2014 United States Senate elections
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Class 2 (33 of the 100) seats in the United States Senate and two mid-term vacancies from Class 3 51 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||
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Senate Seats up for election:
* Two independents (VT, ME) caucus with the Democrats. | |||||||||||||||||||
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Elections for the United States Senate will be held on November 4, 2014, with 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections whose winners will serve six-year terms from January 3, 2015, until January 3, 2021. Additionally, special elections may be held to fill vacancies that occur during the 113th United States Congress.
The elections to the House of Representatives, elections for governors in states and territories, and many state and local elections will also be held on this date. The 2014 Senate elections will mark 100 years of direct elections of U.S. Senators.
Overview
After losing ground in the 2012 elections, an internal fight broke out among the Republican leadership in early 2013 over the best strategy and tactics for the 2014 Senate races.[1]
Summary
There are 53 Democratic, 45 Republican and 2 Independent senators. 33 are up for election this year as members of the class 2 Senators, and two are up for special elections (both from class 3). Among the seats up for election in 2014, currently, there are 21 held by Democrats and 14 held by Republicans.
There may be some changes if senators die or resign. If senators in other classes die or resign between 2012 and 2014, there may be additional special elections. The dates between which the death or resignation of a senator would lead to a special election during this time period vary from state to state.
Shading indicates party with largest share of that line.
Parties | Template:American politics/party colors/Democratic | | Template:American politics/party colors/Republican | | Template:American politics/party colors/Independent | | Unknown | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic | Republican | Independent | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Last election (2012) | 53 | 45 | 2 | — | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Before this election | 53 | 45 | 2 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Not Up | Total | 32 | 31 | 2 | — | 65 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Class 1 (2012→2018) | 23 | 8 | 2 | — | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Class 3 (2010→2016) | 9 | 23 | — | — | 32 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Up | Total | 21 | 14 | — | — | 35 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
General: Class 2 | 20 | 13 | — | 33 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Special: Class 3 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Incumbent retiring | 5 | 2 | — | — | 7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Incumbent running | 16 | 11 | — | — | 27 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Intent unknown | — | 1 | — | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Change in composition
Senate composition before the elections
I1 | I2 | D1 | D2 | D3 | D4 | D5 | D6 | D7 | D8 |
D18 | D17 | D16 | D15 | D14 | D13 | D12 | D11 | D10 | D9 |
D19 | D20 | D21 | D22 | D23 | D24 | D25 | D26 | D27 | D28 |
D38 | D37 | D36 | D35 | D34 | D33 | D32 | D31 | D30 | D29 |
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D39 | D40 | D41 | D42 | D43 | D44 | D45 | D46 | D47 | D48 |
Majority → | |||||||||
R41 | R42 | R43 | R44 | R45 | D53 | D52 | D51 | D50 | D49 |
R40 | R39 | R38 | R37 | R36 | R35 | R34 | R33 | R32 | R31 |
R21 | R22 | R23 | R24 | R25 | R26 | R27 | R28 | R29 | R30 |
R20 | R19 | R18 | R17 | R16 | R15 | R14 | R13 | R12 | R11 |
R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 |
Senate composition at the beginning of the 114th Congress
I1 | I2 | D1 | D2 | D3 | D4 | D5 | D6 | D7 | D8 |
D18 | D17 | D16 | D15 | D14 | D13 | D12 | D11 | D10 | D9 |
D19 | D20 | D21 | D22 | D23 | D24 | D25 | D26 | D27 | D28 |
TBD6 | TBD5 | TBD4 | TBD3 | TBD2 | TBD1 | D32 | D31 | D30 | D29 |
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TBD7 | TBD8 | TBD9 | TBD10 | TBD11 | TBD12 | TBD13 | TBD14 | TBD15 | TBD16 |
Majority → | |||||||||
TBD26 | TBD25 | TBD24 | TBD23 | TBD22 | TBD21 | TBD20 | TBD19 | TBD18 | TBD17 |
TBD27 | TBD28 | TBD29 | TBD30 | TBD31 | TBD32 | TBD33 | TBD34 | TBD35 | R31 |
R21 | R22 | R23 | R24 | R25 | R26 | R27 | R28 | R29 | R30 |
R20 | R19 | R18 | R17 | R16 | R15 | R14 | R13 | R12 | R11 |
R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 |
Key: |
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Race summary
The following is the list of state-by-state summaries. Unless otherwise indicated, all races are for the class 2 seats whose terms begin January 3, 2015.
