within twenty years, Muslims will be a majority in France." in Guy Milliere, France is Almost Finished, 2003-04-10;
^ Ralph Peters, The 'Eurabia' Myth, New York Post, 2006-11-26
^ Template:Fr Ivan Jablonka, La peur de l'Islam, Bat Ye'or et le spectre de l'Eurabie (The fear of Islam, Bat Ye'or and the specter of Eurabia), [[{{{1}}}]] [], 2006-05-01
^ Johann Hari, Amid all this panic, we must remember one simple fact - Muslims are, The Independent, London, 2006-08-21; see also "It is not an exaggeration to see in these wild conspiracy theories a mutation of Europe’s old, toxic anti-Semitism. What are Fallaci and Ye’or offering but the Protocols of the Elders of Muhammad?" in Johann Hari, Islam in the West, Dissent magazine, winter 2007; The Elders of Mecca, eurofascism.info, 2009-02-22
^ Template:Sv [[{{{1}}}]] [], De Räddas Revelj (lighter web page), Dagens Nyheter, Stockholm, 2008-02-10
^ "Why did Bosnia collapse into the worst slaughter in Europe since World War Two? [...] The Serbs figured that out, as other Continentals will in the years ahead, if you can't outbreed the enemy, cull'em." in Mark Steyn's America Alone; see also Mark Steyn#Eurabia_-_inevitability_or_artifice, Mark Kleiman, Mark Steyn's Final Solution to the Euro-Muslim Problem, The Reality Based Community, 2007-02-18, Andrew Sullivan, Steyn and Genocide, The Daily Dish, 2007-02-19, Andrew Sullivan, Steyn, Reynolds, Genocide, The Daily Dish, 2007-02-21, Christopher Hitchens, Facing the Islamist Menace (lighter web page), City journal, Winter 2007 edition
^ Template:Sv Eva Ekselius, Bli Moderna Nu, Annars... (lighter web page), Dagens Nyheter, Stockholm, 2008-03-27 ("[...] Liksom judarna utmålades som det främmande, det andra [...]")
^ Adam Keller, Drumont's Jewish disciple, 2008-06-02, copy here; see also "Stripped of its Islamic content, the broad contours of Ye’or’s preposterous thesis recall the anti-Semitic conspiracy theories of the first half of the twentieth century and contemporary notions of the 'Zionist Occupation Government' prevalent in far-right circles in the US." in You are now entering Eurabia, "the 'Jewish threat' in the 1930s was entirely fictional, whereas the 'Islamic threat' now is very real." in Fjordman, Swedish Welfare State Collapses as Immigrants Wage War, Brussels Journal, 2006-03-28

External links

An unhelpful way to look at Islam in Europe, The Economist, 2006-06-22, see also its cover (the Eiffel Tower photoshopped with a big islamic crescent on its top) and the notes 30 & 37
Britain's Growing Ethnic Division, BBC video and transcript, 2007-05-07
Jonathan Laurence and [[{{{1}}}]] [], Integrating Islam Political and Religious Challenges in Contemporary France, Washington, DC, Brookings Institution Press, 2006, ISBN 0-8157-5151-6
Niall Ferguson, Eurabia?, The New York Times, 2004-04-04
Bruce Thornton, The Civilization of Dhimmitude, 2005-03-26.
Melanie Phillips, Why France is burning, 2005-11-07
Simon Kuper, The Crescent and the Cross, Financial Times, 2007-11-10
Thomas Jones, Short Cuts: How to concoct a conspiracy theory, London Review of Books, July 2005
Handshake, Eurabian Nights?, 2007-09-08

[1] "Religious Composition by Country, 2010-2050". Pew Research Center. 12 April 2015. Retrieved 22 October 2017.

[2] see by example "the EU collectively surrendered to the dictates of Islamism. That is: Europe has adopted voluntary dhimmitude." in Eurabia, Time to Speak, "The EU must die, or Europe will die. It’s that simple. [...] the people who created Eurabia [...] The EU should be viewed that way, as a de facto, slow-motion abolition of European democracy" in Why the EU Needs to be Destroyed, and Soon, Gates of Vienna, 2006-06-05, "The refusal of theWestern elite class to protect their nations from jihadist infiltration is the biggest betrayal in history." in Serge Trifkovic, Can the West be saved?, 2008-05-10;

[Bostom-3] 'Eurabia' Defined, Andrew G. Bostom, American Thinker, November 15, 2005

[4] Template:Fr Archive list Universités de Paris

[Yeor1-5] Bat Ye'or, Le dialogue Euro-Arabe et la naissance d'Eurabia, Observatoire du Monde Juif, December 2002, English translation

[6] Template:Fr GREMMO websites [1] and [2]

[7] Template:Fr IUED website

[8] MEDEA: Euro-Arab dialogue

[Yeor2-9] Bat Ye'or, Beyond Munich The Spirit of Eurabia, 2004; see also this articles list

[Yeor3-10] Bat Ye'or, Eurabia, National Review, 2002-10-09; see also "Eurabia is a tangible entity" in How Europe Became Eurabia, Front Page Magazine, 2004-07-27

[Yeor4-11] Bat Ye'or quoted in Caroline Glick, Europe's Arab gambit, The Jerusalem Post, 2004-04-04, copy here

[12] Niall Ferguson, The way we live now: 4-4-04; Eurabia?, The New York Times, April 4, 2004

[Carr1-13] Matt Carr, You are now entering Eurabia, Race & Class, Vol. 48 No. 1, July 2006, Institute of Race Relations

