Opinion polling for the 2023 Turkish presidential election

In the run up to the Turkish general election scheduled to take place in 2023, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Turkey. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. These polls only include Turkish voters nationwide and do not take into account Turkish expatriates voting abroad. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 24 June 2018, to the present day.

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

First round

Graphical summary

2023

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size														Others	Lead
Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Erdoğan AKP	İmamoğlu CHP	Yavaş CHP	Kılıçdaroğlu CHP	Demirtaş HDP	Beştaş HDP	Buldan HDP	Akşener İYİ	Karamollaoğlu SAADET	Bahçeli MHP	Babacan DEVA	Davutoğlu GP	İnce MP	Others	Lead
23–27 Feb	Areda	3,000	49.8	6.9	9.6	21.7	6.0	–	–	2.6	0.4	–	0.8	0.2	0.8	1.2	28.1

2022

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size														Others	Lead
Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Erdoğan AKP	İmamoğlu CHP	Yavaş CHP	Kılıçdaroğlu CHP	Demirtaş HDP	Beştaş HDP	Buldan HDP	Akşener İYİ	Karamollaoğlu SAADET	Bahçeli MHP	Babacan DEVA	Davutoğlu GP	İnce MP	Others	Lead
12–15 Aug	Optimar	2,000	36.48	3.73	14.67	14.57	9.52	–	–	7.62	–	8.30	–	–	–	5.11	22.81
11–14 Jul	Optimar	3,481	30.1	4.6	12.5	11	8.2	–	–	6.4	–	–	–	–	–	–	17.6
13–24 Jun	SONAR	3.100	40.2	10.1	17.8	4.3	4.6	–	–	10.4	–	2.2	1.7	–	2.1	6.6	22.4
12–15 May	Optimar	2.519	36.1	8.4	11.9	11.9	4.7	–	–	3.2	–	–	–	–	–	–	24.2
6–12 May	SONAR	2.840	39.2	12.5	15.7	3.9	4.7	8.0	2.8	1.9	–	–	2.7	8.6	–	–	23,5
23–28 Apr	Optimar	1.847	33.1	9.1	13.0	12.0	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	20,1
Apr	MetroPOLL	–	40.1	–	–	30.2	15.2	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	9,9
Apr	ALF	–	33.7	16.6	22.2	4.3	8.3	7.2	–	–	–	–	2.1	5.6	–	–	11,5
10–16 Mar	Optimar	2.002	33.8	10.7	9.9	11.5	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	22.3
24–31 Jan	AKAM	1.860	28.5	–	–	30.3	10.2	–	–	11.0	4.9	7.9	2.4	–	2.7	–	1.8
7–13 Jan	İEA	1.500	44	–	–	–	15.2	–	–	40.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	2.2

2021

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size														Others	Lead
Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Erdoğan AKP	İmamoğlu CHP	Yavaş CHP	Kılıçdaroğlu CHP	Demirtaş HDP	Beştaş HDP	Buldan HDP	Akşener İYİ	Karamollaoğlu SAADET	Bahçeli MHP	Babacan DEVA	Davutoğlu GP	İnce MP	Others	Lead
30 Nov–5 Dec	Yöneylem	2,002	43.5	–	–	40.8	15.8	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	2.7
13–20 Nov	Optimar	2,507	26.0	8.5	14.2	5.0	8.7	–	–	6.4	–	4.3	–	–	–	–	11.8
11–14 Nov	ASAL	1,712	43.3	11.3	10.6	6.0	10.1	–	–	7.7	–	3.7	2.4	0.7	1.5	2.7	32.0
27 Oct–3 Nov	Yöneylem	2,000	44.8	–	–	40.0	15.2	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	4.8
Oct	ADA	2,423	38.8	–	–	19.0	–	–	6.1	17.1	1.0	7.8	2.7	1.4	2.4	3.7	19.8
Oct	SAROS	1,854	43.4	12.1	11.4	6.1	11.0	–	–	8.0	–	3.6	3.0	0.5	0.7	0.2	31.3
24–30 Sep	Yöneylem	2,400	47.8	–	–	36.3	15.9	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	11.5
19–27 Sep	Optimar	1,938	45.6	8.1	15.8	10.1	9.1	–	–	9.4	–	0.5	0.3	0.1	–	1.2	29.8
10–22 Sep	Sosyo Politik	2,000	48.2	7.6	5.8	19.0	8.4	–	–	6.8	–	–	2.1	1.4	0.7	–	29.2
20–27 Aug	Yöneylem	3,040	45.9	–	–	38.2	15.9	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	7.7
Aug	Optimar	N/A	46.3	8.2	18.5	7.3	6.3	–	–	5.3	0.1	3.2	1.6	0.1	0.9	2.1	27.8
10–13 Jul	Optimar	1,726	45.1	8.9	15.9	8.3	5.9	–	–	6.4	0.5	4.1	0.9	0.3	0.4	3.3	29.2
21–28 Jun	Sosyo Politik	1,008	37.5	14.2	7.6	18.3	9.8	–	–	8.4	–	–	3.1	–	1.1	–	19.2
5–30 May	Sandık Analiz	4,477	42.7	31.2	–	–	–	6.4	–	11.4	–	–	3.3	–	3.9	1.1	11.5
22–24 May	Optimar	1,836	36.7	7.7	13.8	6.5	8.2	–	–	8.0	–	–	–	–	–	–	22.9
22–30 Apr	Optimar	2,027	38.6	9.6	15.7	4.1	–	–	–	6.0	–	–	–	–	–	–	22.9
9–30 Apr	Sandık Analiz	2,427	41.0	31.3	–	–	–	6.2	–	9.7	–	–	4.0	–	5.5	2.3	9.7
7–24 Mar	Sandık Analiz	4,039	41.3	30.7	–	–	–	5.9	–	10.4	–	–	4.0	1.0	5.1	1.4	10.6
Mar	SAROS	3,042	38.6	14.6	2.9	3.9	13.2	–	–	9.7	–	11.3	1.9	1.8	1.4	0.7	24.0
28 Feb – 5 Mar	Optimar	2,207	32.5	6.2	8.0	1.6	–	–	–	5.2	–	–	–	–	4.2	–	24.5
Feb	Sandık Analiz	9,771	43.9	–	34.7	–	–	6.9	–	6.6	–	–	2.6	–	3.9	1.4	13.9
10 Jan – 4 Feb	SONAR	3,200	45.9	14.6	9.8	2.3	5.2	–	–	8.8	–	7.1	–	–	–	6.3	31.3
20–26 Jan	ADA	3,245	48.2	–	–	12.6	7.4	–	–	13.7	1.0	–	4.0	2.4	3.3	7.3	34.5
Jan	SAROS	3,034	37.6	9.6	3.8	7.3	17.1	–	–	9.3	0.9	10.0	1.5	1.6	1.2	0.2	20.5
Jan	Sandık Analiz	7,296	43.8	29.9	–	–	–	7.2	–	9.6	0.6	–	3.7	0.9	3.9	0.4	13.9