State (linked to summaries below) |
Incumbent | Most recent election results (Winner in bold) |
2014 intent | Candidates | ||
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Senator | Party | Electoral history | ||||
Alabama | Jeff Sessions | Republican | 1996 2002 2008 |
Jeff Sessions (Republican) 63% Vivian Davis Figures (Democratic) 37% |
Running[2] | Jeff Sessions (R) |
Alaska | Mark Begich | Democratic | 2008 | Mark Begich (Democratic) 48% Ted Stevens (Republican) 47% Other 5% |
Running[3] | Mark Begich (D) Joe Miller (R)[4] Mead Treadwell (R)[5] Daniel S. Sullivan (R) Kathleen Tonn (R) John Jaramillo (R) |
Arkansas | Mark Pryor | Democratic | 2002 2008 |
Mark Pryor (Democratic) 80% Rebekah Kennedy (Green) 20% |
Running[6] | Mark Pryor (D) Tom Cotton (R)[7] Nathan LaFrance (L)[8] |
Colorado | Mark Udall | Democratic | 2008 | Mark Udall (Democratic) 53% Bob Schaffer (Republican) 43% Other 4% |
Running[9] | Mark Udall (D) Randy Baumgardner (R) Ken Buck (R) Owen Hill (R) Jaime McMillan (R) Amy Stephens (R) |
Delaware | Chris Coons | Democratic | 2010 (Special) | Chris Coons (Democratic) 57% Christine O'Donnell (Republican) 41% |
Running[10] | Chris Coons (D) |
Georgia | Saxby Chambliss | Republican | 2002 2008 |
Saxby Chambliss (Republican) 57% Jim Martin (Democratic) 43% |
Retiring[11] | Paul Broun (R) Phil Gingrey (R) Derrick Grayson (R) Karen Handel (R) Jack Kingston (R) David Perdue (R) Eugene Yu (R) Steen Miles (D) Michelle Nunn (D) Branko Radulovacki (D) Todd Robinson (D) |
Hawaii (special: Class 3) |
Brian Schatz | Democratic | Appointed in 2012 |
(2010): Daniel Inouye (Democratic) 75% Campbell Cavasso (Republican) 22% Other 4% |
Running to finish the term ending January 3, 2017[12] | Brian Schatz (D) Colleen Hanabusa (D) |
Idaho | Jim Risch | Republican | 2008 | Jim Risch (Republican) 58% Larry LaRocco (Democratic) 34% Rex Rammell (Independent) 5% Other 3% |
Running[13] | Jim Risch (R) |
Illinois | Richard Durbin | Democratic | 1996 2002 2008 |
Dick Durbin (Democratic) 68% Steve Sauerberg (Republican) 29% Other 3% |
Running[14] | Dick Durbin (D) Chad Koppie (R) Doug Truax (R) Sharon Hansen (L) |
Iowa | Tom Harkin | Democratic | 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 |
Tom Harkin (Democratic) 63% Christopher Reed (Republican) 37% |
Retiring[15] | Bruce Braley (D) Sam Clovis (R) Joni Ernst (R) Paul Lunde (R) Scott Schaben (R) Matthew Whitaker (R) David Young (R) |
Kansas | Pat Roberts | Republican | 1996 2002 2008 |
Pat Roberts (Republican) 60% Jim Slattery (Democratic) 36% Other 4% |
Running[16] | Pat Roberts (R) Milton Wolf (R) |
Kentucky | Mitch McConnell | Republican | 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 |
Mitch McConnell (Republican) 53% Bruce Lunsford (Democratic) 47% |
Running[17] | Mitch McConnell (R) Matt Bevin (R) Gurley Martin (R) Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) Greg Leichty (D) Bennie J. Smith (D) Ed Marksberry (I) David Patterson (L) |
Louisiana | Mary Landrieu | Democratic | 1996 2002 2008 |
Mary Landrieu (Democratic) 52% John Kennedy (Republican) 46% Other 2% |
Running[18] | Mary Landrieu (D) Bill Cassidy (R) Rob Maness (R) |
Maine | Susan Collins | Republican | 1996 2002 2008 |
Susan Collins (Republican) 61% Tom Allen (Democratic) 39% |
Running[19] | Susan Collins (R) Shenna Bellows (D) |
Massachusetts | Ed Markey | Democratic | 2013 (Special) | (2013): Ed Markey (Democratic) 55% Gabriel E. Gomez (Republican) 45% Other 0% |
Running[20] | Ed Markey (D) |
Michigan | Carl Levin | Democratic | 1978 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 |
Carl Levin (Democratic) 63% Jack Hoogendyk (Republican) 34% Other 3% |
Retiring[21] | Gary Peters (D) Terri Lynn Land (R) |
Minnesota | Al Franken | Democratic | 2008 | Al Franken (Democratic) 42% Norm Coleman (Republican) 42% Dean Barkley (MIP) 15% |
Running[22] | Al Franken (D) Jim Abeler (R) Chris Dahlberg (R) Mike McFadden (R) Monti Moreno (R) Julianne Ortman (R) |