[14] "Europe is no longer Europe, it is 'Eurabia,' a colony of Islam" Oriana Fallaci quoted in Tunku Varadarajan, Prophet of Decline, The Wall Street Journal, 2005-06-23; Template:It "Sono quattr' anni che parlo di nazismo islamico, di guerra all' Occidente, di culto della morte, di suicidio dell' Europa. Un' Europa che non è più Europa ma Eurabia e che con la sua mollezza, la sua inerzia, la sua cecità, il suo asservimento al nemico si sta scavando la propria tomba." in Oriana Fallaci, Il nemico che trattiamo da amico, Corriere della Sera, 2006-09-15

[15] Jihad Watch and Dhimmi Watch websites

[16] Daniel Pipes's website

[17] "The monopoly of force that is now exclusive to states will be challenged by armed subgroups. European societies will be divided along ethnic and religious lines. The education system will not succeed in grooming the youth to believe in a shared past, let alone a shared future. The European states will find themselves limiting civil liberties. Europeans will come to accept the de facto implementation of Sharia law in certain neighborhoods and even cities. The exploitation of the weak, women and children will be commonplace. Those who can afford to emigrate will do so. Instead of an ever-growing union in Europe, future generations may witness an ever-disintegrating one." in Ayaan Hirsi Ali, Europe's Immigration Quagmire, LA Times, 2006

[18] Melanie Phillips, Londonistan: How Britain is creating a terror state within, Encounter, London, 2006

[19] Mark Steyn, America Alone: The End of the World as We Know It, 2006 and 2008; It's the Demography, Stupid, 2006-01-04; The future belongs to Islam, 2006-10-20

[20] uding Gates of Vienna, Paul Belien's Brussels Journal, Free Republic, Front Page Magazine, Fjordman's The Eurabia Code article and Defeating Eurabia compilation, Richard Landes's Eurabia article (this web page list several web resources)

[21] [3], [4], [5], [6] [7], [8], and "which could lead within the foreseeable future to significant Muslim majorities in at least some European cities or even countries" in Europe and Islam

[22] see by example "Immigration from Muslim countries and the demographics will result in the Eurabia that the brave Bat Ye'or is warning about." in Geert Wilders, 2008-12-14

[23] several of those authors are pointed by Filip Dewinter in a 2007-02-18 speech at Robert A Taft Club, Template:Wayback

[Vaisse1-24] Integrating Islam: Political and Religious Challenges in Contemporary France, 2006-09-13

[WA-25] Waleed Aly, Hatred in a head count, The Age, 2007-02-19; see also Raphael Israeli's answer to Australian media coverage, 2007-02-22

[26] Daniel Pipes, The 751 No-Go Zones of France, danielpipes.org, 2006-11-14, Robert Spencer, The 751 No-Go Zones of France, dhimmiwatch, 2006-11-24; see also "the riots that gripped immigrant suburbs in France in the autumn of 2005 [...] were largely assertions of Muslim authority over Muslim neighborhoods, and thus clearly jihadist" in Bruce Bawer, An Anatomy of Surrender, City journal, "[in France] many suburbs [are] no-go areas for the police and increasingly for non-Muslims too" in Daniel Johnson, J'accuse

[Yeor5-27] r those who do, see especially "Eurabia represents a geo-political reality" and "Western Europe [...] future is Eurabia. Period.", Bat Ye'or quoted by Jamie Glazov, Eurabia, Front Page Magazine, 2004-09-21

[28] Template:Fr manifesto in Le devoir de précaution

[29] Template:Nl Confrontatie, geen verzoening, de Volkskrant, 8 April 2006, copy here

[30] 2007-06-19, quoted by bigpicweblog.com, conference The collapse of Europe at Pepperdine University with americanfreedomalliance.org; see also "[Mark Steyn] argues for dissolving Europe's welfare" in Johann Hari, 'America Alone: The End of the World as We Know It' by Mark Steyn, The New Statesman, 2007-03-12, Bruce Bawer claiming that european "big-government, welfare-state social democracy" is a "kind of fundamentalism" in While Europe Slept interview with Bruce Bawer, Front Page Magazine, 2006-05-23;

[31] "Tales from Eurabia". The Economist. June 22 2006. Retrieved 19 December 2008. Integration will be hard work for all concerned. But for the moment at least, the prospect of Eurabia looks like scaremongering. {{cite news}}: Check date values in: |date= (help)

[32] See also Randy McDonald, Doug Saunders, The 'Eurabia' myth deserves a debunking, The Globe and Mail, 2008-09-20, Fewer differences between foreign born and Swedish born childbearing women, Statistics Sweden, 2008-11-03, Denmark: Immigrants/Danes have same number of children, Statistics Denmark quoted by dr.dk, 2009-05-06, Mary Mederios Kent, Do Muslims have more children than other women in western Europe?, Population Reference Bureau, prb.org, February 2008; for fertility of Muslims outside Europe, see the sentence "The dramatic decline in Iran's fertility provides a recent example of how strict Islamic practices can coexist with widespread use of family planning," and (the articles) Farzaneh Roudi-Fahimi and Mary Mederios Kent, Fertility Declining in the Middle East and North Africa, prb.org, April 2008, especially the figure 2, Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi, Recent changes and the future of fertility in Iran, especially the figure 1, Yoram Ettinger, Demographic implosion in Muslim societies, The Jerusalem Post, 2008-10-28;