2020

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size													Others	Lead
Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Erdoğan AKP	İmamoğlu CHP	Yavaş CHP	Kılıçdaroğlu CHP	Demirtaş HDP	Beştaş HDP	Akşener İYİ	Karamollaoğlu SAADET	Bahçeli MHP	Babacan DEVA	Davutoğlu GP	İnce MP	Others	Lead
Dec	TEAM	9,281	43.2	16.2	6.2	2.8	9.6	–	8.3	–	4.8	1.6	1.0	3.9	2.4	27.0
Dec	Sandık Analiz	3,809	44.0	31.2	–	–	–	7.5	10.6	0.6	–	4.1	1.1	–	0.9	12.8
3–9 Dec	Optimar	2,253	33.8	4.7	6.6	4.5	–	–	5.1	–	–	–	–	–	–	27.2
11 Nov – 4 Dec	Kadir Has University	1,000	47.8	9.6	6.1	10.8	11.1	–	10.3	–	–	–	–	–	4.3	36.7
Nov	SAROS	3,092	34.1	13.1	4.1	7.0	12.2	–	7.5	–	10.3	9.9	0.7	0.6	0.6	21.0
26–30 Oct	Optimar	2,147	36.4	8.3	8.6	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	27.8
Aug	SONAR	2,850	50.5	11.1	7.7	–	7.8	–	8.8	–	–	–	–	8.3	5.8	39.4
3–5 Aug	ADA	1,750	43.2	13.8	14.3	1.2	5.7	–	6.8	0.9	4.2	3.4	1.7	3.7	1.1	28.9
10–14 Jul	Optimar	2,047	38.4	7.0	4.0	–	4.7	–	5.6	–	–	–	–	–	–	31.4
Jun	SAROS	3,017	41.4	15.0	4.7	9.9	9.2	–	8.8	0.2	8.1	0.7	1.4	–	0.6	26.4
May	AR–G	1,258	42.1	19.6	12.8	1.0	5.6	–	6.1	0.9	3.2	4.1	1.8	2.2	0.6	22.5
20 Apr – 8 May	Optimar	2,307	48.2	13.5	7.3	–	8.5	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	34.7
9 Mar - 2 Apr	Konsensus	1,500	49.9	17.7	5.6	–	6.8	–	5.5	–	–	–	–	–	–	32.2
2–6 Mar	ADA	1,366	44.3	25.5	2.9	1.3	6.6	–	6.2	1.3	4.9	3.2	1.3	1.4	1.1	18.8
24 Feb	Polimetre^{[nb 1]}	N/A	38.5	35.1			9.3	–	8.1	–	–	–	–	–	9.0	3.4
2–9 Jan	Artibir	1,500	49.5	37.7	–	–	9.4	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	3.4	11.8

