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! data-sort-type="number" style="height:1px; background:{{party color|Nonpartisan Local Government Activists}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="height:1px; background:{{party color|Nonpartisan Local Government Activists}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="height:1px; background:{{party color|There is One Poland}};" |
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| [https://twitter.com/opinia24/status/1755617771873034420 Opinia24]
| data-sort-value="2024-02-07" | 06–207 Feb
| 1,001
| 24.0
| style="background:#FDDCB8;" | '''31.0'''
| colspan="2" | 16.8
| 9.1
| 8.7
| 1.5
| 2.2
| 1.1
| 5.7
| style="background:{{party color|Civic Platform}}; color:black;" | '''7'''
|-
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| [https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/ko-niemal-remisuje-z-pis-najnowszy-sondaz-6990046271532000a United Surveys / WP.pl]
| [https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/ko-niemal-remisuje-z-pis-najnowszy-sondaz-6990046271532000a United Surveys / WP.pl]

Revision as of 16:15, 8 February 2024

In the run up to the next Polish parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 15 October 2023, to the day of the next election.

To be represented in parliament electoral committees which are registered as political parties must reach an electoral threshold of 5% and those registered as coalitions must reach 8%.[1]

Graphical summary

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

2024

For events during the year, see 2024 in Poland.
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		United Right Civic Coalition Third Way The Left Confederation Nonpartisan Local Government Activists There is One Poland Others Don't know Lead
Polish Coalition Poland 2050
Opinia24 06–207 Feb 1,001 24.0 31.0 16.8 9.1 8.7 1.5 2.2 1.1 5.7 7
United Surveys / WP.pl 26–28 Jan 1,000 28.3 28.2 18.9 9.6 7.6 1.0 6.4 0.1
CBOS 22–26 Jan 1,000 24 29 14 9 11 5 9 5
Research Partner 19–22 Jan 1,119 30.3 30.1 13.5 10.1 6.7 2.2 1.1 6.0 0.2
Pollster / "SE.pl" 13–14 Jan 1,048 32.78 31.69 16.79 7.85 7.89 1.28 1.50 0.22 1.09
United Surveys / "WP.pl" 12–14 Jan 1,000 28.4 27.5 16.9 10.4 6.8 1.5 8.5 0.9
IBRiS / "Rz" 12–13 Jan 1,067 33.9 30.2 16.9 9.3 6.3 0.5 2.9 3.7
CBOS 8–12 Jan 1,000 29 29 10 7 10 4 12 Tie
Opinia24 8–9 Jan 1,002 26.3 24.3 17.3 9.4 10.9 1.7 0.9 0.3 8.9 2.0
IBRiS / Onet 5–8 Jan 1,000 34.2 32.0 14.1 8.8 5.0 0.9 5.0 2.2

2023

For events during the year, see 2023 in Poland.
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		United Right Civic Coalition Third Way The Left Confederation Nonpartisan Local Government Activists There is One Poland Others Don't know Lead
Polish Coalition Poland 2050
Pollster / SE.pl 17 Dec 1,033 33.15 31.28 16.95 8.37 6.73 1.46 1.74 0.32 1.87
United Surveys / WP.pl 15–17 Dec 1,000 33.0 28.4 19.1 8.7 7.7 0.8 2.3 4.6
CBOS 2–8 Dec 1,000 30 25 13 9 9 3 12 5
IPSOS / More in Common Polska 1–8 Dec 1,507 31 26 15 10 7 3 5 5
Opinia24 5–6 Dec 29.2 24.7 17.3 8.0 8.0 1.7 1.2 0.3 9.6 4.5
United Surveys / WP.pl 1–3 Dec 1,000 35.2 28.8 16.0 10.0 7.7 2.3 6.4
IBRiS / "Rz" 1–2 Dec 1,071 31.5 27.0 7.3 10.3 9.3 9.0 1.8 3.8 4.5
CBOS 20–24 Nov 821 29 24 13 8 8 5 13 5
United Surveys / WP.pl 17–19 Nov 1,000 31.3 26.7 14.4 10.4 9.1 2.2 5.9 4.6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 10–13 Nov 1,081 33 32 14 9 9 2 1 1
Pollster / SE.pl 7–8 Nov 1,014 35.34 30.77 16.68 6.90 7.01 1.36 1.75 0.19 4.57
United Surveys / WP.pl 3–5 Nov 1,000 33.2 30.4 16.1 8.5 6.0 0.3 5.5 2.8
IBRiS / "Rz" 3–5 Nov 1,071 32.6 29.2 7.8 7.6 9.1 7.0 1.1 5.6 3.4
United Surveys / WP.pl 20–22 Oct 1,000 32.8 29.9 18.7 5.4 6.5 3.5 3.2 2.9
Parliamentary election [2] 15 Oct 21,596,674[2][a] 35.38 30.70 14.40 8.61 7.16 1.86 1.63 0.22 4.68

Seat projection

231 seats are needed for a Sejm majority, while 276 seats are needed for a three-fifths Sejm supermajority to override presidential vetoes.

Polling Firm/Link Fieldwork
Period 		Sample Size United Right Civic Coalition Third Way The Left Confederation Others Majority KO+L+TD
Polish Coalition Poland 2050
IBRiS / "Rz" 12–13 Jan 2024 1,000 177 155 78 34 16 0 Hung 37
IBRiS / Onet 5–8 Jan 2024 1,000 194 166 67 29 4 0 Hung 32
Parliamentary election[2] 15 Oct 2023 21,596,674 [2][a] 194 157 65 26 18 0 Hung 18

Government approval ratings

President Andrzej Duda

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling firm/Link Sample size Approve Disapprove Don't know Net approval
11–21 Jan 2024 CBOS 1,015 46 42 4
11–21 Jan 2023 CBOS 1,015 43 49 8 –6

October 15 Coalition government

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling firm/Link Sample size Approve Disapprove Neither Don't know Net approval Notes
12–14 Jan 2023 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,000 54.5 40.3 5.2 14.2 Tusk's government
12–13 Jan 2023 IBRIS / RZ 1,067 56.3 36.9 6.8 19.4 Tusk's government

Notes

  1. ^ a b Turnout: 74,38%

References

  1. ^ "Sejm of the Republic of Poland". www.sejm.gov.pl. Retrieved 2023-10-25.
  2. ^ a b c d "Wybory do Sejmu i Senatu Rzeczypospolitej Polskiej w 2023 r." wybory.gov.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 2023-10-25.
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