[33] See also "Merely speaking of a 'Muslim community in France' can be misleading and inaccurate: like every immigrant population, Muslims in France exhibit strong cleavages based on the country of their origin, their social background, political orientation and ideology, and the branch or sect of Islam that they practice (when they do)." in Justin Vaisse, Unrest in France, November 2005, 2006-01-12; "What Turkish and Senegalese and Indonesian Muslims have in common [...] isn't immediately obvious." in Randy McDonald, Why "Eurabia" Is Like "Jew York City": An Examination of Terminologies, 2005-01-17

[34] See also Justin Vaïsse, La France et les musulmans: une politique étrangère sous influence?, April 2007 Template:Fr; [[{{{1}}}]] [], 50 idées reçues sur l'état du monde, 2008, ISBN 978-2-200-35052-9, chapters 23 "La France est pro-arabe" & 24 "La politique extérieure française est guidée par l'antiaméricanisme" Template:Fr;

[DA-35] David Aaronovitch (2005-11-15). "It's the latest disease: sensible people saying ridiculous things about Islam". The Times. Retrieved 2008-03-08.

[36] "France is already 12% Muslim and Switzerland 20%" in Bruce Bawer, While Europe Slept, "Muslims are around 12 percent of the French population." in [[{{{1}}}]] [], A New Muslim Country, 2003-05-12, "In France at least 12 percent of the population is already Muslim" in Lowell Ponte, Goodbye Europe, 2006-03-27, "In France approximately ten percent of the population are Muslims." in Geert Wilders, speech to the Danish parliament, 2008-06-01; sometimes 20%: "France is already 20% Muslim" in Arlene Peck, It's them vs. us... Everywhere!, "France is already 20% Muslim" in A letter to my sons by Posey McMillan/Carl Hutchinson/Michael Sullivan, "almost twenty percent of the people in France" in Thomas Segel, The French-Muslim Connection, "France has the largest percentage of Muslims of any country in Europe" in Gates of Vienna, 2008-10-31;

[37] Template:Fr Ifop,Sofres (Template:Wayback); people who are muslim or have muslim ancestors are supposed to be 4 to 8%

[38] Muslims and the West, The Economist, 2006-06-22, copy here

[39] see also "the EU's population will be 40 percent Muslim by 2025", Mark Steyn quoted in Andrew Sullivan, America Less Alone?, The Daily Dish, 2007-03-12; Steyn and his numbers; "the entire thesis of Steyn's book evaporates into thin air" in Andrew Sullivan, Quote for the Day, 2007-03-09; "[For some claim of him, Mark Steyn] needs to turn 20 million European Muslims into more than 150 million in nine years, which is a lot of humping." in Johann Hari, Ship of fools: Johann Hari sets sail with America's swashbuckling neocons, July 2007; Fjordman, Robert Spencer (chapter 18), Daniel Pipes and some others claiming since 2004 that 25% of Malmö population is Muslim (According to wikipedia.org, there is 25% Muslims in the foreigners inhabited Rosengård district, which total population is about 22,000, and 55,000 Muslims in Malmö metropolitan area, that is 9% of 628,000 total population); "Europe will – maybe not in 20, but rather 30-40 years from now – have a Muslim majority of population", [[{{{1}}}]] [] quoted in Jamie Glazov, Europe's Suicide?, Front Page Magazine, 2006-04-26; "native Swedes [will be] turned into a minority in their own country [...] in a few decades if [the current] level of immigration continues." in Fjordman, My Farewell to Little Green Footballs, Gates of Vienna, 2007-11-14; "a staggering 25 percent of the population in Europe will be Muslim just 12 years from now." in Geert Wilders, 2008-09-25; "At present demographic rates, by 2020 the majority of children in Holland — i.e., the population under 18 — will be Muslim." in Mark Steyn, Europeans are Worse than Cockroaches, The Spectator, 2003-11-08; "in France, approximately one birth in three is to a Muslim family." in Jennifer Morse, Acton Institute, 2006-01-25; "the continent could be majority-Muslim within decades" in Daniel Pipes, Muslim Europe, New York Sun, 2004-05-11; "The current number of Muslims in Western Europe could be forty million [...] In 2030 there could be a Muslim majority in Europe" ("Het aantal moslims in West-Europa [...] veertig miljoen [...] In 2030 leeft in Europa [...] zal de meerderheid van de Europeanen bestaan uit moslims") in Ayaan Hirsi Ali, Confrontation, not appeasement; "Within 20 years, one person out of four in France will be Muslim" in Guy Millière quoted by Fjordman; "the imminent arrival of Eurabia can be dismissed as poor mathematics. Muslim minorities in Europe are indeed growing fast and causing political friction, but they account for less than 5% of the total population, a tiny proportion by American standards of immigration. Even if that proportion trebles in the next 20 years, Eurabia will still be a long way off." in The Economist; "It's now obvious: at end of 21st century, white Europeans will be minority in their continent" ("la perspective apparait désormais clairement : à la fin du XXIe siècle, les Européens de souche seront minoritaires sur leur continent") in [[{{{1}}}]] [], Chronique du choc des civilisations, ISBN 978-2205-06220-5, page 58; "many demographers estimate that as much as 20-30 per cent of the [French] population under 25 is now Muslim. [...] Given current birth rates, it is not impossible that in 25 years France will have a Muslim majority." in Barbara Amiel, Is France on the way to becoming an Islamic state?, The Daily Telegraph, 2004-01-25; John Lichfield, Our Man In Paris: France will never be a Muslim state, The Independent, 2004-02-03; "a third of the young people in France have been born to Muslim parents" in John Reilly, 2006; "1 out of every 3 babies born in France today is a Muslim baby." in Hugh Fitzgerald, Douce France, 2004-06-23; "Given current birthrates, France could be a majority Muslim country in 25 years" in Sam Harris, On the Reality of Islam, 2006-02-07; "Within twenty years, Muslims will be a majority in France." in Guy Milliere, France is Almost Finished, 2003-04-10;