2018–2019

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size												Others	Lead
Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Erdoğan AKP	İmamoğlu CHP	Yavaş CHP	Kılıçdaroğlu CHP	Demirtaş HDP	Akşener İYİ	Karamollaoğlu SAADET	Bahçeli MHP	Babacan DEVA	Davutoğlu GP	İnce MP	Others	Lead
13–15 Dec	Public Status	4,150	53.0	27.7	–	–	8.5	6.8	1.1	–	0.9	0.2	1.2	1.0	25.3
21−28 Oct	ADA	1,700	45.1	26.6	–	1.1	4.2	6.1	1.4	5.3	3.8	2.1	1.6	2.8	18.1
19–30 Aug	ADA	1,721	39.1	28.6	–	0.5	8.0	6.8	–	6.5	4.2	2.3	2.0	2.0	10.5
2–7 Aug	SAROS	3,012	45.0	19.2	–	–	15.3	12.8	–	–	0.7	–	4.9	2.1	25.8
2019
Jul	ORC	N/A	56.7^{[nb 2]}	27.7^{[nb 3]}			8.4	6.5	0.5	–	—			0.2	29.0
24 Jun 2018	2018 presidential election	51,188,524	52.6^{[nb 2]}	30.6^{[nb 3]}			8.4	7.3	0.9	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.2	20.0

Second round

Erdoğan vs. İmamoğlu

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size			Undecided	Lead
Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Erdoğan AKP	İmamoğlu CHP	Undecided	Lead
Jul	Bupar	–	30.5	43.9	25.6	13.4
12-15 May	Yöneylem	2.400	36.0	46.5	17.7	10.5
27 Apr-3 May	AKAM	2.460	38.8	53.7	7.5	14.9
14–20 Apr	MetroPOLL	2.164	40.0	49.7	9.8	9.7
1–4 APR	Sosyo Politik	2.010	36.7	42.5	20.8	5.8
24–29 Mar	AKAM	2.490	42.2	52.1	5.7	9.9
3–6 Mar	Yöneylem	2.488	37.6	49.6	12.8	12
24–31 Jan	AKAM	1.860	38	62	–	24
9–14 Jan	AKAM	1.260	38.1	59.1	2.1	21
2022
23–27 Dec	AKAM	2,460	39.1	58.4	–	19.3
14–15 Dec	AKAM	1,260	31	54.7	14.3	23.7
13–20 Nov	Optimar	2,507	41.3	34.2	24.5	7.1
11–17 Nov	AKAM	1,260	33.6	49.5	16.9	15.9
27 Oct – 3 Nov	Yöneylem	2,000	42.0	58.0	–	16.0
9–14 Oct	AKAM	1,500	42.3	57.7	–	15.4
Oct	SAROS	1,854	47.3	41.3	11.3	6.0
19–27 Sep	Optimar	1,938	42.6	38.0	19.5	4.6
21–28 Aug	AKAM	2,460	40.5	59.5	–	19.0
Aug	Yöneylem	3,040	37.8	48.5	13.6	10.7
11–14 Aug	AKAM	N/A	41.1	58.9	–	17.8
Aug	Optimar	N/A	46.3	36.4	17.3	9.9
26–30 Jul	Yöneylem	3,040	39.2	48.5	12.3	9.3
10–13 Jul	Optimar	1,726	48.1	37.8	14.1	10.3
25–29 Jun	Yöneylem	3,848	40.6	46.1	13.3	5.5
21−29 Jun	Artıbir	1,500	44.2	46.1	9.7	1.9
23−28 Jun	AKAM	2,460	37.8	50.2	12.0	14.4
8–13 Jun	AKAM	2,460	34.7	49.6	15.7	14.9
5–30 May	Sandık Analiz	4,477	43.1	56.9	–	13.8