Mississippi | Thad Cochran | Republican | 1978 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 |
Thad Cochran (Republican) 61% Erik R. Fleming (Democratic) 39% |
Undeclared[23] | Chris McDaniel |
Montana | Max Baucus | Democratic | 1978 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 |
Max Baucus (Democratic) 73% Bob Kelleher (Republican) 27% |
Retiring[24] | Dirk Adams (D) John Walsh (D) Champ Edmunds (R) Steve Daines (R) David Leaser (R)[25] |
Nebraska | Mike Johanns | Republican | 2008 | Mike Johanns (Republican) 58% Scott Kleeb (Democratic) 40% Other 2% |
Retiring[26] | Sid Dinsdale (R) Bart McLeay (R) Shane Osborn (R) Ben Sasse (R) |
New Hampshire | Jeanne Shaheen | Democratic | 2008 | Jeanne Shaheen (Democratic) 52% John E. Sununu (Republican) 45% Other 3% |
Running[27] | Jeanne Shaheen (D) Andy Martin (R) Jim Rubens (R) |
New Jersey | Cory Booker | Democratic | 2013 (special) | Frank Lautenberg (Democratic) 56% Dick Zimmer (Republican) 42% Other 2% |
Running | Cory Booker (D) |
New Mexico | Tom Udall | Democratic | 2008 | Tom Udall (Democratic) 61% Steve Pearce (Republican) 39% |
Running[28] | Tom Udall (D) |
North Carolina | Kay Hagan | Democratic | 2008 | Kay Hagan (Democratic) 53% Elizabeth Dole (Republican) 44% Other 3% |
Running[29] | Kay Hagan (D) Greg Brannon (R) Heather Grant (R) Mark Harris (R) Thom Tillis (R) |
Oklahoma | Jim Inhofe | Republican | 1994 1996 2002 2008 |
Jim Inhofe (Republican) 57% Andrew Rice (Democratic) 39% Other 4% |
Running[22] | Jim Inhofe (R) Matt Silverstein (D) |
Oregon | Jeff Merkley | Democratic | 2008 | Jeff Merkley (Democratic) 49% Gordon Smith (Republican) 46% Dave Brownlow (Constitution) 5% |
Running[30] | Jeff Merkley (D) Mark Callahan (R) Sam Carpenter (R) Jason Conger (R) Jo Rae Perkins (R) |
Rhode Island | Jack Reed | Democratic | 1996 2002 2008 |
Jack Reed (Democratic) 73% Robert Tingle (Republican) 27% |
Running[31] | Jack Reed (D) |
South Carolina | Lindsey Graham | Republican | 2002 2008 |
Lindsey Graham (Republican) 58% Bob Conley (Democratic) 42% |
Running[2] | Lindsey Graham (R) Lee Bright (R) Richard Cash (R)[32] Nancy Mace (R)[33] Jay Stamper (D)[34] |
South Carolina (special: Class 3) |
Tim Scott | Republican | Appointed in 2013 |
(2010): Jim DeMint (Republican) 62% Alvin Greene (Democratic) 28% Tom Clements (Green) 9% |
Running to finish the term ending January 3, 2017[35] | Tim Scott (R) Joyce Dickerson (D) Rick Wade (D) |
South Dakota | Tim Johnson | Democratic | 1996 2002 2008 |
Tim Johnson (Democratic) 63% Joel Dykstra (Republican) 37% |
Retiring[36] | Rick Weiland (D) Annette Bosworth (R) Stace Nelson (R) Larry Rhoden (R) Mike Rounds (R) |
Tennessee | Lamar Alexander | Republican | 2002 2008 |
Lamar Alexander (Republican) 65% Bob Tuke (Democratic) 32% Other 3% |
Running[37] | Lamar Alexander (R) Joe Carr (R) Brenda Lenard (R) Danny Page (R) Larry Crim (D) |
Texas | John Cornyn | Republican | 2002 2008 |
John Cornyn (Republican) 55% Rick Noriega (Democratic) 43% Other 2% |
Running[2] | John Cornyn (R) Dwayne Stovall (R) Jon Roland (L) Erick Wyatt (R) |
Virginia | Mark Warner | Democratic | 2008 | Mark Warner (Democratic) 65% Jim Gilmore (Republican) 34% Other 1% |
Running [38] | Mark Warner (D) Shak Hill (R) Howie Lind (R) |
West Virginia | Jay Rockefeller | Democratic | 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 |
Jay Rockefeller (Democratic) 64% Jay Wolfe (Republican) 36% |
Retiring[39] | Shelley Moore Capito (R) Pat McGeehan (R) Natalie Tennant (D) |
Wyoming | Mike Enzi | Republican | 1996 2002 2008 |
Mike Enzi (Republican) 76% Chris Rothfuss (Democratic) 24% |
Running[40] | Thomas Bleming (R) Elizabeth Cheney (R) Mike Enzi (R) |
State (linked to summaries below) |
Senator | Party | Electoral history |
Most recent election results (Winner in bold) |
2014 intent | Candidates |
Incumbent |
Latest predictions
State color and party abbreviation refers to the incumbent.