[40] Ralph Peters, The 'Eurabia' Myth, New York Post, 2006-11-26

[Jablonka-41] Template:Fr Ivan Jablonka, La peur de l'Islam, Bat Ye'or et le spectre de l'Eurabie (The fear of Islam, Bat Ye'or and the specter of Eurabia), [[{{{1}}}]] [], 2006-05-01

[42] Johann Hari, Amid all this panic, we must remember one simple fact - Muslims are, The Independent, London, 2006-08-21; see also "It is not an exaggeration to see in these wild conspiracy theories a mutation of Europe’s old, toxic anti-Semitism. What are Fallaci and Ye’or offering but the Protocols of the Elders of Muhammad?" in Johann Hari, Islam in the West, Dissent magazine, winter 2007; The Elders of Mecca, eurofascism.info, 2009-02-22

[43] Template:Sv [[{{{1}}}]] [], De Räddas Revelj (lighter web page), Dagens Nyheter, Stockholm, 2008-02-10

[44] "Why did Bosnia collapse into the worst slaughter in Europe since World War Two? [...] The Serbs figured that out, as other Continentals will in the years ahead, if you can't outbreed the enemy, cull'em." in Mark Steyn's America Alone; see also Mark Steyn#Eurabia_-_inevitability_or_artifice, Mark Kleiman, Mark Steyn's Final Solution to the Euro-Muslim Problem, The Reality Based Community, 2007-02-18, Andrew Sullivan, Steyn and Genocide, The Daily Dish, 2007-02-19, Andrew Sullivan, Steyn, Reynolds, Genocide, The Daily Dish, 2007-02-21, Christopher Hitchens, Facing the Islamist Menace (lighter web page), City journal, Winter 2007 edition

[45] Template:Sv Eva Ekselius, Bli Moderna Nu, Annars... (lighter web page), Dagens Nyheter, Stockholm, 2008-03-27 ("[...] Liksom judarna utmålades som det främmande, det andra [...]")

[46] Adam Keller, Drumont's Jewish disciple, 2008-06-02, copy here; see also "Stripped of its Islamic content, the broad contours of Ye’or’s preposterous thesis recall the anti-Semitic conspiracy theories of the first half of the twentieth century and contemporary notions of the 'Zionist Occupation Government' prevalent in far-right circles in the US." in You are now entering Eurabia, "the 'Jewish threat' in the 1930s was entirely fictional, whereas the 'Islamic threat' now is very real." in Fjordman, Swedish Welfare State Collapses as Immigrants Wage War, Brussels Journal, 2006-03-28