21–25 May	Yöneylem	3,140	40.4	48.5	11.1	8.1
22–24 May	Optimar	1,836	44.9	41.8	13.3	3.1
6–9 May	İEA	1,506	39.9	51.4	8.7	11.5
27–30 Apr	Yöneylem	3,605	40.3	42.9	16.8	2.6
Apr	AKAM	N/A	32.1	48.0	19.9	15.9
26–30 Apr	Aksoy	1,067	36.0	45.5	18.6	9.5
9–30 Apr	Sandık Analiz	2,427	44.2	55.8	–	11.6
16–21 Apr	Metropoll	1,752	38.8	49.7	11.5	10.9
11–14 Apr	AKAM	1,460	30.5	48.6	20.9	18.1
Mar	Aksoy	N/A	37.0	45.1	17.9	8.1
Mar	SAROS	3,042	45.2	44.2	10.6	1.0
29–31 Mar	Yöneylem	3,140	42.8	42.6	14.5	0.2
26–31 Mar	AKAM	2,460	33.6	47.6	18.8	14.0
7–24 Mar	Sandık Analiz	N/A	44.4	55.6	–	11.2
7–12 Mar	AKAM	1,480	35.2	47.0	17.8	11.8
28 Feb – 5 Mar	Optimar	2,207	42.5	34.6	22.9	7.9
Feb	Sandık Analiz	9,804	45.7	54.3	–	8.6
Feb	Yöneylem	N/A	41.9	40.8	17.3	1.1
Feb	Aksoy	2,400	37.3	45.3	17.4	8.0
18–25 Feb	AKAM	2,184	34.3	46.2	19.5	11.9
19–22 Feb	Metropoll	1,604	44.3	43.7	12.1	0.6
Jan	Sandık Analiz	9,738	44.3	55.7	–	11.4
Jan	SAROS	3,034	42.9	37.8	19.3	5.1
Jan	Aksoy	2,400	37.7	44.1	18.2	6.4
15–30 Jan	Yöneylem	5,292	38.8	40.1	20.7	1.3
12–20 Jan	Optimar	2,089	43.9	35.2	20.8	8.7
6–10 Jan	AKAM	1,460	37.2	42.1	20.7	4.9
4–9 Jan	Artıbir	1,500	43.2	41.2	15.6	2.0
2021
Dec	Sandık Analiz	3,809	47.7	52.3	–	4.6
Dec	Aksoy	2,400	37.0	43.3	19.7	6.3
19–23 Dec	MetroPoll	1,791	41.5	41.2	17.3	0.3
21 Nov – 9 Dec	Konsensus	1,500	53.7	46.3	–	7.4
Nov	SAROS	3,092	42.5	36.2	21.3	6.3
21–26 Nov	AKAM	2,460	41.5	43.1	15.4	1.6
Oct	Aksoy	2,400	40.6	44.0	15.4	3.4
19–24 Oct	AKAM	2,460	41.1	42.3	16.6	1.2
21–25 Sep	AKAM	2,460	38.7	41.9	19.4	3.2
Aug	MetroPoll	N/A	46.5	43.5	10.0	3.0
22–27 Aug	AKAM	2,460	40.8	43.7	15.5	2.9
10–12 Aug	Optimar	2,121	45.1	36.8	18.1	8.3
5–6 Aug	Aksoy	1,067	37.1	38.7	24.2	1.6
18–26 Jul	Artıbir	1,500	39.0	33.1	27.9	5.9
20–23 May	AKAM	2,460	40.4	45.5	14.1	5.1
20 Apr – 8 May	Optimar	2,307	44.7	34.7	20.6	10.0
20–29 Apr	Yöneylem	2,409	40.8	37.0	22.2	3.8
18–25 Mar	Yöneylem	2,605	42.1	44.9	13.0	2.8
20 Feb – 2 Mar	Artıbir	1,500	42.9	39.6	17.5	3.3
28 Jan – 4 Feb	Artıbir	1,500	43.2	38.3	18.5	4.9
10–24 Jan	Yöneylem	2,507	39.1	41.4	19.6	2.3
2020
28–31 Dec	ORC	2,980	50.9	34.2	14.9	16.7
19–24 Nov	PIAR	2,416	39.7	44.5	15.8	4.8
2–7 Aug	SAROS	3,012	40.7	36.9	22.4	3.8
2019