Complete list of races
Alabama
Three-term incumbent Republican Jeff Sessions was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2008.[41] He will be 67 years old in 2014.
Alaska
One-term incumbent Democrat Mark Begich was elected with 48% of the vote in 2008, defeating six-term Senator Ted Stevens by 3,953 votes (a margin of 1.25 percent).[41] Begich will be 52 years old in 2014 and intends to seek re-election to a second term.[3] Stevens, who would have been almost 91 years old at the time of the election, had already filed for a rematch back in 2009,[3] but was killed in a plane crash the following year.
On December 1, 2012 Republican Lieutenant Governor Mead Treadwell announced that he was exploring a candidacy in 2014.[42] Joe Miller, an attorney and the Republican nominee in 2010, is again running for the Republican nomination.[43] along with State Natural Resources Commissioner Daniel Sullivan.[44] Air Force veteran John Jaramillo and pro-life activist Kathleen Tonn are also running. Former Governor Sarah Palin has not ruled out running, but most expect that she will not be a candidate.
Early polling had Begich with small leads over all declared and potential opponents. A July 30, 2013 poll by Public Policy Polling shows Begich leading Treadwell by 44% to 40%, Sullivan by 46% to 39%, Palin by 52% to 40%, and Miller by 55% to 32%.[45]
Arkansas
Two-term incumbent Democrat Mark Pryor was re-elected with 80% of the vote without Republican opposition in 2008.[46] He will be 51 years old in 2014. He is planning on running for a third term.[6]
The three most senior member of Arkansas's congressional delegation, Rick Crawford, Timothy Griffin and Steve Womack (all elected in 2010) have all declined running for the Senate.[47][48] Freshman Representative Tom Cotton of Arkansas's 4th congressional district is the only Republican candidate to pose a challenge against Pryor.[49] With Lieutenant Governor Mark Darr, who was also seen a possible senate candidate,[50] declining to run for the Senate to run for Cotton's seat in the 4th district.[51]
An August 12 National Republican Senatorial Committee poll shows Cotton leading Pryor by 44% to 42%, with Cotton also leading Pryor in an August 4–5 Harper Polling/Conservative Intel poll by 43% to 41%.[52]
Colorado
One-term incumbent Democrat Mark Udall was elected with 53% of the vote in 2008. He will be 64 years old in 2014. In January 2013, Udall announced he would run for reelection, leading Democratic efforts in the Senate for fundraising in the 2014 midterms.[53]
Weld County Prosecutor and 2010 Republican Senate nominee Ken Buck has declared his candidacy for the Senate.[54] Freshmen State Senators Randy Baumgardner, Owen Hill, businessman Jaime McMillan, and State Representative Amy Stephens have also declared their candidacies for the Senate.[55][56][57][58]
A November 20, 2013 poll by Quinnipiac University shows Udall leading Buck by 45% to 42%, Baumgardner by 44% to 39%, Hill by 45% to 39%, and Stephens by 45% to 38%.[59]
Delaware
Democrat Chris Coons won in the 2010 special election caused by Joe Biden's election as Vice President, winning by a 57% to 41% margin. Coons will be 51 years old in 2014.
Delaware Attorney General Beau Biden, Vice President Biden's son, may pose a Democratic primary challenge to Coons.[60]
Tea Party activist and three-time Republican Senate candidate Christine O'Donnell, and New Castle County Council President and 2012 candidate for Delaware's at-large congressional district Tom Kovach are possible candidates for the Republican nomination.[61][62] Former Governor and Congressman Mike Castle has decided not to run.
Georgia
Two-term incumbent Republican Saxby Chambliss was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2008 in a runoff election with former state Representative Jim Martin after he failed to receive a simple majority in the general election. Chambliss will not seek a third term.[11]
Representatives Jack Kingston of Georgia's 1st congressional district,[63] Paul Broun of Georgia's 10th congressional district,[64] and Phil Gingrey Georgia's 11th congressional district[65] have all declared their candidacy for the Republican nomination, as well as former Secretary of State Karen Handel[66] and Political activist Derrick Grayson.[67] Lieutenant Governor Casey Cagle may also enter the race.[68]
Michelle Nunn, CEO of Points of Light and the daughter of former Senator Sam Nunn, is a Democratic candidate.[69] Other declared Democratic candidates include former State Senator Steen Miles, psychiatrist Branko Radulovacki, and former US Army Ranger Todd Robinson.