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@@ Line 74: / Line 74: @@
 <blockquote>Those who utter the term 'Eurabia' conjure up a mutant European continent under pressure from oil-producing states that has all but abandoned its values and policies to a horde of Arab immigrants. Our book attempts to dismantle that position by exploring the actual evolution of French policies towards Muslims and organized Islam since the 1970s. We try to do away with one of the false premises of 'Eurabia', namely, that French and European governments - fuelled by [[self-loathing]] [[multiculturalist]] policies- have capitulated to Muslims' cultural and religious demands.<ref name="Vaisse1"/></blockquote>
 Justin Vaisse says the book intends to debunk "four myths of the [[alarmist]] school." Using [[Islam in France|Muslims in France]] as an example, he says:
-*The Muslim population is not growing as fast as the scenario claims, since the [[fertility rate]] of immigrants declines<ref>See also Randy McDonald, [[Doug Saunders]], ''[http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20080920.wreckoning20/BNStory/International/home/ The 'Eurabia' myth deserves a debunking]'', [[The Globe and Mail]], 2008-09-20, ''[http://www.scb.se/Pages/PressRelease____251100.aspx Fewer differences between foreign born and Swedish born childbearing women]'', [[Statistics Sweden]], 2008-11-03, Mary Mederios Kent, ''[http://www.prb.org/Articles/2008/muslimsineurope.aspx?p=1 Do Muslims have more children than other women in western Europe?]'', [[Population Reference Bureau]], prb.org, February 2008; for fertility of Muslims outside Europe, see the sentence "The dramatic decline in Iran's fertility provides a recent example of how strict Islamic practices can coexist with widespread use of [[Family planning in Iran|family planning]]," and (the articles) Farzaneh Roudi-Fahimi and Mary Mederios Kent, ''[http://www.prb.org/Articles/2008/menafertilitydecline.aspx?p=1 Fertility Declining in the Middle East and North Africa]'', prb.org, April 2008, especially the [http://www.prb.org/images08/patterns-of-fertility.gif figure 2], Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi, ''[http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/completingfertility/2RevisedABBASIpaper.PDF Recent changes and the future of fertility in Iran]'', especially the [http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/completingfertility/2RevisedABBASIpaper.PDF#page=10 figure 1], [http://yoramettinger.newsnet.co.il/Front/NewsNet/reports.asp?reportId=248042 Yoram Ettinger], ''[http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1225036811974&pagename=JPost/JPArticle/Printer Demographic implosion in Muslim societies]'', [[The Jerusalem Post]], 2008-10-28;</ref>
+*The Muslim population is not growing as fast as the scenario claims, since the [[fertility rate]] of immigrants declines<ref>See also <!-- Randy McDonald, ''[http://rfmcdpei.livejournal.com/408410.html France, its Muslims, and the Future]'', 2004-04-13, -->Randy McDonald, [[Doug Saunders]], ''[http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20080920.wreckoning20/BNStory/International/home/ The 'Eurabia' myth deserves a debunking]'', [[The Globe and Mail]], 2008-09-20, ''[http://www.scb.se/Pages/PressRelease____251100.aspx Fewer differences between foreign born and Swedish born childbearing women]'', [[Statistics Sweden]], 2008-11-03, ''[http://islamineurope.blogspot.com/2009/05/denmark-immigrantsdanes-have-same.html Denmark: Immigrants/Danes have same number of children]'', [[Statistics Denmark]] quoted [http://www.dr.dk/Nyheder/Indland/2009/05/06/083729.htm by] [[dr.dk]], 2009-05-06, Mary Mederios Kent, ''[http://www.prb.org/Articles/2008/muslimsineurope.aspx?p=1 Do Muslims have more children than other women in western Europe?]'', [[Population Reference Bureau]], prb.org, February 2008; for fertility of Muslims outside Europe, see the sentence "The dramatic decline in Iran's fertility provides a recent example of how strict Islamic practices can coexist with widespread use of [[Family planning in Iran|family planning]]," and (the articles) Farzaneh Roudi-Fahimi and Mary Mederios Kent, ''[http://www.prb.org/Articles/2008/menafertilitydecline.aspx?p=1 Fertility Declining in the Middle East and North Africa]'', prb.org, April 2008, especially the [http://www.prb.org/images08/patterns-of-fertility.gif figure 2], Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi, ''[http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/completingfertility/2RevisedABBASIpaper.PDF Recent changes and the future of fertility in Iran]'', especially the [http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/completingfertility/2RevisedABBASIpaper.PDF#page=10 figure 1], [http://yoramettinger.newsnet.co.il/Front/NewsNet/reports.asp?reportId=248042 Yoram Ettinger], ''[http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1225036811974&pagename=JPost/JPArticle/Printer Demographic implosion in Muslim societies]'', [[The Jerusalem Post]], 2008-10-28;</ref>
 *Muslims are not a monolithic or cohesive group<ref>See also "Merely speaking of a 'Muslim community in France' can be misleading and inaccurate: like every immigrant population, Muslims in France exhibit strong cleavages based on the country of their origin, their social background, political orientation and ideology, and the [[Divisions of Islam|branch or sect of Islam]] that they practice (when they do)." in Justin Vaisse, ''[http://www.brookings.edu/testimony/2006/0112france_vaisse.aspx Unrest in France, November 2005]'', 2006-01-12; "What Turkish and Senegalese and Indonesian Muslims have in common [...] isn't immediately obvious." in Randy McDonald, ''[http://www.gnxp.com/MT2/archives/003463.html Why "Eurabia" Is Like "Jew York City": An Examination of Terminologies], 2005-01-17</ref>
 *Muslims do seek to integrate politically and socially
@@ Line 85: / Line 85: @@