Erdoğan vs. Yavaş

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size			Undecided	Lead
Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Erdoğan AKP	Yavaş CHP	Undecided	Lead
Jul	Bupar	–	30.0	47.4	22.6	17.4
27 Apr-3 May	AKAM	2.460	38.4	52.0	9.6	13.6
14–20 Apr	MetroPOLL	2.164	36.5	53.9	9.0	17.4
1–4 Ap	Sosyo Politik	2.010	32.5	34.0	33.4	0.6
24–29 Mar	AKAM	2.490	39.7	55.5	4.8	15.8
F	AR-G	–	42.0	56.0	2.0	14
24–31 Jan	AKAM	1.860	36	64	–	28
9–14 Jan	AKAM	1.260	35.4	61.5	3.1	26.1
2022
23–27 Dec	AKAM	2,460	35.2	61.5	–	26.3
14–15 Dec	AKAM	1,260	30.1	54.2	15.7	24.1
13–20 Nov	Optimar	2,507	41.3	39.3	19.4	2
11–17 Nov	AKAM	1,260	32.8	49.2	18.0	16.4
27 Oct – 3 Nov	Yöneylem	2,000	38.0	62.0	–	24.0
9–14 Oct	AKAM	1,500	43.1	56.9	–	13.8
Oct	SAROS	1,854	47.9	38.8	13.3	9.1
19–27 Sep	Optimar	1,938	42.3	39.3	18.5	3.0
21–28 Aug	AKAM	2,460	41.9	58.1	–	16.2
Aug	Yöneylem	3,040	34.8	53.8	11.3	19.0
11–14 Aug	AKAM	N/A	42.6	57.4	–	14.8
Aug	Optimar	N/A	46.5	41.8	11.5	4.7
26–30 Jul	Yöneylem	3,040	36.6	52.8	10.6	16.2
10–13 Jul	Optimar	1,726	46.8	39.3	13.9	7.5
25–29 Jun	Yöneylem	3,848	38.4	49.3	12.4	10.9
21–29 Jun	Artıbir	1,500	42.7	45.8	11.5	3.1
23–28 Jun	AKAM	2,460	37.0	49.4	13.6	12.4
8–13 Jun	AKAM	2,460	32.0	48.2	19.8	16.2
5–30 May	Sandık Analiz	4,477	39.2	60.8	–	21.6
21–25 May	Yöneylem	3,140	38.8	50.7	10.5	11.9
22–24 May	Optimar	1,836	44.1	42.0	13.9	2.1
6–9 May	İEA	1,506	38.1	52.5	9.4	14.4
27–30 Apr	Yöneylem	3,605	38.9	46.5	14.5	7.6
Apr	AKAM	N/A	30.9	47.5	21.6	16.6
26–30 Apr	Aksoy	1,067	35.7	47.9	16.4	12.2
9–30 Apr	Sandık Analiz	2,427	38.9	61.1	–	22.2
16–21 Apr	Metropoll	1,752	37.5	49.4	13.1	11.9
11–14 Apr	AKAM	1,460	30.5	48.0	21.5	17.5
Mar	Aksoy	N/A	37.0	47.8	15.2	10.8
Mar	SAROS	3,042	45.2	41.0	13.8	4.2
29–31 Mar	Yöneylem	3,140	41.3	45.5	13.2	4.2
26–31 Mar	AKAM	2,460	33.8	47.7	18.5	13.9
7–24 Mar	Sandık Analiz	N/A	42.9	57.1	–	14.2
7–12 Mar	AKAM	1,480	34.3	47.1	18.6	12.8
28 Feb – 5 Mar	Optimar	2,207	41.2	36.7	22.1	4.5
Feb	Sandık Analiz	9,804	44.5	55.5	–	11.0
Feb	Yöneylem	N/A	40.1	43.0	16.9	2.9
Feb	Aksoy	2,400	37.0	47.5	15.5	10.5
18–25 Feb	AKAM	2,184	34.7	48.6	16.7	13.9
19–22 Feb	Metropoll	1,604	44.6	44.4	11.1	0.2
Jan	Sandık Analiz	9,746	43.6	56.4	–	12.8
Jan	SAROS	3,034	41.9	30.9	27.1	11.0
Jan	Aksoy	2,400	37.7	48.5	13.8	10.8
15–30 Jan	Yöneylem	5,292	38.4	38.4	22.9	0.0
12–20 Jan	Optimar	2,089	43.1	31.8	25.0	11.9
6–10 Jan	AKAM	1,460	36.9	42.7	20.4	5.8
2021
Dec	Sandık Analiz	3,809	46.7	53.3	–	6.6
Dec	Aksoy	2,400	35.4	48.7	15.8	13.3
19–23 Dec	MetroPoll	1,791	40.7	43.9	15.4	3.2
21 Nov – 9 Dec	Konsensus	1,500	55.2	44.8	–	10.4
Nov	Sandık Analiz	N/A	48.9	51.1	–	1.2
Nov	SAROS	3,092	42.8	31.9	25.2	10.9
21–26 Nov	AKAM	2,460	41.1	42.2	16.7	1.1
2–12 Nov	Artıbir	1,500	43.6	38.9	17.5	4.7
Oct	Aksoy	2,400	39.5	49.0	11.5	9.5
19–24 Oct	AKAM	2,460	39.8	40.4	19.8	0.6
21–25 Sep	AKAM	2,460	38.0	37.6	24.4	0.4
Aug	MetroPoll	N/A	45.5	43.0	11.6	2.5
22–27 Aug	AKAM	2,460	40.4	41.1	18.5	0.7
10–12 Aug	Optimar	2,121	44.5	36.7	18.8	7.8
5–6 Aug	Aksoy	1,067	39.2	40.4	20.4	1.2
18–26 Jul	Artıbir	1,500	49.7	30.5	19.8	19.2
20–23 May	AKAM	2,460	39.9	39.7	20.4	0.2
20 Apr – 8 May	Optimar	2,307	43.0	36.1	20.9	6.9
20–29 Apr	Yöneylem	2,409	39.9	36.9	23.3	3.0
10–24 Jan	Yöneylem	2,507	39.5	32.6	27.8	6.9
2020