A Public Policy poll (August 2–4) had Nunn virtually tied with all possible Republican opponents.
Hawaii (special)
Daniel Inouye, the second longest serving United States Senator in U.S. history died on December 17, 2012, after respiratory complications.[70] Hawaii law allows Neil Abercrombie, the Governor of Hawaii, to appoint an interim Senator "who serves until the next regularly-scheduled general election, chosen from a list of three prospective appointees that the prior incumbent's political party submits."[71] Abercrombie picked his Lieutenant Governor, Brian Schatz, to fill the Senate seat.[72] Inouye was re-elected in 2010 with 72 percent of the vote.[73] Schatz will be challenged in the Democratic primary by Congresswoman Colleen Hanabusa of Hawaii's 1st congressional district, who Inouye had hoped would be his successor.[74]
Potential Republican candidates include former Hawaii Governor and 2012 U.S. Senate candidate Linda Lingle, and former Representative Charles Djou.[75]
Idaho
One-term incumbent Republican Jim Risch was elected with 58% of the vote in 2008. He will be 71 years old in 2014. Risch plans to seek a second term.[13]
Risch's 2008 opponent, former Congressman Larry LaRocco, is a potential Democratic candidate.
Illinois
Three-term incumbent and Senate Majority Whip Democrat Dick Durbin was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 2008. He will be 70 years old in 2014. Durbin plans to seek a fourth term.[76]
Kane County Regional School Board trustee, conservative activist, and 1992, 1996 and 2008 Senate candidate Chad Koppie declared his candidacy for the Senate.[77] Businessman Doug Truax, the founding President of Veritas Risk Services, is also a candidate for the Republican nomination.[78]
Iowa
Five-term incumbent Democrat Tom Harkin was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2008. Harkin announced on January 26, 2013 that he wouldn't seek a sixth term to the Senate.[79] Democratic Representative Bruce Braley (IA-01) has announced his candidacy and has been raising campaign funds.[80]
Representatives Steve King and Tom Latham were seen as top candidates Republican nomination,[81] but both ultimately decided not to run.[82][83] Former United States Attorney Matt Whitaker, Iowa State Senator Joni Ernst, and David Young, the Chief of Staff to U.S. Senator Charles Grassley, have announced they would run for the republican nomination.[84][85][86] Political newcomers Scott Schaben, a car salesman, and Sam Clovis, a conservative radio commentator, has also declared their candidacies for the Republican nomination.[87][88]
A July 10 poll by Public Policy Polling shows Braley leading Whitaker by 43% to 34%, Young by 45% to 32%, and Ernst by 45% to 33%.[89]
Kansas
Three-term incumbent Republican Pat Roberts was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2008. He will be 78 years old in 2014. Roberts plans to seek a fourth term and is already raising funds for his campaign.[16] Former Representative Todd Tiahrt, who was defeated in the Republican primary by Jerry Moran in Kansas's 2010 Senate election, has not ruled out a primary challenge to Roberts in 2014.[90] Shawnee County District Attorney Chad Taylor is a potential Democratic candidate.[91]
Kentucky
Five-term incumbent and Senate Minority Leader Republican Mitch McConnell was re-elected with 53% of the vote in 2008. He will be 72 years old in 2014. McConnell will seek re-election to a sixth term and is already beginning to prepare for his campaign by hiring key staffers and building a fundraising operation.[17] McConnell will face primary challenges from businessman Matt Bevin, the President of Bevin Brothers Manufacturing Company, and Gurley L. Martin, a 90 year-old 2010 senate candidate.[92][93] With an April poll from the left-leaning Public Policy Polling showing that McConnell has a 36% approval rating in Kentucky, the Kentucky Democratic Party has voiced support for a McConnell victory in the Republican primary.[94][95]
After forming an exploratory committee and initially intending to run for the Democratic nomination,[96] actress Ashley Judd decided against running for the Senate.[97] Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes is the leading declared Democratic candidate, seeing support from much of Kentucky's Democratic leadership.[98] Other Democratic candidates include: Construction contractor and 2012 Democratic candidate for Kentucky's 2nd congressional district Ed Marksberry, music promoter Bennie J. Smith, and University of Louisville professor Greg Leichty; while most other "big name" Kentucky Democrats are focused on Kentucky's 2015 gubernatorial election.[99] [100][101]
Louisiana
Three-term incumbent Democrat Mary Landrieu was re-elected with 52% of the vote in 2008. She will be 59 years old in 2014. Landrieu has already begun to fundraise for her intended re-election bid for a fourth term.[18][102]