 Many partisans of the Eurabia theory claim that there is already 12%<ref>[http://www.frontpagemag.com/Articles/Printable.asp?ID=21609 "France is already 12% Muslim and Switzerland 20%"] in Bruce Bawer, ''While Europe Slept'', "Muslims are around 12 percent of the French population." in {{Link-interwiki|en=Guy Millière |en_text=Guy Millière |lang=fr |lang_title=Guy Millière}}, ''[http://www.frontpagemag.com/Articles/Printable.asp?ID=7758 A New Muslim Country]'', 2003-05-12, "In France at least 12 percent of the population is already Muslim" in Lowell Ponte, ''[http://www.frontpagemag.com/Articles/Printable.asp?ID=21820 Goodbye Europe]'', 2006-03-27, "In France approximately ten percent of the population are Muslims." in [[Geert Wilders]], [http://www.pvv.nl/?option=com_content&task=view&id=1108 speech to the Danish parliament], 2008-06-01; sometimes 20%: "France is already 20% Muslim" in [[Arlene Peck]], ''[http://www.think-israel.org/jun05bloged.html#jun05.164 It's them vs. us... Everywhere!]'', "France is already 20% Muslim" in ''A letter to my sons'' by [http://www.think-israel.org/jun04bloged.html#jun04.210 Posey McMillan]/[http://www.shea-king.com/RadioShows/WorldSituationLetter.html Carl Hutchinson]/[http://www.e27marines-1stmardiv.org/tribute/world_situation.htm Michael Sullivan], "almost twenty percent of the people in France" in Thomas Segel, ''The French-Muslim Connection'', "France has the largest percentage of Muslims of any country in Europe" in [http://gatesofvienna.blogspot.com/2008/10/france-gets-it-right.html Gates of Vienna, 2008-10-31];</ref> [[Islam in France|Muslims in France]], although 2007 polls showed only 3% Muslim.<ref>{{fr}} [http://www.ifop.com/europe/docs/religions_geo.pdf#page=7 Ifop],[http://www.tns-sofres.com/etudes/pol/050407_religion.htm Sofres] ({{Wayback|url=http://www.tns-sofres.com/etudes/pol/050407_religion.htm}}); people who are muslim or have muslim ancestors are supposed to be 4 to 8%</ref> According to The Economist, "[Bruce Bawer] uses wildly exaggerated statistics to give warning that Muslim birth rates will soon turn Europe into 'Eurabia'. The [[Islam in Switzerland|Muslim share of Switzerland's population]] is not an 'astonishing 20%', as Mr Bawer claims, but 4.3%, at least according to the 2000 Swiss census."<ref>''[http://www.economist.com/opinion/PrinterFriendly.cfm?story_id=7081189 Muslims and the West]'', [[The Economist]], 2006-06-22, [http://www.bookshop.economist.com/asp/reviewdetail.asp?book=2692 copy here]</ref>
-According to the [[CIA World Factbook]] and several other source, there were 14 to 16 million Muslims in [[European Union]] in 2007, that is 3% of [[Demographics of the European Union|total population (495 M)]]. According to Matt Carr, an "expansion from 3 per cent to 40 per cent within twenty years would be nothing short of miraculous".<ref name="Carr1"/><ref>see also "the EU's population will be 40 percent Muslim by 2025", Mark Steyn quoted in [[Andrew Sullivan]], ''[http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2007/03/steyns_numbers.html America Less Alone?]'', The Daily Dish, 2007-03-12; ''[http://thecrossedpond.com/?p=139 Steyn and his numbers]''; "the entire thesis of Steyn's book evaporates into thin air" in Andrew Sullivan, ''[http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2007/03/quote_for_the_d_12.html Quote for the Day]'', 2007-03-09; "[For some claim of him, Mark Steyn] needs to turn 20 million European Muslims into more than 150 million in nine years, which is a lot of humping." in [[Johann Hari]], ''[http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/ship-of-fools-johann-hari-sets-sail-with-americas-swashbuckling-neocons-457074.html Ship of fools: Johann Hari sets sail with America's swashbuckling neocons]'', July 2007; [http://fjordman.blogspot.com/2005/06/jihad-in-swedish-schools.html#c111900463590086451 Fjordman], [[The Politically Incorrect Guide to Islam (And the Crusades)|Robert Spencer]] ([http://www.gpii.precaution.ch/?m=200603 chapter 18]), [http://www.danielpipes.org/blog/2007/11/muslim-populations-in-european-cities.html Daniel Pipes] and [http://www.jihadwatch.org/dhimmiwatch/archives/003692.php some] [http://www.jihadwatch.org/dhimmiwatch/archives/004060.php others] [http://www.michnews.com/cgi-bin/artman/exec/view.cgi/222/10215/printer claiming]<!-- copy in http://www.renewamerica.us/columns/fisher/051107 --> [http://www.pvv.nl/?option=com_content&task=view&id=1310 since] 2004 that 25% of [[Malmö]] population is Muslim (According to wikipedia.org, there is 25% Muslims in the foreigners inhabited [[Rosengård]] district, which total population is about 22,000, and [[Malmö mosque|55,000 Muslims]] in Malmö metropolitan area, that is 9% of 628,000 total population); "Europe will – maybe not in 20, but rather 30-40 years from now – have a Muslim majority of population", {{Link-interwiki |en=Morten Messerschmidt |en_text=Morten Messerschmidt |lang=da |lang_title=Morten Messerschmidt}} quoted in Jamie Glazov, ''[http://www.frontpagemag.com/Articles/Printable.asp?ID=22204 Europe's Suicide?]'', Front Page Magazine, 2006-04-26; "native Swedes [will be] turned into a minority in their own country [...] in a few decades if [the current] level of immigration continues." in Fjordman, ''[http://gatesofvienna.blogspot.com/2007/11/my-farewell-to-little-green-footballs.html My Farewell to Little Green Footballs]'', Gates of Vienna, 2007-11-14; "a staggering 25 percent of the population in Europe will be Muslim just 12 years from now." in [http://www.pvv.nl/?option=com_content&task=view&id=1310 Geert Wilders, 2008-09-25]; "At present demographic rates, by 2020 the majority of children in Holland — i.e., the population under 18 — will be Muslim." in Mark Steyn, ''Europeans are Worse than Cockroaches'', The Spectator, 2003-11-08; "in France, approximately one birth in three is to a Muslim family." in [[Jennifer Morse]], [[Acton Institute]], [http://www.acton.org/commentary/commentary_307.php 2006-01-25]; <!-- (A direct quote of ''The Third Islamic Invasion of Europe'' would be better) Raphael Israeli claiming that [http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1167467792048&pagename=JPost/JPArticle/Printer there are 380 million inhabitants in Europe]; --><!-- (Not enought peremptory) "Given current birth rates, it is not impossible that in 25 years France will have a Muslim majority." in [http://fjordman.blogspot.com/2005/10/second-night-of-rioting-in-paris.html Fjordman]; -->"the continent could be majority-Muslim within decades" in Daniel Pipes, ''[http://www.danielpipes.org/article/1796 Muslim Europe]'', New York Sun, 2004-05-11;