Erdoğan vs. Kılıçdaroğlu

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size			Undecided	Lead
Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Erdoğan AKP	Kılıçdaroğlu CHP	Undecided	Lead
July	Bupar	–	31.2	43.4	25.4	12.2
12-15 May	Yöneylem	2.400	36.5	44.9	18.7	8.4
27 Apr-3 May	AKAM	2.460	40.2	51.3	8.5	11,1
14–20 Apr	MetroPOLL	2.164	42.5	43.3	13.5	0.8
1–4 Apr	Sosyo Politik	2.010	38.1	40.5	21.4	2.4
24–29 Mar	AKAM	2.490	41.9	46.8	11.3	4.9
3–6 Mar	Yöneylem	2.488	38.6	40.1	21.3	1.5
Feb	GEZİCİ	–	47.4	52.6	–	5.2
24–31 Jan	AKAM	1.860	40	60	–	20
9–14 Jan	AKAM	1.260	42.0	53.9	4.1	11.9
2022
23–27 Dec	AKAM	2,460	40.5	53.9	–	13.4
14–15 Dec	AKAM	1,260	32.1	50.6	17.3	18.5
13–20 Nov	Optimar	2,507	35.4	33.9	30.6	1.5
11–17 Nov	AKAM	1,260	34.1	47.9	18.0	13.8
27 Oct – 3 Nov	Yöneylem	2,000	46.5	53.5	–	7.0
9–14 Oct	AKAM	1,500	47.1	52.9	–	5.8
Oct	SAROS	1,854	47.9	37.9	14.1	10.0
19–27 Sep	Optimar	1,938	41.2	34.7	24.1	6.5
21–28 Aug	AKAM	2,460	45.8	54.2	–	8.4
Aug	Yöneylem	3,040	38.6	42.9	18.6	4.3
11–14 Aug	AKAM	N/A	46.1	53.9	–	7.8
Aug	Optimar	N/A	47.4	31.8	20.9	15.6
26–30 Jul	Yöneylem	3,040	40.6	41.0	18.4	0.4
10–13 Jul	Optimar	1,726	49.2	30.8	20.0	18.4
25–29 Jun	Yöneylem	3,848	43.4	38.7	17.9	4.7
23–28 Jun	AKAM	2,460	39.1	44.0	16.9	4.9
8–13 Jun	AKAM	2,460	35.2	41.8	23.0	6.6
May	Gezici	2,280	43.1	44.8	12.1	1.7
21–25 May	Yöneylem	3,140	44.8	40.4	14.9	4.4
22–24 May	Optimar	1,836	46.7	35.5	17.8	11.2
6–9 May	İEA	1,506	44.2	39.4	16.4	4.8
27–30 Apr	Yöneylem	3,605	45.5	32.4	22.3	13.1
26–30 Apr	Aksoy	1,067	37.2	32.5	30.3	4.7
16–21 Apr	Metropoll	1,752	42.5	39.7	17.8	2.8
Mar	Aksoy	N/A	39.6	29.9	30.5	9.7
Mar	SAROS	3,042	45.1	39.9	15.0	5.2
29–31 Mar	Yöneylem	3,140	47.3	31.9	20.9	15.4
28 Feb – 5 Mar	Optimar	2,207	44.7	27.0	28.3	17.7
Feb	Aksoy	2,400	38.9	31.4	29.7	7.5
Jan	SAROS	3,034	42.2	23.7	34.1	18.5
Jan	Aksoy	2,400	40.0	29.2	30.7	10.8
15–30 Jan	Yöneylem	5,292	41.0	29.0	29.6	12.0
20–26 Jan	ADA	3,245	52.8	27.8	19.4	25.0
12–20 Jan	Optimar	2,089	45.8	27.2	27.0	18.6
6–10 Jan	AKAM	1,460	37.4	35.9	26.7	1.5
2021
Dec	Aksoy	2,400	39.0	29.7	31.3	9.3
19–23 Dec	MetroPoll	1,791	45.2	27.8	27.0	17.4
3–9 Dec	Optimar	2,253	47.8	42.2	10.0	5.6
Nov	SAROS	3,092	42.5	32.0	25.4	10.5
21–26 Nov	AKAM	2,460	41.0	38.9	20.1	2.1
Oct	Aksoy	2,400	40.6	31.3	28.1	9.3
19–24 Oct	AKAM	2,460	41.2	38.5	20.3	2.7
21–25 Sep	AKAM	2,460	38.5	38.1	23.4	0.4
22–27 Aug	AKAM	2,460	41.4	40.6	18.0	0.8
May	ORC	2,316	54.1	36.4	9.5	17.7
2020
28–31 Dec	ORC	2,980	53.7	31.7	14.6	22.0
2019

Erdoğan vs. Akşener

2022

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size			Undecided	Lead
Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Erdoğan AKP	Akşener İYİ	Undecided	Lead
July	Bupar	–	30.1	37.3	32.6	7.2
14–20 Apr	MetroPOLL	2.164	41.9	43.8	13,7	1.9
1–4 Apr	Sosyo Politik	2.010	34.5	28.7	36.8	2.3