Representative Bill Cassidy of Louisiana's 6th congressional district and retired Air Force Colonel Rob Maness have both announced their candidacies for the Republican nomination.[103][104] Possible candidates for the Republican nomination also include: Former Representatives Jeff Landry,[105] Former Lieutenant Governor and Member of the Louisiana Public Service Commission Scott Angelle,[106] Louisiana State Senator Elbert Guillory[107] and President of the Louisiana Board of Elementary and Secondary Education and son of former Louisiana Governor Buddy Roemer, Chas Roemer.[108]
A Public Policy Poll published on February 13, 2013 shows Landrieu leading Landry by 48% to 39% and Cassidy by 50% to 40%.[109]
Maine
Three-term incumbent Republican Susan Collins was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2008. She will be 61 years old in 2014. Collins will be seeking a fourth term.[110][111]
Shenna Bellows, former Executive Director of the American Civil Liberties Union of Maine, is running for the Democratic nomination.[112] A November 13 poll by Public Policy Polling shows Collins with a 61% approval rating and leading Bellows by a 59% to 20% margin.[113]
Massachusetts
Five-term incumbent and 2004 Democratic presidential nominee John Kerry was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2008. Kerry resigned in early 2013 to become U.S. Secretary of State.[114] Governor Deval Patrick appointed Democrat Mo Cowan to the seat.[115] Democratic Congressman Ed Markey beat Republican Gabriel E. Gomez, a private equity adviser and former Navy SEAL, in the June 25, 2013 special election by a 55% to 45% margin.[116] Markey will serve the remainder of Kerry's term, which ends in January 2015 and is running for re-election in 2014.[20] Markey will be 68 years old in November 2014.
Michigan
Six-term incumbent Senator and Chairman of the Armed Services Committee Democrat Carl Levin was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2008. Levin announced on March 7, 2013 that he would not seek re-election for a 7th term in 2014 and retire.[21]
Three term Democratic Representative Gary Peters of Michigan's 14th congressional district is running for Levin's seat, and has received the endorsements of Levin and Senator Debbie Stabenow.[117]
On June 3, Republican former Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land announced on social media that she intends to run for the seat.[118]
A November 20 poll by Lambert, Edwards & Associates and Denno Research shows Peters with 37% of the vote, Land with 36%, and a large number of voters undecided.[119]
Minnesota
One-term incumbent Democrat Al Franken unseated one-term Republican Norm Coleman by 312 votes in a three-way race with 42% of the vote in 2008.[120] Franken will seek re-election in 2014.[121] The announced Republican candidates include: former co-CEO of Lazard Middle Market Mike McFadden,[122] state Representative Jim Abeler,[123] state Senator Julianne Ortman, St. Louis County Commissioner Chris Dahlberg, and Bison farmer and former hair salon owner Monti Moreno.
An October 31 poll by Public Policy Polling shows Franken leading McFadden by 49% to 38%, Abeler by 50% to 39%, 49% to 37% against Ortman, 49% to 39% by Dahlberg, and 49% to 36% by 49% to 36%.[124]
Mississippi
Six-term incumbent Republican Thad Cochran was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2008. He will be 76 years old in 2014. Cochran is undecided on whether he will seek reelection and will not announce his decision for several months.[23] Tea Party candidate Chris McDaniel, a Mississippi state senator, has announced he is running, regardless of whether or not Cochran runs for re-election.[125]
If Cochran decides to retire, other possible Republican candidates include Lieutenant Governor Tate Reeves, state Auditor Stacey E. Pickering, Secretary of State Delbert Hosemann, state House Speaker Phillip Gunn, Congressman Gregg Harper, Congressman Alan Nunnelee, and possibly former Lieutenant Governor Amy Tuck.[126] Former Democratic Congressman Travis Childers has stated his interest in running, particularly if Thad Cochran retires.[127]
Montana
Six-term incumbent Democrat Max Baucus was re-elected with 73% of the vote in 2008. Baucus announced on April 23, 2013 that he will retire in 2014, rather than seek re-election to a seventh term.[128]
Lieutenant Governor John Walsh and former Lieutenant Governor John Bohlinger are the only high-profile Democrats currently in the race.[129] Former Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer was considered the leading candidate for the Democratic nomination but has decided not to run,[130] as did other candidates like State Superintendent of Public Instruction Denise Juneau, former president of NARAL Nancy Keenan, and State Commissioner of Securities and Insurance Monica Lindeen.