+According to the [[CIA World Factbook]] and several other source, there were 14 to 16 million Muslims in [[European Union]] in 2007, that is 3% of [[Demographics of the European Union|total population (495 M)]]. According to Matt Carr, an "expansion from 3 per cent to 40 per cent within twenty years would be nothing short of miraculous".<ref name="Carr1"/><ref>see also "the EU's population will be 40 percent Muslim by 2025", Mark Steyn quoted in [[Andrew Sullivan]], ''[http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2007/03/steyns_numbers.html America Less Alone?]'', The Daily Dish, 2007-03-12; ''[http://thecrossedpond.com/?p=139 Steyn and his numbers]''; "the entire thesis of Steyn's book evaporates into thin air" in Andrew Sullivan, ''[http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2007/03/quote_for_the_d_12.html Quote for the Day]'', 2007-03-09; <!-- usefull? [http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2009/05/the-composition-of-the-world.html The North Repopulates], 2009-05-03, [[Martin Walker (reporter)|Martin Walker]], [http://www.wilsoncenter.org/?fuseaction=wq.essay&essay_id=519403 The World's New Numbers], [http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2009/05/the-north-repopulates-ctd.html]; -->"[For some claim of him, Mark Steyn] needs to turn 20 million European Muslims into more than 150 million in nine years, which is a lot of humping." in [[Johann Hari]], ''[http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/ship-of-fools-johann-hari-sets-sail-with-americas-swashbuckling-neocons-457074.html Ship of fools: Johann Hari sets sail with America's swashbuckling neocons]'', July 2007; [http://fjordman.blogspot.com/2005/06/jihad-in-swedish-schools.html#c111900463590086451 Fjordman], [[The Politically Incorrect Guide to Islam (And the Crusades)|Robert Spencer]] ([http://www.gpii.precaution.ch/?m=200603 chapter 18]), [http://www.danielpipes.org/blog/2007/11/muslim-populations-in-european-cities.html Daniel Pipes] and [http://www.jihadwatch.org/dhimmiwatch/archives/003692.php some] [http://www.jihadwatch.org/dhimmiwatch/archives/004060.php others] [http://www.michnews.com/cgi-bin/artman/exec/view.cgi/222/10215/printer claiming]<!-- copy in http://www.renewamerica.us/columns/fisher/051107 --> [http://www.pvv.nl/?option=com_content&task=view&id=1310 since] [http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=YjhkOTVlZTBhNzQxMWE4MGYxODI4NGQ0NDE4M2U5NjA= 2004] that 25% of [[Malmö]] population is Muslim (According to wikipedia.org, there is 25% Muslims in the foreigners inhabited [[Rosengård]] district, which total population is about 22,000, and [[Malmö mosque|55,000 Muslims]] in Malmö metropolitan area, that is 9% of 628,000 total population); "Europe will – maybe not in 20, but rather 30-40 years from now – have a Muslim majority of population", {{Link-interwiki |en=Morten Messerschmidt |en_text=Morten Messerschmidt |lang=da |lang_title=Morten Messerschmidt}} quoted in Jamie Glazov, ''[http://www.frontpagemag.com/Articles/Printable.asp?ID=22204 Europe's Suicide?]'', Front Page Magazine, 2006-04-26; "native Swedes [will be] turned into a minority in their own country [...] in a few decades if [the current] level of immigration continues." in Fjordman, ''[http://gatesofvienna.blogspot.com/2007/11/my-farewell-to-little-green-footballs.html My Farewell to Little Green Footballs]'', Gates of Vienna, 2007-11-14; "a staggering 25 percent of the population in Europe will be Muslim just 12 years from now." in [http://www.pvv.nl/?option=com_content&task=view&id=1310 Geert Wilders, 2008-09-25]; "At present demographic rates, by 2020 the majority of children in Holland — i.e., the population under 18 — will be Muslim." in Mark Steyn, ''Europeans are Worse than Cockroaches'', The Spectator, 2003-11-08; "in France, approximately one birth in three is to a Muslim family." in [[Jennifer Morse]], [[Acton Institute]], [http://www.acton.org/commentary/commentary_307.php 2006-01-25]; <!-- (A direct quote of ''The Third Islamic Invasion of Europe'' would be better) Raphael Israeli claiming that [http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1167467792048&pagename=JPost/JPArticle/Printer there are 380 million inhabitants in Europe]; --><!-- (Not enought peremptory) "Given current birth rates, it is not impossible that in 25 years France will have a Muslim majority." in [http://fjordman.blogspot.com/2005/10/second-night-of-rioting-in-paris.html Fjordman]; -->"the continent could be majority-Muslim within decades" in Daniel Pipes, ''[http://www.danielpipes.org/article/1796 Muslim Europe]'', New York Sun, 2004-05-11;
-"The current number of Muslims in Western Europe could be forty million [...] In 2030 there could be a Muslim majority in Europe" ("Het aantal moslims in West-Europa [...] veertig miljoen [...] In 2030 leeft in Europa [...] zal de meerderheid van de Europeanen bestaan uit moslims") in Ayaan Hirsi Ali, ''[[#cite_note-27|Confrontation, not appeasement]]''; <!