2021

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size			Undecided	Lead
Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Erdoğan AKP	Akşener İYİ	Undecided	Lead
Oct	SAROS	1,854	48.0	37.1	14.8	10.9
21–28 Aug	AKAM	2,460	46.0	54.0	–	8.0
Aug	Yöneylem	3,040	37.2	45.6	17.2	8.4
11–14 Aug	AKAM	N/A	46.8	53.2	–	6.4
26–30 Jul	Yöneylem	3,040	40.1	44.2	15.7	4.1
25–29 Jun	Yöneylem	3,848	41.2	41.6	17.2	0.4
23–28 Jun	AKAM	2,460	39.8	42.3	17.9	2.5
8–13 Jun	AKAM	2,460	34.1	38.9	27.0	4.8
21–25 May	Yöneylem	3,140	42.2	43.0	14.8	0.8
22–24 May	Optimar	1,836	43.8	30.0	26.2	13.8
6–9 May	İEA	1,506	39.1	45.4	15.5	6.3
27–30 Apr	Yöneylem	3,605	42.6	38.1	19.3	4.5
26–30 Apr	Aksoy	1,067	37.4	37.5	25.1	0.1
16–21 Apr	Metropoll	1,752	38.5	42.5	19.0	4.0
Mar	Aksoy	N/A	39.5	38.0	22.5	1.5
Mar	SAROS	3,042	45.1	34.0	20.8	11.1
29–31 Mar	Yöneylem	3,140	44.4	36.4	19.2	8.0
7–24 Mar	Sandık Analiz	4,039	49.1	50.9	–	1.8
28 Feb – 5 Mar	Optimar	2,207	43.6	27.0	29.5	16.6
Feb	Sandık Analiz	9,804	50.3	49.7	–	0.6
Feb	Yöneylem	N/A	43.9	34.2	21.9	9.7
Feb	Aksoy	2,400	40.2	35.8	24.0	4.4
Jan	Sandık Analiz	9,733	49.5	50.5	–	1.0
Jan	SAROS	3,034	42.0	27.0	30.9	15.0
Jan	Aksoy	2,400	40.6	38.1	21.3	2.5
15–30 Jan	Yöneylem	5,292	40.1	32.1	27.4	8.0
20–26 Jan	ADA	3,245	48.3	37.6	14.1	10.7
12–20 Jan	Optimar	2,089	43.8	30.0	26.2	13.8
6–10 Jan	AKAM	1,460	37.1	36.4	26.5	0.7
2021
Dec	Aksoy	2,400	38.1	37.1	24.8	1.0
19–23 Dec	MetroPoll	1,791	42.9	30.2	26.9	12.7
21 Nov – 9 Dec	Konsensus	1,500	63.8	37.2	–	26.6
Nov	SAROS	3,092	42.6	19.7	37.7	22.9
21–26 Nov	AKAM	2,460	41.5	40.3	18.2	1.2
Oct	Aksoy	2,400	41.4	35.9	22.7	5.5
19–24 Oct	AKAM	2,460	40.6	38.1	21.3	2.5
21–25 Sep	AKAM	2,460	37.9	36.8	25.3	1.1
Aug	MetroPoll	N/A	46.8	38.3	14.9	8.5
22–27 Aug	AKAM	2,460	42.0	40.1	17.9	1.9
5–6 Aug	Aksoy	1,067	40.4	32.2	27.3	8.2
May	ORC	2,316	51.9	37.5	10.6	14.4
10–24 Jan	Yöneylem	2,507	40.8	30.1	29.1	10.7
2020
28–31 Dec	ORC	2,980	50.2	38.0	11.8	12.2
2019

Erdoğan vs. Babacan

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size			Undecided	Lead
Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Erdoğan AKP	Babacan DEVA	Undecided	Lead
1–4 April	Sosyo Politik	2.010	36.6	21.0	42.3	5.7
2022
23–27 Dec	AKAM	2,460	44.3	48.5	–	4.2
14–15 Dec	AKAM	1,260	32.8	46.5	21.5	13.7
11–17 Nov	AKAM	1,260	33.5	42.9	23.6	9.4
23–28 Oct	AKAM	2,460	34.6	42.0	23.4	7.4
9–14 Oct	AKAM	1,500	48.1	51.9	–	3.8
Oct	SAROS	1,854	48.9	18.7	32.5	30.2
23–28 Jun	AKAM	2,460	39.0	36.1	24.9	2.9
6–9 May	İEA	1,506	43.5	36.9	19.6	6.6
Mar	Aksoy	N/A	40.6	20.7	38.7	19.9
Mar	SAROS	3,042	45.2	19.6	35.1	25.6
28 Feb – 5 Mar	Optimar	2,207	43.2	17.4	39.4	25.8
Feb	Aksoy	2,400	40.1	20.4	39.5	19.7
Jan	SAROS	3,034	42.2	3.4	54.4	38.8
Jan	Aksoy	2,400	41.0	21.8	37.2	19.2
15–30 Jan	Yöneylem	5,292	40.3	21.9	37.5	18.4
20–26 Jan	ADA	3,245	51.9	25.9	22.2	26.0
12–20 Jan	Optimar	2,089	45.1	20.9	34.5	24.2
6–10 Jan	AKAM	1,460	37.2	34.3	28.5	2.9
2021
Dec	Aksoy	2,400	40.4	25.4	34.2	15.0
19–23 Dec	MetroPoll	1,791	43.6	21.4	35.0	22.2
Nov	SAROS	3,092	42.8	15.0	42.2	27.8
21–26 Nov	AKAM	2,460	40.1	37.9	22.0	2.2
Oct	Aksoy	2,400	42.1	25.2	32.7	16.9
19–24 Oct	AKAM	2,460	39.9	36.7	23.4	3.2
22–27 Aug	AKAM	2,460	41.9	35.2	22.9	6.7
5–6 Aug	Aksoy	1,067	39.9	14.6	45.5	25.3
18–25 Mar	Yöneylem	2,605	46.6	24.7	28.7	21.9
10–24 Jan	Yöneylem	2,507	37.0	26.1	36.9	10.9
2020
2–7 Aug	SAROS	3,012	38.7	6.1	55.2	32.6
2019