Among Republicans, Congressman Steve Daines is seriously thinking of running, though he's made no announcemenet.[131] Daines is expected to announce his decision on November 6, 2013.[132] Potential primary opponents for the Republican nomination include state Rep. Champ Edmunds of Missoula and David Leaser of Kalispell.[25] Former Governor Marc Racicot was a possible candidate but he declined.
A November 19 poll by the polling firm Public Policy Polling shows Daines leading Walsh by 52% to 35% and Bohlinger by 51% to 36%.[133]
Nebraska
One-term incumbent Republican Mike Johanns was elected with 58% of the vote in 2008. He will not seek a second term.[134] Term limited Republican Governor Dave Heineman considered running for the Republican nomination, but ultimately decided not to.[135] On June 3, 2013, former state Treasurer Shane Osborn announced his candidacy.[136] Attorney Bart McLeay, banker banker Sid Dinsdale, and Midland University President Ben Sasse have also declared their candidacies for the Senate.[137][138]
A poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for the Osborn campaign shows that Osborn leads with 39% of the vote compared with 7% for Sasse, 7% for Dinsdale, and 1% for McLeay among Republican voters.[139]
Potential Democratic candidates include: state Senator Brad Ashford, a former Republican, Lincoln Mayor Chris Beutler, and Nebraska Democratic Party Executive Director Jim Rogers.[140][141]
New Hampshire
One-term incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen was elected with 52% of the vote in 2008. She will be 67 years old in 2014. At the end of 2011, Shaheen had the lowest amount of campaign funds out of any senator up for re-election in 2014, leading some to believe she would not defend her seat, but her office has confirmed that she will run for re-election.[27]
Perennial candidate Andy Martin and former State Senator Jim Rubens are running for the Republican nomination.[142][143] Other potential Republican candidates include former Congressman Charlie Bass,[144] and perhaps former Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown.[145]
New Jersey
Incumbent Democrat Frank Lautenberg was re-elected with 56% of the vote in 2008. After announcing he wouldn't seek re-election, Lautenberg died June 3, 2013.[146][147][148] On June 6, 2013, Governor Chris Christie appointed Attorney General Jeffrey Chiesa as New Jersey's interim senator; Chiesa will hold office until the October 16, 2013 special election.[149]
Newark Mayor Cory Booker won the special Democratic primary in a four person race with 59% of the vote.[150] Former Bogota Mayor Steve Lonegan won the special Republican primary with 71% of the vote, and faced Booker in the October general election. Booker defeated Lonegan by 55%-to-45% and will run for a full term in 2014.[151]
New Mexico
One-term incumbent Democrat Tom Udall was elected with 61% of the vote in 2008. He will be 66 years old in 2014. Former Doña Ana County GOP Chairman David Clements announced in October and other possible Republican opponents include former Republican state Chairman Allen Weh and former state Representative Robert Aragon.[152]
North Carolina
One-term incumbent Democrat Kay Hagan was elected with 53% of the vote against incumbent Republican Elizabeth Dole in 2008. She will be 61 years old in 2014 and intends to seek re-election.[153] State House Speaker Thom Tillis is running for the Republican nomination,[154] as are Dr. Greg Brannon and the Reverend Mark Harris.[155]
Polling published by Public Policy Polling September 10, 2013, showed Hagan leading Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives Thom Tillis by 44% to 42%, First Baptist Church pastor Mark Harris by 43% to 41%, nurse Heather Grant by 43% to 40%, and narrowly trailing physician Greg Bannon by 43% to 44%. The same poll shows that the controversial rollout of Obamacare and Hagan's strong support of the law have damaged her standing back home.[156]
Oklahoma
Three-term incumbent Republican Jim Inhofe was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2008. He will be 79 years old in 2014.
Matt Silverstein, an insurance agency owner, is running for the Democratic nomination.[157]
Oregon
One-term incumbent Democrat Jeff Merkley was narrowly elected with 49% of the vote in 2008. He will be 58 years old in 2014. Merkley will run for a second term. Polling conducted by Public Policy Polling June 21–24, 2012, of 686 Oregon voters showed Merkley trailing potential Republican challenger Congressman Greg Walden (who has since effectively declined to enter the race by becoming chair of the National Republican Congressional Committee[158]) (42–40), while leading the others: State Republican Party Chairman Allen Alley (43–37), co-Speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives Bruce Hanna (43–35), and State Senator Jason Atkinson (43–34).[159] Polling from PPP in December 2012 showed Merkley with an approval rating of 44–29 and showed him leading Allen Alley (53–36), Bruce Hanna (52–34), Gordon Smith (47–43), Bruce Starr (52–32) and Greg Walden (47–42).[160]
Rhode Island
Three-term incumbent Democrat Jack Reed was re-elected with 73% of the vote in 2008. He will be 64 years old in 2014. Reed will run for re-election.[161]
As of August 2013, no Republican has declared to run for the party's nomination.