-- "The Netherlands [...] are [...] expected to be majority Muslim in eleven years" in ''[http://quidnimis.squarespace.com/journal/2006/12/3/londonistan.html Londonistan]'';--> "Within 20 years, one person out of four in France will be Muslim" in [http://www.frontpagemag.com/Articles/Printable.asp?ID=21957 Guy Millière] quoted by [http://www.brusselsjournal.com/node/989/print Fjordman]; "the imminent arrival of Eurabia can be dismissed as poor mathematics. Muslim minorities in Europe are indeed growing fast and causing political friction, but they account for less than 5% of the total population, a tiny proportion by American standards of immigration. Even if that proportion trebles in the next 20 years, Eurabia will still be a long way off." in [http://www.economist.com/specialreports/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10015231 The Economist]; "It's now obvious: at end of 21st century, white Europeans will be minority in their continent" ("la perspective apparait désormais clairement : à la fin du XXIe siècle, les Européens de souche seront minoritaires sur leur continent") in {{Link-interwiki |en=Aymeric Chauprade |en_text=Aymeric Chauprade |lang=fr |lang_title=Aymeric Chauprade}}, ''[http://www.editions-chronique.com/thematiques/chronique_du_choc_des_civilisations/ Chronique du choc des civilisations]'', ISBN 978-2205-06220-5, page 58; "many demographers estimate that as much as 20-30 per cent of the [French] population under 25 is now Muslim. [...] Given current birth rates, it is not impossible that in 25 years France will have a Muslim majority." in [[Barbara Amiel]], ''[http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/personal-view/3601901/Is-France-on-the-way-to-becoming-an-Islamic-state.html Is France on the way to becoming an Islamic state?]'', [[The Daily Telegraph]], 2004-01-25; [[John Lichfield]], ''[http://www.independent.co.uk/opinion/commentators/our-man-in-paris-france-will-never-be-a-muslim-state-568594.html Our Man In Paris: France will never be a Muslim state]'', [[The Independent]], 2004-02-03; "a third of the young people in France have been born to Muslim parents" in [http://www.johnreilly.info/amal.htm John Reilly], 2006; "1 out of every 3 babies born in France today is a Muslim baby." in [[Hugh Fitzgerald]], ''[http://www.jihadwatch.org/dhimmiwatch/archives/2004/06/002334print.html Douce France]'', 2004-06-23; "Given current birthrates, France could be a majority Muslim country in 25 years" in [[Sam Harris (author)|Sam Harris]], ''[http://www.truthdig.com/report/print/20060207_reality_islam/ On the Reality of Islam]'', 2006-02-07; "Within twenty years, Muslims will be a majority in France." in Guy Milliere, ''[http://www.frontpagemag.com/Articles/Printable.asp?ID=7195 France is Almost Finished]'', 2003-04-10;</ref>
+"The current number of Muslims in Western Europe could be forty million [...] In 2030 there could be a Muslim majority in Europe" ("Het aantal moslims in West-Europa [...] veertig miljoen [...] In 2030 leeft in Europa [...] zal de meerderheid van de Europeanen bestaan uit moslims") in Ayaan Hirsi Ali, ''[[#cite_note-27|Confrontation, not appeasement]]''; <!-- "The Netherlands [...] are [...] expected to be majority Muslim in eleven years" in ''[http://quidnimis.squarespace.com/journal/2006/12/3/londonistan.html Londonistan]'';--> "Within 20 years, one person out of four in France will be Muslim" in [http://www.frontpagemag.com/Articles/Printable.asp?ID=21957 Guy Millière] quoted by [http://www.brusselsjournal.com/node/989/print Fjordman]; "the imminent arrival of Eurabia can be dismissed as poor mathematics. Muslim minorities in Europe are indeed growing fast and causing political friction, but they account for less than 5% of the total population, a tiny proportion by American standards of immigration. Even if that proportion trebles in the next 20 years, Eurabia will still be a long way off." in [http://www.economist.com/specialreports/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10015231 The Economist]; "It's now obvious: at end of 21st century, white Europeans will be minority in their continent" ("la perspective apparait désormais clairement : à la fin du XXIe siècle, les Européens de souche seront minoritaires sur leur continent") in {{Link-interwiki |en=Aymeric Chauprade |en_text=Aymeric Chauprade |lang=fr |lang_title=Aymeric Chauprade}}, ''[http://www.editions-chronique.com/thematiques/chronique_du_choc_des_civilisations/ Chronique du choc des civilisations]'', ISBN 978-2205-06220-5, page 58; "many demographers estimate that as much as 20-30 per cent of the [French] population under 25 is now Muslim. [...] Given current birth rates, it is not impossible that in 25 years France will have a Muslim majority." in [[Barbara Amiel]], ''[http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/personal-view/3601901/Is-France-on-the-way-to-becoming-an-Islamic-state.html Is France on the way to becoming an Islamic state?]'', [[The Daily Telegraph]], 2004-01-25; [[John Lichfield]], ''[http://www.independent.co.uk/opinion/commentators/our-man-in-paris-france-will-never-be-a-muslim-state-568594.html Our Man In Paris: France will never be a Muslim state]'', [[The Independent]], 2004-02-03; "a third of the young people in France have been born to Muslim parents" in [http://www.johnreilly.info/amal.htm John Reilly], 2006; "1 out of every 3 babies born in France today is a Muslim baby." in [[Hugh Fitzgerald]], ''[http://www.jihadwatch.org/dhimmiwatch/archives/2004/06/002334print.html Douce France]'', 2004-06-23; "Given current birthrates, France could be a majority Muslim country in 25 years" in [[Sam Harris (author)|Sam Harris]], ''[http://www.truthdig.com/report/print/20060207_reality_islam/ On the Reality of Islam]'', 2006-02-07; "Within twenty years, Muslims will be a majority in France." in Guy Milliere, ''[http://www.frontpagemag.com/Articles/Printable.asp?ID=7195 France is Almost Finished]'', 2003-04-10;<!-- usefull? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6-3X5hIFXYU ;--></ref>
 Writer [[Ralph Peters]] concedes that Muslim assimilation is an issue and sees clashes between Muslim immigrants and Europeans as likely, but argues that the Eurabia thesis is the reverse of the real situation. "The endangered species isn't the 'peace loving' European lolling in his or her welfare state," he writes, "but the continent's Muslim immigrants." Citing Europe's violent and intolerant history, Peters predicts that once Europeans feel significantly threatened by Muslims, whether or not those feelings are justified, they will "over-react with stunning ferocity," ending in the [[ethnic cleansing]] of Muslims.<ref>Ralph Peters, ''[http://www.nypost.com/seven/11262006/postopinion/opedcolumnists/the_eurabia_myth_opedcolumnists_ralph_peters.htm The 'Eurabia' Myth]'', [[New York Post]], 2006-11-26</ref>