Erdoğan vs. İnce

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size			Undecided	Lead
Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Erdoğan AKP	İnce MP	Undecided	Lead
Feb	AR-G	–	52.0	11.0	37.0	15
2022
Oct	SAROS	1,854	49.8	27.0	23.2	22.8
19–27 Sep	Optimar	1,938	43.1	30.4	26.4	12.7
Aug	Optimar	N/A	49.9	29.4	20.7	20.5
10–13 Jul	Optimar	1,726	49.4	26.4	24.2	23.0
23–28 Jun	AKAM	2,460	41.0	34.2	24.8	6.8
Mar	Aksoy	N/A	41.8	20.9	37.3	20.9
Mar	SAROS	3,042	44.7	21.9	33.4	22.8
28 Feb – 5 Mar	Optimar	2,207	44.2	26.4	29.4	17.8
Feb	Yöneylem	N/A	45.1	25.2	29.7	19.9
Feb	Aksoy	2,400	39.6	22.2	38.2	17.4
Jan	SAROS	3,034	42.0	6.0	51.9	36.0
Jan	Aksoy	2,400	39.6	23.4	36.9	16.2
20–26 Jan	ADA	3,245	50.5	28.1	21.4	22.4
12–20 Jan	Optimar	2,089	45.0	28.6	26.4	16.4
6–10 Jan	AKAM	1,460	37.9	30.6	31.5	7.3
2021
Dec	Aksoy	2,400	40.2	24.6	35.2	15.6
19–23 Dec	MetroPoll	1,791	43.1	23.4	33.5	19.7
Nov	SAROS	3,092	42.3	10.3	47.4	32.0
Oct	Aksoy	2,400	41.4	29.2	29.4	12.2
19–24 Oct	AKAM	2,460	41.9	35.9	22.2	6.0
21–25 Sep	AKAM	2,460	38.7	35.1	26.2	3.6
Aug	MetroPoll	N/A	48.5	32.2	19.3	16.3
22–27 Aug	AKAM	2,460	42.7	35.9	21.4	6.8
10–12 Aug	Optimar	2,121	44.5	33.5	22.0	11.0
10–24 Jan	Yöneylem	2,507	43.1	32.6	24.3	10.5
2020
2–7 Aug	SAROS	3,012	40.6	26.7	32.7	13.9
2019

Erdoğan vs. Gül

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size			Undecided	Lead
Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Erdoğan AKP	Gül IND	Undecided	Lead
23–27 Dec	AKAM	2,460	54.7	38.0	–	16.7
Oct	SAROS	1,854	49.4	11.8	38.7	37.6
23–28 Jun	AKAM	2,460	39.9	34.5	25.6	5.4
Mar	Aksoy	N/A	39.5	16.3	44.2	23.2
Mar	SAROS	3,042	45.3	18.5	36.2	26.8
28 Feb – 5 Mar	Optimar	2,207	44.2	16.7	39.1	27.5
Feb	Aksoy	2,400	38.4	18.1	43.5	20.3
Jan	SAROS	3,034	41.9	4.0	54.1	37.9
Jan	Aksoy	2,400	40.1	17.2	42.6	22.9
12–20 Jan	Optimar	2,089	43.5	20.3	36.1	23.2
2021
Dec	Aksoy	2,400	38.5	16.9	44.6	21.6
21 Nov – 9 Dec	Konsensus	1,500	76.3	23.7	–	52.6
Nov	SAROS	3,092	42.6	10.5	46.9	32.1
21–26 Nov	AKAM	2,460	43.2	37.1	19.7	6.1
Oct	Aksoy	2,400	41.0	18.7	40.3	22.3
19–24 Oct	AKAM	2,460	40.7	34.5	24.8	6.2
21–25 Sep	AKAM	2,460	41.0	33.4	25.6	7.6
Aug	MetroPoll	N/A	49.6	22.5	27.9	27.1
22–27 Aug	AKAM	2,460	42.1	33.2	24.7	8.9
10–12 Aug	Optimar	2,121	44.3	21.3	34.4	23.0
5–6 Aug	Aksoy	1,067	40.2	15.4	44.4	24.8
May	ORC	2,316	57.4	25.1	17.5	32.3
20 Apr – 8 May	Optimar	2,307	46.7	20.4	32.9	26.3
10–18 Mar	Optimar	2,007	41.8	16.0	42.2	25.8
10–24 Jan	Yöneylem	2,507	37.0	25.2	37.8	11.8
2020
28–31 Dec	ORC	2,980	52.1	32.8	15.1	19.3
2019

Notes

^ Poll didn't present candidate names for AKP, CHP, HDP, İYİ; but presented parties.
^ ^a ^b With MHP.
^ ^a ^b With Muharrem İnce as the candidate.

[generic-achi-1] Poll didn't present candidate names for AKP, CHP, HDP, İYİ; but presented parties.

[erdogan2018pres-2] With MHP.

[ince2018pres-3] With Muharrem İnce as the candidate.

[nb 1]

[nb 2]

[nb 3]

v t e Elections and referendums in Turkey
Presidential elections	2014 2018 2023 2028
Parliamentary elections	1923 1927 1931 1935 1939 1943 1946 1950 1954 1957 1961 1965 1969 1973 1977 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2002 2007 2011 2015 (Jun) 2015 (Nov) 2018 2023
Local elections	1930 1934 1938 1942 1946 1950 1955 1963 1968 1973 1977 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014 2019 2024
Senate elections	1961 1964 1966 1968 1973 1975 1977 1979
Referendums	1961 1982 1987 1988 2007 2010 2017
See also: Elections in the Ottoman Empire