South Carolina
Two-term incumbent Republican Lindsey Graham was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2008. He will be 59 years old in 2014. A survey conducted January 28–30, 2011, by Public Policy Polling showed that in a potential primary match-up with Congressman Joe Wilson, Wilson led 43–41, while Graham led when tested in a potential primary against former Governor Mark Sanford, 52–34.[162] State Senator Lee Bright has announced that he is seriously thinking of running against Graham in the Republican primary.[163]
Entrepreneur Jay Stamper will run for the Democratic nomination.
South Carolina (special)
Jim DeMint announced his resignation from the Senate on December 6, 2012, effective January 1, 2013, to become president of The Heritage Foundation, a conservative think-tank.[164] On December 17, 2012, Gov. Nikki Haley announced the appointment of U.S. Rep. Tim Scott as DeMint's replacement.[165]
Scott will run for the Republican nomination to serve the remainder of the term.
Potential Democratic candidates include former Governor Jim Hodges, State Senator John Scott and State Rep. James E. Smith, Jr..
South Dakota
Three-term incumbent Democrat Tim Johnson was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2008. Johnson announced on March 26, 2013 that he would not run for reelection.[166] For Republicans, former two-term Governor Mike Rounds announced his candidacy for the GOP nomination on November 29, 2012.[167] Rounds is being challenged in the Republican primary by state senator Larry Rhoden, state representative Stace Nelson, and physician Annette Bosworth.[168]
Former Congressional aide Rick Weiland is running for the Democratic nomination.[169] U.S. Attorney Brendan Johnson and former Congresswoman Stephanie Herseth Sandlin both passed on the race.
Tennessee
Two-term incumbent Republican Lamar Alexander was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2008. He will be 74 years old in 2014. Alexander will seek re-election to a third term.[37] Alexander has been challenged by the Tea Party as insufficiently conservative.[170] Republican State Representative Joe Carr is running against Alexander.
2012 candidates Larry Crim and Jacob Maurer will seek the Democratic nomination. Former Governor Phil Bredesen and State House Minority Leader Craig Fitzhugh declined to run.
Texas
Two-term incumbent Republican John Cornyn was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2008. He will be 62 years old in 2014.
Among Democrats, state Senator Wendy Davis and former Houston Mayor Bill White, the 2010 nominee for Governor, decided not to run. Davis is instead running for governor.
Virginia
One-term incumbent Democrat Mark Warner was elected with 65% of the vote in 2008. He will be 58 years old in 2014. State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli was considering challenging Warner,[171] but decided to run for Governor of Virginia instead. Polling conducted by Public Policy Polling in May 2012 shows Warner beating current Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell, who will be term-limited in 2013, 51% to 40%.[172]
Former Governor and Senator George Allen will not seek the Republican nomination.
West Virginia
Five-term incumbent Democrat Jay Rockefeller was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2008. He announced on January 11, 2013 that he would not seek reelection to a sixth term.[39]
On November 26, 2012, Republican Congresswoman Shelley Moore Capito announced her plans to run for the seat, in hopes of becoming the first Republican Senator elected from West Virginia since 1956.[173] Moore Capito faces a primary challenge from conservative former Delegate Pat McGeehan.[174]
Secretary of State Natalie Tennant is running for the Democrats.[175] If either Tennant or Moore Capito win the race, they will become the first woman US Senator from West Virginia. A September 24 poll by Public Policy Polling shows Moore Capito leading Tennant by a 50% to 36% margin.[176]
Wyoming
Three-term incumbent Republican Mike Enzi was re-elected with 76% of the vote in 2008. He will be 70 years old in 2014. Political commentator and former U.S. State Department official Liz Cheney announced she would challenge Enzi in the August 2014 Republican Primary.[177] Mercenary and 2012 Republican candidate Thomas Bleming has also declared his primary candidacy.[178]
There was speculation that Liz Cheney's primary challenge could lead to a Democratic candidate announcing, including possibly former Governor Dave Freudenthal.[179] However, as of October no Democrats have announced yet, and there have been no further reports of any likely challengers.
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- ^ http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_VA_050412.pdf
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- ^ Trevor Brown; Wyoming Tribune Eagle (June 3, 2013). "Bleming announces second Senate run". wyomingnews.com.
- ^ "Cheney Challenge Could Open Door to Dems in Wyoming". Newsmax. July 16, 2013. Retrieved July 17, 2013.